AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

LEG Immobilien SE

Investor Presentation Aug 10, 2016

260_ip_2016-08-10_02db5770-8a07-47ec-b72b-24066f491878.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

LEG Immobilien AG

H1-2016

Disclaimer

While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.

This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.

Agenda

II.I. Portfolio and Operating Performance

III.I.I. Financial Performance

VI.I. Appendix

Highlights H1-2016

Overall company development

  • Acquisitions: approx. 2,000 units signed or close to signing YTD
  • Higher FFO I-2016 forecast on back of faster execution of efficiency program
  • New guidance: €261m-€265m (previously €257m-262m); 2017 unchanged
  • EBITDA margin forecast for 2016 raised to 70% (up from >69%)
  • Disposal of non-core assets: Significant premiums to book values expected (avg. ~10%)
  • Negotiations with potential buyers in advanced stages (high demand for customised products)
  • Data points in Higher Yielding markets provide tailwind for year end valuation

Strong letting performance on basis of high capital efficiency


In-place rent, l-f-l
€5.29/sqm
(+2.4% total portfolio, +3.4% for free-financed units)
Slight growth acceleration in H2 on the cards

EPRA-Vacancy
2.8% l-f-l (-40 bps YOY)

Maintenance/Capex
€7.2/sqm
(FY-2016 target of approx. €18/sqm)
Financials: Margin expansion supports dynamic earnings growth

Rental income
€249.4m (+16.1% YOY from €214.8m)

Adjusted EBITDA
€180.5m (+22.5% YOY from €147.4m)
  • Strong margin expansion excl. maintenance (c.+470 bps YOY)
  • FFO I (excl. minorities) €137.6m (+35.7% YOY from €101.4m), €2.19 per share (+23.0% YOY from €1.78)
  • AFFO €108.6m (+27.2% YOY from €85.4m)
  • EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) €58.15 per share

II.I. Portfolio and Operating Performance

Portfolio Overview

Strong operational performance across all submarkets

Strong results on the basis of tailor made management strategies

High-Growth Markets
30.06.2016
(YOY)
# of units 38,702 +15.3%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.85 +2.5%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 1.4% -20
bps
Stable Markets with Attractive Yields
30.06.2016
(YOY)
# of units 47,551 +11.5%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €4.98 +2.3%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.0% -60
bps
Total Portfolio Higher-Yielding Markets
30.06.2016
(YOY)
30.06.2016
(YOY)
# of units 129,626 +20.8% # of units 41,478 +39.8%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.29 +2.4% In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €4.89 +2.1%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 2.8% -40 bps EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 5.0% -40
bps

Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = strong rent growth L-f-l Residential Rent (€/sqm/month) Rent Development L-f-l Free-financed Rent (€/sqm/month) 5.61

5.42

Q2-2015 Q2-2016 Q2-2015 Q2-2016

  • Development of free financed units remains best proxy for underlying performance
  • High capital efficiency maintained (growth relative to capital expenditure)
  • Regional focus as competitive edge

5.29

5.16

EPRA-Vacancy Development (like-for-like)

Attractive portfolio + operational excellence = low vacancies

  • Rising occupancy in coming quarters ahead
  • Net immigration into Germany fuels demand for affordable housing
  • Especially strong momentum in the commuter belts of Düsseldorf/Cologne
  • (Mönchengladbach, District of Mettmann)

Capex & Maintenance High quality standards and capital discipline maintained

III.I.I. Financial Performance

Financial Highlights H1-2016

Margin expansion on back of attractive scale effects + cost discipline

Income Statement


million
H1-2016 H1-2015
Net rental
and lease income
190.4 159.1
Higher rental income
(+€34.6m/+16.1%)

NRI-margin increased from
Net income from the disposal of investment property 0.1 1.2 74.1% to 76.3% YOY despite
some higher maintenance
Net income from the valuation of investment property 1.0 -
Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory -1.3 0.0
Higher one-time costs
(+€35.9m to €37.9m) due to
non-capitalised transaction
Net income from other services 1.2 0.1 costs (€34.3m; mainly real
estate transfer tax)
Administrative and other expenses -54.6 -19.8
Recurring admin. costs
slightly decreasing to €15.5m
(-€1.2m YOY) despite
Other income 0.2 0.4 significant volume growth
Operating
earnings
137.0 141.0
Lower financing costs
(-€59.8 YOY) mainly due to
Net
finance
costs
-86.4 -146.2 refinancing costs in FY-2015

