Investor Presentation • Mar 10, 2016
Investor Presentation
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LEG Immobilien AG 10 March 2016
FY 2015 Results
While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.
II.I. Portfolio and Operating Performance
| Total Portfolio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2015 |
(YOY) |
|||
| # of units | 108,916 | +1.8% | ||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €5.21 (€5.21*) | +2.6% (+2.7%*) | ||
| EPRA-Vacancy | 2.6% (2.5%*) | -20 bps (-20 bps) |
| High-Growth Markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2015 |
(YOY) |
|||
| # of units | 37,329 | +1.4% | ||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €5.76 (€5.77*) |
+2.3% (+2.6%*) |
||
| EPRA-Vacancy | 1.2% (1.2%*) |
-10 bps (-10 bps*) |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2015 (YOY) |
||||
| # of units | 40,523 | +2.9% | ||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €4.92 (€4.91*) |
+2.8% (+2.5%*) |
||
| EPRA-Vacancy | 2.6% (2.6%*) |
-60 bps (-50 bps*) |
| Higher-Yielding Markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2015 (YOY) |
||||
| # of units | 29,607 | +2.7% | ||
| In-place rent (sqm) | €4.83 (€4.83*) |
+2.6% (+2.7%*) |
||
| EPRA-Vacancy | 4.8% (4.8%*) |
+/-0 bps (+10 bps*) |
* like-for-like
Update of the scoring system leads to minor amendments of submarkets
Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = strong rent growth
Very strong Q4-letting result (vacancy -70bps QOQ)
Margin expansion on back of attractive scale effects + cost discipline
| Condensed Income Statement (€ million) |
FY-2015 | FY-2014 | Higher rental income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net rental and lease income |
320.5 | 284.9 | (+€46m/+11.8%) NRI-margin increased from 73.0% to 73.5% YOY (74.5% |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | 3.6 | -1.7 | to 75.1% w/o one-time costs) despite higher maintenance |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property | 285.5 | 143.0 | (+19% YOY) |
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory | -1.2 | -3.1 | Higher one-time costs (+€13.8m to €19.0m) Recurring admin. costs of |
| Net income from other services | 0.9 | -0.3 | €36.7m (+€3.6m YOY), temporary increase mainly due to first time consolidation |
| Administrative and other expenses | -58.1 | -41.6 | effects and M&A costs Decreasing admin. costs |
| Other income | 0.9 | 0.5 | expected to contribute to further margin expansion |
| Operating earnings |
552.1 | 381.7 | One-time refinancing costs (-€56.2 m); thereof €47.8m |
| Net finance costs |
-252.4 | -162.2 | cash effective Net income from fair value measurement of derivatives |
| Earnings before income taxes |
299.7 | 219.5 | (-€75.8m); thereof (-€74.0m) from convertible |
| Income tax expense |
-82.0 | -63.9* | Cash taxes (-€1.6m), including an aperiodic effect of (-€1.0m) |
| Consolidated net profit |
217.7 | 155.6 |
* Q4-2015: Adjustment arising from final PPA of Vitus transaction
| € million |
FY-2015 | FY-2014 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rental income | 436.1 | 390.1 | +€46.0m (+11.8% YOY) |
||
| Profit from operating expenses | 1.2 | 1.3 | |||
| Maintenance | -54.4 | -45.7 | |||
| Staff costs | -37.4 | -33.2 | |||
| Allowances on rent receivables | -6.0 | -5.4 | +€36.9m (+12.7% YOY) |
||
| Other | -14.4 | -18.0 | Adj. NOI margin 75.1% (+60 bps YOY) |
||
