Investor Presentation • Mar 7, 2017
Investor Presentation
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Rolf Buch, CEO Dr. A. Stefan Kirsten, CFO
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
1 Including Adj. EBITDA Other; 2 Based on internal 5-year plan as of Sep. 2016
| 2016 | 2015 | Delta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In-place rent l-f-l (eop) | €/month/sqm | 6.01 | 5.82 | +3.3% |
| In-place rent (eop) | €/month/sqm | 6.02 | 5.75 | +4.7% |
| Rent growth driver | 2016 Contribution |
2015 Contribution |
|---|---|---|
| Sitting tenants (incl. subsidized rents) | 0.9% | 1.1% |
| New lettings | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Subtotal market-driven rent growth | 1.5% | 1.7% |
| Modernization | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Subtotal l-f-l rent growth | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| Space creation | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Subtotal organic rent growth | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| Portfolio management (+ acquisitions ./. sales) | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Total rent growth | 4.7% | 3.0% |
Note: 2015 includes 0.1% contribution from subsidized rents
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
2016 | 2015 | Delta | €/sqm | 2016 | 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expenses for maintenance |
247.4 | 242.2 | +2.1% | Expenses for maintenance |
11.50 | 11.66 | -1.3% |
| Capitalized maintenance |
72.7 | 88.5 | -17.9% | Capitalized maintenance |
3.38 | 4.26 | -20.7% |
| Total | 320.1 | 330.7 | -3.2% | Total | 14.88 | 15.92 | -6.5% |
| Maintenance capitalization ratio* |
23% | 27% |
1 Program year; 2 Additional rental income from investment yield. Illustrative as portion of the additional rent may shift between years.
FFO
1 Cost per unit: (Rental Income – EBITDA Operations + Maintenance) / average # units. 2 Mainly consolidation * Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
3 Rounded figures.
1 Figures as of Dec. 31, 2016, prepayment of TAURUS CMBS in February 2017 and €1.0bn bond issuance from January 2017 considered.
| Top 15 Euro IG Corporate Issuers 2014-2016 (€m) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issuer | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | Total 2014-2016 |
Average Funding p.a. |
|||
| 1 BMW |
5,919 | 8,205 | 6,170 | 20,294 | 6,765 | |||
| 2 VW |
- | 8,910 | 10,700 | 19,610 | 6,537 | |||
| 3 Anheuser-Busch inBev |
13,250 | 3,000 | 2,500 | 18,750 | 6,250 | |||
| 4 Total SA |
7,000 | 5,000 | 5,300 | 17,300 | 5,767 | |||
| 5 Daimler AG |
10,980 | 3,077 | 3,070 | 17,127 | 5,709 | |||
| 6 Royal Dutch Shell |
4,000 | 3,450 | 5,825 | 13,275 | 4,425 | |||
| 7 Telefonica SA |
5,900 | 1,467 | 5,650 | 13,017 | 4,339 | |||
| 8 Vodafone |
7,750 | 750 | 3,410 | 11,910 | 3,970 | |||
| 9 Coca-Cola |
500 | 8,500 | 2,000 | 11,000 | 3,667 | |||
| 10 BP pic |
3,775 | 2,500 | 4,000 | 10,275 | 3,425 | |||
| 11 Sanofi |
4,800 | 2,260 | 3,000 | 10,060 | 3,353 | |||
| 12 Renault |
3,830 | 3,200 | 2,200 | 9,230 | 3,077 | |||
| 13 Bayer AG |
1,500 | 1,300 | 6,250 | 9,050 | 3,017 | |||
| 14 Vonovia SE |
2,500 | 4,000 | 2,200 | 8,700 | 2,900 | |||
| 15 Verizon |
3,250 | - | 5,400 | 8,650 | 2,883 |
Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-derivative financial liabilities | 13,371.0 | 14,939.9 | -10.5% |
| Foreign exchange rate effects | -209.9 | -179.4 | 17.0% |
| Cash and cash equivalents | -1,540.8 | -3,107.9 | -50.4% |
| Net debt | 11,620.3 | 11,652.6 | -0.3% |
| Sales receivables | -135.4 | -330.0 | -59.0% |
| Additional loan amount for outstanding acquisitions | --- | 134.9 | |
| Adj. net debt | 11,484.9 | 11,457.5 | 0.2% |
| Fair value of real estate portfolio | 27,115.6 | 24,157.7 | 12.2% |
| Fair value of outstanding acquisitions | --- | 240.0 | |
| Shares in other real estate companies | 503.1 | 13.7 | >100% |
| Adj. fair value of real estate portfolio | 27,618.7 | 24,411.4 | 13.1% |
| LTV | 41.6% | 46.9% | -530bps |
Depending on the final outcome of the second offer period for conwert, the pro forma LTV* will be around 45% and therefore below the 2015YE level and towards the upper end of our target range.
Vonovia uses the valuation uplift to buy conwert in a predominantly all-cash transaction, effectively translating value growth into an accretive acquisition.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | FY 2016 | FY 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adj. EBITDA Operations* | 1,094.0 | 957.6 | +14.2% |
| FFO interest expense | -322.7 | -339.4 | -4.9% |
| Current income taxes FFO1 | -10.5 | -10.2 | +2.9% |
| FFO1 | 760.8 | 608.0 | +25.1% |
| of which attributable to Vonovia's shareholders |
713.4 | 555.5 | +28.4% |
| of which attributable to Vonovia's hybrid capital investors |
40.0 | 33.0 | +21.2% |
| of which attributable to non-controlling interests | 7.4 | 19.5 | -62.1% |
| Capitalized maintenance | -71.6 | -87.5 | -18.2% |
| AFFO* | 689.2 | 520.5 | +32.4% |
| Current income taxes FFO2 | -29.5 | -17.0 | +73.5% |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales* | 92.5 | 71.1 | +30.1% |
| FFO2 | 823.8 | 662.1 | +24.4% |
| / share* FFO1 € (eop NOSH) |
1.63 | 1.30 | +25.1% |
| / share* FFO1 € (avg. NOSH) |
1.63 | 1.51 | +8.5% |
| / share* AFFO € (eop NOSH) |
1.48 | 1.12 | +32.4% |
| / share* AFFO € (avg. NOSH) |
1.48 | 1.29 | +14.8% |
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Privatization | Non-core/Non-strategic | Total | ||||
| No. of units sold | 2,701 | 2,979 | 23,930 | 12.195 | 26,631 | 15,174 |
| Income from disposal | 267.4 | 262.7 | 960.5 | 463.3 | 1,227.9 | 726.0 |
| Fair value of disposal* |
-196.3 | -201.3 | -911.4 | -424.4 | 1,107.7 | 625.7 |
| Adj. profit from disposal |
71.1 | 61.4 | 49.1 | 38.9 | 120.2 | 100.3 |
| Fair value step-up* (%) |
36.2% | 30.5% | 5.4% | 9.2% |
| Selling costs | -27.7 | -29.2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adj. EBITDA Sales* | 92.5 | 71.1 |
Our portfolio management strategy of modernization investments, space creation and a focus on growth markets is expected to result in substantial value creation going forward.
