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Hapag-Lloyd AG

Earnings Release Aug 10, 2016

199_ip_2016-08-10_0b6a8d4d-0a77-4d69-b8b7-79c326995dad.pdf

Earnings Release

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Investor Presentation – Half Year Results 2016

LIASCE UABCE LIABOT
以為頭口目
The Company's Company's Company's Company's
した画に書 いみ時に言
私兵事日目 山外田口道 LEASERT
しい時に言 山八田口豊 LIAMED
UASCE UASCE いみ回口目
UASCE しんちじ 月 山内田口目

1 10 August 2016

Disclaimer

Forward-looking Statements

This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company´s forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company´s press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company´s analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.

This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.

Opening remarks

Strategic highlights: We delivered on our strategic objectives…

Way Forward

Cuatro synergies from the merger with CSAV are being realized on schedule

Octave on track, delivering cost savings and efficiency improvements

Compete to Win roll out completed and new sales organization set up

THE Alliance

THE Alliance created, securing our position in a strong and integrated alliance

Consolidation

Business Combination Agreement signed between Hapag-Lloyd and UASC

Combination forms a top tier liner company with one of the most modern and efficient fleets

Significant value creation via expected synergies of at least USD 400 m p.a.

Clearly reduced investments in the upcoming years maximizing free cashflow

USD 400 m capital increase (backstopped) within six months from Closing

Completion of the merger expected by end of 2016 (subject to regulatory approvals)

Introduction
Sector update
HL financials
UASC deal
Next steps

Financial highlights: ...but our half year results are disappointing

Transport volume Freight rate Transport expenses
-0.4%1) -19.6% -15.5%
H1 2016: 3.7 TEU m H1 2016: 1,042 USD/TEU H1 2016: 962 USD/TEU
EBITDA EBIT Group profit / loss
USD 219 m USD -44 m USD -158 m
5.2% EBITDA margin Negative operating result -1.3% ROIC annualized
Equity Liquidity reserve Net debt
USD 5.3 bn USD 0.9 bn USD 3.7 bn
44.4% equity ratio Adequate liquidity Debt repayment

1) Q2 year-on-year comparison affected by CSAV integration

Difficult market – Freight rates declined further in Q2 to record low levels due to intense competition

  • Muted global trade growth based on increased economic risks affected demand for global container shipping services
  • Intense competition increased pressure on freight rates in Q2 leading to higher than expected rate declines to unsustainable levels
  • Even though freight rates have finally gone back up towards the peak season in various trades this rebound is coming later than anticipated and more is needed going forward
  • Supply / demand gap to decrease over next months as growth in global container vessel capacity is expected to be lower than initially forecasted due to scrapping of old and inefficient vessels and postponements of deliveries
  • Capacity level of idle ships has risen sharply in recent quarters
  • 1) The CCFI reflects China's nationwide export container transport and comprises the reported freight rates of 22 shipping companies
Introduction
Sector update
HL financials
UASC deal
Next steps

However, signs supporting a possible recovery over the second half of 2016 remain

…and ship deliveries in H1 slowed down

…and scrapping at multi-years high

Idle capacity remains high…

7 Source: Alphaliner weekly newsletter, MDS Transmodal, Clarksons, Drewry

In the second half, we will do whatever we can to get freight rates back to more sustainable levels

Shanghai – Latin America (SCFI)

Comments

Further freight rate increases planned for August and September 2016 by various carriers, e.g.:1)

  • Hapag-Lloyd incl. FE-LA (USD 1,050/TEU), LA (USD 200/TEU), FE-ME (USD 100/TEU), FE-Aus (USD 300/TEU)
  • Maersk incl. FE-LA (USD 750/TEU), ISC-Africa (USD 150/TEU), ISC-LA (USD 150/TEU)
  • CMA CGM incl. FE-Africa (USD 400/TEU), FE-Europe (USD 1,850/TEU), ISC-Africa (USD 300/TEU), Europe-ME (USD 200/TEU), Europe-ISC (USD 300/TEU)
  • OOCL: incl. FE-LA (USD 750/TEU)
  • Hamburg Süd: incl. FE-LA (USD 750/TEU)

