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Hannover Rueck SE

Earnings Release Nov 8, 2018

197_ip_2018-11-08_39dd5cc4-47fa-49fa-b549-0b6f516d0ff5.pdf

Earnings Release

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Conference Call on Q3/2018 results

Hannover, 8 November 2018

RoE well above target, despite impact from recaptures in L&H Guidance for 2018 reconfirmed

Overall favourable earnings growth ... ... outperforming strong growth in top line

Group figures in m. EUR Q3/2017 Q3/2018 Δ Q1-3/2017 Q1-3/2018 Δ
Gross written premium 4,486 5,007 +11.6% 13,484 14,992 +11.2%
Net premium earned 4,008 4,428 +10.5% 11,541 12,774 +10.7%
Net underwriting result (590) (204) - (669) (104) -
- Incl. funds withheld (533) (155) - (488) 60 -
Net investment income 603 412 -31.7% 1,383 1,155 -16.4%
- From assets under own mgmt. 546 362 -33.6% 1,202 992 -17.5%
- From funds withheld 57 49 -13.2% 180 163 -9.4%
Other income and expenses (6) 42 - 92 105 +13.9%
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 7 250 - 806 1,157 +43.5%
Financing costs (18) (20) +13.0% (54) (58) +7.8%
Net income before taxes (11) 229 - 753 1,099 +46.1%
Taxes 47 (37) - (143) (310) +117.2%
Net income 36 193 - 610 789 +29.4%
- Non-controlling interests 22 23 +2.6% 61 64 +4.4%
Group net income 14 170 - 549 725 +32.1%
Retention 89.7% 89.7% 90.1% 90.8%
EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) 0.2% 5.6% 7.0% 9.1%
Tax ratio - 16.1% 19.0% 28.2%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 0.11 1.41 4.55 6.01

Continued positive operating cash flow

AuM +3.5%; strengthening of USD largely offsets decrease in valuation reserves

Shareholders' equity strong despite dividend payment ... ... and decreased OCI

Good profitability supported by U/W and investment result Remarkable growth mainly from tailor-made Structured R/I

Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR Q3/2017 Q3/2018 Q1-3/2017 Q1-3/2018 YTD
Gross written premium 2,772 3,190 8,199 9,658 GWP f/x-adjusted +24.0%, mainly from Structured

R/I; diversified growth in other areas
Net premium earned 2,440 2,842 6,753 8,017 NPE f/x-adjusted +24.9%
Net underwriting result
incl. funds withheld
(446) 38 (296) 259 Major losses of EUR 365 m. (4.5% of NPE) well

below budget despite high frequency in Q3
Combined ratio
incl. interest on funds withheld
118.3% 98.7% 104.4% 96.8% Run-off result without extraordinary effects
Net investment income from assets
under own management
460 271 933 757 Favourable ordinary investment income
Other income and expenses (46) 6 (36) (13) Other income and expenses mainly improved due

to positive currency effects
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) (33) 315 602 1,004 EBIT margin of 12.5% above target of 10%
Tax ratio - 17.6% 16.1% 26.8% Tax ratio at normal level; increase due to tax

reduced disposal gains and dividends in previous
year
Group net income 5 238 449 672
Earnings per share (in EUR) 0.04 1.97 3.72 5.58

Major losses well below budget for Q1-3/2018 Significant remaining budget for Q4/2018

Natural and man-made catastrophe losses* in m. EUR

* Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross

Overall benign large loss experience in Q1-3/2018 Significantly increased loss activity in Q3/2018 in line with quarterly expectation

Catastrophe losses* in m. EUR
Date
Gross Net
Storm "Friederike", Europe 17. - 18. Jan 48.7 32.1
Earthquake, Papua New Guinea 25. - 26. Feb 19.0 13.0
Cyclone "Mekunu", Oman 24. - 26. May 11.5 9.4
Typhoon "Prapiroon", Japan 29. Jun - 06. Jul 68.7 54.2
Wildfire, USA 23. Jul - 30. Aug 14.0 8.6
Typhoon "Jebi", Japan 04. Sep 197.9 103.3
Typhoon "Mangkhut", Guam, Philippines, China 10. - 19. Sep 13.0 5.2
Hurricane "Florence", USA 14. - 20. Sep 65.4 39.6
Typhoon "Trami", Japan 28. Sep - 01. Oct 64.5 22.2
9 Natural catastrophes 502.8 287.6
3 Property claims 71.8 53.7
1 Credit claim 23.3 23.3
13 Major losses 597.9 364.6

* Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross

C/R target of 96% for the full year still within reach

Q1-3/2018: Combined Ratio vs. MtCR

EBIT margin

markets Continental Europe* 98.4% 12.4%
Marine 36.2% 78.0%
Aviation 91.3% 21.9%
Specialty
lines
Credit, surety and political risks 86.1% 21.6%
worldwide UK, Ireland, London market
and direct
106.3% 5.9%
Facultative R/I 102.8% 6.9%
Worldwide Treaty* R/I 96.6% 12.0%
Global
R/I
Cat XL 93.0% 24.3%
Structured R/I and ILS 98.3% 4.4%
Total 96.8% 12.5%

MtCR = Maximum tolerable Combined Ratio Combined Ratio

* All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately

Good underlying profitability ... ... partly mitigates negative effects from in-force management in US mortality

Life & Health R/I in m. EUR Q3/2017 Q3/2018 Q1-3/2017 Q1-3/2018 YTD
Gross written premium 1,714 1,817 5,284 5,335 GWP f/x-adjusted +4.8%, mainly from China and UK

Longevity
Net premium earned 1,568 1,586 4,789 4,757 NPE f/x-adjusted growth +3.2%
Net underwriting result
incl. funds withheld
(86) (193) (193) (199) Technical result impacted by recaptures of EUR

-218 m.* in Q3;
positive underlying development
Net investment income from assets
under own management
86 91 266 232 Favourable ordinary investment income

Other income and expenses mainly the result of
Other income and expenses 41 38 133 122 strong contribution from deposit accounted treaties
(Q1-3/2018: EUR 144 m.)
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 41 (64) 206 155 EBIT growth target outperformed when excluding

recapture charges
EBIT margin 2.6% (4.0%) 4.3% 3.3% Tax ratio above long-term average due to one-time
Tax ratio 45.9% 18.0% 31.9% 39.3% charges in deferred taxes due to change in business
set-up linked to the US tax reform in Q1/2018
Group net income 22 (54) 136 93
Earnings per share (in EUR) 0.18 -0.45 1.13 0.77

* USD -260 m.

9

Higher Ordinary due to US/UK yields and altern. investments Yield curve movements and credit spreads drive down net unrealised gains

in m. EUR Q3/2017 Q3/2018 Q1-3/2017 Q1-3/2018 RoI
Ordinary investment income* 312 360 953 994 3.3%
Realised gains/losses 260 47 343 101 0.3%
Impairments/appreciations &
depreciations
(11) (16) (34) (37) -0.1%
Change in fair value of financial
instruments (through P&L)
12 0 22 20 0.1%
Investment expenses (26) (29) (82) (86) -0.3%
NII from assets under own mgmt. 546 362 1,202 992 3.2%
NII from funds withheld 57 49 180 163
Total net investment income 603 412 1,383 1,155
Unrealised gains/losses of investments 31 Dec 17 30 Sep 18
On-balance sheet 1,159 475
thereof Fixed income AFS 706 73
Off-balance sheet 489 436
thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R 315 231
Total 1,648 911

* Incl. results from associated companies

YTD

  • Rise in ordinary income from FIS; private equity and real estate compensate for lack of dividends from liquidated portfolio of listed equities; Ordinary income yield tops previous year
  • Realised gains supported by highyield fixed-income securities; decrease due to liquidation of listed equities in previous year and rise in USD yields
  • Minor impairments only on private equity and real estate funds; major portion still from usual depreciation on direct real estate
  • Decrease in valuation reserves due to higher USD and GBP yields as well as increasing credit spreads on European and US corporates

Fixed income still supported by riskier asset classes... ... reflected in prominent contribution to income