NAV
Assumption for value growth potential from exposure to growth markets with positive dynamics through additional yield compression / multiple expansion.
Note: Value growth shown on this page is indicative. While we believe the underlying assumptions are reasonable, the actual future development may differ. 1 Strategic portfolio only incl. privatization properties in strategic locations; 2 Market comparables; 3 (i) Upgrade Buildings plus (ii) Optimize Apartments plus (iii) Optimize Apartments within Upgrade Buildings Cluster (Total volume of currently ~290k units)
Valuation uplift of 16.2% contributes to 27.1% Adj. NAV per share* growth.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders |
12,467.8 | 10,620.5 | +17.4% |
| Deferred taxes on investment properties and assets held for sale |
4,550.3 | 3,241.2 | +40.4% |
| Fair value of derivative financial instruments1 | 44.4 | 169.9 | -73.9% |
| Deferred taxes on derivative financial instruments | -15.4 | -43.4 | -64.5% |
| EPRA NAV* | 17,047.1 | 13,988.2 | +21.9% |
| Goodwill | -2,718.9 | -2,714.7 | +0.2% |
| Adj. NAV* | 14,328.2 | 11,273.5 | +27.1% |
| EPRA NAV €/share* | 36.58 | 30.02 | +21.9% |
| Adj. NAV €/share* | 30.75 | 24.19 | +27.1% |
1 Adjusted for effects from cross currency swaps
| Fair value (€ million) |
Fair value (€/sqm) |
Multiple (in-place-rent) |
Change in value (€ million) |
Change in value (l-f-l in %) |
of which yield compression |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,448 | 1,640 | 22.6 | 753.2 | 28.0% | 24.2% |
| 2,847 | 1,437 | 18.2 | 351.9 | 14.4% | 8.4% |
| 3,100 | 1,695 | 19.0 | 386.8 | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| 2,371 | 889 | 13.8 | 220.0 | 10.3% | 2.8% |
| 2,439 | 1,070 | 16.4 | 331.6 | 15.7% | 4.9% |
| 1,585 | 1,701 | 19.3 | 170.1 | 12.6% | 9.8% |
| 1,733 | 1,595 | 20.0 | 274.9 | 19.0% | 16.4% |
| 1,652 | 2,497 | 26.8 | 290.5 | 22.9% | 19.6% |
| 1,291 | 758 | 12.4 | 67.9 | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| 1,027 | 1,167 | 16.6 | 145.1 | 16.7% | 8.1% |
| 861 | 1,020 | 15.4 | 143.2 | 20.0% | 11.7% |
| 762 | 1,070 | 17.1 | 118.5 | 18.8% | 14.0% |
| 589 | 929 | 14.5 | 74.3 | 14.5% | 6.0% |
| 493 | 1,759 | 21.6 | 104.6 | 26.9% | 23.2% |
| 261 | 1,010 | 15.3 | 28.3 | 12.2% | 8.8% |
| 1,882 | 1,243 | 17.1 | 246.1 | 15.1% | 8.6% |
| 26,341 | 1,293 | 17.8 | 3,707.1 | 16.6% | 10.9% |
Strongest valuation uplift in Berlin, Munich and Freiburg.
NAV
B locations such as Bremen, Kiel and Hannover with above-average valuation gains, but Northern Ruhr Area with only 5.6% uplift underperformed all other Regional Markets.
FY2016 Earnings Call page 17
| Strategic Cluster |
Fair value (€ million) |
Fair value (€/sqm) |
Multiple (in-place-rent) |
Change in value (€ million) |
Change in value (l-f-l in %) |
of which yield compression |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operate | 7,602 | 1,281 | 16.4 | 887.8 | 13.5% | 8.8% |
| Upgrade buildings | 9,470 | 1,236 | 17.9 | 1553.7 | 19.8% | 12.2% |
| Optimize apartments | 7,800 | 1,370 | 19.0 | 1087.6 | 16.5% | 11.4% |
| Strategic | 24,872 | 1,290 | 17.7 | 3,529.2 | 16.8% | 10.9% |
| Privatize | 1,586 | 1,323 | 18.9 | 189.1 | 13.5% | 10.4% |
| Non-Strategic | 265 | 576 | 11.0 | 14.2 | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Non-Core | 290 | 685 | 12.5 | 13.5 | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Total | 27,013 | 1,264 | 17.6 | 3,745.9 | 16.3% | 10.7% |
| €m | Acquisition year |
Fair Value at acquisition (l-f-l current portfolio)1 |
Fair value Dec. 31, 2016 |
Value growth since acquisition |
Goodwill | Value growth vs. goodwill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dewag | 2014 | 980 | 1,259 | 279 | 11 | 268 |
| Vitus | 2014 | 988 | 1,260 | 272 | 95 | 177 |
| Gagfah | 2015 | 7,714 | 9,753 | 2,039 | 2,265 | -226 |
| Franconia | 2015 | 284 | 361 | 77 | - | 77 |
| Südewo | 2015 | 1,732 | 1,966 | 234 | 346 | -112 |
| Grainger Portfolio | 2016 | 251 | 263 | 12 | - | 12 |
| Total | 11,949 | 14,862 | 2,913 | 2,717 | 196 | |
NAV
1 Acquisition portfolio adjusted for sales and shown on a like-for-like basis for better comparison. Delta to total goodwill results from IVV acquisition with a goodwill of €2.1m.
| % of total headroom Dec. 31, 2016 |
Headroom 2016 vs. 2015 |
Fair Value 2016 vs. 2015 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGU 1 | North (Hamburg, Kiel, etc.) | 13% | -5.1% | +16.7% |
| CGU 2 | East (predominantly Berlin) | 6% | -27.0% | +26.2% |
| CGU 3 | Southeast (Dresden, Leipzig, etc.) | 9% | -2.5% | +12.5% |
| CGU 4 | West (Dortmund, Essen, etc.) | 16% | -4.9% | +6.3% |
| CGU 5 | Middle (Frankfurt, Cologne, etc.) | 19% | +5.3% | +13.8% |
| CGU 6 | South (Munich, Stuttgart, etc.) | 17% | +19.3% | +14.5% |
| CGU 7 | Central | 2% | n/a | n/a |
| CGU 8 | Extension segment | 19% | n/a | n/a |
| Total | 100% |
CGU = cash generating unit
NAV
1 Subject to obtaining building permits
| Investments* | More than €1bn invested in value-enhancing modernization* between 2013 and 2016. |
Pro-active portfolio management results in material improvements in |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| quality of assets and | |||||||
| Disposal* | Sale of ~42k Non-core and Non-strategic assets (2013-2016) with below-average quality, location and/or strategic potential. |
locations. | |||||
| Well-positioned to benefit | |||||||
| Acquisition* | Acquisition of more than 220k units (2013- 2017 YTD, incl. conwert) in attractive regions and complementary to the existing portfolio. |
from strong underlying fundamentals of entire German residential market. |
|||||
| Dec. 31, 2016 (unless indicated otherwise) |
Residential Units | In-place rent (€/sqm) |
Vacancy rate (%) |
Fair value (€bn) |
Fair value (%) at IPO in 20131 |
Fair value (%) | |
| Operate | 88,359 | 6.28 | 2.2 | 7.6 | 38% | 28% | |
| Upgrade Buildings (UB) | 125,016 | 5.89 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 22% | 35% | 64% of fair value |
| Operate | 88,359 | 6.28 | 2.2 | 7.6 | 38% | 28% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upgrade Buildings (UB) | 125,016 | 5.89 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 22% | 35% | 64% of fair value in OA and UB |
| Optimize Apartments (OA) | 89,335 | 6.12 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 13% | 29% | |
| Subtotal Strategic Clusters | 302,710 | 6.07 | 2.1 | 24.9 | 73% | 92% | |
| Privatize | 17,195 | 5.97 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 14% | 6% | Non-core and non-strategic volume down to |
| Non-strategic | 7,480 | 4.70 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 8% | 1% | 2% (~€0.6bn) of total asset |
| Non-core | 5,996 | 4.96 | 7.1 | 0.3 | 5% | 1% | value. |
| Total | 333,381 | 6.02 | 2.4 | 27.0 | 100% | 100% |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
1 The cluster "Non-strategic" was introduced after the IPO. For comparison purposes, locations considered Non-strategic as of Sep 30, 2016, were defined as Non-strategic as of the IPO date as well.
