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SAP SE

Investor Presentation Feb 28, 2019

365_ip_2019-02-28_e47760b2-d857-4eab-947c-e0623b9a5769.pdf

Investor Presentation

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Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2018 Preliminary Results Release

Walldorf, Germany Tuesday, January 29, 2019

Bill McDermott CEO

SAP is winning

10-year run Promises
kept
Since 2009 Non-IFRS
IFRS
constant
currencies
outlook metrics
2.3
2.5
x
x
32
38
+
%
+
%
5.205

B
total
operating
cloud subscription and support cloud subscription & support
revenue
profit
5
10
+
%
+
%
21.577

B
cloud and software cloud and software
2.7
186
x
M
>
market
cloud
value
users
11
5%
+
+
%
total revenue
25.961

B
total revenue
~10,500 17
10
+
%
+
%
operating profit
7.480

B
operating profit
SAP S/4HANA
customers
14
+
%
cloud and software

new order entry

SAP hits or exceeds all raised outlook metrics

5.205B

cloud subscription & support

21.577B cloud and software

25.961B

7.480B

Figures in this column non-IFRS at constant currency

SAP is delivering the Intelligent Enterprise

SAP will lead with Experience Management

1.8B

experience touchpoints run on Qualtrics

of the world's transactions across 25 industries touch SAP systems

SAP's business model is customer-first

Fast
growing cloud
Rock solid
core
Partners
for today and tomorrow
Return to software
license growth
in Q4

>425,000 companies turning to SAP to accelerate value creation

Luka Mucic CFO

SAP hits or exceeds all raised outlook metrics

Other financial and non-financial highlights (FY):

  • New cloud bookings: +25% to €1.81bn (+28% cc)
  • Cloud backlog: >€10bn (+30% cc)
  • New cloud and software license order entry**: +11% to >€10bn (+14% cc)

  • Share of more predictable revenue now at 65%

  • Greenhouse gas emissions reduced to 310 kilotons
  • Overall retention rate remains high at 93.9%
  • Women in management increased to 25.7%

SAP's unmatched global reach

Strength across all geographies in Q4 and FY 2018

© 2019 SAP SE or an SAP affiliate company. All rights reserved. ǀ PUBLIC 10 Revenues calculated based on customer location; All numbers are Non-IFRS unless otherwise stated Individual country highlights are based on Non-IFRS at constant currencies

Full year gross margins up for all business models

Non-IFRS@cc; in percent FY/17 FY/18
Cloud Subscriptions
& Support
62.2 62.8
Business Network 76.7 77.8
Private Cloud (IaaS) 7.2 13.7
Public Cloud
(SaaS/PaaS)
56.7 59.1
Software & Support 87.0 87.2
Cloud & Software 82.2 81.3
Services 23.5 23.8
Total Gross
Margin
72.5 71.6
  • Cloud gross margin expanded 60 basis points, reaching 63% in 2018
  • Business network margin increased for the full year by 1.1 percentage points
  • Private cloud margin improved to 14% for the full year. Going forward we expect it to improve significantly due to partnerships with hyperscalers
  • Public cloud gross margin improvement is primarily driven by top line growth and will increasingly benefit from platform convergence
  • Software and support gross margin slightly up yoy
  • Cloud and software margin impacted by revenue mix shift by 1.2 percentage points
  • Services gross margin was up to 24% in 2018 and remains among best in class

Continued operating profit expansion

▪ Operating profit (Non-IFRS) ▫ FY/18: €7.16bn | +10% cc

2019 and beyond:

  • Increasing benefits from highly standardized "converged platform"
  • Efficiency improvements in each business
  • Leverage from scaling cloud and an ever higher renewal base
  • SAP will further increase its focus on key strategic growth areas in 2019

