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LOWLAND INV CO PLC

Quarterly Report May 31, 2023

5180_ir_2023-05-31_be9c26c2-76b1-4fe6-a142-9483edafd311.pdf

Quarterly Report

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Lowland Investment Company plc

Update for the Half-Year Ended 31 March 2023

This update contains material extracted from the unaudited half-year results of the Company for the six months ended 31 March 2023. The unabridged results for the half-year are available on the Company's website: www.lowlandinvestment.com

Investment Objective

The Company aims to give shareholders a higher than average return with growth of both capital and income over the medium to long-term by investing in a broad spread of predominantly UK companies. The Company measures its performance against the FTSE All-Share Index Total Return.

Investment Policy

Asset Allocation

The Company will invest in a combination of large, medium and smaller companies listed in the UK. We are not constrained by the weightings of any index; we focus instead on controlling absolute risk by diversifying on the basis of underlying company characteristics such as size, industry, economic sensitivity, clients and management. In normal circumstances up to half the portfolio will be invested in FTSE 100 companies; the remainder will be divided between small and medium-sized companies. On occasions the Manager will buy shares listed overseas. The Manager may also invest a maximum of 15% in other listed trusts.

Dividend

The Company aims to provide shareholders with better-than-average dividend growth.

Gearing

The Board believes that debt in a closed-end fund is a valuable source of long-term outperformance, and therefore the Company will usually be geared. At the point of drawing down debt, gearing will never exceed 29.99% of the portfolio valuation. Borrowing will be a mixture of short and long-dated debt, depending on relative attractiveness of rates.

Net Asset Value Total Return 16.1%

Benchmark Total Return 12.3%

Dividend 3.05p

Financial Highlights

Half-year ended
31 Mar 2023
Half-year ended
31 Mar 2022
Year ended
30 Sept 2022
131.9p 141.1p 115.9p
124.3p 133.0p 104.5p
£336m £359m £282m
3.05p 3.05p 6.10p
0.7% 0.6% 0.6%
4.9% 4.5% 5.8%
14.1% 13.1% 12.5%
5.8% 5.7% 11.5%

1 NAV ('Net Asset Value') with debt at par value

2 Using mid-market closing price

3 Based on dividends paid and declared in respect of the previous twelve month period

Historical Performance

Total Return Performance (including dividends reinvested and excluding transaction costs)

Rebased to 100 at 31 March 2013 Sources: Morningstar Direct, Funddata, Renitiv Datastream and Janus Henderson

6 months 1 year
3 years
5 years 10 years 25 years
% % % % % %
Net asset value 16.1 -0.4 61.2 8.1 63.9 576.7
Share price1 21.9 -1.5 63.8 7.7 60.0 659.9
Benchmark2 12.3 2.9 47.4 27.9 75.9 244.6

1 Using mid-market closing price

2 FTSE All-Share Index

Sources: Morningstar Direct, Funddata, Renitiv Datastream and Janus Henderson.

Historical Record

Year to 30 Sept 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 As at
31 Mar
20231
Net assets2 (£m) 347 362 355 387 440 439 386 279 394 313 356
Per ordinary share
NAV3* 130.7p 134.6p 131.8p 143.2p 162.8p 162.5p 142.8p 103.1p 145.9p 115.9p 131.9p
Share price* 132.5p 135.5p 128.7p 133.7p 150.4p 151.5p 128.0p 91.4p 131.5p 104.5p 124.3p
Net revenue* 3.67p 3.94p 4.64p 4.77p 4.91p 5.86p 6.80p 3.38p 4.27p 6.10p 2.13p
Net dividends paid* 3.40p 3.70p 4.10p 4.50p 4.90p 5.40p 5.95p 6.00p 6.025p 6.10p 3.05p4

1 Net revenue and net dividends paid are for the six month period ended 31 March 2023

2 Attributable to ordinary shares

3 NAV with debt at par value

4 First interim dividend of 1.525p per ordinary share paid on 28 April 2023 and second interim dividend of 1.525p per ordinary share that will be paid on 31 July 2023

* Figures for 2013 to 2021 have been restated due to the sub-division of each ordinary share of 25p into ten ordinary shares of 2.5p each on 7 February 2022

Overview

Lowland's Net Asset Value ('NAV') rose by 16.1% over the six months ended 31 March, outperforming the FTSE All-Share Index, which increased by 12.3%. This is a tentative recovery in the Company's performance, which has been disappointing since the Brexit vote. Returns over relatively short periods can be volatile. This is demonstrated by the fact that the three year return, which was slightly negative at the year end and lagged the benchmark, is now 61.2%, some way above the benchmark's 47.4% return. Performance over five years still lags the benchmark, increasing by 8.1% compared with 27.9%.

