Earnings Release • Nov 14, 2016
Earnings Release
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This presentation contains forward -looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements are based on a number of assumptions, estimates, projections or plans that are inherently subject to significant risks, as well as uncertainties and contingencies that are subject to change. Actual results can differ materially from those anticipated in the Company ´s forward -looking statements as a result of a variety of factors, many of which are beyond the control of the Company, including those set forth from time to time in the Company ´s press releases and reports and those set forth from time to time in the Company ´s analyst calls and discussions. We do not assume any obligation to update the forward -looking statements contained in this presentation.
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation or offer to buy any securities of the Company, and no part of this presentation shall form the basis of or may be relied upon in connection with any offer or commitment whatsoever. This presentation is being presented solely for your information and is subject to change without notice.
| Introduction | We continue to progress on our strategic initiatives and achieved a profit in Q3 2016 (after a disappointing H1) |
|---|---|
| Market Update | The industry fundamentals are showing signs of improvement The sector is consolidating and approaching a turning point |
| HL Financials | Rate levels have stabilized with some positive reactions lately We are delivering on our cost savings with top-tier unit costs |
| UASC Merger |
UASC merger is strategically and operationally highly attractive Combined Entity is very well positioned to benefit from upturn |
| Next Steps | Main focus going forward on further cost optimization, start of THE Alliance and completion of the transaction with UASC |
| Introduction Market Update HL Financials UASC Merger Next Steps |
Financial highlights: | We delivered a positive operating result in 9M 2016 … | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume | Freight rate | Transport expenses | ||
| +1.3% | -17.7% | -15.3% | ||
| 9M 2016: 5.7 TEU m | 9M 2016: 1,037 USD/TEU | 9M 2016: 941 USD/TEU | ||
| EBITDA | Q3 EBIT: EBIT USD 73 m |
Group profit / loss | ||
| USD 425 m | USD 29 m | USD -149 m | ||
| 6.7% EBITDA margin | Positive operating result | 0.2% ROIC annualized | ||
| Equity | Liquidity reserve1) | Net debt |
USD 0.7 bn
USD 3.8 bn
72.2% gearing
Solid liquidity
44.6% equity ratio
1) Including additional USD 60 m drawn from existing ABS program as of 31 October 2016 (after balance sheet date)
| Introduction | |
|---|---|
| Market Update | |
| HL Financials | |
| UASC Merger | |
| Next Steps |
CUATRO and OCTAVE are expected to deliver synergies and earnings improvements of USD 600 m by 2017 – based on current predictions, more than 90% will already be implemented in 2016
In Q1, further measures were added – called OCTAVE II – leading to add. efficiency improvements of a high double-digit USD million figure by 2017
THE Alliance plans to deploy a fleet of more than 240 modern ships in the Asia / Europe, North Atlantic and Trans-Pacific trade lanes including the Middle East and the Arabian Gulf / Red Sea
scheduled for April 2017 (subject to completion of all regulatory requirements)
With the UASC acquisition Hapag-Lloyd is consolidating its market position as one of the TOP 5 container lines
At the AGM shareholders voted overwhelmingly for a new authorized capital to issue up to 50 m new shares for completion of the deal
A cash capital increase of USD 400 m within 6 months of completion of the merger has been agreed
| Introduction | |
|---|---|
| Market Update | |
| HL Financials | |
| UASC Merger | |
| Next Steps |
In Q3 most liners will continue to post negative results but freight rates are slowly improving from Q2 lows
CCFI composite index (SSE)
1) Calc. average EBIT margin of Hapag-Lloyd, Maersk, NYK, K-Line, MOL, Yang Ming
6 Source: Company information, Alphaliner, CTS, Drewry, SSE
Demand: Container shipping remains an industry with healthy growth (and more balanced trade dynamics)
Source: Clarksons (November 2016), IMF WEO (October 2016)
Supply: Capacity growth is slowing (as a result of decreasing incremental benefits of ever larger vessels)
Source: Clarksons (November 2016), Transmodal (October 2016)
| Introduction | |
|---|---|
| Market Update | |
| HL Financials | |
| UASC Merger | |
| Next Steps |
2016 estimated capacity growth
| Q3 | Q3 | Q3 | Q3 | Q3 | Q3 | Q3 | Oct |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 |
| Introduction | |
|---|---|
| Market Update | |
| HL Financials | |
| UASC Merger | |
| Next Steps |
Further freight rate increases planned for 15 November and 1 December 2016 by various carriers, e.g.:1)
1) Based on peer and industry publications * Hapag-Lloyd trade definition
Consolidation has accelerated as scale is important – Hapag-Lloyd is actively participating in that process
Note: Diagram assuming that all currently announced mergers (Hapag-Lloyd & UASC; NYK & MOL & K-Line) will receive regulatory approvals and are executed as announced. Simple sum of stand-alone operating capacity.
