Investor Presentation • Jul 27, 2021
Investor Presentation
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TIM GROUP
28 July 2021
This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of future growth in the different business lines and the global business, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the TIM Group. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors.
The financial results of the TIM Group are prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards issued by the International Accounting Standards Board and endorsed by the EU (designated as "IFRS").
The accounting policies and consolidation principles adopted in the preparation of the financial results for Q2'21 and H1'21 of the TIM Group are the same as those adopted in the TIM Group Annual Audited Consolidated Financial Statements as of 31 December 2020, to which reference can be made, except for the amendments to the standards issued by IASB and adopted starting from 1 January, 2021.
Please note that the limited review by the external auditors (E&Y) on the TIM Group Half-year Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements at 30 June 2021 has not yet been completed.
The TIM Group, in addition to the conventional financial performance measures established by IFRS, uses certain alternative performance measures for the purposes of enabling a better understanding of the performance of operations and the financial position of the TIM Group. In particular, such alternative performance measures include: EBITDA, EBIT, Organic change and impact of non-recurring items on revenue, EBITDA and EBIT; EBITDA margin and EBIT margin; net financial debt (carrying and adjusted amount) and Equity Free Cash Flow. Moreover, following the adoption of IFRS 16, the TIM Group uses the following additional alternative performance indicators:
* EBITDA adjusted After Lease ("EBITDA-AL"), calculated by adjusting the Organic EBITDA, net of non-recurring items, of the amounts related to the accounting treatment of lease contracts according to IFRS 16;
* Adjusted Net Financial Debt After Lease, calculated by excluding from the adjusted net financial debt the net liabilities related to the accounting treatment of lease contracts according to IFRS 16;
* Equity Free Cash Flow After Lease, calculated by excluding from the Equity Free Cash Flow the amounts related to lease payments.
Such alternative performance measures are unaudited.
| What happened in Q2 | KPIs | |
|---|---|---|
| ESG | ▪ improved further (1) CSI mobile ▪ Increased target for renewable energy and indirect emissions ▪ Leaner organization, with pre-retirements |
CSI mobile +0.1% QoQ, after +0.5% in Q1 100% renewable by 2025 (from 51%) ~1k exits in H1; more planned in H2 |
| Domestic | ▪ Fixed lines stable, UBB net adds strong, churn lower QoQ Serie A + Champions League from July Best mobile coverage and fastest 5G network in Italy (2) ▪ Mobile churn lower QoQ (best in 14 years) ▪ ICT growth remains strong thanks to Group's factories |
Retail UBB net adds +231k (0.5m H1) Churn 3.4% in fixed, 3.7% in mobile ICT revenues +28.5% YoY |
| Brazil | ▪ Strong acceleration in revenues growth ▪ ARPU growth in all segments ▪ EBITDA growth higher QoQ |
Service revenues +8.7% YoY, +5.4pp QoQ ARPU +10.3% YoY EBITDA (3) +6.4% YoY, +1.6pp QoQ |
| Group | ▪ Revenues back to growth first time since Q3 2018 ▪ Extraordinary investments to set foundation for growth ▪ Net debt AL -€ 3.7bn YoY, on track for '23 2.6x leverage target |
Revenues change YoY 0.2% 1.0% -10.1% Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2018 2021 2019 2020 |
4
TIMVISION "Football and Sports" launched in July, including in a single package the most complete content offering
* Prime subscription required (not included in TIMVISION "Football and Sports" package).
