Earnings Release • Aug 10, 2017
Earnings Release
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Hannover, 10 August 2017
| | Gross written premium: | EUR 8,998 m. (+8.6%) | | Attractive GWP growth (f/x adjusted +8.7%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Net premium earned: | EUR 7,523 m. (+5.0%) | | NPE f/x-adj. growth of +4.9% |
| | EBIT: | EUR 799 m. | | EBIT and net income driven by strong investment performance as well as solid earnings contribution |
| | Group net income: | EUR 535 m. | from P&C | |
| | RoE: | 12.2% | | RoE remains well above our minimum target |
| | BVPS: | EUR 71.00 | | BVPS decreased by -4.8% due to capital management measures and strong Euro |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Investments | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBIT: | EUR 634 m. | EBIT: | EUR 165 m. | NII: RoI from AuM: |
EUR 779 m. 3.2% |
| Combined ratio slightly inflated mainly due to growth in Structured R/I Net major losses of EUR 123 m. (2.8% of NPE) well below expected level Accelerated GWP growth (f/x adjusted +16.9%) mainly driven by new business in Structured R/I |
claims from legacy US mortality Strong earnings growth from Financial solutions business GWP development in line with expectations (f/x adjusted -1.5%) |
Continuously higher than expected | RoI well above full-year target (>2.7%) Ordinary investment income higher mainly due to strong contribution from Private Equity and Real Estate Strengthening of EUR leads to decrease in AUM (-3.4%) |
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q2/2016 | Q2/2017 | Δ | 1H/2016 | 1H/2017 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 4,020 | 4,451 | 10.7% | 8,284 | 8,998 | 8.6% |
| Net premium earned | 3,625 | 3,791 | 4.6% | 7,167 | 7,523 | 5.0% |
| Net underwriting result | (39) | (55) | 43.1% | (3) | (79) | - |
| - Incl. funds withheld | 53 | (5) | -109.2% | 173 | 45 | -74.2% |
| Net investment income | 379 | 387 | 2.1% | 745 | 779 | 4.6% |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 286 | 336 | 17.3% | 569 | 656 | 15.3% |
| - From funds withheld | 92 | 50 | -45.2% | 176 | 123 | -29.7% |
| Other income and expenses | 1 | 68 | - | 5 | 99 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 340 | 400 | 17.3% | 747 | 799 | 7.0% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | (18) | (18) | 0.3% | (36) | (36) | -0.2% |
| Net income before taxes | 322 | 381 | 18.3% | 711 | 764 | 7.4% |
| Taxes | (93) | (94) | 1.2% | (195) | (190) | -2.6% |
| Net income | 230 | 287 | 25.2% | 516 | 574 | 11.1% |
| - Non-controlling interests | 13 | 17 | 35.7% | 28 | 39 | 36.8% |
| Group net income | 217 | 270 | 24.6% | 488 | 535 | 9.6% |
| Retention | 90.6% | 90.9% | 89.8% | 90.3% | ||
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | ||
| Tax ratio | 28.8% | 24.6% | 27.4% | 24.9% | ||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.80 | 2.24 | 4.05 | 4.44 |
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q2/2016 | Q2/2017 | 1H/2016 | 1H/2017 | YTD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,125 | 2,613 | 4,627 | 5,427 | GWP f/x adjusted +16.9%, mainly from structured R/I; diversified growth in other areas |
||
| Net premium earned | 1,877 | 2,147 | 3,838 | 4,313 | NPE f/x adjusted +11.8% |
||
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
74 | 55 | 178 | 151 | Major loss expectation reflected in reserves as usual |
||
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
96.1% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 96.5% | Reserve increase due to Ogden tables of EUR 291 m. compensated by reserve releases |
||
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
201 | 235 | 405 | 474 | Favourable ordinary investment income |
||
| Other income and expenses | (12) | 34 | (20) | 10 | Other income and expenses benefited from positive currency effects |
||
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 263 | 324 | 563 | 634 | EBIT growth of 12.7% in line with volume growth |
||
| Tax ratio | 29.7% | 24.3% | 28.2% | 24.5% | EBIT margin of 14.7% (1H/2016: 14.7%) well above target |
||
| Group net income | 174 | 229 | 378 | 444 | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.44 | 1.90 | 3.14 | 3.68 |
* Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross
| Catastrophe losses* in m. EUR | Date | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Storm / Tornados, USA | 18 - 21 Jan | 12.6 | 11.0 |
| Wildfires, Chile | 21 Jan - 3 Feb | 19.8 | 19.8 |
| Cyclone "Debbie", Australia | 27 - 28 Mar | 55.5 | 46.4 |
| 3 Natural catastrophes | 87.9 | 77.2 | |
| 1 Property claim | 35.0 | 29.2 | |
| 1 Credit claim | 16.4 | 16.4 | |
| 5 Major losses | 139.4 | 122.9 |
* Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross
| 1H/2017: Combined Ratio vs. MtCR | EBIT margin |
|||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target | North America* | 98.1% | 20.6% | |||||
| markets | Continental Europe* | 87.7% | 24.4% | |||||
| Marine | 74.3% | 40.6% | ||||||
| Aviation | 70.0% | 45.4% | ||||||