8 Source: Shanghai Shipping Exchange (5 August 2016), Company information 1) Based on peer and industry publications

Going forward the industry is changing – Alliances are being reshaped and leading players are consolidating

The industry is changing

9 Source: MDS Transmodal July 2016, Hapag-Lloyd data, only vessels >399TEU 1) Subject to a successful closure of the transaction between Hapag-Lloyd and UASC, as well as regulatory approvals, the UASC tonnage is anticipated to become part of THE Alliance

Operational KPIs
Q1 2016
Q2 2016
H1 2016
H1 2015
YoY
∆ / %
Transport volume [TTEU] 1,811 1,892 3,703 3,719 -16 / -0.4%
Freight rate [USD/TEU] 1,067 1,019 1,042 1,296 -254 / -19.6%
Bunker price
MFO
[USD/t]
178 182 180 346 -166/ -48.0%
Exchange rate [EUR/USD] 1.10 1.12 1.11 1.12 -0.01 / -0.3%
Revenue [USD m] 2,124 2,088 4,212 5,213 -1,001 / -19.2%
EBITDA [USD m] 136 83 219 551 -332 / -60.3%
EBIT [USD m] 5 -50 -44 299 -343 / n.m.
EAT [USD m] -47 -111 -158 176 -334 / n.m.
Investments [USD m]1) 105 115 220 502 -283 / -56.3%

1) Balance sheet investments in PPE

Introduction
Sector update
HL financials
UASC deal
Next steps

Hapag-Lloyd volume stable despite weak growth – Freight rates decline further to record low levels

Transport volume [TTEU]

Freight rate [USD/TEU]

FX-rate (USD/EUR)

Bunker price [USD/mt]

Introduction
Sector update
HL financials
UASC deal Transport volume stable around 3.7 TEU m in H1 2016
Next steps

Transport volume [TTEU]

1) HLAG + CCS as of 2 December 2014

Freight rate fell by 254 USD/TEU to 1,042 USD/TEU – Our average bunker price decreased to 180 USD/t

Freight rate1) [USD/TEU] vs. bunker price2) [USD/t]

1) Hapag-Lloyd average freight rate per period 2) Hapag-Lloyd average consumption price per period, 2014 excl. CCS (1M) 3) HLAG + CCS as of 2 Dec 2014

Introduction
Sector update
HL financials
UASC deal

Overall transport expenses reduced by 673 USD m thanks to synergies and efficiency programs

Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]

7 -177 (-15.5%) H1 2016 962 Maintenance /repair /other Container transport costs -63 Chartering, leases and container rentals -14 Port, canal and terminal costs -17 Expenses for raw materials and supplies -90 H1 2015 1,139 -87 (-9.0%)1) Compete to Win 5 Close the Cost Gap 4 Structural Improvements 3 OCTAVE 2 CUATRO 1 4,234 -337 -69 -54 -239 26 3,561 Price Consumption Transport expenses [USD m]

1) Cost of purchased services H1 2016: 962 USD/TEU

Introduction
Sector update
HL financials
UASC deal
Next steps

Bunker expenses significantly reduced benefitting from lower price and improved consumption

Bunker price [Rotterdam; USD/mt]

Bunker consumption [mt/slot; mt/TEU; k mt]

Bunker mix [MFO; MDO]

Bunker expenses6) [USD/TEU; USD m]

1) Average nominal deployed capacity in TEU 2) HLAG excluding CCS 3) Including technical effect due to initial addition of CSAV fleet at the beginning of 2015 4) HLAG + CCS as of 2nd December 2014 5) Due to CCS integration slight categorization differences may occur 6) Expenses for raw materials and supplies

15 Source: Bloomberg (4 August 2016)

Equity at USD 5.3 bn and liquidity at USD 0.9 bn – Capital increase of USD 400 m post Closing

