Investor Presentation • Nov 9, 2022
Investor Presentation
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This presentation contains statements that constitute forward looking statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations of future growth in the different business lines and the global business, financial results and other aspects of the activities and situation relating to the TIM Group. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors.
The financial results of the TIM Group are prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards issued by the International Accounting Standards Board and endorsed by the EU (designated as "IFRS").
The accounting policies and consolidation principles adopted in the preparation of the financial results for Q3 '22 and 9M '22 of the TIM Group are the same as those adopted in the TIM Group Annual Audited Consolidated Financial Statements as of December 31st , 2021, to which reference can be made, except for the amendments to the standards issued by IASB and adopted starting from January 1 st , 2022.
Please note that the financial results for Q3 '22 and 9M '22 of the TIM Group are unaudited.
The TIM Group, in addition to the conventional financial performance measures established by IFRS, uses certain alternative performance measures for the purposes of enabling a better understanding of the performance of operations and the financial position of the TIM Group. In particular, such alternative performance measures include: EBITDA, EBIT, Organic change and impact of non-recurring items on revenue, EBITDA and EBIT; EBITDA margin and EBIT margin; net financial debt (carrying and adjusted amount) and Equity Free Cash Flow. Moreover, following the adoption of IFRS 16, the TIM Group uses the following additional alternative performance indicators: EBITDA After Lease ("EBITDA-AL"), Adjusted Net Financial Debt After Lease and Equity Free Cash Flow After Lease. Such alternative performance measures are unaudited.
As described in the 2021 TIM Group Consolidated Financial Statements, during the fourth quarter of 2021, TIM refined some aspects of the booking of certain commercial agreements concerning the sale of goods with deferred delivery. This refinement entailed, for the first, second and third quarters of 2021, the redetermination of the distribution over time of revenues and purchases of materials and services. In connection with the foregoing, the economic data of the first nine months and of the third quarter of 2021, has been recalculated.
* * *
Financial and operating results #2
| Improving trends, both on financials & KPIs |
▪ Group Revenues back to growth YoY Service Revenues: 2nd ▪ quarter of consecutive growth, more than half of the YoY trend improvement vs Q2 related to Domestic performance ▪ Group EBITDA AL better trend YoY despite Domestic OPEX increase for though comps ▪ Domestic FSR trend improved further, ARPU higher YoY, churn at lowest level of last 5y ▪ Domestic MSR trend better YoY, human negative net adds reduced to 1/6 vs Q2, with better MNP trend YoY and churn at new record low |
FSR MSR -2,2% -3,9% -4,1% -3,9% -5,0% -5,8% Q1 '22 Q2 Q3 |
|---|---|---|
| Transformation Plan execution |
▪ Implementation fully on track with the plan: ~90% of '22 target achieved ▪ ~50% of '23 OPEX reduction target already secured ▪ Multiple achievements towards improved operating models and cost structure |
~€ 270m OPEX savings in 9M '22 vs. inertial scenario |
| Energy | ▪ Energy costs for 2022 are almost all hedged, '23 hedged at ~75% ▪ Self-generated green energy: 6 GWh/year in '22, further expanding in following years ▪ Many initiatives ongoing for higher efficiency and sustainability |
~75% hedged in '23 including pass-through on colocation |
| Debt financing & liquidity position |
