Earnings Release • Mar 1, 2018
Earnings Release
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Corporate Presentation
Welcome to the world of Encavis!
March, 2018
Our generation capacity of solar and wind parks sums up to > 1.5 GW – and growing. We are listed on the German stock exchange and member of the SDAX Index.
COMPELLING REASONS TO INVEST IN ENCAVIS …
Generation capacity of > 1.5 GW
Market capitalization > 800 mEUR
Equity ratio of ~28% (2016: ~26%)
171 PV/65 wind parks with long-term Feed-in-tariffs/PPAs > Attractive non-recourse financing conditions on project level
Ready-to-build/turn-key projects and parks in operation
Nominal dividend to increase by 50% until 2021
Dividend offered as scrip dividend
Strategic alliances with top project developers
Fast growing PPA-market
Shaping the industry: customized solutions at competitive long-term fixed prices with minimal carbon footprint
Financial year 2017
ENCAVIS STRONG OPERATIONAL* PROFITABLE GROWTH PATH CONTINUED IN 2017
| KPIs (mEUR) | 2016 | 2017 | Change (in %) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 141.8 | 222.4 | +57% |
| Op. EBITDA | 106.1 | 166.8 | +57% |
| Op. EBIT | 61.6 | 100.4 | +63% |
| Op. Cash flow | 103.8 | 153.0 | +47% |
| KPIs (mEUR) | 2017 | Weather related effects | FY2017 adjusted for weather effects |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 222.4 | 4.3 | 218.1 |
| Op. EBITDA | 166.8 | 4.3 | 162.5 |
| Op. EBIT | 100.4 | 4.3 | 96.1 |
*Operational figures do not include non-cash related value effects
| Operating P&L | Solarparks | Technical Services |
Windparks | Asset Management |
HQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 168.9 | 0.3 | 49.5 | 3.7 | - |
| EBITDA | 134.2 | 1.3 | 36.4 | 0.9 | -6.0 |
| EBITDA margin | 79% | 38% | 74% | 24% | - |
| EBIT | 83.3 | 1.3 | 21.7 | 0.3 | -6.2 |
| EBIT margin | 49% | 38% | 44% | 8% | - |
! All costs associated with operating activities (personnel and other costs) were distributed to the segments
"GUIDANCE 2018"
| Operating key figures (in mEUR) |
Result 2017 | Weather adjusted (wa) figures 2017 |
Guidance 2018 | Change Guidance 2018 - (wa) figures 2017 in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 222.4 | 218.4 | >240 | +10% |
| EBITDA | 166.8 | 162.5 | >175 | +8% |
| EBIT | 100.4 | 96.1 | >105 | +9% |
| Cashflow | 153.0 | n.a. | >163 | +7% |
| EPS | 0.29 | 0.26 | >0.30 | +15% |
Guidance is based on the existing portfolio as of March 16, 2018, and does not take into account future acquisitions
"GUIDANCE 2018"
| Operating P&L (in mEUR) |
Result 2017 | Weather adjusted (wa) FY2017 |
Guidance 2018 |
Change Guidance 2018 - (wa) FY2017 in % |
2019 | 2019 – (wa) FY2017 in % |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 222.4 | 218.4 | >240 | +10% | ~250 | +14% | |
| EBITDA | 166.8 | 162.5 | >175 | +8% | |||
| EBIT | 100.4 | 96.1 | >105 | +9% | |||
| Cashflow | 153.0 | n.a. | >163 | +7% | |||
| EPS | 0.29 | 0.26 | >0.30 | +15% | ~0.35 | +35% |
| Operating P&L mEUR |
Solarparks | Technical Services |
Windparks | Asset Management |
HQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | >175 | (internal revenues) |
>58 | >7 | - |
| EBITDA | >140 | >1 | >40 | >1 | <-7 |
| EBITDA margin | 80% | 32% | 69% | 14% | - |
| EBIT | >86 | >1 | >24 | >1 | <-7 |
| EBIT margin | 49% | 30% | 41% | 14% | - |
Combining smart finance and sustainable investments in the renewable sector
| Segments | Business activities |
|---|---|
| > Acquisition and operation of ground mounted PV parks |
|
| > Acquisition and operation of onshore wind parks |
|
| > Customized portfolios or fund solutions with an all-round service for institutional investors in renewable energies (Encavis Asset Management) |
|
| > Technical operation & maintenance of PV parks by our technical service unit (Encavis Technical Services) |
We acquire ready-to-built, turnkey-projects or existing parks and operate them over their technical and commercial life time
We acquire parks that have a fixed and longterm FIT
We provide customized solutions with dedicated investments on the basis of longterm PPAs
Focus: Institutional Investors (e.g. insurance companies, pensions funds, banks, foundations)
OFFERING: One-stop-shop approach (deal originating, selecting and managing the acquisition, park operation)
PRODUCT: Investment funds on the basis of special Luxembourg SICAVfunds/customized portfolios
FINANCIALS: Management fees add > 5mEUR of recurring revenues
Strategic Partnership with the state fund ISIF and Irish project developer Power Capital
Pipeline of >20 PV parks with ~140 MW in Ireland
ISIF as co-investor (25%)
Strong PPA market, energy intensive industries (e.g. data centres) of multinationals
Specified IRR benchmarks
Strategic partnership with UK based project developer Solarcentury
Pipeline of in total 1.1 GW with projects in Europe and Mexico
