AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Stabilus SE

Investor Presentation Feb 4, 2019

6214_ip_2019-02-04_a2229756-4662-426d-988b-bc659f10142b.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Q1 FY2019 RESULTS

February 4, 2019

Disclaimer

Stabilus S.A. (the "Company", later "Stabilus") has prepared this presentation solely for your information. It should not be treated as giving investment advice. Neither the Company, nor any of its directors, officers, employees, direct or indirect shareholders and advisors nor any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from any use of this presentation.

While the Company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external source, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate. This presentation contains forward-looking statements, which involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in, or expressed or implied by, such statements. These statements reflect the Company's current knowledge and its expectations and projections about future events and may be identified by the context of such statements or words such as "anticipate," "believe", "estimate", "expect", "intend", "plan", "project" and "target". No obligation is assumed to update any such statement.

    1. Financial highlights
    1. Results by region
    1. Results by market
    1. Outlook
    1. Appendix
  • Financial highlights

Q1 FY2019 highlights

Fiscal year-end September

Revenue Revenue down by 2.4% to €225.0m (-
€5.6m vs. Q1 FY18); revenue change w/o FX: -
3.6% y/y
NAFTA + 0.1% y/y, Europe -
2.9% y/y and Asia / Pacific and RoW -
7.4% y/y
Capital Goods -
0.2% y/y, Automotive Gas Spring -
2.0% y/y, Automotive Powerise -
3.9% y/y and Vibration &
Velocity Control -
5.2% y/y
Adj. EBIT Adj. EBIT1
at €30.8m (vs. €33.9m in Q1 FY18), down 9.1%
Adj. EBIT margin at 13.7% (vs. 14.7% in Q1 FY18)
Profit Profit at €17.7m in Q1 FY19 (vs. €21.7m in Q1 FY18, thereof €4.1m lower income taxes due to non-recurring
remeasurement of the deferred tax positions, as a consequence of the US tax reform in Dec 2017)
Profit margin at 7.9% (vs. 9.4% in Q1 FY18)
Net leverage ratio Net leverage ratio1 at 1.0x (vs. 1.4x as of end Q1 FY18 and 1.1x as of end FY18)
Net financial debt1
at €187.8m
Outlook FY2019 revenue outlook: c. 2% y/y revenue growth (at constant \$/€
rate vs. FY18 of 1.19)
FY2019 adj. EBIT margin forecast: c. 15%

Note:

1 For definition/calculation of KPIs like adj. EBIT, net leverage ratio etc. refer to appendix and/or our financial reports and quarterly statements under www.ir.stabilus.com.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q1 FY19 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q1 FY18.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Q1 FY2019 impacted by softer markets in Germany (WLTP) and China

Note: FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q1 FY19 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q1 FY18.

1.

Agenda

  1. Results by region

Q1 FY2019 revenue and adj. EBIT growth – by region (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided. FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q1 FY19 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q1 FY18. 1 Billed-from view, without intersegment revenue.

Europe

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. 1 External revenue only.

  • Europe's light vehicle production in Q1 FY19 at 5.5m units, i.e. - 3.9% vs. Q1 FY18
  • Europe's revenue decreased by €3.4m or 2.9% y/y, esp. December showing poor sales y-o-y
  • Europe's automotive revenue was impacted by the weak market in Germany (conversion to WLTP): Automotive Powerise - 7.2% or - €1.9m y/y, Automotive Gas Spring - 5.3% or - €2.0m y/y;
  • Industrial revenue growth lower due to softer business with distributers: Capital Goods +2.8% or €1.1m y/y, Vibration & Velocity Control - 4.8% or - €0.6m y/y
  • Adj. EBIT margin at 13.9% (vs. 14.1% in Q1 FY18)

NAFTA

  • NAFTA's light vehicle production in Q1 FY19 at 4.2m units, i.e. + 2.9% vs. Q1 FY18
  • NAFTA's revenue + 0.1% y/y (- 3.0% y/y excluding the \$/€ currency translation effect)
  • NAFTA's revenue development in Q1 FY19: Automotive Gas Spring + 8.1% y/y (+ 4.9% excl. currency effect); Automotive Powerise - 2.4% y/y (- 5.4% y/y excl. currency effect) primarily due to platform changes from dual-sided to single-sided tailgate systems; Capital Goods - 5.8% y/y (- 9.0% y/y excl. currency effect)
  • Adj. EBIT margin at 14.0% (vs. 15.0% in Q1 FY8)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. 1 External revenue only.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q1 FY19 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q1 FY18.

Asia / Pacific and RoW

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September. 1 External revenue only.

