Investor Presentation • Oct 5, 2016
Investor Presentation
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Capital Markets Day
6 th October 2016
1
This document contains forward looking statements which reflect management's current views and estimates.
The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments.
Purpose
Deliver high quality memorable food experiences
» Large scale Foodservice & Retail customers
Why Bakery?
Evolution in recent decades
Critical in par-baking – freezing unlocks growth potential in speciality bakery
| 1960-2010 Golden Era for Big Retail & Big Food – FMCG Sector |
Currently | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Consumer enjoying benefits of processed convenient food |
Interest in Food Preparation |
|
Resurgent interest in food preparation blurs the lines between the amateur and the professional Prepares food to reconnect, relax, socialise, be creative, be healthy |
| | Consumer disconnect from food and farming origins |
Concerned about Health and Quality |
|
Skeptical – concerned about health and quality issues Bad experiences of frozen food in retail – typically low quality |
| | Slowing food innovation accelerated consumer disconnect |
Driven by Experiences and Trends |
|
Motivated by experiences – engages with the unique, the bespoke Motivated by and actively engaged with trends – local, seasonal, environmentally friendly, organic, "free-from" diets |
| | Digital era coincides with recession and health awareness |
Caring about Convenience |
| Demands convenience – instant gratification, one-click, time-poor, channel-irreverent |
| | Consumers take charge of conversation |
Eager to Communicate on Wider Social Platforms |
| Activist – opinionated and communicative to ever-widening social circles |
Complementary supply chain with increased frozen capabilities and further upside from expanding international presence
Picard expands Frozen Food capability of ARYZTA
Potential for Further Upside through Complementary Operations and Aligned Business Culture
Best in class joint capabilities to target consumer on an international scale
Contemporary Discerning Consumer Striving for Quality Frozen Products
Global presence with 57 bakeries across 29 countries
ARYZTA is well-positioned in the fast-growing speciality bakery market
ARYZTA Positioning in the Global Speciality Bakery Market as of 2015
Over 2008-2016 years ARYZTA increased its market share from 6% to 11%
2008 Market Share 2016 Market Share
Growth in ARYZTA market share from 6% in 2008 to 11% in 2016 primarily driven by acquisitions investments since 2010.
Source: ARYZTA, Euromonitor, Gira, Kantor, LEK, Nielson, Technomic.
ARYZTA has a unique position in a yet fragmented market…
…with robust foundation focused on customer to sustain our leadership position
Customer at heart of what we do
Welcoming Aroma Of Baking
Frequent Bake Off "Little & Often" Means Freshness Guaranteed
Frozen Capabilities Enabling to Address Consumer Trends
Source: Datastream and Bloomberg as of 29-Sep-2016
| 1 ARYZTA AG – Strategy & Overview |
Owen Killian |
|---|---|
| 2 Focus on ARYZTA North America |
|
| Our Business | John Yamin |
| Our Sustainable Growth Model | Ronan Minahan |
| Our Market | Tyson Yu |
| Our Customer Promise | Andrew Brimacombe Tracie Sheehan Scott Fitzgerald Kristina Dermody |
| Summary | John Yamin |
| 3 ARYZTA AG – Financials |
Patrick McEniff |
© ARYZTA, October 2016 23
23
| Our Business | |
|---|---|
| Our Sustainable Growth Model |
|
| Our Market | |
| Our Customer | |
| Promise | |
| Summary |
Note: (1) Global Food Safety Initiative; (2) ARYZTA Integrated Management System; (3) Enterprise Resource Planning; (4) Quick service restaurant
Our Team
| Key Management | Business Units | North America Functions | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Business | |||||||||||
