Quarterly Report • Aug 16, 2023
Quarterly Report
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17 August 2023 Ásgeir Helgi Reykfjörð Gylfason, CEO
Kalkofnsvegur 2 101 Reykjavík
[email protected] www.skel.is
Our objective is to develop opportunities targeting long-term value creation
We are active investors with the clear objective of supporting strong management teams and entrepreneurs in enhancing and developing enterprises and business ideas
| FROM INVESTOR PRESENTATIONS 2022: | " Reduced weight of fossil fuel in the investment portfolio " |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| " Restructuring of Orkan's retail section under review" |
" Emphasis on transformation and increased profitability in listed investments" |
" Development of leading service enterprise " |
96% 47% |
" Active participant in the energy transition" |
| Klettur Purchase of Klettur finalised |
||||
| Lyfjaval | VÍS The merger of Fossar og VÍS announced and later approved by shareholders and by the competition authorities |
Styrkás Holding company of Skeljungur and Klettur. The goal is to develop a leading service enterprise |
Orkufelagið Settlement for the sale of shares in SP/F Orkufelag completed on |
Orkan The first fast-charging station opened in Birkimelur in July, planned to open 16 stations in the next 12 months |
| Orkan buys all shares in Lyfjaval Heimkaup Gréta María appointed CEO of Heimkaup. The purchase of Orkan's retail section and all shares in Lyfjaval announced |
Kaldalón When publishing their interim financial statements on August 31st 2023 the company will have achieved two of the four goals for listing on the main market |
Horn IV strong co-investor Horn IV signed a subscription agreement for new equity in Styrkás for a value of ISK 3,500 million and thereby becomes the owner of 29.54% of the company's total |
3. August 2023 | Vetnisfélagið The share capital increase in Íslenska Vetnisfélagið has been completed and preparations for the construction of 4 hydrogen stations have begun. |
share capital

company servicing corporations across all industries " "

EBITDA 1,981 m.kr.
Equity value (69,8%) 8,266 m.kr.
Assets
100% Skeljungur 100% Klettur – S&Þ


A company that services vehicles;
It must be doable;
Cheaper electricity at night with Straumlind
Active participant in the energy transition
Profit margin
4,109million ISK
EBITDA 1,897million ISK
Total value of equity
7,462million ISK
72 energy stations 15 car washing stations 18 real estates 38 employees
SKEL has played a strategic role in the developement of Kaldalón as the fourth Icelandic real estate company on the market. We believe that company´s focus on simple operation, simple portfolio and minimal infrastructure will be successful in the long term.
Kaldalón recently completed the phase of issuing a bond framework for debt instruments. This is a big milestone for the company so it can later aquire market financing. Kaldalón´s CEO announced recently that the management´s plan and goals to list the company on the main market will be ready this quarter and preperation will begin as soon as goals are met.
SKEL's position in Kaldalón has increased since the beginning of the year by ISK 300 m. in nominal value and has decreased in market value by ISK 302 m. since 31.12.2022.
SKEL is interested in participating in the journey that the board of directors have started to change a well-established insurance company to a growing company in the financial market. Although larger havoc and rising interest rates affect the company's performance, we are pleased that in a short time asset management and fund operations have been set up at SIV, a merger with Fossa investment bank hf. was approved with the decisive support of shareholders and the company has announced that there has been a turnaround in sales after 6 years of continuous decline.
We believe that the original reasons for the investment are still there. The company is in an ideal position to grow beyond the market as the brand is strong, the number of customers is significant, the company's finances are strong and there has been significant investment in the company's infrastructure in recent years. The company's managers have also managed to attract powerful managers to the company in recent months.
SKEL's position in VÍS is unchanged from the beginning of the year, ISK 157 m. in nominal value and has increased in market value by ISK 111 m. since 31.12.2022.
| ISK million | H1 2023 | H1 2022 |
|---|---|---|
| Fair value change of financial assets | 2,065 | 496 |
| Financial income (–expenses) | 287 | 302 |
| Other income | 73 | 6,051 |
| Investment income | 2,424 | 6,849 |
| Salaries and related expenses | ( 266) | (406) |
| Other operating expenses | (141) | (230) |
| Operating expenses | ( 407) | ( 636) |
| Profit before tax | 2,017 | 6,213 |
| Income tax | 43 | ( 1,274) |
| Net profit for the period | 2,060 | 4,939 |

