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Eni

Investor Presentation Feb 28, 2020

4348_rns_2020-02-28_3a843302-cc55-4e6b-b10d-b8af70478256.pdf

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THE NEW ENI CREATI NG VALUE THROUGH THE ENERGY TRANSI TI ON

Disclaimer

This document contains forward-looking statements regarding future events and the future results of Eni that are based on current expectations, estimates, forecasts, and projections about the industries in which Eni operates and the beliefs and assumptions of the management of Eni. In addition, Eni's management may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, representatives of the media and others. In particular, among other statements, certain statements with regard to management objectives, trends in results of operations, margins, costs, return on capital, risk management and competition are forward looking in nature. Words such as 'expects', 'anticipates', 'targets', 'goals', 'projects', 'intends', 'plans', 'believes', 'seeks', 'estimates', variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. Therefore, Eni's actual results may differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statements. Factors that might cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed in Eni's Annual Reports on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC") under the section entitled "Risk factors" and in other sections. These factors include but are not limited to:

  • Fluctuations in the prices of crude oil, natural gas, oil products and chemicals;
  • Strong competition worldwide to supply energy to the industrial, commercial and residential energy markets;
  • Safety, security, environmental and other operational risks, and the costs and risks associated with the requirement to comply with related regulation, including regulation on GHG emissions;
  • Risks associated with the exploration and production of oil and natural gas, including the risk that exploration efforts may be unsuccessful and the operational risks associated with development projects;
  • Uncertainties in the estimates of natural gas reserves;
  • The time and expense required to develop reserves;
  • Material disruptions arising from political, social and economic instability, particularly in light of the areas in which Eni operates;
  • Risks associated with the trading environment, competition, and demand and supply dynamics in the natural gas market, including the impact under Eni take-or-pay long-term gas supply contracts;
  • Laws and regulations related to climate change;
  • Risks related to legal proceedings and compliance with anti-corruption legislation;
  • Risks arising from potential future acquisitions; and
  • Exposure to exchange rate, interest rate and credit risks.

Any forward-looking statements made by or on behalf of Eni speak only as of the date they are made. Eni does not undertake to update forward-looking statements to reflect any changes in Eni's expectations with regard thereto or any changes in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The reader should, however, consult any further disclosures Eni may make in documentsit files with or furnishes to the SEC and Consob.

SHAPING OUR FUTURE ENI 'S JOURNEY T O 2050

ENI'S FRAMEWORK

EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION: FLEXIBLE & RESILIENT

RESILIENCE FLEXIBILITY
CONVENTIONAL ASSETS
LOW BREAKEVEN
RAPID TIME TO MARKET
PRODUCTION CAGR
2019 -
2025
3.5%
CONFIRMED
FLEXIBLE PRODUCTION PROFILE FROM 2025
PRODUCTION PLATEAU @ 2025
SHARE OF GAS
60%
@2030
~85%
@2050

NET ZERO UPSTREAM SCOPE 1 & 2 @2030

EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION: RESILIENCE

8

EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION: FLEXIBILITY - NO STRANDED ASSETS