Tax rate, EPS and Cash Flow

Effective tax rate

  • Actuals FY/18
  • IFRS: 27.0% | +7.5pp
  • Non-IFRS: 26.4% | +3.6pp
  • Reminder: prior year was unusually low due to one time tax benefits from the U.S. tax reform and an intellectual property transfer to SAP SE
  • 2018 IFRS tax rate was at the lower end of guidance and Non-IFRS tax rate was slightly lower than guidance

EPS

  • Actuals FY/18
  • IFRS: €3.42 | +2%
  • Non-IFRS: €4.35 | -2%
  • Prior year benefited from extraordinarily high SAPPHIRE Ventures investment gains and unusually low effective tax rate

Cash Flow

  • Operating Cash Flow FY/18
  • €4.3bn | -15%

Decline was mainly due to higher tax and insurance payments, share based compensation and currency headwinds

  • Free Cash Flow FY/18
  • €2.8bn | -25%

Decline was due to lower operating cash flow and previously announced additional CapEx for 2018

CapEx

  • Actuals FY/18
  • €1.5bn | +14%
  • Less than planned at the beginning of 2018

2019 outlook and mid-term ambition

outlook*

Targeting >3x cloud revenue and >€35bn in total revenue by 2023

2018 2019

  • Cloud Subscription Revenue €5.03bn
  • Cloud and Software Revenue €20.66bn
  • Total Revenue €24.74bn
  • Operating Profit €7.16bn

  • Cloud Subscription Revenue in a range of €6.7 – 7.0bn Growth: 33.0% to 39.0%

  • Cloud and Software Revenue in a range of €22.4 – 22.7bn Growth: 8.5% to 10.0%
  • Operating Profit in a range of €7.7 – 8.0bn Growth: 7.5% to 11.5%
  • Total Revenue to increase strongly at a rate slightly lower than Operating Profit

▪ Cloud Subscription Revenue in a range of €8.6 – 9.1bn

2020

ambition

  • Total Revenue in a range of €28.6 – 29.2bn
  • Operating Profit in a range of €8.5 – 9.0bn
  • Share of more predictable revenue 70% to 75%

  • More than triple Cloud Subscription Revenue

  • More than €35.0bn Total Revenue
  • Operating Profit Growth: 7.5% – 10.0% [CAGR]
  • Share of more predictable revenue approaching 80%
Expected Currency Impact Based on December 2018 Level for the Rest of the Year
in percentage points Q1 FY
Cloud subscriptions and support +5pp to
+7pp
+1pp to
+3pp
Cloud and software +2pp to
+4pp
0pp to
+3pp
Operating profit +5pp to
7pp
+1pp to
+3pp

Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2018 Preliminary Results Release

Walldorf, Germany Tuesday, January 29, 2019

Appendix

Key cloud metrics Q4 2018

Q4/18 unless otherwise stated

All figures are Non-IFRS and growth rates at constant currencies unless otherwise stated

Cloud Subscriptions
and
Support Revenue
New Cloud Bookings1 Total Network
Commerce2
Cloud Applications
Total
Subscribers
+40%
€1,413m
+23%
€736m
>\$2.9 trillion >186m
SAP Business Network –
Segment Revenue
Customer Experience
Revenue
Number
of
end users
processing
travel
and
expense
with
Concur
Flexible workers
managed
with
Fieldglass
platform
€721m
+24%
€349m
+50%
>53m >5.7m

1) New cloud bookings – key measure for SAP's sales success in the cloud – consist of order entry of a given period that is expected to be classified as cloud subscription and support revenue and results from purchases by new customers and from incremental purchases by existing customers. Consequently, orders to renew existing contracts are not included. The order amount must be committed. Consequently, due to their pay-peruse nature, business network transaction fees which do not include a committed minimum consumption are not reflected in the bookings metric (e.g. SAP Ariba and SAP Fieldglass transaction-based fees). Amounts included in the measures are generally annualized.