| VONOVIA | ||
|---|---|---|
| --------- | -- | -- |
| Fair Value | In-place rent | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regional Markets | (€ million) |
(€/sqm) | Multiple (in-place rent) |
Residential units |
Living area ('000 sqm) |
Vacancy (%) |
Total (p.a. € million) |
Residential (p.a. € million) |
(€/ month/ sqm) |
Change like-for-like (%) |
Average p.a. rent growth forecast CBRE (5 yrs)* (%) |
Average rent growth (%) from Optimize Apartments |
| Berlin | 3,448 | 1,640 | 22.6 | 32,454 | 2,034 | 1.5 | 152 | 145 | 6.02 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 40.7 |
| Rhine Main Area (Frankfurt, Darmstadt, Wiesbaden) |
3,100 | 1,695 | 19.0 | 28,203 | 1,799 | 2.2 | 163 | 157 | 7.42 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 37.9 |
| Rhineland (Cologne, Düsseldorf, Bonn) |
2,847 | 1,437 | 18.2 | 28,669 | 1,928 | 2.6 | 157 | 149 | 6.60 | 4.0 | 2.9 | 31.5 |
| Dresden | 2,439 | 1,070 | 16.4 | 37,983 | 2,155 | 1.8 | 149 | 139 | 5.47 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 36.8 |
| Southern Ruhr Area (Dortmund, Essen, Bochum) |
2,371 | 889 | 13.8 | 42,834 | 2,606 | 2.7 | 172 | 165 | 5.43 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 29.5 |
| Hamburg | 1,733 | 1,595 | 20.0 | 16,644 | 1,054 | 1.8 | 87 | 82 | 6.55 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 34.8 |
| Munich | 1,652 | 2,497 | 26.8 | 9,773 | 643 | 0.7 | 62 | 57 | 7.50 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 51.9 |
| Stuttgart | 1,585 | 1,701 | 19.3 | 14,303 | 901 | 1.7 | 82 | 78 | 7.36 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 35.2 |
| Northern Ruhr Area (Duisburg, Gelsenkirchen) |
1,291 | 758 | 12.4 | 27,097 | 1,680 | 3.2 | 104 | 101 | 5.18 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 24.1 |
| Hanover | 1,027 | 1,167 | 16.6 | 13,668 | 866 | 2.3 | 62 | 60 | 5.88 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 33.3 |
| Kiel | 861 | 1,020 | 15.4 | 13,989 | 813 | 1.3 | 56 | 53 | 5.49 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 33.9 |
| Bremen | 762 | 1,070 | 17.1 | 11,339 | 691 | 3.1 | 45 | 42 | 5.27 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 33.8 |
| Westphalia (Münster, Osnabrück) |
589 | 929 | 14.5 | 9,652 | 625 | 2.3 | 41 | 39 | 5.38 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 28.6 |
| Freiburg | 493 | 1,759 | 21.6 | 4,063 | 278 | 1.0 | 23 | 22 | 6.72 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 41.2 |
| Leipzig | 261 | 1,010 | 15.3 | 4,089 | 255 | 2.6 | 17 | 17 | 5.61 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 23.5 |
| Other Strategic Locations | 1,882 | 1,243 | 17.1 | 23,514 | 1,490 | 2.3 | 110 | 106 | 6.10 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 35.0 |
| Total Strategic Locations | 26,341 | 1,293 | 17.8 | 318,274 | 19,817 | 2.2 | 1,480 | 1,412 | 6.07 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 34.2 |
| * Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. |
| 2015 Actuals |
2016 Actuals |
2017 Guidance (Nov. 2016, excl. conwert) |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L-f-l rent growth (eop) | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5%-3.7% | Accelerating rent growth |
| Vacancy (eop) | 2.7% | 2.4% | <2.5% | Stable top line inspite of |
| Rental Income (€m) | 1,414.6 | 1,538.1 | 1,530-1,550 | ~24,000 non-core sales in 2016 |
| FFO1 (€m) | 608.0 | 760.8 | 830-850 | Double digit % organic growth |
| Maintenance (€m) | 330.7 | ~320.1 | ~340 | |
| Modernization & Investments (€m) |
355.6 | 472.3 | 700-730 | |
| Privatization (#) | 2,979 | 2,701 | ~2,300 | |
| FV step-up* (Privatization) | 30.5% | 36.2% | ~35% | |
| Non-core (#) | 12,195 | 23,930 | opportunistic | |
| FV step-up* (Non-Core) | 9.2% | 5.4% | >0% | |
| Dividend/share | €0.94 | €1.121 | 70% of FFO 1 |
1 To be proposed to the Annual General Shareholder Meeting
number of shares and excluding impact from conwert acquisition
1 Guidance mid-point
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information
| I | Conwert update |
|---|---|
| II | Scrip dividend as alternative |
| III | Next portfolio valuation at the end of Q2 2017 |
| IV | Gagfah: cross-border merger |
| V | Vonovia's stake in Deutsche Wohnen |
| VI | CEO contract extended to Feb. 2023 |
| At Announcement | Since Announcement / Today |
|
|---|---|---|
| Share vs. cash |
Share alternative at €17.58 per share substantially more attractive than mandatory cash offer at €16.16 per share |
Of the 72.9m shares, only 0.7m were tendered for shares with the remaining 72.2 for cash |
| Financial synergies |
€5m (€61m break costs to realize synergies) |
Current interest rate environment makes realization of these synergies difficult to achieve |
| Operational synergies |
Operational synergies of €7m |
First view indicates higher operational synergies than anticipated |
| conwert non core portfolio |
~€600m | ~€330m have been closed or announced since Sep 5 |
| conwert NAV |
€16.40 as per Q2 2016 |
~€17 (est.) as per YE2016 |
Next update with Q1 earnings release on May 24
| | Sep 5, 2016 | Announcement of the intention to make a voluntary take-over offer Support from conwert board and management Commitment from Adler to tender all its conwert shares |
|---|---|---|
| | Oct 6 & Oct 28, 2016 |
Approval from German Federal Cartel Office; Clearance from Austrian Federal Competition Authority |
| | Nov 17, 2016 | Publication of the offer document |
| | Nov 18 – Dec 19, 2016 |
Acceptance period |
| | Dec 22, 2016 |
Publication of final results of acceptance period: 71.54% acceptance ratio |
| | Dec 23, 2016 |
Start of second acceptance period |
| | Jan 16, 2017 | Payment and settlement (conwert fully consolidated as of Jan 10, 2017) |
| | Jan 27, 2017 | conwert EGM (Vonovia holds 4 of the 6 seats on conwert's Administrative Board) |
| | Mar 3, 2017 | 71.54% current acceptance ratio |
| Mar 23, 2017 | End of second acceptance period | |
| Apr 2017 | Payment and settlement second acceptance period | |
| Jul 2017 | All relevant conwert data and systems fully integrated in Vonovia platform |
Future dates are indicative and subject to change.
