Earnings Release • May 11, 2016
Earnings Release
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Q1-2016
While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.
II.I. Portfolio and Operating Performance
III.I.I. Financial Performance
VI.I. Appendix
| In-place rent, l-f-l |
€5.25/sqm (+2.4% total portfolio, +3.3% for free-financed units) Slight growth acceleration in course of FY-2016 on the cards |
|---|---|
| EPRA-Vacancy |
2.8% l-f-l (-40 bps YOY) |
| Maintenance/Capex |
€3.4/sqm (FY-2016 target of €17/sqm reiterated) |
| | Rental income | €118.6m (+10.5% YOY from €107.3m) |
|---|---|---|
| | Adjusted EBITDA | €84.1m (+12.3% YOY from €74.9m) Margin expansion excl. maintenance c.+270 bps YOY |
| | FFO I (excl. minorities) | €62.6m (+21.8% YOY from €51.4m), €1.00 per share (+11.1% YOY from €0.90) |
| | AFFO | €49.9m (+9.4% YOY from €45.6m) |
| | EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) | €59.42 per share |
II.I. Portfolio and Operating Performance
| High-Growth Markets | ||
|---|---|---|
| 31.03.2016 | (YOY) |
|
| # of units | 38,232 | +3.4% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.82 | +2.5% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 1.4% | -10 bps |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.03.2016 | (YOY) |
|||||
| # of units | 44,065 | +13.2% | ||||
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €4.95 | +2.3% | ||||
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 3.0% | -80 bps |
| Total Portfolio | Higher-Yielding Markets | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.03.2016 | (YOY) |
31.03.2016 | (YOY) |
||
| # of units | 115,419 | +8.1% | # of units | 31,665 | +7.7% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.25 | +2.4% | In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €4.85 | +1.9% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 2.8% | -40 bps | EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 5.0% | -20 bps |
Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = strong rent growth
Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = low vacancies
Margin expansion on back of attractive scale effects + cost discipline
| € million |
Q1-2016 | Q1-2015 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net rental and lease income |
88.6 | 80.8 | Higher rental income (+€11.3m/+10.5%) NRI-margin nearly stable |
||
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | -0.1 | 1.3 | despite higher maintenance (+30% YOY; low level Q1-15) |
||
| Net income from the valuation of investment property | 1.0 | - | Higher one-time costs |
||
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory | -0.6 | -0.7 | (+€34.1m to €34.5m) due to non-capitalised transaction costs (€33.7m; mainly real |
||
| Net income from other services | 1.3 | -0.1 | estate transfer tax) Recurring admin. costs |
||
| Administrative and other expenses | -43.0 | -8.9 | stable at €7.9m reflecting rising efficiency (decreasing cost base inr FY-16 and FY |
||
| Other income | 0.1 | 0.2 | 17 expected) | ||
| Operating earnings |
47.3 | 72.6 | Lower financing costs (-€46.9 YOY) due refinancing costs (€13.0m in Q1-15) and |
||
| Net finance costs |
-47.1 | -94.0 | lower burdens from fair value measurement of derivatives |
||
| Earnings before income taxes |
0.2 | -21.4 | (-€33.8m YOY to €18.9m) Lower cash interests (€20.2m vs. €23.3m in Q1-15) |
||
| Income tax expense |
-12.3 | -9.0 | |||
| Consolidated net profit |
-12.1 | -30.4 | Cash taxes (-€1.1m) |
| € million |
Q1-2016 | Q1-2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rental income | 118.6 | 107.3 | +€11.3m (+10.5% YOY) |
|
