Investor Presentation • May 10, 2017
Investor Presentation
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Hannover, 10 May 2017
| | Gross written premium: | EUR 4,547 m. (+6.6%) | GWP in line with guidance (f/x adjusted +5.9%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| | Net premium earned: | EUR 3,732 m. (+5.4%) | NPE f/x-adj. growth of +4.3% |
| | EBIT: | EUR 400 m. | Good EBIT and net income driven by strong investment performance and favourable P&C |
| | Group net income: | EUR 265 m. | underwriting result |
| | RoE: | 11.6% | RoE remains above our minimum target |
| | BVPS: | EUR 77.26 | BVPS +3.6% mainly driven by strong earnings |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Investments | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBIT: | EUR 310 m. | EBIT: | EUR 90 m. | NII: RoI from AuM: |
EUR 393 m. 3.1% |
|
| Favourable C/R (95.6%) fuelled by strong underwriting result Net major losses of EUR 134 m. (6.2% of NPE) below expected level Accelerated premium growth (f/x adjusted +11.3%) driven by new business in Structured R/I |
Good underlying profitability masked by negative impact from legacy US mortality business Strong earnings from Financial Solutions business GWP development in line with expectations (f/x adjusted -1.7%) |
RoI well above full-year target (2.7%) Ordinary investment income higher mainly due to strong contribution from Private Equity and Real Estate AuM increased by 0.6% |
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q1/2016 | Q1/2017 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 4,264 | 4,547 | $+6.6%$ |
| Net premium earned | 3,542 | 3,732 | $+5.4%$ |
| Net underwriting result | 36 | (23) | |
| - Incl. funds withheld | 120 | 49 | $-58.6%$ |
| Net investment income | 366 | 393 | $+7.3%$ |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 283 | 320 | $+13.2%$ |
| - From funds withheld | 84 | 73 | $-12.8%$ |
| Other income and expenses | 4 | 30 | |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 407 | 400 | $-1.7%$ |
| Interest on hybrid capital | (18) | (18) | $-0.8%$ |
| Net income before taxes | 389 | 382 | $-1.7%$ |
| Taxes | (102) | (96) | $-6.1%$ |
| Net income | 287 | 286 | $-0.2%$ |
| - Non-controlling interests | 16 | 22 | $+37.6%$ |
| Group net income | 271 | 265 | $-2.4%$ |
| Retention | 89.0% | 89.6% | |
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium eamed) | 11.5% | 10.7% | |
| Tax ratio | 26.2% | 25.1% | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 2.25 | 2.20 |
3 Conference Call on Interim Report 1/2017
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q1/2016 | Q1/2017 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,502 | 2,815 | +12.5% |
| Net premium earned | 1,961 | 2,166 | +10.4% |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
104 | 96 | -8.2% |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
94.7% | 95.6% | 0.9%p |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
203 | 238 | +17.3% |
| Other income and expenses | (8) | (24) | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 300 | 310 | 3.4% |
| Tax ratio | 26.9% | 24.7% | -2.2%p |
| Group net income | 204 | 215 | +5.4% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.69 | 1.79 |
* Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross
| Catastrophe losses* in m. EUR | Date | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Storm / Tornados, USA | 18 - 21 Jan | 12.8 | 11.4 |
| Wildfires, Chile | 21 Jan - 3 Feb | 20.8 | 20.8 |
| Zyclone "Debbie", Australia | 28 Mar | 53.9 | 50.0 |
| 3 Natural catastrophes | 87.6 | 82.2 | |
| 1 Property claim | 37.0 | 30.8 | |
| 1 Credit claim | 20.6 | 20.6 | |
| 5 Major losses | 145.2 | 133.7 |
* Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross
| 2017: Combined Ratio vs. MtCR | margin | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target | North America* | 103.4% | 14.3% | ||||
| markets | Continental Europe* | 80.6% | 30.3% | ||||
| Marine | 86.3% | 26.4% | |||||
| Aviation | 95.2% | 17.6% | |||||
| Specialty | Credit, surety and political risks | 89.6% | 18.7% | ||||