First park in the Netherlands (43.9 MW) successfully acquired in March 2018
Taking over Ready-to-build (RTB) PV parks with specified IRR benchmarks
Standardization of processes reduces transaction costs
PV and wind parks with a capacity of > 1.5 GW
| WIND PARKS | OWN ASSETS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 215 MW | 273 MW | |
| France | 36 MW | 85 MW | |
| Austria | 36 MW | - | |
| Finland | - | 13 MW | |
| United Kingdom |
- | 18 MW | |
| Sweden | - | 10 MW | |
| Italy | 6 MW | - | |
| Denmark | 25 MW | - | |
| Total | 318 MW | 399 MW | |
| SOLAR PARKS | OWN ASSETS | ASSET MANAGEMENT | |
| Germany | 255 MW | 12 MW | |
| Italy | 147 MW | 7 MW | |
| France | 202 MW | 12 MW | |
| United Kingdom |
127 MW | - | |
| Netherlands | 92 MW | - | |
| Total | 824 MW | 31 MW | |
| GROUP TOTAL | 1.572 MW |
ENCAVIS PORTFOLIO - HIGHER SHARE OF PV VS. ASSET MANAGEMENT PORTFOLIO
! PV capacity accounts for >2/3 of the renewable energy asset portfolio of Encavis
DIVERSIFICATION BY TECHNOLOGY (WIND/PV) WITH COMPLEMENTARY INCOME STREAMS OVER THE YEAR
Demand for renewables to increase
Source: International Energy Agency 2017
Shift from government-set tariffs to competitive auctions and longterm power purchase agreements
Reduction of production- and technology costs
Increasing experience in O&M
COP 21 Paris: 196 countries united to limit global warming below 2°C
Europe 20-20-20 targets
China: largest installed renewables fleets
Denuclearization in Germany and Japan
Creation of low-carb economies
Private companies create global initiatives in order to take action on climate change.
Multinational companies such as Google, Facebook and Microsoft go ahead with ambitious targets
100% renewable targets help to create a positive brand awareness
Furthermore, direct power purchase agreements between companies and power producers from renewable energy resources offer long-term supply at fixed rates
U.S. data centre electricity consumption in 2014: 70 billion kilowatt-hours (CAGR 4% until 2020)
Global data centre market expected to grow further to \$23bn by 2019 (CAGR +9%)
96% of Facebook's electricity consumption related to its data centres
In 2016 Google planned the construction of 12 new cloud data centres
North American market with pioneering role
US companies search partners for PPAs in Europe
ENCAVIS registers increasing demand for PPAs also in Europe (Nordics, Spain, Italy, Ireland)
Major PPA deal in Europe in 2017: Norsk Hydro signs PPA until 2039 for 650 MW wind park in Sweden
PPAs are contracted for time periods from 6 20 years
THE "GOLDEN END" OF ENCAVIS'S POWER PLANTS
Solar-park connected to the grid in 2010 with FIT for 20 years (t20)
Park is bought in Q2 2011, first full year of operation 2012 (t2)
Non-recourse project financing will be serviced and paid-off by the park
! As the loan is paid-off during the FIT-period, parks are very profitable in the "golden end"
Source: Company data
GOLDEN END" - PV PARKS STILL WITH HIGH EFFICIENCIES AND LOWEST MARGINAL COSTS
Operating renewable power plants
Specialized in technical operation of PV parks since 2008
The team is located in Halle (Saale) and consists of 16 project-experienced engineers, technicians and mechanics
Company is accepted by financing banks
Broad technology experience:
Crystalline and thin-film modules
Central and string inverters
Different monitoring systems
Integration of all parks into our centralized 24h control room
Calculation of yield reports and simulations based on actual irradiation levels
Handling of failure reports 365 days a year
Management of fast response fault clearance actions
Failure analysis and repair works directly on site are conducted by experienced and trained team
Our service vehicles hold comprehensive stock of spare parts
For major repairs teams of the component manufacturers are requested (for instance defective power sections)
Identification of strings with short circuits
Adjustment of the polarity
For instance repair of string-inverters with lightning damages (350 in the last 24 months)
Performance measurements for strings or single modules show performance reductions
In 2014 and 2015 our team replaced more than 20,000 defect modules
Power Uprates for installed turbines increase annual electricity production of turbines by up to 3% without effecting the turbine design life
Improve efficiency of turbine at lower wind speeds through software updates and the optimization of regular downtimes, of blade pitch angle and of gondola alignment
Hour of Day
Supply based on coal, nuclear and gas
Large, centralized power plants
National markets not interconnected
Source: Own illustration
Electricity demand and historic supply mix Conceptual supply mix in the future
Supply based on Renewables and flexible gas power plants
Electricity storage with increasing importance
Decentralized power generation with prosumers