| Specialty | Credit, surety and political risks | 90.2% | 18.5% | |||||
| lines worldwide |
UK, Ireland, London market and direct |
150.4% | -35.2% | |||||
| Facultative R/I | 86.3% | 25.0% | ||||||
| Worldwide Treaty* R/I | 98.0% | 10.4% | ||||||
| Global R/I |
Cat XL | 54.7% | 64.3% | |||||
| Structured R/I and ILS | 97.5% | 5.8% | ||||||
| Total | 96.5% | 14.7% | ||||||
| 0% | 20% | 40% | 60% | 80% | 100% | 120% |
MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio Combined Ratio
* All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q2/2016 | Q2/2017 | 1H/2016 | 1H/2017 | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 1,895 | 1,838 | 3,656 | 3,570 | GWP f/x-adjusted -1.5%, reduced premium volume from large-volume treaties partly offset |
| Net premium earned | 1,747 | 1,644 | 3,328 | 3,210 | by diversified growth in other areas NPE f/x-adjusted growth -3.1% |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(20) | (60) | (5) | (106) | Technical result impacted by legacy US mortality biz (~EUR 50 m. below expectation) |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
80 | 100 | 158 | 180 | Strong investment income Increased other income and expenses due to |
| Other income and expenses | 13 | 36 | 26 | 91 | strong contribution from deposit accounted treaties (1H/2017: EUR 93 m.) |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 74 | 75 | 179 | 165 | EBIT margins: |
| EBIT margin | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | • Financial solutions: 29.9% • Longevity: 2.3% |
| Tax ratio | 26.4% | 28.6% | 25.8% | 28.5% | • Mortality and Morbidity: 1.0% |
| Group net income | 53 | 54 | 131 | 114 | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.44 | 0.44 | 1.08 | 0.95 |
| in m. EUR | Q2/2016 | Q2/2017 | 1H/2016 | 1H/2017 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income* | 301 | 317 | 570 | 641 | 3.1% |
| Realised gains/losses | 36 | 59 | 80 | 83 | 0.4% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations |
(34) | (12) | (48) | (23) | -0.1% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
10 | (0) | 21 | 11 | 0.1% |
| Investment expenses | (26) | (28) | (52) | (56) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own mgmt. | 286 | 336 | 569 | 656 | 3.2% |
| NII from funds withheld | 92 | 50 | 176 | 123 | |
| Total net investment income | 379 | 387 | 745 | 779 | |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 16 | 30 Jun 17 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 30 Jun 17 | |
|---|---|---|
| On Balance-sheet | 1,355 | 1,410 |
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 728 | 758 |
| Off Balance-sheet | 509 | 456 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 370 | 317 |
| Total | 1,864 | 1,866 |
* Incl. results from associated companies
| Investment category | 30 Jun 17 |
|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 86 % |
| - Governments | 28 % |
| - Semi-governments | 17 % |
| - Corporates | 32 % |
| Investment grade | 27 % |
| Non-investment grade | 5 % |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 8 % |
| Equities | 4 % |
| - Listed Equity | 2 % |
| - Private Equity | 2 % |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 5 % |
| Others | 1 % |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4 % |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 40.8 |
Economic view based on market values as at 30 June 2017 * Before real estate-specific costs
| Business group | Key figures | Strategic targets for 2017 |
1H/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on investment1) | >2.7% | 3.2% |
| Return on equity2) | ≥9.7% | 12.2% | |
| Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) | ≥6.5% | 9.6% | |
| Value creation per share3) | ≥7.5% | n.a. | |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Gross premium growth | 3% - 5% | 16.9% |
| Combined ratio | ≤96% | 96.5% | |
| EBIT margin6) | ≥10% | 14.7% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health R/I | Gross premium growth | 5% - 7% | -1.5% |
| Value of New Business (VNB)9) | ≥ EUR 220 m. | n.a. | |
| EBIT margin6) Financial solutions/Longevity | ≥2% | 15.6% | |
| EBIT margin6) Mortality/Morbidity | ≥6% | 1.0% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥3% | n.a. | |
| 1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives |
2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds |
5) Incl. expected net major losses of EUR 825 m. 6) EBIT/net premium earned
9) Based on a cost of capital of 6% (until 2014: 4.5%)
3) Growth in book value per share + paid dividend 4) On average throughout the R/I cycle; at unchanged f/x rates
7) Excess return on allocated economic capital 8) Organic growth only; annual average growth (5 years), at unchanged f/x rates
Overall premium increase in North America of ~15%
Underwriting year figures at unchanged f/x rates (31 December 2016)
Hannover Re Group
| | Gross written premium1) | more than 5% |
|---|---|---|
| --- | ------------------------- | -------------- |
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2017 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m.