| Introduction | |
|---|---|
| Market Update | |
| HL Financials | |
| UASC Merger | |
| Next Steps |
… leads to higher concentration
Top 5 Top 6-10 Remaining
Carrier capacity [TEU m] and global capacity share [%]
Note: Diagram assuming that all currently announced mergers (Hapag-Lloyd & UASC; NYK & MOL & K-Line) will receive regulatory approvals and are executed as announced. Simple sum of stand-alone operating capacity. Source: MDS Transmodal (October 2016, October 2013), Company data
12
1) Total operating capacity of THE alliance partners, not all to be deployed in alliance (Hapag-Lloyd including UASC)
Yang Ming
13 Source: Alphaliner (October 2016), MDS Transmodal (October 2016)
Hapag-Lloyd achieved a profit in the third quarter – Positive operating result after nine months
| Q1 2016 | Q2 2016 | Q3 2016 | 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | YoY ∆ / % |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Transport volume [TTEU] | 1,811 | 1,892 | 1,947 | 5,650 | 5,579 | 71 / 1.3% |
| Freight rate [USD/TEU] | 1,067 | 1,019 | 1,027 | 1,037 | 1,260 | -223 / -17.7% |
| Bunker price [USD/t] | 178 | 182 | 224 | 195 | 333 | -138 / -41.5% |
| Exchange rate [EUR/USD] | 1.10 | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.12 | -0.00 / -0.2% |
| Revenue [USD m] | 2,124 | 2,088 | 2,152 | 6,364 | 7,598 | -1,225 / -16.1% |
| EBITDA [USD m] | 136 | 83 | 206 | 425 | 770 | -345 / -44.8% |
| EBIT [USD m] | 5 | -50 | 73 | 29 | 389 | -360 / -92.5% |
| EAT [USD m] | -47 | -111 | 9 | -149 | 179 | -328 / n.m. |
| Investments [USD m]1) | 105 | 115 | 44 | 264 | 791 | -527 / -66.6% |
1) Balance sheet investments in PPE
| Introduction | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market Update | ||
| HL Financials | ||
| UASC Merger | Transport volume up 1.3% to 5.7 TEU m in 9M 2016 | |
| Next Steps |
9M average freight rate decreased by 17.7% – But Q3 freight rate slight up vs. Q2 (first time after 2 years)
1) Hapag-Lloyd average freight rate for the period 2) Hapag-Lloyd average (MFO) consumption price for the period
Transport expenses reduced by USD 885 m thanks to bunker, synergies and efficiency programs
1) Cost of purchased services 9M 2016: 847 USD/TEU
| Introduction | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market Update | ||
| HL Financials | ||
| UASC Merger | ||
| Next Steps |
Note: For selected peers including terminals and other business if no liner figure available. Translation into USD based on average FX rates for individual periods.