| Choice | Scrip dividend as an alternative to cash dividends offers choice to investors. |
|---|---|
| Increasingly best practice |
Well established in many international markets like the US or UK and increasingly popular in Germany as well. E.ON, Deutsche Telekom, Lufthansa and others have been offering their shareholders for some years now cash dividends and as an alternative an equal dividend amount in the form of shares. |
| Process | Supervisory Board defines scrip dividend structure and price. Annual General Meeting approves total dividend amount. Shareholders choose cash or shares until early June. Payout date will be mid-June. |
| Valuation & Timing |
Gross asset real estate value represents more than 83% of total assets. Equity capital markets continue to use the NAV as share price proxy. NAV guidance without yield compression is of limited use. So far no need to conduct more than one valuation a year, but with more pronounced yield compression in many local markets in 2016 and most likely beyond the annual valuation cycle is too long. Next portfolio valuation will be as of June 30, 2017. |
|---|---|
| Methodology & Process |
Same Methodology for half-year valuation as for the year-end valuation. For practical purposes, the valuation pool will comprise the largest 20 cities plus any other location for which there is indication of strong valuation movements. Data set and result of mid-year valuation will be meaningful enough to ensure that majority of the valuation movements of first two quarters is captured and reflected in financial accounts. Process and timing agreed with our auditors. Half-year valuations to be conducted for as long as there is market evidence of material valuation changes over a 6-months period. |
| | NAV guidance suspended |
| Vonovia ownership | Vonovia holds 93.8% of all Gagfah shares. |
|---|---|
| Redemption of CMBS completed |
After redeeming the last Gagfah CMBS in Feb 2017, Vonovia is currently analyzing the final step of the integration by way of a cross-border merger of Gagfah S.A. into Vonovia SE, effectively completing the last leg of the integration and further reducing legal and governance complexities. |
| Cross-border merger |
A successful merger would lead to a mandatory exchange of all outstanding shareholders' Gagfah shares against Vonovia shares in a fixed exchange ratio. After completing the company valuations and after a merger audit by a court-appointed, independent auditor, the governing bodies of Vonovia SE and Gagfah S.A. will deliberate on the merger and the exchange ratio. |
| Vonovia's stake in Deutsche Wohnen |
Vonovia owns 16.8m shares in Deutsche Wohnen. This equals 4.74% based on the 354.7m shares outstanding. |
|---|---|
| Purchase price & unrealized gains |
The shares were purchased at an average purchase price of €24.10 for a total consideration of €405.5m. Based on the €31.67 closing price on March 3, 2017, the stake has a market value of €532.6m, resulting in a book gain of €127.1m (+31%). |
| Deutsche Wohnen shares are accounted for under "available-for-sale securities" in IFRS (in non-current assets). |
|
| Deutsche Wohnen stake in Vonovia's numbers |
Accounting on a mark-to-market basis, with adjustments to fair market value accounted for in "Other comprehensive income." |
| Included with market value in LTV denominator. | |
| FFO interest expense includes interest expense for share purchase (approx. €6m) and | |
| dividend payment of €9.1m for 2016. |
Contract expires Feb. 28, 2023
Rene Hoffmann Head of Investor Relations Vonovia SE Philippstraße 3 44803 Bochum Germany
+49 234 314 1629 [email protected] www.vonovia.de
| Mar 7 | FY 2016 results |
|---|---|
| Mar 8-10 | Roadshow (London, Frankfurt, Amsterdam) |
| Mar 10 | Kempen European Property Seminar (New York) |
| Mar 13 | Roadshow (Paris) |
| Mar 22 | Commerzbank Resi Property Forum (London), IR only |
| Mar 23 | HSBC Real Estate Conference (Frankfurt), IR only |
| Mar 28-30 | Management Roadshow (China) |
| Mar 29 | BofAML European Real Estate Conference (London), IR only |
| Mar 30 | Bankhaus Lampe Deutschlandkonferenz (Baden Baden), IR only |
| May 9 | Estimated record day for dividend entitlement |
| May 16 | Annual General Meeting |
| May 24 | Interim results 3M 2017 |
| May 24 | Berenberg European Conference (USA) |
| June 1 | Kepler Cheuvreux German Property Day (Paris) |
| Jun 7 | Goldman Sachs European Financials Conference (Madrid) |
| June 8 | Kempen European Property Seminar (Amsterdam) |
| ~ June 12 | Estimated dividend payment date |
| June 19-20 | Capital Markets Day (Bochum) |
| June 22 | dBAccess Berlin Conference (Berlin) |
| Aug 2 | Interim results 6M 2017 |
| Nov 8 | Interim results 9M 2017 |
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| 2016 | 2015 | Delta | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average number of residential sqm |
`000 | 21,509 | 20,773 | +3.5% | |
| In-place rent (eop) | €/month/sqm | 6.02 | 5.75 | +4.7% | |
| In-place rent l-f-l (eop) | €/month/sqm | 6.01 | 5.82 | +3.3% | |
| Vacancy rate (eop) | % | 2.4% | 2.7% | -30bps | |
| +10.2% per avg. unit* |
Rental income | €m | 1,538.1 | 1,414.6 | +8.7% |
| (€3,172 vs. | average unit* Cost per |
€ | 570 | 645 | -11.6% |
| €2,878) | Adj. EBITDA Operations* | €m | 1,094.0 | 957.6 | +14.2% |
| Rental* | €m | 1,046.2 | 924.4 | +13.2% | |
| Extension* | €m | 57.0 | 37.6 | +51.6% | |
| Other (i.e. consolidation) | €m | -9.2 | -4.4 | >100% | |
| +20.7% | FFO 1 | €m | 760.8 | 608.0 | +25.1% |
| per sqm | FFO 1 per share* (eop NOSH) |
€ | 1.63 | 1.30 | +25.1% |
| (€2,206 vs. €1,827) |
FFO 1 per share* (avg. NOSH) |
€ | 1.63 | 1.51 | +8.5% |
