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Aryzta AG

Earnings Release Jun 7, 2010

818_ip_2010-06-07_9f31aee9-73c6-418e-bc2b-82fa571879f2.pdf

Earnings Release

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8 June 2010

This presentation contains forward looking statements which reflect management's current views and estimates.

The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.

Agenda

  • About ARYZTA
  • Q3 Trading Update
  • Financing
  • New Acquisitions
  • What are we buying?

  • How much will it cost?

  • What are we getting for our money?

  • ARYZTA Positioning
  • Summary
  • Outlook

  • Zurich based Swiss AG

  • Operations in Europe, North America, South East Asia and Australia – pre-acquisitions

  • Created in 2008 merger of Hiestand and IAWS August 2008
  • Primary listing in Zurich (SIX; ARYN), and secondary listing in Dublin (ISE; YZA)
  • Holds 71.4% of Origin Enterprises plc (Origin); an agri-nutrition business
  • Origin listed on the AIM in London (AIM; OGN) and ESM in Dublin (ESM; OIZ)

Corporate Structure ARYZTA AG pre-Acquisitions

Food Europe

Food Europe*

Food Europe has leading market positions in the speciality bakery market in Switzerland, Germany, Poland, the UK, Ireland and France. In Europe, ARYZTA has a mixture of business to business and consumer brands, including Hiestand, Cuisine de France, Delice de France and Coup de Pates.

*pre-aquisitions

Food North America

Food North America*

Food North America has leading market positions in freshly baked cookies and freshly baked artisan bread. The business has two iconic brands which evoke emotional appeal with the US consumer, namely Otis Spunkmeyer and La Brea Bakery.

*pre-aquisitions

Developing Markets

Food Developing Markets*

ARYZTA has embryonic businesses in Japan, Malaysia and Australia. This gives ARYZTA an excellent opportunity to understand the customer diversity and opportunity in this vast market.

Origin

ARYZTA AG is the majority shareholder (71.4%) in Origin Enterprises plc, which has a listing on the AIM in London and the ESM in Dublin (AIM:OGN,ESM:OIZ). Origin is a leading player in the agri-nutrition sector in Ireland, the UK, Poland and Norway and has a leading ambient food and cereal milling business in Ireland.

Announcing two strategic acquisitions of the following bakery businesses:

  • Fresh Start Bakeries (incorporating Pennant Foods and Sweet Life)
  • Fresh Start Bakeries was signed yesterday evening 7 June, to close within 30 days (subject only to anti-trust clearance)

  • Great Kitchens
  • Great Kitchens signed and closed yesterday evening 7 June

  • Milestone acquisitions to deliver on ARYZTA objectives

Q3 Trading Update Financial Impact of Acquisitions Financing

in Euro `000 January 2010 January 2009 %
Group revenue 1,394,053 1,571,169 (11.3)%
Group operating profit1 114,013 126,450 (9.8)%
Share of associates and JVs2 13,635 7,837
Operating profit incl. associates and JVs1 127,648 134,287 (4.9)%
Finance cost, net (23,723) (24,405)
Pre-tax profits1 103,925 109,882
Income tax1 (16,965) (19,675)
Minority interest3 (4,430) (6,233)
Underlying fully diluted net profit 82,530 83,974 (1.7)%
Underlying fully diluted EPS (cent) 104.5c4 107.7c4 (3.0)%

1 Before impact of intangible amortisation, non-recurring items and related tax credits.

2 Associates & JVs profit net of tax and interest.

3 Presented after dilutive impact of Origin management incentives.

4 January 2010 underlying fully diluted EPS calculated using weighted average number of shares in issue of 78,946,101 (January 2009: 77,999,274).

H1 Recap ARYZTA AG – Underlying Revenue Growth H1 2010

Revenue Growth (7.7)% (7.9)% 26.3% (7.4)% (16.0)% (11.3)%
Currency (0.8)% (5.2)% 4.7% (2.1)% (3.3)% (2.7)%
Transfers within
segments
(0.2)%2 18.2%2
Acquisitions and
disposals
3.4%1 2.3% (0.8)%4 0.9%
Underlying growth (10.1)% (2.7)% 3.4% (7.6)% (11.9)% (9.5)%
Group revenue 533.6 254.7 12.6 800.9 593.1 1,394.0
in Euro million Food Europe Food N.
America
Food
Developing
Markets
Total
Food Group
Origin3 Total

1 Reflects the contribution of French bolt on acquisition in February 2009 not included in the prior year comparative.

2 Reflects the transfer of business activity from Food Europe to Food Developing Markets due to operational change.

3 Origin revenue is presented after deducting intra group sales between Origin and Food Group.

4 In the case of Origin this reflects the impact of the disposal of its marine protein and oils business in February 2009 which is now included in the share of profit from associates & JV line. It also reflects the contribution from the acquisitions of CSC Crop Protection Ltd. and GB Seeds Ltd. which are not included in the prior year comparative.