RENEWABLES: A GLOBAL INTEGRATED OPERATOR IN THE GREEN POWER VALUE CHAIN

DEPLOYING DIVERSIFIED TECHNOLOGIES

ENI GAS E LUCE: GROWING IN RETAIL TO CAPTURE MARKET VALUE

CUSTOMER BASE | mln SERVICES CONTRIBUTION | % EXPECTED EBITDA

Commodity

Centinaia

MAXIMIZING VOLUMES FROM EQUITY SOURCES

AN INCREASING SHARE OF VALUE GENERATED BY SERVICES

GAS & LNG MARKETING AND POWER: FOCUS ON EQUITY FLOWS

CARBON CAPTURE AND STORAGE – LEVERAGING UNIQUE OPPORTUNITIES

FORESTRY

DEVELOPING PROJECTS ACCORDING TO REDD+ PROGRAMME

REFINING: A PROGRESSIVE CONVERSION TO BIO-PRODUCTS

WORLDWIDE ECOFINING TECHNOLOGY DEPLOYMENT

MARKETING: SUSTAINABLE FUELS AND SERVICES

100% SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTS

  • SMART MOBILITY
  • LOGISTICS HUB
  • ENHANCED FOOD OFFER
  • MULTISERVICES

WIDESPREAD OFFER OF SERVICES

VERSALIS: INCREASING EFFICIENCY TOWARD BIO AND RECYCLED PRODUCTS

EFFICIENCY

  • HIGH QUALITY HIGH PERFORMANCE POLYMERS FROM UPGRADED PROCESSES
  • DEVELOPMENT OF CHEMICALS FROM RENEWABLES
  • INTEGRATED PLATFORM FOR PLASTIC WASTE RECYCLING

INTERMEDIATES AND POLYMERS SALES VOLUMES | Mton BIO AND RECYCLED PRODUCTS SALES VOLUMES | Mton

ENI LIFECYCLE EMISSIONS: A FULLY COMPREHENSIVE MODEL

SETTING A UNIQUE METHODOLOGY* TO ACCOUNT SCOPE 1+2+3 EMISSIONS (EQUITY)

FULLY COMPREHENSIVE OF ALL ENERGY PRODUCTS IN ENI VALUE CHAIN

* Reviewed, independently, by experts from Imperial College London (via Imperial Consultants) and verified by RINA

TARGETS ON NET LIFECYCLE EMISSIONS

ALL BUSINESSES NET ZERO SCOPE 1+2 CARBON FOOTPRINT BY 2040

THE NEW ENI TOWARDS 2050

GHG LIFECYCLE EMISSIONS REDUCTION

2020-2023 ACTI ON PLAN

2020 - 2023 KEY TARGETS

KEY TARGETS
UPSTREAM MID-DOWNSTREAM GREEN INVESTMENTS
2019-23 PRODUCTION 2023 ADJ. EBIT 2020-23
3.5 %
~
CAGR
2
~ €
bln
3X VS 2019
4
~ €
bln
+30% vs PREVIOUS 4YP

ORGANIC VALUE CREATION

CASH NEUTRALITY
IN 2023
45
\$
/bbl
FCF GENERATION
2020-2023
23

bln
---------------------------- ------------------ ----------------------------- ----------------

UPSTREAM TARGETS

A DISTINCTIVE INTEGRATED MODEL

DIVERSIFIED RANGE OF EXPLORATION OPPORTUNITIES

MAIN BASINS

DEVELOPMENT AND OPERATIONS DISTINCTIVE FACTORS

A FAST TRACK AND LOW COST MODEL

Peers: BP, CVX, EQNR, XOM, RDS, TOT, COP 2019 F&D data for peers not available

MAIN FIELDS DRIVING GROWTH

GROWTH PROFILE | MBOED 4YP START UPS

Indonesia -
Merakes
Congo
-
Nené
ph.2B
Algeria –
Berkine
Gas
UAE -
Sharjah
2020
Angola
-
Cabaça
North
Norway
-
Fenja
Mexico
-
Area1 FF
2021
Mozambique
-
Coral FLNG
Norway
-
Johan Castberg
Norway
-
Balder
X
UAE -
Dalma gas
Angola
-
Northern
Gas Complex
2022
Congo -
Nené
ph.3
Libya
-
A/E Structures
Libya -
Bouri
GUP
Angola -
Ndungu
Norway
-
Breidablikk
2023

THE RISE OF UPSTREAM FREE CASH FLOW

UPSTREAM FCF GROWS > 2 X DIVIDEND

MID-DOWNSTREAM KEY TARGETS

2023
ADJ. EBIT
2
~€
Bln
STRONGER 4YP CAPEX 5

Bln
AND
GREENER
4YP CFFO 9

Bln
Driven by Retail Gas and R&M

MORE THAN TRIPLING EBIT & FCF (2019 vs 2023)

