Earnings Release • Mar 3, 2016
Earnings Release
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FY 2015 Results Conference Call 3 March 2016 Rolf Buch, CEO Dr. A. Stefan Kirsten, CFO
| Reputation & Customer Satisfaction | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| al n o diti Tra |
1 | Property Mgmt. Strategy |
Systematic optimization of operating performance and core business productivity Control of maintenance costs and release of capital for new property investments that offer greater potential |
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| 2 | Financing Strategy | Acquisition Ensure balanced structure and maturity of debt 5 capital, optimization of financing costs, credit Strategy rating and adequate liquidity at all times |
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| Fast and unfettered access to equity and debt capital markets |
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| Constant review of | |||||||||
| opportunities to lever scalable platform and Portfolio optimization by way of investments, generate economies of scale tactical acquisitions and sales |
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| 3 | Portfolio Mgmt. Strategy |
All acquisitions must meet Purchase and sale decisions made on a stringent acquisition criteria sustainable basis through continuous review of portfolio in order to identify opportunities and risks |
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| e v ati v o n n I |
Expansion of core business to include customer oriented services that are closely related to and/or influence the rental business. |
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| 4 | Extension Strategy | Pursue further options for expanding the range of tenant services and initiatives that have the potential to grow the company's income. |
2012 2013 2014 2015 56 65 170 356 430- 500 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016E 2012A 2015A 0.0 2.5 0.5 4.0 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A 77.4% 79.6% 82.2% 84.9% 86.5% 2012A 2013A 2014A 2015A FY PF incl. synergies 100 121 2012A 2015A Property management strategy Financing strategy Portfolio management strategy Extension strategy Acquisition strategy Vonovia strategy 1 2 3 4 5 Delivered results 3.1% ~ 5.4 years 2.1% ~ 8.0 years 1.7% ~ 5.8 years Vitus (30k) Dewag (11k) Gagfah (140k) Franconia (5k) Südewo (19k) 182k 178k 203k 344k Note: Total number of units as of end of period reflecting disposals Total number of units 6.8% 7.2% 7.5% ~7.6% ~7% Customer satisfaction index1 Craftsmen (TGS)2 2,648 ~700 830 754 644 1 Including full effect from Gagfah and Südewo synergies EBITDA margin (excl. R&M) Cost per unit(€) 12012 rebased to 100; 2 TGS only, excluding Gagfah 850 Modernization in €m Yield Average cost of new debt and maturity Straight bond issued per year, €bn
FY Results Presentation, 03 March 2016 Page 5
Per unit data based on average number of units over the respective period 2015 numbers include ten months of Gagfah and six months of Südewo results FY 2014 Adjusted EBITDA Rental after re-segmentation
Dec. 31, 2014 Deutsche Annington portfolio only
Per share data based on number of shares outstanding as of respective reporting dates (31 Dec. 2014: 271.6m; 31 Dec. 2015: 466.0m) 2014 per share data TERP adjusted
Per unit data based on average number of units over the respective period
FY 2015 numbers include ten months of Gagfah and six months of Südewo
| VONOVIA | ||
|---|---|---|
| FY 2014 (TERP-adjusted) |
Guidance 20151 (November) |
FY 20151 | √ | Guidance 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L-f-l rental growth | 2.5% | 2.8-2.9% | 2.9% | √ | 2.8-3.0% |
| Vacancy | 3.4% | ~3% | 2.7% | √ | ~3% |
| Rental Income | €789.3m | €1,400-1,420m | €1,415m | √ | €1,500-1,520m |
| FFO1 (incl. hybrid) | €286.6m | €590-600m | €608m | √ | €690-710m |
| FFO1/share eop (incl. hybrid) |
€1.00 | €1.27-1.29 | €1.30 | √ | €1.48-1.52 |
| FFO1/share eop (excl. hybrid) |
€1.00 | €1.20-1.22 | €1.23 | √ | €1.39-€1.44 |
| EPRA NAV/share |
€23.04 | €29.00-30.00 | €30.02 | √ | €30-31 |
| Adj. NAV/share2 |
€22.67 | €23.50-24.50 | €24.19 | √ | €24-25 |
| Maintenance | €173.8m | ~€330m | €331m | √ | ~€330m |
| Modernization | €171.7m | €330-350m | €356m | √ | €430-500m |
| Privatization (#) | 2,238 | ~2,900 | 2,979 | √ | ~2,400 |