Adequate liquidity reserve [USD m] UASC deal implications

  • Cash capital increase of USD 400 m (equivalent) planned within six months after the closing of the transaction with UASC
  • Strengthening of shareholder base with the new key shareholders Qatar Holding LLC and the Public Investment Fund of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
  • Value protection via guaranteed equity, cash and debt covenants (as of certain Relevant Dates)

Positive free cash flow of USD 33 m in H1 2016 – Net repayment in financial debt of USD 34 m

Cash flow H1 2016 [USD m]

Hapag-Lloyd adjusted its outlook for 2016 as freight rate development is significantly weaker than expected

Revised Outlook 2016 Comments
Transport
volume
Increasing
slightly

Hapag-Lloyd adjusts its outlook for the financial
year 2016 as the development of the freight rates
is significantly weaker than expected
Bunker
consumption
price
Clearly decreasing
The revised expectation of the Executive Board is
a clearly decreasing EBITDA and a clearly
decreasing EBIT compared with previous year
Freight rate Clearly decreasing
In the second quarter of 2016 the average freight
rate of Hapag-Lloyd decreased to 1,019
USD/TEU, i.e. 245 USD/TEU below prior year
period (1,264 USD/TEU in Q2 2015) –
the
recovery at the beginning of July does not
seem sufficient and sustainable enough
EBITDA Clearly decreasing
Additionally bunker prices have increased
throughout the second quarter of 2016
EBIT Clearly decreasing
After the Business Combination with United Arab
Shipping Company S.A.G. (UASC) transaction
related one-off costs will also impact the
results in 2016

Revised guidance versus Interim Report Q1 2016

Combined Entity at a glance1)

Combined
Entity2)
Corporate
HQ
Hamburg Dubai Hamburg
Alliance
membership
G6 Ocean 3 THE
Alliance
Ships [#] 170 61 231
Container
[TTEU]
1,513 682 2,195
Capacity
[TEU m]
1.0 0.6 1.6
  • Combination assures top 5 position globally and on key trades against the backdrop of a consolidating market
  • Further balancing of trade portfolio with leadership on Middle East Trades
  • Increased competitiveness through complementary young and fuel-efficient fleet with large share of ULCVs
  • Sustainable market position without further short-term fleet investments
  • Significant value creation through expected run-rate synergies of at least USD 400 m per annum
  • Strong partner in the light of the ongoing alliance reshuffling
  • Supportive core shareholders and capital market investors

1) 30 June 2016 2) Sum of stand-alone figures

Introduction
Sector update
HL financials
UASC deal
Next steps

Value creation: Synergies of at least USD 400 m expected mainly in network and overhead

Synergy potential, full run-rate [USD m]

Synergies of at least USD 400 m per year from 2019 onwards – approx. 1/3 to be achieved in 2017 already One-off costs of approx. USD 150 m largely payable in 2016/2017

Modern fleet: No need to further invest in the next years due to complimentary ship newbuildings

Vessel delivery schedule 2015-2017

21 1) Delivery of last two 15,000 TEU vessels to be delayed from H2 2016 into 2017

No further investments needed

  • In order to be competitive mid-term, Hapag-Lloyd would have needed significant investments in ultralarge container vessels in upcoming years (as envisaged in IPO process)
  • UASC had recently ordered 17 fuel-efficient big ships (6x 18,000 TEU and 11x 15,000 TEU) most of them were delivered in 2015/2016
  • The Combined Entity will thereby operate one of the youngest and most efficient fleets in the industry
  • Hence, no need for new vessel investment in next years – the fleet expenditures have been basically "pulled forward"
  • The Combined Entity will focus on maximizing free cash flow to deleverage quickly

Closing of the transaction expected by end of 2016 (subject to necessary approvals)

1) Subject to necessary approvals 2) Long stop date for closing conditions

  • In the second half of the year, we continue to focus our cost savings and improvement programs (Cuatro synergies, Octave measures, Compete to Win)
  • Furthermore, we will do whatever we can to get freight rates back to more sustainable levels
  • In this difficult competitive environment, it is very important
  • − to complete the transaction with UASC as quickly as possible and
  • − to start the integration of UASC immediately after the completion of all preclosing conditions
  • The integration will bring us annual net synergies of at least USD 400 million, some of which should already take effect next year

