Investor Presentation • Mar 25, 2015
Investor Presentation
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While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.
I. Highlights FY-2014
II. Portfolio and Operating Performance
| FY-2014 | (YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 106,961 | +13.4% |
| In-place rent (sqm) | €5.07 (€5.11)* | +2.3% (+3.0%)* |
| Occupancy | 97.2% (97.3%)* | +10 bps (+20 bps)* |
| High-Growth Markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY-2014 (YOY) |
||||
| # of units | 32,847 | +4.3% | ||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €5.71 (€5.73)* |
+3.0% (+3.2%)* |
||
| Occupancy | 98.9% (99.0%)* |
+10 bps (+20 bps)* |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY-2014 (YOY) |
|||||
| # of units | 42,916 | +23.9% | |||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €4.81 (€4.80)* |
+2.9% (+2.7%)* |
|||
| Occupancy | 97.0% (96.9%)* |
+50 bps (+30 bps)* |
| Higher-Yielding Markets | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY-2014 (YOY) |
|||||
| # of units | 29,284 | +9.7% | |||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €4.69 (€4.70)* |
+2.5% (+2.6%)* |
|||
| Occupancy | 95.6% (95.7%)* |
+/-0 bps (+/-0 bps)* |
* like-for-like
Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = strong rent growth
III. Financial Performance
Margin expansion on back of sound topline growth + cost discipline
| Condensed Income Statement (€ million) |
2014 | 2013 | Higher rental income (+€29.6m/+8.2%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net rental and letting income |
284.9 | 257.7 | Higher maintenance (-€3.9m) and personnel costs due to portfolio growth largely offset |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | -1.7 | -1.7 | by multimedia revenues NRI-margin increased from 71.5% to 73.0% YOY |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property | 143.0 | 81.6 | |
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory | -3.1 | -3.1 | €1.2m Long Term Incentive Plan – non cash pass |
| Net income from Other services | -0.3 | 2.3 | through item Higher project and one-off costs in 2013 |
| Administrative and Other expenses | -41.6 | -51.5 | Lower recurring admin. costs (€33.1m vs. €35.2m) |
| Other income | 0.5 | 0.2 | Lower non-cash loan |
| Operating earnings |
381.7 | 285.5 | amortisation (+€5.6m) Tax reimbursement (+€5.7m) Result from fair value |
| Net finance costs |
-162.2 | -126.9 | measurement of derivatives (-€44.7m YOY; thereof €33.7m from convertible) |
| Earnings before income taxes |
219.5 | 158.6 | Cash interests (€94.6m vs. €91m) |
| Income tax expense |
-62.7 | -21.7 | Negative one-offs: €6.1m |
| Consolidated net profit |
156.8 | 136.9 | (tax audit) and €8.9m (write down tax asset) Cash taxes -€1.2m |
| € million |
2014 | 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EBITDA | 390.3 | 294.1 | +€29.6m higher rental income +€61.4m higher result from |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property |
-143.0 | -81.6 | fair value measurement of properties +€5.1m lower project and one time costs |
| Long-term incentive program (LTIP) | 1.2 | 3.3 | |
| Non-recurring project costs | 5.8 | 7.9 | |
| Extraordinary and prior-period expenses and income | 0.2 | 3.2 | |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | 1.7 | 1.7 | |
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory |
3.1 | 3.1 | Winding down former development business Disposals at premium to book values (€5.7m vs. |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 259.3 | 231.7 | €5.1m) Total inventories €4.2m |
| € million |
2014 | 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA | 259.3 | 231.7 | Slightly higher financial charges due to |
| Cash interest expenses and income | -94.5 | -91.0 | acquisitions Interest cost ratio slightly decreasing (24.2% vs. |
| Cash income taxes | -1.2 | 0.5 | 25.2% in FY-2013) |
| FFO I (not including disposal of investment property) |