| FMV step-up (Privatization) | 37.6% | >30% | 30.5% | √ | ~30% |
| Non-core (#) | 1,843 | opportunistic | 12,195 | √ | opportunistic |
| FMV step-up (Non-Core) | 10.9% | ~0% | 9.2% | √ | ~0% |
| Dividend/share3 | €0.74 | €0.94 | €0.94 | √ | ~70% of FFO1 |
1 Incl. acquisitions pro rata (see p. 25); per share numbers based on 466.0 million shares currently outstanding
2 Excl. goodwill
3 To be recommended to the AGM. Going forward, the stated dividend policy of ~70% of FFO1 (Group) remains unchanged
FY 2014 is TERP-adjusted (TERP factor=1.051). FY 2014 before TERP adjustment: FFO1 Group/share=€1.06, EPRA NAV/share=€24.22, Dividend/share=€0.78 FFO 1/share avg. (FY 2014 TERP adjusted=€1.12; Guidance 2015= €1.49-1.52)
| KPIs as of December 31, 2015 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | Target | |||||
| LTV | 47.3% | <50% | ||||
| Unencumbered assets in % |
40.4% | ≥ 50% | ||||
| Global ICR (YTD) | 3.0x | Ongoing | ||||
| Financing Cost | 2.6% | optimisation with most economic funding |
| Sources | (€bn) | Uses | (€bn) |
|---|---|---|---|
| EMTN 2015 net proceeds | 3.0 | DW share purchase | 0.4 |
| Prepay Secured Instruments |
1.2 | ||
| Bond | 0.7 | ||
| General Corporate Purpose | 0.7 |
Rounded figures
| Value driver | Fair value growth |
|---|---|
| Performance (rents, vacancy, cost) | €425m |
| Investments (effects of modernization program) | €435m |
| Yield compression | €920m |
| Total | €1,780m |
| Valuation Key Figures |
Q4 / 2014 | Q4 / 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Discount Rate | 6.0% | 5.8% |
| Capitalization Rate |
4.9% | 4.7% |
| Net Initial Yield | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Gross Yield |
6.8% | 6.5% |
| Multiplier In-place rent | 14.7 x | 15.4x |
| Fair Value (€/sqm) | 964 | 1,054 |
| € million |
Dec. 31, 2014 | Dec. 31, 2015 |
Increased debt volume as a result of substantially larger portfolio |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-derivative financial liabilities | 6,665 | 14,940 | (primarily Gagfah) |
| Foreign currency effects |
-84 | -180 | 2015 primarily includes proceeds from Dec. 2015 bonds issue. 2014 includes 1bn perpetual hybrid. |
| Cash and cash equivalents | -1,565 | -3,108 | Other includes |
| Funds held for Franconia and GAGFAH purchases |
1,322 | --- | proceeds to be received from 2015 • portfolio sale (-244) |
| Other | --- | -121 | debt for 2015 acquisitions (135) • • funds paid for 2015 acquisition of DW shares (-12) |
| Adjusted net debt | 6,339 | 11,531 | |
| FV of real estate portfolio | 12,759 | 24,158 | Increased fair value driven by acquisitions, portfolio investments, continuously improved operating |
| FV of agreed acquisition | --- | 240 | performance and yield compression |
| Adjusted Fair Value | 12,759 | 24,398 | |
| LTV | 49.7% | 47.3% | Including the effects from the portfolio sale to LEG (closing expected in Q1 2016), the LTV is 45.9% |
Maintenance: Reactive investment; value maintaining
Modernization: Proactive, discretionary investment; value enhancing with unlevered yield of ~7%
Margin improvement driven by increasing efficiency, scalable business model with successful integration of acquisitions and full synergy delivery.
(based on mid-point of 2016 FFO1 guidance)
EBITDA Rental Margin (incl. Extension)
EBITDA Rental Margin (incl. Extension) excl. repairs & maintenance
| Privatization | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2014 | FY 2015 | Change | Change (%) | ||||
| # units sold | 2,238 | 2,979 | 741 | 33.1 | |||
| Income from disposal of properties (€m) |
231.2 | 262.7 | 31.5 | 13.6 | |||
| Fair value disposals (€m) |
-168.0 | -201.3 | -33.3 | -19.8 | |||
| Adjusted profit from disposal of properties (€m) | 63.2 | 61.4 | -1.8 | -2.8 | |||
| Fair value step-up | 37.6% | 30.5% | -7.1 ppt | ||||
| Target 30-35% | ~30% | ||||||
| Non-core disposals | |||||||
| FY 2014 | FY 2015 | Change | Change (%) | ||||
| # units sold | 1,843 | 12,195 | 10,352 | 561.7 | |||
| Income from disposal of properties (€m) |
56.1 | 463.3 | 407.2 | 725.8 | |||
| Fair value disposals (€m) |
-50.6 | -424.4 | -373.8 | -738.7 | |||
| Adjusted profit from disposal of properties (€m) | 5.5 | 38.9 | 33.4 | 607.3 | |||
| Fair value step-up | 10.9% | 9.2% | -1.7 ppt | ||||
| Target = 0% |
Target = 0% |
FY Results Presentation, 03 March 2016 Page 17
.