| Our | John Yamin |
Ronan Minahan |
Kristina Dermody |
Andrew Brimacombe |
Joel Feldman |
Tyson Yu |
Tracie Sheehan |
Mitch Rosen |
Culbert Lu |
Scott Fitzgerald |
|
| Sustainable Growth Model |
Title | Chief Executive Officer |
Chief Operating Officer |
President Brand |
President US Consumer Foods |
President US Baking Solutions |
President Canada |
Chief Health, Quality & Sustainability Officer |
Chief Accounting Officer |
Chief Legal and Human Resources Officer |
Senior Vice President Innovation |
| Our Market | Years with ARYZTA |
14 Years | 12 Years | 4 Years | 3 Years | 9 Years | 9 Years | 4 Years | 10 Years | 3 Years | 17 Years |
| Years in Industry |
37 Years | 17 Years | 22 Years | 14 Years | 17 Years | 12 Years | 32 Years | 26 Years | 16 Years | 17 Years | |
| Our Customer Promise |
Prior Experience |
• Starbucks • Marriot • ARAMARK |
• Arthur Anderson • Tesco • GameStop |
• Starbucks • Beautifull |
• Accenture • Deloitte |
• Clorox |
• Lindsey Goldberg • Merrill Lynch |
• Sara Lee • Kellogg • Zoecon |
• Fresh Start Bakeries • Bell Industries |
• GE Capital • Arden Realty • Allen |
• Sweet Life • NBC • Prime Ticket |
| Summary | • Louise's Trattoria |
• Westing house |
• PwC |
Matkins | Network | ||||||
| 1 ARYZTA AG – Strategy & Overview |
Owen Killian |
|---|---|
| 2 Focus on ARYZTA North America |
|
| Our Business | John Yamin |
| Our Sustainable Growth Model | Ronan Minahan |
| Our Market | Tyson Yu |
| Our Customer Promise | Andrew Brimacombe Tracie Sheehan Scott Fitzgerald Kristina Dermody |
| Summary | John Yamin |
| 3 ARYZTA AG – Financials |
Patrick McEniff |
Our Business Our Sustainable Growth Model Our Market Our Customer Promise Summary
| Our Business | Cash Non | Integration into 4 Business Units aligned with our Customers • |
2012 2013 |
40 38 |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Sustainable Growth Model |
recurring Expenditure |
• Reduced Network by 8 Bakeries, 50 Distribution Centers, 5 Offices • Function Consolidation and Headcount Reduction |
2014 2015 2016 |
43 31 24 |
|||
| Our Market | Capital Investment |
• Implemented Single-Instance Fully-Integrated ERP Platform • Expanded Artisan Bread and Snack Food Capacity • Routine Maintenance of 90+ Manufacturing Lines |
2012 2013 2014 2015 |
55 50 112 175 |
|||
| Our Customer Promise |
Acquisitions | • Flexible Manufacturing for Branded Food Growth |
2016 2012 2013 2014 |
81 50 787 |
|||
| Summary | • Enhanced Customer and Geographic Relevance |
2015 2016 |
| Our Customer | FY12 | FY13 | FY14 | FY15 | FY16 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promise | Revenue (mEUR) | 1,372 | 1,460 | 1,587 | 1,942 | 1,908 |
| Underlying Revenue Growth | 7.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | (6.2%) | (3.1%) | |
| Underlying Revenue Growth (excl. Contract Renewals) |
- | - | - | - | 2.2% | |
| EBITA (mEUR) | 176 | 190 | 230 | 275 | 243 | |
| Summary | EBITA Margin | 12.8% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.8% |
| ROIC | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% |
| 1 ARYZTA AG – Strategy & Overview |
Owen Killian |
|---|---|
| 2 Focus on ARYZTA North America |
|
| Our Business | John Yamin |
| Our Sustainable Growth Model | Ronan Minahan |
| Our Market | Tyson Yu |
| Our Customer Promise | Andrew Brimacombe Tracie Sheehan Scott Fitzgerald Kristina Dermody |
| Summary | John Yamin |
| 3 ARYZTA AG – Financials |
Patrick McEniff |
Sources: Mintel; Technomic; Nielsen; Euromonitor; LEK
Note: (1) Total Bakery excludes frozen, foodservice, and restaurant pizza; (2) Specialty Bakery includes Artisan Breads, cookies, muffins, snack cakes, flatbreads, donuts, pastries, Danishes, English muffins, bagels, cakes, traditional non-pan breads, and take-and-bake pizza
