Earnings Release • Mar 6, 2012
Earnings Release
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www.altareacogedim.com
Alain Taravella
Recurrence and Added-Value
New products / concepts A method, an approach
At the forefront of the Internet (e-commerce) green revolution
Cogedim / RueduCommerce / Family Village…
Predica / ABP / CDC French banks
Multi-specialty / Multi-product / Multi-channel Profit-sharing (compensation and employee shareholding) Pride in belonging
• A sustainable development approach rewarded by a high ranking in Novethic barometer
PER SHARE, IN €
| 2011 | Var. 2010 | |
|---|---|---|
| Funds from Operations (1) | €13.1 | + 12% |
| NAV (going-concern) | €147.2 | + 6% |
| Loan-to-value (2) | 51.2% | - 200bp |
| (3) Proposed Dividend |
€9.0 | + 12.5% |
(1) Results before changes in fair value and non cash expenses
(2) Net financial borrowing / Value of assets
(3) Proposed to the General Meeting of Shareholders scheduled May 25, 2012, with an option of payment in shares
New shares to be issued at a discount of 10% to average price for 20 trading days preceding the GM
Christian de Gournay
| In € Millions |
2011 | 2010 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUES (excl. tax) |
822 | 577 | +42% |
| OPERATING MARGIN (1) | 10.5% | 9.1% | +140bps |
| (excl. tax) (2) BACKLOG |
1,620 | 1,395 | +16% |
Backlog = 2 years' revenues excl. tax
(1) Operating cash flow / Revenues
(2) The backlog comprises revenues excl. tax from notarised sales to be recognised on a percentage-of-completion basis and individual and block reservations to be notarised
Domestic market share by value
| - | + |
|---|---|
| Uncertainty Factors | Fundamentals |
| > Election year > Recession > Consumer confidence > Access to credit |
> Structural gap in new housing vs. rise in number of households > Political will to build more > Weak commercial offer > Individual aversion to financial risk |
| Down | Value Preservation |
| > Pure tax-driven products > Low purchase-power buyers > Lesser-quality sites > Areas with low population density |
> Favorable to premium > Wealth preservation buying in premium and middle market > Continued efficient support for housing > First-timers (zero interest loans+) > Mid-level Scellier incentive scheme > Furnished lessor tax regime |
• A wider range to cover the many markets
Brand capital
Multi-channel client approach
Innovation
Cours Dillon – Toulouse €4,800 /sqm
L'Elégante – Cannes €8,900 /sqm
Rive Lémania – Divonne €6,000 /sqm
Lofoten – Cergy €3,700 /sqm
Terres d'Ocre – Martigues €3,200 /sqm
Emalia – Montreuil €4,300 /sqm
Bruges Grand Darnal – Bordeaux €1,850 /sqm - Delivery 2011 to SNI
Rillieux Village – Greater Lyon €2,680 /sqm - Delivery 2011
Miramas (Provence) Breaking ground 2012
Choice locations
Elegant architecture
Lasting materials
Quality execution
Decoration of common areas: 100% unique
Apartment lay-outs: 100% quality
Cogedim.com iPad Application
Extranet Cogedim-partenaires.com
Sales office / on-site sales force
Sales force targeting individual investors
Referrals managers
Sales force targeting institutions
Phone reception / mail / email
Example: "Sky" in Courbevoie (€8,700 /sqm)
Before
After
3 residences launched in 2011
10 launched planned for 2012
Jardin d'Aragon – Villejuif €6,300 /sqm
Cour des Lys – Sèvres €7,800 /sqm (Office to residential)
Arcachon €7,300 /sqm
Example: Massy Grand Ouest (91)
| « END USERS' » MARKET |
INVESTMENT | INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS |
|---|---|---|
| • The premium markets are still vibrant |
• Wealth management driven |
• New development potential for the rental |