| Description | Calculation | |
|---|---|---|
| FFO1 | FFO1 is calculated as the profit or loss for the period adjusted for sales-related, non-recurring, non-cash or similar items. It approximates the sustainable, recurring operating cash flow to the Group before payments to equity hybrid investors and minorities. This FFO1 is not determined on the basis of a specific international reporting standard but is to be regarded as a supplement to other performance indicators determined in accordance with IFRS. The FFO1 per share is calculated on the basis of all outstanding, dividend-bearing shares. |
IFRS profit or loss for the period adjusted by • the profit or loss from sales • the effects from property held for sale • specific effects which do not relate to the period, are non-recurring or do not relate to the objective of the Company • the net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties, • depreciation and amortization • deferred and prior-year current taxes (tax expenses/income), • transaction costs • prepayment penalties and commitment interest • valuation effects on financial instruments • the unwinding of discounting for provisions, particularly pension provisions • and other prior-year interest expenses • income that is not of a long-term nature |
| EPRA NAV |
EPRA NAV is used as an indicator of the Group's long-term equity and is calculated according to EPRA's Best Practice Recommendations. The adjusted NAV represents the EPRA NAV less goodwill. |
Group equity (including goodwill), + deferred taxes on properties and assets held for sale + fair value of derivative financial instruments - deferred taxes on derivative financial instruments |
| LTV | The LTV shows the ratio of net debt (excluding equity hybrid) to property value. | + Non-derivative financial liabilities (excluding equity hybrid) - Foreign currency effects - Cash and cash equivalents = Net debt + Fair value of investment property + Fair value of trading properties and assets held for sale + Fair value of properties used by the Group = Fair value |
| DAIG | DeWAG | Vitus | Gagfah | Franconia | Südewo | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2014 | 12 months | 9 months | 3 months | - | - | - |
| FY 2015 | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 10 months | 9 months | 6 months |
| FY 2015 Guidance | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 10 months | 9 months | 6 months |
| FY 2016 Guidance | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months | 12 months |
| €m | FY 2015 | FY 2014 | Change (€) | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Residential units (k) |
357,117 | 203,028 | 154,089 | 75.9 |
| Rental income | 1,414.6 | 789.3 | 625.3 | 79.2 |
| Vacancy rate (%) |
2.7 | 3.4 | -0.7 pp | |
| Monthly in-place rent/ sqm (like-for-like, €) |
5.78 | 5.62 | 0.16 | 2.9 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Rental | 924.8 | 483.1 | 441.7 | 91.4 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Rental /unit (€) |
2,779 | 2,597 | 182 | 7.0 |
| Income from disposal of properties | 726.0 | 287.3 | 438.7 | 152.7 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales | 71.1 | 50.1 | 21.0 | 41.9 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Extension | 37.6 | 23.6 | 14,0 | 59.3 |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 1,029.1 | 554.0 | 475.1 | 85.8 |
| FFO1 | 608.0 | 286.6 | 321.4 | 112.1 |
| FFO2 | 662.1 | 336.7 | 325.4 | 96.6 |
| FFO1 before maintenance |
850.2 | 431.7 | 418.5 | 196.9 |
| AFFO | 520.5 | 258.3 | 262.2 | 101.5 |
| Fair value market properties3 | 24,157.7 | 12,759.1 | 11,398.6 | 89.3 |
| EPRA NAV3 | 13,988.2 | 6,578.0 | 7,410.2 | 112.7 |
| (%)4 LTV |
47.3 | 49.7 | -2.4 pp | |
| 1 FFO1/ share (€) |
1.30 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 30.0 |
| 2 EPRA NAV / share (€) |
30.02 | 23.04 | 6.98 | 30.3 |
| 2 Adjusted EPRA NAV / share (€) |
24.19 | 22.67 | 1.52 | 6.7 |
1 Based on the number of shares as of the reporting date: 12/31/2015: 466.0m and 12/31/2014: 240.2m. FY 2014 TERP-adjusted.
2 NAV / share based on the number of outstanding shares as of the reporting date: 12/31/2015: 466.0m and 12/31/2014: 271.6m. Number as of 31 Dec 2014 TERP-adjusted.
3 LTV at 12/31/2014 adjusted for effects of capital measures
| €m | FY 2015 | FY 2014 | Change (€m) | Change (%) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income from property letting | 2,035.3 | 1,138.4 | 896.9 | 78.8 | Increase mainly acquisition-related (residential units 357k |
| Rental income | 1,414.6 | 789.3 | 625.3 | 79.2 | vs 203k), additionally in-place rent on a like-for-like basis increased by 2.9% |
| Ancillary costs | 620.7 | 349.1 | 271.6 | 77.8 | Increase mainly reflects increased portfolio size, additionally vacancy rate decreased by 0.7pp |
| Other income from property management | 28.2 | 18.2 | 10.0 | 54.9 | |
| Income from property management | 2,063.5 | 1,156.6 | 906.9 | 78.4 | |
| Income from sale of properties | 726.0 | 287.3 | 438.7 | 152.7 | |
| Carrying amount of properties sold | -658.7 | -243.4 | -415.3 | -170.6 | |
| Revaluation of assets held for sale | 51.7 | 25.1 | 26.6 | 106.0 | |