| Profit from operating expenses | -1.4 | -1.5 | ||
| Maintenance | -12.9 | -9.9 | ||
| Staff costs | -10.2 | -9.4 | ||
| Allowances on rent receivables | -1.7 | -1.8 | +€8.0m (+9.7% YOY) Slightly lower adj. NOI |
|
| Other | -2.4 | -2.7 | margin due to higher | |
| Non-recurring project costs (rental and lease) |
0.2 | 0.2 | maintenance expenses Further cost savings from |
|
| Current net rental and lease income | 90.2 | 82.2 | efficiency program expected | |
| Current net income from other services | 1.7 | 0.4 | ||
| Staff costs | -5.5 | -5.3 | ||
| Non-staff operating costs | -36.9 | -3.1 | ||
| LTIP (long-term incentive programme) | 0.0 | 0.1 | One-time costs (€33.7m non capitalised transaction costs |
|
| Non-recurring project costs (admin.) | 34.5 | 0.4 | including RETT) | |
| Extraordinary and prior-period expenses | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| Current administrative expenses | -7.9 | -7.9 | Decreasing admin. cost base in 2016 & 2017 expected |
|
| Other income and expenses | 0.1 | 0.2 | despite volume growth | |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 84.1 | 74.9 | +€9.2m (+12.3% YOY) |
|
| Cash interest expenses and income | -20.2 | -23.3 | EBITDA margin 70.9% vs. |
|
| Cash income taxes | -1.1 | -0.2 | 69.8% in Q1-15 | |
| FFO I (including non-controlling interests) | 62.8 | 51.4 | Lower interest charges |
|
| Non-controlling interests | -0.2 | 0.0 | (end Q1-16 avg. cost 2.15% vs. 2.8% in Q1-15) |
|
| FFO I (excluding non-controlling interests) | 62.6 | 51.4 | ||
| FFO II (including disposal of investment property) | 62.5 | 52.7 | ||
| Capex-adjusted FFO I (AFFO) | 49.9 | 45.6 |
| € million |
Q1-2016 | Q1-2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported interest expense |
30.1 | 44.2 | |
| Interest expense related to loan amortisation |
-6.0 | -11.6 | |
| Prepayment penalties / breakage costs | -2.2 | -7.5 | One-off refinancing effect of €5.5m in Q1- 2015 |
| Interest charges relating to valuation of assets/liabilities |
-0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Leasing related interest expense | -0.4 | -0.4 | |
| Interest expenses related to changes in pension provisions |
-0.8 | -0.7 | |
| Bank charges | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| Interest income | 0.0 | -0.4 | |
| Cash effective interest expense | 20.2 | 23.3 | Interest coverage improved further (4.2x up from 3.2x YOY) |
| € million |
31.03.2016 | 31.12.2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Equity (excl. minority interests) |
2,945.2 | 2,967.8 |
| Effect of exercising options, convertibles and other rights |
465.0 | 427.2 |
| NAV | 3,410.2 | 3,395.0 |
| Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments | 198.0 | 165.5 |
| Deferred taxes1) | 473.8 | 466.6 |
| EPRA-NAV | 4,082.0 | 4,027.1 |
| (m)2) Number of shares fully-diluted incl. convertible |
67.904 | 67.904 |
| EPRA-NAV per share in € | 60.11 | 59.31 |
| Goodwill, resulting from synergies | 46.9 | 26.4 |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
4,035.1 | 4,000.7 |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € | 59.42 | 58.92 |
-€12.1m net profit -€10.3m other comprehensive income (derivatives)
2) Actual number of shares outstanding 62.77m 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on investment properties 3) Assumption: growth rate of 0% Balance Sheet Q1-2016
| € million |
31.03.2016 | 31.12.2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 6,755.4 | 6,398.5 | Additions €357.3m |
|
| Prepayment for investment property |
446.9 | 203.1 | Capex €12.7m Reclassification -€14.2m |
|
