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LEG Immobilien SE

Investor Presentation Nov 14, 2014

260_ip_2014-11-14_c0ab36eb-4960-4835-9f64-219c473ecb6b.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Disclaimer

While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.

This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.

Agenda

  • I. Highlights 9M-2014
  • II. Portfolio and Operating Performance
  • III. Financial Performance
  • IV. Business Update and Outlook
  • V. Appendix

I. Highlights 9M-2014

Highlights 9M-2014

Overall company development in Q3

  • Strong acceleration of value-enhancing external growth
  • Acquisition of approx. 2,400 units in core markets in September
  • Preparation of acquisition of c.9,600 units; capital markets and M&A transactions in Q4
  • Immediate positive value contribution; significant medium term upside

Strong organic growth continues

  • In-place rent €5.10 /sqm (+3.4% like-for-like, +3.8% for free-financed units)
  • Occupancy at 96.8% l-f-l, slight temporary decrease expected to revert in Q4
  • On track for further l-f-l-occupancy improvement in FY-2014
  • Maintenance/capex below FY run rate in 9M-2014
  • Total expenses for maintenance/ capex of €8.72 /sqm in 9M-2014
  • FY-2014 target of €13-14/sqm

Financials reflect dynamic rent growth and operating outperformance

  • Rental income €286.6m (+6.5% YOY from €269.2m)
  • Adjusted EBITDA €195.4m (+14.7% YOY from €170.3m);
  • Strong underlying margin improvement
  • FFO I €123.9m, €2.34 per share (+19.7% YOY from €103.5m)
  • AFFO €97.2m (+23.0% YOY from €79.0m)
  • NAV €48.85 per share (+4.2% y-t-d adjusted for DPS distribution)

II. Portfolio and Operating Performance

Portfolio Overview Positive Rent Dynamics across all Submarkets

Total Portfolio
30
Sept. 2014

(YOY)
# of units 97,487 +4.2%
In-place rent (sqm) €5.10 (€5.10)** +3.3% (+3.4%)**
Occupancy 96.8% (96.8%)** -20
bps (-26 bps)**
High-Growth Markets
30 Sept. 2014

(YOY)
# of units 31,072 +0.5%
In-place rent (sqm) €5.71
(€5.70)**
+3.5%
(+3.5%)**
Occupancy 98.8%
(98.8%)**
+10
bps
(+10
bps)**
Stable Markets with Attractive Yields
30
Sept.
2014

(YOY)
# of units 36,028 +6.6%
In-place rent (sqm) €4.81
(€4.79)**
+3.5%
(+3.1%)**
Occupancy 96.3%
(96.2%)**
-20
bps
(-30
bps)**
Higher-Yielding Markets
30 Sept. 2014

(YOY)
# of units 28,288 +6.0%
In-place rent (sqm) €4.71
(€4.69)**
+3.3%
(+3.0%)**
Occupancy 95.1%
(95.2%)**
-60
bps
(-60
bps)**

** like for like

Rent Development

Attractive Portfolio + Excellent Property Management = Strong Organic Growth

  • L-f-l rent growth (per sqm) of +3.4% shows further slight acceleration
  • Rent growth of +3.8% l-f-l for free-financed units emphasizes strong underlying dynamics and operating performance

Occupancy Development

  • L-f-l vacancy rate of 3.2%, temporary increase (+c.25 bps YOY) expected to revert already in Q4
  • Higher investments in Q4 with focus on vacant apartments (attractive return potential)
  • Temporary constraints of operating staff due to integrations resolved
  • On track to reach L-F-L vacancy reduction in FY-2014; rising visibility on back of good start into Q4-2014
  • KPI's rent growth and vacancy reduction are balanced with one another (optimsing the mix)

Capex & Maintenance

Well Maintained Asset Base; Rising Investments in Q4

III. Financial Performance

Financial Highlights 9M-2014

Margin Expansion on back of Sound Topline Growth and Cost Discipline

Income Statement 9M-2014

Condensed
Income
Statement
(€
million)
2013 9M-2014 9M-2013
Higher rental income
Net rental
and letting income
257.7 213.1 188.1 (+€17.4m/+6.5%)