| Profit on disposal of properties | 119.0 | 69.0 | 50.0 | 72.5 | Increase due to higher Non-core Sales volume, partially offset by slightly lower Non-core Step-up |
| Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties | 1,323.5 | 371.1 | 952.4 | 256.6 | |
| Capitalized internal modernization expenses | 174.9 | 85.6 | 89.3 | 104.3 | 2015 increase reflects larger portfolio size and in-sourcing effect of craftsmen organization |
| Cost of materials | -972.5 | -542.6 | -429.9 | -79.2 | Increase mainly acquisition-related |
| Expenses for ancillary costs | -601.7 | -344.4 | -257.3 | -74.7 | |
| Expenses for maintenance | -268.7 | -141.0 | -127.7 | -90.6 | |
| Other costs of purchased goods and services | -102.1 | -57.2 | -44.9 | -78.5 | Ramp-up from 3,850 to 6,368 employees leads to increased personnel expenses which primarily result from Gagfah merger & TGS growth |
| Personnel expenses | -359.7 | -184.6 | -175.1 | -94.9 | |
| Depreciation and amortisation | -13.4 | -7.4 | -6.0 | -81.1 | Increase mainly due to acquisitions (Gagfah and Südewo) |
| Other operating income | 73.1 | 65.3 | 7.8 | 11.9 | and increased recurring income / cost reimbursements |
| Other operating expenses | -263.5 | -152.4 | -111.1 | 72.9 | Increase mainly related to additional expenses of |
| Financial income | 8.0 | 8.8 | -0.8 | -9.1 | acquisitions as well as consulting and audit fees for Gagfah and Südewo merger, other effects comprise |
| Financial expenses | -418.4 | -280.3 | -138.1 | -49.3 | vehicle and travelling costs which mainly increased due to insourcing |
| Profit before tax | 1,734.5 | 589.1 | 1,145.4 | 194.4 | Strongly impacted by additional financings as a result of |
| Income tax | -739.8 | -179.4 | -560.4 | 312.4 | acquisitions and by transaction costs for Gagfah deal financing |
| Current income tax | -27.2 | -8.0 | -19.2 | -240.0 | |
| Other (incl. deferred tax) | -712.6 | -171.4 | -541.2 | -315.8 | |
| Profit for the period | 994.7 | 409.7 | 585.0 | 142.8 |
FY Results Presentation, 03 March 2016 Page 27
| Bridge to Adjusted EBITDA (€m) |
FY 2015 | FY 2014 | Change (€) |
Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit for the period | 994.7 | 409.7 | 585.0 | 142.8 |
| Net interest result | 414.0 | 274.9 | 139.1 | 50.6 |
| Income taxes | 739.8 | 179.4 | 560.4 | 312.4 |
| Depreciation | 13.4 | 7.4 | 6.0 | 81.1 |
| Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties |
-1,323.5 | -371.1 | -952.4 | 256.6 |
| EBITDA IFRS | 838.4 | 500.3 | 338.1 | 67.6 |
| Non-recurring items |
209.4 | 54.0 | 155.4 | 287.8 |
| Period adjustments | -18.7 | -0.3 | -18.4 | na |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 1,029.1 | 554.0 | 475.1 | 85.8 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Rental | 924.8 | 483.1 | 441.7 | 91.4 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Extension | 37.6 | 23.6 | 14.0 | 59.3 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales | 71.1 | 50.1 | 21.0 | 41.9 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Other | -4.4 | -2.8 | -1.6 | 57.1 |
EBITDA increase mainly driven by rental business
| Rental Segment (€m) | FY 2015 | FY 2014 | Change (€) | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average number of units over the period | 332,768 | 186,013 | 146,755 | 78.9 |
| Rental income | 1,414.6 | 789.3 | 625.6 | 79.2 |
| Maintenance | -242.2 | -145.1 | -97.1 | 66.9 |
| Operating costs |
-247.6 | -161.1 | -86.5 | 53.7 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Rental | 924.8 | 483.1 | 441.7 | 91.4 |
| Extension Segment (€m) | FY 2015 | FY 2014 | Change (€) | Change (%) |
| Extension Income | 428.7 | 211.1 | 217.6 | 103.1 |
| Thereof external income | 59.4 | 28.9 | 30.4 | 105.2 |
| Thereof internal income | 369.4 | 182.2 | 187.2 | 102.7 |
| Extension Costs | -391.1 | -187.5 | -203.6 | 108.6 |
| Adjusted EBITDA Extension | 37.6 | 23.6 | 14.0 | 59.3 |
| Sales Segment (€m) |
FY 2015 | FY 2014 | Change (€) | Change (%) |
| Number of units sold |
15,174 | 4,081 | 11,093.0 | 271.8 |
| Income from disposal of properties |
726.0 | 287.3 | 438.7 | 152.7 |
| Carrying amount of properties sold | -658.7 | -243.4 | -415.3 | 170.6 |
| Revaluation of assets held for sale | 51.7 | 25.1 | 26.6 | 106.0 |
| Profit on disposal of properties (IFRS) |
119.0 | 69.0 | 50.0 | 72.5 |
| Revaluation (realized) of assets held for sale | -51.7 | -25.1 | -26.6 | 106.0 |
| Revaluation from disposal of assets held for sale |
33.0 | 24.8 | 8.2 | 33.1 |
| Adjusted profit from disposal of properties |
100.3 | 68.7 | 31.6 | 46.0 |
| Selling costs | -29.2 | -18.6 | -10.6 | 57.0 |
| Actuals | Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | FY 2015 | FY 2014 | €m | % |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 1,029.1 | 554.0 | 475.1 | 85.8 |
| (-) Interest expense FFO | -339.8 | -209.3 | -130.5 | -62.4 |
| (-) Current income taxes | -27.2 | -8.0 | -19.2 | -240.0 |
| (=) FFO2 | 662.1 | 336.7 | 325.4 | -96.6 |
| (-) Adjusted EBITDA Sales |
-71.1 | -50.1 | -21.0 | -41.9 |
| (+) Current income taxes sales | 17.0 | - | 17.0 | - |
| (=) FFO1 | 608.0 | 286.6 | 321.4 | 112.1 |