18 x% EBIT margin Source: Company information (11 November 2016)
| Introduction | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market Update | ||
| HL Financials | ||
| UASC Merger | Positive free cash flow of USD 27 m in 9M 2016 | |
| Next Steps |
| At a glance | Deal rationale | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Combined Entity1) |
e Combination assures top 5 position globally al c and on key trades in a consolidating market S |
|||
| Corporate HQ |
Hamburg | Dubai | Hamburg | k or Further balancing of trade portfolio with w leadership on Middle East Trades et N |
| Alliance membership |
G6 | Ocean 3 | THE Alliance |
Access to young and fuel-efficient fleet with large share of ULCVs et e Sustainable market position without further Fl short-term fleet investments |
| Ships [#] | 166 | 61 | 227 | s e gi Significant value creation through expected |
| Capacity [TEU m] |
1.0 | 0.6 | 1.6 | er run-rate synergies of USD 435 m p.a. n y S |
| Container [TEU m] |
1.5 | 0.7 | 2.2 | Strong partner in light of the ongoing er alliance reshuffling n art Supportive core shareholders and capital P market investors |
| 1) Sum of stand-alone figures |
Scale: On important trades TOP 5 players now make up ~70% capacity share after current consolidation wave
Capacity share of TOP 5 container shipping lines
Source: Alphaliner monthly newsletter (June 2013 / October 2016) assuming Japanese merger Note: Diagram assuming that all currently announced mergers (Hapag-Lloyd &
UASC; NYK & MOL & K-Line) will receive regulatory approvals and are executed as announced. Simple sum of stand-alone operating capacity.
21% 15% 19% 13% 7% 30% 1) Including Middle East volume as Middle East is no reported Hapag-Lloyd trade 2) Allocation of UASC volume according to Hapag-Lloyd trade definition plus Middle East trade based on Middle East Other5) Atlantic Transpacific Far East Latin America
9%
32%
17%
23%
12% 11%
16%
5% 14%
Total 7.4 Total 2.6
14%
30%
22%
23 assumptions and not necessarily final 3) Middle East is no reported Hapag-Lloyd trade 4) As of October 2016. Breakdown based on capacity deployed by individual carriers on direct services only. Excl. wayport capacity, transshipment services, slot exchange arrangements and cross-trade intra-alliance arrangements; numbers for Hapag-Lloyd based on exposure to global trades 5) Includes EMAO, Intra Asia trades and idle fleet Source: Alphaliner monthly newsletter (October 2016)
6% 5%
Breakdown of capacity operated by trade4)
Hapag-Lloyd Maersk MSC CMA CGM COSCON
29%
3% 20%
11%
27%
26%
1%
9%
29%
Total 10.0
24%
1) Weighted by carrier capacities
24 Source: MDS Transmodal September 2016 plus HL internal data (HL Fleet as of 30.09.2016, Combined as of 30.09.2016), only vessels >399 TEU
25 1) One vessel has already been delivered in November 2016
| Introduction |
|---|
| Market Update |
| HL Financials |
| UASC Merger |
| Next Steps |
Synergies of USD 435 m per year from 2019 onwards – approx. 1/3 to be achieved in 2017 already One-off costs of approx. USD 150 m largely payable in 2016/2017
| Introduction | |
|---|---|
| Market Update | |
| HL Financials | |
| UASC Merger | |
| Next Steps |
1) "QH" refers to Qatar Holding LLC on behalf of the State of Qatar 2) "PIF" refers to The Public Investment Fund on behalf of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia 3) Other UASC Shareholders include Kuwait Investment Authority on behalf of the state of Kuwait (5.1%), Republic of Iraq (5.1%), United Arab Emirates (2.1%) and Bahrain (0.4%) 4) Including 3.6% Other UASC Shareholders (KIA, Iraq, UAE and Bahrain) 5) Shareholding structure prior to cash capital increase
Closing expected by the end of the year depending on approvals of competition authorities and banks
1) Subject to necessary approvals 2) Long stop date for closing conditions
1) Cash and cash equivalents plus undrawn credit lines 2) 50% backstopped by QH and PIF, 50% backstopped by CSAV and Kühne
30
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E Hapag-Lloyd | E Hapag-Lloyd | |||