| • Attractive locations in high-density areas and in all product range |
• Service Residences under non-professional furnished lessor tax régime |
market |
| • Mid-level Scellier tax incentive rental products |
(1) Sales Offer: €633 Million (or 6 months' 2011 sales)
Future Offer: €2,988 Million (or 30 months' 2011 sales)
Stéphane Theuriau
| 2011 | 2010 | |
|---|---|---|
| DELIVERIES SQM | 170,000 | 71,000 |
| TAKE UP € MILLIONS |
131 | 332 |
| BACKLOG € MILLIONS |
163 | 194 |
HQE, THPE
Suresnes
HQE
Paris 18th
HQE, BREEAM, RT 2012
Management mandate
• Development contract 22,000 sqm for GE REAL ESTATE
| - | + |
|---|---|
| Down Cycle | Opportunities |
| > Decline in effective placed demand > Decline in real rents > Users seeking savings |
> New offers drying up > "Low cost" story > Exceptional buildings |
Growing volumes in "Core" product
Very few speculative projects
Credit tightening
Very few new funds raised
Need for more equity
Few investors can commit to large development operations
• 22,000 sqm • HQE, BBC
New projects with no rental risk
Stable overall household consumer spending
Accelerated consumer spending on the Internet
Development of a new generation of nomadic
consumers (who switch from one channel to the other, from premium to discount)
Leisure Development (multiplexes, restaurants,…)
Family Village / Retail Park
Large regional centers
Leisure, a transversal component
Areas with strong potential
| ASSETS | PROJECTS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| In € Millions |
In € Millions |
||
| Value (Duty Included) 100% | 3,310 | Net Investments (2) | 1,414 |
| Company's share | 2,618 | Company's share | 815 |
| Rents | 200 | Rents projected | 126 |
| Capitalization rate (1) | 6.15% | Yield (3) | 8.9% |
| -14bp | |||
(1) Net rental yield over appraisal value net of stamp duty
(2) Total budget including carrying interest paid and internal costs, minus sales and entry fees
(3) Gross anticipated rents / net investment
• 3 small city-center assets
Thionville Reims Vichy (1)
€ 121.2 Million (2) in disposals, before duty (8% more than value on June 30) 2011 CAPEX: € 127 M (3)
• Villeneuve La Garenne regional center
63,400 sqm
• Nîmes Costières Family Village
27,500 sqm
(3) Change in non-current assets net of changes in payables to suppliers of non-current assets , group share (€150 M for 100%)
(1) Figures at 100% the average unit value of assets under shared ownership is €53.4 Million, up by 10%)
Tenants rotation: 11%
Representing an average +13% increase in rents on re-lettings/renewals
(1) Cumulated revenues of retailers, like-for-like square metres (base 100 in 2009)
(2) Net amount of charges to and reversals of provisions for doubtful receivables plus any write-offs in the period as a percentage of total rent and expenses charged to tenants
(3) Estimated rental value (ERV) of vacant units as a percentage of total estimated rental value of the portfolio including ERV and excluding property under redevelopment
(4) Figures for France. International: 71 leases signed (14% tenants rotation)
7 new projects
8 extensions and/or restructurings
3 new projects (Nîmes, Le Mans, Roncq)
2 restructurings / extensions (Toulouse and Massy)
(1) For 100%
Opens March 2013
Phase 2 of the Group's 1st Family Village, opened in 2007
Total Phase 1 + Phase 2 (without Leisure): 60,000 sqm
On the Belgian border
Over 60% pre-sold 2 years before opening
In one of the largest consumer markets in the South of France
Evaluating large add-on Leisure center
A showcase 67,000 m² project
Preparation of a large-scale extension marrying Retail and Leisure (waterfront site)