| thereof attributable to shareholders | 575.0 | 286.6 | 288.4 | 100.6 |
| thereof attributable to equity hybrid investors | 33.0 | - | 33.0 | - |
| (-) Capitalized maintenance | -87.5 | -28.3 | -59.2 | -209.2 |
| (=) AFFO | 520.5 | 258.3 | 262.2 | 101.5 |
| (+) Capitalized maintenance | 87.5 | 28.3 | 59.2 | 209.2 |
| (+) Expenses for maintenance | 242.2 | 145.1 | 97.1 | 66.9 |
| Maintenance and modernization (€m) | FY 2015 | FY 2014 | Change (€m) | Change (%) | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintenance expenses | 242.2 | 145.1 | 97.1 | 66.9 | |
| Capitalized Maintenance | 88.5 | 28.7 | 59.8 | 208.4 | Gagfah Portfolio |
| Modernization work | 355.6 | 171.7 | 183.9 | 107.1 | |
| Total cost of modernization and maintenance |
686.3 | 345.5 | 340.8 | 98.6 | |
| Thereof sales of own craftmen's organisation |
369.4 | 176.6 | 192.8 | 109.2 | |
| Thereof bought-in services | 316.9 | 168.9 | 148.0 | 87.6 | |
| Modernization and maintenance / sqm (€) |
33.04 | 29.12 | 3.92 | 13.5 |
Compared to 2014 significant increase due to measures in
Modernization program mainly addressing investments in buildings or apartments regarding energy efficiency, senior living and highstandard refurbishments
Compared to 2014, revenues of in-house craftsmen organisation increased significantly due to successful TGS implementation and increased portfolio size
| Rent Increase Type |
Growth Rate 2014-2015* |
|---|---|
| Sitting tenants (non-subsidised) | +1.0% |
| Sitting tenants (subsidised) |
+0.1% |
| New rentals | +0.6% |
| Subtotal excl. modernization | +1.7% |
| Sales effect | +0.0% |
| Total incl. sales | +1.7% |
| Modernization | +1.2% |
| Total incl. modernization and sales | +2.9% |
*without Gagfah, Franconia, Südewo
| €m | Dec 31, 2015 |
Dec 31, 2014 | Comments | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Properties | 23,431.3 | 12,687.2 | Increase driven by Gagfah acquisition € 8,075.7m, SÜDEWO acquisition € |
|
| Other non-current assets | 3,247.3 | 292.8 | 1,742.1m, the "Franconia" acquisition € 298.1m and effects from revaluation of investment properties of €1,323.5m |
|
| Total non-current assets | 26,678.6 | 12,980.0 | Increase mainly driven by Gagfah acquisition |
|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 3,107.9 | 1,564.8 | Preliminary Goodwill of € 2,264.8m (Gagfah) and € 343.9m (Südewo) included |
|
| Other financial assets | 2.0 | 2.0 | ||
| Other current assets | 1,170.6 | 212.4 | Increase basically driven by issuing EMTN Bond of €3.0bn in December 2015 | |
| Total current assets | 4,280.5 | 1,779.2 | ||
| Total Assets | 30,959.1 | 14,759.2 | ||
| Total equity attributable to VONOVIA shareholders | 10,620.5 | 4,932.6 | ||
| Equity attributable to hybrid capital investors | 1,001.6 | 1,001.6 | Capital increase of € 5,010.3m included |
|
| Non-controlling interests | 244.8 | 28.0 | ||
| Total equity | 11,866.9 | 5,962.2 | Increase of non controlling interest by consolidation of Gagfah €134.9m and |
|
| Provisions | 612.9 | 422.1 | Südewo €56.6m |
|
| Trade payables | 0.9 | 1.0 | ||
| Non derivative financial liabilities | 13,951.3 | 6,539.5 | ||
| Derivative financial liabilities | 144.5 | 54.5 | Increase driven by consolidation of Gagfah, as well as issuing EMTN Bonds of | |
| Liabilities from finance leases | 94.9 | 88.1 | € 4.0bn |
|
| Liabilities to non-controlling interests | 46.3 | 46.3 | ||
| Other liabilities | 25.9 | 8.6 | ||
| Deferred tax liabilities | 2,528.3 | 1,132.8 | ||
| Total non-current liabilities | 17,405.0 | 8,292.9 | Increase generally driven by Gagfah acquisition € 420.8m and by Südewo |
|
| Provisions | 429.5 | 211.3 | acquisition €227.1m and effects from revaluation of investment properties | |
| Trade payables | 91.6 | 51.5 | ||
| Non derivative financial liabilities | 988.6 | 125.3 | ||
| Derivative financial liabilities | 58.8 | 21.9 | ||
| Liabilitiesfrom finance leases | 4.4 | 4.4 | ||
| Liabilities to non-controlling interests | 9.8 | 7.5 | ||
| Other liabilities | 104.5 | 82.2 | ||
| Total current liabilities | 1,687.2 | 504.1 | ||
| Total liabilities | 19,092.2 | 8,797.0 | ||
| Total equity and liabilities | 30,959.1 | 14,759.2 |
| Actuals | Change | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | December 31, 2015 |
December 31, 2014 |
€m | % | |
| Equity attributable to shareholders |
10,620.5 | 4,932.6 | 5,687.9 | 115.3 | |
| Deferred taxes on investment property/ properties for sale |
3,241.2 | 1,581.0 | 1,660.2 | 105.0 | |
| Fair value of derivative financial instruments1 | 169.9 | 88.1 | 81.8 | 92.8 | |
| Deferred taxes on derivative financial instruments | -43.4 | -23.7 | -19.7 | -83.1 | |
| EPRA NAV | 13,988.2 | 6,578.0 | 7,410.2 | 112.7 | |
| Goodwill | -2,714.7 | -106.0 | -2,608.7 | na | |
| Adjusted EPRA NAV | 11,273.5 | 6,472.0 | 4,801.5 | 74.2 | |
| 2 EPRA NAV per share (€) |
30.02 | 23.04 | 6.98 | 30.3 | |
| Adjusted EPRA NAV per share (€) 2 |
24.19 | 22.67 | 1.52 | 6.7 |
1 Adjusted for effects from cross-currency swaps
2 Based on number of shares outstanding as of respective reporting dates (31 Dec. 2014: 271.6m; 31 Dec. 2015: 466.0m). 31 Dec 2014 numbers TERP-adjusted.