OPERATING EXPENSES FAIR VALUE CHANGES ANNUALISED, ADJUSTED FOR STOCK OPTIONS
OF OTHER INVESTMENT ASSETS
FAIR VALUE CHANGES OF LISTED SHARES
2% of equity 2,189 m.ISK ( 124) m.ISK
| Orkan | 2,601 |
|---|---|
| Löður | (74) |
| Lyfjaval | 331 |
| Styrkás – Skeljungur – Klettur |
(724) |
| Kaldalón | (302) |
| Gallon | (47) |
| VÍS | 111 |
| Other inv.assets | 102 |
| Other listed inv.assets |
67 |
| 2,065 m.kr. |
| Orkan – Löður - Lyfjaval 31.12.22 |
8,671 |
|---|---|
| Fair value change Lyfjaval | 331 |
| Lyfjaval og retail section sold | (4,067) |
| Fair value change Orkan |
2,601 |
| Fair value change Löður |
(74) |
| Fair value of Orkan – Löður 30.6.2023 |
|
| 7,462 | m.kr. |
Orkan is valued without the retail operations that were sold to Heimkaup during the period
Orkan's emphasis on lower operating costs, a simpler operating model and low prices have resulted in EBITDA being higher than budgeted. The budget was therefore updated for the valuation and the estimated EBITDA for 2023 will be ISK 1,648 million
Löður was slightly below budget, that can mainly be explained by constructions on new and larger washing facilities that have been delayed, but it is expected that they will now open in the second half of the year
42% share in Lyfjaval was purchased last March, but there were purchase and sale option agreements on shares that affected the value. The purchase price was ISK 331 million lower than the book value of the company at the end of last year

Styrkás: the purchase price is based on the enterprise value of the group being ISK 11,200 million and the value of assets ISK 8,350 million
Horn IV slhf., private equity fund managed by Landsbréfa hf. signed a subscription agreement for new equity in Styrkás worth ISK 3,500 million (29.54%)
Book value is based on the purchase price. The equity value after the share capital increase is ISK 11,850 million and SKEL will own 69.8% in Styrkás after the equity increase

Gallon was on budget in the first half of the year. The updated valuation is ISK 47 million. lower than the previous valuation. In the first half of the year, Gallon paid ISK 80 m. in dividends to SKEL
Return on equity for the period
12.5%
| M.kr. | 30.6.2023 | 31.12.2022 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 3,904 | 4,731 | |||||
| Treasury bonds | 1,008 | 2,116 | |||||
| Listed shares | 5,876 | 4,921 | |||||
| Sold inv.assets at fair value | 2,917 | 0 | |||||
| Other inv. assets at fair value | 24,627 | 23,137 | 2,917 | 2,873 | |||
| Investment properties at fair value | 1,140 | 690 | |||||
| Other assets | 2,603 | 2,910 | |||||
| Total assets | 42,074 | 38,505 | 8,266 | 4,911 Cash and cash equivalents and |
|||
| Equity | 34,946 | 33,430 | treasury bonds | 2,464 | |||
| Debts to credit institutions | 2,806 | 2,515 | 2,747 | ||||
| Deferred income tax liability | 2,014 | 2,014 | |||||
| Other liabilities | 2,308 | 547 | 1,294 | ||||
| Total liabilities | 7,127 | 5,075 | Loans, | ||||
| 1,753 | receivables and other |
||||||
| 7,462 | 4,099 | 2,623 | assets | ||||
| Total equity and liabilities | 42,074 | 38,505 | Real estate and land | Other listed assets | 665 | ||

