Investor Presentation • Aug 10, 2018
Investor Presentation
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LEG Immobilien AG 10 August 2018
H1-2018 Results
While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.
Agenda
| Portfolio revaluation: |
Valuation uplift of +4.1% (€384m) in H1, further capital growth in H2 expected |
|---|---|
| Acquisition: |
Acquisition of c. 3,750 units in core markets close to signing |
| In-place rent, l-f-l |
€5.54/sqm (+2.7%; free financed units +3.5%); FY-2018 target c.3.0% |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l |
3.4% (-10 bps YOY) |
||||
| Maintenance/Capex |
€11.3/sqm (+56.9% YOY) |
| Net cold rent |
€277.4m (+5.2% YOY from €263.7m) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA |
€199.9m (+3.1% YOY from €193.8m) | |||
| Adj. EBITDA pre-maintenance (+5.4% YOY) |
||||
| FFO I |
€156.4m (+5.1% YOY from €148.8m), €2.48 per share (+5.1% YOY from €2.36) | |||
| FFO I pre-maintenance (+7.6% YOY) |
||||
| EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
€88.46 per share (up from €83.81 in Q4; +5.5% YTD despite DPS payout of €3.04) |
Agenda
| Total Portfolio | ||
|---|---|---|
| -- | ----------------- | -- |
30.06.2018 (YOY)
Strong results on the basis of tailor-made management strategies
| 30.06.2018 | (YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 41,341 | +6.2% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €6.14 | +2.6% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 1.9% | +20 bps |
| 30.06.2018 | (YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 47,565 | +1.2% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.27 | +2.6% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 3.1% | -20 bps |
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
| € million |
H1-2018 | H1-2017 | Higher rental income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net rental and lease income |
206.3 | 202.7 | (+€13.7m YOY/+5.2%) Lower increase of net rental income due to higher |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | -0.5 | -0.7 | maintenance expenses (+€5.9m YOY) from a low H1- |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property | 383.9 | 480.1 | 2017 level |
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory | -1.2 | -1.6 | Portfolio revaluation resulted in 4.1% appraisal gain |
| Net income from other services | 2.2 | 2.7 | |
| Administrative and other expenses | -19.3 | -19.3 | Recurring admin. costs also nearly stable (€16.8m/+€0.6m YOY) |
| Other income | 0.4 | 0.2 | |
| Operating earnings |
571.8 | 664.1 | Net income from fair value |
| Net finance costs |
-27.4 | -103.6 | measurement of derivatives €17.1m; thereof €16.9m from convertibles (H1-2017: -€42m) |
| Earnings before income taxes |
544.4 | 560.5 | Lower cash interests (€38.8m; -€1.7m YOY) despite rising debt volume |
| Income tax expenses |
-121.4 | -137.2 | |
| Consolidated net profit |
423.0 | 423.3 | Cash taxes (-€4.1m) |
| € million | H1 -2018 |
H1 -2017 |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cold rent | 277.4 | 263.7 | +€13.7m/+5.2% |
| Profit from operating expenses | -4.2 | -3.5 | |
| Maintenance (externally -procured services) |
-26.7 | -20.9 | Higher share of maintenance measures in comparison to low |
| Staff costs | -30.3 | -26.6 | H1 -2017 level. |
| Allowances on rent receivables | -4.3 | -3.7 | Growth in staff costs mainly due to additional FTE's for |
| Other | -2.7 | -3.5 | crafts services and enhanced |
| Non -recurring project costs (rental and lease) |
3.7 | 0.4 | capex program (also some reorganisation costs) |
| Recurring net rental and lease income | 212.9 | 205.9 | |
| Recurring net income from other services | 3.4 | 3.8 | NRI pre-maintenance increased by +€12.9m YOY |
| Staff costs | -12.0 | -10.8 | (+5.5%) |
| Non -staff operating costs |
-6.7 | -8.2 | |
| Non -recurring project costs (admin.) |
1.9 | 2.8 | Admin. costs nearly flat (YOY); slightly higher |
| Recurring administrative expenses | -16.8 | -16.2 | personnel expenses (e.g. for |
| Other income and expenses | 0.4 | 0.3 | legal) |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 199.9 | 193.8 | EBITDA pre maintenance |
| Cash interest expenses and income | -38.8 | -40.5 | increased by +€12m YOY (+5.4%) |
| Cash income taxes from rental and lease | -3.6 | -3.2 | |
| FFO I (including non -controlling interests) |
157.5 | 150.1 | Lower interest costs (end Q2 - 2018:1.75% vs. 1.85% in Q2 - |
| Non -controlling interests |
-1.1 | -1.3 | 2017) |
| FFO I (excluding non -controlling interests) |