| Actuals | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| €m | Dec. 31, 2015 |
Dec. 31, 2014 | |
| Goodwill DeWAG | 10.7 | 10.7 | |
| Goodwill Vitus | 95.3 | 95.3 | |
| Goodwill Gagfah | 2,264.8 | - | |
| Goodwill Südewo | 343.9 | - | |
| Total Goodwill (as of reporting date) | 2,714.7 | 106.0 |
| Bond KPIs | Covenant | Level | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| LTV | |||
| Total Debt / Total Assets |
<60% | 48% | |
| Secured LTV |
|||
| Secured Debt / Total Assets |
<45% | 23% | |
| ICR | |||
| LTM1 EBITDA / LTM Interest Expense |
>1.80x | 3.03x | |
| Unencumbered Assets |
|||
| Unencumbered Assets / Unsecured Debt |
>125% | 211% |
| Rating KPIs | Covenant | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Debt to Capital |
||
| Total Debt / Total Equity + Total Debt |
<60% | |
| ICR | ||
| LTM1 EBITDA / LTM Interest Expense |
>1.80x |
1 LTM = last 12 months
Included a €700m Hybrid with 4.6% coupon to our capital structure for the 2014 acquisitions instead of convertibles to avoid FFO dilution
Further optimization of capital structure as well as debt profile in terms of costs and maturity. Focus is on more than minimizing the average interest costs. Also considering the optimal product mix, the overall economic benefit and the shareholder interests to support long term growth.
| Corporate Investment grade rating as of 2015-09-30 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rating agency | Rating | Outlook | Last Update | |||
| Standard & Poor's | BBB+ | Stable | 11. Feb 16 |
| Amount | Issue price | Coupon | Final Maturity Date |
Rating | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 years 2.125% | |||||
| Euro Bond | € 700m | 99.793% | 2.125% | 25 July 2016 | BBB+ |
| 6 years 3.125% | |||||
| Euro Bond | € 600m | 99.935% | 3.125% | 25 July 2019 | BBB+ |
| 4 years 3.200% | 3.200% | ||||
| Yankee Bond | USD 750m | 100.000% | (2.970%)* | 2 Oct 2017 | BBB+ |
| 10 years 5.000% | 5.000% | ||||
| Yankee Bond | USD 250m | 98.993% | (4.580%)* | 2 Oct 2023 | BBB+ |
| 8 years 3.625% | € 500m | 99.843% | 3.625% | 8 Oct 2021 | BBB+ |
| EMTN (Series No. 1) | |||||
| 60 years 4.625% | € 700m | 99.782% | 4.625% | 8 Apr 2074 | BBB- |
| Hybrid Bond | |||||
| 8 years 2.125% | € 500m | 99.412% | 2.125% | 9 July 2022 | BBB+ |
| EMTN (Series No. 2) | |||||
| perpetual 4% | € 1,000m | 100.000% | 4.000% | perpetual | BBB- |
| Hybrid Bond | |||||
| 5 years 0.875% | € 500m | 99.263% | 0.875% | 30 Mar 2020 | BBB+ |
| EMTN (Series No. 3) | |||||
| 10 years 1.500% | € 500m | 98.455% | 1.500% | 31 Mar 2025 | BBB+ |
| EMTN (Series No. 4) | |||||
| 2 years 0.950%+3M EURIBOR | € 750m | 100.000% | 0.950%+3M EURIBOR | 15 Dec 2017 |
BBB+ |
| EMTN (Series No. 5) | (0.835% hedged) | ||||
| 5 years 1.625% | € 1,250m | 99.852% | 1.625% | 15 Dec 2020 |
BBB+ |
| EMTN (Series No. 6) | |||||
| 8 years 2.250% | € 1,000m | 99.085% | 2.250% | 15 Dec 2023 |
BBB+ |
| EMTN (Series No. 7) | |||||
* EUR-equivalent re-offer yield
| Name | Amount | Coupon | Final Maturity Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| German Residential Funding 2013-1 Limited | € 1,851m |
2.80% | 27 Aug 2018 |
| German Residential Funding 2013-2 Limited | € 680 m |
2.67% | 27 Nov 2018 |
| Taurus 2013 (GMF1) PLC | € 1,032 m |
3.35% | 21 May 2018 |
| Expected prepayment fees for early CMBS redemption (€ m) |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPD | GRF-1 | GRF-2 | WOBA | ||||
| Feb 2016 | 75.4 | 28.3 | 50.6 | ||||
| May 2016 | 66.1 | 23.6 | 14.6 | ||||
| Aug 2016 | 26.5 | 21.0 | 10.6 | ||||
| Nov 2016 | 19.4 | 9.3 | 6.7 | ||||
| Feb 2017 | 12.6 | 7.0 | 2.8 | ||||
| May 2017 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 1.4 | ||||
| Aug 2017 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.1 | ||||
| Nov 2017 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.0 | ||||
| Feb 2018 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | ||||
| May 2018 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
| Aug 2018 | 0.0 | 0.0 | na | ||||
| Nov 2018 | na | 0.0 | na |
Hedge break costs not considered.
Values may differ in case of deviation from sales plan.
Value-driven asset management approach in locations with above-average development potential
Operate: rent growth, vacancy reduction, effective and sustainable maintenance spending and cost savings.
FY Results Presentation, 03 March 2015 Page 40 STRATEGIC NON STRATEGIC Privatize/ Non-core Upgrade buildings: comprehensive investments with a focus on energy efficiency Optimize apartments: selective investments in individual flats (focus on senior living and high-end modernization in strong markets that allow a rental premium for fully refurbished apartments)
Locations and assets that do not form an integral part of Vonovia's strategy. Mostly average location and asset quality with stable cash flows. Under permanent review.
