Investor Presentation • Mar 13, 2016
Investor Presentation
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14 March 2016
This document contains forward looking statements which reflect management's current views and estimates.
The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.
Primary listing in Zurich and secondary listing in Dublin
ARYZTA AG created in August 2008 by acquisition of IAWS Group plc (listed since 1989) and merger with Hiestand AG (listed since 1997)
Performing in-line with expectations
Performed to expectations during the period
| Continuing Operations | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| in EUR '000 | January 2016 | January 2015 | % |
| Group revenue | 1,960,014 | 1,857,870 | 5.5% |
| EBITA1 | 230,832 | 224,844 | 2.7% |
| EBITA margin | 11.8% | 12.1% | (30) bps |
| Associate and JVs, net of tax | 13,699 | (554) | – |
| EBITA including associate and JVs | 244,531 | 224,290 | 9.0% |
| Finance cost, net | (55,940) | (41,342) | – |
| Hybrid instrument accrued dividend | (15,876) | (14,359) | – |
| Pre-tax profits | 172,715 | 168,589 | – |
| Income tax | (29,348) | (27,890) | – |
| Non-controlling interests | (2,293) | (2,386) | – |
| Underlying net profit – continuing operations | 141,074 | 138,313 | 2.0% |
| Underlying net profit – discontinued operations2 | – | 6,214 | (100.0)% |
| Underlying net profit – total | 141,0743 | 144,5273 | (2.4)% |
| Underlying fully diluted EPS (cent) – total | 158.44 | 161.44 | (1.9)% |
| Underlying net profit – continuing operations | 141,074 | 138,313 | 2.0% |
| Underlying fully diluted EPS (cent) – continuing operations | 158.44 | 154.54 | 2.5% |
1 See glossary on slide 49 for definitions of financial terms and references used in the presentation.
2 Following the reduction in the Group's investment in Origin during March 2015, the Group's proportion of Origin's results have been presented separately as discontinued operations in both the current and prior periods.
3 See bridge from underlying net profit to reported net profit as included on slide 38.
4 The 31 January 2016 weighted average number of ordinary shares used to calculate diluted earnings per share is 89,039,290 (H1 2015: 89,553,157).
| Total | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing operations | Non-cash | Cash | January | January |
| in EUR '000 | 2016 | 2016 | 2016 | 2015 |
| Net gain/(loss) on disposal of businesses | 2,395 | – | 2,395 | (9,740) |
| Asset write-downs | (7,379) | – | (7,379) | (8,982) |
| Acquisition-related costs | – | (965) | (965) | (2,097) |
| Severance and other staff-related costs | – | (7,714) | (7,714) | (6,710) |
| Advisory and other costs | – | (6,094) | (6,094) | (11,195) |
| Net acquisition, disposal and | ||||
| restructuring related costs | (4,984) | (14,773) | (19,757) | (38,724) |
| Continuing Operations in EUR million |
Food Europe | Food N. America | Food Rest of World | Total Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Group revenue | 881.7 | 971.0 | 107.3 | 1,960.0 |
| Underlying growth | 4.7% | (4.0)% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Acquisitions, net | 2.7% | (1.8)% | – | 0.3% |
| Currency | 2.1% | 9.4% | (11.1)% | 5.0% |
| Revenue growth | 9.5% | 3.6% | (7.2)% | 5.5% |
| Continuing Operations | Food Europe | Food N. America | Food Rest of World | Total Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% |
| Losses | (2.1)% | (13.6)% | (3.6)% | (8.0)% |
| Total underlying growth | 4.7% | (4.0)% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Continuing Operations | Q1 2016 | Q2 2016 | H1 2016 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Food Europe | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | |||
| Food North America | (5.6)% | (2.4)% | (4.0)% | |||
| Food Rest of World | 2.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | |||
| Total Group | (0.4)% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |||