156.4 | 148.8 | |
| FFO II (including disposal of investment property) | 155.7 | 148.1 | |
| Capex -adjusted FFO I (AFFO) |
93.5 | 118.6 |
| € million | H1-2018 | H1-2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported interest expense |
47.4 | 64.5 | One-off refinancing effect of €4.9m in FY-2017 from |
| Interest expense related to loan amortisation |
-5.8 | -14.6 | refinancing of subsidised loans (loan amortisation) |
| Prepayment penalties / breakage costs | 0.0 | -6.7 | Release of swaps and fixed |
| Interest costs related to valuation of assets/liabilities |
-0.4 | -0.7 | interest loans (refinancing); total refinancing costs €11.7m in FY-2017 |
| Leasing related interest expense | -0.5 | -0.5 | |
| Interest expenses related to changes in pension provisions |
-1.2 | -1.2 | |
| Other interest expenses |
-0.4 | 0.0 | |
| Cash effective interest expense (gross) | 39.1 | 40.8 | |
| Cash effective interest income |
0.3 | 0.3 | Interest coverage improved |
| Cash effective interest expense (net) | 38.8 | 40.5 | further (5.2x up from 4.8x YOY) |
| € million | 30.06.2018 | 31.12.2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equity (excl. minority interests) |
4,326.1 | 4,087.4 | €423.0m net profit -€192.1 dividends |
| Effect of exercising options, convertibles and other rights |
564.3 | 559.2 | €7.8m others |
| NAV | 4,890.4 | 4,646.6 | |
| Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments | 242.3 | 259.8 | |
| Deferred taxes1) | 1,008.2 | 899.3 | |
| EPRA-NAV | 6,140.9 | 5,805.7 | |
| (m)2) Number of shares fully-diluted incl. convertible |
68.824 | 68.644 | |
| EPRA-NAV per share in € | 89.23 | 84.58 | |
| Goodwill resulting from synergies | 52.7 | 52.7 | |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
6,088.2 | 5,753.0 | |
| Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € | 88.46 | 83.81 |
Attractive rental yield of 5.7% leaves upside for capital growth (thereof free financed portfolio: 5.9%)
Value of services business not included in NAV
Scenario: additional value approx. €3.90-€5.90 per share (discount rate of 4.0%-6.0%)3)
2) Actual number of shares outstanding 63.19m 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 3) Assumption: expected 2019 FFO, growth rate of 0%
| Value drivers | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| • | Rent & vacancy development |
€267 m | |
| • | Discount rate | €177 m |
|
| • | Others (e.g. cost adjustments) | €1 m |
|
| m1) €445 |
|||
| Allocation | capital growth |
||
| • | Revaluation gains |
€383.9 m | |
| • | Capex | €61.2 m |
| Valuation uplift H1-18 | Gross yield | |
|---|---|---|
| High-Growth Markets | 4.7% (15.5% in FY-17, l-f-l) | 4.6% |
| Stable markets |
3.1% (12.5% in FY-17, l-f-l) | 6.5% |
| Higher-yielding markets |
3.7% (8.8% in FY-17, l-f-l) | 7.1% |
| Total portfolio | 4.1% (13.0% in FY-17, l-f-l) | 5.7% |
| 1) Change in Gross Asset Value, l-f-l |
* valuation effects derivatives + deferred taxes are added back
| Market | Residential Units |
GAV Residential Assets (€m) |
% of Total Residential GAV |
GAV/ sqm (€) |
In-Place Rent Multiple |
Market Multiples, Estimated Rental Values |
GAV Commercial/ Other Assets (€m) |
Total GAV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Growth Markets |
41,341 | 4,439 | 47% | 1,620 | 21.8x | 19.3x | 216 | 4,655 |
| Stable Markets |
47,565 | 2,945 | 31% | 962 | 15.5x | 14.4x | 101 | 3,046 |
| Higher Yielding Markets |
39,468 | 2,004 | 21% | 828 | 14.0x | 13.3x | 59 | 2,062 |
| Subtotal NRW | 128,374 | 9,387 | 98% | 1,142 | 17.5x | 16.1x | 376 | 9,763 |
| Portfolio outside NRW |
1,850 | 156 | 2% | 1,251 | 17.7x | 16.6x | 2 | 158 |
| Total Portfolio | 130,224 | 9,543 | 100% | 1,144 | 17.5x | 16.1x | 378 | 9,921 |
| Other Assets | ||||||||
| Total | 9,986 |
| € million | 30.06.2018 | 31.12.2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 9,941.5 | 9,460.7 | Revaluation €383.9 m |
| Prepayment for investment property |
0.0 | - | Additions €36.2m Capex €61.2m |
| Other non-current assets | 177.3 | 172.3 | |
| Non-current assets | 10,118.8 | 9,633.0 | |
| Receivables and other assets | 103.7 | 63.7 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 152.9 | 285.4 | |
| Current assets | 256.6 | 349.1 | Cash flow from operating |
| Assets held for sale | 19.2 | 30.9 | activities €130.1m Investing activities - €94.2m |
| Total Assets | 10,394.6 | 10,013.0 | Financing activities |
| Equity | 4,353.0 | 4,112.4 | - €168.4m |
| Non-current financing liabilities | 3,936.8 | 3,821.4 | |