Privatize: opportunistic retail sales at attractive premiums above current valuation Non-core: portfolio optimization through sale of assets that have limited development potential in terms of condition and/or location
| Cluster Vonovia | Residential units |
In-place rent (€/ sqm residential) |
New letting rent (€/sqm residential in 2015) |
Vacancy rate | Fair Value (€m) |
Fair Value (€/sqm) |
Multiple in place rent |
Share rent controlled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operate | 125.357 | 5,89 | 6,47 | 2,3% | 8.634 | 1.056 | 14,7 | 27,4% |
| Optimise apartments | 72.507 | 5,99 | 6,93 | 2,0% | 5.580 | 1.200 | 17,1 | 2,1% |
| Upgrade buildings | 102.479 | 5,76 | 6,56 | 2,0% | 6.896 | 1.091 | 15,8 | 6,6% |
| Strategic | 300.343 | 5,87 | 6,57 | 2,1% | 21.110 | 1.103 | 15,7 | 14,2% |
| Non-Strategic | 13.287 | 4,73 | 4,73 | 7,0% | 484 | 571 | 10,7 | 13,4% |
| Privatise | 19.220 | 5,81 | 6,44 | 4,2% | 1.553 | 1.164 | 17,1 | 4,6% |
| Non-Core | 10.697 | 4,48 | 4,77 | 9,3% | 341 | 501 | 10,4 | 12,2% |
| Total | 343.547 | 5,79 | 6,39 | 2,6% | 23.488 | 1.067 | 15,5 | 13,5% |
| City | Residential units |
In-place rent (€/ sqm residential) |
New letting rent (€/sqm residential in 2015) |
Vacancy rate 31.12.2014 |
Vacancy rate 31.12.2015 |
Share rent controlled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | 30.588 | 5,83 | 7,20 | 1,3% | 1,2% | 8,6% |
| Dresden | 37.901 | 5,30 | 5,99 | 2,8% | 2,6% | 0,0% |
| Frankfurt am Main | 11.715 | 7,67 | 9,42 | 0,8% | 0,6% | 12,8% |
| Hamburg | 10.975 | 6,42 | 8,23 | 2,4% | 0,8% | 15,5% |
| Dortmund | 19.458 | 5,09 | 5,73 | 2,3% | 2,2% | 14,3% |
| München | 5.193 | 6,81 | 9,67 | 0,7% | 0,6% | 42,9% |
| Köln | 6.359 | 7,06 | 8,06 | 1,7% | 1,3% | 10,4% |
| Essen | 12.125 | 5,39 | 5,68 | 4,6% | 4,0% | 14,7% |
| Bremen | 11.101 | 5,15 | 5,55 | 5,5% | 3,5% | 23,5% |
| Kiel | 11.978 | 5,33 | 5,89 | 1,2% | 1,4% | 32,9% |
| Stuttgart | 4.643 | 8,09 | 9,84 | 0,4% | 1,1% | 25,6% |
| Hannover | 7.218 | 6,05 | 6,64 | 2,2% | 1,9% | 22,3% |
| Bonn | 5.180 | 6,43 | 7,08 | 1,7% | 1,5% | 25,8% |
| Düsseldorf | 3.516 | 7,27 | 8,29 | 2,4% | 2,7% | 19,7% |
| Bochum | 7.524 | 5,39 | 5,76 | 2,8% | 2,0% | 9,4% |
| Wiesbaden | 2.613 | 7,75 | 8,54 | 2,8% | 2,8% | 6,0% |
| Freiburg im Breisgau | 2.711 | 6,72 | 7,88 | 1,8% | 0,9% | 23,8% |
| Duisburg | 5.533 | 5,18 | 5,53 | 4,1% | 4,2% | 3,4% |
| Heidenheim an der Brenz1 | 3.957 | 5,99 | 6,35 | - | 4,3% | 8,9% |
| Osnabrück1 | 3.915 | 5,42 | 6,08 | - | 3,6% | 17,2% |
| Bielefeld | 4.643 | 5,03 | 5,49 | 3,4% | 2,1% | 34,1% |
| Nürnberg | 2.455 | 6,28 | 7,21 | 1,1% | 1,0% | 6,2% |
| Mannheim | 2.527 | 6,50 | 7,36 | 3,6% | 2,3% | 10,6% |
| Braunschweig | 3.281 | 5,46 | 5,98 | 2,4% | 0,6% | 0,3% |
| Darmstadt | 1.515 | 7,64 | 9,49 | 1,3% | 0,8% | 7,9% |
| Subtotal TOP 25 | 218.624 | 5,90 | 6,62 | 2,4% | 2,0% | 13,5% |
| Remaining Cities | 124.923 | 5,60 | 6,06 | 4,6% | 3,7% | 13,6% |
| Total | 343.547 | 5,79 | 6,39 | 3,4% | 2,6% | 13,5% |
Sorting by Fair Value. 1 No assets in 2014
| VONOVIA |
|---|
| ---------------- |
| City | Fair Value (€m) |
Share in terms of FV |
Fair Value (€/sqm) 31.12.2014 |
Fair Value (€/sqm) 31.12.2015 |
Multiple in place rent 31.12.2014 |
Multiple in place rent 31.12.2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | 2.565 | 11% | 1.145 | 1.300 | 16,2 | 18,4 |
| Dresden | 2.105 | 9% | 607 | 924 | 12,7 | 14,8 |
| Frankfurt am Main | 1.219 | 5% | 1.541 | 1.671 | 17,4 | 18,0 |
| Hamburg | 1.048 | 4% | 1.698 | 1.462 | 18,0 | 18,5 |
| Dortmund | 971 | 4% | 762 | 809 | 12,9 | 13,3 |
| München | 811 | 3% | 2.057 | 2.275 | 24,7 | 26,5 |
| Köln | 709 | 3% | 1.377 | 1.555 | 16,9 | 18,3 |
| Essen | 628 | 3% | 781 | 802 | 12,7 | 12,6 |
| Bremen | 625 | 3% | 873 | 898 | 14,8 | 14,8 |
| Kiel | 613 | 3% | 782 | 845 | 12,5 | 13,2 |
| Stuttgart | 566 | 2% | 1.543 | 1.876 | 18,6 | 19,2 |
| Hannover | 509 | 2% | 1.026 | 1.077 | 14,1 | 14,8 |
| Bonn | 502 | 2% | 1.259 | 1.368 | 16,7 | 17,8 |
| Düsseldorf | 395 | 2% | 1.468 | 1.601 | 16,6 | 18,0 |
| Bochum | 351 | 1% | 761 | 804 | 12,3 | 12,5 |
| Wiesbaden | 308 | 1% | 1.482 | 1.667 | 16,6 | 17,7 |
| Freiburg im Breisgau | 270 | 1% | 1.308 | 1.458 | 17,0 | 17,8 |
| Duisburg | 255 | 1% | 715 | 735 | 11,9 | 12,0 |
| Heidenheim an der Brenz1 | 228 | 1% | - | 925 | - | 13,1 |