▪ Sound liquidity position, further strengthened by SACE financing and Inwit sale proceeds already cashed-in ▪ (1) 2024 maturities fully covered ▪ No major impact from interest rates increase |
~65% L-T debt at fixed rate (1) |
| Domestic Consumer |
▪ Clear signs of market rationality on prices, both on fixed and mobile ▪ Migration to fiber slowing down, with broadband lines penetration stable at ~93% of total fixed lines ▪ Mobile number portability market cooling down |
Market MNP k lines -21% YoY -10% -6% -5% change 2.250 2.190 Q4 '21 Q1 '22 Q2 Q3 |
|---|---|---|
| Domestic Corporate |
▪ Cloud migration accelerating both on private and PA segment ▪ Connectivity broadly stable YoY |
Cloud market trend Connectivity market €bn (1) €bn (2) >20% 3,8 3,8 '20 '21 '22e H1 '21 H1 '22 |
| Domestic Wholesale |
▪ FTTC growing YoY, representing ~56% of total access lines |
BB/UBB market, technology mix (3) 9% 9% 9% FWA 14% 15% 16% FTTH 55% 55% 56% FTTC 22% 20% 19% DSL Q4 '21 Q1 '22 Q2 |
| Brazil | ▪ Market consolidation in progress, more rational competitive environment ▪ ICMS tax reduction fueling customers spending power and creating additional demand |
ICMS tax reduction 18% on revenues on avg. (from 27%) |
| Continuity Plan | Delayering Plan | |
|---|---|---|
| TIM Consumer |
▪ KPIs improving trend YoY both on fixed and mobile ▪ CB being selectively priced up both on fixed and mobile, price indexation by '22 TIM 1st in Q2 (from 4th ▪ operator in FTTH market share in previous quarters) ▪ Content strategy: deals being renegotiated, new partnerships under evaluation |
|
| TIM Enterprise |
▪ Increased value of contracts signed, strong pipeline and unique positioning ▪ NRRP/NSH initiatives supporting investments and securing new revenue streams ▪ Pricing alignment based on inflation increase by '22 |
Legal entity set-up process approved |
| NetCo | ▪ Moving forward with FiberCop plan execution, FTTH roll-out on track ▪ NRRP initiatives supporting FTTH coverage expansion and take-up ▪ FTTH co-investment offer on secondary network under market test by AGCOM ▪ 2023 wholesale tariffs under public consultation, significant upside expected |
MoU extended to Nov.30th, 2022 No more exclusivity obligations |
| TIM Brasil |
▪ Accelerating growth benefitting from value strategy and OI integration ▪ ICMS reduction benefitting customers and creating additional demand ▪ 5G launch as a competitive advantage |
Improving trends while pursuing a value strategy
| (YoY change) | 9M '22 | Q3 '22 |
|---|---|---|
| Tot. Revenues | -9.6% | -8.6% |
| o/w services | -7.4% | -6.0% |
Growing steadily through unique positioning in PA and Top Enterprise segment
| 9M '22 - NetCo |
(YoY change) | 9M '22 | Q3 '22 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Successfully upgrading the network through FiberCop | Tot. Revenues o/w services |
-4.8%(1) -3.8% |
-2.6% -2.7% |
| Customer base and coverage |
FiberCop | plan execution |
Upside not factored in the plan
(1) 3.2pp drag YoY on revenues (1.7pp drag YoY on Services) due to not-repeatable transactions in 9M '21 (2) On active lines
| (YoY change) | 9M '22 | Q3 '22 |
|---|---|---|
| Tot. Revenues | +18.5% | +24.4% |
| o/w services | +18.4% | +24.7% |
~50% of '23 P&L OPEX reduction target secured
Q3 '22 Results
Organic data (1), IFRS 16, € m
(1) Excluding exchange rate fluctuations, non-recurring items and change in consolidation area. Group figures @ average exchange-rate 5.47 R\$/€ (2) Adjusted Net Debt After Lease
Q3 '22 Results 10 November 2022 13
Organic data (1), IFRS 16, € m
(1) Organic data net of non-recurring items and change in consolidation area; comparable base also excluding exchange rate fluctuations. Group figures @ average exchange-rate 5.47 R\$/€ (2) Adjusted Net Debt After Lease
