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Telecom Italia Rsp

Investor Presentation Jul 27, 2021

4448_ir_2021-07-27_a7e9f1e9-f87a-4a25-9c50-227d90c74311.pdf

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TIM GROUP

Q2 '21 RESULTS Building growth & portfolio optimization

28 July 2021

Disclaimer

This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of future growth in the different business lines and the global business, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the TIM Group. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors.

The financial results of the TIM Group are prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards issued by the International Accounting Standards Board and endorsed by the EU (designated as "IFRS").

The accounting policies and consolidation principles adopted in the preparation of the financial results for Q2'21 and H1'21 of the TIM Group are the same as those adopted in the TIM Group Annual Audited Consolidated Financial Statements as of 31 December 2020, to which reference can be made, except for the amendments to the standards issued by IASB and adopted starting from 1 January, 2021.

Please note that the limited review by the external auditors (E&Y) on the TIM Group Half-year Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements at 30 June 2021 has not yet been completed.

Alternative Performance Measures

The TIM Group, in addition to the conventional financial performance measures established by IFRS, uses certain alternative performance measures for the purposes of enabling a better understanding of the performance of operations and the financial position of the TIM Group. In particular, such alternative performance measures include: EBITDA, EBIT, Organic change and impact of non-recurring items on revenue, EBITDA and EBIT; EBITDA margin and EBIT margin; net financial debt (carrying and adjusted amount) and Equity Free Cash Flow. Moreover, following the adoption of IFRS 16, the TIM Group uses the following additional alternative performance indicators:

* EBITDA adjusted After Lease ("EBITDA-AL"), calculated by adjusting the Organic EBITDA, net of non-recurring items, of the amounts related to the accounting treatment of lease contracts according to IFRS 16;

* Adjusted Net Financial Debt After Lease, calculated by excluding from the adjusted net financial debt the net liabilities related to the accounting treatment of lease contracts according to IFRS 16;

* Equity Free Cash Flow After Lease, calculated by excluding from the Equity Free Cash Flow the amounts related to lease payments.

Such alternative performance measures are unaudited.

OPERATIONS UPDATE

"Beyond connectivity" plan update

What happened in Q2 KPIs
ESG
improved further (1)
CSI mobile

Increased target for renewable energy
and indirect emissions

Leaner organization, with pre-retirements
CSI mobile +0.1% QoQ, after +0.5% in Q1
100% renewable
by 2025 (from 51%)
~1k exits in H1; more planned in H2
Domestic
Fixed lines stable, UBB net adds strong, churn lower QoQ
Serie A + Champions League from July
Best mobile coverage and fastest 5G network in Italy (2)

Mobile churn lower QoQ
(best in 14 years)

ICT growth
remains strong thanks to Group's factories
Retail UBB net adds +231k (0.5m H1)
Churn 3.4% in fixed, 3.7% in mobile
ICT revenues +28.5% YoY
Brazil
Strong
acceleration in revenues growth

ARPU growth in all segments

EBITDA growth higher QoQ
Service revenues +8.7% YoY, +5.4pp QoQ
ARPU +10.3% YoY
EBITDA (3)
+6.4% YoY, +1.6pp QoQ
Group
Revenues back to growth first time since Q3 2018

Extraordinary investments to set foundation for growth

Net debt AL -€ 3.7bn YoY, on track for '23 2.6x leverage target
Revenues change YoY
0.2%
1.0%
-10.1%
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
2018
2021
2019
2020

4

4 key growth drivers described in Q1 are materializing

TIM Domestic 1 st growth driver - TIM becomes the "home of football" for a c. 5m market expected to move from satellite to fibre or from piracy to paying

TIMVISION "Football and Sports" launched in July, including in a single package the most complete content offering

  • DAZN with full Serie A TIM, full UEFA Europa League and the best of UEFA Conference League
  • Mediaset Infinity+ with UEFA Champions League (104 out of 137 matches per season)
  • Full Tokyo 2020 Olympics with Eurosport Player, including the channel Eurosport 4K in exclusive on TIMVISION (1)
  • Many other sports competitions on DAZN, Eurosport Player and TIMVISION (2)
  • TIMVISION, discovery+ and Mediaset Infinity+ entertainment catalogue: movies, TV series, shows, documentaries, cartoons and original productions
  • TIMVISION Box to easily access all this contents and more (i.e. Mediaset Free-to-air DTT channels and Prime Video App* with the remaining UEFA Champions League Matches)

* Prime subscription required (not included in TIMVISION "Football and Sports" package).