| Osnabrück1 | 225 | 1% | - | 890 | - | 14,0 |
| Bielefeld | 220 | 1% | 785 | 708 | 12,2 | 11,9 |
| Nürnberg | 212 | 1% | 1.166 | 1.264 | 16,5 | 17,0 |
| Mannheim | 197 | 1% | 1.025 | 1.173 | 14,5 | 15,2 |
| Braunschweig | 187 | 1% | 825 | 921 | 13,2 | 14,0 |
| Darmstadt | 173 | 1% | 1.447 | 1.613 | 16,5 | 17,6 |
| Subtotal TOP 25 | 15.892 | 68% | 1.070 | 1.142 | 15,4 | 16,2 |
| Remaining Cities | 7.596 | 32% | 842 | 938 | 13,6 | 14,2 |
| Total | 23.488 | 100% | 964 | 1.067 | 14,6 | 15,5 |
Sorting by Fair Value. 1 No assets in 2014
| Development of our estimate on total run rate synergies from Gagfah and Südewo |
||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December | 2014 | June 2015 | November 2015 | |||||
| €84m | €47m operational | €130m | €75m operational | €142m | €75m op. (Gagfah) €12m op. (Südewo) |
|||
| (only Gagfah) | €37m financial | (only Gagfah) | €55m financial | (Gagfah and Südewo) |
€55m financial | |||
| • Initial assessment based on "outside in" view |
• • |
Initial assessment based on "inside" view Substantially higher synergies at lower one-off cost and in less time |
• Final leg of integration process Raising of more synergies in less • time 86% of financial synergies already • secured from 2017 onwards |
1 Includes €19m financial synergies carried over from 2015 (€19m is the annualized run rate of the €5m collected in 2015)
FY Results Presentation, 03 March 2016 Page 44
| Timetable | |
|---|---|
| Announcement of the offer | 14 October |
| Roadshow | 13 – 19 October |
| Deutsche Wohnen cancels EGM for LEG |
21 October |
| Vonovia Q3 earnings announcement |
3 November |
| Deutsche Wohnen announcement of acquisition of "Harald" portfolio |
27 November |
| Vonovia EGM (over 78% support) |
30 November |
| Launch of initial offer period | 1 December |
| Clearstream confirms no withholding tax on cash component |
7 December |
| Anti-trust clearance | 7 December |
| Issuance of €3bn three-tranche bond | 9 December |
| Beginning of tender roadshow | 11 January 2016 |
| End of initial offer period | 9 February 2016 |
| Contact | |
|---|---|
+49 234 314 1609 [email protected] www.vonovia.de
| Contact Financial Calendar |
|---|
| ------------------------------- |
| March 3 | Full year results 2015 |
|---|---|
| May 12 | Interim report Q1 2016 |
| May 12 | Annual General Meeting |
| Aug 2 | Interim report H1 2016 |
| Nov 3 | Interim report 9M 2016 |
This presentation has been specifically prepared by Vonovia SE and/or its affiliates (together, "Vonovia") for internal use. Consequently, it may not be sufficient or appropriate for the purpose for which a third party might use it.
This presentation has been provided for information purposes only and is being circulated on a confidential basis. This presentation shall be used only in accordance with applicable law, e.g. regarding national and international insider dealing rules, and must not be distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part, nor may its contents be disclosed by the recipient to any other person. Receipt of this presentation constitutes an express agreement to be bound by such confidentiality and the other terms set out herein.
This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from DA's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.
Vonovia accepts no liability whatsoever to the extent permitted by applicable law for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or penalty arising from any use of this presentation, its contents or preparation or otherwise in connection with it.
No representation or warranty (whether express or implied) is given in respect of any information in this presentation or that this presentation is suitable for the recipient's purposes. The delivery of this presentation does not imply that the information herein is correct as at any time subsequent to the date hereof.
Vonovia has no obligation whatsoever to update or revise any of the information, forward-looking statements or the conclusions contained herein or to reflect new events or circumstances or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent subsequent to the date hereof.
Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.
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