| Cash and cash equivalents and treasury bonds | 4,911 |
|---|---|
| VÍS | 2,746 |
| Kaldalón | 2,463 |
| Other listed assets | 709 |
10,830 m.kr.
| 8,266 |
|---|
| 2,917 |
| 1,023 |
| 450 |
12,656 m.kr.
| Orkan, Löður | 7,461 |
|---|---|
| Heimkaup, Lyfjaval, 10-11 and more | 4,099 |
| Gallon | 2,873 |
| Reir þróun | 1,753 |
| Loans, receivables and other assets | 1,250 |
| Real estate and land | 1,317 |
18,587 m.kr.
ASSETS BOOKED AT LISTED PRICE OR BASED ON TRANSACTIONS BETWEEN UNRELATED PARTIES
The operating companies that previously formed Skeljungur are performing well
The development of Styrkás is off to a good start with cooperation with Horn and is fully funded for the medium term
The majority of the company's assets are now valued based on known market value or on the basis of transactions between unrelated parties
The sale of S/pf Orkufelagið has been completed
However, the right to sell still exists and a loan in the initial amount of ISK 460m
The company looks, among other things, to increase investments in registered bonds, to northern Europe and to the real estate market in the coming seasons
Liquidity is strong and the share of listed assets, which by their nature can be sold at short notice, will increase
Nánari upplýsingar veitir: [email protected]
The companies that have not been part of recent transactions were valued, they are Orkan, Löður, which is part of Orkan, and Gallon. Kvika Bank's consulting department was hired for the project, and the bank's valuation experts reviewed the companies' performance in the first half of the year. When deviations were significant, the companies' future budget were adjusted.
Estimates of the fair value of companies owned by SKEL were based on Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), using both Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) and Dividend Discount Model (DDM).
The valuation is to a large extent based on management's operating budgets and discussions between the appraisers and management.
Many of the estimates are based on actual changes in underlying figures and subsequently the inherent inflation premium of risk free interest is used for the estimate of future inflation of cash flow.
The effect of that is that leases are charged among operating costs in the income statement and reduce EBITDA instead of the right of use being charged with depreciation and interest charged among capital items as required by the IFRS16 standard.

EXCLUDES LÖÐUR, LYFJAVAL AND RETAIL OPERATION

Better results in operation Simple model Increased market share
Investments relating to energy transition Real margin growth projected at 0%
| 2023E | 2024E | |
|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | 3,633 | 3,450 |
| EBITDA | 1,648 | 1,461 |
| EBIT | 1,217 | 816 |
| Depreciation | 431 | 645 |
| Investments | 601 | 999 |
| Change to NWC | (62) | (56) |
| EBITDA / margin | 45.4% | 42.3% |
| Inv./margin | 16.5% | 29.0% |
| ROIC | 21.3% | 13.3% |
| WACC | 12.2% |
|---|---|
| Target leverage | 40.0% |



Leading brand
Growth opportunities

Investments
Increased environmental awareness
| 2023E | 2024E | |
|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | 840 | 1,088 |
| EBITDA | 249 | 411 |
| EBIT | 149 | 307 |
| Depreciation | 100 | 85 |
| Investments | 1,030 | 460 |
| Change to NWC | (84) | (210) |
| EBITDA / margin | 29.6% | 37.8% |
| Inv./margin | 122.6% | 42.3% |
| ROIC | 18.8% | 20.6% |
| WACC | 13.6% |
|---|---|
| Target leverage | 30.0% |

Löður Mister Car Wash


Improved utilisation Emergency supplies

Underutilised investment
| 2023E | 2024E | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 580 | 682 |
| EBITDA | 275 | 353 |
| EBIT | 161 | 234 |
| Depreciation | 114 | 119 |
| Investments | 80 | 86 |
| Change to NWC | (56) | (3) |
| EBITDA / Revenue | 47.4% | 51.8% |
| Inv./Revenue | 13.8% | 12.6% |
| ROIC | 10.4% | 15.0% |
| WACC | 11.2% |
|---|---|
| Target leverage | 50.0% |

Gallon Magellan Midstream Partners, LP. Energy transfer LP
SKEL fjárfestingafélag notes that the presentation is intended solely for information purposes and its receipt should not be construed as investment advice. Under no circumstances shall the presentation be perceived or construed as a promise of success in the operation of the company or returns on assets.
Information contained in this presentation is based on sources that the company considers to be reliable at each time and statements contained in the presentation may be based on the assessments and estimates of the company's management and not on facts that can be verified in the presentation. Statements made in this presentation are valid only that the point in time that this presentation is made public and their validity is limited by the substance of this disclaimer.
Investors should note that a number of factors can have the effect that the company's business operations and performance deviating from the assumptions made in the presentation. The presentation will not be revised in this regard following its publication.
Any statement in this presentation that refers to the company's estimated or anticipated future results represents only a forecast of the company's future prospects based on current trends, available information and estimates. The company's future prospects are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from the prospects forecast in this presentation. These include factors such as changes in the economic environment, financial risk, oil price risk and increased competition.
By the receipt of this presentation the recipient acknowledges his/her acceptance of being bound by the above reservations and restrictions.
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