| Other non-current assets | 214.5 | 296.8 | ||
| Non-current assets | 7,416.8 | 6,898.4 | ||
| Receivables and other assets | 66.1 | 37.2 | ||
| Cash and cash equivalents | 310.1 | 252.8 | Cash flow from operating |
|
| Current assets | 376.2 | 290.0 | activities €63.5m | |
| Assets held for disposal | 16.1 | 6.7 | ||
| Total Assets | 7,809.1 | 7,195.1 | ||
| Equity | 2,973.2 | 2,985.0 | Equity ratio of 38.2% |
|
| Non-current financial liabilities | 3,363.3 | 2,745.6 | ||
| Other non-current liabilities |
725.0 | 673.7 | ||
| Non-current liabilities | 4,088.3 | 3,419.3 | ||
| Current financial liabilities | 381.0 | 496.0 | ||
| Other current liabilities | 366.6 | 294.8 | ||
| Current liabilities | 747.6 | 790.8 | ||
| Total Equity and Liabilities |
7,809.1 | 7,195.1 |
| € million |
31.03.2016 | 31.12.2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial debt | 3,744.3 | 3,241.6 | |
| Cash & cash equivalents | 310.1 | 252.8 | |
| Net Debt |
3,434.2 | 2,988.8 | Also after full consolidation of the |
| Investment properties | 6,755.4 | 6,398.5 | signed acquisitions pro forma LTV stays below |
| Properties held for sale | 16.1 | 6.7 | 50% |
| Prepayments for investment properties |
- | 203.1 | |
| Prepayments for acquisitions |
467,3 | 146,1 | Significant positive |
| Property values |
7,238.8 | 6,754.4 | impact on LTV from future conversion of |
| Loan to Value (LTV) in % | 47.4 | 44.2 | convertible expected (currently -360bps) |
| Pro-forma LTV post conversion in % | 43.8 | 40.4 |
| Closing | 30.04.2016 | Change | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Units | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | In-place rent € / sqm |
Occupancy | |
| Portfolio incl. Vitus transaction |
20,8801) | 4.87 | 95.5% | 5.19 | 96.1% | 0.32 (+6.5%) | ~ +60 bp |
| Vitus portfolio |
9,546 | 4.76 | 96.1% | 5.03 | 96.4% | 0.27 (+5.7%) | ~ +30 bp |
Operating performance confirms reversionary potential and LEG's management skills
1) Acquisitions since year end 2012
| Deal # |
Units acquired |
Geographic focus |
Market | Annual net cold rent |
In place rent/sqm |
Vacancy rate |
Signing | Purchase price |
Closing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 713 | Cologne, Leverkusen, Sankt Augustin |
High Growth/ Stable |
EUR 3.5m | EUR 5.33 | 2.9% | April 2015 | not disclosed | June 2015 |
| 2 | 3,539 | Top 2 locations ~60% (Bielefeld, Detmold) |
Stable | EUR 14.2m | EUR 5.19 | 3.6% | November 2015 | EUR 225m | January 2016 |
| 3 | 2,037 | Duisburg, Essen | Stable/ Higher Yielding |
EUR 7.7m | EUR 5.04 | 6.7% | August 2015 | not disclosed | January 2016 |
| 4 | 13,570 | NRW (esp. Ruhr area) |
Higher Yielding/ Stable |
EUR 48m | EUR 4.86 | 5.3% | December 2015 | c.EUR 600m |
April 2016 |
| 5 | 1,291 | Siegen | Stable | EUR 4.6m | EUR 5.16 | 17.3% | December 2015 | c.EUR 60m |
January / July 2016 |
| 6 | ~1,100 | Recklinghausen, Herne |
Stable/ Higher Yielding |
~EUR 4.0m | EUR 4.46 | 5.4% | April 2016 | c.EUR 53m |
Q2-2016 |
| c.22,000 |
| 2016 | Guidance |
|---|---|
| FFO I: | €257m - €262m / €4.09 - €4.17 per share |
| L-F-L rent growth: | 2.4 - 2.6% |
| L-F-L vacancy: | Stable (FY-15 comparable: 2.5%) |
| Dividend: | 65% of FFO I |
| 2017 | |
|---|---|
| FFO I: | €284m - €289m / €4.52 - €4.60 per share |
| L-F-L rent growth: | 3.0 – 3.3% |
| € million |
31.03.2016 | 31.12.2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Investment properties | 6,454.0 | 6,101.6 |
| Assets held for sale | 16.1 | 6.7 |
| Market value of residential property portfolio (net) |
6,470.1 | 6,108.3 |
| Estimated incidental costs |
636.3 | 601.5 |
| Market value of residential property portfolio (gross) |