Asset allocation

Investment category 30 Sep 18
Fixed-income securities 88%
- Governments 35%
- Semi-governments 16%
- Corporates 29%
Investment grade 26%
Non-investment grade 4%
- Pfandbriefe, Covered Bonds, ABS 7%
Equities 2%
- Listed Equity <1%
- Private Equity 2%
Real estate/real estate funds 5%
Others 1%
Short-term investments & cash 3%
Total market values in bn. EUR 41.9

Economic view based on market values as at 30 September 2018 * Before real estate-specific costs

Target Matrix

Business group Key figures Strategic targets for
2018
Q1-3/2018
Group Return on investment1) ≥ 2.7% 3.3%
Return on equity2) ≥ 9.5% 11.5%
Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) ≥ 5% 32.1%
Economic value creation3) ≥ 6.5% n.a.
Solvency ratio4) ≥ 200% 252%
Property & Casualty R/I Gross premium growth5) 3% - 5% 24.0%
Combined ratio6) ≤ 96% 96.8%
EBIT margin7) ≥ 10% 12.5%
xRoCA8) ≥ 2% n.a.
Life & Health R/I Gross premium growth9) 3% - 5% 4.8%
Value of New Business (VNB)10) ≥ EUR 220 m. n.a.
EBIT growth ≥ 5% -24.6%
xRoCA8) ≥ 2% n.a.

1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives 2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds

3) Growth in economic equity + paid dividend; target: 600 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds

4) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements; as of 30 June 2018

5) On average throughout the R/I cycle; at constant f/x rates 6) Incl. expected net major losses

7) EBIT/net premium earned 8) Excess return on allocated economic capital

9) Organic growth only; annual average growth (5-year period), at constant f/x rates

10) Based on Solvency II principles and pre-tax reporting

Outlook

Unchanged guidance for 2018

Hannover Re Group

  • Gross written premium1) more than 10% growth
  • Return on investment2) 3) at least 2.7%
  • Group net income2) more than EUR 1 bn.
  • Dividend payout ratio4) 35% 45% (If comfortable capitalisation level remains unchanged, dividend payout will be at least on previous year's level of EUR 5 per share)

1) At unchanged f/x rates

2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2018 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 825 m.

3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives

4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS

Overall profitability above margin requirements expected Good growth opportunities in various lines of business

North America3)
Target
+/-
markets
Continental Europe3)
+
Marine +
Aviation
Specialty
-
lines
Credit, surety and political risks
+
worldwide
UK, Ireland, London market and direct
-
Facultative reinsurance -
Worldwide treaty3) reinsurance +/-
Global
Cat XL
reinsurance
+/-
Structured reinsurance and ILS +/-

1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different

2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)

3) All lines of business except those stated separately

Good underlying profitability in L&H business Recapture charges of USD 350-400 m. in US mortality business expected in 2018

Reporting categories Volume1) Profitability2)
Financial
solutions
Financial solutions ++
Longevity +/-
Risk
solutions
Mortality -
Morbidity +/-

1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different

2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)

Guidance for 2019

Hannover Re Group

  • Gross written premium1) growth within a single-digit percentage range
  • Return on investment2) 3) 2.8%
  • Group net income2) in the region of EUR 1.1 bn.
  • Dividend payout ratio4) 35% 45% (If comfortable level of capitalisation remains unchanged, this ratio will increase through payment of another special dividend)

  • 2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2019 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 875 m.

  • 3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
  • 4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS

1) At unchanged f/x rates

Creating value through reinsurance is our strategic driver Three profit sources play their part in fuelling our future success

  • Market growth in line with or slightly below primary P&C market
  • Structurally competitive due to low entrance hurdle resulting in a supply and demand imbalance; however, competition is rational because participants are disciplined
  • We are confident of growing our market share top and bottom line based on our competitive advantages

P&C reinsurance L&H reinsurance Investments

  • We enjoy good profitability on our US Financial Solutions business and our business outside the US
  • US mortality has masked the good underlying profitability
  • We expect significantly increased EBIT growth from 2019 onwards as we are resolving the problems with US mortality legacy book