| Our Business | |
|---|---|
| Our Sustainable Growth Model |
|
| Our Market | |
| Our Customer Promise |
|
| Summary |
Source: Euromonitor
Sources: Mintel; Technomic; Nielsen; Euromonitor; LEK
Note: (1) Total Bakery excludes frozen, foodservice, and restaurant pizza; (2) Specialty Bakery includes Artisan Breads, cookies, muffins, snack cakes, flatbreads, donuts, pastries, Danishes, English muffins, bagels, cakes, traditional non-pan breads, and take-and-bake pizza
100% of Top 8 FS Distributors
Channel Leaders Quick-Service and Casual Restaurants Retail / Grocery Foodservice Non-Traditional Our Business Our Sustainable Growth Model Our Market Our Customer Promise Summary 80% of Top 25 Retailers 88% of Top 8 QSRs 2016 Revenue 68% 32% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Top 20 Other 50% of Top 8 Casual Diners 100% of Top 8 FS1 Management
Sources: QSR Magazine; Internal ARYZTA data Note: (1) Foodservice
• Increasing demand but constrained supply • Increasing wages • Labor laws • Shortage of skilled labor • Rising healthcare costs Food Safety Health & Safety Labor Issues Specialized Commodities • Occupational Safety and Health Administration ("OHSA") increasing requirements and visibility • Food Safety Modernization Act ("FSMA") • Safe Food for Canadians Act ("SFCA") • Global Food Safety Initiative Accreditation ("GFSI") • Customer audit standards • Traceability protocols Our Business Our Sustainable Growth Model Our Market Our Customer Promise Summary Stringent demands forcing food manufacturers to adapt their business models and infrastructure
| 1 ARYZTA AG – Strategy & Overview |
Owen Killian |
|---|---|
| 2 Focus on ARYZTA North America |
|
| Our Business | John Yamin |
| Our Sustainable Growth Model | Ronan Minahan |
| Our Market | Tyson Yu |
| Our Customer Promise | Andrew Brimacombe Tracie Sheehan Scott Fitzgerald Kristina Dermody |
| Summary | John Yamin |
| 3 ARYZTA AG – Financials |
Patrick McEniff |
ARYZTA is dedicated to helping your business achieve sustainable success through customized, scalable and efficient bakery and snacking portfolio solutions. Our commitment to building your trust as a valued partner is as strong as our Passion for Good Food.
Our Business Our Sustainable Growth Model Our Market Our Customer Promise Summary Predictable Pricing • Leading Commodity Hedging Policy with long-term horizons • 100% Procurement Spend Management facilitated by SAP / Ariba Procurement platform, commodity strategies and dedicated experts • Volume Sourcing utilizing North American scale: 2% of cocoa and 1% of wheat and sugar purchases • Origin Sourcing for specialized and unique Ingredients • Regularly-published Global Commodity Outlook with transparency in commodity pricing Strategic Supply Base • Partnered with industry-leading Ingredient and Packaging Suppliers with mutual long-term commitments • All Suppliers are regulatory-compliant and accountable to ARYZTA's Code of Conduct • Robust Supplier Relationship Management program • Fully engaged in our Innovation process as Culinary Partners • Contingent supply for all Ingredients and Packaging
| Transparent Food Solutions | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Our Business | • Non-GMO and Organic Certification Programs • Eliminating Partially Hydrogenated Oils, Reduced High Fructose Corn Syrup, Artificial Colors and Flavors |
||
| Sourcing for a Sustainable Future | |||
| Our Sustainable Growth Model |
• 1 Million Certified Cage Free Eggs • Purchasing 100% Supply of Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil • Detailed Ingredient Sustainability Programs |
||
| Protecting Our Planet | |||
| Our Market | Achieved Energy Star Challenge • • Award Winning Sustainability Programs • Achieved Zero Waste-to-Landfill in Bakeries |
