AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Hannover Rueck SE

Earnings Release May 7, 2018

197_ip_2018-05-07_69aa0758-dd34-4aae-881d-bced5c30df21.pdf

Earnings Release

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Conference Call on Q1/2018 results

Hannover, 7 May 2018

Favourable start to 2018 EBIT increase of +8.5% outperforms NPE growth

Figures in EUR

Strong growth in both business groups and pleasing NII ... ... produces favourable Group net income

Group figures in m. EUR Q1/2017 Q1/2018 Δ
Gross written premium 4,547 5,345 +17.6%
Net premium earned 3,738 3,999 +7.0%
Net underwriting result (23) 37 -
- Incl. funds withheld 49 96 +93.7%
Net investment income (NII) 393 391 -0.4%
- From assets under own mgmt. 320 333 +4.0%
- From funds withheld 73 59 -19.5%
Other income and expenses 30 5 -82.5%
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 400 434 +8.5%
Interest on hybrid capital (18) (18) +0.1%
Net income before taxes 382 416 +8.9%
Taxes (96) (117) +21.9%
Net income 286 299 +4.5%
- Non-controlling interests 22 26 +20.3%
Group net income 265 273 +3.3%
Retention 89.6% 91.3%
EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) 10.7% 10.8%
Tax ratio 25.1% 28.1%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 2.20 2.27

Favourable operating cash flow in Q1/2018 Valuation reserves and f/x effects dampen increase in AuM

3 Conference Call on Q1/2018 results

Shareholders' equity down due to reduced OCI

Significant top and bottom line growth Increased underwriting result and strong investment income

Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR Q1/2017 Q1/2018 Δ
Gross written premium 2,815 3,579 +27.1%
Net premium earned 2,166 2,425 +12.0%
Net underwriting result
incl. interest on funds withheld
96 100 +4.0%
Combined ratio
incl. interest on funds withheld
95.6% 95.9% +0.3%p
Net investment income from assets
under own management
238 260 +9.2%
Other income and expenses (24) (21) -14.0%
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 310 339 +9.4%
Tax ratio 24.7% 23.3% -1.4%p
Group net income 215 235 +9.0%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 1.79 1.95

YTD

  • GWP f/x-adjusted +38.8%; particularly strong growth in Structured R/I and Worldwide treaty; further growth in other business lines
  • NPE f/x-adjusted +22.4%
  • Major losses of EUR 73 m. below budget for Q1/2018 (3.0% of NPE)
  • Unchanged policy regarding setting of loss reserves
  • Satisfactory ordinary investment income and positive contribution from realised gains
  • EBIT margin of 14.0% (Q1/2017: 14.3%), well above target (10%)

Major losses below budget of EUR 167 m. for Q1/2018

* Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross

Overall benign large loss experience in Q1/2018

Catastrophe losses* in m. EUR Date Gross Net
Storm "Friederike", Europe 17. - 18. Jan 47.9 31.5
1 Natural catastrophe 47.9 31.5
1 Property claim 19.1 19.0
1 Credit claim 22.9 22.9
3 Major losses 89.9 73.4

* Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross

Diversified portfolio delivers C/R below MtCR

2018: Combined Ratio vs. MtCR margin
Target North America* 105.9% 11.6%
markets Continental Europe* 83.9% 26.7%
Marine 57.5% 54.7%
Aviation 105.2% 8.0%
Specialty
lines
Credit, surety and political risks 82.9% 25.9%
worldwide UK, Ireland, London market
and direct
112.2% 2.5%
Facultative R/I 99.0% 8.3%
Worldwide Treaty* R/I 99.6% 9.3%
Global
R/I
Cat XL 17.2% 104.7%
Structured R/I and ILS 98.6% 4.7%
Total 95.9% 14.0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%

MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio Combined Ratio

* All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately

EBIT

Pleasing EBIT growth of 6.9% US mortality results better than expected

Life & Health R/I in m. EUR Q1/2017 Q1/2018 Δ
Gross written premium 1,732 1,766 +2.0%
Net premium earned 1,572 1,574 +0.1%
Net underwriting result
incl. interest on funds withheld
(46) (4) -91.9%
Net investment income from assets
under own management
81 72 -10.7%
Other income and expenses 55 28 -50.0%
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 90 96 +6.9%
EBIT margin 5.7% 6.1% +0.4%p
Tax ratio 28.4% 45.9% +17.5%p
Group net income 61 51 -15.7%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 0.50 0.42