  • AuM are expected to rise further due to continued positive cash flow from operations

  • Return on investment will be flat in the medium term due to low interest rate environment; further rise in US interest rates will depress our ability to realise gains from valuation reserves
  • Rising interest rates will contribute to increasing investment income in the medium to long term

Positioned to outperform Growing EBIT contribution Higher Net Investment Income

Appendix

Our strategic business groups at a glance Q1-3/2018 vs. Q1-3/2017

Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Total
in m. EUR Q1-3/2017 Q1-3/2018 Δ Q1-3/2016 Q1-3/2018 Δ Q1-3/2017 Q1-3/2018 Δ
Gross written premium 8,199 9,658 +17.8% 5,284 5,335 +1.0% 13,484 14,992 +11.2%
Net premium earned 6,753 8,017 +18.7% 4,789 4,757 -0.7% 11,541 12,774 +10.7%
Net underwriting result (309) 233 - (360) (336) - (669) (104) -
Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld (296) 259 - (193) (199) +3.4% (488) 60 -
Net investment income 947 784 -17.2% 433 369 -14.7% 1,383 1,155 -16.4%
From assets under own management 933 757 -18.9% 266 232 -12.6% 1,202 992 -17.5%
From funds withheld 13 27 +97.9% 167 137 -18.0% 180 163 -9.4%
Other income and expenses (36) (13) - 133 122 -8.0% 92 105 +13.9%
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 602 1,004 +66.8% 206 155 -24.6% 806 1,157 +43.5%
Financing costs 0 (0) +0.0% 0 (0) - (54) (58) +7.8%
Net income before taxes 602 1,004 +66.8% 206 155 -24.6% 753 1,099 +46.1%
Taxes (97) (269) +178.3% (66) (61) -7.1% (143) (310) +117.2%
Net income 505 735 +45.5% 140 94 -32.9% 610 789 +29.4%
Non-controlling interest 56 62 +10.7% 5 1 -74.4% 61 64 +4.4%
Group net income 449 672 +49.8% 136 93 -31.5% 549 725 +32.1%
Retention 89.2% 90.9% 91.5% 90.6% 90.1% 90.8%
Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) 104.4% 96.8% 104.0% 104.2% 104.2% 99.5%
EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) 8.9% 12.5% 4.3% 3.3% 7.0% 9.1%
Tax ratio 16.1% 26.8% 31.9% 39.3% 19.0% 28.2%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 3.72 5.58 1.13 0.77 4.55 6.01

Our strategic business groups at a glance Q3/2018 vs. Q3/2017

Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Total
in m. EUR Q3/2017 Q3/2018 Δ Q3/2017 Q3/2018 Δ Q3/2017 Q3/2018 Δ
Gross written premium 2,772 3,190 +15.1% 1,714 1,817 +6.0% 4,486 5,007 +11.6%
Net premium earned 2,440 2,842 +16.5% 1,568 1,586 +1.2% 4,008 4,428 +10.5%
Net underwriting result (458) 28 - (132) (232) +76.2% (590) (204) -
Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld (446) 38 - (86) (193) - (533) (155) -
Net investment income 471 281 -40.4% 131 130 -0.7% 603 412 -31.7%
From assets under own management 460 271 -41.1% 86 91 +5.8% 546 362 -33.7%
From funds withheld 12 10 -11.1% 45 39 -32.8% 57 49 -12.8%
Other income and expenses (46) 6 - 41 38 - (6) 42 32.3%
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) (33) 315 - 41 (64) - 7 250 -
Financing costs 0 (0) - 0 (0) - (18) (20) +13.0%
Net income before taxes (33) 315 - 41 (64) - (11) 229 -
Taxes 59 (55) - (19) 12 -161.8% 47 (37) -
Net income 26 259 - 22 (53) - 36 193 -
Non-controlling interest 22 21 -0.4% 1 1 +127.1% 22 23 +2.6%
Group net income 5 238 - 22 (54) - 14 170 -
Retention 88.8% 89.9% 91.2% 89.4% 89.7% 89.7%
Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) 118.3% 98.7% 105.5% 112.2% 113.3% 103.5%
EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) -1.3% 11.1% 2.6% -4.0% 0.2% 5.6%
Tax ratio - 17.6% 45.9% -18.0% - 16.1%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 0.04 1.97 0.18 -0.45 0.11 1.41