Dividends

The recovery in income during the half year continued with Earnings per Share rising to 2.13p against a comparable 1.72p. This is still a little below the 2019 pre-pandemic level of 2.22p. There have not been any special dividends in the period, while there were in the comparable period last year.

The Board has maintained its progressive quarterly dividend policy. We have today declared our second interim of 1.525p, bringing the total so far to 3.05p, the same as last year.

Gearing

Gearing was again fairly steady during the half year, in the range of 12.1 to 14.9%, and now stands at 13.4%. We believe that the ability to employ gearing is an advantage offered by

investment trusts. The Company was a modest net investor over the period, to the tune of £9.4m, with most of the disposals coming from take-over bids.

Share price and discount

During the period the share price increased by 18.9% to 124.3p and the discount at which the shares trade reduced from 11.5% to 5.8%. After careful consideration of the issue the Board continues to believe that a discount control mechanism is not in shareholders' interests. The current share price is 122.0p and discount 9.5%.

Board

In line with my statement in the Annual Report, the process of recruiting a new director has begun, and an announcement will be made in due course.

Outlook

Generating a reasonable level of growth, while getting inflation under control, is a challenge faced by most economies. We tend to the view that this challenge is fully recognised in UK market valuations, as considered more fully in the Fund Manager's Report. We are therefore looking for growth, particularly from the lower section of the market cap spectrum, to which we would expect Lowland's weighting to increase.

Robert Robertson Chairman 18 May 2023

Equity allocation as at 31 March 2023

Sector Weightings (%)

Market Cap Weighting (%)

Performance review

Lowland achieved an increase in NAV of 16.1% which is satisfactory in absolute terms, and in relative terms against the benchmark, which returned 12.3%. As mentioned in the last Annual Report, our performance had been hampered by our bias towards medium and small companies, which are more UK focused than the very large companies which had been the main outperformers in the market. The table below shows that, over the half-year, the main UK indices for large and medium sized companies registered returns in the region of 12%. The smaller companies and AIM indices again underperformed in relative terms. Lowland outperformed the indices relative to each of the market cap groups, with a modest exception in AIM. This enabled Lowland to outperform its benchmark, despite it having a much greater exposure to the smaller end of the market. The outperformance is due mainly to stock selection and takeovers, as mentioned below.

There are signs that investors may be beginning to see value in the UK market, which is at a marked discount to its international peers. Factors behind this include normalisation after the pandemic, and the fact that Government is no longer in a state of chaos. Furthermore, some of the Brexit issues are finally being put behind us, the

Windsor Framework on Northern Ireland being a case in point. We would expect medium and smaller companies, including AIM companies, to outperform in terms of income and growth, as economic recovery materialises.

It has been a very busy period for news perceived to be relevant to the stock market. The Autumn Budget of 2022 brought about the end of the Truss government and its central premise of growth at any cost was abandoned. In April this year we nearly experienced a new banking crisis emanating from Silicon Valley Bank, but investors have largely shrugged the news off and the market has made reasonable forward progress.