Lower maintenance
expenses (-€5.1m)
Net income from the disposal of investment property -1.8 -0.3 -0.8
Net income from the valuation of investment property 81.6 0.0 0.0
Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory -3.1 -2.6 -1.4
€0.9m Long Term
Incentive Plan –
non-cash
Net income from Other services 2.3 0.0 1.9 pass-through item

Slightly lower recurring
Administrative and Other expenses -51.5 -28.4 -38.3 admin. costs of €23.9m
(9M-2013: €25.4m)
Other income 0.2 0.6 0.5
€5.7m tax
Operating
earnings
285.5 182.4 150.0 reimbursement
Net
finance
costs
-126.9 -87.7 -90.7
€1.9m loss from
derivatives
Earnings
before
income
taxes
158.6 94.7 59.3
Slightly higher cash
interest expenses
Income
tax
expense
-21.7 -26.5 -7.4 (€70.4m vs. €67.0m)
Consolidated
net
profit
136.9 68.2 51.9
Deferred taxes (thereof
cash taxes: -€1.1m)

Adjusted EBITDA 9M-2014


million
2013 9M-2014 9M-2013
+€17.4m higher rental
EBITDA 294.1 188.8 156.5 income

+ €5.1m lower
maintenance cost
Net income
from
the valuation of investment property
-81.6 0.0 0.0
+€4.1m due to one-off
from former development
in FY-2013
Long-term incentive program (LTIP) 3.3 0.9 2.6
+ €2.8m lower admin.
costs (project costs)
Non-recurring project costs 7.9 2.7 5.8
Extraordinary and prior-period expenses and income 3.2 0.1 3.2
Net income from the disposal of investment property 1.7 0.3 0.8
Net income from
the disposal of real estate inventory
3.1 2.6 1.4
Winding down of former
development business

Smaller disposals at
premium to book values
Adjusted EBITDA 231.7 195.4 170.3
Total inventories: €4.3m

FFO Calculation 9M-2014


million
2013 9M-2014 9M-2013
Adjusted EBITDA 231.7 195.4 170.3
Slightly higher financial
charges due to
Cash interest expenses and income -91.0 -70.4 -67.0 acquisitions (net debt
+c.€130m YOY)

Interest cost ratio slightly
Cash income taxes 0.5 -1.1 0.2 decreasing
FFO I (not
including disposal of investment property)
141.2 123.9 103.5
Net income
from the disposal of investment property
-1.7 -0.3 -0.8
Disposals of non-core
assets at premium to
book values
FFO II (including disposal of investment property) 139.5 123.6 102.7
Capex -43.7 -26.7 -24.5
Capex-Adjusted FFO I (AFFO) 97.5 97.2 79.0
Rising investments in
Q4-2014 expected

FFO Bridge 9M-2014

Focus: Cash Effective Interest Expense 9M-2014


million
2013 9M-2014 9M-2013
Reported
interest expense
131.4 93.8 95.2
Interest
expense related to loan amortisation
-30.2 -14.0 -18.2
Interest expenses related to convertible bond (non cash) - -2.9 -
Refinancing fees -2.9 0.0 -2.9
Prepayment penalties 0.0 0.0 0.0
Interest on shareholder loans -0.2 0.0 -0.2
Interest charges relating to valuation
of assets/liabilities
-2.3 -1.7 -1.9
Leasing related interest expense -1.6 -1.0 -1.2
Interest expenses related to changes
in pension provisions
-3.6 -2.9 -2.9
Other interest expenses -0.2 -0.2 0.0
Bank charges 1.5 0.2 -
Interest income -0.9 -0.8 -0.9
Cash effective interest expense 91.0 70.4 67.0

Moderate increase due to acquisitions

Interest coverage improved further (2.8X up from 2.5X YOY)

EPRA-Net Asset Value 9M-2014

Value of Attractive Multimedia Business is not Capitalised


million
30.09.2014 31.12.2013
Equity (excl.
minority interests)
2,197.4 2,248.8
+€68.2m net profit

-€28.8m O-C-I
Effect of exercising options, convertible loans and other rights - - (valuation derivatives)