YTD

  • GWP f/x-adj. +9.2%, mainly from Asia and United Kingdom
  • NPE f/x-adjusted growth +7.4%
  • Improved technical result driven by better morbidity experience
  • Stable ordinary investment income
  • Other income lower due to f/x effects; contribution from deposit accounted treaties of EUR 45 m. (Q1/2017: EUR 47 m.)
  • Targeted EBIT growth of +5% achieved
  • Tax ratio above long-term average due to changes in business set-up linked to the US tax reform

Net investment income well above 2.7% target for 2018 Unrealised gains lower due to higher interest rates and credit spreads

in m. EUR Q1/2017 Q1/2018 RoI
Ordinary investment income* 323 317 3.2%
Realised gains/losses 24 49 0.5%
Impairments/appreciations & depreciations (11) (11) -0.1%
Change in fair value of financial instruments
(through P&L)
11 6 0.1%
Investment expenses (28) (28) -0.3%
NII from assets under own mgmt. 320 333 3.3%
NII from funds withheld 73 59
Total net investment income 393 391
Unrealised gains/losses of investments 31 Dec 17 31 Mar 18
On-balance sheet 1,159 740
thereof Fixed income AFS 706 334
Off-balance sheet 489 438
thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R 315 290
Total 1,648 1,177

* Incl. results from associated companies

YTD

  • Ordinary income from fixed income, private equity and real estate exactly at last year´s level; slight decrease due to last year´s dividends from listed equities
  • Result from realisations out of slightly changed investment strategy
  • Impairments only taken on private equity; major portion still due to regular depreciation on real estate
  • Decrease in unrealised gains due to higher USD and GBP interest rate levels as well as higher risk spreads on European and US corporates

Barbell strategy stopped and slight risk reduction ... ... reflected at government bonds and corporates

Asset allocation

Investment category 31 Mar 18
Fixed-income securities 87%
- Governments 32%
- Semi-governments 17%
- Corporates 30%
Investment grade 26%
Non-investment grade 4%
- Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS 8%
Equities 2%
- Listed Equity <1%
- Private Equity 2%
Real estate/real estate funds 5%
Others 1%
Short-term investments & cash 5%
Total market values in bn. EUR 40.9

Economic view based on market values as at 31 March 2018 * Before real estate-specific costs

Target Matrix

Business group Key figures Strategic targets for
2018
Q1/2018
Group Return on investment1) ≥ 2.7% 3.4%
Return on equity2) ≥ 9.5% 13.0%
Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) ≥ 5% 3.3%
Economic value creation3) ≥ 6.5% n.a.
Solvency ratio4) ≥ 200% 260.0%
Property & Casualty R/I Gross premium growth5) 3% - 5% 38.8%
Combined ratio6) ≤ 96% 95.9%
EBIT margin7) ≥ 10% 14.0%
xRoCA8) ≥ 2% n.a.
Life & Health R/I Gross premium growth9) 3% - 5% 9.2%
Value of New Business (VNB)10) ≥ EUR 220 m. n.a.
EBIT growth ≥ 5% 6.9%
xRoCA8) ≥ 2% n.a.

5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 5) On average throughout the R/I cycle; at constant f/x rates

6) Incl. expected net major losses 7) EBIT/net premium earned

10) Based on Solvency II principles and pre-tax reporting

1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives 2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds

3) Growth in economic equity + paid dividend; target: 600 bps above 4) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements; as of 31 December 2017

8) Excess return on allocated economic capital 9) Organic growth only; annual average growth (5-year period), at constant f/x rates

Outlook

Strong increase in premium mainly due to new business Property & Casualty treaty renewals: 2 January 2018 - 1 April 2018

UY figures at unchanged f/x rates (31 December 2017)

North America

  • Overall premium slightly increased whilst we reduced the casualty premium due to our conservative approach to the market
  • Property business continues the firming trend seen at 1 Jan
  • − Favourable new business opportunities realized
  • Casualty business still competitive, but original rates stabilising

