Earnings Release • May 7, 2018
Earnings Release
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Hannover, 7 May 2018
Figures in EUR
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q1/2017 | Q1/2018 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 4,547 | 5,345 | +17.6% |
| Net premium earned | 3,738 | 3,999 | +7.0% |
| Net underwriting result | (23) | 37 | - |
| - Incl. funds withheld | 49 | 96 | +93.7% |
| Net investment income (NII) | 393 | 391 | -0.4% |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 320 | 333 | +4.0% |
| - From funds withheld | 73 | 59 | -19.5% |
| Other income and expenses | 30 | 5 | -82.5% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 400 | 434 | +8.5% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | (18) | (18) | +0.1% |
| Net income before taxes | 382 | 416 | +8.9% |
| Taxes | (96) | (117) | +21.9% |
| Net income | 286 | 299 | +4.5% |
| - Non-controlling interests | 22 | 26 | +20.3% |
| Group net income | 265 | 273 | +3.3% |
| Retention | 89.6% | 91.3% | |
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) | 10.7% | 10.8% | |
| Tax ratio | 25.1% | 28.1% | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 2.20 | 2.27 |
3 Conference Call on Q1/2018 results
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q1/2017 | Q1/2018 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 2,815 | 3,579 | +27.1% |
| Net premium earned | 2,166 | 2,425 | +12.0% |
| Net underwriting result incl. interest on funds withheld |
96 | 100 | +4.0% |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
95.6% | 95.9% | +0.3%p |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
238 | 260 | +9.2% |
| Other income and expenses | (24) | (21) | -14.0% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 310 | 339 | +9.4% |
| Tax ratio | 24.7% | 23.3% | -1.4%p |
| Group net income | 215 | 235 | +9.0% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.79 | 1.95 |
* Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross
| Catastrophe losses* in m. EUR | Date | Gross | Net |
|---|---|---|---|
| Storm "Friederike", Europe | 17. - 18. Jan | 47.9 | 31.5 |
| 1 Natural catastrophe | 47.9 | 31.5 | |
| 1 Property claim | 19.1 | 19.0 | |
| 1 Credit claim | 22.9 | 22.9 | |
| 3 Major losses | 89.9 | 73.4 |
* Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross
| 2018: Combined Ratio vs. MtCR | margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target | North America* | 105.9% | 11.6% | |
| markets | Continental Europe* | 83.9% | 26.7% | |
| Marine | 57.5% | 54.7% | ||
| Aviation | 105.2% | 8.0% | ||
| Specialty lines |
Credit, surety and political risks | 82.9% | 25.9% | |
| worldwide | UK, Ireland, London market and direct |
112.2% | 2.5% | |
| Facultative R/I | 99.0% | 8.3% | ||
| Worldwide Treaty* R/I | 99.6% | 9.3% | ||
| Global R/I |
Cat XL | 17.2% | 104.7% | |
| Structured R/I and ILS | 98.6% | 4.7% | ||
| Total | 95.9% | 14.0% | ||
| 0% 20% 40% 60% |
80% 100% 120% |
140% 160% |
MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio Combined Ratio
* All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
EBIT
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q1/2017 | Q1/2018 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 1,732 | 1,766 | +2.0% |
| Net premium earned | 1,572 | 1,574 | +0.1% |
| Net underwriting result incl. interest on funds withheld |
(46) | (4) | -91.9% |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
81 | 72 | -10.7% |
| Other income and expenses | 55 | 28 | -50.0% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 90 | 96 | +6.9% |
| EBIT margin | 5.7% | 6.1% | +0.4%p |
| Tax ratio | 28.4% | 45.9% | +17.5%p |
| Group net income | 61 | 51 | -15.7% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.50 | 0.42 |
| in m. EUR | Q1/2017 | Q1/2018 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income* | 323 | 317 | 3.2% |
| Realised gains/losses | 24 | 49 | 0.5% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations | (11) | (11) | -0.1% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
11 | 6 | 0.1% |
| Investment expenses | (28) | (28) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own mgmt. | 320 | 333 | 3.3% |
| NII from funds withheld | 73 | 59 | |
| Total net investment income | 393 | 391 |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 17 | 31 Mar 18 |
|---|---|---|
| On-balance sheet | 1,159 | 740 |
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 706 | 334 |