| AFFO* | €m | 689.2 | 520.5 | +32.4% | |
| Adj. EBITDA Sales* | €m | 92.5 | 71.1 | +30.1% | |
| Adj. EBITDA (Total) | €m | 1,186.5 | 1,028.7 | +15.3% | |
| FFO 2 | €m | 823.8 | 662.1 | +24.4% | |
| +19.9% per sqm (€1,264 vs. |
Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta | ||
| €1,054) | Fair value of real estate portfolio |
€m | 27,115.6 | 24,157.7 | +12.2% |
| EPRA NAV* | €/share | 36.58 | 30.02 | +21.9% | |
| Adj. NAV* | €/share | 30.75 | 24.19 | +27.1% | |
| LTV | % | 41.6% | 46.9% | -530bps | |
| Dividend paid | €m | 438.0 | 276.2 | €161.8m |
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | FY 2016 | FY 2015 | Delta | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Increase due to fair value | |||
| PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD | 2,512.9 | 994.7 | 152.6% | adjustment of investment |
| Financial result | 433.0 | 414.0 | 4.6% | properties vs. increase of deferred tax liabilities |
| Income taxes | 1,346.9 | 739.8 | 82.1% | |
| Depreciation and amortization | 27.0 | 13.4 | >100% | |
| Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties | -3,236.1 | -1,323.5 | >100% | EBITDA increase mainly driven |
| = EBITDA IFRS | 1,083.7 | 838.4 | 29.3% | by rental business |
| Non-recurring items | 94.5 | 209.4 | -54.9% | |
| Total period adjustments from assets held for sale | 17.9 | -18.7 | >100% | |
| Financial income from investments in other real estate companies | -9.6 | -0.4 | >100% | Increase of adjusted EBITDA |
| = ADJUSTED EBITDA | 1,186.5 | 1,028.7 | 15.3% | sales* due to higher Non-core |
| Adjusted EBITDA Sales* | -92.5 | -71.1 | 30.1% | sales volume and higher core step-ups |
| = ADJUSTED EBITDA OPERATIONS* |
1,094.0 | 957.6 | 14.2% | |
| Interest expense FFO | -322.7 | -339.4 | -4.9% | |
| Current income taxes FFO 1 | -10.5 | -10.2 | 2.9% | Adjusted EBITDA Operations* |
| = FFO 1 | 760.8 | 608.0 | 25.1% | reflects operational performance as well as |
| Capitalized maintenance | -71.6 | -87.5 | -18.2% | acquisitions* and expansion |
| = AFFO* | 689.2 | 520.5 | 32.4% | strategy in Extension Segment |
| Current income taxes FFO2 | -29.5 | -17.0 | 73.5% | |
| FFO 2 (FFO 1 incl. Adjusted EBITDA Sales*/current income taxes Sales) | 823.8 | 662.1 | 24.4% | |
| NOSH)* FFO 1 per share in € (eop |
1.63 | 1.30 | 25.1% | |
| * AFFO per share in € (eop NOSH) |
1.48 | 1.12 | 32.4% | |
| Number of shares (million) eop | 466 | 466 | --- |
P&L
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) 0 Income from property letting Other income from property management Income from property management |
FY 2016 2,170.0 39.3 2,209.3 1,227.9 -1,177.7 52.0 102.2 |
FY 2015 2,035.3 28.2 2,063.5 726.0 -658.7 51.7 |
Delta 6.6% 39.4% 7.1% 69.1% 78.8% 0.6% |
L-f-l-rent increase of 3.3%, thereof 1.8% due to modernization*. Vacancy rate down from 2.7% in 2015 to 2.4% in 2016 Increase in sales from 15,174 in 2015 to 26,631 in 2016 (thereof 23,930 non-core); lower non-core step-up in 2016 5.4% (2015: 9.2%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income from disposal of properties | ||||
| Carrying amount of properties sold | ||||
| Revaluation of assets held for sale | ||||
| Profit on disposal of properties | 119.0 | -14.1% | ||
| Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties |
3,236.1 | 1,323.5 | >100% | Positive operational development and high market |
| Capitalized internal expenses | 341.0 | 174.9 | 95.0% | dynamics for residential property market in Germany |
| Cost of materials | -1,081.9 | -972.5 | 11.2% | |
| Personnel expenses | -353.8 | -359.7 | -1.6% | |
| Depreciation and amortization | -27.0 | -13.4 | >100% | Significant expansion of value |
| Other operating income | 105.3 | 73.1 | 44.0% | accretive modernization |
| Other operating expenses | -249.5 | -263.5 | -5.3% | |
| Financial income | 27.1 | 8.0 | >100% | |
| Financial expenses | -449.0 | -418.4 | 7.3% | |
| Earnings before tax | 3,859.8 | 1,734.5 | >100% | |
| Income taxes | -1,346.9 | -739.8 | 82.1% | |
| Profit for the period | 2,512.9 | 994.7 | >100% | |
| Attributable to: | ||||
| Vonovia's shareholders |
2,300.7 | 923.5 | >100% | |
| Vonovia's hybrid capital investors |
40.0 | 40.0 | 0.0% | |
| Non-controlling interests | 172.2 | 31.2 | >100% | |
| Earnings per share (basic and diluted) in € | 4.94 | 2.29 | >100% |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Assets | ||||
| Intangible assets | 2,743.1 | 2,724.0 | 0.7% | Increase mainly due to |
| Property, plant and equipment | 115.7 | 70.7 | 63.6% | revaluation € 3.2bn |
| Investment properties | 26,980.3 | 23,431.3 | 15.1% | Increase mainly due to the |
| Financial assets | 585.9 | 221.7 | >100% | acquisition* and valuation of Deutsche Wohnen shares |
| Other assets | 15.2 | 158.5 | -90.4% | |
| Income tax receivables | - | 0.1 | -100% | 2015 include advance payments made on acquisitions of companies and |
| Deferred tax assets | 19.6 | 72.3 | -72.9% | real estate |
| Total non-current assets | 30,459.8 | 26,678.6 | 14.2% | |
| Inventories | 5.0 | 3.8 | 31.6% | Decrease due to lower receivables from the sale of |
| Trade receivables | 164.4 | 352.2 | -53.3% | properties |
| Financial assets | 153.2 | 2.0 | >100% | Positive market values from cross-currency swaps |
| Other assets | 102.7 | 113.4 | -9.4% | |
| Income tax receivables | 34.6 | 23.1 | 49.8% | Decrease mainly due to scheduled and unscheduled |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 1,540.8 | 3,107.9 | -50.4% | loan repayments, mainly GRF 1 and 3-yr 2013 bond |
| Assets held for sale | 61.6 | 678.1 | -90.9% | |
| Total current assets | 2,062.3 | 4,280.5 | -51.8% | 2015 including 13,570 units sale to LEG |
