Investor Presentation • Nov 9, 2018
Investor Presentation
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LEG Immobilien AG 9 November 2018
9M-2018 Results
While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.
Agenda
| • Portfolio valuation |
Year-end valuation expected to result in c. 4% uplift (390-410m value change) |
|---|---|
| • Disposal program |
Started marketing process shows strong investor demand |
| • Financing |
Financing for acquisition of 3,788 units secured at favourable terms (10 yrs, 1.65%) |
| In-place rent, l-f-l |
€5.62/sqm (+2.7%; free financed units +3.4%); FY-2018 target c.3.0% |
|---|---|
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l |
3.7% (-40 bps YOY) |
| Maintenance/Capex |
€20.4/sqm (+53.4% YOY) |
| Net cold rent |
€417.0m (+4.7% YOY from €398.4m) |
|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA |
€305.9m (+4.9% YOY from €291.5m) |
| Adj. EBITDA pre-maintenance (+5.9% YOY) |
|
| FFO I |
€242.2m (+7.0% YOY from €226.3m), €3.83 per share (+7.0% YOY from €3.58) |
| FFO I pre-maintenance (+7.9% YOY) |
|
| EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
€90.21 per share (up from €83.81 in Q4; +7.6% YTD / +11.3% incl. DPS of €3.04) |
Agenda
| Total Portfolio | ||
|---|---|---|
| -- | ----------------- | -- |
| 30.09.2018 | (YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 130,170 | +1.1% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.62 | +2.7% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 3.7% | -40 bps |
| 30.09.2018 | (YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 41,368 | +1.6% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €6.28 | +2.7% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 2.4% | -40 bps |
| 30.09.2018 | (YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 47,555 | +1.2% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.30 | +2.5% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 3.3% | -50 bps |
| Higher-Yielding Markets | ||
|---|---|---|
| 30.09.2018 | (YOY) |
|
| # of units | 39,397 | 0.7% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.22 | +2.8% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 6.1% | -30 bps |
*on a sqm basis
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
9M-2017 9M-2018
9M-2017 9M-2018
| € million |
9M-2018 | 9M-2017 | Higher rental income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net rental and lease income |
315.2 | 302.9 | (+€18.6m YOY/+4.7%) Higher maintenance expenses (+€5.7m YOY) and one-time |
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | -0.7 | -1.0 | costs (+€3.4m) |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property | 383.5 | 481.1 | |
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory | -1.5 | -2.2 | Portfolio revaluation resulted in 4.1% appraisal gain (H1- |
| Net income from other services | 3.8 | 5.0 | 2018) Recurring admin. costs nearly |
| Administrative and other expenses | -31.7 | -28.5 | stable (€24.7m/+€0.4m YOY), despite wage inflation and |
| Other income | 0.6 | 0.6 | rising costs for compliance etc. |
| Operating earnings |
669.2 | 757.9 | Net income from fair value measurement of derivatives |
| Net finance costs |
-117.9 | -148.5 | -€49.2m; thereof -€49.6m from convertibles |
| Earnings before income taxes |
551.3 | 609.4 | (9M-2017: -€63.2m) Lower cash interests (€58.8m; -€1.7m YOY) despite rising |
| Income tax expenses |
-143.6 | -151.4 | debt volume |
| Consolidated net profit |
407.7 | 458.0 | Cash taxes (-€4.9m) |
| € million | 9M-2018 | 9M-2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cold rent | 417.0 | 398.4 | +€18.6m/+4.7% |
| Profit from operating expenses | -3.3 | -3.1 | |
| Maintenance (externally-procured services) | -37.6 | -35.0 | Higher maintenance expenses (volumes + cost inflation) |
| Staff costs | -45.2 | -40.0 | Growth in staff costs mainly due to additional FTE's for |
| Allowances on rent receivables | -4.1 | -5.4 | crafts services and enhanced |
