Earnings Release • Nov 8, 2017
Earnings Release
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Hannover, 8 November 2017
| Group | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium: |
EUR 13,484 m. (+8.3%) | | Attractive GWP growth (f/x adjusted +9.5%) | ||||
| Net premium earned: |
EUR 11,541 m. (+7.2%) | | NPE f/x-adjusted growth of +8.4% | ||||
| EBIT: Group net income: |
EUR 806 m. EUR 549 m. |
| EBIT and net income impacted by high frequency/ severity of major losses but aided by a strong |
||||
| RoE: BVPS: |
8.5% EUR 68.00 |
investment result RoE only slightly below our minimum target BVPS decreased by –8.9% due to capital management measures and renewed Euro strengthening |
|||||
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Investments | |||||
| EBIT: Net major losses of EUR 894 m. (13.2% of NPE) exceed budget C/R slightly inflated mainly due to higher share of Structured R/I Accelerated GWP growth (f/x adjusted +16.1%) driven by new business in Structured R/I |
EUR 602 m. | EBIT: claims from legacy US mortality EUR 45m. as expected Strong earnings growth from Financial solutions business |
EUR 206 m. Continuously higher than expected One-off impact from US recapture of GWP growth (f/x adjusted +0.7%) in line with expectations |
NII: RoI from AuM: RoI target (>2.7%) of listed equities (EUR 226 m.) Strengthening of EUR leads to decrease in AUM (-3.8%) |
EUR 1.383 m. 3.9% significantly exceeds full-year Increased realised gains due to sale |
... partly mitigates significant impact from natural catastrophes
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q3/2016 | Q3/2017 | Δ | Q1-3/2016 | Q1-3/2017 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 4,170 | 4,486 | 7.6% | 12,454 | 13,484 | 8.3% |
| Net premium earned | 3,600 | 4,018 | 11.6% | 10,767 | 11,541 | 7.2% |
| Net underwriting result | 47 | (590) | - | 44 | (669) | - |
| - Incl. funds withheld | 121 | (533) | - | 294 | (488) | - |
| Net investment income | 402 | 603 | 50.2% | 1,146 | 1,383 | 20.6% |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 327 | 546 | 66.9% | 897 | 1,202 | 34.1% |
| - From funds withheld | 74 | 57 | -23,6% | 250 | 180 | -27.9% |
| Other income and expenses | (5) | (6) | 32.3% | 0 | 92 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 444 | 7 | -98.4% | 1,191 | 806 | -32.3% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | (18) | (18) | 0.3% | (54) | (54) | -0.0% |
| Net income before taxes | 426 | (11) | - | 1,137 | 753 | -33.8% |
| Taxes | (112) | 47 | - | (307) | (143) | -53.4% |
| Net income | 314 | 36 | -88.6% | 830 | 610 | -26.6% |
| - Non-controlling interests | 10 | 22 | 117.5% | 38 | 61 | 58.0% |
| Group net income | 304 | 14 | -95.4% | 792 | 549 | -30.7% |
| Retention | 89.4% | 89.7% | 89.6% | 90.1% | ||
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) | 12.3% | 0.2% | 11.1% | 7.0% | ||
| Tax ratio | 26.3% | - | 27.0% | 19.0% | ||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 2.52 | 0.11 | 6.57 | 4.55 |
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2016 | Q3/2017 | Q1-3/2016 | Q1-3/2017 | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,493 | 2,772 | 7,121 | 8,199 | GWP f/x adjusted +16.1%, mainly from Structured R/I; diversified growth in other areas |
| Net premium earned | 2,087 | 2,440 | 5,925 | 6,753 | NPE f/x adjusted +14.9% |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
116 | (446) | 294 | (296) | Major losses of EUR 894 m. (13.2% of NPE) exceeded the budget by EUR 271 m. (4.0%p) |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
94.4% | 118.3% | 95.0% | 104.4% | No changes to Ogden reserving ( EUR 291 m. compensated by IBNR reserves). Reserve redundancies unchanged at Q2 level |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
219 | 460 | 624 | 933 | NII positively influenced by realisation of valuation reserves in equities of EUR 226 m. |
| Other income and expenses | (3) | (46) | (23) | (36) | Other income and expenses mainly impacted by negative f/x effects |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 332 | (33) | 895 | 602 | EBIT margin of 8.9% (Q1-3/2016: 15.1%) below target of 10% |
| Tax ratio | 25.8% | 180.6% | 27.3% | 16.1% | Low tax ratio due to tax-reduced gains from disposal of listed equities |
| Group net income | 237 | 5 | 615 | 449 | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.97 | 0.04 | 5.10 | 3.72 |
* Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross
| Catastrophe losses* in m. EUR | Date | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Storm / Tornados, USA | 18 - 21 Jan | 12.3 | 9.2 |
| Wildfires, Chile | 21 Jan - 3 Feb | 18.9 | 16.0 |
| Cyclone "Debbie", Australia | 27 - 28 Mar | 59.4 | 42.2 |
| Wildfires, South Africa | 7 Jun | 17.7 | 15.0 |
| Typhoon "Hato", China | 22 - 23 Aug | 27.1 | 13.4 |
| Hurricane "Harvey" | 23 - 31 Aug | 229.7 | 100.0 |
| Hurricane "Irma" | 5 - 13 Sep | 787.4 | 329.9 |
| Earthquake, Mexico | 7 - 8 Sep | 22.3 | 21.5 |
| Hurricane "Maria" | 18 - 21 Sep | 315.6 | 220.8 |