The reason for the advance in stock prices when investor sentiment is so poor is that valuations are very low. The evidence for this view is not just borne out by long-term valuation charts but also the increasing level of corporate activity. There were three takeovers of stocks in the portfolio during the period, with bids received for very different sorts of business. The most notable was K3 Capital, a regional corporate adviser. The quoted market was simply not valuing the shares highly enough. Devro, the sausage skin maker, and Appreciate Group, a corporate gift operator, were also taken over. These stocks received cash offers that existing shareholders accepted. Whilst

Lowland
weighting (%)
Lowland total
return (%)
FTSE All-Share
weighting (%)
Index return (%)
FTSE 100 47.4 15.5 83.9 12.5
FTSE 250 19.9 20.1 13.8 11.6
FTSE Small-Cap 10.9 18.6 2.3 5.7
FTSE AIM All-Share 13.7 -0.6 N/A 1.1

Portfolio performance and weightings

Source: Janus Henderson Investors, six months to 31 March 2023

these offers were at reasonable premia to the prebid price, they are likely to prove good purchases for the acquirers. It is unlikely that takeover activity will abate unless investors attribute a fair value to UK quoted companies. Similarly, there was no overriding theme to other portfolio companies which contributed to, or detracted from, performance. The chart below shows the value of UK earnings is at a low point.

UK equity market is cheap relative to the global market

Source: JPMorgan/Janus Henderson as at 31 December 2022. P/E = price/earnings per share

Five highest contributors

We show the absolute stock contributions in the tables below as these are what drive the NAV. It is important to note however, that in comparing index performance against your Company's, what we do not own is also relevant. For instance, not having a holding in British American Tobacco aided relative performance. It was the agreed takeover of K3 that was the biggest absolute contributor to Lowland's return, while Serica,

the North Sea gas company, was the biggest detractor due to the imposition by the British government of a windfall tax.

Share price
total return
(%)
Contribution
to return
(%)
K3 Capital 51.5 1.0
BP 20.3 0.7
FBD Holdings 40.9 0.6
Morgan Advanced
Materials
27.3 0.6
Rolls-Royce 114.1 0.5
  • K3 Capital Group was subject to a successful takeover during the period
  • BP benefitted from high energy prices.
  • FBD Holdings is an Irish insurer which benefits from pricing power in its sector.
  • Morgan Advanced Materials has a strong market position, and is well-placed to benefit from infrastructure spending.
  • Rolls-Royce has challenging plans for restructuring the business and we expect it to benefit as air travel increases.

Five largest detractors

Share price total
return (%)
Contribution
to return (%)
Serica
Energy
-39.4 -0.8
Direct Line
Insurance
-25.9 -0.3
Ilika -24.8 -0.2
Vodafone -7.9 -0.2
DWF -22.5 -0.1

• Serica Energy suffered from the UK Government windfall tax on energy companies, whilst poor underwriting and adverse weather conditions caused Direct Line to suffer losses, and to cut its dividend. The other largest detractors had no straightforward identifying factors for their performance other than continued market weakness in valuations.

The UK economy

In the fourth quarter of last year economists were chasing one another down with their economic forecasts for the current year. They took them too low and they are now quietly upgrading their growth targets. The resilience of the economy has been underestimated by the forecasters. There are economic issues to be faced in the UK, the most pressing of which are the low level of productivity growth and persistent inflation. The solution lies in a vibrant corporate sector that is investing in the future. A UK stock market with long-term investors providing capital will be a major part of this recovery.

Activity

During the period £35.1m was invested into UK stocks with disposals of £27.3m being made. The disposals predominantly came via the cash takeovers, with K3 being the largest. The holding in Direct Line was reduced as a result of a reassessment of the company's underwriting performance which has been disappointing. The purchases were a diverse range of companies. The holdings in Financials which are trading satisfactorily, but with strengths not reflected in their valuations, were increased; these include M&G, Legal and General, Vanquis, Numis and Brooks Macdonald. The Industrial sector remains a major part of the portfolio and the holding in the paper and packaging company DS Smith was increased. The Building Materials sector has seen marked share price weakness as investors are concerned that the higher mortgage rates will lead to severe

house price falls and a large slowdown in activity. This is not being borne out by current trading which, although subdued, is not markedly weak. There is, therefore, an opportunity to increase exposure to the strongest companies in the area. The holdings in Marshalls, Bellway, Springfield Properties, and Epwin were increased. Certain of the Retailers we hold have used several years of difficult trading to reduce their cost base and focus their business in preparation for more normal times. Examples of this can be found at M&S and Halfords where holdings were built up. Purchases were also made in Cranswick, the meat processor, H&T, the pawn broker, and Hipgnosis, a investment trust which provides pure play exposure to song rights. The thing these companies have in common is that they are all excellent at what they do. They bring a diverse blend of end market exposures, while individually we believe they have some control over their own destiny.