Q3 Trading Update ARYZTA AG – Underlying Revenue Growth for 9 Months ended 30 April 2010

Food
Food N. Developing Total
in Euro million Food Europe America Markets Food Group Origin3 Total
Group revenue 794.4 390.3 20.4 1,205.1 1,011.8 2,216.9
Underlying growth (8.6)% (3.7)% 10.7% (6.7)% (10.2)% (8.4)%
Acquisitions and
disposals
2.5%1 1.7% 0.2%4 1.0%
Transfers within
segments
(0.2)%2 17.8%2
Currency (0.1)% (4.7)% 6.1% (1.6)% (1.5)% (1.5)%
Revenue Growth (6.4)% (8.4)% 34.6% (6.6)% (11.5)% (8.9)%

1 Reflects the contribution of French bolt on acquisition in February 2009 not included in the prior year comparative.

2 Reflects the transfer of business activity from Food Europe to Food Developing Markets due to operational change.

3 Origin revenue is presented after deducting intra group sales between Origin and Food Group.

4 In the case of Origin this reflects the impact of the disposal of its marine protein and oils business in February 2009 which is now included in the share of profit from associates & JV line. It also reflects the contribution from the acquisitions of CSC Crop Protection Ltd. and GB Seeds Ltd. which are not included in the prior year comparative.

Q3 Trading Update ARYZTA AG – Q3 FY 2010 Results 13 Weeks ended 30 April 2010

Food
Food N. Developing Total
in Euro million Food Europe America Markets Food Group Origin2 Total
Group revenue 260.8 135.6 7.8 404.2 418.7 822.9
Underlying Growth (4.6)% (5.4)% 24.8% (4.6)% (7.6)% (6.1)%
Acquisitions and
disposals
1.8%3 1.0%
Transfers within
segments
(0.3)%1 17.2%1
Currency 1.3% (3.9)% 8.7% (0.4)% 1.5% 0.5%
Revenue Growth (3.6)% (9.3)% 50.7% (5.0)% (4.3)% (4.6)%

1 Reflects the transfer of business activity from Food Europe to Food Developing Markets due to operational change.

2 Origin revenue is presented after deducting intra group sales between Origin and Food Group.

3 In the case of Origin this reflects the impact of the disposal of its marine protein and oils business in February 2009 which is now included in the share of profit from associates & JV line. It also reflects the contribution from the acquisitions of CSC Crop Protection Ltd. and GB Seeds Ltd. which are not included in the prior year comparative.

Q3 Trading Update Food Europe

  • Underlying revenue decline 8.6% YTD / decline of 4.6% in Q3
  • UK and Ireland
  • Economic conditions remain challenging

  • Supporting customers to reposition food service within c-stores

  • Value proposition with freshly prepared convenience offerings drives footfall

  • Continental Europe
  • Continued investment in new field sales staff

  • Growth in new customers offsetting declines in existing customers

Q3 Trading Update Food North America

  • Underlying revenue decline 3.7% YTD / decline of 5.4% in Q3
  • Revenue decline off high comparator in 2009
  • Economic conditions remain weak for consumers
  • Value proposition is driving consumer footfall
  • Implementation of SAP ERP in Otis Spunkmeyer progressing to plan and initiative now extended to La Brea Bakery

Q3 Trading Update Origin

  • Releasing Q3 Trading Update at 07.00 GMT this morning available on www.originenterprises.com
  • Performing to expectation
  • Agri input volumes ahead of the corresponding period last year
  • On track to deliver consensus estimates

2010 Financial Outlook

  • Improved year end outlook
  • EPS growth for 31 July 2010
  • Improved performance driven by:
  • Underlying business

