Investor Presentation • May 8, 2018
Investor Presentation
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Kruno Crepulja Chief Executive Officer since 2008
Oliver Schmitt Chief Financial Officer since 2010
| Reconciliation of reported and adjusted results FY-17A | Commentary | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| In €m | Reported Results |
PPA amortization |
Transaction costs |
Adjusted Results |
|
| Total revenue | 199.7 | 1.7 | 201.4 | ||
| Changes in inventories | 120.2 | 21.4 | 141.6 | ||
| Operating performance | 319.9 | 23.1 | 343.0 | ||
| Other operating income Cost of materials Staff costs Other operating expenses Income from associated affiliates Other net income from investments EBITDA |
5.4 (244.8) (49.5) (41.5) 0.2 (0.1) (10.4) |
23.1 | 7.6 22.4 2.3 32.3 |
12.9 (244.8) (27.1) (39.2) 0.2 (0.1) 45.0 |
|
| Depreciation and amortization | (0.4) | (0.4) | |||
| EBIT | (10.8) | 23.1 | 32.3 | 44.6 | |
| Finance result | (20.4) | (20.4) | |||
| EBT | (31.2) | 23.1 | 32.3 | 24.2 | |
| Income taxes | 0.2 | (7.0) | (6.7) | ||
| Net income | (31.0) | 16.1 | 32.3 | 17.5 |
(1) Pre PPA, incl. Sales commissions, (2) Pre PPA
| Target annual sales volume €900 – 1,000m |
Target annual delivery volume |
>2,000 units |
|---|---|---|
| (1) Target gross margin (including sales commissions) |
~25% | |
| Target platform costs ~€50m (2) (includes all overheads between gross profit and adj. EBITDA pre PPA) |
||
| Cost of debt as % of gross debt ~7% |
||
| Tax rate ~30% |
||
| Target inventory ~€1.5bn |
||
| Target NWC as % of sales volume ~60% Source: Management estimates. |
Note: Financial outlook prepared excluding impact of PPA amortization.
PPA impacts not only EBIT but also inventories and operating performance.
(1) ~29% excluding sales commissions.
(2) Without staff cost inflation.
(Project portfolio as of 31.12.2017)
| "Wilhelm IX" in Wiesbaden Sold at 60% |
$\blacksquare$ Project size: Sales volume: |
$~150$ units $\sim \epsilon$ 89m |
■ Construction start: Expected completion: |
2017 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| "Teemanufaktur" in Halle Start of marketing expected in May |
$\blacksquare$ Project size: Sales volume: |
$\sim$ 208 units $\sim \epsilon$ 25m |
■ Construction start: Expected completion: |
2018 2020 |
| "NMA" in Hamburg Construction completed of building section 2; Handover of apartments |
$\blacksquare$ Project size: Sales volume: |
$\sim$ 280 units $\sim \epsilon$ 145m |
$\blacksquare$ Construction start: Expected completion: |
2015 2018 |
| "Westside" in Bonn Block sales of ~280 rental units |
Buyer: $\blacksquare$ Notary deed: |
Large pension trust Sale of 160 units notarised in May |
Signed memorandum of understanding for sale of remaining units |
|
| "Marie" in Frankfurt Marketing launch for condominiums Expected total sales volume of ~€210m (vs BNP valuation of €179m) |
Project size: Sales volume: |
$\sim$ 240 units $\sim \epsilon$ 210m |
Construction start: Expected completion: |
2017 2021 |
| "Franklin" in Mannheim Construction start for condominiums being sold at 50% |
Project size: Sales volume: |
$\sim$ 240 units $\sim \epsilon$ 70m |
Construction start: Expected completion: |
2018 2020 |
| "Luisenpark" in Berlin Building section 1 sold at 90% |
Project size: ш $\blacksquare$ Sales volume: |
$\sim$ 560 units $\sim \epsilon$ 230m |
Construction start: Expected completion: |
2017 2020 |
| Profitable Growth |
Fully delivered on FY17 in line with market consensus Our well-located €3.4bn(1) project portfolio is the basis for our profitable growth Strong acquisition potential >€13.0bn(2) and continue to fill up our pipeline |
|---|---|
| Top Quality Platform |
Leading nationwide platform with potential for scalability Deep and committed bench of management professionals Excellent execution track record and rigorous risk management |
| Attractive Market |
Fast-growing German metropolitan housing markets Structural housing need with material unmatched demand Favourable regulatory framework leading to attractive cash flow profile |
11 | (1) Based on expected sales volume for ongoing projects when fully developed; as of 31 Decemberr 2017 (2) Near- to long-term identified potential acquisition opportunities as of 31 December 2017.
