Investor Presentation • Nov 14, 2014
Investor Presentation
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While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.
I. Highlights 9M-2014
II. Portfolio and Operating Performance
| Total Portfolio |
|---|
| 30 Sept. 2014 |
(YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 97,487 | +4.2% |
| In-place rent (sqm) | €5.10 (€5.10)** | +3.3% (+3.4%)** |
| Occupancy | 96.8% (96.8%)** | -20 bps (-26 bps)** |
| High-Growth Markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept. 2014 (YOY) |
|||||
| # of units | 31,072 | +0.5% | |||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €5.71 (€5.70)** |
+3.5% (+3.5%)** |
|||
| Occupancy | 98.8% (98.8%)** |
+10 bps (+10 bps)** |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept. 2014 (YOY) |
|||||
| # of units | 36,028 | +6.6% | |||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €4.81 (€4.79)** |
+3.5% (+3.1%)** |
|||
| Occupancy | 96.3% (96.2%)** |
-20 bps (-30 bps)** |
| Higher-Yielding Markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept. 2014 (YOY) |
|||||
| # of units | 28,288 | +6.0% | |||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €4.71 (€4.69)** |
+3.3% (+3.0%)** |
|||
| Occupancy | 95.1% (95.2%)** |
-60 bps (-60 bps)** |
** like for like
III. Financial Performance
Margin Expansion on back of Sound Topline Growth and Cost Discipline
| Condensed Income Statement (€ million) |
2013 | 9M-2014 | 9M-2013 | Higher rental income |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net rental and letting income |
257.7 | 213.1 | 188.1 | (+€17.4m/+6.5%) Lower maintenance expenses (-€5.1m) |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | -1.8 | -0.3 | -0.8 | |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property | 81.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory | -3.1 | -2.6 | -1.4 | €0.9m Long Term Incentive Plan – non-cash |
| Net income from Other services | 2.3 | 0.0 | 1.9 | pass-through item Slightly lower recurring |
| Administrative and Other expenses | -51.5 | -28.4 | -38.3 | admin. costs of €23.9m (9M-2013: €25.4m) |
| Other income | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | €5.7m tax |
| Operating earnings |
285.5 | 182.4 | 150.0 | reimbursement |
| Net finance costs |
-126.9 | -87.7 | -90.7 | €1.9m loss from derivatives |
| Earnings before income taxes |
158.6 | 94.7 | 59.3 | Slightly higher cash interest expenses |
| Income tax expense |
-21.7 | -26.5 | -7.4 | (€70.4m vs. €67.0m) |
| Consolidated net profit |
136.9 | 68.2 | 51.9 | Deferred taxes (thereof cash taxes: -€1.1m) |
| € million |
2013 | 9M-2014 | 9M-2013 | +€17.4m higher rental |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 294.1 | 188.8 | 156.5 | income + €5.1m lower maintenance cost |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property |
-81.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +€4.1m due to one-off from former development in FY-2013 |
| Long-term incentive program (LTIP) | 3.3 | 0.9 | 2.6 | + €2.8m lower admin. costs (project costs) |
| Non-recurring project costs | 7.9 | 2.7 | 5.8 | |
| Extraordinary and prior-period expenses and income | 3.2 | 0.1 | 3.2 | |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | 1.7 | 0.3 | 0.8 | |
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory |
3.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 | Winding down of former development business Smaller disposals at premium to book values |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 231.7 | 195.4 | 170.3 | Total inventories: €4.3m |
| € million |
2013 | 9M-2014 | 9M-2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA | 231.7 | 195.4 | 170.3 | Slightly higher financial charges due to |
| Cash interest expenses and income | -91.0 | -70.4 | -67.0 | acquisitions (net debt +c.€130m YOY) Interest cost ratio slightly |