Mid-downstream includes G&P, R&M and Chemicals

GAS & POWER – AN INTEGRATED AND OPTIMIZED MODEL

Adj EBIT | € bln FREE CASH FLOW | € bln

2019 EBIT excludes oil trading results

RETAIL GROWING CUSTOMERS AND SERVICES

R&M – MORE SUSTAINABLE AND DIVERSIFIED

BIO REFINERIES

RENEWABLES GROWTH

CAPACITY | GW OUR BUSINESS MODEL

Mainly organic growth

Enhancing integration with retail clients

2020-2023 F I N ANCI AL PLAN

MAINTAINING CAPITAL DISCIPLINE & FLEXIBILITY

UPSTREAM: FOCUS ON PROJECTS UNDER DEVELOPMENT

GROUP CASH FLOW AND CAPEX

2019 2020 2023

2019 2020 2023

0

0

4

4

8

8

12

12

16

16

HI GHLI GHT S & REMUNERATI ON

2019: MAIN RESULTS

UPSTREAM 1,871
RECORD PRODUCTION
KBOE/D
DISCOVERED RESOURCES: 820 MBOE
RESERVE REPLACEMENT RATIO: 117%
CREATED 2ND
LARGEST PLAYER IN NORWAY
GAS & POWER BEST RESULT SINCE 2010
RETAIL EBIT + 38%
DOWNSTREAM ADNOC REFINING DEAL
STRONG MARKETING RESULT
RENEWABLES &
DECARBONIZATION
200 MW RENEWABLES INSTALLED

9% UPSTREAM
GHG EMISSION INTENSITY
FINANCIAL 12.1
CFFO

BLN
7.7
CAPEX

BLN
3.4
DIVIDEND + BUYBACK

BLN

ORGANIC CASH BALANCE

2019 ORGANIC CASH BALANCE | € bln

PROGRESSIVE DISTRIBUTION TO SHAREHOLDERS

DIVIDEND: progressive with underlying earnings and FCF

below 20%*

BUYBACK: € 400 mln/year @ Brent \$60 - 65/bbl Leverage steadily € 800 mln/year @ Brent >65/bbl

2020

DIVIDEND: € 0.89 per share BUYBACK: € 400 mln

BACK-UP

ASSUMPTIONS AND SENSITIVITY

4YP Scenario 2020 2021 2022 2023
Brent dated (\$/bbl) 60 68 70 71.4
FX
avg
(\$/€)
1.115 1.16 1.2 1.21
Ural MED c.i.f. -
Med Dated Strip (\$/bbl)
-1.6 -1.5 -1.5 -1.5
Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bbl) 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.7
NBP
(\$/mmbtu)
4.1 6.8 6.9 7.4
PSV
(€/kcm)
150 221 221 232
Sensitivity
2020
EBIT adj
(€ bln)
net adj
(€ bln)
FCF (€ bln)
Brent
(+1 \$/bbl)
0.24 0.14 0.15
Spot
Gas (+1 \$/mmbtu)
0.32 0.3 0.3
Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 \$/bbl) 0.15 0.11 0.15
Exchange rate \$/€
(-0.05 \$/€)
0.39 0.24 0.32

Brent sensitivity applies to liquids and oil-linked gas Sensitivity is valid for limited price variations

ENI LIFECYCLE EMISSIONS: INDICATORS

EXPLORATION DISTINCTIVE FACTORS

STRATEGY COMPETENCES & PROCESSES TECHNOLOGY

CONVENTIONAL
PROPRIETARY IMAGING ALGORITHMS
FASTEST
DESIGN TO COST

SHORT CYCLES
CENTRALISED AND INTEGRATED PROCESS SUPERCOMPUTER
IN INDUSTRY

NEAR FIELD

HIGH EQUITY STAKE
DEEP KNOWLEDGE OF BASINS AND SUPERBASINS
STATE OF THE ART
DRILLING
DISCOVERIES BLN BARRELS / YEAR
10 years
average
~1.3
UNIT EXPL. COST \$ / BARREL
10 years
average
>3.0
DUAL EXPLORATION
Cash Inflow
in the last 7 years
0.5 1.1 11
\$
bln
Eni
Peers
Eni
Peers
BEST-IN-CLASS RESULTS FOR OVER A DECADE