| In €m | 2016A | 2017A |
|---|---|---|
| Total revenue | 203.6 | 199.7 |
| Changes in inventories | 158.9 | 120.2 |
| 1 Operating performance |
362.5 | 319.9 |
| Other operating income | 8.3 | 5.4 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cost of materials | (293.7) | (244.8) |
| 3 | Staff costs | (35.2) | (49.5) |
| Other operating expenses | (42.4) | (41.5) | |
| Income from associated affiliates | 1.3 | 0.2 | |
| Other net income from investments | 0.3 | (0.1) | |
| EBITDA (reported) | 1.3 | (10.4) | |
| Depreciation and amortization | (0.4) | (0.4) | |
| EBIT (reported) | 0.8 | (10.8) | |
| Finance income | 0.1 | 0.6 | |
| Finance costs | (25.0) | (21.0) | |
| Write-down of long-term securities | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| Finance result | (24.8) | (20.4) | |
| EBT (reported) | (24.0) | (31.2) | |
| 4 | Income taxes | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Net income (reported) | (22.2) | (31.0) |
1
Operating performance consists of booked revenues from realized projects as well as change in inventories due to projects currently ramping up
Only when a project is completed 4-5 years following the start date are the corresponding revenues booked in the P&L. In years prior to completion, only change in inventories and costs impact the P&L
Change in inventories is the project-specific capitalized/value appreciation in inventories (assets on balance sheet), effectively the cost of land acquisition + capitalized development costs + capitalized project-related interest expenses + pro rata capitalized platform costs
Marketing expenses (and some minor operating expenses) cannot be capitalized and thus directly impact the P&L
13 | Source: Audited historical financials, Company information.
| In $\epsilon$ m | 2016A | 2017A |
|---|---|---|
| Consolidated earnings | (22.2) | (31.0) |
| Depreciation and amortization | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Increase / decrease of provisions | 15.0 | 12.5 |
| Increase / decrease of deferred taxes | (12.9) | (15.7) |
| Decrease / increase of equity carrying amounts | (1.3) | 1.0 |
| Decrease/increase other financial assets | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Other non-cash income and expenses | 23.5 | 31.2 |
| Profit / loss on disposals of property, plant and equipment | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Decrease / increase of inventories, trade receivables and other assets | (25.6) | (112.3) |
| Increase / decrease of trade payables and other liabilities | 116.9 | 83.4 |
| Cash flow from operating activities | 93.8 | (30.2) |
| Income taxes paid | (6.2) | (4.2) |
| Net cash flow from operating activities | 87.7 | (34.5) |
| Proceeds from disposals of property, plant and equipment | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Purchase of property, plant and equipment | (0.4) | (0.5) |
| Proceeds from disposals of non-current financial assets | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Payments for acquisitions of shares in consolidated companies | (22.0) | (22.8) |
| Receipts from the disposal of subsidiaries | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Acquisition of non-consolidated subsidiaries | (0.0) | (0.0) |
| Interest received | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Cash flow from investing activities | (21.8) | (22.7) |
| Increase of issued capital incl contributions to capital reserves | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Payout to non-controlling interests | 0.0 | (0.7) |
| Cash proceeds from shareholder loans | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Cash proceeds from borrowings | 64.4 | 121.9 |
| Cash repayments of borrowings | (38.3) | (88.3) |
| Interest paid | (17.6) | (14.8) |
| Cash flow from financing activities | 8.5 | 18.2 |
15 | Source: Audited historical financials, Company information.
