Earnings Release • Aug 10, 2016
Earnings Release
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| LIASCE | UABCE | LIABOT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 以為頭口目 The Company's Company's Company's Company's |
した画に書 | いみ時に言 | |
| 私兵事日目 | 山外田口道 | LEASERT | |
| しい時に言 | 山八田口豊 | LIAMED | |
| UASCE | UASCE | いみ回口目 | |
| UASCE | しんちじ 月 | 山内田口目 |
This presentation contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company´s forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company´s press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company´s analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.
Cuatro synergies from the merger with CSAV are being realized on schedule
Octave on track, delivering cost savings and efficiency improvements
Compete to Win roll out completed and new sales organization set up
THE Alliance created, securing our position in a strong and integrated alliance
Business Combination Agreement signed between Hapag-Lloyd and UASC
Combination forms a top tier liner company with one of the most modern and efficient fleets
Significant value creation via expected synergies of at least USD 400 m p.a.
Clearly reduced investments in the upcoming years maximizing free cashflow
USD 400 m capital increase (backstopped) within six months from Closing
Completion of the merger expected by end of 2016 (subject to regulatory approvals)
| Introduction |
|---|
| Sector update |
| HL financials |
| UASC deal |
| Next steps |
| Transport volume | Freight rate | Transport expenses |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4%1) | -19.6% | -15.5% |
| H1 2016: 3.7 TEU m | H1 2016: 1,042 USD/TEU | H1 2016: 962 USD/TEU |
| EBITDA | EBIT | Group profit / loss |
| USD 219 m | USD -44 m | USD -158 m |
| 5.2% EBITDA margin | Negative operating result | -1.3% ROIC annualized |
| Equity | Liquidity reserve | Net debt |
| USD 5.3 bn | USD 0.9 bn | USD 3.7 bn |
| 44.4% equity ratio | Adequate liquidity | Debt repayment |
1) Q2 year-on-year comparison affected by CSAV integration
| Introduction | |
|---|---|
| Sector update | |
| HL financials | |
| UASC deal | |
| Next steps |
…and scrapping at multi-years high
7 Source: Alphaliner weekly newsletter, MDS Transmodal, Clarksons, Drewry
Further freight rate increases planned for August and September 2016 by various carriers, e.g.:1)
8 Source: Shanghai Shipping Exchange (5 August 2016), Company information 1) Based on peer and industry publications
Going forward the industry is changing – Alliances are being reshaped and leading players are consolidating
9 Source: MDS Transmodal July 2016, Hapag-Lloyd data, only vessels >399TEU 1) Subject to a successful closure of the transaction between Hapag-Lloyd and UASC, as well as regulatory approvals, the UASC tonnage is anticipated to become part of THE Alliance
| Operational KPIs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2016 Q2 2016 H1 2016 H1 2015 YoY ∆ / % |
|||||||||
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 1,811 | 1,892 | 3,703 | 3,719 | -16 / -0.4% | ||||
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,067 | 1,019 | 1,042 | 1,296 | -254 / -19.6% | ||||
| Bunker price MFO [USD/t] |
178 | 182 | 180 | 346 | -166/ -48.0% | ||||
| Exchange rate [EUR/USD] | 1.10 | 1.12 | 1.11 | 1.12 | -0.01 / -0.3% | ||||
| Revenue [USD m] | 2,124 | 2,088 | 4,212 | 5,213 | -1,001 / -19.2% | ||||
| EBITDA [USD m] | 136 | 83 | 219 | 551 | -332 / -60.3% | ||||
| EBIT [USD m] | 5 | -50 | -44 | 299 | -343 / n.m. | ||||
| EAT [USD m] | -47 | -111 | -158 | 176 | -334 / n.m. | ||||
| Investments [USD m]1) | 105 | 115 | 220 | 502 | -283 / -56.3% |
1) Balance sheet investments in PPE
| Introduction |
|---|
| Sector update |
| HL financials |
| UASC deal |
| Next steps |
| Introduction | ||
|---|---|---|
