Investor Presentation • Dec 2, 2021
Investor Presentation
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INVESTOR PRESENTATION
2 December 2021
Gavin Manson: Chief Financial and Operating Officer, Electra Private Equity PLC Ian Watson: Chief Executive Hotter Shoes and CEO Designate Unbound Group Dan Lampard: Chief Financial Officer Hotter Shoes and CFO Designate Unbound Group
Ian Watson Chief Executive Officer
Daniel Lampard Chief Finance Officer
Gavin Manson Chief Finance and Operating Officer Electra
Q&A
| 1 | Interim results and transaction update | Gavin Manson |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | The Hotter Business - A profitable foundation for growth |
Ian Watson |
| 3 | Introduction to Unbound | Ian Watson |
| 4 | Closing Remarks | Ian Watson |
This document has been prepared by Electra Private Equity PLC (the "Company"). The information and opinions contained in this document and any other material discussed verbally in connection with it are provided as at the date of this document and no person undertakes to update or correct them. The information includes forward-looking statements and statements of opinion which are based on the Company's current expectations and projections about future events, but are subject to various risks and assumptions, and actual events or circumstances may differ materially from those indicated in these statements; none of these statements should be taken as forecasts or promises. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness, fairness or correctness of the information or opinions contained in this document or any other material discussed verbally; no reliance should be placed on such information and no responsibility or liability is accepted for it.
This document does not constitute, or form part of, any offer to sell or issue, or invitation to sell, purchase or subscribe for, or any solicitation of any offer to sell, purchase or subscribe for, any securities of the Company or of any other entity. Neither this document nor any part of it should be relied on in connection with any contract or investment decision, nor does it constitute a recommendation regarding the securities of the Company or any other investment advice. Shareholders and prospective investors should make their own independent evaluation of any investment in the Company.
The securities of the Company have not been, and will not be, registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), or the securities laws of any state in the United States and may not be offered or sold in the United States, except in reliance on an applicable exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act.
By attending the presentation or meeting to which this document relates or by being in possession of this document you accept and agree to comply with the contents of this notice.
"Following the successful demerger of Hostmore plc on 1 November 2021, we are now entering the final stage of our value realisation strategy that has now seen us return over £2.2 billion to shareholders from a starting market capitalisation of £1.1 billion. We will shortly be starting the formal process that we intend will lead early in 2022 to the transition of Electra from the FTSE main market listing to AIM as Unbound Group PLC – a company that will build on the solid foundation of Hotter Shoes to grow value through a digital platform supporting the active lifestyles of the 55 plus demographic with a range of products and services."
| £million | Electra | Hostmore | Unbound | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hostmore equity value* |
176.0* | 176.0* | - | ||||
| Hotter equity value* |
33.5* | - | 33.5* | ||||
| Management shareholding |
(15.9) | (12.7) | (3.2) | ||||
| Assets being realised** |
1.3 | - | 1.3 | ||||
| Assets being retained*** |
2.2 | - | 2.2 | ||||
| Cash | 8.2 | - | 8.2 | ||||
| Other net liabilities**** |
(0.3) | - | (0.3) | ||||
| NAV attributable to Electra shareholders as at 30 September |
205.0 | 163.3 | 41.7 | ||||
| NAV per share (Electra) |
525.9p | 418.9p | 107.0p | ||||
| NAV per share (Hostmore) |
- | 129.5p | - | ||||
| *Reflects transaction execution/liquidity discounts of 33% (Fridays) and |
35% (Hotter) |
||||||
| Assets expected to be realised prior to transition to Unbound *An illiquid property investment expected to be retained with annual income of approx. £0.3 million |
|||||||
| ****includes accrual for operating costs prior to transition to Unbound |
Management Shareholding in Hotter will be converted into a 7.8% shareholding in Electra / Unbound through the issuance of new shares on admission to AIM
| £million | Electra | Hostmore | Unbound |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hostmore equity value* |
278.2* | 278.2* | - |
| Hotter equity value* |
59.4* | - | 59.4* |
| Management shareholding |
(25.3) | (20.2) | (5.1) |
| Assets being realised** |
4.0 | - | 4.0 |
| Assets being retained*** |
2.2 | - | 2.2 |
| Cash | 8.2 | - | 8.2 |
| Other net liabilities**** |
(1.2) | - | (1.2) |
| NAV attributable to Electra shareholders as at 30 September |
325.5 | 258.0 | 67.5 |
| NAV per share (Electra) |
835.2p | 662.0p | 173.2p |
| NAV per share (Hostmore) |
- | 204.6p | - |
| *Reported values adjusted to take out the transaction risk and |