Q3 '21 Q4 Q1 '22 Q2 Q3
FSR -3.9% YoY (+1.1pp QoQ) with:
Equipment sales -23.6% YoY (+22.0pp QoQ) for lower Consumer volumes sold
Q3 '21 Q4 Q1 '22 Q2 Q3
∆ YoY
-71
▪ Labour +17% YoY mainly for though comps due to the release of provision in Q3 '21 related to one-off bonuses not distributed (~13pp drag YoY) and lower solidarity days in Q3 '22 (~3pp drag YoY), despite FTE reduction
-1% YoY in 9M '22
| Net Energy OPEX | Energy supply | |
|---|---|---|
| ≈ '21 '22e '22bgt |
▪ Energy costs for 2022 are almost all hedged ▪ Energy costs for '23 hedged at ~75% including pass-through on colocation ▪ Guarantees of Origin purchase increased, targeting 100% renewables by '25 ▪ Expected new Corporate Power Purchase Agreements, targeting +200 GWh in '23-'25 plan ▪ Photovoltaic plants: 6 GWh/year self-generated in '22, further expanding in following years |
~75% hedged in 2023 including pass through on colocation |
| Fixed network | ▪ Decommissioning plan under execution ▪ Lower energy absorption from FTTx vs copper and improved heat management processes ▪ AI, IoT sensors and near-real-time monitoring in exchange spaces |
|
| Mobile network | ▪ Real-time switch-off of unused frequencies introduced in '22 in first two regions ▪ 3G switch-off ongoing (18k sites) and modernization of base transceiver stations (5k sites) ▪ Distributed energy production plan being defined to serve base radio stations |
2023 consumption flat YoY thanks to ~6-7% GWh savings |
| Data Centers | ▪ Green Data Centers with low environmental impact being developed ▪ DC modernization program ongoing, targeting a better PUE(1) vs. sector average Certification programs ongoing(2) ▪ |
compensating for growing DC infrastructure and network expansion |
| Office spaces | ▪ Office spaces rationalization, large scale adoption of working from home ▪ Fixed working from home days with savings from closure of offices ▪ Reduction of waste through sustainable behaviors and temperature & light sensors |
Reported data, R\$ m
Q3 '22 Results 10 November 2022 19
€ m; (-) = Cash generated, (+) = Cash absorbed, excluding call-outs
Δ YoY mainly related to tough comparison due to positive one-off in Q3 '21 and higher debt & interest rates in Brasil
(1) Includes OI acquisition (+1,741m), licences (+412m Brazil, +57m Domestic), other financial investments (+30m), cash taxes & other (-176m) and IFRS16 & IAS (+535m) (2) Includes FiberCop (-1,758m), domestic licence (+240m), financial investments (+90m), cash taxes & other (+109m) and IFRS 16 & IAS (+200m) (3) Includes domestic licences (+1,748m), disposal and financial investments (-1,182m), cash taxes and other (-24m), IFRS and IAS (+193m)
Cost of debt ~3.7%, +0.2pp QoQ, +0.4pp YoY
(1) Includes € 306m repurchase agreements expiring in November 2022 (2) € 25,136m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€ 1,043m) and current financial liabilities (€ 984m), the gross debt figure of € 27,163m is reconciled with reported number
Financial and operating results
Lowering CO2 emissions
E
S
▪ TIM Group has joined the "European Green Deal Coalition", the alliance formed by leading EU ICT companies aiming to harness the potential of digital solutions in the green transformation to lower CO2 emissions
Everyone's skills and value
▪ TIM ranked as the top TLC company worldwide for its inclusion policies and promoting diversity according to "Refinitiv Global Diversity and Inclusion Index"
| (1) | |
|---|---|
| (2) |
| (3) | |
|---|---|
Reported data, €m
Positive cash impact (€ 0.7bn) in 2022-'23
| Impact on 2020 Financial Statements (benefit: 18 years) |
Impact on 2021 Financial Statements (benefit: 50 years) |
Impact from revocation |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Realignment of the tax value |
+€ 5.9bn P&L – Positive item in income tax expenses |