| Sector update | ||
| HL financials | ||
| UASC deal | Transport volume stable around 3.7 TEU m in H1 2016 | |
| Next steps |
1) HLAG + CCS as of 2 December 2014
Freight rate fell by 254 USD/TEU to 1,042 USD/TEU – Our average bunker price decreased to 180 USD/t
1) Hapag-Lloyd average freight rate per period 2) Hapag-Lloyd average consumption price per period, 2014 excl. CCS (1M) 3) HLAG + CCS as of 2 Dec 2014
| Introduction |
|---|
| Sector update |
| HL financials |
| UASC deal |
Overall transport expenses reduced by 673 USD m thanks to synergies and efficiency programs
7 -177 (-15.5%) H1 2016 962 Maintenance /repair /other Container transport costs -63 Chartering, leases and container rentals -14 Port, canal and terminal costs -17 Expenses for raw materials and supplies -90 H1 2015 1,139 -87 (-9.0%)1) Compete to Win 5 Close the Cost Gap 4 Structural Improvements 3 OCTAVE 2 CUATRO 1 4,234 -337 -69 -54 -239 26 3,561 Price Consumption Transport expenses [USD m]
1) Cost of purchased services H1 2016: 962 USD/TEU
| Introduction |
|---|
| Sector update |
| HL financials |
| UASC deal |
| Next steps |
1) Average nominal deployed capacity in TEU 2) HLAG excluding CCS 3) Including technical effect due to initial addition of CSAV fleet at the beginning of 2015 4) HLAG + CCS as of 2nd December 2014 5) Due to CCS integration slight categorization differences may occur 6) Expenses for raw materials and supplies
15 Source: Bloomberg (4 August 2016)
Positive free cash flow of USD 33 m in H1 2016 – Net repayment in financial debt of USD 34 m
Hapag-Lloyd adjusted its outlook for 2016 as freight rate development is significantly weaker than expected
| Revised Outlook 2016 | Comments | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume |
Increasing slightly |
Hapag-Lloyd adjusts its outlook for the financial year 2016 as the development of the freight rates is significantly weaker than expected |
||
| Bunker consumption price |
Clearly decreasing | The revised expectation of the Executive Board is a clearly decreasing EBITDA and a clearly decreasing EBIT compared with previous year |
||
| Freight rate | Clearly decreasing | In the second quarter of 2016 the average freight rate of Hapag-Lloyd decreased to 1,019 USD/TEU, i.e. 245 USD/TEU below prior year period (1,264 USD/TEU in Q2 2015) – the recovery at the beginning of July does not seem sufficient and sustainable enough |
||
| EBITDA | Clearly decreasing | Additionally bunker prices have increased throughout the second quarter of 2016 |
||
| EBIT | Clearly decreasing | After the Business Combination with United Arab Shipping Company S.A.G. (UASC) transaction related one-off costs will also impact the results in 2016 |
Revised guidance versus Interim Report Q1 2016
| Combined Entity2) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate HQ |
Hamburg | Dubai | Hamburg |
| Alliance membership |
G6 | Ocean 3 | THE Alliance |
| Ships [#] | 170 | 61 | 231 |
| Container [TTEU] |
1,513 | 682 | 2,195 |
| Capacity [TEU m] |
1.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 |
1) 30 June 2016 2) Sum of stand-alone figures
| Introduction |
|---|
| Sector update |
| HL financials |
| UASC deal |
| Next steps |
Value creation: Synergies of at least USD 400 m expected mainly in network and overhead
Synergies of at least USD 400 m per year from 2019 onwards – approx. 1/3 to be achieved in 2017 already One-off costs of approx. USD 150 m largely payable in 2016/2017
21 1) Delivery of last two 15,000 TEU vessels to be delayed from H2 2016 into 2017
Closing of the transaction expected by end of 2016 (subject to necessary approvals)
1) Subject to necessary approvals 2) Long stop date for closing conditions
| Profitability | Based on improved fleet ownership structure and synergy realization the EBITDA margin will increase significantly |
