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Aryzta AG

Investor Presentation Sep 27, 2009

818_ip_2009-09-27_40eefffe-c06a-4b50-abd9-35025b39b190.pdf

Investor Presentation

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ARYZTA AG FY 2009 Results

28 September 2009

This presentation contains forward looking statements which reflect management's current views and estimates. The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.

Highlights

  • First annual results for ARYZTA AG
  • Merger of Hiestand and IAWS Group August 2008
  • Underlying EPS growth of 16.0% to 234.7 cent
  • Proposed dividend payout of 35.2 cent per share based on a payout ratio of 15.0% of underlying fully diluted EPS
  • Origin Enterprises underlying earnings growth of 6.0%
  • Strong cash flow, 115.9% conversion of underlying Food Group profits
  • Food Group closing net debt: EBITDA of 1.77x
  • Implemented Swiss ICS (Internal Control Systems)

ARYZTA AG Our Business

Our Business

  • Zurich based Swiss AG
  • Operations in Europe, North America, South East Asia and Australia

  • Created in 2008 merger of Hiestand and IAWS August 2008
  • Primary listing in Zurich (SIX; ARYN), and secondary listing in Dublin (ISE; YZA)
  • Holds 71.4% of Origin Enterprises plc (Origin); an agri-nutrition business
  • Origin listed on the AIM in London (AIM; OGN) and IEX in Dublin (IEX; OIZ)

Our Markets

Food Europe

Food Europe has leading market positions in the speciality bakery market in Switzerland, Germany, Poland, the UK, Ireland and France. In Europe, ARYZTA has a mixture of business to business and consumer brands, including Hiestand, Cuisine de France, Delice de France and Coup de Pates.

Our Markets

Food North America

Food North America has leading market positions in freshly baked cookies and freshly baked artisan bread. The business has two iconic brands which evoke emotional appeal with the US consumer, namely Otis Spunkmeyer and La Brea Bakery.

Our Markets

Food Developing Markets ARYZTA has embryonic businesses in Japan, Malaysia and Australia.

Coup de Pates

Coup de Pates is the principal brand of Groupe Hubert, a leading developer and distributor of bakery products to the bakery, craft and foodservice sectors in France. Groupe Hubert offers its customers bread, viennoiserie, patisserie, traiteur and reception products.

Cuisine de France

Cuisine de France offers the consumer traditional French breads, pastries and also a wide range of continentalstyle breads, confectionery and hot savoury items. Cuisine de France provides a complete bake-off solution primarily to the retail industry, as well as staff training and category management to enable the timely delivery of ready-to-bake products.

Delice de France

Delice de France supplies high quality continental breads, viennoiserie, savoury and confectionery products, including hospitality goods, primarily to the foodservice and catering industry. The business offers premium solutions tailored to meet future customer and consumer needs. It is the UK's leading provider of innovative and authentic continental bakery products to the foodservice trade.

Hiestand

Hiestand offers a broad range of innovative bakery products (croissants, bread, rolls, pastries, snacks, pretzels) and the comprehensive services to actively promote sales. Hiestand provides added value for business-to-business customers. Through the close-knit logistical and distribution network, assurance is given that products sold to customers are consistently 'fresher than fresh'.

Food North America

La Brea Bakery

La Brea Bakery is widely credited as the pioneer and leader of the artisan bread movement in America. La Brea Bakery offers a wide assortment of rustic breads ranging from baguettes and loaves to sandwich and dinner rolls.

Food North America

Otis Spunkmeyer

Otis Spunkmeyer is a leading, premium fresh baked goods brand in its US market categories. An iconic brand, it has strong recognition and awareness across a national customer base in the foodservice and retail channels.

Origin

ARYZTA AG is the majority shareholder (71.4%) in Origin Enterprises plc, which has a listing on the AIM in London and the IEX in Dublin (AIM:OGN,IEX:OIZ). Origin is a leading player in the agrinutrition sector in Ireland, the UK, Poland and Norway and has a leading ambient food and cereal milling business in Ireland.

ARYZTA AG Financial Review

Proforma
in Euro `000 July 2009 July 20086 %
Group revenue 3,212,270 3,134,201 2.5
Group operating profit1 280,409 245,017 14.4
Share of associates and JVs2 17,525 17,455
Operating profit incl. associates and JVs1 297,934 262,472 13.5
Finance cost, net (50,652) (44,446)
Pre tax profits1 247,282 218,026
Income tax1 (45,085) (42,907)
Minority interest3 (17,649) (15,476)
Underlying fully diluted net profit 184,548 159,643 15.5
Underlying fully diluted EPS (cent) 234.7c5 202.2c4 16.0

1 Before impact of intangible amortisation, non-recurring items and related tax credits.

2 Associates & JVs profit net of tax and interest.

3 Presented after dilutive impact of Origin management incentives and investment propery write down.

4 Proforma 2008 underlying fully diluted EPS calculated using 78,940,460 shares issued during IPO in August 2008.

5 Actual 2009 underlying fully diluted EPS calculated using weighted average number of shares in issue of 78,626,718.

6 Prepared on a proforma basis including Hiestand Holding AG in prior year comparative as disclosed in the ARYZTA Results Announcement published in September 2008.