2) SAP Business Network commerce is the total commerce transacted on the Ariba, Concur and Fieldglass Networks in the trailing 12 months. Ariba commerce includes procurement and sourcing spend

Gross margin development 2015 – 2018

Non-IFRS FY/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 FY/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 FY/17 Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 FY/18
Cloud* 66 66 65 65 63 64 65 62 61 61 62 63 64 64 62 63
Business
Network*
75 75 76 77 75 76 77 77 76 77 77 77 77 78 78 78
Software &
Support
87 86 87 87 88 87 85 87 87 89 87 86 87 87 89 87
Cloud &
Software
84 82 84 83 85 84 81 82 82 84 82 81 81 81 83 82
Services 23 14 18 20 20 18 21 23 25 25 24 20 26 22 24 23
Total gross
margin
73 70 73 73 76 73 70 71 73 75 72 70 71 71 74 72

* Subscriptions and support

Q4 2018 – Income Statement

€ millions, unless
otherwise
stated
IFRS Non-IFRS
Revenue Numbers Q4/18 Q4/17 ∆ % Q4/18 Q4/17 ∆ % ∆ % at cc
Cloud subscriptions
and
support
1,406 995 41 1,413 997 42 40
Software licenses 2,089 2,058 1 2,089 2,058 1 8
Software support 2,825 2,754 3 2,826 2,754 3 3
Software licenses
and
support
4,914 4,812 2 4,914 4,812 2 5
Cloud and
software
6,320 5,807 9 6,327 5,809 9 11
Services 1,108 998 11 1,108 998 11 21
Total revenue 7,428 6,805 9 7,434 6,807 9 13
Total operating
expenses
-5,027 -4,840 4 -4,887 -4,442 10 15
Operating profit 2,401 1,964 22 2,547 2,364 8 8
Financial income, net -87 119 <-100 -87 119 <-100
Profit before
tax
2,316 2,053 13 2,462 2,453 0
Income tax
expense
-624 -189 >100 -659 -320 >100
Profit after tax 1,692 1,864 -9 1,803 2,133 -15
Operating margin
(in %)
32.3 28.9 3.5pp 34.3 34.7 -0.5pp -1.5pp
Earnings per share, basic (in €) 1,41 1.54 -8 1.51 1.77 -15

FY 2018 – Income Statement

€ millions, unless
otherwise
stated
IFRS Non-IFRS
Revenue Numbers FY/18 FY/17 ∆ % FY/18 FY/17 ∆ % ∆ % at cc
Cloud subscriptions
and
support
4,993 3,769 32 5,027 3,771 33 38
Software licenses 4,647 4,872 -5 4,647 4,872 -5 0
Software support 10,981 10,908 1 10,982 10,908 1 5
Software licenses
and
support
15,628 15,780 -1 15,629 15,780 -1 4
Cloud and
software
20,622 19,549 5 20,655 19,552 6 10
Services 4,086 3,912 4 4,086 3,912 4 12
Total revenue 24,708 23,461 5 24,741 23,464 5 11
Total operating
expenses
-19,003 -18,584 2 -17,577 -16,694 5 11
Operating profit 5,705 4,877 17 7,165 6,769 6 10
Financial income, net -47 188 <-100 -47 188 <-100
Profit before
tax
5,602 5,029 11 7,061 6,921 2
Income tax
expense
-1,513 -983 54 -1,861 -1,575 18
Profit after tax 4,089 4,046 1 5,200 5,346 -3
Operating margin
(in %)
23.1 20.8 2.3pp 29.0 28.9 0.1pp 0.0pp
Earnings per share, basic (in €) 3.42 3.35 2 4.35 4.43 -2

Q4 2018 – Non-IFRS operating profit up 8%

FY 2018 – Strong topline, continued cloud gross margin improvement and operational discipline led to operating profit expansion