|---|---|
| Investments | No new vessel investments in next years – Maximize free cashflow |
| Deleveraging | Clear deleveraging target: Reduce net leverage to ~3.5x by 2018 |
| Liquidity | Committed to an adequate liquidity 1) reserve (USD 1.1-1.2 bn) |
| Capital Increase |
Cash capital increase backstopped by certain key shareholders2) |
1) This ratio reflects the imbalance in the market (industry average) vs. Hapag-Lloyd imbalance of transport volumes (the higher the ratio, the more balanced in both directions). Ratio has been rounded
Source: IHS Global Insight July 2016; Hapag-Lloyd FY 2015; market data adapted to Hapag-Lloyd trade lane definition
28
Long-standing and diversified customer base of blue chip customers and a diversified base of goods transported
Hapag-Lloyd has a highly diversified customer base: No customer has a share greater than 5% of HL's revenue
| Vessel fleet as of 30 June 2016 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owned1) | Chartered3) | Current fleet |
Current orderbook |
Fleet age [% of total capacity] | ||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 131,674 | 131,674 | 52,945 | Average age 7.9 years4) | ||||
| >10,000 TEU | Vessels | 10 | 10 | 5 | MODERN | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 243,614 | 94,444 | 338,058 | 42% | 58% 45% |
|||
| 8,000 – 10,000 TEU |
Vessels | 28 | 11 | 39 | 55% | 1% | ||
| Capacity [TEU] | 49,743 | 37,791 | 87,534 | ≤10 years | 10-20 years | >20 years | ||
| 7 | 6 | 13 | Fleet ownership [%] | |||||
| 6,000 – 8,000 TEU |
Vessels | |||||||
| Capacity [TEU] | 68,154 | 193,705 | 261,859 | Owned 56% | Chartered 44% | |||
| 4,000 – 6,000 TEU |
Vessels | 15 | 41 | 56 | Average vessel size [TEU] | |||
| Capacity [TEU] | 33,800 | 70,742 | 104,542 | +377 | +2,162 | |||
| 2,300 – 4,000 TEU |
Vessels | 11 | 23 | 34 | 5,599 | 5,046 | ||
| Capacity [TEU] | 3,362 | |||||||
| Vessels | 3,918 | 24,319 | 28,237 | HL | Top 20 | World Fleet | ||
| <2,300 TEU | 2 | 16 | 18 | |||||
| Total | Capacity [TEU] | 530,9032) | 421,001 | 951,904 | 52,945 | Total container fleet | ||
| Vessels | 73 | 97 | 170 | 5 | 1.5m TEU | Owned 43% | Leased 57% |
1) Incl. 3 long-term finance leases 2) Incl. 3 chartered-out 3) Includes long-term (>3 years), mid-term (1-3 years) and short-term (<1 year) charters
4) Weighted average age by capacity
As at 30 June 2016, Hapag-Lloyd used a chartered ship primarily for the repositioning of empty containers. The ship has a transport capacity of around 6,900 TEU. As the ship is not employed in a liner service it is not included in the fleet data described above.
30 Source: MDS Transmodal July 2016
| G6 Enhancement – create integrated alliance |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| s e v ati ti ni i E V A T C O w e N |
Procure ment |
– reduction of expenses Procurement |
|
| Transshipment – optimize shipment flows |
Further cost savings and efficiency |
||
| Fleet & Network |
– increase operational intake Ship Size |
improvements: | |
| Stowage – optimize stowage process |
High double-digit USD million figure by 2017 |
||
| Service Portfolio – reduce complexity |
|||
| Sales & Product |
– optimize space usage Weight Utilization |
||
| – increase collection Demurrage / Detention |
Improved sales organization and better sales processes with significant potential to improve revenues
| Income statement [USD m] | Transport expenses [USD m] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 2016 | H1 2015 | % change | |||||
| Revenue | 4,212.2 | 5,213.4 | -19% | Expenses for raw materials | |||
| Other operating income |
65.2 | 115.8 | -44% | and supplies Cost of purchased services |
3,242.3 | 3,578.0 | |
| Transport expenses | -3,561.3 | -4,234.1 | -16% | Thereof | |||