Regional scale site near 2nd largest CORA hypermarket in France
Restructuring and extension of mall to 26,000 sqm with over 100 retail units
Execution of Phase 2 of the Gramont shopping center extension, with over 80 retail units
Only 1% of sites perform 100,000 transactions per year
More and more cybercustomers who are buying more and more
| Segments | Internet Penetration |
Annual growth (1) |
|---|---|---|
| Fashion / apparel | 8% | 14% |
| Electronics | 11% | 8% |
| Media | 11% | 17% |
| Home / Garden / DIY |
6% | 25% |
| Appliances | 10% | 13% |
| Beauty / Health | 14% | 12% |
| Sports & Leisure | 5% | 15% |
| Automotive / Motorcycle | 3% | 47% |
| Toys | 6% | 12% |
| (1) towards 2015 |
Sources: GFK, FEVAD, FEDA, IFM, Sageret, Accuracy
En 2015, web-based commerce will account for 10 to 25% of the market, depending on the segment
| 6 to 8 Million of unique visitors per month (women 44%, men 56%) |
5.5 Million client accounts |
87% awareness |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Sites | Activité | U.V. / mo. (1) | |
| 1 | Le Bon Coin | General Merchandise, petites annonces B/C | 14.6 |
| 2 | Amazon | General Merchandise, marketplace B/C |
13.3 |
| 3 | Cdiscount | General Merchandise, deals B/C | 10.4 |
| 4 | PriceMinister | General Merchandise, deals B/C | 9.3 |
| 5 | Ebay | General Merchandise, marketplace B/C |
9.0 |
| 6 | Fnac | Media, direct sales B/C |
8.9 |
| 7 | Groupon | General Merchandise, deals B/C | 8.6 |
| 8 | La Redoute | Fashion / home, direct sales B/C |
8.5 |
| 9 | Rue du Commerce (2) | Electronics, direct sales B/C + General Merchandise, marketplace |
B/C 6.9 |
| 10 | 3 Suisses | Mode / maison, direct sales B/C |
6.5 |
| 11 | Pixmania | Electronics, direct sales B/C + General merchandise, marketplace B/C |
6.2 |
| 12 | Venteprivée.com | Apparel, deals B/C | 6.1 |
| 13 | Carrefour | General Merchandise, direct sales B/C |
6.0 |
| 14 | Sarenza | Fashion, marketplace B/C |
5.6 |
| 15 | Darty | Appliances, Electronics, direct sales B/C |
5.0 |
Sources: FEVAD and Médiamétrie/Netratings – Excluding specialized and non competitive websites (voyages-sncf.com)
(1) January 2012, number of individuals who have visited the site at least once that month, in Millions of unique visitors (2) Includes TopAchat and Alapage
A mass media which delivers access to 1 French person out of 10 each month (6 to 8 million single, differentiated visitors per month in buying mode)
One of the largest French webmerchants (revenues generated: €384 M)
5.5 Million client accounts, geographically located with customer history
"One brand - one name" with high brand awareness and vast multi-channel access potential
Very high-growth online mall, model highly similar to bricks-and-mortar shopping center
Teams and technology highly complementary to those of Altarea Cogedim
| For the Retail Property Co |
Technological leverage to deliver high value-added innovations to benefit brands and final customer |
|---|---|
| For RueduCommerce |
Resources for a new stage in its developement (target turnover over €1 Billion) |
| For Cogedim |
Significant strengthening of its multi-channel distribution system, cross-channel sales potential |
| In € Millions |
2011 | 2010 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUES | 1,113.0 | 863.5 | +29% |
| OPERATING CASH FLOW | 220.0 | 197.8 | +11% |
| FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS (FFO) |
140.4 | 122.5 | +15% |
| NET IFRS EARNINGS AFTER CHANGES IN FAIR VALUE |
94.0 | 150.2 | -37% |
| In € Millions |