Japan

  • Active portfolio management led to reduction in premium
  • We maintained a very disciplined underwriting approach regarding terms and conditions for Casualty XL treaties

The Caribbean

  • Significant improvements in proportional and non-prop. treaties
  • − Reduction in commissions of up to 4%p
  • − Wide range of price increases in non-proportional from 5% to 60% (risk-adj.)
  • Cat XL
  • Ample R/I capacity has stalled the trend of a hardening market seen at 1 Jan renewal
  • Loss-impacted treaties saw rate increases (+20% to +40%), otherwise flat to +6% risk adjusted
  • Agricultural business
  • Successful expansion of Indian book (premium doubled)

Revised guidance for 2018

Hannover Re Group

Gross written premium1) more than 10% growth
  • Return on investment2) 3) at least 2.7%
  • Group net income2) more than EUR 1 bn.
  • Dividend payout ratio4) 35% 40% (If comfortable level of capitalisation remains unchanged, this ratio will increase through payment of another special dividend)

1) At unchanged f/x rates

2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2018 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m.

3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives

4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS

Overall profitability above margin requirements Good growth opportunities in several lines of business

Lines of business Volume1) Profitability2)
Target North America3) +
markets Continental Europe3) +
Marine +/-
Specialty
lines
Aviation -
Credit, surety and political risks +
worldwide UK, Ireland, London market and direct +/-
Facultative reinsurance +
Global
reinsurance
Worldwide treaty3) reinsurance +/-
Cat XL +/-
Structured reinsurance and ILS +/-

1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different

2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)

3) All lines of business except those stated separately

Good underlying profitability in L&H business Further strains from legacy US mortality business expected in 2018

Reporting categories Volume1) Profitability2)
Financial
solutions
Financial solutions ++
Longevity +/-
Risk
solutions
Mortality -
Morbidity +/-

1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different

2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)

Rationale for our short- and medium-term outlook

P&C reinsurance L&H reinsurance Investments

  • Improved rates should support C/R target ≤96% without the need to significantly reduce confidence level of the loss reserves
  • Strong market position and financial strength enable us to outgrow the market

  • Attractive earnings contribution from US Financial solutions business

  • Inforce management in US mortality business could impact EBIT contribution in 2018 due to recaptures
  • EBIT expectation for 2018: ~EUR 200 m.
  • Above-target VNB development and inforce management are the basis for IFRS profit growth from 2019 onwards

  • Normalised ordinary investment income expected at absolute level on average of past 5 years

  • Medium-term growth expected due to increase in AuM supported by positive cash flow and increasing reinvestment yields

Increasing profits (EBIT) in the medium term

Stable Return on Investment in a low yield environment Positioned to outperform

Appendix

Our strategic business groups at a glance Q1/2018 vs. Q1/2017

Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Total
in m. EUR Q1/2017 Q1/2018 Δ Q1/2017 Q1/2018 Δ Q1/2017 Q1/2018 Δ
Gross written premium 2,815 3,579 +27.1% 1,732 1,766 +2.0% 4,547 5,345 +17.6%
Net premium earned 2,166 2,425 +12.0% 1,572 1,574 +0.1% 3,738 3,999 +7.0%
Net underwriting result 91 92 +1.2% (114) (55) -52.1% (23) 37 -
Net underwritung result incl. funds withheld 96 100 +4.0% (46) (4) -91.9% 49 96 +93.7%
Net investment income 243 268 +10.1% 148 123 -17.2% 393 391 -0.4%
From assets under own management 238 260 +9.2% 81 72 -10.7% 320 333 +4.0%
From funds withheld 5 8 +52.7% 68 51 -25.0% 73 59 -19.5%
Other income and expenses (24) (21) -14.0% 55 28 -50.0% 30 5 -82.5%
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 310 339 +9.4% 90 96 +6.9% 400 434 +8.5%
Interest on hybrid capital 0 0 - 0 (0) - (18) (18) +0.1%
Net income before taxes 310 339 +9.4% 90 96 +6.9% 382 416 +8.9%
Taxes (77) (79) +3.0% (25) (44) +73.1% (96) (117) +21.9%
Net income 233 260 +11.5% 64 52 -19.4% 286 299 +4.5%
Non-controlling interest 18 25 +41.0% 4 1 -79.7% 22 26 +20.3%
Group net income 215 235 +9.0% 61 51 -15.7% 265 273 +3.3%
Retention 88.6% 91.6% 91.3% 90.7% 89.6% 91.3%
Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) 95.6% 95.9% 102.9% 100.2% 98.7% 97.6%
EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) 14.3% 14.0% 5.7% 6.1% 10.7% 10.8%
Tax ratio 24.7% 23.3% 28.4% 45.9% 25.1% 28.1%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 1.79 1.95 0.50 0.42 2.20 2.27