||
| Enhancing Our Communities | |||
| Our Customer Promise |
Providing 4 Million Meals to Hungry Children • • Supporting Over 100 Charitable Activities • Donating Food and Time to Feeding America |
||
| The Right Workforce to Drive Future Growth | |||
| Summary | • Award Winning People Safety Programs Assuring Compliance with ARYZTA's Code of Conduct • Detailed and Comprehensive Benefits and Rewards • Programs for All Employees |
Summary
| Breads | Cookies | Muffins | Baked Snacks | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Business | Converted all • Artisan Breads to non-GMO |
Extended Clean • Label Offerings • Expanded |
Expanded • Proprietary Ingredients |
Removed High • Fructose Corn Syrup, Artificial |
||
| Our Sustainable |
Ingredients | Proprietary Ingredients |
Colors & Flavors and PHOs |
|||
| Growth Model | ||||||
| Our Market | Foods | Organic Artisan • Heritage Grain • Ethnic Range • Gluten Free • • Toaster Bread • Pretzel Bread |
Enhanced • Freezer-to-Oven Capabilities Premium Filled • Cookies • Super Cookie • Brookie |
Filled and Dual • Batter Muffins Angel Food • Muffin • Pre-deposited Muffin • Bundt Cakes |
New Retail • Range of Cookies, Muffins and Snack Cakes • Holiday Offerings |
|
| Our Customer Promise |
Packaging | • Retail and Club channel support through Shelf Life extensions |
• Retail and Club channel support through Shelf Life extensions |
|||
| Summary |
Our Market
Chef Council & Culinary Capability
Baking & Snacking Insights and Expertise
Quarterly Consumer Insight publication
Over 50 sourcing professionals globally, 25 in the Americas
Solution Focused Exploration
Faster Execution of samples and Customer presentations of Foods
Dedicated team of Project Management experts
Consumer needs
Our Business
© ARYZTA, October 2016
of adults snack at least once daily while half of adults snack two to three times per day
of consumers indicate they are snacking on healthier foods this year compared to last year and are more likely to be serving healthier snacks to their children
of people who snack were not interested in limiting their intake of sweets
Note: All commodity volume
© ARYZTA, October 2016
To always make delicious food with integrity simple ingredients and a patient process.
© ARYZTA, October 2016
The artisan bread movement was born when La Brea Bakery opened its doors on La Brea Avenue in Los Angeles, CA
La Brea Bakery develops a process that replicates the traditional way bread should be made – original starter, patience and time to let the flavors develop, and each loaf hand-touched
Artisan bread started becoming available nationally when La Brea Bakery started developing the par-baked process
La Brea Bakery celebrates 25 years with a brand refresh symbolizing its commitment to continue leading the artisan bread industry
La Brea Bakery is the number one Artisan Bread company
Highest Quality, Simple Ingredients
No Preservatives, Additives or Dough Conditioners
Kosher Pareve and Certified Organic Bakeries
Transparency of Sourcing and Process
Snack Food & Wholesale Bakery, named La Brea Bakery its 2016 Bakery of the Year - June 2016
Snack Food & Wholesale Bakery, named La Brea Bakery's Gluten Free Sliced Sandwich Bread one of two Best New Snack & Bakery Products of 2015 - January 2016
Dessert Professional Magazine, named Matthew McDonald one of the Top Ten Bread Bakers of 2016 - March 2016
Hermes Creative Awards, La Brea Bakery "Thanksgiving Heroes" wins Platinum - April 2016
2016 PR Daily Video Awards, named La Brea Bakery "Thanksgiving Heroes" Grand Prize Winner - April 2016
Note: All commodity volume
"The bread that you buy in the supermarket, in that package, the Wonder Bread, is very different than what bread was for most of history."