Main focus in the second half (pre Closing) Financial policy going forward (post Closing)

Profitability Based on improved fleet ownership
structure and synergy realization the
EBITDA margin will increase
significantly
Investments No new vessel investments in next
years –
Maximize free cashflow
Deleveraging Clear deleveraging target: Reduce
net leverage to ~3.5x by 2018
Liquidity Committed to an adequate liquidity
1)
reserve (USD 1.1-1.2 bn)
Capital
Increase
Cash capital increase backstopped
by certain key shareholders2)

Well-balanced exposure to global trade with strong position in attractive markets and niche businesses

Imbalances: Hapag-Lloyd outperforms the market

1) This ratio reflects the imbalance in the market (industry average) vs. Hapag-Lloyd imbalance of transport volumes (the higher the ratio, the more balanced in both directions). Ratio has been rounded

Source: IHS Global Insight July 2016; Hapag-Lloyd FY 2015; market data adapted to Hapag-Lloyd trade lane definition

28

Long-standing and diversified customer base of blue chip customers and a diversified base of goods transported

Hapag-Lloyd has a highly diversified customer base: No customer has a share greater than 5% of HL's revenue

Balanced portfolio of goods transported2)… … in a diversified customer portfolio3)

Vessel fleet as of 30 June 2016
Owned1) Chartered3) Current
fleet
Current
orderbook
Fleet age [% of total capacity]
Capacity [TEU] 131,674 131,674 52,945 Average age 7.9 years4)
>10,000 TEU Vessels 10 10 5 MODERN
Capacity [TEU] 243,614 94,444 338,058 42% 58%
45%
8,000 –
10,000 TEU
Vessels 28 11 39 55% 1%
Capacity [TEU] 49,743 37,791 87,534 ≤10 years 10-20 years >20 years
7 6 13 Fleet ownership [%]
6,000 –
8,000 TEU
Vessels
Capacity [TEU] 68,154 193,705 261,859 Owned 56% Chartered 44%
4,000 –
6,000 TEU
Vessels 15 41 56 Average vessel size [TEU]
Capacity [TEU] 33,800 70,742 104,542 +377 +2,162
2,300 –
4,000 TEU
Vessels 11 23 34 5,599 5,046
Capacity [TEU] 3,362
Vessels 3,918 24,319 28,237 HL Top 20 World Fleet
<2,300 TEU 2 16 18
Total Capacity [TEU] 530,9032) 421,001 951,904 52,945 Total container fleet
Vessels 73 97 170 5 1.5m TEU Owned 43% Leased 57%

1) Incl. 3 long-term finance leases 2) Incl. 3 chartered-out 3) Includes long-term (>3 years), mid-term (1-3 years) and short-term (<1 year) charters

4) Weighted average age by capacity

As at 30 June 2016, Hapag-Lloyd used a chartered ship primarily for the repositioning of empty containers. The ship has a transport capacity of around 6,900 TEU. As the ship is not employed in a liner service it is not included in the fleet data described above.

30 Source: MDS Transmodal July 2016

Our Way Forward – Further improvements expected from our existing initiatives

OCTAVE project

Existing OCTAVE initiatives

G6 Enhancement –
create integrated alliance
s
e
v
ati
ti
ni
i
E
V
A
T
C
O
w
e
N
Procure
ment

reduction of expenses
Procurement
Transshipment –
optimize shipment flows
Further cost
savings and
efficiency
Fleet &
Network

increase operational intake
Ship Size
improvements:
Stowage –
optimize stowage process
High double-digit
USD million
figure by 2017
Service Portfolio

reduce complexity
Sales &
Product

optimize space usage
Weight Utilization

increase collection
Demurrage / Detention

Improved sales organization and better sales processes with significant potential to improve revenues