Lower cash interests
Earnings
before
income
taxes
50.6 -5.2 (€41.3m; -€4.6m YOY)
despite portfolio expansion
Income
tax
expenses
-27.1 -5.1
Consolidated
net
profit
23.5 -10.3
Cash taxes (-€1.8m), thereof
(-€0.5m) from IAS40 sales

FFO Calculation

H1-2016


million
H1-2016 H1-2015
Rental income 249.4 214.8
+€34.6m (+16.1% YOY)
Profit from operating expenses -1.5 -1.8
Maintenance -28.8 -22.8
Staff costs -19.6 -18.8
+€31.0m (+19.0% YOY)
Allowances on rent receivables -3.2 -3.4
Rising adj. NRI margin
Other -3.4 -6.7 despite higher maintenance
expenses
Non-recurring project costs (rental
and lease)
0.6 1.2
Lower staff costs ratio (7.9%
Current net rental and lease income 193.5 162.5 vs. 8.8% in H1-2015) reflects
efficiency gains
Current net income from other services 2.3 1.2
Staff costs -10.7 -11.2
Non-staff operating costs -42.7 -7.6
LTIP (long-term incentive program) 0.0 0.1
One-time costs (€34.3m non
capitalised transaction costs
Non-recurring project costs (admin.) 37.9 1.6 including RETT)
Extraordinary and prior-period expenses 0.0 0.4
Current administrative expenses -15.5 -16.7
Decreasing admin. cost base
in 2016 & 2017 expected
Other income and expenses 0.2 0.4 despite volume growth
Adjusted EBITDA 180.5 147.4
+€33.1m (+22.5% YOY)
Cash interest expenses and income -41.3 -45.9
EBITDA margin 72.4% vs.
68.6% in H1-15 (excl.
Cash income taxes -1.3 -0.1 maintenance +470bps)
FFO I (including non-controlling interests) 137.9 101.4
Non-controlling interests -0.3 0.0
Lower interest charges
(end Q2-16 avg.
cost 2.09%
FFO I (excluding non-controlling interests) 137.6 101.4 vs. 2.34% in Q2-15)
FFO II (including disposal of investment property) 138.2 102.6
Capex-adjusted FFO I (AFFO) 108.6 85.4

FFO Bridge H1-2016

Cash Effective Interest Expense H1-2016


million
H1-2016 H1-2015
Reported
interest expense
61.1 113.2
One-off refinancing
Interest
expense related to loan amortisation
-11.8 -20.7 effect of €6.0m in H1-
2015
Prepayment penalties / breakage costs -4.5 -43.4
Release of swaps
Interest charges relating to valuation
of assets/liabilities
-1.1 -0.5 (refinancing) ~€37m in
H1-2015
Leasing related interest expense -0.7 -0.8
Interest expenses related to changes
in pension provisions
-1.6 -1.4
Interest income 0.0 -0.5
Cash effective interest expense 41.3 45.9
Interest coverage
improved further
(4.4x up
from 3.2x YOY)

EPRA-Net Asset Value

30 June 2016

Attractive rental yield basis for future capital growth


million
30.06.2016 31.12.2015
Equity (excl.
minority interests)
2,865.9 2,967.8
Effect of exercising options, convertibles
and other rights
484.4 427.2
NAV 3,350.3 3,395.0
Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments 203.7 165.5
Deferred taxes1) 467.3 466.6
EPRA-NAV 4,021.3 4,027.1
(m)2)
Number of shares
fully-diluted incl. convertible
68.466 67.904
EPRA-NAV per share in € 58.73 59.31
Goodwill, resulting from synergies 39.9 26.4
Adjusted
EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill)
3,981.4 4,000.7
Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € 58.15 58.92
  • Dividend -€141.9m Capital increase €32.4m
  • €23.5m net profit -€13.5m other comprehensive income (derivatives)

  • Attractive rental yield of 7.1% leaves headroom for yield compression

  • Value of services business not included in NAV
  • Scenario: Additional value approx. €2.60 per share at discount rate of 6%3)

2) Actual number of shares outstanding 63.19m 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 3) Assumption: growth rate of 0%