.
In €m
| 2016A | 2017A | |
|---|---|---|
| Intangible assets | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tangible assets | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Investments accounted for using the equity method | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Other financial assets | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Financial receivables | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Non-current assets | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| 8 | Inventories | 542.7 | 659.4 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Financial receivables | 0.2 | 32.4 |
| Trade receivables | 19.6 | 4.2 | |
| Other receivables and other assets | 5.6 | 15.5 | |
| Income tax assets | 0.3 | 0.0 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 112.5 | 73.6 | |
| Current assets | 680.9 | 785.1 | |
| Total assets | 685.2 | 789.1 |
Source: Audited historical financials, Company information.
8 Inventories partially comprised of unfinished products from ongoing development projects. Due to the first-time consolidation of Instone Real Estate Development GmbH in 2014 and Instone Real Estate Leipzig GmbH in 2015, inventories as of 31 December 2017 still included €50.5 million (31 December 2016: €71.9 million) stepups from the purchase price allocations.
9 The current financial receivables of €32.4 million (prior year: €0.2 million) resulted in receivables to associated companies. These included €32.3 million receivables to the majority shareholders for the indemnity of other operating expenses and personnel costs relating to the planned private placement and the Company's listing on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange. These receivables were based on a cost-sharing and indemnity agreement and an indemnification agreement.
10
11
In €m 2016A 2017A Share capital 0.0 0.0 Capital reserve 37.4 85.4 Retained earnings / loss carryforwards (35.5) (34.3) Other equity components (1.3) (0.3) Equity attributable to shareholders 0.7 50.7 Non-controlling interests 2.0 1.5 Total equity 2.7 52.2
Provisions for pensions and similar obligations 4.1 4.2 Other provisions 12.4 1.3 Financial liabilities 300.9 241.0 Other liabilities 0.0 0.0 Deferred tax liabilities 23.4 7.7 Non-current liabilities 340.9 254.2 Other provisions 25.6 49.2 Financial liabilities 81.6 134.7 Trade payables 215.2 275.7 Other liabilities 13.1 9.4 Income tax liabilities 6.2 13.8 Current liabilities 341.7 482.7 Total equity and liabilities 685.2 789.1
Non-current financial liabilities for the financial year 2017 were reduced to €241.0 million (2016: €300.9 million). €48.0 million of the liabilities towards the shareholders of Instone Real Estate Group N.V. were converted into equity in 2017. During the year 2017, interests were capitalised, so that at the end of 2017, the liabilities to shareholders still amounted to €57.8 million (2016: €96.6 million). Instone Real Estate Development GmbH was able to sustainably improve its liquidity by first-time placement of a promissory note loan worth €66.9 million. The non-current financial liabilities to banks for project related financing decreased during the reporting year. 10
Trade payables increased to €275.7 million in the financial year 2017 (2016: €215.2 million). This was primarily due to the capitalisation of the upfront payments. These amounted to €230.4 million received for new sales of condominiums or further instalments according to the ongoing construction of sold condominiums that were attributed as inventories. 11
Note: Key metropolitan regions include Berlin, Cologne, Dusseldorf, Frankfurt, Hamburg, Leipzig, Munich, Stuttgart.
(1) For Germany's key metropolitan regions, based on average purchase prices for new units as reported by Bulwiengesa. (2) Bulwiengesa, Potential Analysis German Housing Market, compiled for Instone Real Estate GmbH ("Instone") as of 24 October 2017.
(3) Management estimate assumes 90,000 units unmatched demand over 3 years and €400,000 average sales price per unit.
(4) Based on expected sales volume for ongoing projects when fully developed; as of 31 December 2017.
Source: Company information.