| Earthquake, Mexico | 19 Sep | 50.7 | 50.0 |
| 10 Natural catastrophes | 1,541.1 | 818.0 | |
| 1 Property claim | 56.9 | 48.6 | |
| 2 Credit claims | 27.6 | 27.6 | |
| 13 Major losses | 1,625.6 | 894.3 |
* Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross
Combined Ratio MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio
* All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
EBIT
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2016 | Q3/2017 | Q1-3/2016 | Q1-3/2017 | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 1,677 | 1,714 | 5,333 | 5,284 | GWP f/x adjusted +0.7%, reduced premium volume from large-volume treaties offset by diversified |
| Net premium earned | 1,513 | 1,578 | 4,841 | 4,788 | growth in other areas NPE f/x adjusted growth +0.3% |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
5 | (86) | 1 | (193) | Technical result impacted by legacy US mortality business as well as recapture in Q3/2017 |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
105 | 86 | 263 | 266 | Favourable investment income Increased other income and expenses due to strong |
| Other income and expenses | 0 | 41 | 26 | 133 | contribution from deposit accounted treaties (Q1- 3/2017: EUR 139 m.) |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 111 | 41 | 290 | 206 | EBIT margins: • Financial solutions: 27.4% |
| EBIT margin | 7.4% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | • Longevity: 1.9% • Mortality and Morbidity: 0.3% |
| Tax ratio | 28.8% | 45.9% | 26.9% | 31.9% | |
| Group net income | 78 | 22 | 209 | 136 | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.65 | 0.18 | 1.73 | 1.13 |
| in m. EUR | Q3/2016 | Q3/2017 | Q1-3/2016 | Q1-3/2017 | RoI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income* | 285 | 312 | 855 | 953 | 3.1% | ||
| Realised gains/losses | 74 | 260 | 154 | 343 | 1.1% | ||
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations |
(13) | (11) | (61) | (34) | -0.1% | ||
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
9 | 12 | 29 | 22 | 0.1% | ||
| Investment expenses | (27) | (26) | (80) | (82) | -0.3% | ||
| NII from assets under own mgmt. | 327 | 546 | 897 | 1,202 | 3.9% | ||
| NII from funds withheld | 74 | 57 | 250 | 180 | |||
| Total net investment income | 402 | 603 | 1,146 | 1.383 | |||
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 16 | 30 Sep 17 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 30 Sep 17 | |
|---|---|---|
| On Balance-sheet | 1,355 | 1,179 |
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 728 | 717 |
| Off Balance-sheet | 509 | 447 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 370 | 307 |
| Total | 1,864 | 1,627 |
YTD
* Incl. results from associated companies
| Investment category | 30 Sep 17 |
|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 88 % |
| - Governments | 31 % |
| - Semi-governments | 17 % |
| - Corporates | 32 % |
| Investment grade | 27 % |
| Non-investment grade | 5 % |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 8 % |
| Equities | 2 % |
| - Listed Equity | < 1% |
| - Private Equity | 2 % |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 5 % |
| Others | 1 % |
| Short-term investments & cash | 5 % |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 40.6 |
Economic view based on market values as at 30 September 2017 * Before real estate-specific costs
| Business group | Key figures | Strategic targets for 2017 |
Q1-3/2017 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on investment1) | >2.7% | 3.9% |
| Return on equity2) | ≥9.7% | 8.5% | |
| Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) | ≥6.5% | -30.7% | |
| Value creation per share3) | ≥7.5% | n.a. | |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Gross premium growth | 3% - 5% | 16.1% |
| Combined ratio | ≤96% | 104.4% | |
| EBIT margin6) | ≥10% | 8.9% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health R/I | Gross premium growth | 5% - 7% | 0.7% |
| Value of New Business (VNB)9) | ≥ EUR 220 m. | n.a. | |
| EBIT margin6) Financial solutions/Longevity | ≥2% | 14.1% | |
| EBIT margin6) Mortality/Morbidity | ≥6% | 0.3% | |
| xRoCA7) | ≥3% | n.a. | |
| 1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives |
2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds |
5) Incl. expected net major losses of EUR 825 m. 6) EBIT/net premium earned
9) Based on a cost of capital of 6% (until 2014: 4.5%)
3) Growth in book value per share + paid dividend 4) On average throughout the R/I cycle; at unchanged f/x rates
7) Excess return on allocated economic capital 8) Organic growth only; annual average growth (5 years), at unchanged f/x rates
Hannover Re Group
| | Gross written premium1) | more than 5% |
|---|---|---|
| | Return on investment2) 3) | more than 3.0% |
| | Group net income2) | ~ EUR 800 m. |
Dividend payout unchanged on previous year's level (incl. special dividend)2)
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in Q4/2017 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 200 m.