Serie A TIM
and main
DAZN Mediaset Infinity+ Amazon Prime
Video
Mediaset SKY TIMVISION (6)
UEFA Serie A TIM Full 3 out of 10 matches
per matchday
Full (DAZN)
competitions:
offering matrix
UEFA Europa
League
Full Full Full (DAZN)
UEFA Champions
League
104 out f 137 matches 16 out of 137 matches 17 out of 137 matches
(including the final)
121 out of 137 matches
(including the final)
104 out of 137 matches
(Mediaset Infinity+) (6)
Current price
(€/month)
€29.99
(4)
28th)
(€19.99 till
July
€7.99 (included
in the
Prime subscription)
Free-to-air €35,90
(5)
Sep. 30th)
(€30,90 till
€29.99
28th) (3)
(€19.99 till
July

(1) Eurosport Player included for 12 months with TIMVISION (2) Among others on DAZN, Eurosport Player and TIMVISION: Serie B, La Liga, English FA Cup, MotoGP, cycling events (3 Grand Tours, with exclusive Vuelta and the Classics), tennis (3 Grand Slam), basketball (Serie A), golf (with exclusive PGA Tour and European Tour), all winter sports, motors (24 Hours of Le Mans agreement renewed), UEFA Women's Champions League, Women's Football Serie A (3) 12 months promotional price for subscriptions until July 28th. Activation cost €9.99, TIM Vision Box included on loan for free use; Infinity+ included for 12months (4) 12 months promotional price for subscriptions until July 28th (5) Sky Smart offer via Internet with 18 months commitment required. Includes the mandatory Sky Tv entertainment pack and other sports contents (i.e. full Serie B, UEFA Conference League, Formula1). Activation cost € 9,00 (6) The remaining UEFA Champions League matches (on Amazon Prime Video App* and Mediaset Free-to-air channels) available on the TIMVISION Box

Q2 '21 RESULTS

2 nd growth driver Italy's fixed market back to growth

Fixed market growing... ...UBB accelerating (mainly FTTH/FTTC)

TIM leading the fight against digital divide

7

Market growth helping TIM's "Fix the fixed" to deliver results even in challenging environments. FSR growth expected for H2

growth

'21

Q2 Q3 Q4

Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

'21

Q1 '20 Q2 Q3 Q4

8

3 rd growth driver "beyond connectivity" engine of growth, creating value and optionality

Telsy and Olivetti re-engineered as startups to ride IoT and cybersecurity growth prospects

Merchant Services IoT Smart Services Cybersecurity Crypto
Electronic cash registers and
POS, business management
software and digital
payments
Industrial IoT: IoT services and
sensors for prioritized verticals
Urban IOT:
city control
platforms
B2B managed security
services offering including
specialized consulting and
high growth/ margin products
B2G innovative systems
capable of securing
and
encrypting
communications
Addressable
market
~5 bn€ in 2024
4-5% CAGR
~4.5 bn€ in 2024
10% CAGR
~1.9 bn€ in 2024
7% CAGR
~€20m in 2024
20% CAGR
Margin 25-30% 10-15% 25-30% ~€40-50%
Market share
ambition
2024
5% 5% 12% 60-80%

Noovle and Sparkle on track to reach their ambitious targets

Leading Italian cloud and infrastructure provider

  • Q2 performance confirms guidance with revenues +20% YoY
  • In 6 months Noovle has signed more than 1,100 contracts
  • Delivering data center spaces for Google regions in line with plan
  • Noovle is now a "Società Benefit" (for profit and sustainability)