(3) Based on expected sales volume for ongoing projects when fully developed; as of 30 September 2017. Includes six projects with sales volume of €409m (€359m + €50m in Wiesbaden-Delkenheim) not captured by the BNPP RE appraisal. Excluding newly acquired projects in Frankfurt and Halle with sales volume of €58m (€33m + €25m).
23 | (1) Bulwiengesa, Potential Analysis German Housing Market, compiled for Instone as of 24 October 2017.
(2) Bertelsmann population report.
(3) Deloitte, Property Index July 2017.
(4) CBRE Germany Real Estate Market Outlook 2017.
(1) Bulwiengesa, Potential Analysis German Housing Market, compiled for Instone as of 24 October 2017 (Berlin, Dusseldorf, Frankfurt, Hamburg, Cologne, Leipzig, Munich, Stuttgart).
25 | (1) MaBV - Real estate agent and commercial construction industry ordinance ("Makler- und Bauträgerverordnung"). (2) Unless significant delays occur and are not solved within a set reasonable deadline.
| Secured projects not yet under construction(1) | Commentary | Presence in key metropolitan regions |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| In 000s sqm EXPLORED STATE |
318 | Presence in key metropolitan regions with multiple sales channels and breadth of products (incl. redevelopment). Highly competent in solving complex situations |
O Justice doc Ar Antonio de British Codosfe Bookin s |
| CG GRUPPE | 298 | Limited presence in owner-occupier market | CD |
| G GROTH GRUPPI | 249 | Presence only in Berlin | |
| $\mathcal{B}$ BONAVA |
223 | No presence in Munich, focused on out-of-town affordable residential developments |
$C$ D IB. н s. |
| 199 | Subscale competitor, no nationwide presence | ||
| ZECH GROUP | 164 | Subscale competitor without unified platform | CDF B 1 S |
| Ten Brinke | 153 | Subscale competitor, no nationwide presence | $C$ $D$ B |
| $\bullet$ bpd | 150 | Subscale competitor | C D IS. IB. |
| PATRIZIA | 137 | Asset manager with ad-hoc development projects | C. D |
| KONDOR 2 | 94 | No nationwide presence |
26 | Source: Bulwiengesa, Potential Analysis German Housing Market, compiled for Instone as of 24 October 2017 based on companies' own declarations and Bulwiengesa estimates for Leipzig. (1) Includes projects in Berlin, Cologne, Dusseldorf, Frankfurt, Hamburg, Leipzig, Munich, and Stuttgart.
Strong and consistent gross margin performance
29 | Source: Company information.
Note: Projects approved since 2011 but completed between 2015 and September 2017, weighted by sales volume.
(1) Analysis conducted for Instone Development projects only.
30 | Source: Bulwiengesa, Potential Analysis German Housing Market, compiled for Instone as of 24 October 2017.
(5) Without staff cost inflation. (6) Based on projected unit deliveries from €3.4bn project portfolio and potential future acquisitions.
(1) As of 30 September 2017. (2) Management estimate. (3) Includes staff costs of approx. €25m, professional costs of approx. €4m, property costs of €3m and transportation costs of €2m. (4) Based on an average/ expectation number of 1,000 units (2014 to 2016) and an average sales price of €400,000.
35 | Source: Preliminary BNPP Real Estate independent appraisal, management estimates.
Note: Financial outlook prepared excluding impact of PPA amortization.
(1) BNPP Real Estate shows total sales volume in 2019 of €489m. Difference to €507m shown is due to a condominium project with a sales volume of €15m in Wiesbaden-Delkenheim which has not been included in the calculation of BNPP Real Estate + €5m others.
36 | Source: Management estimates.
Note: Financial outlook prepared excluding impact of PPA amortization.
(1) ROCE defined as EBIT pre PPA / (2-year average GAV) with GAV defined as equity (NAV) + net debt.
Source: BNPP Real Estate.
