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Vonovia SE

Investor Presentation Mar 7, 2019

477_ip_2019-03-07_0fa5ce23-89ce-4694-9fde-d2d15d0551cc.pdf

Investor Presentation

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FY2018 Earnings Call March 7, 2019

Rolf Buch, CEO Helene von Roeder, CFO

Agenda
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
Results 3
Valuation 10
New Construction 14
Financing 15
European Activities 17
Guidance 18
Appendix 20
Highlights
Results Valuation
New Construction
Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
2018 is Vonovia's sixth set of full-year results since the IPO. As in each prior year, all important KPIs have improved
over the preceding year, underlining the stability of Vonovia's
business model and the sustainability of our performance.
Operations Organic rent growth of 4.4%
EBITDA Rental €1,315.1m (+14.5%)
EBITDA Value-add €121.2m (+18.7%)
Cash
Earnings
&
Dividend
FFO 1 €1,064.7m (+15.8%)
FFO 1 €2.06 (+8.4%) per end-of-period NOSH
Dividend per share of €1.44 to be proposed to the AGM on May 16
Valuation Adj. NAV per share €44.90 as of Dec. 31, 2018
L-f-l portfolio value growth of 13%
2.2% performance
3.1% investments
7.7% yield compression
Capital
Structure
LTV 42.8% as of YE2018
Net debt/EBITDA multiple of 11.4x

We are well-positioned to continue on our upward trajectory and confident in our ability to deliver sustainable growth in 2019 and beyond.

Continuing Efficiency Gains

Rental income: +0.7%
Adj. EBITDA Operations: +4.0%
FFO 1: +9.8%
Delta 2017 2018 Vonovia excl. Buwog
& Victoria Park
-3.2% 352,848 341,589 # Average number of residential units
+0.7% 1,667.9 1,680.4 €m Rental income
+1.6% -258.0 -262.1 €m Maintenance expenses
-12.8% -261.3 -227.9 €m Operating expenses
+3.6% 1,148.7 1,190.3 €m Adj. EBITDA Rental
+17.9% 102.1 120.3 €m Adj. EBITDA Value-add
+4.0% 1,222.9 1,271.8 €m Adj. EBITDA Operations
-13.4% -287.5 -248.9 €m Interest expense FFO 1
-15.4% -15.9 -13.5 €m Current income taxes FFO 1
+9.8% 919.5 1,009.4 €m FFO 1