7,106.4 | 6,709.8 |
| Annualised cash flow from rental income (gross) |
463.2 | 428.1 |
| Non recoverable operating costs | -66.7 | -61.4 |
| Annualised cash flow from rental income (net) |
396.5 | 366.7 |
| EPRA Net initial yield in % |
5.6 | 5.5 |
| Market | Residential Units |
GAV Residential Assets (€m) |
% of Total Residential GAV |
GAV/ sqm (€) |
In-Place Rent Multiple |
Multiples, Estimated Rental Values (31.12.2015) |
GAV Commercial/ Other Assets (€m) |
Total GAV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Growth Markets |
38,232 | 2,858 | 44% | 1,159 | 16.7x | 14.9x | 171 | 3,029 |
| Stable Markets with Attractive Yields |
44,065 | 2,213 | 34% | 759 | 12.9x | 12.1x | 94 | 2,307 |
| Higher Yielding Markets |
31,665 | 1,292 | 20% | 669 | 12.0x | 11.5x | 40 | 1,331 |
| Subtotal NRW | 113,962 | 6,362 | 99% | 870 | 14.1x | 13.1x | 304 | 6,666 |
| Portfolio outside NRW |
1,457 | 91 | 1% | 946 | 14.4x | 13.3x | 1 | 92 |
| Total Portfolio | 115,419 | 6,454 | 100% | 871 | 14.1x | 13.2x | 305 | 6,759 |
| Other Assets | 485 | |||||||
| Total (incl. Landbank | and DevCo) | 7,244 |
| Adj. EBITDA margin | 2015 | 2014 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | margin % |
€m | margin % | ||
| As reported |
293.7 | 67.3 | 259.3 | 66.5 | |
| Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) | 22.5 | 68.9 | 21.2 | 68.2 |
1) €/sqm: €4.67 vs. €5.48 in 2015, €4.61 vs. €5.33 in 2014
| Release date (expected) |
High-Growth Markets1 |
Markets1 Stable |
Higher-Yielding Markets1 |
Total Portfolio1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 (Q1) | 4,249 units (mainly Bielefeld) |
1,683 units (mainly Detmold) |
6,669 units (Hochsauerlandkreis) |
12,601 units |
| 2016 (Q2) | 3,832 units (mainly Bonn) |
667 units | 1,477 units (Bochum) |
6,000 units2 |
| 2016 (Q3) | 2,262 units (mainly Bocholt) |
8,229 units (mainly Essen, Wuppertal, Witten) |
1,250 units (mainly Herten) |
11,741 units |
| 2016 (Q4) | 2,421 units (mainly Gütersloh) |
36 units | 2,457 units | |
| Total 1 | 12,764 units | 10,615 units | 9,396 units |
32,799 units2 |
| Thereof: - Bielefeld |
3,657 units | |||
| - Bocholt |
1,412 units | |||
| - Bochum |
1,477 units | |||
| - Bonn |
2,286 units | |||
| - Detmold - Essen |
1,449 units 2,991 units |
|||
| - Gütersloh |
1,965 units | |||
| - Hochsauerlandkr. |
5,479 units | |||
| - Unna |
1,210 units | 1,210 units | ||
| - Witten |
1,518 units | 1 Sub-portfolios also include | ||
| - Wuppertal |
2,031 units | restricted units 2 Total Portfolio also includes 24 units non-NRW |
Weighting (31.03.2016): MDAX 3.27%; EPRA 2.58%
Maturity date: 1 July 2021
| Date | Report/Event |
|---|---|
| 11.05.2016 | Quarterly Report Q1 as of 31 March 2016 |
| 12.05.2016 | Roadshow London, Deutsche Bank |
| 19.05.2016 | Annual General Meeting 2016, Dusseldorf |
| 25.05.2016 | Kempen & Co's 14th European Property Seminar, Amsterdam |
| 01.06.2016 | nd 2 German Property Day - Kepler Cheuvreux / UniCredit, Paris |
| 09.06.2016 | dbAccess German, Swiss & Austrian Conference, Berlin |
| 20.06.2016 | Roadshow Milan/Lugano, Berenberg Bank |
| 22.06.2016 | Roadshow Edinburgh, Berenberg Bank |
| 23.06.2016 | Morgan Stanley Europe & EEMEA Property Conference, London |
| 29.06.2016 | Roadshow Munich, Baader Bank |
| 10.08.2016 | Quarterly Report Q2 as of 30 June 2016 |
Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]
Karin Widenmann Manager Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]
40476 Dusseldorf, Germany Mail: [email protected]
LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204
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