CC method applied to all projects started after August 2015
| Illustrative snapshot of operating performance/ project EBT (cumulative) | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue and EBT realised at project delivery --------------------------------------- |
|||||||||||
| Land acquisition | Start of construction | Sale completion (100% sold) | Delivery | ||||||||
| In $\epsilon$ m | Δ | Cum. | In $\epsilon$ m | Δ | Cum. | In $\epsilon$ m | Δ | Cum. | In $\epsilon$ m | Λ | Cum. |
| Revenue | $\overline{\phantom{0}}$ | Revenue | $\overline{\phantom{0}}$ | Revenue | - | $\overline{\phantom{m}}$ | Revenue | 100 | $(100)$ ----- | ||
| Change in inventory | 22 | 22 | Change in inventory | 5 | 27 | Change in inventory | 29 | 56 | Change in inventory | (56) | $\overline{\phantom{0}}$ |
| Operating performance | 22 | 22 2 | Operating performance | 5 1 | 27 | Operating performance | 29 | 56 | Operating performance | 44 | 100 |
| Cost of materials | (20) | (20) | Cost of materials | (3) | (23) | Cost of materials | (28) | (51) | Cost of materials | (20) | (71) |
| Stat costs(1) | (1) | (1) | Staff costs $(1)$ | (1) | (2) | Stat costs(1) | (1) | (3) | $Stat \cos(s^{(1)})$ | (1) | (4) |
| Net other expenses $(1)$ | (2) | (2) | Net other expenses $(1)$ | (1) | (3) | Net other expenses $(1)$ | (1) | (4) | Net other expenses (1) | (1) | (5) |
| Finance costs | $\overline{\phantom{0}}$ | Finance costs | (1) | (1) | Finance costs | (1) | (2) | Finance costs | $\overline{\phantom{0}}$ | (2) | |
| EBT | (1) | (1) | EBT | (1) | (2) | EBT | (2) | (4) | EBT | 22 | $18$ $\sim$ $-1$ |
| Cumulative view of a single project over time |
Acquisition costs of €82m for land plots not valued by BNPP RE (project volume €409m) lead to a GAV of €955m
| Overview of social housing quotas in key cities per newbuild project | Commentary | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | 30% of rental apartments | All German cities require some form of social | ||
| Dusseldorf | 40% of total (with 20%-30% subsidised rental apartments) |
housing quota These vary from city to city and region to region |
||
| Frankfurt | 30% of rental apartments | ranging anywhere from 25% to 50% | ||
| Hamburg | 33% of rental apartments | Regulations have been under scrutiny causing debate and the ongoing change and reworking o |
||
| Cologne | 30% of rental apartments | rules and quotas, especially in attractive key metropolitan regions |
||
| Munich | 30% of total as subsidised (rental) apartments |
|||
| Stuttgart | 20% of rental apartments |
Source: Immobilienmanager .
| (1) Management assessment. (3) Deloitte Property Index 2017. (5) KPMG Property Lending Barometer 2017. |
(2) Management estimate. | (4) CBRE Research EMEA Investment Guide 2016. | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supervisory Board | Assessment of Independence |
Comments | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Brendgen (German nationality) Current experience/ board mandates - IVG Immobilien AG - board member (until Sep 2017) - TRIUVA Kapitalanlagegesellschaft mbH - chairman of the supervisory board - HAHN Immobilien Beteiligungs-AG - board member - CLIMEON AB, Sweden - board member - aamundo Asset Management KGaA - chairman of the supervisory board |
Previous experience - CEO of Allianz Real Estate Germany - Tishman Speyer, head of Germany - Jones Lang Wootton (today JLL) and DTZ International Property Advisers |
Real estate sector/ real estate development experience Supervisory board experience (including as chairman) ■ Will act as chairman of the supervisory board Independent board member |
||
| Dr. Jochen Scharpe (German nationality) Current experience/ board mandates - LEG Immobilien AG - board member - Managing Partner, AMCI GmbH/ Managing Partner, ReTurn Immobilien GmbH |
Previous experience - FFIRE AG - vice chairman of the supervisory board - GENEBA Properties N.V. - board member - Siemens Real Estate GmbH, Managing Director - Eisenbahnimmobilienmanagement GmbH (Vivico GmbH, now CAImmo Deutschland GmbH), Managing Director - KPMG, Senior Manager |
