Investor Presentation • Sep 27, 2009
Investor Presentation
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28 September 2009
This presentation contains forward looking statements which reflect management's current views and estimates. The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.
Operations in Europe, North America, South East Asia and Australia
Origin listed on the AIM in London (AIM; OGN) and IEX in Dublin (IEX; OIZ)
Food Europe has leading market positions in the speciality bakery market in Switzerland, Germany, Poland, the UK, Ireland and France. In Europe, ARYZTA has a mixture of business to business and consumer brands, including Hiestand, Cuisine de France, Delice de France and Coup de Pates.
Food North America has leading market positions in freshly baked cookies and freshly baked artisan bread. The business has two iconic brands which evoke emotional appeal with the US consumer, namely Otis Spunkmeyer and La Brea Bakery.
Coup de Pates is the principal brand of Groupe Hubert, a leading developer and distributor of bakery products to the bakery, craft and foodservice sectors in France. Groupe Hubert offers its customers bread, viennoiserie, patisserie, traiteur and reception products.
Cuisine de France offers the consumer traditional French breads, pastries and also a wide range of continentalstyle breads, confectionery and hot savoury items. Cuisine de France provides a complete bake-off solution primarily to the retail industry, as well as staff training and category management to enable the timely delivery of ready-to-bake products.
Delice de France supplies high quality continental breads, viennoiserie, savoury and confectionery products, including hospitality goods, primarily to the foodservice and catering industry. The business offers premium solutions tailored to meet future customer and consumer needs. It is the UK's leading provider of innovative and authentic continental bakery products to the foodservice trade.
Hiestand offers a broad range of innovative bakery products (croissants, bread, rolls, pastries, snacks, pretzels) and the comprehensive services to actively promote sales. Hiestand provides added value for business-to-business customers. Through the close-knit logistical and distribution network, assurance is given that products sold to customers are consistently 'fresher than fresh'.
La Brea Bakery is widely credited as the pioneer and leader of the artisan bread movement in America. La Brea Bakery offers a wide assortment of rustic breads ranging from baguettes and loaves to sandwich and dinner rolls.
Otis Spunkmeyer is a leading, premium fresh baked goods brand in its US market categories. An iconic brand, it has strong recognition and awareness across a national customer base in the foodservice and retail channels.
ARYZTA AG is the majority shareholder (71.4%) in Origin Enterprises plc, which has a listing on the AIM in London and the IEX in Dublin (AIM:OGN,IEX:OIZ). Origin is a leading player in the agrinutrition sector in Ireland, the UK, Poland and Norway and has a leading ambient food and cereal milling business in Ireland.
| Proforma | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| in Euro `000 | July 2009 | July 20086 | % |
| Group revenue | 3,212,270 | 3,134,201 | 2.5 |
| Group operating profit1 | 280,409 | 245,017 | 14.4 |
| Share of associates and JVs2 | 17,525 | 17,455 | |
| Operating profit incl. associates and JVs1 | 297,934 | 262,472 | 13.5 |
| Finance cost, net | (50,652) | (44,446) | |
| Pre tax profits1 | 247,282 | 218,026 | |
| Income tax1 | (45,085) | (42,907) | |
| Minority interest3 | (17,649) | (15,476) | |
| Underlying fully diluted net profit | 184,548 | 159,643 | 15.5 |
| Underlying fully diluted EPS (cent) | 234.7c5 | 202.2c4 | 16.0 |
1 Before impact of intangible amortisation, non-recurring items and related tax credits.
2 Associates & JVs profit net of tax and interest.
3 Presented after dilutive impact of Origin management incentives and investment propery write down.
4 Proforma 2008 underlying fully diluted EPS calculated using 78,940,460 shares issued during IPO in August 2008.
5 Actual 2009 underlying fully diluted EPS calculated using weighted average number of shares in issue of 78,626,718.
6 Prepared on a proforma basis including Hiestand Holding AG in prior year comparative as disclosed in the ARYZTA Results Announcement published in September 2008.