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
| Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|
| North America3) | - | |
| Continental Europe3) | + | |
| Marine | +/- | |
| Aviation | - | |
| Credit, surety and political risks | +/- | |
| UK, Ireland, London market and direct | - | |
| Facultative reinsurance | + | |
| Worldwide treaty3) reinsurance | +/- | |
| Cat XL | - | |
| Structured reinsurance and ILS | +/- | |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
3) All lines of business except those stated separately
| Reporting categories | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial solutions |
Financial solutions | ++ | |
| Longevity | +/- | ||
| Risk solutions |
Mortality | - | |
| Morbidity | +/- |
1) In EUR; development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
Hannover Re Group
Dividend payout ratio4) 35% 40% (If comfortable level of capitalisation remains unchanged, this ratio will increase through payment of another special dividend)
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2018 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m.
1) At unchanged f/x rates
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q1-3/2016 | Q1-3/2017 | Δ | Q1-3/2016 | Q1-3/2017 | Δ | Q1-3/2016 | Q1-3/2017 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 7,121 | 8,199 | +15.2% | 5,333 | 5,284 | -0.9% | 12,454 | 13,484 | +8.3% |
| Net premium earned | 5,925 | 6,753 | +14.0% | 4,841 | 4,788 | -1.1% | 10,767 | 11,541 | +7.2% |
| Net underwriting result | 276 | (309) | - | (231) | (360) | +55.8% | 44 | (669) | - |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 294 | (296) | - | 1 | (193) | - | 294 | (488) | - |
| Net investment income | 642 | 947 | +47.4% | 495 | 433 | -12.5% | 1,146 | 1,383 | +20.6% |
| From assets under own management | 624 | 933 | +49.6% | 263 | 266 | +1.0% | 897 | 1,202 | +34.1% |
| From funds withheld | 19 | 13 | -27.9% | 231 | 167 | -27.9% | 250 | 180 | -27.9% |
| Other income and expenses | (23) | (36) | 55.5% | 26 | 133 | - | 0 | 92 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 895 | 602 | -32.8% | 290 | 206 | -29.1% | 1,191 | 806 | -32.3% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | 0 | 0 | +0.0% | 0 | 0 | - | (54) | (54) | -0.0% |
| Net income before taxes | 895 | 602 | -32.8% | 290 | 206 | -29.1% | 1,137 | 753 | -33.8% |
| Taxes | (244) | (97) | -60.4% | (78) | (66) | -16.0% | (307) | (143) | -53.4% |
| Net income | 651 | 505 | -22.4% | 212 | 140 | -33.9% | 830 | 610 | -26.6% |
| Non-controlling interest | 35 | 56 | +59.9% | 3 | 5 | +37.4% | 38 | 61 | +58.0% |
| Group net income | 615 | 449 | -27.1% | 209 | 136 | -35.0% | 792 | 549 | -30.7% |
| Retention | 88.3% | 89.2% | 91.5% | 91.5% | 89.6% | 90.1% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 95.0% | 104.4% | 100.0% | 104.0% | 97.3% | 104.2% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 15.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 11.1% | 7.0% | |||
| Tax ratio | 27.3% | 16.1% | 26.9% | 31.9% | 27.0% | 19.0% | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 5.10 | 3.72 | 1.73 | 1.13 | 6.57 | 4.55 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q3/2016 | Q3/2017 | Δ | Q3/2016 | Q3/2017 | Δ | Q3/2016 | Q3/2017 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 2,493 | 2,772 | +11.2% | 1,677 | 1,714 | +2.2% | 4,170 | 4,486 | +7.6% |
| Net premium earned | 2,087 | 2,440 | +16.9% | 1,513 | 1,578 | +4.3% | 3,600 | 4,018 | +11.6% |
| Net underwriting result | 109 | (458) | - | (62) | (132) | +113.3% | 47 | (590) | - |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 116 | (446) | - | 5 | (86) | - | 121 | (533) | - |
| Net investment income | 226 | 471 | +108.1% | 173 | 131 | -24.1% | 402 | 603 | +50.2% |
| From assets under own management | 219 | 460 | +109.6% | 105 | 86 | -18.5% | 327 | 546 | +66.9% |
| From funds withheld | 7 | 12 | +63.7% | 67 | 45 | -32.8% | 74 | 57 | -23.6% |
| Other income and expenses | (3) | (46) | - | 0 | 41 | - | (5) | (6) | 32.3% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 332 | (33) | - | 111 | 41 | -63.4% | 444 | 7 | -98.4% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | (0) | 0 | - | (0) | 0 | - | (18) | (18) | +0.3% |