Food
Food N. Developing Total
in Euro million Food Europe1 America Markets1 Food Group Origin2 Total
Group revenue 1,137.2 555.1 20.4 1,712.7 1,499.6 3,212.3
Underlying growth (2.2)% 12.5% 1.5% 1.9% (8.4)% (3.0)%
Acquisitions 2.2% 1.6% 16.1% 8.5%
Currency (2.4)% 10.0% 15.3% 1.2% (7.6)% (3.0)%
Revenue increase (2.4)% 22.5% 16.8% 4.7% 0.1% 2.5%

1 Prepared on a proforma basis including Hiestand Holding AG in prior year comparative as disclosed in the ARYZTA Results Announcement published in September 2008.

2 Origin revenue is presented after deducting intra group sales between Origin and Food Group.

Total operating profit 297,934 262,472 13.5
Total associates 17,525 17,455 0.4
Origin 3,717 2,252 65.1
Food North America 13,808 15,203 (9.2)
Associates & JVs2
Total Group 280,409 245,017 14.4
Origin 75,702 70,926 6.7
Total Food Group 204,707 174,091 17.6
Food Developing Markets 2,123 928 129.0
Food North America 67,481 51,865 30.1
Food Europe 135,103 121,298 11.4
Food Group1
in Euro `000 July 2009 Proforma
July 20083
%

1 Before impact of intangible amortisation and non-recurring items.

  • 2 Associates & JVs profit net of tax and interest.
  • 3 Prepared on a proforma basis including Hiestand Holding AG in prior year comparative as disclosed in the ARYZTA Results Announcment published in September 2008.

Non-Recurring Items

  • EUR 96.5m net of minorities and taxes
  • Non-cash impact
  • Relates to:
  • 70% write down of Origin investment property

  • Merger costs

  • Dividend payout based on underlying profit excluding non-recurring items and amortisation

  • Proposed dividend
  • 15.0% of underlying fully diluted EPS

  • 234.7 cent x 15% = 35.2 cent

  • Timetable for dividend
  • Shareholder approval 3 December 2009 (General assembly)

  • Anticipated ex-date 7 December 2009

  • Payment date 10 December 2009

Proforma
in Euro `000 July 2009 July 2008³ %
Group revenue 1,712,754 1,635,362 4.7
Group operating profit1 204,707 174,091 17.6
Operating margin 12.0% 10.6%
Share of JV2 13,808 15,203
Operating profit incl. JV1 218,515 189,294 15.4
Financing costs, net (33,299) (29,874)
Pre tax profits1 185,216 159,420
Income tax1 (32,845) (30,933)
Minority interest (3,035) (1,813)
Underlying net profit 149,336 126,674 18.0

1 Before impact of intangible amortisation, non-recurring items and related tax credits.

2 Share of profits of joint venture is presented above after interest and tax.

3 Prepared on a proforma basis including Hiestand Holding AG in prior year comparative as disclosed, in the ARYZTA Results Announcment published in September 2008.

Food Group Cash Generation

in Euro `000 July 2009
EBIT 161,724
Amortisation 42,983
EBITA 204,707
Depreciation 54,628
EBITDA 259,335
Working capital movement 24,675
Dividends received 18,830
Ongoing capital expenditure (15,047)
Interest & tax (53,562)
Other 2,126
Cash flow generated from activities 236,357
Underlying net profit¹ 149,336
Depreciation 54,628
203,964
Net underlying cash earnings conversion % 115.9%

1 Underlying net profit before impact of non-recurring items and amortisation.

24 © ARYZTA, September 2009

in Euro `000 Food Group
Food Group proforma opening net debt as at 31 July 2008 (552,562)
Cash flow generated from activities 236,357
Investment capital expenditure (63,006)
Deferred consideration and acquisition costs (76,497)
Foreign exchange movement (42,203)²
Other (7,593)
Food Group closing net debt 31 July 2009 (505,504)
Net debt to EBITDA 1.77x¹

1 Food Group net debt to EBITDA ratio based on bank covenant definition. EBITDA includes proforma contribution from the Canadian JV and the French acquisition during the year. It also is adjusted for the non cash share based payments charge.

2 Foreign exchange movement is primarily attributable to the fluctuation in the US Dollar between July 2008 (1.5729) and July 2009 (1.4252).