  • Asia/Pacific and RoW's light vehicle production in Q1 FY19 at 14.7m units, i.e. - 4.9% vs. Q1 FY18 (China - 11.3%, Japan/Korea + 8.3%, South America - 0.6%)
  • Asia/Pacific and RoW's revenue decreased by 7.4% or €2.3m y/y
  • Automotive Powerise +6.5% y/y reflecting continued interest in the feature; Automotive Gas Spring revenue - €1.8m or - 8.5% y/y due to the softening of the auto market in China; Vibration & Velocity Control revenue - €0.5m or - 22.7% y/y due to softer call-offs on a long-term contract
  • Adj. EBIT margin decreased from 16.5% in Q1 FY18 to 11.8% in Q1 FY19, as Chinese plant overhead structure is being maintained, in order to increase the likelihood of further contract wins

  • 1.

4.

5.

  1. Results by market

Q1 FY2019 revenue growth – by market / business (y-o-y)

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

1Industrial including Capital Goods and Vibration & Velocity Control revenue.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q1 FY19 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q1 FY18. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Q1 FY2019 revenue growth – Automotive business (y-o-y)

  • Global light vehicle production in Q1 FY19 at 24.4m units, i.e. - 3.4% vs. Q1 FY18
  • Automotive revenue 2.8% y/y (- 4.1% without \$/€ currency translation effect) due to weak automotive market in Germany and China
  • Automotive Gas Spring revenue 2.0% y/y (- 3.0% without \$/€ currency translation effect)
  • Powerise revenue 3.9% y/y (- 5.4% y/y without \$/€ currency translation effect), in spite of 6.5% revenue growth in Asia/Pacific and RoW

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q1 FY19 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q1 FY18. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Q1 FY2019 revenue growth – Industrial business (y-o-y)

  • From Oct 1, 2018 Commercial Furniture is part of Capital Goods business unit to better reflect customer demand for a broad product portfolio and to further increase the efficiency in CRM
  • Industrial revenue decreased by 1.7% (2.7% excluding \$/€ currency translation effect)
  • Excluding \$/€ currency translation effect Capital Goods - 1.0%, Vibration & Velocity Control - 6.5%
  • Growth in construction machinery, engineering / production technology and improvement (rebound) in solar damper business; softer business with distributers; weaker markets in agricultural machinery and transportation

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

FX = currency effect resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q1 FY19 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q1 FY18. Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

  1. Outlook

5.

Outlook

FY2018 Actual FY2019 Guidance

million
percent
Revenue €962.6m
(@ 1.19 \$/€)
~ €980m (@ 1.19 \$/€) ~ 2% y/y (at constant \$/€
rate)
% Adj. EBIT margin 15.5% ~ 15%

Comments

  • Due to the continuing automotive market weakness in Germany and China, revenue growth forecast for FY2019 has been lowered from 5% to c. 2% y/y (at constant avg. \$/€ rate vs. FY18 of 1.19) – up to approx. €980m
  • Decrease of US\$/€ avg. fx rate by 0.10 \$/€ leads to a revenue increase by approx. €30m and vice versa
  • FY2019 adj. EBIT margin forecast reduced from 15.5% to c. 15%

Note: Stabilus fiscal year-end is September.

  1. Appendix

Revenue by region and customer market (3M ended Dec 31, 2018)

External revenue (€m)
Q1 FY2018
Actual
Q1 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Automotive Gas Spring 37.4 35.4 (2.0) (5.3)%
Automotive Powerise 26.5 24.6 (1.9) (7.2)%
Industrial / Capital Goods 39.6 40.7 1.1 2.8%
Vibration & Velocity Control 12.5 11.9 (0.6) (4.8)%
Europe 116.0 112.6 (3.4) (2.9)%
Automotive
Gas Spring
24.6 26.6 2.0 8.1%
Automotive
Powerise
FX effect: 3.1% y/y 33.3 32.5 (0.8) (2.4)%
Industrial / Capital
Goods
Q1 FY19: 1.1412\$/€
Q1 FY18: 1.1777\$/€
15.6 14.7 (0.9) (5.8)%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
10.0 9.9 (0.1) (1.0)%
NAFTA1 83.6 83.7 0.1 0.1%
Automotive Gas Spring 21.2 19.4 (1.8) (8.5)%
Automotive
Powerise
4.6 4.9 0.3 6.5%
Industrial / Capital Goods 2.9 2.7 (0.2) (6.9)%
Vibration
& Velocity Control
2.2 1.7 (0.5) (22.7)%
Asia
/ Pacific and RoW
31.0 28.7 (2.3) (7.4)%
Total Automotive Gas Spring 83.1 81.4 (1.7) (2.0)%
Total
Automotive Powerise
64.5 62.0 (2.5) (3.9)%
Total Industrial / Capital Goods 58.2 58.1 (0.1) (0.2)%
Total Vibration & Velocity
Control
24.8 23.5 (1.3) (5.2)%
Total 230.6 225.0 (5.6) (2.4)%

Note: 1 NAFTA Q1 FY19 revenue includes currency effect of €2.6m, resulting from translation of NAFTA revenue from USD to EUR. Avg. fx rate of 1.14\$/€ in Q1 FY19 versus 1.18\$/€ in Q1 FY18.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