| Q1 2015 | Q2 2015 | H1 2015 | Q3 2015 | Q4 2015 | FY 2015 | |
| Food Europe | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | (2.1)% | 1.0% |
| Food North America | (3.2)% | (8.4)% | (5.8)% | (6.7)% | (6.5)% | (6.2)% |
| Food Rest of World | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.4% | (3.6)% | 3.3% |
| Total Group | 0.5% | (2.4)% | (0.9)% | (2.3)% | (4.3)% | (2.2)% |
| Continuing Operations | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| in EUR '000 | January 2016 | January 2015 | % |
| Food Europe | 105,370 | 98,635 | 6.8% |
| Food North America | 113,129 | 112,974 | 0.1% |
| Food Rest of World | 12,333 | 13,235 | (6.8)% |
| Total Group EBITA | 230,832 | 224,844 | 2.7% |
| Total Group EBITA Margin | 11.8% | 12.1% | (30)bps |
|---|---|---|---|
| Food Rest of World | 11.5% | 11.5% | – |
| Food North America | 11.7% | 12.1% | (40)bps |
| Food Europe | 12.0% | 12.3% | (30)bps |
| EBITA Margin January 2016 |
EBITA Margin January 2015 |
bps |
| Continuing Operations | ||
|---|---|---|
| in EUR '000 | January 2016 | January 2015 |
| EBIT | 144,462 | 140,420 |
| Amortisation | 86,370 | 84,424 |
| EBITA | 230,832 | 224,844 |
| Depreciation | 69,025 | 64,990 |
| EBITDA | 299,857 | 289,834 |
| Working capital movement | 26,707 | (40,319) |
| Working capital movement from debtor securitisation | 39,984 | 90,699 |
| Maintenance capital expenditure | (39,615) | (46,637) |
| Segmental operating free cash generation | 326,933 | 293,577 |
| Investment capital expenditure1 | (68,777) | (172,095) |
| Acquisition and restructuring-related cash flows | (26,971) | (39,705) |
| Segmental operating free cash generation, after investment capital expenditure and integration costs |
231,185 | 81,777 |
| Dividends received from Origin - discontinued operations | – | 17,056 |
| Hybrid dividend | – | (16,815) |
| Interest and tax | (53,456) | (54,397) |
| Other non-cash income2 | (4,688) | (1,533) |
| Cash flow generated from activities | 173,041 | 26,088 |
1 Includes expenditure on intangible assets.
2 Other non-cash income comprises primarily amortisation of deferred income from government grants.
Six month period ended 31 January 2016
| Continuing Operations | ||
|---|---|---|
| in EUR '000 | January 2016 | January 2015 |
| Opening net debt as at 1 August | (1,725,103) | (1,642,079) |
| Cash flow generated from activities | 173,041 | 26,088 |
| Disposal of businesses, net of cash and finance leases | 35,992 | – |
| Proceeds from disposal of interest in Origin | 225,101 | – |
| Investment in associate | (450,732) | – |
| Net debt cost of acquisitions | (26,917) | – |
| Contingent consideration | (42,118) | (3,280) |
| Hybrid instrument proceeds | – | 69,334 |
| Dividends paid | (4,603) | (4,330) |
| Foreign exchange movement1 | (5,566) | (305,292) |
| Other2 | (2,641) | (1,740) |
| Closing net debt as at 31 January | (1,823,546) | (1,861,299) |
1 Foreign exchange movement for the period ended 31 January 2016 is primarily attributable to the fluctuation in the US Dollar to euro rate from July 2015 (1.1109) to January 2016 (1.0915), partially offset by fluctuations in other currency rates. Foreign exchange movement for the period ended 31 January 2015 was primarily attributable to the fluctuation in the US Dollar to euro rate from July 2014 (1.3430) to January 2015 (1.1358) and in the Swiss Franc to euro rate from July 2014 (1.2169) to January 2015 (1.0519).
2 Other comprises primarily amortisation of financing costs.
| January 2016 | July 2015 | |
|---|---|---|
| Net Debt: EBITDA1 (syndicated bank loan) | 2.91x | 2.54x |
1 Calculated based on Food Group EBITDA for the 12 month period, including any dividends received, adjusted for the pro-forma full-year impact of completed acquisitions and disposals, as well as other adjustments in-line with the specific terms of the Group Syndicated Bank Loan Revolving Credit Facility.