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1) Partially redeemed by nominal USD 125 m on 30 Dec 2015
32 Source: Bloomberg (11 November 2016); Citi (10 November 2016)
| Introduction |
|---|
| Market Update |
| HL Financials |
| UASC Merger |
Next Steps
| Income statement [USD m] | Transport expenses [USD m] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | % change | |||||
| Revenue | 6,364.0 | 7,589.4 | -16% | Expenses for raw materials | |||
| Other operating income |
100.7 | 162.7 | -38% | and supplies Cost of purchased services |
4,783.7 | 5,251.6 | |
| Transport expenses | -5,315.1.1 | -6,199.6 | -14% | Thereof Port, canal and terminal costs |
2,209.8 | 2,297.7 | |
| Personnel expenses | -420.6 | -401.6 | 5% | Chartering, leases and | |||
| Depreciation, amorti zation and impairment |
-395.8 | -381.4 | 4% | container rentals Container transport costs |
1,568.4 | 1,852.5 | |
| Other operating | -324.6 | -401.0 | -19% | Maintenance/repair/other | 181.7 | 132.5 | |
| expenses | Transport expenses | 5,315.1 | 6,199.6 | ||||
| Operating result | 8.6 | 368.5 | -98% | Transport expenses per TEU [USD/TEU] | |||
| Share of profit of | 21.8 | 25.1 | -13% | ||||
| equity-acc. investees Other financial result |
-1.6 | -4.9 | -67% | Expenses for raw materials and supplies |
|||
| Earnings before interest and tax |
28.8 | 388.7 | -93% | Cost of purchased services Thereof |
846.7 | 941.3 | |
| (EBIT) | Port, canal and terminal costs | 391.1 | 411.8 | ||||
| EBITDA | 424.6 | 770.1 | -45% | Chartering, leases and container rentals |
|||
| Interest result | -161.5 | -188.5 | -14% | Container transport costs | 277.6 | 332.0 | |
| Income taxes | -16.4 | -21.3 | -23% | Maintenance/repair/other | 32.2 | 23.8 | |
| Group profit/loss | -149.1 | 178.9 | n.m. | Transport expenses | 940.7 | 1,111.2 |
| 9M 2016 | 9M 2015 | % change |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses for raw materials and supplies |
531.4 | 948.0 | -44% |
| Cost of purchased services | 4,783.7 | 5,251.6 | -9% |
| Thereof | |||
| Port, canal and terminal costs | 2,209.8 | 2,297.7 | -4% |
| Chartering, leases and container rentals |
823.8 | 968.9 | -15% |
| Container transport costs | 1,568.4 | 1,852.5 | -15% |
| Maintenance/repair/other | 181.7 | 132.5 | 37% |
| Transport expenses | 5,315.1 | 6,199.6 | -14% |
| 35% |
|---|
| -16% |
| -16% |
| -5% |
| -10% |
| -45% |
| Introduction |
|---|
| Market Update |
| HL Financials |
| UASC Merger |
| Next Steps |
| 30.09.2016 | 31.12.2015 | 30.09.2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | |||
| Non-current assets | 10,241.0 | 10,363.7 | 10,442.8 |
| Of which fixed assets | 10,169.0 | 10,301.7 | 10,381.0 |
| Current assets | 1,586.2 | 1,704.8 | 1,613.0 |
| Of which cash and cash equivalents |
549.3 | 625.0 | 542.8 |
| Total assets | 11,827.2 | 12,068.5 | 12,055.8 |
| Equity and liabilities | |||
| Equity | 5,280.1 | 5,496.8 | 5,240.6 |
| Borrowed capital | 6,547.1 | 6,571.7 | 6,815.2 |
| Of which non-current liabilities | 3,875.9 | 3,958.4 | 4,275.1 |
| Of which current liabilities | 2,671.2 | 2,613.3 | 2,540.1 |
| Of which financial debt | 4,360.9 | 4,256.3 | 4,362.0 |
| thereof | |||
| Non-current financial debt | 3,449.9 | 3,591.7 | 3,857.7 |
| Current financial debt | 911.0 | 664.6 | 504.3 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 11,827.2 | 12,068.5 | 12,055.8 |
| 30.09.2016 | 31.12.2015 | 30.09.2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | 549.3. | 625.0. | 542.8. |
| Financial debt | 4,360.9 | 4,256.3 | 4,362.0 |
| Net debt | 3,811.6 | 3,631.3 | 3,819.2 |
| Unused credit lines | 75.0 | 423.4 | 486.4 |
| Liquidity reserve | 624.3 | 1,048.4 | 1,029.2 |
| Equity | 5,280.1 | 5,496.8 | 5,240.6 |
| Gearing (net debt/equity) (%) | 72.2% | 66.1% | 72.9% |
| Equity ratio (%) | 44.6% | 45.5% | 43.5% |
35
Senior Director Investor Relations Tel +49 40 3001-2896 Fax +49 40 3001-72896 [email protected] https://www.hapag-lloyd.com/en/ir.html
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