Earnings Release • Jul 30, 2020
Earnings Release
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2020 ACTIONS: >€1 Bln vs previous guidance 2020+2021 ACTIONS: ~€ 8 Bln vs original plan
NEW VS ORIGINAL 2020 -2023 PLAN
GREEN: + € 0.8 Bln UPSTREAM: - € 6 Bln
Berkine North (ALGERIA) Nené ph. 2B (CONGO) Mahani (UAE – SHARJAH)
Cabaça North (ANGOLA) Merakes (INDONESIA) Area 1 Full Field (MEXICO) Fenja (NORWAY)
2022 Coral (MOZAMBIQUE)
Balder X (NORWAY)
2023
Agogo EP Ph. 2 (ANGOLA) Bouri Gas Utilization (LIBYA) Bahr Essalam Compression (LIBYA) Breidablikk (NORWAY) Johan Castberg (NORWAY) Dalma (UAE)
| PROGRESSIVE FLOOR DIVIDEND |
€0.36 dividend when Brent Scenario is \$45 / bbl or above Floor is evaluated yearly for growth considering the execution of the strategic plan |
|---|---|
| ADDITIONAL VARIABLE DIVIDEND |
Equal to 30 – 45% of additional FCF generated between \$45 – 60 / bbl Brent |
| ANNUAL BUYBACK |
€400m for Brent between \$61 - 65 / bbl €800m for Brent above \$65 / bbl |
| RESPONSE TO COVID19 |
People health measures implemented worldwide integrity maintained Assets |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPSTREAM | Exploration success in Egypt, Angola, Mexico and Sharjah (UAE) Production: 1.74 Mboed (-5% YoY). Start up in Angola and Algeria |
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| MID - DOWNSTREAM |
G&P: EBIT adj € 0.65 Bln (+70% YoY). Strong optimizations. R&M: EBIT adj € 0.17 Bln (+67% YoY) . Resilient Bio refining. Renewables: installed capacity 250 MW (+44% vs end of 2019) |
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| FINANCIALS | Adj CFFO (pre WC): € 3.3 Bln Capex: € 2.9 Bln Adjusted FCF positive contribution |
FX
R&M includes pro-forma ADNOC Refining
SELECTIVE AND SUSTAINABLE TRANSFORMATION AND GROWTH
PROGRESSIVE REMUNERATION RESILIENT IN A WEAKER ENVIRONMENT
ANNEX
15
1H 2019 1H 2020
| 4YP Scenario | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent dated (\$/bbl) | 40 | 48 | 55 | 60 | |||
| (\$/€) FX avg |
1.116 | 1.130 | 1.150 | 1.180 | |||
| Med Dated Strip (\$/bbl) Ural MED c.i.f. - |
-0.5 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -1.5 | |||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (\$/bbl) | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.6 | |||
| (\$/mmbtu) NBP |
4.1 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 7.4 | |||
| (€/kcm) PSV |
99 | 147 | 163 | 167 | |||
| Sensitivity 2020 |
EBIT adj | (€ bln) | Net adj (€ bln) |
FCF (€ bln) | |||
| (+1 \$/bbl) Brent |
0.23 | 0.16 | 0.17 | ||||
| Std. Eni Refining Margin (+1 \$/bbl) | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.13 | ||||
| (-0.05 \$/€) Exchange rate \$/€ |
0.09 | 0.02 | 0.1 |
Brent sensitivity assumes oil and gas prices move proportionally. It is applicable for \$5-\$10/bbl moves in Brent.
| ALGERIA GAS |
49% WI Berkine North & BRN Pipeline |
ANGOLA CONGO |
Nené ph. 2B |
65% WI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIQ | Gas Start up: March 2020 2020 Equity: 13 kboed Production (kboed): 71 (100%) – 35 (equity) @2022 |
LIQ LIBYA LIBYA |
EP Start up: March 2020 (FF: 2022) 2020 Equity: 2 kboed Production (kboed): 14 (100%) – 9 (equity) @2023 |
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| LIQ MEXICO |
Area 1 100% WI EP Start up: June '19 (FF: H2 2021) 2020 Equity: 16 kboed FF Progress: 46% Production (kboed): 92 (100%) @ 2025 - 60 (eq.) @2022 |
LIQ ANGOLA |
Agogo EP 37% WI Ph.1 Start up: Dec '19 (Ph. 2: 2023) 2020 Equity: 4 kboed Production (kboed): 33 (100%) – 11 (equity) @2025 |
Mahani 50% WI
Start up: Q4 2020 Progress: 19% Production (kboed): 18 (100%) – 9 (equity ) @2022
Start up: H1 2021 Production (kboed): 78 (100%) – 46 (equity) @2022
NORWAY Breidablikk 29% WI Start up: 2023 Progress: FID (2020) Production (kboed): 47 (100%) – 14 (equity) @2024 NORWAY LIQ NORWAY 205 (100%) – 43 (equity) @2025
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