Balance Sheet 30 June 2016

Strong balance sheet; further positive impact from year end valuation expected


million
30.06.2016 31.12.2015
Investment property 7,430.7 6,398.5
Additions €1,021.2m
Prepayment
for investment property
13.6 203.1
Capex €29.0m

Reclassification -€18.0m
Other non-current assets 197.7 296.8
Non-current assets 7,642.0 6,898.4
Receivables and other assets 85.3 37.2
Cash and cash equivalents 165.3 252.8
Cash flow from operating
Current assets 250.6 290.0 activities €89.0m

Dividend -€141.9m
Assets held for disposal 4.9 6.7
Total Assets 7,897.5 7,195.1
Equity 2,900.0 2,985.0
Equity ratio of 36.7%
Non-current financial liabilities 3,377.7 2,745.6
Other
non-current liabilities
747.0 673.7
Non-current liabilities 4,124.7 3,419.3
Current financial liabilities 383.5 496.0
Other current liabilities 489.3 294.8
Current liabilities 872.8 790.8
Total
Equity and Liabilities
7,897.5 7,195.1

17 I August 2016

LTV 30 June 2016

Strong credit profile and efficient capital structure maintained


million
30.06.2016 31.12.2015
Financing debt 3,761.2 3,241.6
Deferred
purchase price liabilities
119.3 0.0
LTV in line with target
capital structure after
Cash & cash equivalents 165.3 252.8 consolidation of
acquisitions and dividend
Net
Debt
3,715.2 2,988.8 payment

Lower LTV at year end
Investment properties 7,430.7 6,398.5 due to portfolio
revaluation expected
Properties held for sale 4.9 6.7
Prepayments
for
investment
properties
13.6 203.1
Significant positive
Prepayments for
acquisitions
- 146.1 impact on LTV from
future conversion of
Property
values
7,449.2 6,754.4 convertible expected
(currently -360bps)
Loan to Value (LTV) in % 49.9 44.2
Pro-forma LTV post conversion in % 44.7 40.4

Financing Structure - 30 June 2016

Long term secured low cost of debt

Average debt
maturity:
10.9 years
Interest costs: Ø 2.09%
Hedging ratio: 92.1%
Rating: Baa1 (Moody's)

IV.I.I. Business Update and Outlook

Business Update Exploiting additional internal value opportunities

Acquisition of c.2,000 units (in Q2 and Q3) in a more challenging environment

  • Grainger deal (approx. 1,100 units) signed in April and another two portfolios with 900 units signed or close to signing in Q3
  • Pricing environment is getting tougher; early termination of some negotiations due to wide bid/ask spread
  • LEG stays committed to high capital discipline; the three deals still show very attractive yields (6.8%-8.5%)
  • Rising supply in H2 expected; acquisition target of 5,000 units appears still realistic (value priority over volume)

Disposal of non core assets provides tailwind for year end valuation

  • Disposal of non core portfolios at significant premiums to book values expected (avg. ~10%)
  • Customised products; no sale below IFRS value
  • Successful capital recycling provides evidence for yield compression also in Higher-Yielding markets
  • Disposal volume FY-2016 raised to approx. 4,000 units (up from 2,000-3,000 units) on back of positive market feedback

Business Update Exploiting additional internal value opportunities

Reinforcing internal growth initiatives

  • Capex program: Comprehensive bottom-up analysis as response to further improving market fundamentals
  • Early repayment of subsidized loans: NAV upside (at least FFO neutrality; medium term upside)
  • Analysis expected to be completed by end of Q3

Successful execution of accelerated cost savings program

  • LEG's efficiency program progressing well, ahead of schedule
  • Upward revision of FY-2016 earnings outlook due to faster execution of cost saving measures
  • FFO I-2016: €261m-€265m (up from €257m-€262m)
  • EBITDA margin target for 2016 raised to 70% (up from >69%); 72% in 2017 reiterated
  • Margin boost underpins the strength of LEG's business model and value potential from acquisitions in core markets
  • Objective: Leading EBITDA yield in the German residential industry (on basis of a balanced portfolio composition)

Acquisitions: Leading Management Skills Paying Off Strong acquisition track record since IPO – Creating tangible value