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix

Average portfolio volume excluding Buwog and Victoria Park declined by 3.2%

Rent Growth Acceleration

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
Positive rent growth trajectory
Rent growth drivers
(last 12M)
2018 2017 Delta 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Market driven 1.6% 1.6% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3%
Sitting tenants (incl.
subsidized rents)
0.9% 1.2% -30bps Modernization 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 2.5% 2.9%
Space creation --- --- --- --- 0.1% 0.2%
New lettings (with no
material investment)
0.4% 0.4% --- Organic rent growth 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.3% 4.2% 4.4%
Subtotal market
driven rent growth
1.3% 1.6% -30bps
Modernization
(including
new lettings
with investments 
2.9% 2.5% +40bps
Optimize Apartments) Investment track record (€m)
Subtotal l-f-l rent
growth
4.2% 4.1% +10bps New Construction
Upgrade Buildings
1,300
-
1,600
Optimize Apartments 1,139
Space creation 0.2% 0.1% +10bps 778
172 347 472
Organic rent
growth
4.4% 4.2% +20bps 71
2013
2014
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E
  • Adj. EBITDA Operations increased 14.3% to €1,397.5m.
  • EBITDA Operations margin was up 50bps to 73.6%.
  • Excluding Buwog and Victoria Park the VNA standalone margin grew by 240bps to 75.5%.
Adj. EBITDA Operations margin €m FY 2018 FY 2017 Delta
VNA standalone adj.
EBITDA Operations
margin of 75.5%
Rental income 1,894.2 1,667.9 +13.6%
67.7% 73.6%
73.1%
70.9%
Maintenance expenses -289.7 -258.0 +12.3%
Operating expenses -289.4 -261.2 +10.8%
63.8%
60.8%
60.0%
Adj. EBITDA Rental 1,315.1 1,148.7 +14.5%
Income 1,462.2 1,170.5 +24.9%
of which external 203.9 161.6 +26.2%
of which internal 1,258.3 1,008.9 +24.7%
Operating expenses -1,341.0 -1,068.4 +25.5%
Adj. EBITDA Value-add 121.2 102.1 +18.7%
IPO
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Adj. EBITDA Other (Consolidation) -38.8 -27.9 +39.1%
EBITDA Operations Margin
Adj. EBITDA Operations 1,397.5 1,222.9 +14.3%
FFO 1 Growth
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
  • FFO 1 was up ca. €145m (15.8%) y-o-y or 8.4% per share (eop) based on 6.8% more issued shares.
  • Approx. €90m growth come from VNA organic growth and the remaining ca. €55m from the contribution of Buwog (three quarters) and Victoria Park (two quarters).
€m
(unless
indicated
otherwise)
FY 2018 FY 2017 Delta
Adj. EBITDA Operations 1,397.5 1,222.9 14.3%
Interest expense
FFO 1
-317.4 -287.5 10.4%
Current income taxes FFO 1 -15.4 -15.9 -3.1%
FFO 1 1,064.7 919.5 15.8%
of which attributable to Vonovia's
shareholders
1,002.4 864.9 15.9%
of which attributable to Vonovia's
perpetual
hybrid capital investors
40.0 40.0 0.0%
of which attributable to non-controlling interests 22.3 14.6 52.7%
Capitalized maintenance -137.7 -85.7 60.7%
AFFO 927.0 833.8 11.2%
Adjusted EBITDA Sales 208.3 112.1 85.8%
Current income taxes FFO 2 -53.9 -19.2 >100%
FFO 2 1,219.1 1,012.4 20.4%
FFO 1 €
/ share (eop
NOSH)
(2018: 518m; 2017: 485m)
2.06 1.90 8.4%
FFO 1 €
/ share (avg. NOSH)
(2018: 506m; 2017: 476m)
2.11 1.93 9.1%
Value-add Growth
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
Concept Value-add and NAV
Insourcing of services to ensure maximum process
management and cost control.
NAV does not account for Vonovia's
Value-add
Expansion of core business to generate additional
revenues by walking back the value chain and offering
services that were previously provided by third parties
(internalization of margin).
Segment.
Applying the impairment test discount rate1
to the
2019E Adj. EBITDA Value-add suggests an additional
Two types of Value-add
1.Internal savings (craftsmen) 
ca. 75%
2.External income (e.g. multimedia, smart metering,
energy) 
ca. 25%
value of ~€5 per share (~11% on top of 2018 Adj.
NAV).
Strong Sales Results
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
Total sales volume in 2018 was 15,102 residential units (prior-year period: 11,780), of which 2,818 were Recurring Sales

(prior-year period: 2,608) and 12,284 Non-core Disposals (prior-year period: 9,172).

  • In spite of value growth of the portfolio, Recurring Sales fair value step-ups were 35.5% in 2018 after 32.7% in 2017. The 2018 financial year includes for the first time also Austrian disposals.
  • The Non-core Disposals saw a record fair value step-up of 23% in 2018, as we utilized the high market liquidity to profitably dispose of our Non-core Portfolio. The Non-core Disposal Program is now basically completed.
RECURRING SALES NON-CORE DISPOSALS TOTAL
€m
(unless indicated otherwise)
2018 2017 2018 2017 2018 2017
Income from disposal 356.1 305.9 741.4 900.5 1,097.5 1,206.4
Fair value of disposal -262.8 -230.6 -602.9 -834.9 -865.7 -1,065.5
Adj. profit from disposal 93.3 75.3 138.5 65.6 231.8 140.9
Fair value step-up (%) 35.5% 32.7% 23.0% 7.9%
Selling costs -23.4 -28.8
Adj. EBITDA Sales 208.3 112.1

1 Adjusted for effects from cross currency swaps. 2 Based on the number of shares on the reporting dates Dec. 31, 2018 (518.1m) and Dec 31, 2017 (485.1m).

NAV Growth

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix

Adj. NAV increased by 24.6% (16.7% per share).