Real estate sector experience Supervisory board experience (including as chairman of the supervisory board) Financial expertise ■ Will act as head of the audit committee Independent board member |
||
| Marija Korsch (US American nationality) Current experience/ board mandates - Aareal Bank AG - chairperson of the supervisory board since 2013 - FAZIT Stiftung Gemeinnützige Verlagsgesellschaft mbH and Just Software AG - board member |
Previous experience - Head of Corporate Finance, Bankhaus Metzler seel. Sohn & Co. AG - Managing Director, Bankers Trust |
Candidate is independent from current shareholders, therefore majority of supervisory board members will be independent High level board experience Capital markets and financial expertise ■ Will be member of Nominations Committee |
||
| Stefan Mohr (German nationality) Current experience/ board mandates - Head of Corporate Real Estate at Activum SG Advisory GmbH |
Previous experience - Head of M&A and Corporate Investments at HSH Nordbank AG - Head of Financial Institutions M&A business at Sal. Oppenheim - Various positions at Bankhaus Metzler and PwC |
$\mathbf x$ | M&A and capital market expertise Real estate sector/ real estate development expertise ■ Will act as Vice Chairman of Supervisory Board ■ Will be member of Audit Committee |
|
| Richard Wartenberg (German nationality) Current experience/ board mandates - Activum SG Advisory GmbH, Managing |
Previous experience - apellas Asset Management - Managing Director at Polis and Bouwfonds Asset Management Germany - Behne Group (now HIH Hamburgische Immobilien Handlung) - RSE Projektmanagement AG |
× | Real estate sector/ real estate development experience M&A experience/ financial expertise ■ Will be member of Nominations Committee |
| Components | % of total target compensation | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Base Salary | ■ c. 36% to 45% | Paid out on a monthly basis Comprises all fixed contractually guaranteed annual payments |
| New STI |
c. 25% to 41% | ■ Paid out annually. New STI linked to performance targets: ■ 80% company specific criteria, 20% personal criteria EBT, ROCE as company specific criteria Company specific criteria are weighted 66% EBT and 34% ROCE, in relation to the defined business plan ■ Over- (under-)achievement of EBT and ROCE targets leads to increase/ reduction of EBT and ROCE target pay-out Significant underachievement result in no pay-out (hurdle rate at 80% target achievement) ■ Cap on pay-out of new STI at 150% of target compensation |
| New LTIP | ■ c. 23% to 30% | Introduction of a new share-based LTIP to align management and public investor interests Participants: ■ CEO, CFO, CDO, CSO up to 4 additional key executives Potentially available for new senior management members joining the company post-IPO (to be decided by future supervisory board) ■ Target amount in % of base salary: c. 57% to 67% Annual base allocation of virtual shares depending on performance based on 3 prior years (1) (+1% for 1% outperformance), capped at c. 150% of the base allocation KPIs to be used: EBT in relation to the defined business plan Allocated Amount invested in virtual shares over a 3 year period After 3 years Allocated Amount vests and management receives a cash payment from the respective tranche of virtual shares ('Payout Amount') The Payout Amount for each annual tranche depends on the total shareholder return (share price plus dividend payment) of the Instone shares over that period, subject to a cap (Payout Amount capped at 200% of Allocated Amount) |
| Description Components |
||
| Treatment of Current LTIP |
Existing LTIP will be converted and paid-out to Management at IPO ■ 70% of net after tax proceeds will be reinvested by Management into Instone shares at IPO These shares will be locked up for a period of three years; each year 1/3 of these shares will be released from the lock-up Activum will compensate Instone for the costs related to the LTIP; there will be no net cash outflow from the Company |
Thomas Eisenlohr
Head of Investor Relations
Instone Real Estate Group N.V.
Baumstraße 25, 45128 Essen
T +49 201 45355-365 | F +49 201 45355-904
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