163.6 | 141.2 | |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property |
-1.7 | -1.7 | Disposal of non-core assets at premium to |
| FFO II (including disposal of investment property) | 161.9 | 139.5 | book values (€37.6m vs. €37.2m) |
| Capex | -43.4 | -43.7 | |
| Capex-Adjusted FFO I (AFFO) | 120.2 | 97.5 | +€22.7m supported by slightly lower capex ratio |
| € million |
2014 | 2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported interest expense |
128.5 | 131.4 | Including interest expenses of |
| Interest expense related to loan amortisation |
-24.6 | -30.2 | -€4.5m related to convertible bond |
| Refinancing fees | 0.0 | -2.9 | |
| Prepayment penalties | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Interest on shareholder loans | 0.0 | -0.2 | |
| Interest charges relating to valuation of assets/liabilities |
-2.3 | -2.3 | |
| Leasing related interest expense | -1.5 | -1.6 | |
| Interest expenses related to changes in pension provisions |
-4.0 | -3.6 | |
| Other interest expenses | -0.2 | -0.2 | |
| Bank charges | -0.3 | 1.5 | Moderate increase |
| Interest income | -1.0 | -0.9 | due to acquisitions Interest coverage |
| Cash effective interest expense | 94.6 | 91.0 | improved further (2.7x up from 2.5x YOY) |
| € million |
31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity (excl. minority interests) |
2,477.3 | 2,248.8 | +€156.8m net profit +€202.9m capital |
| Effect of exercising options, convertible loans and other rights | 308.7 | - | increase -€91.6m dividend |
| NAV | 2,786.0 | 2,248.8 | payment -€53.1m other |
| Fair value of financial derivatives | 136.1 | 52.0 | comprehensive income |
| Deferred taxes | 372.5 | 315.3 | |
| EPRA-NAV | 3,294.6 | 2,616.1 | |
| Number of shares fully-diluted incl. convertible (m)* |
62.043 | 52.963 | |
| EPRA-NAV per share in € | 53.10 | 49.39 | |
| Goodwill, resulting from synergies | 25.9 | - | |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
3,268.7 | 2,616.1 | |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € | 52.69 | 49.39 |
Services
Expected future FFO >€10m (€10m/6% = €166m or c. €2.70 per share)
*Actual number of shares outstanding 57.063m
| € million |
31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | Purchases €615.9m |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 5,914.3 | 5,163.4 | Valuation uplift €143m |
| Prepayment for investment property |
16.8 | 6.9 | Capex €43.4m Reclassification -€51.4m |
| Other non-current assets | 155.8 | 91.9 | |
| Non-current assets | 6,086.9 | 5,262.2 | |
| Receivables and other assets | 35.9 | 33.8 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 129.9 | 110.7 | |
| Current assets | 165.8 | 144.5 | |
| Assets held for disposal | 58.4 | 16.4 | |
| Total Assets | 6,311.1 | 5,423.1 | |
| Equity | 2,491.6 | 2,276.1 | Equity ratio of 39.5% |
| Non-current financial liabilities | 2,546.5 | 2,396.7 | |
| Other non-current liabilities |
612.3 | 443.9 | |
| Non-current liabilities | 3,158.8 | 2,840.6 | |
| Current financial liabilities | 413.8 | 187.0 | |
| Other current liabilities | 246.9 | 119.4 | |
| Current liabilities | 660.7 | 306.4 | |
| Total Equity and Liabilities |
6,311.1 | 5,423.1 |
| € million |
31.12.2014 | 31.12.2013 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial debt | 2,960.3 | 2,583.7 | |
| Cash & cash equivalents | 129.9 | 110.7 | |
| Net Debt |
2,830.4 | 2,473.0 | |
| Investment properties | 5,914.3 | 5,163.4 | Financial firepower approx. €500m |
| Properties held for sale | 58.4 | 16.4 | Positive impact on LTV from future conversion of |
| Prepayment for investment properties |
16.8 | 6.9 | convertible expected (currently -430bps) |
| Property values |
5,989.5 | 5,186.7 | |
| Loan to Value (LTV) in % | 47.3 | 47.7 | |
| Equity | 2,491.6 | 2,276.1 |
| Refinancing Targets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume | approx. €900m | |||
| One-off charges (estimate) |
€60m | |||
| Payback period |
3.5 years | |||
| Avg. debt maturity new loans |
approx. 10 years |
|||