| Total assets | 32,522.1 | 30,959.1 | 5.0% |
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) | Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | Delta | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity and liabilities | ||||
| Subscribed capital | 466.0 | 466.0 | 0.0% | Increase results from |
| Capital reserves | 5,334.9 | 5,892.5 | -9.5% | revaluation of Deutsche |
| Retained earnings | 6,665.4 | 4,309.9 | 54.7% | Wohnen shares partly |
| Other reserves | 1.5 | -47.9 | >100% | compensated by the valuation of cash flow hedges |
| Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders |
12,467.8 | 10,620.5 | 17.4% | |
| Equity attributable to hybrid capital investors | 1,001.6 | 1,001.6 | 0.0% | |
| Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders and hybrid capital investors |
13469.4 | 11,622.1 | 15.9% | |
| Non-controlling interests | 419.0 | 244.8 | 71.2% | Mainly repayment |
| Total equity | 13,888.4 | 11,866.9 | 17.0% | of CMBS GRF 1 and CMBS GRF2 and repayments of |
| Provisions | 607.9 | 612.9 | -0.8% | portfolio loans, issue of EMTN |
| Trade payables | 1.3 | 0.9 | 44.4% | bonds of total € 2.5bn |
| Non derivative financial liabilities | 11,643.4 | 13,951.3 | -16.5% | |
| Derivatives | 19.1 | 144.5 | -86.8% | Decrease mainly due to |
| Liabilities from finance leases | 94.7 | 94.9 | -0.2% | contractual reductions and |
| Liabilities to non-controlling interests | 9.9 | 46.3 | -78.6% | premature terminations |
| Other liabilities | 83.3 | 25.9 | >100% | |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 3,769.5 | 2,528.3 | 49.1% | The 2016 figures include |
| Total non-current liabilities | 16,229.1 | 17,405.0 | -6.8% | purchase price liabilities in the |
| Provisions | 370.8 | 429.5 | -13.7% | amount of € 76.1m |
| Trade payables | 138.8 | 91.6 | 51.5% | |
| Non derivative financial liabilities | 1,727.6 | 988.6 | 74.8% | |
| Derivatives | 57.5 | 58.8 | -2.2% | The increase results from the final maturity of two Bonds in |
| Liabilities from finance leases | 4.5 | 4.4 | 2.3% | 2017 |
| Liabilities to non-controlling interests | 2.7 | 9.8 | -72.4% | |
| Other liabilities | 102.7 | 104.5 | -1.7% | |
| Total current liabilities | 2,404.6 | 1,687.2 | 42.5% | |
| Total liabilities | 18,633.7 | 19,092.2 | -2.4% | |
| Total equity and liabilities | 32,522.1 | 30,959.1 | 5.0% |
| FY 2016 / | FY 2015 / | |
|---|---|---|
| Dec. 31, 2016 | Dec. 31, 2015 | |
| Headcount (eop) | 7,437 | 6,368 |
| EPRA vacancy rate (eop) | 2.2% | 2.5% |
| IFRS profit for the period (€/share) | 4.94 | 2.29 |
| Number of units acquired | 2,815 | 168,632 |
| Number of units sold | 26,631 | 15,174 |
| Total residential sqm ('000; eop) |
20,781 | 22,271 |
| Valuation parameters |
2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|
| Management costs per residential unit p.a. |
€255 | €252 |
| Maintenance costs (ongoing + apt. improvement per sqm) p.a. |
€13.66 p.a. | €13.41 p.a. |
| Discount rate | 5.5% | 5.8% |
| Capitalization rate | 4.3% | 4.7% |
| Market rent increase p.a. |
1.2% p.a. | 1.2% p.a. |
| Stabilized vacancy rate | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| Valuation results |
2016 | 2015 |
| Net initial yield | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Gross yield | 5.7% | 6.5% |
| In-place rent multiple | 17.6x | 15.4x |
| Fair Value (€/sqm) | 1,264 | 1,054 |
Substantial value growth across the portfolio but yield compression clearly more pronounced in some regions than others.
| 2015 | 2016 | Delta | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fair Value | Fair Value | Fair Value | ||||||||
| Regional Markets | (€ million) |
(€/sqm) | Multiple (in-place rent) |
Residential units |
(€ million) |
(€/sqm) | Multiple (in-place rent) |
Residential units |
(€/sqm) | Multiple (in-place rent) |
| Berlin | 2,709.2 | 1,282 | 18.2 | 32,563 | 3,448.3 | 1,640 | 22.6 | 32,454 | 28% | 24% |
| Rhine Main Area (Frankfurt, Darmstadt, Wiesbaden) |
2,708.4 | 1,479 | 17.2 | 28,262 | 3,099.8 | 1,695 | 19.0 | 28,203 | 15% | 10% |
| Rhineland (Cologne, Düsseldorf, Bonn) |
2,460.9 | 1,256 | 16.5 | 28,214 | 2,847.4 | 1,437 | 18.2 | 28,669 | 14% | 10% |
| Dresden | 2,108.7 | 923 | 14.7 | 38,047 | 2,438.6 | 1,070 | 16.4 | 37,983 | 16% | 11% |
| Southern Ruhr Area (Dortmund, Essen, Bochum) |
2,169.1 | 808 | 12.9 | 43,224 | 2,370.7 | 889 | 13.8 | 42,834 | 10% | 7% |
| Hamburg | 1,455.3 | 1,341 | 17.5 | 16,622 | 1,733.2 | 1,595 | 20.0 | 16,644 | 19% | 14% |
| Munich | 1,292.4 | 1,996 | 22.8 | 9,543 | 1,651.9 | 2,497 | 26.8 | 9,773 | 25% | 18% |
| Stuttgart | 1,355.3 | 1,529 | 17.5 | 13,743 | 1,584.7 | 1,701 | 19.3 | 14,303 | 11% | 10% |
| Northern Ruhr Area (Duisburg, Gelsenkirchen) |
1,245.5 | 719 | 12.2 | 27,531 | 1,290.8 | 758 | 12.4 | 27,097 | 5% | 2% |
| Hanover | 877.8 | 1,003 | 14.6 | 13,575 | 1,027.1 | 1,167 | 16.6 | 13,668 | 16% | 14% |
| Kiel | 719.5 | 850 | 13.2 | 14,009 | 861.2 | 1,020 | 15.4 | 13,989 | 20% | 17% |
| Bremen | 630.9 | 898 | 14.7 | 11,170 | 761.6 | 1,070 | 17.1 | 11,339 | 19% | 16% |
| Westphalia (Münster, Osnabrück) |
513.9 | 812 | 13.2 | 9,638 | 588.9 | 929 | 14.5 | 9,652 | 14% | 10% |
| Freiburg | 389.8 | 1,386 | 17.5 | 4,076 | 493.3 | 1,759 | 21.6 | 4,063 | 27% | 23% |
| Leipzig | 234.2 | 900 | 14.1 | 4,116 | 260.7 | 1,010 | 15.3 | 4,089 | 12% | 9% |
| Other Strategic Locations | 1,655.0 | 1,075 | 15.3 | 23,931 | 1,882.5 | 1,243 | 17.1 | 23,514 | 16% | 12% |
| Total Strategic Locations | 22,525.7 | 1,106 | 15.7 | 318,264 | 26,340.7 | 1,293 | 17.8 | 318,274 | 17% | 13% |
Substantial value growth across the portfolio but movements clearly more pronounced in some regions than others.