  • Origin debt facilities are standalone and non-recourse to ARYZTA AG
  • ARYZTA AG excellent committed banking facilities totalling EUR 1.16bn
  • EUR 795m revolving credit facility matures 20 June 2013
  • USD 450m private placement matures between 13 June 2014 13 June 2019
  • Revolving facilities c. 23.9% net drawn down at 31 July 2009
  • Banking covenants as follows:
Covenants FYO9 Actual
Net debt: EBITDA (not greater than) 3.5 times 1.77 times
Interest cover (not less than) 4.0 times 8.55 times
in Euro `000 July 09
Cash (204,586)
Within 1 year 15,663
Between 1 and 2 years 848
Between 2 and 5 years 483,083
Greater than 5 years 210,497
Total net debt 505,504
Weighted average debt maturity in years 5.35 yrs
Food N. Total
in Euro million Food Europe¹ America Food Group5 Origin Total
2009
Group share net assets2 1,344 638 1,986 382 2,368
EBITA & JVs/associates cont.4 135 81 219 79 298
ROI 10.0% 12.7% 11.0% 20.7% 12.6%
2008
Group share net assets 1,222 592 1,815 366 2,181
EBITA & JVs/associates cont.4 119 67 189 73 262
ROI 9.7% 11.3% 10.4% 20.0% 12.0%

1 Food Europe and Developing Markets 2008 net assets and operating profit presented on a proforma basis including Hiestand Holding AG intangibles and net assets as disclosed in the ARYZTA Results Announcement published in September 2008.

2 Net assets exclude all bank debt, cash, cash equivalents and tax related balances. Details of this calculation for Food Group and Origin net assets are set out as part of ARYZTA AG's News Release.

3 Food Group net assets includes previously written off goodwill of EUR 51.8 million. Origin net assets includes previously written off goodwill of EUR 59.4 million.

4 Earnings before interest tax and amortisation (EBITA) is presented before the impact of non-recurring items. The contribution from associates and JVs is net profit (i.e. presented after interest and tax).

5 Total Food Group includes the net assets and EBITA for Food Developing Markets which are not separately shown.

6 The Group WACC is currently 7.6%.

ARYZTA AG Business Review

Year in Review

  • Q1 Global financial crisis
  • Recession spread and deepened throughout the year
  • Substantial financial stimulus
  • Credit severely restricted
  • Reduced consumer spending
  • Banking crisis became consumer crisis

Implications of Financial Crisis

  • Reduced spending + restricted credit
  • Increased credit risk

  • Impact on customers:
  • Reducing costs

  • Reducing investment

  • Delaying decisions

Bakery Business

  • Bakery everyday food
  • Basic and sustainable
  • Indulgent and affordable
  • Challenge to deliver everyday consumer experience
  • Consistent high quality baked goods
  • Consistent availability through dayparts

  • Revenue growth declined each quarter

  • Ireland and UK most impacted
  • Reduced cost base

  • Grangecastle enhanced efficiency

  • Continental Europe proved resilient
  • Expanding channel penetration

  • Utilising logistics capability

  • Unlocked merger benefits

Food North America

  • Revenue growth declined each quarter
  • Consumer seeking value conserving \$
  • Most channels show declining revenues
  • Consumer slowdown continuing
  • La Brea Bakery proved resilient
  • Otis Spunkmeyer growth driver

Origin

  • Satisfactory performance in volatile market
  • 6.0% underlying earnings growth
  • Masstock well positioned real growth driver
  • Marine proteins in strategic joint venture
  • Investment properties written down
  • Facing challenges in 2010
  • Irish farming impacted by volatility and reduced credit

  • Dairy particularly impacted

  • Long-term outlook, excellent

ARYZTA Positioning

  • Well invested bakeries
  • Passionate motivated people
  • Customer partnership model
  • Food business is defensive
  • Bakery is a value proposition for customers without compromise
  • Investing in process ARYZTA Technology Initiative (ATI)
  • Response time

  • Shorter pipeline /lead time

  • Efficiency reduced cost to serve

  • Efficient and well invested business model

  • Cash remains a priority over revenue
  • Customers and consumers in survival mode
  • September 2008; did not predict severity of recession
  • September 2009; cannot predict recovery
  • Double digit revenue growth to declining revenue growth (12 months)
  • 2010 starting weaker than 2009
  • Consensus estimate* for 2010 underlying EPS appears reasonable