liquidity discount reflected |
in 30 September |
valuation |
**Assets expected to be realised prior to transition to Unbound. Includes 1.6% shareholding in Hostmore plc ***An illiquid property investment expected to be retained with annual income of approx. £0.3 million
Management Shareholding in Hotter will be converted into a 7.8% shareholding in Electra / Unbound through the issuance of new shares on admission to AIM
The Hotter Business - A profitable foundation for growth
2019 Transformation Strategy
1.Alignment and refocus of brand and product
2.Drive to best cost
3.Optimal route to Consumer
4.People, Processes and Systems
Digitally-led direct to consumer model, with a growing, loyal database
Repurposed profitable retail proposition
Product range with sustainable competitive advantage - anchored in comfort
Brand re-anchored in comfort
Technology enabled to aid the consumer experience
Supply chain flexibility at best cost
| Six Months to July 2018 | Six Months to July 2021 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | EBITDA | Revenue | EBITDA | ||||||||
| Share | Growth | £ | Margin % | Share | £ | Growth £ | Margin % | ||||
| UK Direct | Online | 54% | |||||||||
| Offline | 17% | ||||||||||
| 35% | -5% | 3.4 | 21% | 71% | 4.8 | 1.4 | 27% | ||||
| Retail | 45% | -8% | 0.2 | 1% | 12% | 0.5 | 0.4 | 17% | |||
| US | 14% | -22% | -0.8 | -12% | 10% | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | |||
| Digitial Partnerships & Wholesale | 6% | 0.5 | 22% | 7% | 0.4 | -0.1 | 22% | ||||
| Head Office Costs | -3.1 | -3.3 | -0.1 | ||||||||
| Company | 100% | -8% | 0.1 | 0.20% | 100% | 2.5 | 2.4 | 10% | |||
| Fixed costs | £16.8m | £6.2m | |||||||||
| Operating cashflow | £-1.2m | £3.2m |
Performance in H1 2018, prior to arrival of the new management team:
Following the transformation activities before and during lockdown:
| Em | Variance | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q322 | -Q3 21 | £ | % | |
| Revenue | 12.7 | 11.6. | -1.1 | 9.2% |
| Gross Margin % |
8.4 65.8% |
6.5 56.2% |
1.8 9.7% |
27.9% |
Q3 Trading Update :
Channels of distribution and our consumer base
The Hotter business model has transformed from being retail-centric to a digital first, direct to consumer omni-channel brand
UK D2C Retail U.S. Other
Source: July Management Accounts
A large and growing customer database with an increasing focus on digital channels
Leveraging technology to create a personalised customer experience and stimulate email data capture
Scans the foot to provide exact foot measurements and customised product recommendations to the user.
Digital touch screen kiosks: For content display, browsing the website and self-serve purchasing
Interactive projection mapping table
To create retail theatre, brand engagement and present product technology in an interactive way.
• Development of men's category to reflect appropriate market weighting
• App enhancing consumer journey
Introduction to Unbound
Cultural and demographic shifts provide a robust and supportive market backdrop for an ecommerce proposition targeted at the over 55 demographic
| 1 | Ageing population |
- An ageing population combined with increasing life expectancy will continue to increase Unbound's addressable market and the proportion of population with acute comfort needs - Older demographic is the fastest growing demographic of the UK population |
|---|---|---|
| 2 2 |
High concentration of UK wealth with 55+ |
- The UK's wealth is concentrated in the 55+ demographic with approximately 57% of household wealth within this group against a population composition of 38% - Increase in discretionary spend for 50+ demographic is 3x that of under 50s |
| 3 | Increasing digital literacy and online penetration |
- Older generations have rapidly become digitally literate with the COVID pandemic accelerating this trend - Over 30% of internet users in the UK are over 55, broadly in line with their proportion of the UK demographic - Online shopping participation amongst over 65s has increased 20 percentage points since 2017, the largest increase of any age group |
| 4 | Increasing focus on health and wellbeingin older demographic |
- Older generations are increasingly becoming more active with largest percentage increase in exercise participation coming from the over 55 segment - This will be further boosted by more active older generations who are increasingly likely to seek more comfort-oriented products |
| 5 | Materially underserved online |
- The majority of ecommerce businesses are focused on younger demographics with a product suite and marketing campaigns that are inappropriate for 55+ - When combined with the retrenchment of department stores this is resulting in a materially underserved demographic with an opportunity to build a targeted business |
Proven Hotter proposition and capabilities, anchored in enabling version of comfort To
Creating a group that understands, connects with and sells to the 55+ target consumer on a broader and deeper basis
Tap into broader opportunities amplified by recent cultural and demographic shifts
A single brand footwear business serving mainly 55+ women
A multi brand, multi category group serving 55+ women and men with an own brand and third-party offer
"To help people move better, feel better and do more of what they love."