Growth strategy: targeting new segments and geographies

Wholesale market: consolidate leadership

New infrastructures in high growing geographies

Development of major Hub

areas

Enterprise market: implementing a new model

  • New Enterprise Model. Started to increase international enterprise customers base thanks to new approach and portfolio
  • Sparkle becoming a core connectivity and E2E enterprise partner with new integrated portfolio of Security, IoT and Cloud services in collaboration with TIM Factories

Q2 '21 service revenues +13% YoY

Target 2023 double-digit EBITDA CAGR

4 th growth driver: EU approved Italy's Recovery and Resilience Plan and unlocked €24.9bn

by funding by mission €, bn
44.5
191.5
235.1
€ bn
o/w € 186.8bn for
investments
(~26% digital)
RRF
40.3
70.0
59.5
31.5
25.4
Education
33.8
30.9
Social
19.8
29.8
Health
15.6
20.2
1.6
'20
25.9
'22
41.6
37.8
'24
'25
€0.2bn (phase 1) Ongoing, >55% still available as of June 30th
€0.9bn (phase 2) Delayed after the summer 5.1%
Schools €0.4bn 68% already assigned in public tender
"Italia a 1 Giga" plan €1.1bn → €3.9bn Consultation ongoing, tender in Q1 2022 -8.9%
"Italia 5G" plan €2.0bn Consultation ongoing, tender in Q1 2022 2020 2021
€, bn
Vouchers
Digitalization
49.8
Green Revolution
Infrastructure
React EU + Compl. Fund
RRF investments by year
(€ 186.8bn investments, RFF)
35.6
€ 15.1bn
13.5
'21
'23
New projection for Italy's GDP growth (1)

Italian Recovery and Resilience plan (€ 235.1bn)

Schedule of investments

New projection for Italy's GDP growth (1)

Guidance embodies TIM-DAZN agreement & market impact of voucher plan delay Expected benefits from Recovery Plan and Oi mobile acquisition not included yet

YoY growth rates,
IFRS 16 / After Lease
Group Domestic (1)
Brazil
2021 2022-'23 2021 2022-'23 2021 2022-'23
Organic
Service revenues
Stable to Low
single digit growth
Low to mid single
digit growth
Stable Low to mid single
digit growth
Mid single digit
growth
Mid single digit growth
High single digit growth
(CAGR '20-'23) with Oi
Organic
EBITDA AL
Low to mid single
digit decrease
Mid single digit
growth
Mid single digit
decrease
Mid single digit
growth
Mid single digit
growth
Mid single digit growth
Double digit growth
(CAGR '20-'23) with Oi
CAPEX ~€ 3.0-3.1 bn
according
to football
take-up
~€ 2.9 bn
per year
~R\$ 13.5 bn ~R\$ 13.0 bn
with Oi
Eq FCF AL Net of ~€0.7bn
Cumulated ~€ 4.0 bn
tax realignment cost
Adjusted
Net Debt AL
2.6x
~€ 16.8 bn
Net Debt
AL / EBITDA AL
(3)
Oi (2)
excluding
by 2023
Dividend ordinary: floor of € 1 cent per share, aim to distribute 20-25% of yearly Equity FCF subject to deleverage execution
savings: €2.75 cents per share throughout 2021-23

IFRS 16/After Lease – Group figures @ average exchange-rate actual 5,9 REAIS/€

(1) Guidance based on IFRS 16 for Brazil's EBITDA

(2) Excluding Oi's mobile acquisition

(3) Based on Organic EBITDA AL; 2.7x based on Reported EBITDA AL

Q2 '21 FINANCIAL & OPERATING RESULTS

TIM Group

Group revenues back to growth first time since Q3 '18; services 0.8pp better QoQ

Organic data (1), IFRS 16, € m

EBITDA after lease 1,185 1,433 Domestic Brazil Margin 37.6% -7.4% -9.5% +4.9% Q2 '21 D% YoY c. -2.5% YoY Like for like