COMPETE TO WIN Project

Income statement [USD m] Transport expenses [USD m]
H1 2016 H1 2015 % change
Revenue 4,212.2 5,213.4 -19% Expenses for raw materials
Other operating
income
65.2 115.8 -44% and supplies
Cost of purchased services
3,242.3 3,578.0
Transport expenses -3,561.3 -4,234.1 -16% Thereof
Personnel expenses -283.0 -283.3 -0% Port, canal and terminal costs
Chartering, leases and
1,525.1 1,593.6
Depreciation, amorti
zation
and impairment
-263.0 -251.9 4% container rentals
Container transport costs
1,036.3 1,275.2
Other operating -227.8 -271.9 n.m. Maintenance/repair/other 119.7 93.6
expenses Transport expenses 3,561.3 4,234.1
Operating result -57.7 288.0 n.m.
Share of profit of 13.4 15.4 -13% Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]
equity-acc. investees
Other financial result
0.1 -4.4 n.m. Expenses for raw materials
and supplies
Earnings before -44.2 299.0 n.m. Cost of purchased services 875.6 962.1
interest and tax Thereof
(EBIT) Port, canal and terminal costs 411.8 428.5
EBITDA 218.8 550.9 -60% Chartering, leases and
container rentals
Interest result -100.0 -110.8 -10% Container transport costs 279.8 342.9
Income taxes -13.9 -12.6 n.m. Maintenance/repair/other 32.3 25.2
Group profit/loss -158.1 175.6 n.m. Transport expenses 961.7 1,138.5
H1 2016 H1 2015 %
change
Expenses for raw materials
and supplies
319.0 656.1 -51%
Cost of purchased services 3,242.3 3,578.0 -9%
Thereof
Port, canal and terminal costs 1,525.1 1,593.6 -4%
Chartering, leases and
container rentals
561.2 615.6 -9%
Container transport costs 1,036.3 1,275.2 -19%
Maintenance/repair/other 119.7 93.6 28%
Transport expenses 3,561.3 4,234.1 -16%

Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU]

Transport expenses 961.7 1,138.5 -16%
Maintenance/repair/other 32.3 25.2 28%
Container transport costs 279.8 342.9 -18%
Chartering, leases and
container rentals
151.5 165.5 -8%
Port, canal and terminal costs 411.8 428.5 -4%
Thereof
Cost of purchased services 875.6 962.1 -9%
Expenses for raw materials
and supplies
86.1 176.4 -51%
30.06.2016 31.12.2015 30.06.2015
Assets
Non-current assets 10,320.0 10,363.7 10,285.3
Of which fixed assets 10,249.0 10,301.7 10,211.4
Current assets 1,577.4 1,704.8 1,816.4
Of which cash and
cash equivalents
527.2 625.0 665.1
Total assets 11,897.4 12,068.5 12,101.7
Equity and liabilities
Equity 5,283.3 5,496.8 5,234.3
Borrowed capital 6,614.1 6,571.7 6,867.4
Of which non-current liabilities 3,914.9 3,958.4 4,331.1
Of which current liabilities 2,699.2 2,613.3 2,536.3
Of which financial debt 4,264.6 4,256.3 4,420.2
thereof
Non-current financial debt 3,489.7 3,591.7 3,888.8
Current financial debt 774.9 664.6 531.4
Total equity and liabilities 11,897.4 12,068.5 12,101.7

Balance sheet [USD m] Financial position [USD m]

30.06.2016 31.12.2015 30.06.2015
Cash and cash equivalents 527.2. 625.0. 665.1.
Financial debt 4,264.6 4,256.3 4,420.2
Net debt 3,737.4 3,631.3 3,755.1
Unused credit lines 336.6 423.4 263.1
Liquidity reserve 863.8 1,048.4 928.2
Equity 5,283.3 5,496.8 5,234.3
Gearing (net debt/equity) (%) 70.7% 66.1% 71.7%
Equity ratio (%) 44.4% 45.5% 43.3%

Hapag-Lloyd stock in SDAX since March 2016 – Next change of redemption prices in October 2016

1) Partially redeemed by nominal USD 125 m on 30 Dec 2015

36 Source: Bloomberg (5 August 2016); Citi (5 August 2016)

37

Senior Director Investor Relations Tel +49 40 3001-2896 Fax +49 40 3001-72896 [email protected] https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html

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