women "Develop technologies, products, experiences and partnerships rooted in digital excellence and unrivalled insight – to give people in their 50s and beyond the comfort and confidence to go further."
| CORE CATEGORIES | ADJACENT CATEGORIES | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| FIT PROPOSITION & / OR ENABLING COMFORT PROPOSITION |
PARTNERSHIP BRANDS PROVIDE OR ENABLE 'MORE OF WHAT YOU LOVE' |
||
| FOOTWEAR | APPAREL | WELLNESS | Detailed categories and partner brand offer being explored and refined as part of proprietary Unbound Insight Programme |
Technologies, products and services that help people do more of what they love.
Aspirational / desirable brand with halo effect on Unbound
| . IN T | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ш | v. |
Relevant category and brand for 55+ comfort-driven male/female consumer
Bring expertise or specialism that adds to Unbound own-brand offering
Strong environmental credentials that amplify Unbound's sustainability story
round pitching
Brands that are specially curated for our 55+ target consumer
| BRAND PARTNERSHIPS WITHIN FOOTWEAR / APPAREL CORE | ||
|---|---|---|
| PHASE ONE | Partner mapping – Completion Q3 Commercial agreements in place – Q1 22 Launch & first revenues- H1 22 |
|
| BRAND PARTNERSHIPS IN ADJACENT MARKETS PHASE TWO Partner mapping – Completion Q1 22 Commercial action plan development |
||
| OWN BRAND COMFORT OFFER OUTSIDE OF FOOTWEAR PHASE THREE Opportunity to develop own brands to drive higher gross margins. We will incorporate the learnings from phases 1 and 2 to minimise executional risk. Timings TBD |
| 1 | The base Hotter Business is a digitally focused growth business, anchored in comfort, focused on its 55+ core demographic with a deep penetration within its database |
|---|---|
| 2 | Our financial guidance published on 15th September CMD presentation remains unchanged. Significant macro tailwinds are present and for future years |
| 3 | Opportunity exists in the model to become a true specialist in this demographic, enabling consumers to do more of what they love |
| 4 | New partnerships being put in place to sell other products and services to 55+ demographic, with a focus on active lifestyles, health and wellbeing |
| 5 | Medium term ambition to generate over 50% of EBIT from non-Hotter products |
| 6 | Multi-award winning digital and transformation leadership team in place |
The transformation of the Hotter business from H1 FY20 to H1 FY22 is apparent from the structural changes across sales channels. Investment and revenues are now focused on the online growth opportunity with an increasingly flexible cost base driving improving EBIT margins.
