Earnings Release • Jan 22, 2016
Earnings Release
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Luka Mucic CFO and COO, SAP SE
Walldorf – January 22nd, 2016
| Outlook FY 2015 |
Actual performance 2015 |
|
|---|---|---|
| Cloud subscription and support revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) |
€1.95bn to €2.05bn | €2.00bn |
| Cloud and software revenue (Non-IFRS at cc) |
+ 8% to 10% | + 12% |
| Operating profit (Non-IFRS at cc) | €5.6bn to €5.9bn | €5.903bn |
| Effective tax rate (IFRS) | 25% to 26% | + 23.3% |
| Effective tax rate (IFRS) | 25% to 26% | + 23.3% |
|---|---|---|
| Effective tax rate (Non-IFRS) | 26.5% to 27.5% | + 26.0% |
All 2015 figures in this presentation are non-IFRS approximate due to its preliminary nature
All revenue figures are Non-IFRS reported
Q4: €3.2bn or +25% yoy at cc | FY: €7.2bn or +18% yoy at cc | 1/3 from cloud subscription
Strong growth across all regions FY 2015
Cloud +120% Cloud and software +31%
EMEA Cloud +83% Cloud and software +12%
APJ
Cloud +99% Cloud and software +20%
All revenue figures are Non-IFRS reported
Much larger cloud business in 2020 relative to core business – change in revenue mix weighs on blended operating margin for the group in short/medium term
Cloud subscription and support revenue
All other revenue
Share of more predictable revenue is expected to increase to 70-75% by 2020
Support + Cloud subs – share of revenue All other revenue
Our completeness of vision in the cloud and soaring adoption of SAP S/4HANA gives us tremendous confidence in our business in 2016 and beyond.
2016
Operating profit in a range of €6.4 - €6.7bn
guidance** Cloud subscriptions and support revenue in a range of €3.8 - €4.0bn. Upper end represents a 2015 to 2017 CAGR of 32%
SAP is not adjusting its long term, high level 2020 ambition (communicated in 2015) at this time.
| € millions, unless otherwise stated |
01/01/15 - 12/31/15 |
01/01/14 - 12/31/14 |
∆ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow |
3,639 | 3,499 | +4% |
| - Capital expenditure |
-637 | -737 | |
| Free cash flow |
3,001 | 2,762 | +9% |
| Free cash flow as a percentage of total revenue | 14% | 16% | -2pp |
| Cash conversion rate | 1.19 | 1.07 | +11% |
| Days sales outstanding (DSO in days) | 71 | 65 | +6 |
| IFRS Profit Measure | Actual Amounts FY/2014 |
Actual Amounts FY/2015 |
Est. Amounts for FY/2015 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue adjustments | €19m | €11m | <€20m |
| TomorrowNow and Versata Litigation |
€309m | €0m | €0m |
| Share-based payment expenses | €290m | €724m | €550m to €590m |
| Acquisition-related charges | €562m | €738m | €730m to €780m |
| Restructuring charges | €126m | €621m | €585m to €615m |
| Sum of all adjustments | €1,307m | €2,095m | €1,885m to €2,005m |
The company expects a full-year 2016 effective tax rate (IFRS) between 22.5% to 23.5% (2015: 23.3%) and an effective tax rate (non-IFRS) between 24.5% to 25.5% (2015: 26.0%).
| IFRS Profit Measure | Actual Amounts FY/2015 |
Est. Amounts for FY/2016 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue adjustments | €11m | <€20m |
| Share-based payment expenses | €724m | €600m to €640m |
| Acquisition-related charges | €738m | €690m to €740m |
| Restructuring charges | €621m | €40-60m |
| Sum of all adjustments | €2,095m | €1,350m to €1,460m |
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