  • Transaction impacts

  • Foreign exchange

Q3 Trading Update Food Group Recent Funding

  • Syndicated bank loan of CHF 600 million maturing in December 2014
  • Credit Suisse and Zürcher Kantonalbank (ZKB) acted together with Bank of America, BNP Paribas, Rabobank and UBS as mandated lead arrangers

  • Ten Swiss Cantonal banks also participated in the syndicated bank facility*

  • Private placement funding of USD 420 million and EUR 25 million > average maturity 9.2 years
  • These funding initiatives replace previous banking facility due to expire in June 2013
  • Operating flexibility achieved from replacing previous banking facility

* Canton banks – Aargauische Kantonalbank, Banque Cantonale Vaudoise, Bank Coop AG, Basler Kantonalbank, Basellandschaftliche Kantonalbank, Schaffhauser Kantonalbank, Luzerner Kantonalbank AG, Raiffeisen Schweiz Genossenschaft, Banca dello Stato del Cantone Ticino,Thurgauer Kantonalbank

Q3 Trading Update Food Group Financing Facilities

Description Principal1 Maturity2
May 2010 – Syndicated Bank Loan CHF 600m Dec 2014
May 2010 – US Private Placement USD 420m/EUR 25m May 2013–May 2022
Dec 2009 – US Private Placement USD 200m Dec 2021–Dec 2029
Nov 2009 – Swiss Bond CHF 200m March 2015
Jun 2007 – US Private Placement USD 450m June 2014–June 2019
1
Average Interest cost c. 4.6%

2 Current weighted average maturity c. 8 years

Key Covenant

Net debt: EBITDA (not greater than) 3.5 times

– Origin debt facilities are standalone and non-recourse to ARYZTA AG

H1 Recap Food Group Net Debt and Investment Activity – H1 2010

in Euro `000 Food Group
Food Group opening net debt as at 31 July 2009 (505,504)
Cash flow generated from activities 91,375
Investment capital expenditure (22,591)
Dividends paid (30,603)
Deferred consideration and acquisition costs (2,128)
Foreign exchange movement¹ (16,727)
Other (1,679)
Food Group closing net debt 31 January 2010 (487,857)
Net debt to EBITDA² 1.69x

1 Foreign exchange movement is primarily attributable to the fluctuation in the US Dollar to Euro rate between July 2009 (1.4252) and January 2010 (1.3985) on the US\$ 650m private placement.

2 Food Group net debt to EBITDA ratio based on bank covenant definition. EBITDA includes contribution from the Canadian JV. It also is adjusted for the non-cash share based payments charge.

Acquisitions

Consideration of USD 1.08bn

  • Fresh Start Bakeries
  • USD 760m debt financed

  • USD 140m equity financed

  • Great Kitchens
  • USD 180m debt financed

Acquisitions Financial Overview

  • Revenue acquired of USD 1.03bn*
  • Average EBITDA margin acquired c. 13%
  • EBITDA acquired of USD 133m*
  • Both acquisitions have a track record of organic growth
  • Average EBITDA multiple paid 8.1x
  • Incremental financing cost on acquisitions of c. 3.4%
  • Incremental tax cost on acquisitions of c. 16%–18%

* Based on proforma TTM to May 2010

Acquisitions Financial Overview

  • 12 month EPS accretion in excess of c. 45 cents (c. 20% uplift)
  • Maintenance Capex required c. USD 25m
  • Depreciation charge c. USD 25m
  • ROI* on acquisition c. 10%
  • Transaction costs c. 1.5% of consideration
  • Once-off expense to the Income Statement in July 2010 under new accounting rules (IFRS 3 Revised)

* ROI calculation based on EBITA before the impact of non-recurring items and including contribution from associates and JVs (after interest and tax), as a percentage of net assets (excluding all bank debt, cash, cash equivalents and tax related balances).

Acquisitions Financing of Acquisitions

  • Financed through existing bank facilities, cash raised from debt capital markets, cash on hand and ARYZTA shares
  • Forecasted Net Debt: EBITDA in July 2010 c. 3x
  • Underlying Net Debt: EBITDA in July 2010 excluding currency headwind c. 2.80x
  • Intend to maintain investment grade position
  • Optimal leverage of 2x –3x Net Debt: EBITDA supported by strong cash flow generation
  • Acquisitions increase defensive characteristics of business

Aryzta Repositioned

Acquisitions Criteria

  • Geographic expansion in Europe
  • Product expansion in North America
  • Increase channel access into retail and QSR
  • Build capabilities in developing markets

Acquisitions Strategic Fit

  • Transactions targeted by ARYZTA off-market
  • Excellent track record and reputation
  • Well positioned in defensive channels
  • Focused experienced executive leaders
  • Well invested and highly cash generative
  • "Great Strategic Fit"

Acquisitions Business Profile of Acquisitions

Fresh Start Bakeries (incorporating Pennant Foods and Sweet Life) is a global supplier of speciality bakery products with a leading position in the Quick Service Restaurant (QSR) segment.