| Revenue | | 9.5% |
|---|---|---|
| Underlying revenue | | 4.7% |
| Acquisitions/(Disposals) | | 2.7% |
| Currency | | 2.1% |
| EBITA | | 6.8% |
| EBITA margin | | (30) bps |
2015 revenue split
19 © ARYZTA, March 2016
| Revenue | | 3.6% |
|---|---|---|
| Underlying revenue | | (4.0)% |
| Acquisitions/(Disposals) | | (1.8)% |
| Currency | | 9.4% |
| EBITA | | 0.1% |
| EBITA margin | | (40) bps |
| Revenue | | (7.2)% |
|---|---|---|
| Underlying revenue | | 3.9% |
| Currency | | (11.1)% |
| EBITA | | (6.8)% |
| EBITA margin | | – |
3,820
3,820
FY 2009 – FY 2015
CAGR FY 2009 – FY 2015
1 Assumes Picard is fully consolidated
| Current Estimates1 | |
|---|---|
| Depreciation p.a. | €130 – 145m |
| Amortisation p.a. | €160 – 175m |
| Finance costs (including Hybrid financing) p.a. | €135 – 145m |
| Effective tax rate | 17% – 20% |
| Maintenance capex p.a. | €80 – 90m |
| Non-recurring cash costs | not material |
| Investment capex | €100 – 125m |
| Free cash generation | €200 – €250m |
| Dividend pay-out of underlying EPS p.a. | 15% |
| Investment grade status | maintain |
1 Metrics as provided in September 2015, not yet reflecting impacts of foreign exchange movements since that time.
| in EUR '000 | January 2016 | January 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 194,721 | 531,599 |
| EBITA | 146 | 4,110 |
| EBITA margin | 0.1% | 0.8% |
| Associates and JV, net of tax | 881 | 6,284 |
| EBITA incl. associates and JV | 1,027 | 10,394 |
| Finance costs, net | (1,015) | (2,789) |
| Pre-tax profits | 12 | 7,605 |
| Income tax | 154 | (309) |
| Total underlying net profit | 166 | 7,296 |
| Non-ARYZTA portion of discontinued operations | (118) | (1,082) |
| Underlying contribution associate held-for-sale | (48) | – |
| Underlying net profit - discontinued operations | – | 6,214 |
| Underlying contribution associate held-for-sale | 48 | – |
| Cash received, net of transaction costs | 225,101 | – |
| Carrying value of 29% interest disposed | (270,870) | – |
| Net loss on disposal of associate held-for-sale | (45,721) | – |
Six month period ended 31 January 2016
| in EUR '000 | January 2016 | January 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Underlying fully diluted net profit – continuing operations | 141,074 | 138,313 |
| Intangible amortisation | (86,370) | (84,424) |
| Tax on amortisation | 17,817 | 17,919 |
| Share of joint venture intangible amortisation, net of tax | (1,873) | – |
| Hybrid instrument accrued dividend | 15,876 | 14,359 |
| Net acquisition, disposal and restructuring-related costs | (19,757) | (38,724) |
| Tax on net acquisition, disposal and restructuring-related costs | 3,512 | 8,765 |
| Reported net profit – continuing operations | 70,279 | 56,208 |
| Underlying fully diluted net profit – discontinued operations | – | 6,214 |
| Intangible amortisation, non-recurring and other – discontinued operations | – | (4,819) |
| Profit for the year – discontinued operations | – | 1,395 |
| Underlying contribution associate held-for-sale | 48 | – |
| Loss on disposal of associate held-for-sale | (45,769) | – |
| Reported net (loss)/profit - discontinued operations | (45,721) | 1,395 |
| Reported net profit attributable to equity shareholders | 24,558 | 57,603 |
| in EUR '000 | January 2016 | July 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Property, plant and equipment | 1,566,682 | 1,543,263 |
| Investment properties | 25,015 | 25,916 |
| Goodwill and intangible assets | 3,694,663 | 3,797,269 |
| Deferred tax on acquired intangibles | (229,976) | (246,116) |
| Working capital | (360,774) | (218,669) |
