Earnings Release • Aug 5, 2020
Earnings Release
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This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of future growth in the different business lines and the global business, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the TIM Group. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors.
The financial results of the TIM Group are prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards issued by the International Accounting Standards Board and endorsed by the EU (designated as "IFRS").
The accounting policies and consolidation principles adopted in the preparation of the financial results for Q2 '20 and H1 '20 of the TIM Group are the same as those adopted in the TIM Group Annual Audited Consolidated Financial Statements as of 31 December 2019, to which reference can be made, except for the amendments to the standards issued by IASB and adopted starting from January 1, 2020.
Please note that the limited review by the external auditors (E&Y) on the TIM Group Half-year Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements at 30 June 2020 has not yet been completed.
The TIM Group, in addition to the conventional financial performance measures established by IFRS, uses certain alternative performance measures for the purposes of enabling a better understanding of the performance of operations and the financial position of the TIM Group. In particular, such alternative performance measures include: EBITDA, EBIT, Organic change and impact of non-recurring items on revenue, EBITDA and EBIT; EBITDA margin and EBIT margin; net financial debt (carrying and adjusted amount) and Equity Free Cash Flow. Moreover, following the adoption of IFRS 16, the TIM Group uses the following additional alternative performance indicators:
* EBITDA adjusted After Lease ("EBITDA-AL"), calculated by adjusting the Organic EBITDA, net of non-recurring items, of the amounts related to the accounting treatment of lease contracts according to IFRS 16 (applied starting from 2019);
* Adjusted Net Financial Debt After Lease, calculated by excluding from the adjusted net financial debt the liabilities related to the accounting treatment of lease contracts according to IFRS 16 (applied starting from 2019).
* Equity Free Cash Flow After Lease, calculated by excluding from the Equity Free Cash Flow the amounts related to lease payments.
Such alternative performance measures are unaudited.
| What happened in Q2 | KPIs | |
|---|---|---|
| Culture, engagement and organization |
▪ Customer Satisfaction Index/Net Promoter Score growing ▪ New employee shareholding plan launched ▪ Early retirement plan continues at full speed |
CSI (1) +3% mobile, +2% fixed CSI wholesale +1% exits in H1 / 3.4k planned in FY(2) 2.8k |
| Domestic | ▪ Positive mobile net adds ▪ Strongly improved fixed KPIs point to H2 FSR YoY better vs. H1 ▪ Enhanced UBB rural coverage and take up ▪ More digital sales channels and direct payments |
Mobile calling net adds +87k ~zero Consumer line losses +1.2m UBB HHs, +0.5m FTTx lines Fixed Web sales +138% YoY Direct payment 75% of gross adds |
| Brazil | ▪ Enhanced OPEX saving offset COVID-19 impact on revenues ▪ Strong growth in cash generation |
EBITDA +1.0% YoY EBITDA-CAPEX +29% YoY |
| Cash generation | ▪ Organic cash generation continues ▪ Net Debt record level decrease ▪ EFCF guidance confirmed, debt reduction improved |
Eq FCF AL € 336m in Q2 Net Debt AL -€ 0.6bn QoQ |
| KKR extended its binding offer to 31 August on Government request to create a broader single network |
TIM's BoD strongly welcome Government's will to accelerate the single network project and mandated the CEO to interact accordingly with Authorities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiberCop to be the carve out of TIM's passive secondary network |
▪ The largest passive infrastructure wholesaler in Italy, with key customers such as TIM and Fastweb ▪ c.20% of technical units (1) FTTH connecting corresponding to 76% of Black and Grey areas ▪ FTTC connecting c. 85% of technical units for c. 50%, >50Mbps speed for c. 85%) |
and all main OLOs (2) , 56% by 2025 , (3) (>100Mbps speed |
Carve out and valuation of FiberCop key step towards: ▪ Co-investment with OLOs ▪ Multiples rerating ▪ Creation of Italy's single network |
|
| …allowing TIM to complete fiber roll out while deleveraging… |
▪ €4.7bn equity value and €1.8bn cash proceeds for TIM the sale of 37.5% to KKR ▪ TIM to be the exclusive builder and technical supplier for FiberCop's network roll out & maintenance |
through | ||
| …and sharing benefits and risks with strong partners |
▪ TIM at 58% ▪ KKR Infrastructure at 37.5% paid in cash ▪ Fastweb at 4.5% through contribution of 20% of Flash Fiber ▪ FiberCop €7.7bn enterprise value at start |
Letter received from the Italian Government on commitment to work on the creation of a single network for Italy |
| Business rationale |