NEW BUSINESS CASES FOR ELECTRICITY STORAGE
Strong increase in annual commissions
Growth distributed globally
Source: BNEF
Lithium-ion technology currently standard technology
Strong growth in all regions until 2030 as storage is needed to integrate renewables into power sectors and thus guarantee security of supply
Decreasing costs drive capacity additions
Resource solicitation for RES generation plus storage
Submission of 400 individual proposals
Median price for wind-plus-storage projects was \$21/MWh and for solar-plus-storage was \$36/MWh
Combined bids are only \$3-\$7 higher than standalone wind- and solar power plants
Encavis is owner and operator of utility-scale batteries
Encavis transfers usage of batteries via long-term contracts
Projects are bankable
Partner is responsible for the marketing of the batteryservices
Diversification of Portfolio
Complementary to RES power generation
Early bird advantages
Increase revenues of parks after end of FIT ("Golden End")
ENCAVIS – ONE OF THE LARGEST INDEPENDENT AND LISTED EUROPEAN RENEWABLE IPPS
Dividend policy reflects increasing cash flows from PV/wind parks over time
50% increase of nominal dividend until 2021 (compared to 2016) based on the existing PV/wind park portfolio as of March 31, 2017
Further acquisitions of PV/wind parks will positively contribute to the dividend potential
46
ENCAVIS-SHARE – 8 COVERAGES, 100% 'BUY', AVERAGE TARGET PRICE EUR 8.21 Coverage institution Rating Date Target Price (in EUR) Buy January 18, 2018 7.60 Buy March 20, 2018 9.00 Buy March 27, 2018 8.50 Buy November 21, 2017 8.50 Outperform March 23, 2018 8.80 Buy February 22, 2018 7.15 Buy January 18, 2018 8.30 Buy March 12, 2018 7.80
! Coverage initiation by further institutions is in progress
Since September 2017 CEO at Encavis AG
CEO Rohstoffallianz GmbH
Member of the Management Board of E.ON-Energie AG
E.ON AG Düsseldorf, SVP Corporate Development
Member of the Management Board Schenker AG
Since October 2014 CFO at Encavis AG
Member (CFO) and later Chairman of the Management Board of HOCHTIEF Projekt Entwicklung GmbH
STINNES AG and HOCHTIEF AG, Head of Corporate Controlling and M&A
VEBA AG, Controlling
Since mid October 2016 COO at Encavis AG
CEO of CHORUS Clean Energy AG
Member of the Executive Board of CHORUS Group
Previously held senior management positions at German subsidiaries of different banks, e.g. LBBW
Member of the Board of BSW Solar (German Solar Association)
Member of the Board of Directors at E.ON AG (until Nov. 2006)
Supervisory Board (a.o.): Coal & Minerals GmbH, EQT Partners investment consultancy GmbH; EEW Energy from Waste GmbH
Entrepreneur and co-owner of the B&L Group
Supervisory board (a.o.): GL Aktiengesellschaft, Dichtungstechnik G. Bruss GmbH & Co. KG
Until January 2014 chairman of the supervisory board at RWE Innogy GmbH (previously CEO)
Supervisory board (a.o.): Aurubis AG, RADAG and Putz & Partner Unternehmensberatung AG
Until December 2006 CEO at HSH Nordbank and thereafter until April 2008 CEO at WestLB AG
Supervisory board (a.o.): HCI Capital AG, alstria office REIT-AG, Euro-Aviation Versicherungs-AG
Entrepreuneur and director of the maubach.icp GmbH
November 2015 November 2016 CEO at Capital Stage; before CEO at E.ON Avacon AG & E.ON Energy AG
Until October 2016 member of the supervisory board at CHORUS Clean Energy AG
Former member of the German parliament
Entrepreneur and co-owner of the B&L Group
Supervisory board (a.o.): Kalorimeta AG & Co. KG, URBANA Energietechnik AG & Co. KG, Dichtungstechnik G. BRUSS GmbH & Co. KG
Previously 15 years as CEO at Douglas Holding AG
Supervisory board (a.o.): Deutsche EuroShop AG; Thalia Bücher GmbH
Until October 2016 chairman of the supervisory board at CHORUS Clean Energy AG
Founder of the CHORUS GmbH in 1998
Till Gießmann Head of IR/PR Große Elbstraße 59 22767 Hamburg, Germany
March 2018 Fon: +49 (40) 3785 62 0 Fax: +49 (40) 3785 62 129 Email: [email protected]
The information provided in this document has been derived from sources that we believe to be reliable. However, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this information and we do not assume any responsibility for it. Encavis AG assumes no liability for any errors or omissions or for any resulting financial losses. Investments in capital markets, in particular in stock markets and futures markets, are fundamentally associated with risks and a complete loss of the invested capital cannot be ruled out. Recommendations provided herein do not represent an offer to buy or sell and are not intended to replace comprehensive and thorough advice before making a decision to buy or sell. Copies of the content of this presentation, in particular prints and copies or publications in electronic media, will only be authorized by written consent from Encavis AG.
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