| Var H1 22 |
vs H1 20 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| £'000 | H1 20 |
H2 20 |
H1 21 |
H2 21 |
H1 22 |
£ | % |
| Direct - On-line UK Consumer to |
10 206 , |
9 974 , |
10 090 , |
12 714 , |
13 365 , |
3 160 , |
31% |
| - Off-line UK Direct Consumer to |
6 539 , |
4 810 , |
2 751 , |
4 333 , |
4 462 , |
(2 077) , |
-32% |
| Direct Consumer - Total UK to |
16,744 | 14,784 | 12,841 | 17,047 | 17,827 | 1,083 | 6 % |
| Retail - Retained |
6,625 | 6,671 | 1,327 | 2,389 | 2,944 | (3,681) | -56% |
| Direct US to consumer |
4,652 | 5,090 | 2,674 | 2,581 | 2,389 | (2,263) | -49% |
| Digital partnerships |
1 090 , |
1 332 , |
963 | 1 588 , |
1 234 , |
144 | 13% |
| Wholesale & other |
1 922 , |
1 617 , |
837 | 790 | 633 | (1 289) , |
-67% |
| Other revenue |
3,012 | 2,949 | 1,800 | 2,378 | 1,867 | (1,145) | -38% |
| Total Revenue |
31,034 | 29,495 | 18,642 | 24,395 | 25,028 | (6,007) | -19% |
| Retail - Closed |
12 666 , |
12 333 , |
1 384 , |
64 | 0 | (12 666) , |
-100% |
| Reported Revenue |
43,700 | 41,828 | 20,026 | 24,459 | 25,028 | (18,673) | -43% |
Significant growth in EBIT, both in absolute terms and as percentage of revenue
| Var H1 22 |
H1 20 vs |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| £'000 | 20 H1 |
H2 20 |
21 H1 |
H2 21 |
22 H1 |
£ | % | |
| Revenue | 43,700 | 41,828 | 20 026 , |
24 ,459 |
25 028 , |
(18 673) , |
-43% | |
| profit Gross |
27 012 , |
26 ,448 |
10 ,149 |
13,060 | 15,418 | (11 ,595) |
-43% | |
| 62% | 63% | 51% | 53% | 62% | ||||
| Semi variable costs |
(10 933) , 25% |
(9 927) , 24% |
(6 777) , 34% |
(8 605) , 35% |
(7 631) , 30% |
3 302 , |
-30% | |
| Fixed costs |
(14 825) , |
(15 637) , |
(8 213) , |
(5 078) , |
(6 198) , |
8 628 , |
-58% | |
| 34% | 37% | 41% | 21% | 25% | ||||
| EBIT - IFRS |
1,254 | 884 | (4 841) , |
(623) | 1,589 | 335 | 27% | |
| 3% | 2 % |
-24% | -3% | 6 % |
||||
| EBITDA - FRS |
2 ,394 5% |
1,603 4% |
(3 ,711) -19% |
848 3% |
2 ,519 10% |
125 | 5% | |
Continued growth within on-line and off-line channels, with Retail stores recovering to pre-COVID levels by the end of 2022. Improved gross margin and continued management of costs driving improving EBITDA margin over medium term.
| UK Direct to Consumer | On-line: Mid teen % annual growth expected |
|---|---|
| Off-line: Mid single digit % annual growth expected | |
| UK Retail | Recovers to FY20 levels by end of FY23 and then stable |
| US Direct to Consumer | Undergoing strategic review, short term maintained at current levels |
| Hotter Digital Partnerships | Double digit % annual growth |
| Wholesale | Maintained at current levels |
| Gross Margin | Approximately 2% above pre-covid levels from FY23 as covid disruption diminishes and positive impact of differentiated product drives margin |
| EBIT Margin | Levels to reach mid teen % over medium term |
| Cash Conversion | Operating cashflow (pre-exceptionals) in line with EBITDA |
| Capital Expenditure | Annual capital expenditure spend of c£2.5m. No material one-off spends required in the medium term with plan spend exceeding current depreciation levels |
| Working capital | No structural change with stable conversion of EBITDA to cash |
| Net Debt/(Cash) |
Targeted to be maintained below 2x maintainable EBITDA in short term, in the medium term a net cash position without future strategic spend |
Digital growth building on the profitable Hotter platform
| Strategy | Framework | |
|---|---|---|
| Unbound Partnership Model |
• Unbound will add digital partnerships to build on and further develop the focussed consumer database already in place through Hotter • Developing on the digital platform already in place for Hotter, building in a scalable manner |
• Commission based partnership model for non-Hotter sales • First revenues from H1 calendar 2022 • Profit generated from non-Hotter revenues targeted at 25% of group profit in 3 years and 50% in 5 years • Unbound partnerships will be EBITDA and cash generative from the outset but with reinvestment in growth in short term • No investment required in inventory in the short / medium term |
Reinvestment in the business to drive future growth
| Strategy | Framework | |
|---|---|---|
| Capital Expenditure |
• Re-invest in the business to drive long term growth • Focus on scaling the digital platform |
• Hotter capital expenditure of c.£2.5m per year • Unbound capital expenditure of £3m by end of calendar year 2022 |
| Dividend Policy |
• No dividends planned in medium term |
• Focus on capital appreciation |
| Net Debt | • Focus on investment for growth |
• Targeted to be below 2x EBITDA in short term, in medium term a net cash position without future strategic spend |
Increased supply chain costs primarily in relation to incoming air freight costs, so represent a future opportunity for cost
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