| Serie A TIM and main |
DAZN | Mediaset Infinity+ | Amazon Prime Video |
Mediaset | SKY | TIMVISION (6) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA | Serie A TIM | Full | 3 out of 10 matches per matchday |
Full (DAZN) | |||
| competitions: offering matrix |
UEFA Europa League |
Full | Full | Full (DAZN) | |||
| UEFA Champions League |
104 out f 137 matches | 16 out of 137 matches | 17 out of 137 matches (including the final) |
121 out of 137 matches (including the final) |
104 out of 137 matches (Mediaset Infinity+) (6) |
||
| Current price (€/month) |
€29.99 (4) 28th) (€19.99 till July |
€7.99 | (included in the Prime subscription) |
Free-to-air | €35,90 (5) Sep. 30th) (€30,90 till |
€29.99 28th) (3) (€19.99 till July |
(1) Eurosport Player included for 12 months with TIMVISION (2) Among others on DAZN, Eurosport Player and TIMVISION: Serie B, La Liga, English FA Cup, MotoGP, cycling events (3 Grand Tours, with exclusive Vuelta and the Classics), tennis (3 Grand Slam), basketball (Serie A), golf (with exclusive PGA Tour and European Tour), all winter sports, motors (24 Hours of Le Mans agreement renewed), UEFA Women's Champions League, Women's Football Serie A (3) 12 months promotional price for subscriptions until July 28th. Activation cost €9.99, TIM Vision Box included on loan for free use; Infinity+ included for 12months (4) 12 months promotional price for subscriptions until July 28th (5) Sky Smart offer via Internet with 18 months commitment required. Includes the mandatory Sky Tv entertainment pack and other sports contents (i.e. full Serie B, UEFA Conference League, Formula1). Activation cost € 9,00 (6) The remaining UEFA Champions League matches (on Amazon Prime Video App* and Mediaset Free-to-air channels) available on the TIMVISION Box
Q2 '21 RESULTS
7
growth
'21
Q2 Q3 Q4
Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
'21
Q1 '20 Q2 Q3 Q4
8
| Merchant Services | IoT Smart Services | Cybersecurity | Crypto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electronic cash registers and POS, business management software and digital payments |
Industrial IoT: IoT services and sensors for prioritized verticals Urban IOT: city control platforms |
B2B managed security services offering including specialized consulting and high growth/ margin products |
B2G innovative systems capable of securing and encrypting communications |
||
| Addressable market |
~5 bn€ in 2024 4-5% CAGR |
~4.5 bn€ in 2024 10% CAGR |
~1.9 bn€ in 2024 7% CAGR |
~€20m in 2024 20% CAGR |
|
| Margin | 25-30% | 10-15% | 25-30% | ~€40-50% | |
| Market share ambition 2024 |
5% | 5% | 12% | 60-80% |
Growth strategy: targeting new segments and geographies
▪ New infrastructures in high growing geographies
▪ Development of major Hub
areas
Q2 '21 service revenues +13% YoY
Target 2023 double-digit EBITDA CAGR
| by funding | by mission | €, bn | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 191.5 235.1 € bn |
o/w € 186.8bn for investments (~26% digital) RRF |
40.3 70.0 59.5 31.5 25.4 Education 33.8 30.9 Social 19.8 29.8 Health 15.6 20.2 |
1.6 '20 |
25.9 '22 |
41.6 37.8 '24 '25 |
| €0.2bn (phase 1) | Ongoing, >55% still available as of June 30th | ||||
| €0.9bn (phase 2) | Delayed after the summer | 5.1% | |||
| Schools | €0.4bn | 68% already assigned in public tender | |||
| "Italia a 1 Giga" plan | €1.1bn → €3.9bn | Consultation ongoing, tender in Q1 2022 | -8.9% | ||
| "Italia 5G" plan | €2.0bn | Consultation ongoing, tender in Q1 2022 | 2020 | 2021 | |
| €, bn Vouchers |
Digitalization 49.8 Green Revolution Infrastructure React EU + Compl. Fund |
RRF investments by year (€ 186.8bn investments, RFF) 35.6 € 15.1bn 13.5 '21 '23 New projection for Italy's GDP growth (1) |
Italian Recovery and Resilience plan (€ 235.1bn)