Q2 total revenues +1.0pp QoQ (domestic -1%) Service revenues +0.8pp QoQ (domestic flat)

Domestic EBITDA AL like for like -2.5% YoY:

  • c. 5pp drags from labour cost discontinuities, e.g.: 1) 5 solidarity days vs. 12 in 2020, 2) mandatory holidays in 2020, 3) indirect cost of labour. These drags are not expected to be repeated in H2
  • 2pp drags from football launch and factories' start up costs

Q2 cash generation and debt affected by one-off payments 3-year €4bn Equity FCF guidance reiterated

Equity free cash flow after lease

Q2 '21 EFCF AL € 161m net of:

  • 231m substitute tax for goodwill realignment (leading to € 5.9bn tax asset, i.e. no tax payments for 18 years)
  • € 148m payments of regulatory fines & one-offs (mainly Cassiopea) accrued and provided for in previous years, already embodied in 3 year guidance

YoY comparison is affected by :

  • Q2 2020 CAPEX lower than average due to COVID (€ 222m YoY swing)
  • Q2 2020 benefiting from the shift to H2 of Fistel payment (€ 81m YoY swing)
  • Benefit from TimFin kick off in 2020

Net Debt AL -€ 3.7bn YoY vs. -€ 1.7bn in Q2 '20

QoQ increase related to:

▪ spectrum pre-payment (€ 240m for 35Mhz usable for 5G), allowing to save € 40m financial charges

On top of:

▪ dividends payment (€ 312m including TIM Brazil minorities)

Net debt guidance FY '21: €16.8bn

TIM fixed lines remain stable for third consecutive quarter; churn falls further

Retail UBB net adds keep growing fast

UBB coverage and take up increase QoQ

0.5m retail ultrabroadband net adds in H1, highest level since H1 '18 (156k new BB lines(3))

UBB take up accelerating

Vouchers: >55% of first €200m tranche for low-income families still available. TIM getting c. 80% market share

Churn benefiting from convergence and increased direct payments (+7.3pp YoY)

(1) UBB take up calculated on technical HHs covered by UBB (2) Equivalent to >93% of families with a fixed line (3) New lines excluding customer base transformations

%

TIM Domestic

Fixed revenues stable helped by the business segment

Total Fixed Revenues +0.2% YoY in Q2 (after +3.0% in Q1)

Fixed Service Revenues -2.3% YoY (-0.5% in Q1)

  • International Wholesale +13.2% vs. +1.4% in Q1 thanks to improved voice and data services volumes
  • National Wholesale (1) -4.7% YoY impacted by comparison with very strong non-regulated revenues in Q2 '20
  • Retail (2) YoY trend -4.2% vs. -4.3% in Q1 benefiting from:
  • Customer base stabilization –2.9pp YoY, 0.8pp better QoQ
  • ICT revenues growing +28.5% YoY

Equipment +36.2% vs. +58.5% in Q1

Convergence grew with larger adoption of TIM Unica

Direct payments increased, with benefits on churn

Mobile churn keeps improving (new low of last 14 years) Calling human lines progressively stabilizing

Impact on MSR from CB reduction +1.4pp better QoQ (after ~ +1pp in Q1)

Churn 0.1pp better QoQ, +0.3pp YoY

CSI +0.1% QoQ in Q2, after +0.5% in Q1

Market MNP down YoY, TIM still the best among MNOs

MSR trend improving QoQ for better customer base trend and lower drags

Addressable cost base reduction decelerated to -3.1% YoY due to discontinuities on labor cost

  • Labour +2.1% YoY, would have been -11% YoY net of drags from:
  • lower solidarity days vs. Q2 '20 that benefited from anticipation of H2 solidarity: 12 days vs. 5 days in 2021 (8.5pp drag)
  • lower holidays vs Q2 '20 (4.3pp drag)