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS
| Lines of business | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Target | North America3) | +/- | |
| markets | Continental Europe3) | + | |
| Marine | + | ||
| Aviation | - | ||
| Specialty lines |
Credit, surety and political risks | +/- | |
| worldwide | UK, Ireland, London market and direct | - | |
| Facultative reinsurance | + | ||
| Worldwide treaty3) reinsurance | +/- | ||
| Global reinsurance |
Cat XL | - | |
| Structured reinsurance and ILS | +/- |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
3) All lines of business except those stated separately
| Reporting categories | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial solutions |
Financial solutions | ++ | |
| Longevity | +/- | ||
| Risk solutions |
Mortality | - | |
| Morbidity | +/- |
1) In EUR; development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | 1H/2016 | 1H/2017 | Δ | 1H/2016 | 1H/2017 | Δ | 1H/2016 | 1H/2017 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 4,627 | 5,427 | +17.3% | 3,656 | 3,570 | -2.4% | 8,284 | 8,998 | +8.6% |
| Net premium earned | 3,838 | 4,313 | +12.4% | 3,328 | 3,210 | -3.6% | 7,167 | 7,523 | +5.0% |
| Net underwriting result | 166 | 149 | -10.5% | (169) | (228) | 34.8% | (3) | (79) | - |
| Net underwritung result incl. funds withheld | 178 | 151 | -15.3% | (5) | (106) | - | 173 | 45 | -74.2% |
| Net investment income | 416 | 476 | +14.3% | 322 | 302 | -6.3% | 745 | 779 | +4.6% |
| From assets under own management | 405 | 474 | +17.1% | 158 | 180 | +14.0% | 569 | 656 | +15.3% |
| From funds withheld | 12 | 2 | -84.2% | 164 | 122 | -25.9% | 176 | 123 | -29.7% |
| Other income and expenses | (20) | 10 | - | 26 | 91 | - | 5 | 99 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 563 | 634 | +12.7% | 179 | 165 | -7.8% | 747 | 799 | +7.0% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 | - | (36) | (36) | -0.2% |
| Net income before taxes | 563 | 634 | +12.7% | 179 | 165 | -7.8% | 711 | 764 | +7.4% |
| Taxes | (159) | (155) | -2.0% | (46) | (47) | +1.7% | (195) | (190) | -2.6% |
| Net income | 404 | 479 | +18.5% | 133 | 118 | -11.1% | 516 | 574 | +11.1% |
| Non-controlling interest | 26 | 35 | +33.6% | 2 | 4 | +72.2% | 28 | 39 | +36.8% |
| Group net income | 378 | 444 | +17.4% | 131 | 114 | -12.6% | 488 | 535 | +9.6% |
| Retention | 88.2% | 89.4% | 91.8% | 91.6% | 89.8% | 90.3% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 95.4% | 96.5% | 100.1% | 103.3% | 97.6% | 99.4% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 14.7% | 14.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | |||
| Tax ratio | 28.2% | 24.5% | 25.8% | 28.5% | 27.4% | 24.9% | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 3.14 | 3.68 | 1.08 | 0.95 | 4.05 | 4.44 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q2/2016 | Q2/2017 | Δ | Q2/2016 | Q2/2017 | Δ | Q2/2016 | Q2/2017 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 2,125 | 2,613 | +22.9% | 1,895 | 1,838 | -3.0% | 4,020 | 4,451 | +10.7% |
| Net premium earned | 1,877 | 2,147 | +14.4% | 1,747 | 1,644 | -5.9% | 3,625 | 3,791 | +4.6% |
| Net underwriting result | 66 | 58 | -11.8% | (104) | (114) | +9.0% | (39) | (55) | - |
| Net underwritung result incl. funds withheld | 74 | 55 | -25.3% | (20) | (60) | - | 53 | (5) | -109.2% |
| Net investment income | 209 | 232 | +11.1% | 165 | 153 | -6.8% | 379 | 387 | +2.1% |
| From assets under own management | 201 | 235 | +16.9% | 80 | 100 | +24.5% | 286 | 336 | +17.3% |
| From funds withheld | 7 | (3) | -144.5% | 85 | 54 | -36.4% | 92 | 50 | -45.2% |
| Other income and expenses | (12) | 34 | - | 13 | 36 | +167.3% | 1 | 68 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 263 | 324 | +23.4% | 74 | 75 | +2.5% | 340 | 400 | +17.5% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | 0 | (0) | - | 0 | (0) | - | (18) | (18) | +0.3% |
| Net income before taxes | 263 | 324 | +23.4% | 74 | 75 | +2.5% | 322 | 381 | +18.5% |
| Taxes | (78) | (79) | +1.0% | (19) | (22) | - | (93) | (94) | +1.2% |