Outlook

GDP forecasts are being upgraded for 2023 by economic forecasters, and the inflation rate is falling, but slowly. The stickiness in inflation partially reflects many companies preserving operating margins. This suggests that, to protect the real value of capital in an inflationary period, a good hedge is a well-diversified portfolio of excellent companies which have pricing power through operational strengths and product excellence. If inflation falls faster than expected, interest rates may peak sooner and should fall faster, benefitting company valuations. In the meantime, we anticipate that dividend growth from the underlying portfolio should improve, backed by the predicted progression in earnings.

James Henderson and Laura Foll Fund Managers 18 May 2023

Unaudited
Half-Year Ended
31 Mar 2023 31 Mar 2022
Extract from the
Condensed Income
Statement
Revenue
return
£'000
Capital
return
£'000
Total
£'000
Revenue
return
£'000
Capital
return
£'000
Total
£'000
Gains/(losses) on investments
held at fair value through
profit or loss
46,791 46,791 (8,850) (8,850)
Income from investments 6,980 6,980 5,692 5,692
Other interest receivable
and similar income
43 43 32 32
Gross revenue and
capital gains/(losses)
7,023 46,791 53,814 5,724 (8,850) (3,126)
Expenses, finance costs
and taxation
(1,256) (886) (2,142) (1,063) (745) (1,808)
Net return/(loss) on ordinary
activities after taxation
5,767 45,905 51,672 4,661 (9,595) (4,934)
Return/(loss) per ordinary
share – basic and diluted
2.13p 16.99p 19.12p 1.72p (3.55p) (1.83p)
Unaudited Audited
Extract from the Condensed Statement
of Financial Position
as at
31 Mar 2023
£'000
as at
31 Mar 2022
£'000
as at
30 Sep 2022
£'000
Investments held at fair value through profit or loss 406,749 430,969 352,081
Net current liabilities less creditors due after more
than one year
(50,281) (49,799) (39,045)
Net assets 356,468 381,170 313,036
Net asset value per ordinary share –
basic and diluted
131.9p 141.1p 115.9p

Dividend

On 28 April 2023, a first interim dividend of 1.525p (2022: 1.525p) per ordinary share was paid in respect of the year ending 30 September 2023. A second interim dividend of 1.525p per ordinary share for the year ending 30 September 2023 has been declared and will be paid on 31 July 2023 to shareholders on the register of members at the close of business on 30 June 2023. The ex-dividend date is 29 June 2023. Based on the number of shares in issue on 18 May 2023 of 270,185,650, the cost of the dividend will be £4,120,000 (2022: £4,120,000).

Going Concern

The assets of the Company consist of securities that are readily realisable. The Directors have also considered the ongoing impact of the conflict in Ukraine, including the impact on income and gearing, and believe that the Company has adequate resources to continue in operational existence for at least twelve months from the date of approval of the financial statements. Having assessed these factors and the principal risks, the Board has determined that it is appropriate for the financial statements to be prepared on a going concern basis.

Principal Risks and Uncertainties

The principal risks and uncertainties associated with the Company's business can be divided into various areas:

  • Market, geopolitical, macroeconomic or environmental;
  • Global pandemic;
  • Investment activity and strategy;
  • Portfolio and market price;
  • Dividend income;
  • Financial;
  • Gearing;
  • Tax and regulatory; and
  • Operational.

Information on these risks and how they are managed is given in the Annual Report for the year ended 30 September 2022. The Board has completed a thorough review of the principal risks and uncertainties facing the Company. As a result of this review, the Board considers that the principal risks and uncertainties remain largely unchanged and that they are as applicable to the remaining six months of the financial year as they were to the six months under review.

Statement of Directors' Responsibilities

The Directors confirm that, to the best of their knowledge:

  • (a) the set of financial statements for the halfyear to 31 March 2023 has been prepared in accordance with "FRS 104 Interim Financial Reporting";
  • (b) the Interim Management Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.7R (indication of important events during the first six months and description of principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and
  • (c) the Interim Management Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.8R (disclosure of related party transactions and changes therein).