| Non-recurring project costs (rental and lease) |
2.3 | 1.4 | Further cost savings from |
||
| Current net rental and lease income | 327.4 | 290.5 | efficiency program expected | ||
| Current net income from other services | 2.9 | 1.8 | |||
| Staff costs | -22.7 | -21.6 | |||
| Non-staff operating costs | -33.3 | -17.9 | One-time costs (€12.3m M&A, |
||
| LTIP (long-term incentive programme) | 0.2 | 1.2 | €1.1m energy services, | ||
| Non-recurring project costs (admin.) | 19.0 | 5.2 | efficiency program etc.) | ||
| Extraordinary and prior-period expenses | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||
| Current administrative expenses | -36.7 | -33.1 | Decreasing admin. cost base in 2016 & 2017 expected |
||
| Other income and expenses | 0.1 | 0.1 | |||
| Adjusted EBITDA | 293.7 | 259.3 | +€34.4m (+13.3% YOY) |
||
| Cash interest expenses and income | -87.5 | -94.5 | |||
| Cash income taxes | -0.2 | -1.2 | +€42.4m supported by topline growth, margin expansion and |
||
| FFO I (not including disposal of investment property) | 206.0 | 163.6 | lower interest charges | ||
| Net income from the disposal of investment properties | 3.6 | -1.7 | |||
| FFO II (including disposal of investment property) | 209.6 | 161.9 | Additional value contribution |
||
| Capex | -59.8 | -43.4 | from sale of non core assets | ||
| Capex-adjusted FFO I (AFFO) | 146.2 | 120.2 |
| € million |
FY-2015 | FY-2014 | Refinancing costs of |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported interest expense |
181.5 | 128.5 | €56.2m (P+L effective); thereof €8.4m non-cash |
| Interest expense related to loan amortisation |
-38.6 | -24.6 | Including valuation of |
| Prepayment penalties | -8.3 | 0.0 | the convertible of €6.4m, (+€1.6m YOY) and effects from refinancing |
| Interest charges relating to valuation of assets/liabilities |
-1.6 | -2.3 | of €8.4m |
| Leasing related interest expense | -1.4 | -1.5 | |
| Interest expenses related to changes in pension provisions |
-2.9 | -4.0 | |
| Other interest expenses | -40.6 | -0.1 | Release of swaps (refinancing) ~€39.5m |
| Bank charges | 0.0 | -0.3 | |
| Interest income | -0.6 | -1.2 | Lower ø cost of debt |
| Cash effective interest expense | 87.5 | 94.5 | (c.-50bp) Interest coverage improved further (3.4x up from 2.7x YOY) |
| € million |
31.12.2015 | 31.12.2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity (excl. minority interests) |
2,967.8 | * 2,476.2 |
| Effect of exercising options, convertibles and other rights |
427.2 | 308.7 |
| NAV | 3,395.0 | 2,784.9 |
| Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments | 165.5 | 136.1 |
| Deferred taxes** | 466.6 | 373.7 |
| EPRA-NAV | 4,027.1 | 3,294.7 |
| Number of shares fully-diluted incl. convertible (m)*** |
67.904 | 62.043 |
| EPRA-NAV per share in € | 59.31 | 53.10 |
| Goodwill, resulting from synergies | 26.4 | * 26.4 |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
4,000.7 | 3,268.3 |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € | 58.92 | 52.69 |
Dividend distribution (-€111.8m)
Attractive rental yield of 6.9% leaves headroom for future capital growth
* Adjustment arising from final PPA of Vitus transaction *** Actual number of shares outstanding 62.77m ** And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on investment properties
| Strong Momentum in Orange Markets |
|
|---|---|
| Markets | Change |
| Total valuation uplift | €285.5m (+4.8%) |