| Food | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Food N. | Developing | Total | ||||
| in Euro million | Food Europe1 | America | Markets1 | Food Group | Origin2 | Total |
| Group revenue | 1,137.2 | 555.1 | 20.4 | 1,712.7 | 1,499.6 | 3,212.3 |
| Underlying growth | (2.2)% | 12.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | (8.4)% | (3.0)% |
| Acquisitions | 2.2% | – | – | 1.6% | 16.1% | 8.5% |
| Currency | (2.4)% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 1.2% | (7.6)% | (3.0)% |
| Revenue increase | (2.4)% | 22.5% | 16.8% | 4.7% | 0.1% | 2.5% |
1 Prepared on a proforma basis including Hiestand Holding AG in prior year comparative as disclosed in the ARYZTA Results Announcement published in September 2008.
2 Origin revenue is presented after deducting intra group sales between Origin and Food Group.
| Total operating profit | 297,934 | 262,472 | 13.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total associates | 17,525 | 17,455 | 0.4 |
| Origin | 3,717 | 2,252 | 65.1 |
| Food North America | 13,808 | 15,203 | (9.2) |
| Associates & JVs2 | |||
| Total Group | 280,409 | 245,017 | 14.4 |
| Origin | 75,702 | 70,926 | 6.7 |
| Total Food Group | 204,707 | 174,091 | 17.6 |
| Food Developing Markets | 2,123 | 928 | 129.0 |
| Food North America | 67,481 | 51,865 | 30.1 |
| Food Europe | 135,103 | 121,298 | 11.4 |
| Food Group1 | |||
| in Euro `000 | July 2009 | Proforma July 20083 |
% |
1 Before impact of intangible amortisation and non-recurring items.
70% write down of Origin investment property
Merger costs
Dividend payout based on underlying profit excluding non-recurring items and amortisation
15.0% of underlying fully diluted EPS
234.7 cent x 15% = 35.2 cent
Shareholder approval 3 December 2009 (General assembly)
Anticipated ex-date 7 December 2009
Payment date 10 December 2009
| Proforma | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| in Euro `000 | July 2009 | July 2008³ | % |
| Group revenue | 1,712,754 | 1,635,362 | 4.7 |
| Group operating profit1 | 204,707 | 174,091 | 17.6 |
| Operating margin | 12.0% | 10.6% | |
| Share of JV2 | 13,808 | 15,203 | |
| Operating profit incl. JV1 | 218,515 | 189,294 | 15.4 |
| Financing costs, net | (33,299) | (29,874) | |
| Pre tax profits1 | 185,216 | 159,420 | |
| Income tax1 | (32,845) | (30,933) | |
| Minority interest | (3,035) | (1,813) | |
| Underlying net profit | 149,336 | 126,674 | 18.0 |
1 Before impact of intangible amortisation, non-recurring items and related tax credits.
2 Share of profits of joint venture is presented above after interest and tax.
3 Prepared on a proforma basis including Hiestand Holding AG in prior year comparative as disclosed, in the ARYZTA Results Announcment published in September 2008.
| in Euro `000 | July 2009 |
|---|---|
| EBIT | 161,724 |
| Amortisation | 42,983 |
| EBITA | 204,707 |
| Depreciation | 54,628 |
| EBITDA | 259,335 |
| Working capital movement | 24,675 |
| Dividends received | 18,830 |
| Ongoing capital expenditure | (15,047) |
| Interest & tax | (53,562) |
| Other | 2,126 |
| Cash flow generated from activities | 236,357 |
| Underlying net profit¹ | 149,336 |
| Depreciation | 54,628 |
| 203,964 | |
| Net underlying cash earnings conversion % | 115.9% |
1 Underlying net profit before impact of non-recurring items and amortisation.
24 © ARYZTA, September 2009
| in Euro `000 | Food Group |
|---|---|
| Food Group proforma opening net debt as at 31 July 2008 | (552,562) |
| Cash flow generated from activities | 236,357 |
| Investment capital expenditure | (63,006) |
| Deferred consideration and acquisition costs | (76,497) |
| Foreign exchange movement | (42,203)² |
| Other | (7,593) |
| Food Group closing net debt 31 July 2009 | (505,504) |
| Net debt to EBITDA | 1.77x¹ |
1 Food Group net debt to EBITDA ratio based on bank covenant definition. EBITDA includes proforma contribution from the Canadian JV and the French acquisition during the year. It also is adjusted for the non cash share based payments charge.