Q4 2018 – Cost ratios

€7.4bn Total revenue, Non-IFRS

*Non-IFRS at constant currencies

FY 2018 – Cost ratios

€24.7bn Total revenue, Non-IFRS

*Non-IFRS at constant currencies

Balance Sheet, Condensed December 31, 2018, IFRS

Assets
€ millions 12/31/18 12/31/17
Cash, cash equivalents and other financial assets 9,075 5,001
Trade and
other
receivables
6,384 5,899
Other current
assets
1,445 1,031
Total current
assets
16,904 11,930
Goodwill 23,725 21,271
Intangible assets 3,227 2,967
Property, plant, and
equipment
3,553 2,967
Other non-current assets 4,278 3,349
Total non-current
assets
34,781 30,554
Total assets 51,685 42,484
Equity and
liabilities
€ millions 12/31/18 12/31/17
Trade and
other
payables
1,501 1,151
Provisions 80 149
Other liabilities 5,991 6,140
Contract
liabilities
/ deferred
income, current
3,047 2,771
Total current
liabilities
10,619 10,210
Financial liabilities 10,553 5,034
Provisions 301 328
Contract
liabilities
/ deferred
income, non-current
88 79
Other non-current liabilities 1,249 1,318
Total non-current
liabilities
12,191 6,759
Total liabilities 22,810 16,969
Total equity 28,876 25,515
Total equity
and
liabilities
51,685 42,484

Operating cash flow and free cash flow 2018

€ millions, unless otherwise stated FY/18 FY/17
Operating cash
flow
4,302 5,045 -15%
-
Capital
expenditure
-1,458 -1,275 +14%
Free cash
flow
2,843 3,770 -25%
Free cash flow in percent of total revenue 12 16 -5pp
Cash conversion rate 1.05 1.25 -16%
Days sales outstanding (DSO in days, DEC 31) 70 70 -0.6

Group Liquidity Development

Group Liquidity = cash and cash equivalent + current investments

Other = mainly purchase and sales of equity or debt instruments of other entities, purchase and proceeds from treasury shares and effects of foreign currency rates on cash and cash equivalents

FY 2019 – Additional outlook information and non-IFRS adjustments

The Company expects a full-year 2019 effective tax rate (IFRS) of 26.5% to 27.5% (2018: 27.0%) and an effective tax rate (non-IFRS) of 26.0% to 27.0% (2018: 26.4%)

Non-IFRS adjustments Actual Amounts
FY/17
Actual Amounts
FY/18
Est. Amounts
for FY/19
Revenue adjustments €3m €33m €100m to €150m
Acquisition-related charges €587m €577m €750m to €900m
Share-based payment expenses €1,120m €830m €1,200m to €1,500m
Restructuring charges €182m €19m €800m –
€950m
Sum of all adjustments €1,892m €1,459m €2,850m to €3,500m

Due to rounding, numbers may not add precisely

IFRS 16 'Leases' adopted as of January 1, 2019 Expected impact

  • SAP adopted the new IFRS standard on lease accounting (IFRS 16 'Leases')
  • Under the approach chosen by SAP prior year numbers are not restated therefore, 2019 profit, assets and liabilities and cash flow growth rates will be impacted by the new policies
  • The actual impact of IFRS 16 on our profits depends on the lease agreements in effect at the time of adoption and on new lease agreements entered into or terminated in 2019
  • Expected impact of the policy change on profit:
  • Operating expenses and so operating profit are expected to experience a benefit of substantially less than €0.1 billion.
  • Finance costs are expected to increase and net financial income is consequently expected to decrease by an amount very similar to the benefit in operating profit.
  • Thus, the impact on profit before tax, profit after tax and earnings per share is expected to be inconsequential.
  • Operating cash flow is expected to increase and cash flow from financing activities is expected to decrease by appr. €0.3 – €0.4 billion.
  • SAP plans to adjust the definition of its Free Cash Flow metric in a way that it is not affected by this change in cash flow classification.
  • Link to video: https://broadcast.co.sap.com/video/190129\_IFRS16?hash=1ef92a

Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2018 Preliminary Results Release

Walldorf, Germany Tuesday, January 29, 2019

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