Barbell strategy stopped and slight risk reduction... ...reflected at government bonds and corporates

Asset allocation1)

Investment category 2014 2015 2016 2017 31 Mar 18
Fixed-income securities 90% 87% 87% 87% 87%
- Governments 21% 26% 28% 30% 32%
- Semi-governments 19% 17% 18% 17% 17%
- Corporates 36% 34% 33% 32% 30%
Investment grade 33% 30% 28% 27% 26%
Non-investment grade 3% 4% 4% 5% 4%
- Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS 14% 10% 9% 8% 2)
8%
Equities 2% 3% 4% 2% 2%
- Listed equity <1% 1% 2% <1% <1%
- Private equity 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Real estate/real estate funds 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%
Others 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Short-term investments & cash 4% 5% 4% 4% 5%
Total market values in bn. EUR 36.8 39.8 42.3 40.5 40.9

1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments

of EUR 1.271,9 m. (EUR 1,201.9 m.) as at 31 March 2018

2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 78.8%

Stress tests on assets under own management

Unchanged focus on yields and credit spreads; reduced relevance of equities

Portfolio Scenario Change in market value
in m. EUR
Change in OCI before tax
in m. EUR
Equity (listed and private equity) -10% -80 -80
-20% -161 -161
Fixed-income securities +50 bps -855 -775
+100 bps -1,665 -1,509
Credit spreads +50% -590

As at 31 March 2018

Fixed-income book well balanced Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our business diversification

</bbb<>
Governments Semi
governments
Corporates Pfandbriefe,
Covered bonds,
ABS
Short-term
investments,
cash
Total
AAA 78.6% 64.1% 1.1% 67.2% - 48.9%
AA 11.7% 23.7% 14.5% 17.2% - 15.6%
A 5.3% 5.9% 33.5% 6.4% - 14.9%
BBB 2.5% 1.5% 43.0% 6.7% - 16.2%
<bbb< td="">1.9%4.7%7.8%2.4%-4.5% 1.9% 4.7% 7.8% 2.4% - 4.5%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% - 100.0%
Germany 13.5% 49.4% 4.4% 26.1% 29.3% 19.4%
UK 8.4% 2.3% 8.1% 11.0% 9.6% 7.4%
France 1.1% 1.4% 7.8% 6.3% 0.1% 3.6%
GIIPS 1.0% 1.0% 4.5% 5.4% 0.0% 2.4%
Rest of Europe 2.7% 14.3% 16.0% 18.4% 4.2% 10.5%
USA 59.4% 6.7% 34.4% 9.8% 14.8% 34.9%
Australia 4.0% 7.7% 8.6% 10.9% 7.1% 6.9%
Asia 5.8% 6.3% 5.2% 0.7% 21.1% 6.1%
Rest of World 4.3% 10.8% 11.1% 11.4% 13.8% 8.8%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Total b/s values in m. EUR 13,038 6,966 11,500 2,989 2,052 36,545

IFRS figures as at 31 March 2018

Currency allocation matches liability profile of balance sheet Duration-neutral strategy applied

Currency split of investments

  • Modified duration of fixedincome mainly congruent with liabilities
  • GBP's higher modified duration predominantly due to life business

Modified duration

2017 4.8
2016 5.0
2015 4.4
2014 4.6
2013 4.4
2012 4.5

Modified duration as at 31 March 2018: 4.8

Disclaimer

This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.

While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-to-date, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.

Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.

This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.

© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.