| Orange markets (average) | +7.3% |
| Green markets (average) |
+3.1% |
| Purple markets (average) | +2.7% |
| Cities | Segment | Valuation Uplift |
|---|---|---|
| Dusseldorf | High-Growth | +11.3% |
| Cologne | High-Growth | +10.6% |
| Dortmund | Stable | +3.5% |
| Essen | Stable | +4.0% |
| Duisburg | Higher-Yielding | +1.4% |
| Gelsenkirchen | Higher-Yielding | +5.2% |
| € million |
31.12.2015 | 31.12.2014 | Additions €189.9m |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 6,398.5 | 5,914.3 | Capex €59.8m |
| Prepayment for investment property |
203.1 | 16.8 | Valuation uplift €285.5m Reclassification (-€55.7m) |
| Other non-current assets | 296.8 | * 155.1 |
|
| Non-current assets | 6,898.4 | 6,086.2 | Cash flow from operating |
| Receivables and other assets | 37.2 | 35.9 | activities €166.9m |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 252.8 | 129.9 | Dividend distribution (-€111.8m) |
| Current assets | 290.0 | 165.8 | Net acquisitions and capex |
| Assets held for disposal | 6.7 | 58.4 | (-€492.5m) |
| Total Assets | 7,195.1 | 6,310.4 | Capital increases €375.8m |
| Equity | 2,985.0 | * 2,490.4 |
Equity ratio of 41.5% |
| Non-current financial liabilities | 2,745.6 | 2,546.5 | |
| Other non-current liabilities |
673.7 | 612.3 | |
| Non-current liabilities | 3,419.3 | 3,158.8 | |
| Current financial liabilities | 496.0 | 413.8 | |
| Other current liabilities | 294.8 | * 247.4 |
|
| Current liabilities | 790.8 | 661.2 | |
| Total Equity and Liabilities |
7,195.1 | 6,310.4 |
* Adjustment arising from final PPA of Vitus transaction
* Adjustment arising from final PPA of Vitus transaction
| Deal # |
Units acquired |
Geographic focus |
Market | Annual net cold rent |
In place rent/sqm |
Vacancy rate |
Signing | Purchase price |
Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 713 | Cologne, Leverkusen, Sankt Augustin |
High Growth/ Stable |
EUR 3.5m | EUR 5.33 | 2.9% | April 2015 | not disclosed | June 2015 |
| 2 | 3,539 | Top 2 locations ~60% (Bielefeld, Detmold) |
Stable | EUR 14.2m | EUR 5.19 | 3.6% | November 2015 | EUR 225m | January 2016 |
| 3 | 2,037 | Duisburg, Essen | Stable/ Higher Yielding |
EUR 7.7m | EUR 5.04 | 6.7% | August 2015 | not disclosed | January 2016 |
| 4 | 13,570 | NRW (esp. Ruhr area) |
Higher Yielding/ Stable |
EUR 48m | EUR 4.86 | 5.3% | December 2015 | c.EUR 600m |
April 2016 |
| 5 | 1,291 | Siegen | Stable | EUR 4.6m | EUR 5.16 | 17.3% | December 2015 | c.EUR 60m |
January / July 2016 |
| c.21,000 |
| 31.12.2015 | Closing | Change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | |
| Portfolio incl. Vitus transaction |
20,881* | 5.12 | 96.5% | 4.87 | 95.5% | 0.25 (+5.1%) | ~ +100 bp |
Operating performance confirms reversionary potential and LEG's management skills
* Acquisitions since year end 2012
Sources:
| 2016 | Guidance |
|---|---|
| FFO I: | €254m - €259m / €4.05 - €4.13 per share |
| L-F-L rent growth: | 2.4 - 2.6% |
| L-F-L vacancy: | Stable (FY-15 comparable: 2.5%) |
| Dividend: | 65% of FFO I |
| 2017 | |
|---|---|
| FFO I: | €279m - €284m / €4.44 - €4.52 per share |
| L-F-L rent growth | 3.0 – 3.3% |
| € million |
31.12.2015 | 31.12.2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Investment properties | 6,101.6 | 5,673.6 |
| Assets held for sale | 6.7 | 58.4 |
| Market value of residential property portfolio (net) |
6,108.3 | 5,732.0 |
| Estimated incidental costs |
601.5 | 558.7 |