▪ Lead Italy's accelerated adoption and deployment of top-quality UBB networks ✓ Accelerate migration of TIM's customer base from copper to fiber ✓ Equity finance the FTTH roll-out ▪ Co-invest with Fastweb according to EU Telecommunication Code art. 76 (regulation eased): FiberCop supplier to Fastweb for secondary network ▪ Close digital divide, rolling out fiber in grey areas and FTTC in white areas ▪ Consolidate TIM's position in the creation of the National fiber network |
|---|---|
| Key benefits for TIM |
▪ Unlock hidden value ✓ Multiple accretive transaction ✓ Path to rerating for secondary network from shift to fiber from copper whilst retaining strong control ▪ Set-up a partnership with one of the world's most reputable financial investors, with relevant experience in the infrastructure and TLC space ▪ Strongly enhance cash generation profile after the roll-out period (2025), with CAPEX on sales <10% at regime ▪ Accelerate deleverage |
Unlocking rerating opportunity whilst retaining strong control
Including all of TIM's passive secondary network infrastructure, both copper and fiber, from the cabinet to the home, (ducts, secondary network, sockets, etc. with cabinet excluded)
Number of employees <100
TIM to execute all operational activities for FiberCop, from design to network construction, maintenance and assurance
Organic data (1), IFRS 16, € m
Record high quarterly Net Debt reduction thanks to strong organic and inorganic cash generation (-€616m QoQ After Lease)
Equity Free Cash Flow AL of €336m. In H1 Equity FCF reaches €788m, in line with 2019 excluding FX and one-off payments
Under IFRS16, debt reduction reaches €774m and EFCF €511m in Q2
Stabilization of customer base (CB) key for turnaround: CB decline explains >5pp of MSR decline in Q2
ARPU almost flat YoY; +2.0% underlying (ex. 3pp CSP drag)
MSR: underlying trend -5.1% YoY entirely volume-related
One off items: COVID-19 impact on roaming (ca. -2.2pp) and CSP (content service providers) cleanup (c. -2.5pp)
MTR price reduction explains another -1.3pp drag and the renewal of the mobile Consip contract at lower prices another -0.9pp, both in line with Q1
~6pp drags affecting Q2 and Q3 will disappear from 2021
Lower handsets sales due to the lockdown
(1) On TIM infrastructure, retail VoIP excluded (2) FTTx and Fixed Wireless Accesses (FWA)
Market discipline in Q2: competitors acquisition prices on an increasing path
(1) Net of deferred costs, on a cash view, the reduction reaches € 268m (-12.6% vs. -11.0% in Q1). Net of deferred costs, total OPEX amounts to € 1,852m in Q2 '20 and € 2,121m in Q2 '19. On a cash view, YoY changes differ in CoGS (+17%), Industrial (-5%), G&A & IT (-11%) and Labour (-12%) (2) Net of capitalized costs
(3) Includes other costs/provision and other income
CAPEX down 19% YoY for COVID-19 related delays and for efficiency gains both in Italy and Brazil
Group Operating Working Capital +€ 492m YoY despite € 393m of one-offs and non-comparable items(1) offset by a positive exchange rate impact in Brazil (€ 211m) and by postponement of 2020 Fistel payment to August, as allowed post COVID-19 (€ 161m)
€ m; (-) = Cash generated, (+) = Cash absorbed, excluding call-outs
(1) € 24,732m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€ 547m) and current financial liabilities (€ 1,365m), the gross debt figure of € 26,644m is reached
21 Q2 '20 Results
TIM Brasil
Reported data, R\$m
Executing Operations TIMe plan and extraordinary initiatives at full speed despite COVID-19. Debt cut €3.8bn in 20 months
FiberCop to open the way for new opportunities for TIM, its shareholders and the Country
Letter received from the Italian Government on commitment to work on the creation of the Single Network for Italy
The improvement of KPIs and CSI in both fixed and mobile are early signs of effectiveness of the turnaround started in 2019
2020-22 cumulated Equity FCF confirmed
2021 debt guidance improved €2bn, to <€18bn thanks to INWIT transaction
Reported data, € m, Rounded numbers
* Including cost of all leases
(1) € 29,600m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€ 579m) and current financial liabilities (€ 1,365m), the gross debt figure of € 31,544m is reached
28 Q2 '20 Results
| NFP adjusted |
Fair value |
NFP accounting |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| GROSS DEBT | |||
| Bonds Banks & EIB |
20,505 5,699 |
311 | 20,816 5,699 |
| Op. leases and long rent Other |
4,900 440 |
1,714 | 4,900 2,154 |
| TOTAL | 31,544 | 2,025 | 33,569 |
| FINANCIAL ASSETS | |||
| Liquidity position | 4,479 | 4,479 | |
| Other (1) | 1,094 | 2,042 | 3,136 |
| TOTAL | 5,573 | 2,042 | 7,615 |
| NET FINANCIAL DEBT | 25,971 | (17) | 25,954 |
* Refers to positive MTM derivatives (accrued interests and exchange rate) for € 944m, financial receivables for lease for € 84m and other credits for € 67m
Average m/l term maturity: 7.8 years (bond 7.1 years only)
Fixed rate portion on medium-long term debt ~70%
Around 26% of outstanding bonds (nominal amount) denominated in USD and GBP and fully hedged
€ m, organic
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