FTE 1.9k reduction YoY

  • G&A & IT +35% mainly for higher indirect personnel costs
  • Industrial: energy cost down -3% YoY thanks to lower consumption and better prices
  • Commercial: -17% mainly for lower commissioning and bad debt
  • CoGS increase related to ICT revenue growth
  • Equipment costs growth lower than sales growth
  • Interconnection increase for higher traffic volumes in international wholesale (data & voice bundles)

Two thirds of CAPEX dedicated to transformation and growth

Group Operating Working Capital

Group CAPEX up YoY due to:

  • Q2 '20 CAPEX affected by COVID
  • In Q2 '20 push on transformation CAPEX (2.5x YoY) for FTTH roll out (+15% FTTH premises in 6 months), football and Noovle's data centers
  • Reduction in maintenance CAPEX

Group Operating Working Capital outflow worsening -€ 161m YoY -€ 109m YoY worsening excluding YoY swing in non-recurring items

  • Domestic -€ 65m YoY mainly related to litigation settlements
  • Brazil -€ 49m mainly related to the Fistel payment shifted to H2 in '20

TIM Brasil accelerates growth rates thanks to successful value strategy

Revenues accelerating growth trend, with positive contribution
from both postpaid and prepaid on services
EBITDAgrowth
thanks to revenues performance
Special Projects
Fiber Co
Reported, R\$m
4,267
+8.7%
3,926
Services
o/w Fixed
+11.5%
+8.5%
o/w Mobile
Q2 '21
Q2 '20
Tot. revenues +10.5% YoY, +7.5pp QoQ
Services +8.7% YoY, +5.3pp QoQ
MSR
+8.5% YoY (vs. +2.8% in Q1)
Postpaid +8.9% (vs. +3.9% in Q1)
Prepaid back to growth, +5.4% YoY
FSR
+11.5% YoY driven by TIM Live
EBITDA net non-recurring items, R\$m
2,092
+6.4%
+4.8% in Q1
1,967
Q2 '21
Q2 '20
20th
quarter of positive EBITDA growth
CADE approval on June 16th
Next steps

Anatel's
prior consent

Closing expected for September
October

Higher secondary considering
additional HPs vs deal's original
Mobile
ARPU +10.3% YoY
to 25.8 R\$/month
Prepaid ARPU
+11.2% YoY
Postpaid ARPU +5.6% YoY (1)
TIM Live
Revenues +21.1% YoY
CB +10.0% YoY to 666k
ARPU +8.2% YoY
to 90.8 R\$
Infrastructure Development
FTTH coverage +38% YoY
3.8m HHs covered
Mobile access network
4G: 4.3k cities covered, +22% YoY
scope

Smooth transition with a TSA
contract

Additional FTTSite
contract to be
signed at closing
~R\$ 11m in Q1 '21
New Customer Platform
Partnership
Mobile ARPU growing for
22 consecutive quarters
Consistent sequential
revenues improvement
ESG
R\$ 1.6bn sustainability-linked
debenture issued
30 new active biosites
to >1.7k
+102 sky sites to 224
+15 renewable power plants
4.5G: 1.5k cities covered, +20% YoY
Massive MIMO
+285 sites QoQ
Network Sharing Agreement
coverage expansion in >350 cities each
TIM + Ampli
(Cogna
Group)
Participating in the fast-growing
>2m invoices paid
distance learning segment
Financial services
TIM+C6: R\$20m revenues in Q2 '21

ESG guidance upgraded: renewable energy target now at 100% by 2025 and indirect emissions to fall -100%

Targets (1)

Eco-efficiency +50%
Renewable energy (2)
on total energy (%)
100%
NEW
2025
Indirect emissions (3) -100%
NEW
(4)
Carbon Neutrality
2030
Employees
engagement
+19pp
Hours of training for reskilling
and upskilling
6.4m
hrs
Churn
of young
employees
<15% 2023
New VC fund size € 60m
IoT and Security service revenues (CAGR) +20%
Green Smartphone >15% 2024