On behalf of the Board Robert Robertson Chairman 18 May 2023

Investment Portfolio as at 31 March 2023

Market
Value % of
Company
Shell
Sector
Oil and Gas
£'000
12,694
Portfolio
3.1
BP Oil and Gas 12,514 3.1
Vanquis Banking Group Finance and Credit Services 9,273 2.3
HSBC Banks 9,233 2.3
FBD (Ireland) Non-Life Insurance 9,167 2.2
National Grid Gas, Water and Multi-utilities 8,951 2.2
GSK Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology 8,345 2.1
Standard Chartered Banks 8,162 2.0
Aviva Life Insurance 7,963 2.0
M&G Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 7,920 1.9
10 largest 94,222 23.2
Anglo American Industrial Metals and Mining 7,231 1.8
Irish Continental (Ireland) Industrial Transportation 7,218 1.8
NatWest Banks 7,098 1.7
Rio Tinto Industrial Metals and Mining 6,846 1.7
Morgan Advanced Materials Electronic and Electrical Equipment 6,721 1.7
Phoenix Life Insurance 6,679 1.6
Tesco Personal Care, Drug and Grocery Stores 6,664 1.6
Hiscox Non-Life Insurance 6,557 1.6
Severn Trent Gas, Water and Multi-utilities 6,478 1.6
Lloyds Banking Banks 6,317 1.5
20 largest 162,031 39.8
Barclays Banks 5,832 1.5
Senior Aerospace and Defence 5,813 1.4
AstraZeneca Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology 5,784 1.4
Redde Northgate Industrial Transportation 5,448 1.3
BT Group Telecommunications Service Providers 5,395 1.3
Land Securities Real Estate Investment Trusts 5,275 1.3
Balfour Beatty Construction and Materials 5,237 1.3
International Personal Finance Finance and Credit Services 5,159 1.3
BAE Systems Aerospace and Defence 5,159 1.3
Vodafone Telecommunications Service Providers 5,106 1.3
30 largest 216,239 53.2
IMI Electronic and Electrical Equipment 5,037 1.2
Kingfisher Retailers 5,024 1.2
Clarkson Industrial Transportation 4,986 1.2
Prudential Life Insurance 4,959 1.2
Conduit Non-Life Insurance 4,655 1.2
H&T Group¹ Finance and Credit Services 4,539 1.1
Marks & Spencer Retailers 4,426 1.1
Headlam Household Goods and Home Construction 4,409 1.1
TT Electronics Technology Hardware and Equipment 4,376 1.1
Epwin¹ Construction and Materials 4,315 1.1
40 largest 262,965 64.7

Investment Portfolio as at 31 March 2023 (continued)

Company Sector Market
Value
£'000
% of
Portfolio
Finsbury Food Group¹ Food Producers 4,230 1.0
Somero Enterprises¹ (USA) Industrial Engineering 4,144 1.0
Direct Line Non-Life Insurance 4,125 1.0
Henderson Opportunities Trust Closed End Investments – Investment Trust 4,080 1.0
focusing primarily on UK smaller companies
Chesnara Life Insurance 4,072 1.0
Marshalls Construction and Materials 3,991 1.0
Serica Energy¹ Oil and Gas 3,987 1.0
DS Smith General Industrials 3,972 1.0
Mondi General Industrials 3,844 0.9
DCC (Ireland) Industrial Support Services 3,750 0.9
50 largest 303,160 74.5
Hill & Smith Industrial Metals and Mining 3,652 0.9
Legal & General Life Insurance 3,583 0.9
Rolls-Royce Aerospace and Defence 3,551 0.9
Castings Industrial Engineering 3,534 0.9
Alpha Financial Markets¹ Industrial Support Services 3,506 0.9
Johnson Service¹ Industrial Support Services 3,414 0.8
Jupiter Fund Management Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 3,385 0.8
Vertu Motors¹ Retailers 3,289 0.8
Numis¹ Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 3,218 0.8
Hipgnosis Closed End Investments – Investment Trust 3,175 0.8
investing in song back catalogues
60 largest 337,467 83.0
Halfords Retailers 3,173 0.8
Ibstock Construction and Materials 3,110 0.8
STV Media 3,106 0.7
Cranswick Food Producers 3,094 0.7
Palace Capital Real Estate Investment Trusts 2,925 0.7
XPS Pensions Group Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 2,800 0.7
Ricardo Construction and Materials 2,726 0.7
Renold¹ Industrial Engineering 2,482 0.6
Reckitt Benckiser Group Personal Care, Drug and Grocery Stores 2,463 0.6
Elementis Chemicals 2,442 0.6
70 largest 365,788 89.9
IP Group Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 2,434 0.6
Eleco¹ Software and Computer Services 2,428 0.6
Tyman Construction and Materials 2,400 0.6
Bellway Household Goods and Home Construction 2,207 0.6
Churchill China¹ Household Goods and Home Construction 2,194 0.6
Oxford Sciences Enterprises² Venture Capital business investing predominantly
in Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology
2,160 0.5
DWF Group Industrial Support Services 2,075 0.5
Springfield Properties¹ Household Goods and Home Construction 2,071 0.5
Helical Real Estate Investment and Services 1,950 0.5
Ilika¹ Electronic and Electrical Equipment 1,780 0.4
80 largest 387,487 95.3
12