| Off-balance sheet | 489 | 438 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 315 | 290 |
| Total | 1,648 | 1,177 |
* Incl. results from associated companies
| Investment category | 31 Mar 18 |
|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 87% |
| - Governments | 32% |
| - Semi-governments | 17% |
| - Corporates | 30% |
| Investment grade | 26% |
| Non-investment grade | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS | 8% |
| Equities | 2% |
| - Listed Equity | <1% |
| - Private Equity | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 5% |
| Others | 1% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 5% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 40.9 |
Economic view based on market values as at 31 March 2018 * Before real estate-specific costs
| Business group | Key figures | Strategic targets for 2018 |
Q1/2018 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on investment1) | ≥ 2.7% | 3.4% |
| Return on equity2) | ≥ 9.5% | 13.0% | |
| Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) | ≥ 5% | 3.3% | |
| Economic value creation3) | ≥ 6.5% | n.a. | |
| Solvency ratio4) | ≥ 200% | 260.0% | |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Gross premium growth5) | 3% - 5% | 38.8% |
| Combined ratio6) | ≤ 96% | 95.9% | |
| EBIT margin7) | ≥ 10% | 14.0% | |
| xRoCA8) | ≥ 2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health R/I | Gross premium growth9) | 3% - 5% | 9.2% |
| Value of New Business (VNB)10) | ≥ EUR 220 m. | n.a. | |
| EBIT growth | ≥ 5% | 6.9% | |
| xRoCA8) | ≥ 2% | n.a. |
5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 5) On average throughout the R/I cycle; at constant f/x rates
6) Incl. expected net major losses 7) EBIT/net premium earned
10) Based on Solvency II principles and pre-tax reporting
1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives 2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds
3) Growth in economic equity + paid dividend; target: 600 bps above 4) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements; as of 31 December 2017
8) Excess return on allocated economic capital 9) Organic growth only; annual average growth (5-year period), at constant f/x rates
UY figures at unchanged f/x rates (31 December 2017)
Hannover Re Group
| | Gross written premium1) | more than 10% growth |
|---|---|---|
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2018 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m.
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS
| Lines of business | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Target | North America3) | + | |
| markets | Continental Europe3) | + | |
| Marine | +/- | ||
| Specialty lines |
Aviation | - | |
| Credit, surety and political risks | + | ||
| worldwide | UK, Ireland, London market and direct | +/- | |
| Facultative reinsurance | + | ||
| Global reinsurance |
Worldwide treaty3) reinsurance | +/- | |
| Cat XL | +/- | ||
| Structured reinsurance and ILS | +/- |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
3) All lines of business except those stated separately
| Reporting categories | Volume1) | Profitability2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial solutions |
Financial solutions | ++ | |
| Longevity | +/- | ||
| Risk solutions |
Mortality | - | |
| Morbidity | +/- |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
Strong market position and financial strength enable us to outgrow the market
Attractive earnings contribution from US Financial solutions business
Above-target VNB development and inforce management are the basis for IFRS profit growth from 2019 onwards
Normalised ordinary investment income expected at absolute level on average of past 5 years
Increasing profits (EBIT) in the medium term
Stable Return on Investment in a low yield environment Positioned to outperform
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q1/2017 | Q1/2018 | Δ | Q1/2017 | Q1/2018 | Δ | Q1/2017 | Q1/2018 | Δ |
| Gross written premium | 2,815 | 3,579 | +27.1% | 1,732 | 1,766 | +2.0% | 4,547 | 5,345 | +17.6% |
| Net premium earned | 2,166 | 2,425 | +12.0% | 1,572 | 1,574 | +0.1% | 3,738 | 3,999 | +7.0% |
| Net underwriting result | 91 | 92 | +1.2% | (114) | (55) | -52.1% | (23) | 37 | - |
| Net underwritung result incl. funds withheld | 96 | 100 | +4.0% | (46) | (4) | -91.9% | 49 | 96 | +93.7% |
| Net investment income | 243 | 268 | +10.1% | 148 | 123 | -17.2% | 393 | 391 | -0.4% |
| From assets under own management | 238 | 260 | +9.2% | 81 | 72 | -10.7% | 320 | 333 | +4.0% |