| YoY growth rates, IFRS 16 / After Lease |
Group | Domestic | (1) Brazil |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2022-'23 | 2021 | 2022-'23 | 2021 | 2022-'23 | |
| Organic Service revenues |
Stable to Low single digit growth |
Low to mid single digit growth |
Stable | Low to mid single digit growth |
Mid single digit growth |
Mid single digit growth High single digit growth (CAGR '20-'23) with Oi |
| Organic EBITDA AL |
Low to mid single digit decrease |
Mid single digit growth |
Mid single digit decrease |
Mid single digit growth |
Mid single digit growth |
Mid single digit growth Double digit growth (CAGR '20-'23) with Oi |
| CAPEX | ~€ 3.0-3.1 bn according to football take-up |
~€ 2.9 bn per year |
~R\$ 13.5 bn | ~R\$ 13.0 bn with Oi |
||
| Eq FCF AL | Net of ~€0.7bn Cumulated ~€ 4.0 bn tax realignment cost |
|||||
| Adjusted Net Debt AL |
2.6x ~€ 16.8 bn Net Debt AL / EBITDA AL (3) Oi (2) excluding by 2023 |
|||||
| Dividend | ordinary: floor of € 1 cent per share, aim to distribute 20-25% of yearly Equity FCF subject to deleverage execution savings: €2.75 cents per share throughout 2021-23 |
IFRS 16/After Lease – Group figures @ average exchange-rate actual 5,9 REAIS/€
(1) Guidance based on IFRS 16 for Brazil's EBITDA
(2) Excluding Oi's mobile acquisition
(3) Based on Organic EBITDA AL; 2.7x based on Reported EBITDA AL
TIM Group
Organic data (1), IFRS 16, € m
EBITDA after lease 1,185 1,433 Domestic Brazil Margin 37.6% -7.4% -9.5% +4.9% Q2 '21 D% YoY c. -2.5% YoY Like for like
Q2 total revenues +1.0pp QoQ (domestic -1%) Service revenues +0.8pp QoQ (domestic flat)
2pp drags from football launch and factories' start up costs
YoY comparison is affected by :
QoQ increase related to:
▪ spectrum pre-payment (€ 240m for 35Mhz usable for 5G), allowing to save € 40m financial charges
On top of:
▪ dividends payment (€ 312m including TIM Brazil minorities)
Net debt guidance FY '21: €16.8bn
Vouchers: >55% of first €200m tranche for low-income families still available. TIM getting c. 80% market share
Churn benefiting from convergence and increased direct payments (+7.3pp YoY)
(1) UBB take up calculated on technical HHs covered by UBB (2) Equivalent to >93% of families with a fixed line (3) New lines excluding customer base transformations
%
TIM Domestic
Total Fixed Revenues +0.2% YoY in Q2 (after +3.0% in Q1)
Fixed Service Revenues -2.3% YoY (-0.5% in Q1)
Equipment +36.2% vs. +58.5% in Q1
Impact on MSR from CB reduction +1.4pp better QoQ (after ~ +1pp in Q1)
Churn 0.1pp better QoQ, +0.3pp YoY
CSI +0.1% QoQ in Q2, after +0.5% in Q1
FTE 1.9k reduction YoY
Group CAPEX up YoY due to:
Group Operating Working Capital outflow worsening -€ 161m YoY -€ 109m YoY worsening excluding YoY swing in non-recurring items
| Revenues | accelerating growth trend, with positive contribution from both postpaid and prepaid on services |
EBITDAgrowth thanks to revenues performance |
Special Projects Fiber Co |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reported, R\$m 4,267 +8.7% 3,926 Services o/w Fixed +11.5% +8.5% o/w Mobile Q2 '21 Q2 '20 |
Tot. revenues +10.5% YoY, +7.5pp QoQ Services +8.7% YoY, +5.3pp QoQ MSR +8.5% YoY (vs. +2.8% in Q1) Postpaid +8.9% (vs. +3.9% in Q1) Prepaid back to growth, +5.4% YoY FSR +11.5% YoY driven by TIM Live |
EBITDA net non-recurring items, R\$m 2,092 +6.4% +4.8% in Q1 1,967 Q2 '21 Q2 '20 20th quarter of positive EBITDA growth |
CADE approval on June 16th Next steps ▪ Anatel's prior consent ▪ Closing expected for September October ▪ Higher secondary considering additional HPs vs deal's original |
|
| Mobile ARPU +10.3% YoY to 25.8 R\$/month Prepaid ARPU +11.2% YoY Postpaid ARPU +5.6% YoY (1) |
TIM Live Revenues +21.1% YoY CB +10.0% YoY to 666k ARPU +8.2% YoY to 90.8 R\$ |