P&L overview (3M ended Dec 31, 2018)

P&L (€m)
Q1 FY2018
Actual
Q1 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Revenue 230.6 225.0 (5.6) (2.4)%
COGS (162.9) (161.3) 1.6 (1.0)%
Gross Profit 67.7 63.7 (4.0) (5.9)%
% margin 29.4% 28.3%
R&D (10.1) (9.8) 0.3 (3.0)%
S&M (20.5) (20.3) 0.2 (1.0)%
G&A (9.0) (9.1) (0.1) 1.1%
Other income/expenses 1.4 1.4 - 0.0%
EBIT 29.5 25.9 (3.6) (12.2)%
% margin 12.8% 11.5%
Adjustments1 4.4 4.9 0.5 11.4%
Adj. EBIT1 33.9 30.8 (3.1) (9.1)%
% margin 14.7% 13.7%
Advisory
(acquisition related)
Total
adjustments1
-
4.4
0.5
4.9
PPA adjustments (2016 PPA) 2.1 2.1
PPA adjustments (2010 PPA) 2.3 2.3

Note: 1 Adjusted EBIT represents profit from operating activities (EBIT), adjusted for exceptional non-recurring items (e.g. restructuring or one-time advisory costs) and depreciation/amortization of fair value adjustments from purchase price allocations (PPA).

Balance sheet overview

Balance sheet (€m)
Sept 2018
Actual
Dec 2018
Actual
Change % change
Property, plant and equipment 179.2 182.0 2.8 1.6%
Goodwill 195.2 195.9 0.7 0.4%
Other intangible assets2 247.2 242.5 (4.7) (1.9)%
Inventories 90.8 95.7 4.9 5.4%
Trade receivables 111.3 102.3 (9.0) (8.1)%
Other assets 43.7 44.8 1.1 2.5%
Cash 143.0 154.3 11.3 7.9%
Total assets 1,010.4 1,017.4 7.0 0.7%
Equity incl. minorities 426.5 446.7 20.2 4.7%
Debt (incl. accrued interest) 320.0 321.0 1.0 0.3%
Pension plans and similar obligations 52.2 50.7 (1.5) (2.9)%
Deferred tax liabilities 47.8 46.8 (1.0) (2.1)%
Trade accounts payable 83.2 75.3 (7.9) (9.5)%
Other liabilities 80.7 77.0 (3.7) (4.6)%
Total equity and liabilities 1,010.4 1,017.4 7.0 0.7%
Net leverage ratio1 1.1x 1.0x

Note:

1 Net leverage ratio = net financial debt / adj. EBITDA LTM. Net financial debt defined as principal amount of financial debt less cash. Adj. EBITDA LTM = last-twelve-month adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Refer also to our financial reports and quarterly statements at www.ir.stabilus.com for further details. 2 Change in other intangible assets mainly due to the amortization of fair value adjustments from purchase price allocations (PPA) in 2010 and 2016.

Numbers rounded to one decimal. Due to rounding, numbers presented may not add up precisely to the totals provided.

Cash flow overview and free cash flow (3M ended Dec 31, 2018)

Cash Flow Statement (€m)
Q1 FY2018
Actual
Q1 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 24.6 24.6 - 0.0%
Cash flow from investing activities (9.9) (12.2) (2.3) 23.2%
Cash flow from financing activities (1.2) (1.3) (0.1) 8.3%
Net increase / (decrease) in cash 13.5 11.1 (2.4) (17.8)%
Effect of movements in exchange rates (1.2) 0.1 1.3 <(100.0)%
Cash as of beginning of the period 68.1 143.0 74.9 >100.0%
Cash as of end of the period 80.3 154.3 74.0 92.2%

Free Cash Flow (€m)

Q1 FY2018
Actual
Q1 FY2019
Actual
Change % change
Cash flow from operating activities 24.6 24.6 - 0.0%
Cash flow from investing activities (9.9) (12.2) (2.3) 23.2%
Free cash flow 14.7 12.4 (2.3) (15.6)%

Notes re IFRS 16 (leasing)

Notes
Leases
IFRS 16 is applicable for fiscal years beginning on or after January 1, 2019; Stabilus is planning to apply
the new method from October 1, 2019
Recognition of all leases in the balance sheet –
non-current assets and financial debt will increase
In the income statement: currently –
operating expenses, in the future –
depreciation and interest
expenses
In FY2018 operating lease expense amounted to c. €9m; as of September 30, 2018, the amount of future
operating lease payments (during the basic rental period when they cannot be terminated) was at c. €23m
and the balance sheet total at c. €1bn
No impact on EBIT margin, approx. 1
pp higher EBITDA margin expected, following the introduction of the
new method (from Oct 1, 2019 onwards)

www.stabilus.com

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.