Slight risk reduction reflected in governments and corporates Despite higher US yields impressive AuM growth due to cash flows / FX movements

Asset allocation1)

Investment category 2014 2015 2016 2017 30 Sep 18
Fixed-income securities 90% 87% 87% 87% 88%
- Governments 21% 26% 28% 30% 35%
- Semi-governments 19% 17% 18% 17% 16%
- Corporates 36% 34% 33% 32% 29%
Investment grade 33% 30% 28% 27% 26%
Non-investment grade 3% 4% 4% 5% 4%
- Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS 14% 10% 9% 8% 2)
7%
Equities 2% 3% 4% 2% 2%
- Listed equity <1% 1% 2% <1% <1%
- Private equity 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%
Real estate/real estate funds 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%
Others 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Short-term investments & cash 4% 5% 4% 4% 3%
Total market values in bn. EUR 36.8 39.8 42.3 40.5 41.9

1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments

of EUR 1,449.8 m. (EUR 1,201.9 m.) as at 30 Sep 2018

2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 70.9%

Stress tests on assets under own management

Unchanged focus on yields and credit spreads; reduced relevance of equities

Portfolio Scenario Change in market value
in m. EUR
Change in OCI before tax
in m. EUR
-10% -89 -89
Equity (listed and private equity) -20% -178 -178
+50 bps -945 -824
Fixed-income securities +100 bps -1,844 -1,608
Credit spreads
+50%
-725 -663

As at 30 September 2018

High quality fixed-income book well balanced

Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification

</bbb<>
Governments Semi
governments
Corporates Pfandbriefe,
Covered bonds,
ABS
Short-term
investments,
cash
Total
AAA 78.8% 58.9% 1.8% 60.5% - 48.8%
A
A
12.1% 27.2% 14.3% 22.7% - 16.4%
A 5.0% 5.7% 31.9% 10.9% - 14.3%
BBB 2.2% 1.4% 43.9% 4.5% - 15.8%
<bbb< td="">1.9%6.7%8.1%1.4%-4.7% 1.9% 6.7% 8.1% 1.4% - 4.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% - 100.0%
Germany 17.2% 43.1% 4.6% 19.2% 16.6% 17.8%
UK 7.2% 2.1% 8.0% 10.7% 7.2% 6.9%
France 1.2% 1.4% 7.3% 5.2% 0.9% 3.5%
GIIPS 0.8% 1.0% 4.0% 5.2% 0.0% 2.2%
Rest of Europe 2.3% 12.6% 15.2% 21.7% 4.3% 9.7%
USA 56.3% 9.6% 34.1% 13.8% 15.7% 36.4%
Australia 3.6% 9.8% 8.2% 12.4% 7.3% 6.9%
Asia 7.4% 8.1% 6.2% 0.7% 31.8% 7.5%
Rest of World 4.1% 12.5% 12.4% 11.3% 16.2% 9.2%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Total b/s values in m. EUR 14,873 6,409 11,664 3,034 1,431 37,411

IFRS figures as at 30 September 2018

Currency allocation matches liability profile of balance sheet Duration-neutral strategy continued

Currency split of investments

  • Modified duration of fixedincome mainly congruent with liabilities
  • GBP's higher modified duration predominantly due to life business

Modified duration

2017 4.8
2016 5.0
2015 4.4
2014 4.6
2013 4.4
2012 4.5

Modified duration as at 30 September 2018: 4.8

Low allocation in Southern Europe* Less than a half percent of assets under own management

Asset allocation in m. EUR

Economic view based on market values as at 30 September 2018 * Governments and Semi-Governments

VII Conference Call on Q3/2018 results

Solvency II ratio (regulatory view) Hannover Re Group

Development of the Solvency II ratio (regulatory view)

Disclaimer

This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.

While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-to-date, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.

Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.

This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.

© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved.

Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.

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