| Other | -7.0 | -7.5 | capex program |
| Non-recurring project costs (rental and lease) |
4.7 | 1.3 | Allowances on receivables decreased to very low level |
| Recurring net rental and lease income | 324.5 | 308.7 | |
| Recurring net income from other services | 5.6 | 6.7 | NRI pre-maintenance increased by +€21.4m YOY |
| Staff costs | -19.6 | -16.2 | (+6.0%) |
| Non-staff operating costs | -10.9 | -11.9 | |
| Non-recurring project costs (admin.) | 5.8 | 3.8 | Admin. costs nearly flat (YOY) despite wage inflation |
| Recurring administrative expenses | -24.7 | -24.3 | and additional regulatory |
| Other income and expenses | 0.5 | 0.4 | requirements |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 305.9 | 291.5 | EBITDA pre maintenance |
| Cash interest expenses and income | -58.8 | -60.5 | increased by +€20.1m YOY (+5.9%) |
| Cash income taxes from rental and lease | -4.1 | -3.0 | |
| FFO I (including non-controlling interests) | 243.0 | 228.0 | Lower interest costs (average over term of 9M-2018: 1.75% |
| Non-controlling interests | -0.8 | -1.7 | vs. 1.88% in 9M-2017) |
| FFO I (excluding non-controlling interests) | 242.2 | 226.3 | |
| FFO II (including disposal of investment property) | 240.6 | 225.2 | |
| Capex-adjusted FFO I (AFFO) | 121.9 | 163.6 |
| € million | 9M-2018 | 9M-2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported interest expense |
72.0 | 88.8 | One-off refinancing effect of €4.9m in FY-2017 from |
| Interest expense related to loan amortisation |
-9.2 | -17.4 | refinancing of subsidised loans (loan amortisation) |
| Prepayment penalties / breakage costs | -0.2 | -7.5 | Release of swaps and fixed |
| Interest costs related to valuation of assets/liabilities |
-0.6 | -0.7 | interest loans (refinancing); total refinancing costs €11.7m in FY-2017 |
| Leasing related interest expense | -0.7 | -0.8 | |
| Interest expenses related to changes in pension provisions |
-1.8 | -1.8 | |
| Other interest expenses |
-0.2 | 0.4 | |
| Cash effective interest expense (gross) | 59.5 | 61.0 | |
| Cash effective interest income |
0.7 | 0.5 | Interest coverage improved |
| Cash effective interest expense (net) | 58.8 | 60.5 | further (5.2x up from 4.8x YOY) |
Attractive rental yield of 5.7% (thereof free financed portfolio: 5.9%) and low value per sqm (€1,151) leaves upside for capital growth
Value of services business not included in NAV
Scenario: additional value approx. €4.60-€6.90 per share (discount rate of 4.0%-6.0%)3)
2) Actual number of shares outstanding 63.19m 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 3) Assumption: expected 2019 FFO, growth rate of 0%
| gewohnt gut | |
|---|---|
| € million | 30.09.2018 | 31.12.2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 9,998.5 | 9,460.7 | Revaluation €383.5 m |
| Prepayment for investment property |
208.2 | - | Net additions €36.7m Capex €117.6m |
| Other non-current assets | 175.6 | 172.3 | |
| Non-current assets | 10,382.3 | 9,633.0 | |
| Receivables and other assets | 100.3 | 63.7 | |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 185.3 | 285.4 | Cash flow from operating |
| Current assets | 285.6 | 349.1 | activities €211.0m |
| Assets held for sale | 20.9 | 30.9 | Investing activities - €362.2m |
| Total Assets | 10,688.8 | 10,013.0 | Financing activities |
| Equity | 4,341.5 | 4,112.4 | €51.1m |
| Non-current financing liabilities | 3,918.2 | 3,821.4 | |
| Other non-current liabilities |
1,301.6 | 1,158.8 | Loan proceeds €150.2m |
| Non-current liabilities | 5,219.8 | 4,980.2 | and proceeds from commercial paper €150m |
| Current financing liabilities | 635.7 | 478.2 | Repayment of loans |
| Other current liabilities | 491.8 | 442.2 | -€52.2m |
| Current liabilities | 1,127.5 | 920.4 | |
| Total Equity and Liabilities |
10,688.8 | 10,013.0 |
| € million | 30.09.2018 | 31.12.2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Financial liabilities |