Closing 30.06.2016 Change
Units In-place rent

/ sqm
Occupancy In-place rent

/ sqm
Occupancy In-place rent

/ sqm
Occupancy
Portfolio
incl.
Vitus transaction
27,0131) 4.96 95.2% 5.22 95.7% 0.26 (+5.4%) ~ +50 bp
Vitus
portfolio
9,545 4.76 96.1% 5.05 96.4% 0.29 (+6.0%) ~ +30 bp

Operating performance confirms reversionary potential and LEG's management skills

1) Acquisitions since year end 2012; excl. Charlie acquisition (13,570 units)

  • Average in-place rents +5.4% (within avg. 20.2 months), rent CAGR of 3.1%
  • Vitus NRW portfolio (rent/sqm +6.0%, vacancy -30 bps; within 20 months), rent CAGR of 3.5%

Portfolio development: Strong volume growth at stable overhead cost

Overview Acquisitions FY-2015 / FY-2016

Deal
#
Units
acquired
Geographic
focus
Market Annual
net
cold
rent
In
place
rent/sqm
Vacancy
rate
Signing Purchase
price
Closing
1 713 Cologne,
Leverkusen,
Sankt Augustin
High
Growth/
Stable
EUR 3.5m EUR 5.33 2.9% April 2015 not disclosed June 2015
2 3,539 Top 2 locations
~60% (Bielefeld,
Detmold)
Stable EUR 14.2m EUR 5.19 3.6% November 2015 EUR 225m January 2016
3 2,037 Duisburg, Essen Stable/
Higher
Yielding
EUR 7.7m EUR 5.04 6.7% August 2015 not disclosed January 2016
4 13,570 NRW (esp. Ruhr
area)
Higher
Yielding/
Stable
EUR 48m EUR 4.86 5.3% December 2015 c.EUR
600m
April 2016
5 1,291 Siegen Stable EUR 4.6m EUR 5.16 17.3% December 2015 c.EUR
60m
January / July
2016
6 ~1,100 Recklinghausen,
Herne
Stable/
Higher
Yielding
~EUR 4.0m EUR 4.46 5.4% April 2016 c.EUR
53m
May
2016
c.22,000

Outlook for 2016 & 2017

Guidance
€261m
-
€265m / €4.14 -
€4.21 per share (up from €4.09 -
€4.17)
2.4 -
2.6%
Stable
(FY-15 comparable:
c.2.5%)
65% of FFO I
2017
FFO I: €284m -
€289m / €4.50 -
€4.57 per share
L-F-L rent growth: 3.0

3.3%

Steady Expansion of Leading Profitability

26 I August 2016

Generating Appealing Shareholder Returns

Net Immigration Expected to Remain at a High Level About 25% of all refugees coming to Germany migrate to NRW

Sources:

  • 1) Federal Statistical Office (press release 21.03.2016)
  • 2) Deutsche Bundesbank
  • 3) it.NRW (press release 21.03.2016)

Key Facts

  • In 2015, net immigration of foreign nationals to Germany amounted to about 1.1m, of which around 278,0003) came to NRW
  • Deutsche Bundesbank forecasts 0.8 million additional refugees by 2017
  • Additional pressure on affordable housing segment
  • Outperformance of German economy attracts qualified new immigration
  • Immigration is driving overall population growth, triggering additional growth in net new households
  • Liquid labour market and affordable living as pullfactors

LEG's impact

  • At the end of June 2016, LEG let about 1,670 units or ~1.3% of its residential portfolio to refugees, either direct (45%) or via municipalities (55%)
  • LEG almost fully let with a vacancy rate of 3.4% scope to let further apartments to refugees is limited
  • Upward pressure on rents, limited upside on occupancy

EPRA Net Initial Yield Q2-2016


million
30.06.2016 31.12.2015
Investment properties 7,093.1 6,101.6
Assets held for sale 4.9 6.7
Market value of residential property portfolio
(net)
7,098.0 6,108.3
Estimated
incidental costs
699.5 601.5
Market value of residential property portfolio
(gross)
7,797.5 6,709.8
Annualised
cash
flow
from
rental
income
(gross)
508.4 428.1
Non recoverable operating costs -73.3 -61.4
Annualised
cash flow from rental income (net)
435.1 366.7
EPRA Net Initial
Yield in %
5.6 5.5