Note: Excluding Non-strategic locations; Changes are real case, not like-for-like
| Rating agency | Rating | Outlook | Last Update |
|---|---|---|---|
| Standard & Poor's | BBB+ | Stable | 06 September 2016 |
| Name | Tenor & Coupon | ISIN | Amount | Issue price | Coupon | Final Maturity Date | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bond 002 (EUR-Bond) | 6 years 3.125% | DE000A1HNW52 | € 600m |
99.935% | 3.125% | 25 July 2019 | BBB+ |
| Bond 003 (USD-Bond) | 4 years 3.200% | US25155FAA49 | USD 750m | 100.000% | 2.970%* | 02 Oct 2017 | BBB+ |
| Bond 004 (USD-Bond) | 10 years 5.000% | US25155FAB22 | USD 250m | 98.993% | 4.580%* | 02 Oct 2023 | BBB+ |
| Bond 005 (EMTN) | 8 years 3.625% | DE000A1HRVD5 | € 500m |
99.843% | 3.625% | 08 Oct 2021 | BBB+ |
| Bond 006 (Hybrid) | 60 years 4.625% | XS1028959671 | € 700m |
99.782% | 4.625% | 08 Apr 2074 | BBB |
| Bond 007 (EMTN) | 8 years 2.125% | DE000A1ZLUN1 | € 500m |
99.412% | 2.125% | 09 July 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 008 (Hybrid) | perpetual 4% | XS1117300837 | € 1,000m |
100.000% | 4.000% | perpetual | BBB |
| Bond 009A (EMTN) | 5 years 0.875% | DE000A1ZY971 | € 500m |
99.263% | 0.875% | 30 Mar 2020 | BBB+ |
| Bond 009B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A1ZY989 | € 500m |
98.455% | 1.500% | 31 Mar 2025 | BBB+ |
| Bond 010A (EMTN) | 2 years 0.950%+3M EURIBOR | DE000A18V120 | € 750m |
100.000% | 0.835% hedged | 15 Dec 2017 | BBB+ |
| Bond 010B (EMTN) | 5 years 1.625% | DE000A18V138 | € 1,250m |
99.852% | 1.625% | 15 Dec 2020 | BBB+ |
| Bond 010C (EMTN) | 8 years 2.250% | DE000A18V146 | € 1,000m |
99.085% | 2.250% | 15 Dec 2023 | BBB+ |
| Bond 011A (EMTN) | 6 years 0.875% | DE000A182VS4 | € 500m |
99.530% | 0.875% | 10 Jun 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 011B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A182VT2 | € 500m |
99.165% | 1.500% | 10 Jun 2026 | BBB+ |
| Bond 012 (EMTN) | 2 years 0.380%+3M EURIBOR | DE000A185WC9 | € 500m |
100.000% | 0.140% hedged | 13 Sep 2018 | BBB+ |
| Bond 013 (EMTN) | 8 years 1.250% | DE000A189ZX0 | € 1,000m |
99.037% | 1.250% | 06 Dec 2024 | BBB+ |
| Bond 14A (EMTN) | 5 years 0.750% | DE000A19B8D4 | € 500m |
99.863% | 0.750% | 25 Jan 2022 | BBB+ |
| Bond 14B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.750% | DE000A19B8E2 | € 500m |
99.266% | 1.750% | 25 Jan 2027 | BBB+ |
* EUR-equivalent Coupon
| Bond KPIs | Covenant | Level | Dec. 31, 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTV* | ||||
| Total Debt / Total Assets | <60% | 41% | ||
| Secured LTV* | <45% | |||
| Secured Debt / Total Assets |
11% | |||
| ICR* | ||||
| Last 12M EBITDA / Last 12M Interest Expense |
>1.80x | 3.68x | ||
| Unencumbered Assets* |
||||
| Unencumbered Assets / Unsecured Debt | >125% | 225% |
| Rating KPIs | Covenant | Level (BBB+) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt to Capital | <60% | ||
| Total Debt / Total Equity + Total Debt |
|||
| ICR* | |||
| Last 12M EBITDA / Last 12M Interest Expense |
>1.80x |
Original estimate of €84m total synergies from Gagfah acquisition vs. final estimate of €137m.
In-place valuations are still only half of replacement values, in spite of accelerating valuation growth in recent years.
* Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. Note: VNA 2010 – 2014 refers to Deutsche Annington Portfolio at the time
Vonovia location
High-influx cities ("Schwarmstädte"). For more information: http://investoren.vonovia.de/websites/vonovia/English/4050/financial-reports-_-presentations.html
conwert Immobilien SE transaction closed in Q1 2017.
| VONOVIA | ||
|---|---|---|
| Reputation & Customer Satisfaction | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| al n o diti Tra |
Property Management 1 |
Systematic optimization of operating performance and core business productivity through leveraging scaling effects High degree of standardization and industrialization throughout the entire organization |
||||
| Financing 2 |
Ensure well-balanced financing mix and maturity profile with low financing costs, investment grade credit rating and adequate liquidity at all times Fast and unfettered access to equity and debt capital markets at all times |
Mergers & 5 Acquisitions Continuous review of on- and |
||||
| Portfolio Management 3 |
Portfolio optimization by way of tactical acquisitions and non-core/non-strategic disposals to ensure exposure to strong local markets Pro-active development of the portfolio through investments to offer the right products in the right markets and on a long-term basis |
off-market opportunities to lever economies of scale and apply strategic pillars 1-4 to a growing portfolio All acquisitions must meet the stringent acquisition criteria |
||||
| e v ati v o n n I |
4 Extension |
Expansion of core business to extend the value chain by offering additional services and products that are directly linked to our customers and/or the properties Insourcing of services to ensure maximum process management and cost control |
Strategic Portfolio
Munich Karlsruhe Dortmund
Note: Excluding conwert acquisition
Illustration of Germany at Night
Illustration of Germany at Night
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners), REIS, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research; BIP USA: IMF, Statista Note: Due to lack of q-o-q US rent growth data, the annual rent growth for a year is assumed to also be the q-o-q rent growth of that year
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, IW Köln, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners)
Home ownership rate 2015 in %
Rent as % of disposable household income
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, Eurostat
Ownership structure (million units)
Listed sector represents ~4% of total rental market.
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners)
1 Yearly asset yields vs. rolling 200d average of 10y interest rates
Sources: Thomson Reuters, bulwiengesa
*Other shared services: Internal Audit, Communications, Central Procurement, Insurances, Investor Relations, Accounting
1 Rental income + EBITDA Extension and Other; excluding sales effects; 2 To be proposed to the Annual General Shareholder Meeting. 3 Vonovia standalone guidance for 2017, excluding impact from conwert acquisition. *Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information. 2017(E): effects from conwert takeover not taken into account
High degree of stability and predictability of underlying business (layer 1) and portfolio valuation (layer 2) is not reflected in share price development (layer 3), as equity markets appear to apply valuation parameters that are substantially less material for Vonovia's operating performance.