| lines worldwide |
UK, Ireland, London market and direct |
103.7% | 11.1% | ||||
| Facultative R/I | 91.3% | 16.1% | |||||
| Worldwide Treaty* R/I | 100.1% | 7.1% | |||||
| Global R/I |
Cat XL | 63.1% | 54.8% | ||||
| Structured R/I and ILS | 99.5% | 3.2% | |||||
| Total | 95.6% | 14.3% | |||||
| 0% | 20% | 40% | 60% | 80% | 100% | 120% |
MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio
EBIT
8 Conference Call on Interim Report 1/2017
* All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
Combined Ratio
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q1/2016 | Q1/2017 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 1,761 | 1,732 | -1.7% |
| Net premium earned | 1,581 | 1,566 | -0.9% |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
15 | (46) | - |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
78 | 81 | +3.2% |
| Other income and expenses | 13 | 55 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 106 | 90 | -14.9% |
| EBIT margin | 6.7% | 5.7% | -1.0%p |
| Tax ratio | 25.4% | 28.4% | 3.0%p |
| Group net income | 78 | 61 | -22.2% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.65 | 0.50 |
| in m. EUR | Q1/2016 | Q1/2017 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income* | 269 | 323 | 3.1% |
| Realised gains/losses | 44 | 24 | 0.2% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations | (14) | (11) | -0.1% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
10 | 11 | 0.1% |
| Investment expenses | (27) | (28) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own mgmt. | 283 | 320 | 3.1% |
| NII from funds withheld | 84 | 73 | |
| Total net investment income | 366 | 393 |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 16 | 31 Mar 17 |
|---|---|---|
| On Balance-sheet | 1,355 | 1,452 |
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 728 | 774 |
| Off Balance-sheet | 509 | 485 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 370 | 346 |
| Total | 1,864 | 1,936 |
* Incl. results from associated companies
| Investment category | 31 Mrz 17 |
|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 86% |
| - Governments | 28% |
| - Semi-governments | 17% |
| - Corporates | 32% |
| Investment grade | 28% |
| Non-investment grade | 5% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 8% |
| Equities | 4% |
| - Listed Equity | 2% |
| - Private Equity | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 4% |
| Others | 1% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 42.5 |
Economic view based on market values as at 31 March 2017 *) Before real estate-specific costs
| Business group | Key figures | Strategic targets for 2017 |
Q1/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on investment1) | ≥2.7% | 3.0% |
| Return on equity2) | ≥9.7% | 11.6% | |
| Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) | ≥6.5% | -2.4% | |
| Value creation per share3) | ≥7.5% | n.a. | |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Gross premium growth | 3% - 5% | 11.3% |
| Combined ratio | ≤96% | 95.6% | |
| EBIT margin6) | ≥10% | 14.3% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health R/I | Gross premium growth | 5% - 7% | -1.7% |
| Value of New Business (VNB)9) | ≥ EUR 220 m. | n.a. | |
| EBIT margin6) Financial solutions/Longevity | ≥2% | 17.2% | |
| EBIT margin6) Mortality/Morbidity | ≥6% | 0.9% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥3% | n.a. | |
| 1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives |
2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds |
3) Growth in book value per share + paid dividend 4) On average throughout the R/I cycle; at unchanged f/x rates
5) Incl. expected net major losses of EUR 825 m. 6) EBIT/net premium earned
9) Based on a cost of capital of 6% (until 2014: 4.5%)
7) Excess return on allocated economic capital 8) Organic growth only; annual average growth (5 years), at unchanged f/x rates
U/Y figures at unchanged f/x rates (31 December 2016)
Hannover Re Group
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2017 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m.