2 Foreign exchange movement is primarily attributable to the fluctuation in the US Dollar between July 2008 (1.5729) and July 2009 (1.4252).
| Covenants | FYO9 Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| Net debt: EBITDA (not greater than) | 3.5 times | 1.77 times |
| Interest cover (not less than) | 4.0 times | 8.55 times |
| in Euro `000 | July 09 |
|---|---|
| Cash | (204,586) |
| Within 1 year | 15,663 |
| Between 1 and 2 years | 848 |
| Between 2 and 5 years | 483,083 |
| Greater than 5 years | 210,497 |
| Total net debt | 505,504 |
| Weighted average debt maturity in years | 5.35 yrs |
| Food N. | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in Euro million | Food Europe¹ | America | Food Group5 | Origin | Total |
| 2009 | |||||
| Group share net assets2 | 1,344 | 638 | 1,986 | 382 | 2,368 |
| EBITA & JVs/associates cont.4 | 135 | 81 | 219 | 79 | 298 |
| ROI | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 12.6% |
| 2008 | |||||
| Group share net assets | 1,222 | 592 | 1,815 | 366 | 2,181 |
| EBITA & JVs/associates cont.4 | 119 | 67 | 189 | 73 | 262 |
| ROI | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 20.0% | 12.0% |
1 Food Europe and Developing Markets 2008 net assets and operating profit presented on a proforma basis including Hiestand Holding AG intangibles and net assets as disclosed in the ARYZTA Results Announcement published in September 2008.
2 Net assets exclude all bank debt, cash, cash equivalents and tax related balances. Details of this calculation for Food Group and Origin net assets are set out as part of ARYZTA AG's News Release.
3 Food Group net assets includes previously written off goodwill of EUR 51.8 million. Origin net assets includes previously written off goodwill of EUR 59.4 million.
4 Earnings before interest tax and amortisation (EBITA) is presented before the impact of non-recurring items. The contribution from associates and JVs is net profit (i.e. presented after interest and tax).
5 Total Food Group includes the net assets and EBITA for Food Developing Markets which are not separately shown.
6 The Group WACC is currently 7.6%.
➔
Reducing costs
Reducing investment
Delaying decisions
Consistent availability through dayparts
Revenue growth declined each quarter
Reduced cost base
Grangecastle enhanced efficiency
Expanding channel penetration
Utilising logistics capability
Origin
Irish farming impacted by volatility and reduced credit
Dairy particularly impacted
Response time
Shorter pipeline /lead time
Efficiency reduced cost to serve
Efficient and well invested business model
* See Slide 48 for 2010 mean underlying EPS consensus estimate
| in Euro `000 | July 2009 | July 2008 | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group revenue1 | 1,499,516 | 1,498,839 | 0.1 |