| Other non-current liabilities |
1,267.6 | 1,158.8 | Loan proceeds €150.2m |
| Non-current liabilities | 5,204.4 | 4,980.2 | Repayment of loans |
| Current financing liabilities | 387.7 | 478.2 | -€26.6m and of commercial paper -€100m |
| Other current liabilities | 449.5 | 442.2 | |
| Current liabilities | 837.2 | 920.4 | |
| Total Equity and Liabilities |
10,394.6 | 10,013.0 |
| € million | 30.06.2018 | 31.12.2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Financial liabilities |
4,324.5 | 4,299.6 | Low gearing below current |
|
| Cash & cash equivalents | 152.9 | 285.4 | target LTV (up to 45%) leaves headroom for growth |
|
| Net Debt |
4,171.6 | 4,014.2 | investments without raising fresh equity (c.3,750 units close to signing) Yield compression is likely to trigger a further LTV decline in H2-2018 |
|
| Investment properties | 9,941.5 | 9,460.7 | ||
| Properties held for sale | 19.2 | 30.9 | ||
| Prepayments for investment properties |
- | - | ||
| Property values |
9,960.7 | 9,491.6 | Significant positive impact on |
|
| Loan to Value (LTV) in % | 41.9 | 42.3 | LTV from future conversion | |
| Pro-forma LTV post conversion in % | 39.1 | 39.4 | of 1st convertible (€300m nominal) expected (currently -280bps) |
Variable interest 8.1%
Fixed interest 76.9%
1) €300 m convertible bond with investor put option 2019
2) Corporate bond (€500 m)
3) €400 m convertible bond
| Key Facts | Maturities | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average debt maturity |
7.8 years | 1-2 years | 0.1% | ||
| Interest costs | Ø 1.75% | 3-5 years | 18.1% | ||
| Hedging ratio | 91.9% | 6-8 years | 51.0% | ||
| Rating | Baa1 (Moody's) | ≥ 9 years | 30.8% |
| 2018 | FFO I L-F-L rent growth L-F-L vacancy EBITDA margin Investments Dividend |
€315m - €323m / €4.99 - €5.11 per share ~3.0% slightly decreasing ~73% ~30/sqm 70 % of FFO I |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | FFO I L-F-L rent growth EBITDA margin Investments |
€338m - €344m / €5.35 - €5.44 per share ~3.5% ~74% ~€30/sqm |
|
| Mid-term | L-F-L rent growth |
3.0 - 3.5% (per year; until 2021) |
5) Bundesamt für Migration und Flüchtlinge, March 2018 and Federal Statistical Office, April 2018
| Adj. EBITDA margin | FY-2017 | FY-2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | margin % |
€m | margin % |
|
| As reported |
385.7 | 72.1 | 355.7 | 69.5 |
| Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) | 30.1 | 73.6 | 26.3 | 71.0 |
1) €/sqm: €4.74 vs. €5.81 in 2017, €4.67 vs. €5.56 in 2016
| | EBITDA as reported distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest result below the EBITDA line) |
|
|---|---|---|
| | Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; Adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 150 bps higher |
| ≤ 5 years2) | 10 years2) 6 – |
≥ 10 years2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| In-place rent | €4.67 | €4.80 | €4.88 |
| Market rent1) | €6.23 | €6.50 | €5.89 |
| Upside potential3) | 33% | 35% | 21% |
| Upside potential p.a.3) | €8.8m | €15.1m | €13.3m |
Source: LEG as of H1-2018
1) Employed by CBRE as indicator of an average rent value that could theoretically be achieved, not implying that an adjustment of the in-place rent to the market rent is feasible, as stringent legal and contractual restrictions regarding rent increases exist.
2) ≤5 years = 2019-2023; 6-10 years = 2024-2028; ≥10 years = 2029ff.
3) Rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent as of H1-2018 and market rent (defined in footnote 1) as of FY-2017.
Source: LEG; shareholdings according to voting rights notifications
| Date | Report/Event |
|---|---|
| 08.05.2018 | Quarterly Report Q1 as of 31 March 2018 |
| 17.05.2018 | Annual General Meeting, Düsseldorf |
| 10.08.2018 | Quarterly Report Q2 as of 30 June 2018 |
| 29.08.2018 | Berenberg Conference, Helsinki |
| 30.08.2018 | Commerzbank Sector Conference, Frankfurt |
| 11.-13.9.2018 | Jefferies US Roadshow, New York |
| 24.09.2018 | Goldman Sachs & Berenberg Corporate Conference, Munich |
| 25.09.2018 | Baader Investment Conference, Munich |
| 09.11.2018 | Quarterly Statement Q3 as of 30 September 2018 |
Head of Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]
Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]
Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-286 [email protected]
40476 Düsseldorf, Germany E-Mail: [email protected]
LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204
Thank you for your interest.
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