Pennant Foods is a leading provider of speciality bakery products and solutions to the North American QSR, foodservice and retail in-store-bakery channels.

Sweet Life is a leading innovator and manufacturer of sweet baked goods servicing the North American and Asian QSR channel.

Great Kitchens is a leading supplier of pizza and appetisers with a focus on the deli segment of the North American retail grocery channel.

Acquisitions World Class Bakery Products

Acquisitions Acquisition of 30 Speciality Bakeries in 9 Countries*

* wholly owned manufacturing locations excluding JV locations

Acquisitions

Corporate Structure ARYZTA AG post-Acquisitions

Acquisitions Segmental Revenue Analysis

Expanded global reach in speciality bakery

* Acquisition pro forma TTM revenue excluding JVs to May 2010 (translated at USD-EUR rate of 1.41, based on average TTM to April 2010, as Food Group revenue is included above for TTM April 2010).

Increasingly diversified customer mix in speciality bakery

* Acquisition pro forma TTM revenue excluding JVs to May 2010 (translated at USD-EUR rate of 1.41, based on average TTM to April 2010, as Food Group revenue is included above for TTM April 2010).

Acquisitions Increased Product Capability

Continued focus on speciality bakery

* Acquisition pro forma TTM revenue excluding JVs to May 2010 (translated at USD-EUR rate of 1.41, based on average TTM to April 2010, as Food Group revenue is included above for TTM April 2010).

ARYZTA benefiting from long-term food industry trends

ARYZTA is benefiting from three long-term trends

As markets evolve, consumers spend more at foodservice establishments and increase consumption of frozen products

* Excluding spend on ice cream products Source: EuroMonitor, World Bank, L.E.K. Consulting analysis

Spending on food away from home has consistently grown 1–2% faster than spending on food at home

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, L.E.K. Consulting analysis

39 © ARYZTA, June 2010

QSR's are growing 1–2% faster than other foodservice outlets

Source: Global Industry Analysts, Inc (GIA), L.E.K. Consulting analysis

40 © ARYZTA, June 2010

U.S. Baked Goods Growth

Frozen and bake-off bakery products are growing 1–2% faster than the rest of the baked goods market

2006 50% 50%
2014F 55% 45%

Source: Food For Thought, Technomic, Nielsen, L.E.K. Consulting analysis

41 © ARYZTA, June 2010

ARYZTA Positioning Market leadership in growing categories

How ARYZTA is positioned to benefit

  • International leadership across product categories
  • Strategically aligned with key growth drivers
  • Unmatched international manufacturing capabilities
  • Well-balanced channel access to reach consumers
  • Experienced customer-focused executive teams

Summary Strategically Enhanced Profile

  • Strategic Market Position
  • Geographic reach
  • Channel partnership model
  • Product capability
  • Manufacturing footprint
  • Management capability
  • Efficiency through ARYZTA Technology Initiative (ATI)

2010 Outlook

  • Strategic acquisitions will drive growth momentum
  • Refinanced for future growth
  • Improved outlook for FY 2010 EPS Growth over 2009 base*
  • Growth momentum re-established 12 month EPS accretion in excess of c. 45 cents from acquisition (c. 20% uplift)
  • Recap 9 June 2008

"Management targets to double the earnings base within 5 years"

* Improvements: Underlying business, transaction related and foreign exchange

"Developing customer partnership model with leading operators in every channel to consumers"

Investor Information

Investor Meeting Requests*

[email protected]

*All enquiries regarding investor meeting requests should be sent by email.

Company Contact Hilliard Lombard Head of Group Finance and Communications

ARYZTA AG

Talacker 41 8001 Zurich Switzerland Tel: +41 (0) 44 583 42 00 Fax: +41 (0) 44 583 42 49 [email protected] www.aryzta.com

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