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS
1) At unchanged f/x rates
| Lines of business | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Target | North America3) | + | |
| markets | Continental Europe3) | +/- | |
| Marine | +/- | ||
| Aviation | - | ||
| Specialty lines |
Credit, surety and political risks | +/- | |
| worldwide | UK, Ireland, London market and direct | +/- | |
| Facultative reinsurance | + | ||
| Worldwide treaty3) reinsurance | +/- | ||
| Global reinsurance |
Cat XL | - | |
| Structured reinsurance and ILS | +/- |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
3) All lines of business except those stated separately
| Reporting categories | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial solutions |
Financial solutions | ++ | |
| Longevity | +/- | ||
| Risk solutions |
Mortality | +/- | |
| Morbidity | +/- |
1) In EUR; premium growth supported by strengthening of foreign currencies
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q1/2016 | Q1/2017 | Δ | Q1/2016 | Q1/2017 | Δ | Q1/2016 | Q1/2017 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 2,502 | 2,815 | +12.5% | 1,761 | 1,732 | -1.7% | 4,264 | 4,547 | +6.6% |
| Net premium earned | 1,961 | 2,166 | +10.4% | 1,581 | 1,566 | -0.9% | 3,542 | 3,732 | +5.4% |
| Net underwriting result | 100 | 91 | -9.6% | (65) | (114) | +76.6% | 36 | (23) | -165.0% |
| Net underwritung result incl. funds withheld | 104 | 96 | -8.2% | 15 | (46) | - | 120 | 49 | -58.6% |
| Net investment income | 207 | 243 | +17.5% | 158 | 148 | -5.9% | 366 | 393 | +7.3% |
| From assets under own management | 203 | 238 | +17.3% | 78 | 81 | +3.2% | 283 | 320 | +13.2% |
| From funds withheld | 4 | 5 | +26.5% | 79 | 68 | -14.8% | 84 | 73 | -12.8% |
| Other income and expenses | (8) | (24) | - | 13 | 55 | - | 4 | 30 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 300 | 310 | +3.4% | 106 | 90 | 14.9% | 407 | 400 | -1.7% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | (18) | (18) | -0.8% |
| Net income before taxes | 300 | 310 | +3.4% | 106 | 90 | -14.9% | 389 | 382 | -1.7% |
| Taxes | (81) | (77) | -4.9% | (27) | (25) | -5.0% | (102) | (96) | -6.1% |
| Net income | 219 | 233 | +6.4% | 79 | 64 | -18.3% | 287 | 286 | -0.2% |
| Non-controlling interest | 15 | 18 | +20.7% | 1 | 4 | - | 16 | 22 | +37.6% |
| Group net income | 204 | 215 | +5.4% | 78 | 61 | -22.2% | 271 | 265 | -2.4% |
| Retention | 87.9% | 88.6% | 90.5% | 91.3% | 89.0% | 89.6% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 94.7% | 95.6% | 99.1% | 103.0% | 96.6% | 98.7% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 15.3% | 14.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | |||
| Tax ratio | 26.9% | 24.7% | 25.4% | 28.4% | 26.2% | 25.1% | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.69 | 1.79 | 0.65 | 0.51 | 2.25 | 2.20 |
| Investment category | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 31.03.2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 90% | 90% | 87% | 87% | 86% |
| - Governments | 19% | 21% | 26% | 28% | 28% |
| - Semi-governments | 20% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| - Corporates | 36% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 32% |
| Investment grade | 33% | 33% | 30% | 28% | 28% |
| Non-investment grade3 ) |
3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 15% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 2) 8% |
| Equities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| - Listed Equity | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| - Private Equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
| Others3 ) |
1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 32.2 | 36.8 | 39.8 | 42.3 | 42.5 |
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments
of EUR 1,032.4 m. (EUR 1,036.8 m.) as at 31 March 2017
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 75.2%
3) Reallocation of High Yield Funds from "Others" to "Corporates – Non-investment grade"
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -176 | -176 | ||
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -351 | -351 | |
| +50 bps | -903 | -810 | ||
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -1,759 | -1,578 | |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -874 | -840 |
As at 31 March 2017
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAA | 77.3% | 65.8% | 1.0% | 66.4% | - | 46.0% | ||||||
| A A |
11.7% | 27.7% | 13.4% | 14.5% | - | 15.9% | ||||||
| A | 5.1% | 2.3% | 33.5% | 5.7% | - | 15.0% | ||||||
| BBB | 4.2% | 1.1% | 42.9% | 9.0% | - | 18.2% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 1.7% | 3.1% | 9.1% | 4.4% | - | 5.0% | </bbb<>1.7% | 3.1% | 9.1% | 4.4% | - | 5.0% |
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | - | 100.0% | ||||||
| Germany | 10.2% | 49.4% | 4.1% | 25.1% | 36.5% | 18.3% | ||||||
| UK | 5.6% | 2.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 6.2% | ||||||
| France | 1.8% | 2.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 4.4% | ||||||
| GIIPS | 1.2% | 0.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% | 2.6% | ||||||
| Rest of Europe | 3.6% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 24.3% | 6.3% | 12.4% | ||||||
| USA | 61.6% | 5.1% | 35.5% | 7.4% | 17.8% | 34.4% | ||||||
| Australia | 3.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | ||||||
| Asia | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 0.2% | 17.7% | 5.9% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 5.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | ||||||
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 11,837 | 7,223 | 12,968 | 3,468 | 1,878 | 37,374 |
IFRS figures as at 31 March 2017
| 2016 | 5.0 |
|---|---|
| 2015 | 4.4 |
| 2014 | 4.6 |
| 2013 | 4.4 |
| 2012 | 4.5 |
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-to-date, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved.
Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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