* See Slide 48 for 2010 mean underlying EPS consensus estimate

ARYZTA AG Appendix 1 – Origin Financials

in Euro `000 July 2009 July 2008 %
Group revenue1 1,499,516 1,498,839 0.1
Group operating profit2 75,702 70,926 6.7
Operating margin3 5.0% 4.7%
Share of associates and JV4 3,717 2,252
Operating profit incl. associates and JV2 79,419 73,178 8.5
Financing costs, net (17,353) (14,572)
Pre tax profits2 62,066 58,606
Income tax2 (12,240) (11,974)
Minority interest (134) 239
Underlying net profit 49,692 46,871 6.0
Adjusted fully diluted EPS (cent) 36.16c 34.05c 6.2

1 Origin revenue is presented after deducting intra group sales between Origin and Food Group.

2 Before impact of intangible amortisation, non-recurring items and related tax credits.

3 Origin operating margin based on full revenue including intra-group sales between Origin and Food Group.

4 Associate & JV profit net of tax and interest.

Origin Underlying Net Profit Reconciliation

in Euro `000 July 2009
Reported net (loss) (56,825)
Amortisation of intangible assets 3,294
Tax on amortisation (380)
Property write down 134,543
Tax on write down (30,940)
Underlying net profit 49,692

Underlying fully diluted EPS1 36.16

1 The share denominator for the year ended 31 July 2009 is 137,417,000.

ARYZTA AG Appendix 2 – Other Financial Information

in Euro `000 July 2009
Reported net profit 54,010
Amortisation of intangible assets 46,277
Tax on amortisation (11,180)
Property write down 134,543
Tax on property write down (30,940)
Minority interest impact of property write down (29,609)
Merger costs 22,738
Tax on merger costs (218)
Other non-recurring items net of tax
Underlying net profit 185,621
Dilutive impact of Origin management incentives (1,073)
Underlying fully diluted 184,548
Underlying fully diluted EPS1 234.7

1 The share denominator for the year ended 31 July 2009 is 78,626,718, as set out in the 31 July 2009 News Release.

Food Group underlying Net Profit Reconciliation

Underlying net profit 149,336
Tax on merger costs (218)
Merger costs 22,738
Tax on amortisation (10,800)
Amortisation of intangible assets 42,983
Reported net profit 94,633
in Euro `000 July 2009

ARYZTA AG Balance Sheet

in Euro `000 As at July 2009
Property, plant and equipment 664,532
Investment properties 62,975
Goodwill and intangible assets 1,498,430
Associates and joint ventures 139,351
Working capital (14,871)
Other segmental liabilities (93,592)
Segmental net assets 2,256,825
Net debt (659,256)
Deferred tax, net (176,474)
Income tax (40,650)
Derivative financial instruments (12,477)
Net assets 1,367,968
in Euro `000 As at July 2009
Property, plant and equipment 577,772
Investment properties 3,761
Goodwill and intangible assets 1,382,431
Joint venture 55,720
Working capital (28,744)
Other segmental liabilities (55,544)
Segmental net assets 1,935,396
Net debt (505,504)
Deferred tax, net (162,355)
Income tax (38,116)
Derivative financial instruments (5,432)
Net assets 1,223,989
July 09 July 08 %
Closing Rates
Sterling 0.8545 0.7911 (8.0)
US Dollar 1.4252 1.5729 9.4
Swiss Franc 1.5247 1.6247 6.2
Canadian Dollar 1.5372 1.5946 3.6
Average Rates
Sterling 0.8615 0.7435 (15.9)
US Dollar 1.3643 1.4855 8.2
Swiss Franc 1.5310 1.6276 5.9
Canadian Dollar 1.5932 1.4962 (6.5)

ARYZTA AG Appendix 3 – Analysts' Consensus

in Euro `000 mean
Based on 14 analysts
EBITA including associates & JVs 285,202
Underlying fully diluted net profit 180,134
Underlying EPS (cent) 224.6
Based on 6 analysts
Food Group Net Debt (400,825)
Origin Net Debt (109,977)

1 Net profit & EPS presented before impact of amortisation and non-recurring items.

2 EBITA presented before impact of non-recurring items.

3 Associates and JVs presented after interest and tax.

* These estimates were collated by Temple Bar Advisory (TBA), an investor relations consultancy firm. Contributions were received from Berenberg, Credit Suisse, Davy, Goldman Sachs, Goodbody, Helvea, Kepler, Mainfirst, Merrion, NCB, Oppenheim, UBS, Vontobel and ZKB between September 14 – 21 2009. Neither TBA nor ARYZTA AG warrant the accuracy or completeness of these forecasts.

ARYZTA AG Thank you!

Investor Meeting Requests [email protected]

*All enquiries regarding investor meeting requests should be sent by email.

Company Contact Hilliard Lombard Head of Group Finance and Communications

ARYZTA AG

Talacker 41 8001 Zurich Switzerland Tel: +41 (0) 44 583 42 00 Fax: +41 (0) 44 583 42 49 [email protected] www.aryzta.com

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