| Other segmental liabilities | (104,456) | (132,849) |
| Segmental net assets | 4,591,154 | 4,768,814 |
| Associate held-for-sale | – | 270,870 |
| Associate and joint ventures | 520,716 | 60,711 |
| Net debt | (1,823,546) | (1,725,103) |
| Deferred tax, net | (94,620) | (95,423) |
| Income tax | (61,807) | (45,813) |
| Derivative financial instruments | (6,934) | (12,113) |
| Net assets | 3,124,963 | 3,221,943 |
| Outstanding | ||
|---|---|---|
| Debt Funding as at January 2016 | Principal | in EUR `000 |
| Syndicated Bank Loan | EUR 190m | (190,000) |
| Syndicated Bank Loan | USD 550m | (503,894) |
| Syndicated Bank Loan | CAD 80m | (52,209) |
| Syndicated Bank Loan | GBP 100m | (131,657) |
| Syndicated Bank Loan | CHF 230m | (207,413) |
| Private Placements | USD 1,340m | (1,227,668) |
| Private Placements | EUR 50m | (50,000) |
| Gross term debt | (2,362,841) | |
| Upfront borrowing costs | 15,741 | |
| Term debt, net of upfront borrowing costs | (2,347,100) | |
| Finance leases | (2,089) | |
| Cash and cash equivalents, net of overdrafts | 525,643 | |
| Net debt | (1,823,546) |
| Hybrid funding at 31 January 2016 exchange rates | (782,059) | |
|---|---|---|
| Hybrid funding fair value adjustment to period-end exchange rates | (61,603) | |
| Hybrid funding at historical cost, net of associated costs | (720,456) | |
| Hybrid funding - first call date April 2020 | CHF 190m | (155,679) |
| Hybrid funding - first call date March 2019 | EUR 250m | (245,335) |
| Hybrid funding - first call date April 2018 | CHF 400m | (319,442) |
| in EUR million | Food Europe |
Food North America |
Food Rest of World |
Total Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 January 2016 | ||||
| Group share net assets | 1,874 | 2,528 | 189 | 4,591 |
| EBITA | 220 | 274 | 26 | 520 |
| ROIC1 | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% |
| 31 July 2015 | ||||
| Group share net assets | 1,963 | 2,602 | 204 | 4,769 |
| EBITA | 220 | 275 | 27 | 522 |
| ROIC1 | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
1 See glossary on slide 49 for further definitions of financial terms and references used.
2 The Food Group WACC on a pre-tax basis is currently 7.8 % (2015: 7.4%).
| In EUR million | July 2011 | July 2012 | July 2013 | July 2014 | July 2015 | Total/CAGR1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,577.4 | 2,867.6 | 3,085.5 | 3,393.8 | 3,820.2 | 17.9% |
| EBITDA | 408.8 | 465.2 | 500.4 | 589.2 | 638.3 | 18.9% |
| Underlying Net Profit – continuing operations | 218.1 | 246.6 | 268.4 | 324.6 | 330.0 | 15.9% |
| ARYZTA AG underlying fully diluted EPS (cent)1 | 310.1 | 337.5 | 360.3 | 422.2 | 402.2 | 10.5% |
| ARYZTA AG underlying fully diluted EPS (cent)1 – continuing operations | 260.0 | 286.0 | 303.0 | 363.0 | 368.9 | 13.2% |
| Segmental operating free cash generation | 356.5 | 399.7 | 445.5 | 575.8 | 598.3 | 2,375.8 |
| Investment capital expenditure | (51.5) | (89.4) | (172.5) | (276.8) | (329.4) | (919.6) |
| Acquisition and restructuring-related cash flows | (31.8) | (88.6) | (86.5) | (105.6) | (101.3) | (413.8) |
| Segmental operating free cash generation, after investment capital expenditure and integration costs |
273.2 | 221.7 | 186.5 | 193.4 | 167.6 | 1,042.4 |
| Investment cost of acquisitions | (317.7) | (101.0) | (311.6) | (862.8) | (149.8) | (1,742.9) |
| Net debt as at 31 July | (955.5) | (976.3) | (849.2) | (1,642.1) | (1,725.1) | |
| Hybrid funding as at 31 July2 | (348.9) | (333.0) | (648.4) | (657.4) | (804.8) | |
| Total Net Debt and Hybrid as at 31 July | (1,304.4) | (1,309.3) | (1,497.6) | (2,299.5) | (2,529.9) |