| From funds withheld | 5 | 8 | +52.7% | 68 | 51 | -25.0% | 73 | 59 | -19.5% |
| Other income and expenses | (24) | (21) | -14.0% | 55 | 28 | -50.0% | 30 | 5 | -82.5% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 310 | 339 | +9.4% | 90 | 96 | +6.9% | 400 | 434 | +8.5% |
| Interest on hybrid capital | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | (0) | - | (18) | (18) | +0.1% |
| Net income before taxes | 310 | 339 | +9.4% | 90 | 96 | +6.9% | 382 | 416 | +8.9% |
| Taxes | (77) | (79) | +3.0% | (25) | (44) | +73.1% | (96) | (117) | +21.9% |
| Net income | 233 | 260 | +11.5% | 64 | 52 | -19.4% | 286 | 299 | +4.5% |
| Non-controlling interest | 18 | 25 | +41.0% | 4 | 1 | -79.7% | 22 | 26 | +20.3% |
| Group net income | 215 | 235 | +9.0% | 61 | 51 | -15.7% | 265 | 273 | +3.3% |
| Retention | 88.6% | 91.6% | 91.3% | 90.7% | 89.6% | 91.3% | |||
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 95.6% | 95.9% | 102.9% | 100.2% | 98.7% | 97.6% | |||
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 14.3% | 14.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | |||
| Tax ratio | 24.7% | 23.3% | 28.4% | 45.9% | 25.1% | 28.1% | |||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.79 | 1.95 | 0.50 | 0.42 | 2.20 | 2.27 |
| Investment category | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 31 Mar 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 90% | 87% | 87% | 87% | 87% |
| - Governments | 21% | 26% | 28% | 30% | 32% |
| - Semi-governments | 19% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 17% |
| - Corporates | 36% | 34% | 33% | 32% | 30% |
| Investment grade | 33% | 30% | 28% | 27% | 26% |
| Non-investment grade | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS | 14% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 2) 8% |
| Equities | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| - Listed equity | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| - Private equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Others | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 36.8 | 39.8 | 42.3 | 40.5 | 40.9 |
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments
of EUR 1.271,9 m. (EUR 1,201.9 m.) as at 31 March 2018
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 78.8%
Unchanged focus on yields and credit spreads; reduced relevance of equities
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -10% | -80 | -80 | |
| -20% | -161 | -161 | ||
| Fixed-income securities | +50 bps | -855 | -775 | |
| +100 bps | -1,665 | -1,509 | ||
| Credit spreads | +50% | -590 |
As at 31 March 2018
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAA | 78.6% | 64.1% | 1.1% | 67.2% | - | 48.9% | ||||||
| AA | 11.7% | 23.7% | 14.5% | 17.2% | - | 15.6% | ||||||
| A | 5.3% | 5.9% | 33.5% | 6.4% | - | 14.9% | ||||||
| BBB | 2.5% | 1.5% | 43.0% | 6.7% | - | 16.2% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 1.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 2.4% | - | 4.5% | </bbb<>1.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 2.4% | - | 4.5% |
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | - | 100.0% | ||||||
| Germany | 13.5% | 49.4% | 4.4% | 26.1% | 29.3% | 19.4% | ||||||
| UK | 8.4% | 2.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | ||||||
| France | 1.1% | 1.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 0.1% | 3.6% | ||||||
| GIIPS | 1.0% | 1.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 2.4% | ||||||
| Rest of Europe | 2.7% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 4.2% | 10.5% | ||||||
| USA | 59.4% | 6.7% | 34.4% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 34.9% | ||||||
| Australia | 4.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | ||||||
| Asia | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 21.1% | 6.1% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 4.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 8.8% | ||||||
| Total | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 13,038 | 6,966 | 11,500 | 2,989 | 2,052 | 36,545 |
IFRS figures as at 31 March 2018
| 2017 | 4.8 |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5.0 |
| 2015 | 4.4 |
| 2014 | 4.6 |
| 2013 | 4.4 |
| 2012 | 4.5 |
Modified duration as at 31 March 2018: 4.8
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-to-date, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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