Portfolio

Sound property fundamentals basis for value growth

As of 30.06.2016

Market Residential
Units
GAV
Residential
Assets (€m)
% of Total
Residential
GAV
GAV/
sqm (€)
In-Place
Rent Multiple
Multiples,
Estimated
Rental Values
(31.12.2015)
GAV
Commercial/
Other
Assets (€m)
Total GAV
High
Growth
Markets
38,702 2,586 36% 1,201 17.0x 14.9x 159 2,745
Stable Markets
with Attractive
Yields
47,551 2,572 36% 773 13.1x 12.1x 98 2,670
Higher
Yielding
Markets
41,478 1,818 26% 689 12.4x 11.5x 63 1,881
Subtotal NRW 127,731 6,976 98% 859 14.1x 13.1x 320 7,296
Portfolio outside
NRW
1,895 123 2% 959 14.4x 13.3x 1 124
Total Portfolio 129,626 7,098 100% 861 14.1x 13.2x 322 7,420
Other Assets 55
Total (incl. Landbank and DevCo) 7,476

LEG – Adj. EBITDA Margin

Leading profitability despite short term distortion from restricted units

Adj. EBITDA margin 2015 2014
€m margin
%
€m margin %
As
reported
293.7 67.3 259.3 66.5
Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) 22.5 68.9 21.2 68.2

1) €/sqm: €4.67 vs. €5.48 in 2015, €4.61 vs. €5.33 in 2014

  • EBITDA as reported distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest result below the EBITDA line)
  • Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; Adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 160 bps higher

Mietspiegel Overview Expected new Mietspiegel in 2016

Release date
(expected)
High-Growth
Markets1
Markets1
Stable
Higher-Yielding
Markets1
Total
Portfolio1
2016 (Q1) 5,461 units
(mainly
Bielefeld)
4,135 units
(mainly
Essen, Detmold)
6,670 units
(Hochsauerlandkreis, Hagen)
16,266 units
2016 (Q2) 2,286 units
(Bonn)
667 units 1,477 units
(Bochum)
4,430 units2
2016 (Q3) 4,361 units
(mainly Bocholt, Gütersloh)
3,658 units
(mainly
Wuppertal, Unna)
1,250 units
(mainly
Herten)
9,293 units
2016 (Q4) 660 units 36 units 696 units
Total 1 12,768 units 8,496 units 9,397
units
30,685 units2
Thereof:
-
Bielefeld
4,040 units
-
Bocholt
1,412 units
-
Bochum
1,477 units
-
Bonn
2,286 units
-
Detmold
1,724 units
-
Essen
2,147 units
-
Gütersloh
1,392 units
-
Hagen
1,191 units
-
Hochsauerlandkr.
5,479 units
-
Unna
1,210 units 1 Sub-portfolios also include
-
Wuppertal
2,030 units restricted units
2 Total Portfolio also includes 24
units non-NRW

LEG Share Information

Basic data Well-balanced shareholder structure

  • Prime Standard, Frankfurt Stock Exchange
  • Total no. of shares: 63,188,185
  • Ticker symbol: LEG
  • ISIN: DE000LEG1110
  • Indices: MDAX, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT, GPR 250, Stoxx Europe 600
  • Weighting (30.06.2016): MDAX 3.42%; EPRA 2.70%

  • Maturity date: 1 July 2021

  • Aggregate principal amount: EUR 300 million
  • Initial conversion price:EUR 62.39
  • Adjusted conversion price (20 May 2016): EUR 56.8403
  • Coupon: 0.50% per annum
  • ISIN: DE000LEG1CB5

Share price (01.08.2016, indexed; 31.01.2013 = 100) Convertible bond data

Financial Calendar

Date Report/Event
10.08.2016 Quarterly Report Q2 as of 30 June 2016
07./08.09.2016 EPRA Annual Conference, Paris
13./14.09.2016 Global Real Estate Conference, Bank of
America
Merrill Lynch, New York
20.09.2016 Berenberg
& Goldman Sachs German Corporate Conference, Munich
21.09.2016 Baader Investment Conference, Munich
29.09.2016 Société Générale Pan European
Real Estate
Conference,
London
09.11.2016 Quarterly Report Q3 as of 30 September 2016

Contact

Investor Relations

Burkhard Sawazki Head of Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]

Karin Widenmann Manager Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]

Katharina Wicher Investor Relations Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-294 [email protected]

40476 Dusseldorf, Germany E-Mail: [email protected]

LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204

Appendix Thank you for your interest.

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.