– Michael Pollan, Cooked
"Before the advent of industrial agriculture, Americans enjoyed a wide range of regional flours milled from equally diverse wheats, which in turn could be used to make breads that were astonishingly flavorful and nutritious. For nearly a century, however, America has grown wheat tailored to an industrial system …"
We are proud to be the first national farm to table bread in North America. Artisan Breads made from single origin heritage grains. La Brea Bakery Reserve embraces the beauty and dignity of farming and the true taste of real food.
™
From the farm to your table, La Brea Bakery Reserve strives to bring well -crafted, nutritious and flavorful breads:
| 1 ARYZTA AG – Strategy & Overview |
Owen Killian |
|---|---|
| 2 Focus on ARYZTA North America |
|
| Our Business | John Yamin |
| Our Sustainable Growth Model | Ronan Minahan |
| Our Market | Tyson Yu |
| Our Customer Promise | Andrew Brimacombe Tracie Sheehan Scott Fitzgerald Kristina Dermody |
| Summary | John Yamin |
| 3 ARYZTA AG – Financials |
Patrick McEniff |
© ARYZTA, October 2016 90
Summary
| Revenue | | 6.1% |
|---|---|---|
| Underlying revenue |
| 4.0% |
| Acquisitions, net |
| 1.9% |
| Currency | | 0.2% |
| EBITA | | 1.8% |
| EBITA margin |
| (50) bps |
| – Completed new €150m bakery investment with 5 lines at existing campus |
|
|---|---|
| New Bakery | – Closed older, less efficient facility employing 500 people |
| Investment Will Drive Future |
– Transferred almost €80m revenue into existing facilities incl. new bakery |
| Efficiency | – Significant disruption from commissioning of 225 SKU into existing capacity |
| – New bakery still has capacity for further €80-100m revenue growth |
|
| Though NPD was |
|
| Affected, | – NPD was impacted in H2 FY 16 from this consolidation |
| Recovery is Expected in Q2 FY 2017 |
– NPD recovery expected to drive revenue growth starting in Q2 FY17 |
| – Discounters are still growth driver for in-store bake off across region |
|
| Channels | – Some discounters partially insourcing to partially meet own demand |
| – Efficient manufacturing is key to partnering with big retailers & discounters |
|
| New Product Developments |
– Successful start of organic consumer packed specialty bread for retail |
Synergy with ARYZTA operations in CEE
Developing business with modern retail and discounters ISB
Well Established Innovation Led Business
Impacted by Recent Events However Recovering
| Well Flagged Contract |
|
|---|---|
| Renewals | |
However Opens New Opportunities
| Economic | |
|---|---|
| Recovery | |
| Update on Acquisitions |
|
| FX Volatility Triggered by |
|
| Brexit Require | |
| Price Increases | |
CAGR FY 2009 – FY2016
| Total Group EBITA |
484,867 | 12.5% | 513,965 | 13.5% | (100)bps |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Administration expenses |
(178,217) | (4.6)% | (164,424) | (4.3)% | (30)bps |
| Selling expenses |
(183,616) | (4.7)% | (162,101) | (4.2)% | (50)bps |
| Total Group Gross profit |
846,700 | 21.8% | 840,490 | 22.0% | (20)bps |
| Distribution expenses |
(410,427) | (10.6)% | (399,952) | (10.5)% | (10)bps |
| Cost of sales |
(2,621,744) | (67.6)% | (2,579,789) | (67.5)% | (10)bps |
| Revenue | 3,878,871 | 3,820,231 | |||
| in EUR '000 |
July 2016 |
Margin | July 2015 |
Margin | bps |
| in EUR million |
Europe | North America |
Rest of World |
Total Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | ||||
| Group share net assets |
1,903 | 2,488 | 198 | 4,589 |
| EBITA | 215 | 243 | 26 | 484 |
| ROIC1 | 11.3% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 10.5% |
| 2015 | ||||
| Group share net assets |
1,963 | 2,602 | 204 | 4,769 |
| EBITA | 220 | 275 | 27 | 522 |
| ROIC1 | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| Analysis of movement |
Europe | North America | Rest of World |
Total Group |
| Underlying profit impact |
(30) bps |
(140) bps |
70 bps |
(80) bps |
| Change in net assets |
20 bps |
40 bps |
50 bps |
30 bps |
| FX | 20 bps |
20 bps | (140) bps |
10 bps |
| 10 bps |
(80) bps |
(20) bps |
(40) bps |
1 ROIC is calculated on a consistent basis year over year using a pro-forma trailing twelve months segmental EBITA ('TTM EBITA') reflecting the full twelve month contribution from acquisitions and full twelve month deductions from disposals, divided by the respective Segmental Net Assets as of the end of each respective period. See glossary on slide 55 for further definitions of financial terms and references used.