-€ 3.8bn P&L – Negative item in income tax expenses |
-€ 2.0bn(1) (=2.7-0.7) P&L – Negative item in income tax expenses |
| TIM SpA intangible assets redeemed € 23.1bn |
€ 6.6bn Balance Sheet – DTA |
€ 2.7bn Balance Sheet – DTA |
- Balance Sheet – DTA |
| Substitute tax (3%) |
€ 0.7bn Balance Sheet – Income tax payables |
€ 0.4bn Balance Sheet – Income tax payables |
€ 0.4bn Balance Sheet – Income tax payables write-off |
| Cash out/in for substitute tax |
- Balance Sheet – Cash out |
€ 0.3bn Balance Sheet – Cash out |
€ 0.3bn Balance Sheet – Cash in |
| Net equity suspended for tax purposes |
€ 22.4bn Balance Sheet – Net Equity suspended |
€ 22.4bn(2) Balance Sheet – Net Equity suspended |
- Balance Sheet – Net Equity suspended |
Cost of debt ~4.2%*, +0.2pp QoQ and +0.5pp YoY
* Including cost of all leases
Q3 '22 Results 10 November 2022 29 (1) Includes € 306m repurchase agreements expiring in November 2022 (2) € 30,581m is the nominal amount of outstanding medium-long term debt. By adding the balance of IAS adjustments and reverse fair value valuations (€ 1,106m) and current financial liabilities (€ 984m), the gross debt figure of € 32,671m is reconciled with reported number
| € m | NFP adjusted |
Fair value |
NFP accounting |
Gross Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GROSS DEBT | Derivatives | |||
| Bonds Banks & EIB Derivatives Leases and long rent Other (1) |
18,329 8,015 262 5,508 557 |
187 - 262 - - |
18,516 8,015 524 5,508 557 |
1,6% Banks & EIB 24,2% Bonds Op. leases 55,9% and long rent |
| TOTAL | 32,671 | 449 | 33,120 | 16,6% Other |
| FINANCIAL ASSETS | 1,7% | |||
| Liquidity position | 5,261 | - | 5,261 | |
| Other (2) o/w derivatives o/w active leases o/w other Credit |
1,906 1,728 104 74 |
454 454 - - |
2,360 2,182 104 74 |
Average m/l term maturity: 6.7 years (bonds 6.6 years) Fixed rate portion on M/L term debt ~71% |
| TOTAL | 7,167 | 454 | 7,621 | ~34% of outstanding bonds (nominal amount) |
| NET FINANCIAL DEBT | 25,504 | -5 | 25,499 | denominated in USD and GBP and fully hedged |
IFRS 16/After Lease, including OI (1)
| SHORT TERM TARGETS (2022) | UPGRADED TARGETS (2022) | |
|---|---|---|
| Service Revenues | low single digit decrease | |
| Organic EBITDA | low teens decrease | high single digit decrease |
| Organic EBITDA AL (2) | mid to high teens decrease | low teens decrease |
| CAPEX | Group: €4.0bn Domestic: €3.2bn |
|
| Adj. Net Debt AL | affected by € 3.7bn non-recurring payments (3) |
Q3 '22 Results 10 November 2022 31 (1) Group figures @ average exchange-rate 5.56 R\$/€ (2) Oi's transaction is impacting leases account for the plan period and will be absorbed thereafter (3) 5G spectrum in Italy (€1.7bn) and Brazil (€0.4bn), Oi acquisition (€1.1bn), DAZN payment (€0.3bn) and substitute tax (€0.2bn) based on the Plan's exchange rate assumption
| GOALS | SHORT TERM TARGETS (2022) |
LONG TERM TARGETS (2022-'24) |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue Sustainability |
Service Revenues Growth: + Double digit YoY |
Service Revenues Growth: + Double digit CAGR '21-'24 |
Guidance excludes: ▪ Any additional M&A activity ▪ New spectrum auctions |
| Profitability | EBITDA Growth: + Double digit YoY |
EBITDA Growth: + Double digit CAGR '21-'24 |
▪ ICMS taxation changes (ruled to be effective in Q1 '24) ▪ Any other taxation or Regulatory reform |
| Infrastructure Development |
Capex: ~R\$ 4.8bn | Capex: ~R\$ 14.0bn ∑ '22-'24 Capex on Revenues: <20% @2024 |
▪ Upside from Customer Platform partnerships (e.g. value created by equity stakes) |
| Cash Generation |
EBITDA-Capex on Revenues: >24% |
EBITDA-Capex on Revenues: ≥29% @2024 |
On like-for-like comparison, all metrics would be on track versus the old plan |
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