Retail (1) | Residential (2) | Office (3) | 2011 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rental income | 162.1 -1% |
162.1 | |||
| Revenues by percentage of completion |
821.5 +42% |
102.0 +56% |
923.5 | +44% | |
| Fees | 16.5 +21% |
1.0 n/a |
6.1 -43% |
23.6 | -15% |
| Misc. | 3.8 | 3.8 | |||
| Revenues | 182.4 +0.4% |
822.5 +42% |
108.1 +43% |
1,113.0 | +29% |
| In € Millions |
Retail (1) | Residential | (2) | Office (3) | 2011 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net rents | 148.8 | -2% | 148.8 | ||||||
| Net margins | 101.7 | +72% | 3.1 | -47% | 104.8 | ||||
| Net overhead | (21.5) | (15.7) | (1.7) | (38.9) | |||||
| Share in associated companies (Rungis…) |
8.2 | 0.1 | (1.3) | 7.0 | |||||
| Other | (1.7) | (1.7) | |||||||
| Operating Cash Flow |
135.4 | -3% | 86.1 | +64% | 0.1 | n/a | (1.7) | 220.0 | +11% |
(1) Rents: net to gross ratio = 91.8% (vs. 92.5% in 2010)
Impact of the program mix on revenues under percentage-of-completion method (2009 and 2010 sales)
| FFO per share | €13.1 | €11.7 | +12.4% |
|---|---|---|---|
| FFO Group share |
134.3 | 119.8 | +12.1% |
| FUNDS FROM OPERATIONS (FFO) |
140.4 | 122.5 | +14.6% |
| Corporate income tax paid |
(0.8) | (0.5) | (2) |
| Net cost of debt |
(78.7) | (74.8) | (1) |
| Operating cash flow |
220.0 | 197.8 | |
| In € Millions |
2011 | 2010 |
| In € Millions |
2011 | 2010 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Funds from operations |
140.4 | 122.5 | |
| Income/loss from asset sales | 6.3 | 37.8 | (1) |
| Var. in appraised value of investment properties |
70.0 | 48.7 | (2) |
| Transaction costs* | (13.3) | - | |
| Deferred taxation | (8.8) | (13.2) | |
| Estimated expenses ** |
(13.8) | (26.7) | |
| Net consolidated earnings before change in value of financial instruments |
174.4 | 161.0 | +8.3% |
| Var. in value of financial instruments | (80.4) | (10.8) | (3) |
| Net consolidated IFRS earnings |
94.0 | 150.2 | -37.4% |
(1) The price of assets sold in 2011 were on average 8% higher than the values appraised as of June 30, 2011
(2) Like-for-like asset values increased by 4.1%
(3) Impact of the fall in interest rates on the value of the swaps portfolio as of December 31, 2011
* Uncapitalized transaction fees (AltaFund, RueduCommerce, Urbat)
** Amortization, depreciation, free shares
(1) Diluted going-concern NAV net of financial instruments and non-SIIC taxation EPRA NAV: €153.7 (+ 12%) / EPRA triple NAV: €139.7 (+ 6%)
Gross debt excl. development (€2,202 M) + Develoment gross debt (€163 M) – Cash (€263 M) – IFRS adjustments (€21 M) = Net debt (€2,081 M)
| RETAIL | RESIDENTIAL | OFFICE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OUR MARKETS | Stable consumer spending |
Markets changes |
Selective recovery of office market (low cost, green) |
| OPERATING OBJECTIVES |
Revenue growth like-for-like (re position / re-market) Major gains in business volumes at RueduCommerce |
Gain market share (broader range and geography) Very significant jump in revenues thanks to backlog (2 years' revs) |
st 1 investments by AltaFund Strong increase in service provider and development businesses |
Prepare further medium-term earnings growth with Altarea Cogedim Group's full range of businesses
| - | + | |
|---|---|---|
| OPERATIONS | • Rents consolidating in Shopping Centers |
• Strong earnings increase in Residential and 1st profits from Office |
| FINANCE | • Increase in financing costs |
• Borrowing down |
| INVESTING FOR THE FUTURE |
• Spending for the future « Outlook 2014 » (Organization, marketing) |
• Continued growth of results on mid term |
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