1 CAGR is calculated for the five-year period from FY 2010.
2 Hybrid funding is shown based on 31 July spot rates.
| In EUR million | July 2011 | July 2012 | July 2013 | July 2014 | July 2015 | Five Year Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBIT | 235.8 | 275.0 | 300.1 | 362.5 | 346.0 | 1,519.4 |
| Amortisation | 86.5 | 99.8 | 106.6 | 123.8 | 168.0 | 584.7 |
| EBITA | 322.3 | 374.8 | 406.7 | 486.3 | 514.0 | 2,104.1 |
| Depreciation | 86.5 | 90.4 | 93.7 | 102.9 | 124.3 | 497.8 |
| EBITDA | 408.8 | 465.2 | 500.4 | 589.2 | 638.3 | 2,601.9 |
| Working capital movement | (13.0) | (19.3) | (11.2) | 46.6 | 40.7 | 43.8 |
| Maintenance capital expenditure | (39.3) | (46.2) | (43.7) | (60.0) | (80.7) | (269.9) |
| Segmental operating free cash generation | 356.5 | 399.7 | 445.5 | 575.8 | 598.3 | 2,375.8 |
| Investment capital expenditure | (51.5) | (89.4) | (172.5) | (276.8) | (329.4) | (919.6) |
| Acquisition and restructuring-related cash flows | (31.8) | (88.6) | (86.5) | (105.6) | (101.3) | (413.8) |
| Segmental operating free cash generation, after investment capital expenditure and integration costs |
273.2 | 221.7 | 186.5 | 193.4 | 167.6 | 1,042.4 |
| Dividends received from discontinued operations | 13.1 | 11.2 | 14.3 | 16.4 | 17.1 | 72.1 |
| Hybrid dividend | – | (16.3) | (16.6) | (29.4) | (39.1) | (101.4) |
| Interest and income tax | (101.9) | (97.7) | (91.0) | (103.4) | (118.0) | (512.0) |
| Other non-cash charges / (income) | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 | (2.9) | (6.2) | (2.6) |
| Cash flow generated from activities | 188.6 | 120.6 | 93.8 | 74.1 | 21.4 | 498.5 |
| In EUR million | July 2011 | July 2012 | July 2013 | July 2014 | July 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opening net debt as at 1 August | (1,115.6) | (955.5) | (976.3) | (849.2) | (1,642.1) |
| Cash flows generated from activities | 188.6 | 120.6 | 93.8 | 74.1 | 21.4 |
| Disposal of businesses, net of cash | – | – | – | – | 22.7 |
| Proceeds from disposal of Origin, net of cash disposed | – | – | – | 71.8 | 398.1 |
| Cost of acquisitions | (317.7) | (101.0) | (311.6) | (862.8) | (149.8) |
| Contingent acquisition consideration | (12.9) | (7.2) | (0.2) | (4.2) | (9.2) |
| Hybrid instrument proceeds | 285.0 | – | 319.4 | – | 69.3 |
| Share placement | – | 140.9 | – | – | – |
| Dividends paid | (32.9) | (43.7) | (46.0) | (51.2) | (69.4) |
| Foreign exchange movement | 51.1 | (139.2) | 62.0 | (22.7) | (363.8) |
| Other | (1.1) | 8.8 | 9.7 | 2.1 | (2.3) |
| Closing net debt as at 31 July | (955.5) | (976.3) | (849.2) | (1,642.1) | (1,725.1) |
| Net Debt: EBITDA1 calculations as at 31 July | |||||
| TTM EBITDA | 418.0 | 465.2 | 527.0 | 654.9 | 640.4 |
| Dividends from Origin – discontinued operations | 8.6 | 10.4 | 14.3 | 16.4 | 17.1 |
| EBITDA for covenant purposes | 426.6 | 475.6 | 541.3 | 671.3 | 657.5 |
1 Calculated based on Food Group EBITDA for the 12 month period, including any dividends received, adjusted for the pro-forma full-year impact of completed acquisitions and disposals, as well as other adjustments in-line with the specific terms of the Group Syndicated Bank Loan Revolving Credit Facility.
| Closing Rates | H1 2016 | FY 2015 | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Franc | 1.1089 | 1.0635 | (4.3)% |
| US Dollar | 1.0915 | 1.1109 | 1.7% |
| Canadian Dollar | 1.5323 | 1.4446 | (6.1)% |
| Sterling | 0.7596 | 0.7091 | (7.1)% |
| Average Rates | H1 2016 | H1 2015 | % Change |
| Swiss Franc | 1.0862 | 1.1894 | 8.7% |
| US Dollar | 1.1020 | 1.2548 | 12.2% |
| Canadian Dollar | 1.4806 | 1.4226 | (4.1)% |
| Sterling | 0.7276 | 0.7872 | 7.6% |
The Group utilises the Underlying earnings measure to enable comparability of the results from period to period, without the impact of transactions that do not relate to the underlying business. It is also the Group's policy to declare dividends based on underlying fully diluted earnings per share, as this provides a more consistent basis for returning dividends to shareholders.
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