(1) "Beyond Connectivity" plan targets were upgraded vs. previous plan, baseline 2019. Domestic, except for indirect emissions and carbon neutrality (Group) (2) Electricity (3) Scope 2, TIM Group (4) TIM Group

STRATEGIC INITIATIVES UPDATE

Strategic initiatives update: moving forward in portfolio optimisation

Additional portfolio optimization on the way to capture synergies and crystalize market's sector multiples

TIM Group ownership

EV/EBITDA multiple

CLOSING REMARKS

Closing remarks

Stabilizing connectivity revenues in Italy and accelerating in Brazil

  • Group revenues growing YoY for the first time since Q3 2018
  • Domestic fixed lines stable for third quarter in a row, UBB growing fast
  • Convergence bringing mobile churn at lowest level in 14 years

Investing in "beyond connectivity" to achieve growth and further portfolio optimization

  • Football, cloud, cybersecurity, IoT are growth engines and provide optionality
  • TIM is the sum of the core and all of these initiatives

Macro forecasts improved

Expected benefits from the Recovery Plan and the acquisition with Vivo and Claro of Oi mobile assets not yet embodied in guidance

TIM Group Realignment of intangible asset tax value

Realignment
of the tax value

Decree-Law 104/2020 allows for realignment of intangible asset tax value to the book value

3% substitute tax to be paid on the amount redeemed

Future income taxes will benefit from intangible asset tax amortization
TIM SpA
intangible assets
redeemed

Overall tax benefit: € 5.9bn (28.5% of tax basis) net of substitute tax

Benefit will occur over 18 years
Substitute tax (3%): € 0.7bn
To be paid in 3 annual instalments (€ 0.2bn per year), from June 2021

Liquidity margin - After Lease view Cost of debt ~3.2%, -0.1p.p. QoQ, -0.2p.p. YoY

(1) € 23,915m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€ 400m) and current financial liabilities (€ 314m), the gross debt figure of € 24,629m is reached

32 Q2 '21 RESULTS

Cost of debt ~3.6%*, flat QoQ, -0.2p.p. YoY Liquidity margin - IFRS 16 view

* Including cost of all leases

(1) € 28,654m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€ 427m) and current financial liabilities (€ 314m), the gross debt figure of € 29,395m is reached

Well diversified and hedged debt

NFP
adjusted
Fair
value
NFP
accounting
GROSS DEBT
Bonds 20,258 248 20,506
Banks & EIB 3,847 - 3,847
Derivatives 221 1,417 1,638
Op. leases and long rent 4,766 - 4,766
Other 303 - 303
TOTAL 29,395 1,665 31,060
FINANCIAL ASSETS
Liquidity position 6,280 - 6,280
Other (1) 1,043 1,410 2,453
TOTAL 7,323 1,410 8,733
NET FINANCIAL DEBT 22,072 255 22,327

Average m/l term maturity: 6.9 years (bond 6.6 years only)

Fixed rate portion on medium-long term debt ~71%

Around 25% of outstanding bonds (nominal amount) denominated in USD and GBP and fully hedged

Deleverage: € 1.3bn debt cut in H1 (-€ 1.2bn After Lease view)

€ m; (-) = Cash generated, (+) = Cash absorbed, excluding call-outs

(2) Including financial investments, licence, cash taxes & other

(3) Includes Inwit deconsolidation

Net Income

Reported data, € m, Rounded numbers

(2) Non-recurring items include personnel provisions (2021-26 layoffs ex art.4 Fornero Law), legal and COVID related costs

FiberCop Financials in a nutshell(1)

EBITDA to evolve to FTTH in time…

FiberCop value to grow over time thanks to switch in the mix from copper towards fiber

For further questions please contact the IR team

(+39) 06 3688 1 // (+39) 02 8595 1

Investor\[email protected]

www.gruppotim.it

www.twitter.com/TIMNewsroom

www.slideshare.net/telecomitaliacorporate

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