Infrastructure Development FTTH coverage +38% YoY 3.8m HHs covered Mobile access network 4G: 4.3k cities covered, +22% YoY |
scope ▪ Smooth transition with a TSA contract ▪ Additional FTTSite contract to be signed at closing ~R\$ 11m in Q1 '21 New Customer Platform Partnership |
|
| Mobile ARPU growing for 22 consecutive quarters Consistent sequential revenues improvement |
ESG R\$ 1.6bn sustainability-linked debenture issued 30 new active biosites to >1.7k +102 sky sites to 224 +15 renewable power plants |
4.5G: 1.5k cities covered, +20% YoY Massive MIMO +285 sites QoQ Network Sharing Agreement coverage expansion in >350 cities each |
TIM + Ampli (Cogna Group) Participating in the fast-growing >2m invoices paid distance learning segment Financial services TIM+C6: R\$20m revenues in Q2 '21 |
Targets (1)
| Eco-efficiency | +50% | |
|---|---|---|
| Renewable energy (2) on total energy (%) |
100% NEW |
2025 |
| Indirect emissions (3) | -100% NEW |
|
| (4) Carbon Neutrality |
2030 | |
| Employees engagement |
+19pp | |
| Hours of training for reskilling and upskilling |
6.4m hrs |
|
| Churn of young employees |
<15% | 2023 |
| New VC fund size | € 60m | |
| IoT and Security service revenues (CAGR) | +20% | |
| Green Smartphone | >15% | 2024 |
(1) "Beyond Connectivity" plan targets were upgraded vs. previous plan, baseline 2019. Domestic, except for indirect emissions and carbon neutrality (Group) (2) Electricity (3) Scope 2, TIM Group (4) TIM Group
Additional portfolio optimization on the way to capture synergies and crystalize market's sector multiples
TIM Group ownership
EV/EBITDA multiple
Expected benefits from the Recovery Plan and the acquisition with Vivo and Claro of Oi mobile assets not yet embodied in guidance
| Realignment of the tax value |
▪ Decree-Law 104/2020 allows for realignment of intangible asset tax value to the book value ▪ 3% substitute tax to be paid on the amount redeemed ▪ Future income taxes will benefit from intangible asset tax amortization |
|---|---|
| TIM SpA intangible assets redeemed |
▪ Overall tax benefit: € 5.9bn (28.5% of tax basis) net of substitute tax ▪ Benefit will occur over 18 years |
| Substitute tax (3%): € 0.7bn | ▪ To be paid in 3 annual instalments (€ 0.2bn per year), from June 2021 |
(1) € 23,915m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€ 400m) and current financial liabilities (€ 314m), the gross debt figure of € 24,629m is reached
32 Q2 '21 RESULTS
* Including cost of all leases
(1) € 28,654m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€ 427m) and current financial liabilities (€ 314m), the gross debt figure of € 29,395m is reached
| NFP adjusted |
Fair value |
NFP accounting |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| GROSS DEBT | |||
| Bonds | 20,258 | 248 | 20,506 |
| Banks & EIB | 3,847 | - | 3,847 |
| Derivatives | 221 | 1,417 | 1,638 |
| Op. leases and long rent | 4,766 | - | 4,766 |
| Other | 303 | - | 303 |
| TOTAL | 29,395 | 1,665 | 31,060 |
| FINANCIAL ASSETS | |||
| Liquidity position | 6,280 | - | 6,280 |
| Other (1) | 1,043 | 1,410 | 2,453 |
| TOTAL | 7,323 | 1,410 | 8,733 |
| NET FINANCIAL DEBT | 22,072 | 255 | 22,327 |
Average m/l term maturity: 6.9 years (bond 6.6 years only)
Fixed rate portion on medium-long term debt ~71%
Around 25% of outstanding bonds (nominal amount) denominated in USD and GBP and fully hedged
€ m; (-) = Cash generated, (+) = Cash absorbed, excluding call-outs
(2) Including financial investments, licence, cash taxes & other
(3) Includes Inwit deconsolidation
Reported data, € m, Rounded numbers
(2) Non-recurring items include personnel provisions (2021-26 layoffs ex art.4 Fornero Law), legal and COVID related costs
FiberCop value to grow over time thanks to switch in the mix from copper towards fiber
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