Source: peers' data from WoodMackenzie Majors exploration benchmarking, October 2019 (conventional discoveries only) Peers: BP, CVX, EQNR, XOM, RDS, TOT

COMPETITIVE PIPELINE OF CONVENTIONAL PROJECTS

KEY PROJECTS STARTING UP IN 4YP 2020-23 [1/2]

ALGERIA Berkine
North & BRN Pipeline
49% WI
GAS
ANGOLA Nené
ph. 2B
65% WI
LIQ
Gas Start up: Feb 2020
Production (kboed):
70 (100%) –
34 (equity )@2021
LIQ
LIBYA
LIBYA
CONGO
Start up: 1H 2020
Progress: 24%
Production (kboed):
15
(100%) –
10 (equity) @ 2022
Merakes
65% WI
GAS
UAE (SHARJAH)
GAS
Mahani
50% WI
INDONESIA Full Field
Start up: 2H 2020
Progress: 50%
Production (kboed):
72 (100%) –
42 (equity )@2021
Start up: 2H 2020 Progress:
5%
Production (kboed):
22 (100%) –
11 (equity ) @2021
Area 1
100% WI
Agogo
EP
37% WI
MEXICO Full
Field Start up: 2021
LIQ
Progress: 36%
2020 Equity : 18 kboed
(EP)
Production
(kboed):
95 (100%) -
66 (equity) @2022
LIQ
ANGOLA
Early Prod. ph.2 Start up: 2022
2020 Equity : 7 kboed
Production
(kboed):
33 (100%) –
11 (equity) @2023
Balder
X
63% WI
GAS Northern Gas Complex
26% WI
INDONESIA Start up: 2022
LIQ
Progress: 5%
Production
(kboed):
Start up:
2022
Progress: FID (2020)
Production
(kboed):
NORWAY
47
87 (100%) –
55 (equity) @2023
ANGOLA 88 (100%) –
23 (equity) @ 2024

NOTE: Average yearly production in peak year/ at plateau

KEY PROJECTS STARTING UP IN 4YP 2020-23 [2/2]

Coral FLNG 25% WI Start up: 2022 Progress: 66% Production (kboed): 98 (100%) – 26 (equity) @2023

Dalma Gas 25% WI

Start up: 2022 Progress: 10% Production (kboed): 53 (100%) – 13 (equity) @2023

48

Johan Castberg 21% WI Start up: 2022 Progress: 43% Production (kboed): 205 (100%) – 43 (equity) @2024

A & E Structures 50% WI Start up: 2023 Progress: FID (2021) Production (kboed): 165 (100%) @'26 – 72 (equity) @'25

Breidablikk 29% WI
LIQ Start up: 2023
Progress: FID (2020)
Production
(kboed):
NORWAY 47 (100%) –
14 (equity) @2024

MAGNETIC FUSION – A BREAKTHROUGH TECHNOLOGY FOR CLEAN AND RELIABLE ENERGY

COLLABORATIONS ON A GLOBAL SCALE

COMMONWEALTH FUSION SYSTEM & MIT

FOR THE

DEVELOPMENT OF THE FIRST COMMERCIAL PLANT

ITALIAN NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL (CNR)

FOR

STUDIES ON PLASMA, SUPERCONDUCTORS & MATERIALS

ITALIAN NATIONAL AGENCY ENEA

FOR THE

CONSTRUCTION OF THE DIVERTOR TOKAMAK TEST

INTEGRATED PLATFORM FOR PLASTIC WASTE RECYCLING

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