Investment Portfolio as at 31 March 2023 (continued)

Market
Value % of
Company Sector £'000 Portfolio
Sabre Insurance Non-Life Insurance 1,720 0.4
RWS Holdings¹ Industrial Support Services 1,645 0.4
Hammerson Real Estate Investment Trusts 1,566 0.4
Brooks MacDonald Group¹ Investment Banking and Brokerage Services 1,503 0.4
Airea¹ Household Goods and Home Construction 1,485 0.4
Reach Media 1,447 0.3
Jadestone Energy¹ Oil and Gas 1,173 0.3
Flowtech Fluidpower¹ Electronic and Electrical Equipment 1,165 0.3
DFS Furniture Retailers 1,158 0.3
Indus Gas¹ Oil and Gas 930 0.2
90 largest 401,279 98.7
R&Q Insurance¹ Non-Life Insurance 888 0.2
International Distributions Services Industrial Transportation 842 0.2
I3 Energy¹ Oil and Gas 824 0.2
Wadworth – Ordinary shares² Travel and Leisure 689 0.2
Carclo General Industrials 468 0.1
Velocys¹ Alternative Energy 356 0.1
Faron Pharmaceuticals¹ (Finland) Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology 300 0.1
Severfield Construction and Materials 269 0.1
Paypoint Industrial Support Services 264
Harbour Energy Oil and Gas 171
100 largest 406,350 99.9

1 AlM Stocks 2 Unlisted Investments Source: Janus Henderson

Directors

Robert Robertson (Chairman) Duncan Budge Gaynor Coley Helena Vinnicombe Tom Walker

All of the Directors are non-executive, and members of the Audit Committee (except the Chairman), Management Engagement Committee and Nominations Committee.

The Management Engagement Committee and the Nominations Committee are chaired by Robert Robertson and the Audit Committee by Gaynor Coley.

Alternative Investment Fund Manager

Janus Henderson Fund Management UK Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Tel: 020 7818 1818

Fund Managers

James Henderson Laura Foll

Corporate Secretary

Janus Henderson Secretarial Services UK Limited Email: [email protected]

Performance Details/ Share Price Information

Details of the Company's share price and NAV can be found on the website. The address is www.lowlandinvestment.com. The Company's NAV is published daily.

Shareholder Details

Shareholders who hold their shares in certificated form can check their shareholding with the Registrar, Computershare Investor Services PLC, via www.computershare.com. Please note that to gain access to your details on the Computershare site you will need the holder reference number shown on your share certificate.

Share Price Listings

The market price of the Company's ordinary shares is published daily in The Times, The Telegraph and The Financial Times. The Financial Times also shows figures for the estimated NAV and the discount. The market price of the Company's shares can also be found in the London Stock Exchange Daily Official List.

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Lowland Investment Company plc 201 Bishopsgate London EC2M 3AE

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