-€91.6m dividend
payment
NAV 2,197.4 2,248.8
Fair value of financial derivatives 93.8 52.0
Deferred taxes 296.2 271.1
EPRA-NAV 2,587.4 2,571.9
Number of shares outstanding (m) 52,963 52,963
Adjusted for DPS of
EPRA-NAV per share in € 48.85 48.56 €1.73 NAV increased
by +4.2% y-t-d
  • Property valuation: Value uplift in Q4 ahead due to strong rent growth
  • Value multimedia:
  • Discount rate 6% > Value approx. €100m / c.€1.9 per share
  • Additional future upside from acquistions

Balance Sheet 9M-2014

Strong Balance Sheet Secures Defensive Profile and Paves Way for Growth


million
30.09.2014 31.12.2013
Purchases €178.6m
Investment property 5,348.0 5,163.4
Capex €26.7m

Reclassification
Prepayment
for investment property
- 6.9 -€20.7m
Other non-current assets 91.7 91.9
Non-current assets 5,439.7 5,262.2
Receivables and other assets 60.3 33.8
Cash and cash equivalents 303.6 110.7
Current assets 363.9 144.5
Assets held for disposal 6.8 16.4
Total Assets 5,810.4 5,423.1
Equity 2,230.5 2,276.1
Equity ratio of 38.4%
Non-current financial liabilities 2,720.8 2,396.7
Other
non-current liabilities
542.2 443.9
Non-current liabilities 3,263.0 2,840.6
Current financial liabilities 189.9 187.0
Other current liabilities 127.0 119.4
Current liabilities 316.9 306.4
Total
Equity and Liabilities
5,810.4 5,423.1

LTV 9M-2014

Significant Headroom for Acquisitions (max. LTV 55%)


million
30.09.2014 31.12.2013
Financial debt 2,910.7 2,583.7
Cash & cash equivalents 303.6 110.7
Net
Debt
2,607.1 2,473.0
Investment properties 5,348.0 5,163.4
Financial firepower
Properties held for sale 6.8 16.4 c.€600m post Q4
transactions (pro
forma LTV < 50%)
Prepayment
for
investment
properties
- 6.9
5,354.8 5,186.7
Loan to Value (LTV) in % 48.7 47.7

Financing Structure 9M-2014

LT Secured Debt, Well-Balanced Maturity Profile, Low Cost of Debt

External growth supports further decrease in average interest costs

IV. Business Update and Outlook

Business Update Scale Effects in Core Markets + Operational Excellence Drive Value Creation

Acquisitions: Attractive FFO yields and significant future upside

  • Significantly over-delivered on external growth targets while maintaining strict investment criteria
  • Purchase of c.2,400 units 09/2014 and c.9,600 units (NRW Vitus-portfolio) 10/2014
  • Total acquisition volume c.19,000 units since IPO; FFO yield >8%
  • NRW Vitus-portfolio at attractive entry point of property cycle
    • Commuter belts increasingly benefitting from spill-over effects
    • 85% of portfolio within a 60 km radius of Dusseldorf and Cologne

    • Monchengladbach (5,741 units) negative population trend just reversed
  • Significant potential for synergies and rents
  • Immediate value contribution due to attractive initial FFO yields (normalised >9%)
  • Positive impact on margins and above average rent growth on the cards

Margin expansion reflects continued operational outperformance

  • Adjusted EBITDA margin (at stable maintenance costs) climbs by 300bps to 66.2% YOY
  • Additionally interest advantage of restricted units is shown below the EBITDA line
  • Key success factors:
  • Superior organic and external growth allow for noticeable scale effects
  • Rigorous cost and capital discipline
  • Portfolio concentration on attractive market

Acquisitions: Creating Tangible Value

30.09.2014 Closing Change
Units In-place rent

/ sqm
Occupancy In-place rent

/ sqm
Occupancy In-place rent

/ sqm
Occupancy
8,176 5.19 94.2% 4.95 94.7% 0.24 (+4.8%) -45 bp
New-letting [Closing

30.06.2014]
Previous rent [Closing – 30.06.2014]
sqm In-place rent

/ sqm
sqm In-place rent

/ sqm
Change
In-place
rent
51,795 5.75 55,658 5.26 +9.3%
  • Dynamic rent growth confirms attractive reversionary potential
  • Average in-place rents +4.6% (within avg. 11 months), re-lettings +9.3%
  • Initiated capex-programme further offers significant upside
  • L-f-l vacancy decreased in Q2+Q3 sequentially
  • Further rising occupancy in Q4 -2014 expected

Outlook 2014 & 2015

Full Earnings Effect from Signed Acquisitions and Multimedia in FY-2015

2014 Guidance
L-F-L rent growth: approx. 3.0%
Maintenance/Capex: €13-€14/sqm
(capex
ratio c. 50%)
FFO I: €158m -
€161m (+ first effects from NRW Vitus)
Dividend: Temporarily > 65% of FFO I (due to 4.1m new shares in Oct.)
2015
FFO I: €188m
-
€193m/ €3.29 -
€3.39; excl. future acquisitions
Acquisitions (mid
term target):
≥ 5,000 units p.a.