| Cash income taxes | 0.5 | -1.1 | 0.2 | decreasing |
| FFO I (not including disposal of investment property) |
141.2 | 123.9 | 103.5 | |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property |
-1.7 | -0.3 | -0.8 | Disposals of non-core assets at premium to book values |
| FFO II (including disposal of investment property) | 139.5 | 123.6 | 102.7 | |
| Capex | -43.7 | -26.7 | -24.5 | |
| Capex-Adjusted FFO I (AFFO) | 97.5 | 97.2 | 79.0 | Rising investments in Q4-2014 expected |
| € million |
2013 | 9M-2014 | 9M-2013 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported interest expense |
131.4 | 93.8 | 95.2 |
| Interest expense related to loan amortisation |
-30.2 | -14.0 | -18.2 |
| Interest expenses related to convertible bond (non cash) | - | -2.9 | - |
| Refinancing fees | -2.9 | 0.0 | -2.9 |
| Prepayment penalties | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Interest on shareholder loans | -0.2 | 0.0 | -0.2 |
| Interest charges relating to valuation of assets/liabilities |
-2.3 | -1.7 | -1.9 |
| Leasing related interest expense | -1.6 | -1.0 | -1.2 |
| Interest expenses related to changes in pension provisions |
-3.6 | -2.9 | -2.9 |
| Other interest expenses | -0.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
| Bank charges | 1.5 | 0.2 | - |
| Interest income | -0.9 | -0.8 | -0.9 |
| Cash effective interest expense | 91.0 | 70.4 | 67.0 |
Moderate increase due to acquisitions
Interest coverage improved further (2.8X up from 2.5X YOY)
| € million |
30.09.2014 | 31.12.2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity (excl. minority interests) |
2,197.4 | 2,248.8 | +€68.2m net profit -€28.8m O-C-I |
| Effect of exercising options, convertible loans and other rights | - | - | (valuation derivatives) -€91.6m dividend payment |
| NAV | 2,197.4 | 2,248.8 | |
| Fair value of financial derivatives | 93.8 | 52.0 | |
| Deferred taxes | 296.2 | 271.1 | |
| EPRA-NAV | 2,587.4 | 2,571.9 | |
| Number of shares outstanding (m) | 52,963 | 52,963 | Adjusted for DPS of |
| EPRA-NAV per share in € | 48.85 | 48.56 | €1.73 NAV increased by +4.2% y-t-d |
| € million |
30.09.2014 | 31.12.2013 | Purchases €178.6m |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 5,348.0 | 5,163.4 | Capex €26.7m Reclassification |
| Prepayment for investment property |
- | 6.9 | -€20.7m |
| Other non-current assets | 91.7 | 91.9 | |
| Non-current assets | 5,439.7 | 5,262.2 | |
| Receivables and other assets | 60.3 | 33.8 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 303.6 | 110.7 | |
| Current assets | 363.9 | 144.5 | |
| Assets held for disposal | 6.8 | 16.4 | |
| Total Assets | 5,810.4 | 5,423.1 | |
| Equity | 2,230.5 | 2,276.1 | Equity ratio of 38.4% |
| Non-current financial liabilities | 2,720.8 | 2,396.7 | |
| Other non-current liabilities |
542.2 | 443.9 | |
| Non-current liabilities | 3,263.0 | 2,840.6 | |
| Current financial liabilities | 189.9 | 187.0 | |
| Other current liabilities | 127.0 | 119.4 | |
| Current liabilities | 316.9 | 306.4 | |
| Total Equity and Liabilities |
5,810.4 | 5,423.1 |
| € million |
30.09.2014 | 31.12.2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial debt | 2,910.7 | 2,583.7 | |
| Cash & cash equivalents | 303.6 | 110.7 | |
| Net Debt |
2,607.1 | 2,473.0 | |
| Investment properties | 5,348.0 | 5,163.4 | Financial firepower |
| Properties held for sale | 6.8 | 16.4 | c.€600m post Q4 transactions (pro forma LTV < 50%) |
| Prepayment for investment properties |
- | 6.9 | |
| 5,354.8 | 5,186.7 | ||
| Loan to Value (LTV) in % | 48.7 | 47.7 |
External growth supports further decrease in average interest costs
IV. Business Update and Outlook
85% of portfolio within a 60 km radius of Dusseldorf and Cologne
| 30.09.2014 | Closing | Change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy |
| 8,176 | 5.19 | 94.2% | 4.95 | 94.7% | 0.24 (+4.8%) | -45 bp |
| New-letting [Closing – 30.06.2014] |
Previous rent [Closing – | 30.06.2014] | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| sqm | In-place rent € / sqm |
sqm | In-place rent € / sqm |
Change In-place rent |
| 51,795 | 5.75 | 55,658 | 5.26 | +9.3% |
| 2014 | Guidance |
|---|---|
| L-F-L rent growth: | approx. 3.0% |
| Maintenance/Capex: | €13-€14/sqm (capex ratio c. 50%) |
| FFO I: | €158m - €161m (+ first effects from NRW Vitus) |
| Dividend: | Temporarily > 65% of FFO I (due to 4.1m new shares in Oct.) |
| 2015 | |
|---|---|
| FFO I: | €188m - €193m/ €3.29 - €3.39; excl. future acquisitions |
| Acquisitions (mid term target): |
≥ 5,000 units p.a. |
V. Appendix
| Release Date (expected) |
High-Growth Market1 |
Market1 Stable |
Higher-Yielding Market1 |
Total Portfolio1,2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 (Q1) | 8,650 units (mainly Dusseldorf, Ratingen) |
8,630 units (mainly Siegen, Solingen) |
1,334 units (mainly Hagen) |
18,614 units |
| 2014 (Q2) | 110 units | 2,928 units (mainly Hamm, Bochum) |
3,038 units | |
| 2014 (Q3) | 209 units | 1,526 units (mainly Ahlen) |
5,377 units (mainly Gelsenkirchen, Unna) |
7,112 units |
| 2014 (Q4) | 343 units | 1,129 units | 2,569 units (mainly Recklinghausen) |
4,041 units |
| Total 1,2 | 9,312 units | 14,213 units | 9,280 units |
32,805 units |
| Thereof: - Ahlen - Bochum |
1,049 units 1,477 units |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| - Dusseldorf |
3,285 units | |||
| - Gelsenkirchen |
2,922 units | |||
| - Hamm |
3,975 units | |||
| - Ratingen |
2,793 units | |||
| - Recklinghausen |
1,765 units | 1) Sub-portfolios also include |
||
| - Siegen |
1,027 units | restricted units | ||
| - Solingen - Unna |
1,451 units | 1,210 units | 2) Total Portfolio also include 99 units Non NRW |
| Adj. EBITDA margin | 2012 | 2013 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | Margin % |
€m | Margin % | |
| Reported | 223.1 | 64.8 | 231.7 | 64.3 |
| Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents* | 19.4 | 66.7 | 22.5 | 66.4 |
| Positive effect from subsidised loans on interest result** |
17.6 | 66.5 | 17.4 | 65.9 |
• *€4.48 per sqm vs. €5.13 in 2013, €4.49 vs. €5.27 in 2013
• **€ Financing costs 1.4% (maturity 30 years) vs. Swap 2.6% +175 bps margin
| Market | Residential Units |
GAV Residential Assets (€m) |
% of Total Residential GAV |
GAV/ sqm (€) |
In-Place Rent Multiple |
GAV Commercial/ Other Assets (€m) |
Total GAV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Growth |
31,702 | 2,212 | 44% | 1,064 | 15.7x | 168 | 2,380 |
| Markets | |||||||
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields |
36,028 | 1,641 | 33% | 707 | 12.7x | 86 | 1,728 |
| Higher-Yielding Markets |
28,288 | 1,103 | 22% | 632 | 11.7x | 45 | 1,149 |
| Subtotal NRW | 96,018 | 4,957 | 98% | 807 | 13.6x | 300 | 5,257 |
| Portfolio outside NRW |
1,469 | 86 | 2% | 880 | 14.0x | 10 | 95 |
| Total Portfolio | 97,487 | 5,043 | 100% | 808 | 13.6x | 309 | 5,352 |
| Other Assets | 28 | ||||||
| Total (Incl. Landbank and DevCo) |
5,380 |
| Date | Report/Event |
|---|---|
| 14.11.2014 | Quarterly Report Q3 as of 30th September 2014 |
| 20.11.2014 | Roadshow Amsterdam (Kempen & Co) |
| 21.11.2014 | Roadshow Frankfurt (KeplerCheuvreux) |
| 24.-25.11.2014 | Roadshow London (Morgan Stanley) |
| 26.11.2014 | Roadshow Paris (Société Générale) |
| 25.03.2015 | Annual Report 2014 |
Contact
Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49 211 4568 204 [email protected]
Karin Widenmann Manager Investor Relations Tel: +49 211 4568 458 karin.widenman[email protected]
Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 40476 Dusseldorf Germany
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