| Net income before taxes | 332 | (33) | - | 111 | 41 | -63.4% | 426 | (11) | -102.6% |
| Taxes | (86) | 59 | - | (32) | (19) | -41.7% | (112) | 47 | - |
| Net income | 246 | 26 | -89.3% | 79 | 22 | -72.2% | 314 | 36 | -88.6% |
| Non-controlling interest | 9 | 22 | +134.8% | 1 | 1 | -46.2% | 10 | 22 | +117.5% |
| Group net income | 237 | 5 | -98.0% | 78 | 22 | -72.5% | 304 | 14 | -95.4% |
| Retention | 88.5% | 88.8% | 90.8% | 91.2% | 89.4% | 89.7% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 94.4% | 118.3% | 99.6% | 105.5% | 96.6% | 113.3% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 15.9% | -1.3% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 12.3% | 0.2% | |||
| Tax ratio | 25.8% | 180.6% | 28.8% | 45.9% | 26.3% | - | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.97 | 0.04 | 0.65 | 0.18 | 2.52 | 0.11 |
| Investment category | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 30 Sep 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 90% | 90% | 87% | 87% | 88% |
| - Governments | 19% | 21% | 26% | 28% | 31% |
| - Semi-governments | 20% | 19% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| - Corporates | 36% | 36% | 34% | 33% | 32% |
| Investment grade | 33% | 33% | 30% | 28% | 27% |
| Non-investment grade3 ) |
3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 15% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 2) 8% |
| Equities | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% |
| - Listed Equity | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | < 1% |
| - Private Equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% |
| Others3 ) |
1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 32.2 | 36.8 | 39.8 | 42.3 | 40.6 |
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments
of EUR 1,053.7 m. (EUR 1,036.8 m.) as at 30 September 2017
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 75.5%
3) Reallocation of High Yield Funds from "Others" to "Corporates – Non-investment grade"
Unchanged focus on yields and spreads; reduced relevance of Equity investments
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -88 | -88 | ||
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -176 | -176 | |
| +50 bps | -869 | -784 | ||
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -1,692 | -1,527 | |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -717 | -691 |
As at 30 September 2017
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAA | 78.0% | 66.7% | 1.1% | 65.8% | - | 47.5% | ||||||
| A A |
11.5% | 22.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | - | 14.1% | ||||||
| A | 5.4% | 5.3% | 33.1% | 7.1% | - | 15.4% | ||||||
| BBB | 3.6% | 1.3% | 44.1% | 10.8% | - | 18.1% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 1.5% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 3.8% | - | 4.9% | </bbb<>1.5% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 3.8% | - | 4.9% |
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | - | 100.0% | ||||||
| Germany | 13.7% | 50.0% | 4.1% | 25.0% | 34.5% | 19.2% | ||||||
| UK | 7.1% | 2.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | ||||||
| France | 1.4% | 1.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 4.0% | ||||||
| GIIPS | 1.1% | 1.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% | 2.6% | ||||||
| Rest of Europe | 3.6% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 24.3% | 5.0% | 11.8% | ||||||
| USA | 58.3% | 4.0% | 34.9% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 33.6% | ||||||
| Australia | 3.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | ||||||
| Asia | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 0.2% | 20.6% | 6.0% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 4.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.1% | ||||||
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 12,431 | 6,712 | 12,195 | 3,180 | 1,829 | 36,347 |
IFRS figures as at 30 September 2017
| 2016 | 5.0 |
|---|---|
| 2015 | 4.4 |
| 2014 | 4.6 |
| 2013 | 4.4 |
| 2012 | 4.5 |
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-to-date, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved.
Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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