| Market value of residential property portfolio (gross) |
6,709.8 | 6,290.6 |
| Annualised cash flow from rental income (gross) |
428.1 | 419.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non recoverable operating costs | -61.4 | -58.4 | |
| Annualised cash flow from rental income (net) |
366.8 | 361.1 |
| EPRA Net initial yield in % |
5.5 | 5.7 |
|---|---|---|
| -------------------------------- | ----- | ----- |
| Market | Residential Units |
GAV Residential Assets (€m) |
% of Total Residential GAV |
GAV/ sqm (€) |
In-Place Rent Multiple |
Multiples, Estimated Rental Values |
GAV Commercial/ Other Assets (€m) |
Total GAV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Growth Markets |
37,329 | 2,855 | 47% | 1,157 | 17.1x | 14.9x | 171 | 3,025 |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields |
40,523 | 1,937 | 32% | 745 | 13.1x | 12.1x | 89 | 2,025 |
| Higher Yielding Markets |
29,607 | 1,219 | 20% | 668 | 12.2x | 11.5x | 37 | 1,256 |
| Subtotal NRW | 107,459 | 6,011 | 99% | 872 | 14.5x | 13.1x | 296 | 6,307 |
| Portfolio outside NRW |
1,457 | 91 | 1% | 943 | 14.5x | 13.3x | 1 | 92 |
| Total Portfolio | 108,916 | 6,102 | 100% | 873 | 14.5x | 13.2x | 297 | 6,399 |
| Other Assets | 236 | |||||||
| Total (incl. Landbank | and DevCo) | 6,635 |
| Adj. EBITDA margin | 2015 | 2014 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | margin % |
€m | margin % | |
| As reported |
293.7 | 67.3 | 259.3 | 66.5 |
| Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents* | 22.5 | 68.9 | 21.2 | 68.2 |
* €/sqm: €4.67 vs. €5.48 in 2015, €4.61 vs. €5.33 in 2014
| Release date (expected) |
High-Growth Markets1 |
Markets1 Stable |
Higher-Yielding Markets1 |
Total Portfolio1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 (Q1) | 4,202 units (mainly Bielefeld) |
586 units | 6,562 units (Hochsauerlandkreis, Hagen) |
11,350 units |
| 2016 (Q2) | 5,113 units (mainly Bonn, Gütersloh) |
2,319 units (mainly Detmold) |
1,477 units (mainly Bochum) |
8,909 units |
| 2016 (Q3) | 2,262 units (mainly Bocholt) |
8,084 units (mainly Essen, Wuppertal, Witten) |
225 units | 10,571 units |
| 2016 (Q4) | 456 units | 36 units | 492 units | |
| Total 1 | 12,033 units | 10,989 units | 8,300 units |
31,346 units2 |
| Thereof: - Bielefeld - Bocholt - Bochum - Bonn - Detmold - Essen - Gütersloh - Hochsauerlandkr. - Unna - Witten - Wuppertal |
3,657 units 1,412 units 2,286 units 1,787 units |
1,448 units 2,907 units 1,210 units 1,518 units 2,031 units |
1,477 units 5,372 units 1,210 units |
1 Sub-portfolios also include restricted units 2 Total Portfolio also includes 24 units non-NRW |
| Date | Report/Event |
|---|---|
| 10.03.2016 | Annual Report 2015 |
| 11.03.2016 | Commerzbank German Residential Property Forum 2016, London |
| 14.03.2016 | Roadshow London, Societe Generale |
| 06.04.2016 | Roadshow Zurich, Bankhaus Lampe |
| 13.04.2016 | Bankhaus Lampe Conference, Baden-Baden |
| 15.04.2016 | Roadshow Brussels, Kempen & Co. |
| 11.05.2016 | Quarterly Report Q1 as of 31 March 2015 |
Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations Phone: +49 211 4568 204 [email protected]
Karin Widenmann Katharina Golke Manager Investor Relations Investor Relations Phone: +49 211 4568 458 Phone: +49 211 4568 294 [email protected] katharina.golke@leg.ag
Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 40476 Dusseldorf Germany
Thank you for your interest.
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