V. Appendix

Mietspiegel Overview

Expected New Mietspiegel in 2014

Release Date
(expected)
High-Growth
Market1
Market1
Stable
Higher-Yielding
Market1
Total
Portfolio1,2
2014 (Q1) 8,650 units
(mainly
Dusseldorf, Ratingen)
8,630 units
(mainly
Siegen, Solingen)
1,334 units
(mainly
Hagen)
18,614 units
2014 (Q2) 110 units 2,928 units
(mainly
Hamm, Bochum)
3,038 units
2014 (Q3) 209 units 1,526 units
(mainly
Ahlen)
5,377 units
(mainly
Gelsenkirchen, Unna)
7,112 units
2014 (Q4) 343 units 1,129 units 2,569 units
(mainly
Recklinghausen)
4,041 units
Total 1,2 9,312 units 14,213 units 9,280
units
32,805 units
Thereof:
-
Ahlen
-
Bochum
1,049 units
1,477 units
-
Dusseldorf
3,285 units
-
Gelsenkirchen
2,922 units
-
Hamm
3,975 units
-
Ratingen
2,793 units
-
Recklinghausen
1,765 units 1)
Sub-portfolios also include
-
Siegen
1,027 units restricted units
-
Solingen
-
Unna
1,451 units 1,210 units 2)
Total Portfolio also include
99 units Non NRW

LEG – Adj. EBITDA Margin

Adj. EBITDA margin 2012 2013
€m Margin
%
€m Margin %
Reported 223.1 64.8 231.7 64.3
Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents* 19.4 66.7 22.5 66.4
Positive effect from subsidised loans on
interest result**
17.6 66.5 17.4 65.9

• *€4.48 per sqm vs. €5.13 in 2013, €4.49 vs. €5.27 in 2013

• **€ Financing costs 1.4% (maturity 30 years) vs. Swap 2.6% +175 bps margin

  • Reported EBITDA distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest results)
  • Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; quantifying the impact from subsidised loans
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 160-210 bps higher
  • Lower Margin in 2013 YOY due to higher maintenance

Portfolio (as of 30 September 2014)

Sound property fundamentals Basis for Value Growth

Market Residential
Units
GAV
Residential
Assets (€m)
% of Total
Residential
GAV
GAV/
sqm (€)
In-Place
Rent Multiple
GAV
Commercial/
Other
Assets (€m)
Total GAV
High
Growth
31,702 2,212 44% 1,064 15.7x 168 2,380
Markets
Stable Markets
with Attractive
Yields
36,028 1,641 33% 707 12.7x 86 1,728
Higher-Yielding
Markets
28,288 1,103 22% 632 11.7x 45 1,149
Subtotal NRW 96,018 4,957 98% 807 13.6x 300 5,257
Portfolio outside
NRW
1,469 86 2% 880 14.0x 10 95
Total Portfolio 97,487 5,043 100% 808 13.6x 309 5,352
Other Assets 28
Total (Incl. Landbank
and DevCo)
5,380

LEG Share Information

Financial Calendar

Date Report/Event
14.11.2014 Quarterly Report Q3 as of 30th
September 2014
20.11.2014 Roadshow Amsterdam (Kempen
& Co)
21.11.2014 Roadshow Frankfurt (KeplerCheuvreux)
24.-25.11.2014 Roadshow London (Morgan Stanley)
26.11.2014 Roadshow Paris (Société
Générale)
25.03.2015 Annual Report 2014

Contact

LEG Immobilien AG – Investor Relations

Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49 211 4568 204 [email protected]

Karin Widenmann Manager Investor Relations Tel: +49 211 4568 458 karin.widenman[email protected]

Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 40476 Dusseldorf Germany

Thank you for your interest.

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