| Avg. interest cost - new loans - replaced old loans |
< 2% 3.86% |
IV. Business Update and Outlook
Acquisition pipeline – on track for FY targets
| 31.12.2014 | Closing | Change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy |
| 8,176* | 5.19 | 95.0% | 4.95 | 94.7% | 0.24 (+4.8%) | ~ +40 bp |
| New-letting (Closing – 31.12.2014) |
Previous rent (Closing – 31.12.2014) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| sqm | In-place rent € / sqm |
sqm | In-place rent € / sqm |
Change In-place rent |
| 68,559* | 5.67 | 70,672 | 5.25 | +8.0% |
* Acquisitions since end-2012 excl. NRW Vitus transaction
| 2015 | Guidance |
|---|---|
| FFO I: | €195m - €200m/ €3.42 - €3.50; excl. future acquisitions |
| L-F-L rent growth: | 2.3% - 2.5% |
| L-F-L vacancy: | ≤ 2.7% |
| Maintenance/Capex: | €15/sqm (capex ratio c. 50%) |
| Acquisitions (mid term target): |
≥ 5,000 units p.a. |
| Dividend: | 65% of FFO I |
| 2016 | Guidance |
|---|---|
| FFO I: | €223m - €227m/ €3.91 - €3.98; excl. future acquisitions |
V. Appendix
| Release date (expected) |
High-Growth Market1 |
Market1 Stable |
Higher-Yielding Market1 |
Total Portfolio1,2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 (Q1) | 9,789 units (mainly Cologne, Monheim) |
18,343 units (mainly Dortmund, Hamm) |
2,526 units | 31,342 units |
| 2015 (Q2) | 6,653 units (mainly Münster) |
10,139 units (mainly Möchengladbach) |
16,792 units | |
| 2015 (Q3) | 1,488 units (mainly Bocholt) |
4,310 units (mainly Wuppertal) |
266 units | 6,064 units |
| 2015 (Q4) | 2,761 units (mainly Bonn) |
1,109 units (mainly Dorsten) |
3,870 units | |
| Total 1,2 | 20,691 units | 32,792 units | 3,901 units |
58,068 units |
| Thereof: | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| - Bonn |
2,225 units | ||
| - Cologne |
3,705 units | ||
| - Dortmund |
12,554 units | ||
| - Essen |
1,786 units | ||
| - Gütersloh |
1,788 units | ||
| - Hamm |
3,974 units | ||
| - Möchengladbach |
6,050 units | ||
| - Monheim |
3,436 units | ||
| - Münster |
6,098 units | ||
| - Wuppertal |
2,031 units | ||
1 Sub-portfolios also include restricted units 2 Total Portfolio also include 684 units Non NRW
| Adj. EBITDA margin | 2014 | 2013 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | margin % |
€m | margin % | |
| As reported |
259.3 | 66.5 | 231.7 | 64.3 |
| Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents* | 21.2 | 68.2 | 22.5 | 66.4 |
* €/sqm: €4.61 vs. €5.33 in 2014, €4.50 vs. €5.24 in 2013
| Residential | GAV Residential |
% of Total Residential |
GAV/ | In-Place | GAV Commercial/ Other |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Units | Assets (€m) | GAV | sqm (€) | Rent Multiple | Assets (€m) | Total GAV |
| High Growth Markets |
32,847 | 2,337 | 41% | 1,112 | 16.3x | 164 | 2,501 |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields |
42,916 | 2,067 | 36% | 733 | 13.0x | 80 | 2,147 |
| Higher-Yielding Markets |
29,284 | 1,157 | 20% | 639 | 11.8x | 42 | 1,198 |
| Subtotal NRW | 105,047 | 5,560 | 98% | 826 | 13.9x | 286 | 5,846 |
| Portfolio outside NRW |
1,914 | 114 | 2% | 864 | 14.5x | 9 | 123 |
| Total Portfolio | 106,961 | 5,674 | 100% | 827 | 13.9x | 295 | 5,969 |
| Other Assets | 48 | ||||||
| Total (incl. Landbank and DevCo) 6,016 |
| Date | Report/Event |
|---|---|
| 25.03.2015 | Annual Report 2014 |
| 26.03.2015 | Roadshow London (Deutsche Bank) |
| 27.03.2015 | Commerzbank German Residential Property Forum 2015, London |
| 30.03.2015 | Roadshow Zurich (Société Générale) |
| 16.04.2015 | Bankhaus Lampe Conference (Baden-Baden) |
| 05.05.2015 | IR: Hamburger Investmentkonferenz (Donner & Reuschel) |
| 13.05.2015 | Quarterly Report Q1 as of 31st March 2015 |
Contact
Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49 211 4568 204 [email protected]
Karin Widenmann Manager Investor Relations Tel: +49 211 4568 458 karin.widenman[email protected]
Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 40476 Dusseldorf Germany
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