| Group operating profit2 | 75,702 | 70,926 | 6.7 |
| Operating margin3 | 5.0% | 4.7% | |
| Share of associates and JV4 | 3,717 | 2,252 | |
| Operating profit incl. associates and JV2 | 79,419 | 73,178 | 8.5 |
| Financing costs, net | (17,353) | (14,572) | |
| Pre tax profits2 | 62,066 | 58,606 | |
| Income tax2 | (12,240) | (11,974) | |
| Minority interest | (134) | 239 | |
| Underlying net profit | 49,692 | 46,871 | 6.0 |
| Adjusted fully diluted EPS (cent) | 36.16c | 34.05c | 6.2 |
1 Origin revenue is presented after deducting intra group sales between Origin and Food Group.
2 Before impact of intangible amortisation, non-recurring items and related tax credits.
3 Origin operating margin based on full revenue including intra-group sales between Origin and Food Group.
4 Associate & JV profit net of tax and interest.
| in Euro `000 | July 2009 |
|---|---|
| Reported net (loss) | (56,825) |
| Amortisation of intangible assets | 3,294 |
| Tax on amortisation | (380) |
| Property write down | 134,543 |
| Tax on write down | (30,940) |
| Underlying net profit | 49,692 |
1 The share denominator for the year ended 31 July 2009 is 137,417,000.
| in Euro `000 | July 2009 |
|---|---|
| Reported net profit | 54,010 |
| Amortisation of intangible assets | 46,277 |
| Tax on amortisation | (11,180) |
| Property write down | 134,543 |
| Tax on property write down | (30,940) |
| Minority interest impact of property write down | (29,609) |
| Merger costs | 22,738 |
| Tax on merger costs | (218) |
| Other non-recurring items net of tax | – |
| Underlying net profit | 185,621 |
| Dilutive impact of Origin management incentives | (1,073) |
| Underlying fully diluted | 184,548 |
| Underlying fully diluted EPS1 | 234.7 |
1 The share denominator for the year ended 31 July 2009 is 78,626,718, as set out in the 31 July 2009 News Release.
| Underlying net profit | 149,336 |
|---|---|
| Tax on merger costs | (218) |
| Merger costs | 22,738 |
| Tax on amortisation | (10,800) |
| Amortisation of intangible assets | 42,983 |
| Reported net profit | 94,633 |
| in Euro `000 | July 2009 |
| in Euro `000 | As at July 2009 |
|---|---|
| Property, plant and equipment | 664,532 |
| Investment properties | 62,975 |
| Goodwill and intangible assets | 1,498,430 |
| Associates and joint ventures | 139,351 |
| Working capital | (14,871) |
| Other segmental liabilities | (93,592) |
| Segmental net assets | 2,256,825 |
| Net debt | (659,256) |
| Deferred tax, net | (176,474) |
| Income tax | (40,650) |
| Derivative financial instruments | (12,477) |
| Net assets | 1,367,968 |
| in Euro `000 | As at July 2009 |
|---|---|
| Property, plant and equipment | 577,772 |
| Investment properties | 3,761 |
| Goodwill and intangible assets | 1,382,431 |
| Joint venture | 55,720 |
| Working capital | (28,744) |
| Other segmental liabilities | (55,544) |
| Segmental net assets | 1,935,396 |
| Net debt | (505,504) |
| Deferred tax, net | (162,355) |
| Income tax | (38,116) |
| Derivative financial instruments | (5,432) |
| Net assets | 1,223,989 |
| July 09 | July 08 | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Closing Rates | |||
| Sterling | 0.8545 | 0.7911 | (8.0) |
| US Dollar | 1.4252 | 1.5729 | 9.4 |
| Swiss Franc | 1.5247 | 1.6247 | 6.2 |
| Canadian Dollar | 1.5372 | 1.5946 | 3.6 |
| Average Rates | |||
| Sterling | 0.8615 | 0.7435 | (15.9) |
| US Dollar | 1.3643 | 1.4855 | 8.2 |
| Swiss Franc | 1.5310 | 1.6276 | 5.9 |
| Canadian Dollar | 1.5932 | 1.4962 | (6.5) |
| in Euro `000 | mean |
|---|---|
| Based on 14 analysts | |
| EBITA including associates & JVs | 285,202 |
| Underlying fully diluted net profit | 180,134 |
| Underlying EPS (cent) | 224.6 |
| Based on 6 analysts | |
| Food Group Net Debt | (400,825) |
| Origin Net Debt | (109,977) |
1 Net profit & EPS presented before impact of amortisation and non-recurring items.
2 EBITA presented before impact of non-recurring items.
3 Associates and JVs presented after interest and tax.
* These estimates were collated by Temple Bar Advisory (TBA), an investor relations consultancy firm. Contributions were received from Berenberg, Credit Suisse, Davy, Goldman Sachs, Goodbody, Helvea, Kepler, Mainfirst, Merrion, NCB, Oppenheim, UBS, Vontobel and ZKB between September 14 – 21 2009. Neither TBA nor ARYZTA AG warrant the accuracy or completeness of these forecasts.
*All enquiries regarding investor meeting requests should be sent by email.
Company Contact Hilliard Lombard Head of Group Finance and Communications
Talacker 41 8001 Zurich Switzerland Tel: +41 (0) 44 583 42 00 Fax: +41 (0) 44 583 42 49 [email protected] www.aryzta.com
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