2 The Group WACC on a pre-tax basis is currently 8.0% (2015: 7.4%).
| In EUR million |
2016 | 2017 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | – | (50) | (30) |
| North America |
(90) | (40) | – |
| Total contract renewals revenue impact |
(90) | (90) | (30) |
– Long-term contract renewals refers to three customers whose contract renewals coincided. Two of these contracts originated as joint venture or associate investments.
| Q1 2016 |
Q2 2016 |
Q3 2016 |
Q4 2016 |
FY 2016 |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | |||||
| Volume (%) |
2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| Price/Mix | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | (0.1)% | 1.2% |
| Underlying growth % |
5.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% |
| North America |
|||||
| Volume (%) |
(9.4)% | (6.5)% | (4.2)% | (1.2)% | (5.3)% |
| Price/Mix | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | (0.9)% | 2.2% |
| Underlying growth % |
(5.6)% | (2.4)% | (2.3)% | (2.1)% | (3.1)% |
| Underlying growth excluding contract renewals % |
(1.2)% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Rest of World |
|||||
| Volume (%) |
(3.7)% | (0.8)% | 3.7% | 0.1% | (0.2)% |
| Price/Mix | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Underlying growth % |
2.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Total Group |
|||||
| Volume (%) | (4.0)% | (2.1)% | (0.3)% | 0.8% | (1.5)% |
| Price/Mix | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 2.0% |
| Underlying growth % |
(0.4)% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Underlying growth excluding contract renewals % |
2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% |
| Underlying income statement |
|
|---|---|
| Underlying revenue growth |
1 – 2% |
| EBITA margin |
11.5% – 12.5% |
| Joint Ventures (70% H1 weighted) |
€18 – 25m |
| Finance costs, including hybrid financing |
€80 – 105m |
| Effective tax rate |
16% – 19% |
| Amortisation | €165 – 175m |
|---|---|
| Private Placement early redemption and associated costs |
€180m |
| Cash and non-cash non-recurring expenses |
€0 – €25m |
| Amortisation | €165 – 175m |
|---|---|
| Depreciation | €130 – 145m |
| Maintenance and investment capex |
€135 – 155m |
| Non-recurring cash outflow |
€30 – 50m |
| Free cash generation, excluding early redemption costs |
€225 – 275m |
| 15% underlying EPS dividend pay-out |
€47m |
|---|---|
| Private Placement early redemption and associated costs |
€180m |
1 Metrics as provided in September 2016, not yet reflecting impacts of foreign exchange movements since that time.
| | Optimise new German bakery capacity | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Europe | renewal losses | ||
| Positive | |||
| Operating Leverage |
| Positive innovation-led revenue development | |
| from | |||
| North America |
| Sustained conversion of NPD pipeline into revenue | |
| | ARYZTA Brand investment and rollout to continue | ||
| Cost Efficiency | | Zero cost based budgeting | |
Expand Swiss customer base to absorb spare capacity following contract
Successful recovery of inflationary pressures especially labour
Revenue: + 25%
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