1 To be proposed to the Annual General Shareholder Meeting. 2 based on eop number of shares and excluding impact from conwert acquisition. *Please see Glossary / Sources in the Appendix for further information.
FY2016 Earnings Call page 66
Continuous flow of innovative projects that are all immediately linked to the apartment or customer/rental contract.
Frankfurt, Odenwaldstr. 2-4b
Frankfurt, Am Lindenbaum 15-85A
Frankfurt, Friedlebenstr. 32
Essen, Meistersingerstrasse 20-24C
Dresden, Niederseidewitzer Weg, 32-40
Dortmund, Binsengarten 8-24 A Dresden, Kipsdorfer Strasse, 123-139
Dresden, Berzdorfer Str. 20-24
Essen, Feldwiese 16-30 Dortmund, Doerwerstr, 68-70
Dortmund, Lippmannstr. 2-14 Essen, Bonnekampstr. 18-43 B
FY2016 Earnings Call page 73
Addition of new floor plus modernization investment Addition of new floor plus modernization investment
Upgrade Building Upgrade Building
Before After
Pictures taken at the production site of our cooperation partner Modulbau Lingen.
| Item | Comment / Description / Source |
|---|---|
| Acquisition | 200k units include the acquisition of Vitus (30k), Dewag (11k), Franconia (5k), Südewo (20k), and Gagfah (140k) |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Analyzed in more detail" | Generally interesting and reviewed by central Acquisitions Department |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Bids" | Submission of indicative or binding offer following a due diligence |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Due Diligence" | Thorough review of promising transactions of "Analyzed in more detail" category, including support from respective Vonovia Regions |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Examined" | Offers received (duplicates excluded) |
| Acquisition pipeline: "Signed" | Signed purchase agreement after successful bid |
| Adj. EBITDA Extension | (Income not related to EBITDA Rental or EBITDA Sales) - (Operating expenses not related to EBITDA Rental or EBITDA Sales); 2016E and 2017E estimates are based on the Internal Management Report |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations | Adj. EBITDA - Adj. EBITDA Sales |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations margin | Adj. EBITDA Operations / Total rental income |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations margin (excl. Maintenance) | (Adj. EBITDA Operations + Maintenance expenses) / Total rental income |
| Adj. EBITDA Operations per average unit | Adj. EBITDA Operations / average number of own apartments in the reporting period |
| Adj. EBITDA Rental | Rental income - Maintenance expenses - Operating expenses |
| Adj. EBITDA Sales | IFRS profit on disposal of properties - revaluation (realized) of assets held for sale + revaluation from disposal of assets held for sale - Selling costs |
| Adj. NAV | Net Asset Value as defined by the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) minus goodwill amount |
| Adj. NAV per share | Net Asset Value as defined by the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) minus goodwill amount divided by the number of shares at the end of the reporting period |
| AFFO | FFO 1 - Capitalized Maintenance |
| AFFO per share (avg. NOSH) | AFFO / average number of shares in the reporting period (9M 2016: 466.0m; 9M 2015: 383.0m) |
| AFFO per share (eop NOSH) |
AFFO / number of shares at the end of the reporting period (466m shares for both Sep. 30, 2016 and Sep. 30, 2015) |
| Avg. rent growth forecast CBRE (5yrs) | Average rent growth CAGR 5 years forecast in the current CBRE market valuation. |
| Cost per €100m (bond issuance) | Legal fees, bookrunner fees, rating agency fee, others |
| Cost per average unit | (Operating expenses of the Rental segment + Adj. EBITDA Extension/Other) / average number of own apartments in the reporting period |
| Covenant: ICR | Adj. EBITDA (total) / FFO interest expense (each calculated for the last twelve months) |
| Covenant: LTV | Total non derivative financial liabilities / total assets (as shown in the balance sheet) |
| Item | Comment / Description / Source |
|---|---|
| Covenant: Secured LTV | Total secured non derivative financial liabilities / total assets (as shown in the balance sheet) |
| Covenant: Unencumbered assets | Total unencumbered assets / total unsecured non derivative financial liabilities |
| Debt/EBITDA | Net Debt/EBITDA operations; based on internal forecast for 2016 on the basis of 9M actuals |
| Disposal | 42k units sold includes reported sales of 4.1k in 2013, 1.8k in 2014, 12.2k in 2015 and the estimate of around 24k for 2016 |
| EPRA NAV | Net Asset Value as defined by the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) |
| EPRA NAV per share | Net Asset Value as defined by the European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) divided by the number of shares at the end of the reporting period (466m shares for both Sep. 30, 2016 and Sep. 30, 2015) |
| EPRA NAV per share 2017 guidance | Based on current EPRA NAV per share forecast for 2016 and then adjusted for estimates: (i) 2017 FFO 1, (ii) disposals, (iii) fair value gain through rent growth, (iv) dividend payout; does not include any impact from yield compression |
| Fair value of disposal | Carrying amount of properties sold + Revaluation from sale of assets held for sale |
| Fair value step-up | Income from disposal / fair value of disposal |
| FFO1 per average unit |
FFO 1 / average number of own apartments in the reporting period (9M 2015: 316.7k; 9M 2015: 347.7k) |
| FFO1 per share | Unless indicated otherwise, FFO per share is calculated on the basis of the number of shares as of the end of the reporting period (466m shares for both Sep. 30, 2016 and Sep. 30, 2015) |
| FFO1 per share (avg. NOSH) | FFO1 / average number of shares in the reporting period (9M 2016: 466.0m; 9M 2015: 383.0m) |
| FFO1 per share (eop NOSH) |
FFO1 / number of shares at the end of the reporting period (466m shares for both Sep. 30, 2016 and Sep. 30, 2015) |
| ICR | Adj. EBITDA (total) / FFO interest expense (each calculated for the last twelve months) |
| Investments | Reported investment amounts for 2013 (€65m), 2014 (€172m) and 2015 (€356m) + estimated volume for 2016 of €470m-€500m |
| Maintenance capitalization ratio | Capitalized maintenance / (Expenses for maintenance + Capitalized maintenance) |
| Market costs for new constructions | Average market costs for building German multifamily houses |
| Number of months until costs are earned by rental income | Based on Forecast 3+9 2016 |
| Pro forma LTV | Source: Internal Management Report |
| Re-letting rent growth (y-o-y) | (Re-letting rent current period - Re-letting rent prior period) / Re-letting rent prior period |
| Unencumbered assets | Market value of unencumbered portfolio / total portfolio value |
| VNA modular construction costs | Actual costs for pilot project for modular construction in Bochum |
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This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from DA's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.
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Neither this presentation nor the information contained in it may be taken, transmitted or distributed directly or indirectly into or within the United States, its territories or possessions. This presentation is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The securities of the Company have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States. Consequently, the securities of the Company may not be offered, sold, resold, transferred, delivered or distributed, directly or indirectly, into or within in the United States except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and in compliance with any applicable securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States unless registered under the Securities Act.
Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.
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