4,553.9 | 4,299.6 |
| Cash & cash equivalents | 185,3 | 285.4 |
| Net Debt |
4,368.6 | 4,014.2 |
| Investment properties | 9,998.5 | 9,460.7 |
| Properties held for sale | 20.9 | 30.9 |
| Prepayments for investment properties |
208.2 | - |
| Business combinations |
- | 2.0 |
| Property values |
10,227.6 | 9,493.6 |
| Loan to Value (LTV) in % | 42.7 | 42.3 |
| Pro-forma LTV post conversion in % | 40.0 | 39.4 |
*Including commercial paper
1) Commercial paper
2) €300 m convertible bond with investor put option 2019
3) Corporate bond (€500 m)
4) €400 m convertible bond
| Key Facts | Maturities | |
|---|---|---|
| Average debt maturity |
7.5 years (7.1 years*) | |
| Interest costs | Ø 1.73% (1.63%*) | |
| Hedging ratio | 91.9% (87.0%*) | |
| Rating | Baa1 (Moody's) |
| 1-2 years | 0.1% (5.4%*) |
|---|---|
| 3-5 years | 18.1% (17.2%*) |
| 6-8 years | 51.1% (48.4%*) |
| ≥ 9 years | 30.6% (29.0%*) |
| 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KPI | |||
| FFO I | €315m - €323m |
€338m - €344m |
€356m - €364m |
| FFO I per share | €4.99 - €5.11 |
€5.35 - €5.44 |
€5.63 - €5.76 |
| L-F-L rent growth | ~3.0% | prev. 3.0-3.2% ~3.5% |
3.2-3.4% |
| L-F-L vacancy | slightly decreasing |
slightly decreasing |
|
| EBITDA margin | prev. >72% ~73% |
prev. ~73% ~74% |
~74% |
| Investments | ~30€/sqm | prev. ~30-32€/sqm €~30 |
~31-33€/sqm |
| Dividend | 70 % of FFO I |
70 % of FFO I |
70 % of FFO I |
6) Federal Statistical Office, press release 15 Oct 2018
5) Bundesamt für Migration und Flüchtlinge, March 2018 and Federal Statistical Office, April 2018
| Adj. EBITDA margin | FY-2017 | FY-2016 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | margin % |
€m | margin % |
|
| As reported |
385.7 | 72.1 | 355.7 | 69.5 |
| Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) | 30.1 | 73.6 | 26.3 | 71.0 |
1) €/sqm: €4.74 vs. €5.81 in 2017, €4.67 vs. €5.56 in 2016
| | EBITDA as reported distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest result below the EBITDA line) |
|
|---|---|---|
| | Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; Adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 150 bps higher |
| ≤ 5 years2) | 10 years2) 6 – |
≥ 10 years2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| In-place rent | €4.67 | €4.81 | €4.88 |
| Market rent1) | €6.23 | €6.50 | €5.89 |
| Upside potential3) | 33% | 35% | 21% |
| Upside potential p.a.3) | €8.8m | €15.1m | €13.3m |
Source: LEG as of 9M-2018
1) Employed by CBRE as indicator of an average rent value that could theoretically be achieved, not implying that an adjustment of the in-place rent to the market rent is feasible, as stringent legal and contractual restrictions regarding rent increases exist.
2) ≤5 years = 2019-2023; 6-10 years = 2024-2028; ≥10 years = 2029ff.
3) Rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent as of 9M-2018 and market rent (defined in footnote 1) as of FY-2017.
| Date | Report/Event |
|---|---|
| 08.05.2018 | Quarterly Statement Q1 as of 31 March 2018 |
| 17.05.2018 | Annual General Meeting, Düsseldorf |
| 10.08.2018 | Quarterly Report Q2 as of 30 June 2018 |
| 09.11.2018 | Quarterly Statement Q3 as of 30 September 2018 |
| 13.11.2018 | Exane BNP Paribas Roadshow, Paris |
| 14.11.2018 | Morgan Stanley Roadshow, London |
| 15.11.2018 | Kempen Roadshow, Amsterdam |
| 21.11.2018 | Equinet Roadshow, Düsseldorf |
| 23.11.2018 | Jefferies Roadshow, Zurich |
| 27.11.2018 | UBS Global Real Estate Conference, London |
| 03.12.2018 | Berenberg European Corporate Conference, London/Surrey |
Head of Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]
Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]
Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-286 [email protected]
40476 Düsseldorf, Germany E-Mail: [email protected]
LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204
Thank you for your interest.
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