| Personnel expenses | -283.0 | -283.3 | -0% | Port, canal and terminal costs Chartering, leases and |
1,525.1 | 1,593.6 | |
| Depreciation, amorti zation and impairment |
-263.0 | -251.9 | 4% | container rentals Container transport costs |
1,036.3 | 1,275.2 | |
| Other operating | -227.8 | -271.9 | n.m. | Maintenance/repair/other | 119.7 | 93.6 | |
| expenses | Transport expenses | 3,561.3 | 4,234.1 | ||||
| Operating result | -57.7 | 288.0 | n.m. | ||||
| Share of profit of | 13.4 | 15.4 | -13% | Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU] | |||
| equity-acc. investees Other financial result |
0.1 | -4.4 | n.m. | Expenses for raw materials and supplies |
|||
| Earnings before | -44.2 | 299.0 | n.m. | Cost of purchased services | 875.6 | 962.1 | |
| interest and tax | Thereof | ||||||
| (EBIT) | Port, canal and terminal costs | 411.8 | 428.5 | ||||
| EBITDA | 218.8 | 550.9 | -60% | Chartering, leases and container rentals |
|||
| Interest result | -100.0 | -110.8 | -10% | Container transport costs | 279.8 | 342.9 | |
| Income taxes | -13.9 | -12.6 | n.m. | Maintenance/repair/other | 32.3 | 25.2 | |
| Group profit/loss | -158.1 | 175.6 | n.m. | Transport expenses | 961.7 | 1,138.5 |
| H1 2016 | H1 2015 | % change |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses for raw materials and supplies |
319.0 | 656.1 | -51% |
| Cost of purchased services | 3,242.3 | 3,578.0 | -9% |
| Thereof | |||
| Port, canal and terminal costs | 1,525.1 | 1,593.6 | -4% |
| Chartering, leases and container rentals |
561.2 | 615.6 | -9% |
| Container transport costs | 1,036.3 | 1,275.2 | -19% |
| Maintenance/repair/other | 119.7 | 93.6 | 28% |
| Transport expenses | 3,561.3 | 4,234.1 | -16% |
| Transport expenses | 961.7 | 1,138.5 | -16% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maintenance/repair/other | 32.3 | 25.2 | 28% |
| Container transport costs | 279.8 | 342.9 | -18% |
| Chartering, leases and container rentals |
151.5 | 165.5 | -8% |
| Port, canal and terminal costs | 411.8 | 428.5 | -4% |
| Thereof | |||
| Cost of purchased services | 875.6 | 962.1 | -9% |
| Expenses for raw materials and supplies |
86.1 | 176.4 | -51% |
| 30.06.2016 | 31.12.2015 | 30.06.2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||||
| Non-current assets | 10,320.0 | 10,363.7 | 10,285.3 | |
| Of which fixed assets | 10,249.0 | 10,301.7 | 10,211.4 | |
| Current assets | 1,577.4 | 1,704.8 | 1,816.4 | |
| Of which cash and cash equivalents |
527.2 | 625.0 | 665.1 | |
| Total assets | 11,897.4 | 12,068.5 | 12,101.7 | |
| Equity and liabilities | ||||
| Equity | 5,283.3 | 5,496.8 | 5,234.3 | |
| Borrowed capital | 6,614.1 | 6,571.7 | 6,867.4 | |
| Of which non-current liabilities | 3,914.9 | 3,958.4 | 4,331.1 | |
| Of which current liabilities | 2,699.2 | 2,613.3 | 2,536.3 | |
| Of which financial debt | 4,264.6 | 4,256.3 | 4,420.2 | |
| thereof | ||||
| Non-current financial debt | 3,489.7 | 3,591.7 | 3,888.8 | |
| Current financial debt | 774.9 | 664.6 | 531.4 | |
| Total equity and liabilities | 11,897.4 | 12,068.5 | 12,101.7 |
| 30.06.2016 | 31.12.2015 | 30.06.2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 527.2. | 625.0. | 665.1. |
| Financial debt | 4,264.6 | 4,256.3 | 4,420.2 |
| Net debt | 3,737.4 | 3,631.3 | 3,755.1 |
| Unused credit lines | 336.6 | 423.4 | 263.1 |
| Liquidity reserve | 863.8 | 1,048.4 | 928.2 |
| Equity | 5,283.3 | 5,496.8 | 5,234.3 |
| Gearing (net debt/equity) (%) | 70.7% | 66.1% | 71.7% |
| Equity ratio (%) | 44.4% | 45.5% | 43.3% |
1) Partially redeemed by nominal USD 125 m on 30 Dec 2015
36 Source: Bloomberg (5 August 2016); Citi (5 August 2016)
37
Senior Director Investor Relations Tel +49 40 3001-2896 Fax +49 40 3001-72896 [email protected] https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html
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