| Net income | 185 | 246 | +32.7% | 54 | 54 | -0.5% | 230 | 287 | +25.2% |
| Non-controlling interest | 11 | 17 | +50.5% | 1 | 0 | -80.5% | 13 | 17 | +35.7% |
| Group net income | 174 | 229 | +31.4% | 53 | 54 | +1.6% | 217 | 270 | +24.6% |
| Retention | 88.5% | 90.3% | 93.0% | 91.8% | 90.6% | 90.9% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 96.1% | 97.4% | 101.1% | 103.7% | 98.5% | 100.1% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 14.0% | 15.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | |||
| Tax ratio | 29.7% | 24.3% | 26.4% | 28.6% | 28.8% | 24.6% | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.44 | 1.90 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 1.80 | 2.24 |
| Investment category | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 30 Jun 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 90% | 90% | 87% | 87% | 86% |
| - Governments | 19% | 21% | 26% | 28% | 28% |
| - Semi-governments | 20% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| - Corporates | 36% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 32% |
| Investment grade | 33% | 33% | 30% | 28% | 27% |
| Non-investment grade3 ) |
3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 15% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 2) 8% |
| Equities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% |
| - Listed Equity | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| - Private Equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% |
| Others3 ) |
1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 32.2 | 36.8 | 39.8 | 42.3 | 40.5 |
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments
of EUR 1,065.2 m. (EUR 1,036.8 m.) as at 30 June 2017
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 74.4%
3) Reallocation of High Yield Funds from "Others" to "Corporates – Non-investment grade"
Unchanged focus on yields and spreads while relevance of (private) equities rises
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -174 | -174 | ||
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -349 | -349 | |
| +50 bps | -864 | -776 | ||
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -1,683 | -1,511 | |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -736 | -711 |
As at 30 June 2017
IV Conference Call on Half-yearly Report 2017
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAA | 76.4% | 67.4% | 1.0% | 64.8% | - | 46.2% | ||||||
| A A |
11.4% | 24.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | - | 14.5% | ||||||
| A | 6.3% | 3.3% | 33.8% | 7.4% | - | 15.7% | ||||||
| BBB | 4.1% | 1.3% | 43.9% | 10.0% | - | 18.5% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 1.9% | 3.4% | 9.3% | 4.2% | - | 5.1% | </bbb<>1.9% | 3.4% | 9.3% | 4.2% | - | 5.1% |
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | - | 100.0% | ||||||
| Germany | 10.0% | 50.3% | 4.2% | 24.9% | 38.4% | 18.5% | ||||||
| UK | 6.6% | 2.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | ||||||
| France | 1.6% | 2.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 4.4% | ||||||
| GIIPS | 1.2% | 1.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 2.7% | ||||||
| Rest of Europe | 3.9% | 14.4% | 17.1% | 25.3% | 4.6% | 12.4% | ||||||
| USA | 60.0% | 3.8% | 34.8% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 33.4% | ||||||
| Australia | 4.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | ||||||
| Asia | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 0.2% | 19.0% | 6.0% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 5.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.1% | ||||||
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 11,610 | 6,909 | 12,296 | 3,227 | 1,703 | 35,745 |
IFRS figures as at 30 June 2017
| 2016 | 5.0 |
|---|---|
| 2015 | 4.4 |
| 2014 | 4.6 |
| 2013 | 4.4 |
| 2012 | 4.5 |
Q4/2015 Q2/2016 Q4/2016 Q1/2017
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-to-date, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved.
Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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