€m Dec. 31, Dec
31,
(unless
indicated
otherwise)
2018 2017
Equity attributable to Vonovia's
shareholders
17,880.2 15,080.8
Deferred taxes on investment properties 8,161 6,185.7
Fair value of derivative financial instruments1 87.2 26.9
Deferred taxes on derivative financial
instruments
-23.5 -8.8
EPRA NAV 26,105.0 21,284.6
Goodwill -2,842.4 -2,613.5
Adj. NAV 23,262.6 18,671.1 +24.6%
EPRA NAV €/share2 50.39 43.88
Adj. NAV €/share2 44.90 38.49 +16.7%
Is Adj. NAV a good proxy for the value of a
diverse operating business?
By definition, the Adj. NAV
reflects the brick and mortar value of the
buildings
applies market terms and assumes the
properties are owned by "anyone"
This approach does not adequately account for
the Value-add Segment
the cost advantage and operating platform
of a professional owner
the Development profit
the Recurring Sales profit

Value Growth

Valuation KPIs Vonovia
Total
Germany Sweden Austria
In-place rent
multiple
21.2x 21.5x 14.6x1 23.6x1
Fair value
€/sqm
1,648 1,677 1,563 1,346
Fair
value €bn
44.2 39.5 1.8 2.9
Market
rent growth
assumption2
--- 1.7% 2.0% 0.9%
Value growth drivers (€m) FY2018 FY2017
Performance 9723 1,079
Investments 944 695
Yield
compression
2,665 2,455
Total 4,581 4,229

1 In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden, for example, includes certain ancillary costs. 2 Market rent growth assumption in valuation model. 3 Includes a small positive currency impact from a value increase in Swedish Krona.

Broad-based Value Growth in All Our Regional Markets

Results
Valuation
New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
Regional Market Fair value
(€/sqm)
Multiple
(in-place
rent)
Impact from
yield
Total value uplift
Southern Ruhr Area (Dortmund, Essen,
Bochum)
1,240 17.8 compression
12.1%
Kiel 11.5%
Bremen 1,451 21.6 10.1%
Berlin 2,370 29.7 9.8% Hamburg 12.6%
Stuttgart 2,166 23.3 8.7% Bremen 14.7%
Freiburg 2,162 24.5 8.5% Berlin 15.9%
Leipzig 1,395 19.9 8.0% Hanover 13.7%
Rhineland (Cologne, Düsseldorf, Bonn) 1,743 20.8 7.9% Westphalia 16.5%
Hamburg 1,915 22.9 7.7% N. Ruhr Area 11.5%
S. Ruhr Area 17.8%
Kiel 1,371 18.7 7.6% Rhineland 11.7% Leipzig 13.5%
Dresden 8.4%
Rhine Main Area (Frankfurt, Darmstadt,
Wiesbaden)
2,199 22.8 7.5%
Westphalia (Münster, Osnabrück) 1,257 17.9 6.9%
Hanover 1,549 20.1 6.6% Rhine Main 12.7%
Munich 3,132 31.7 6.4%
Northern Ruhr Area (Duisburg,
Gelsenkirchen)
956 14.3 5.0%
Dresden 1,360 19.1 3.8%
Other Strategic Locations 1,508 19.4 6.0% Stuttgart 14.4% Munich 13.2%
Total Strategic Locations 1,683 21.5 7.9%
Vonovia Germany1 1,677 21.5 7.8% Freiburg 10.8% >13%
<13%

While value growth was broad-based and largely homogeneous across the different regional markets, supportive of our strategy to focus on Germany's urban growth regions, underlying valuation levels differ significantly.

1 Including Non-strategic locations.

FY2018 Earnings Call

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix Impairment Test

  • Predominantly as a result of yield compression in 2018, the impairment test resulted in a goodwill impairment of €681.2m across different regions.
  • The acquisition of Buwog and Victoria Park led to an additional goodwill of €910.1m, resulting in a net goodwill increase of €228.9m.
  • The 2018 discount rate for the purpose of the impairment test was 3.6% (post-tax) and unchanged compared to 2017.
  • The underlying fundamentals of urban residential markets remain strong; and while we cannot guide the magnitude of further yield compression, at least parts of the remaining goodwill might be impacted by the 2019 impairment test, which in turn would have an effect on the EPRA NAV.

No impact on Adj. NAV, as the impairment only affects the goodwill and hence the EPRA NAV.

1 2018 and 2019 incl. Buwog.

Under construction

Under construction

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix LTV Remains in Comfort Zone

  • LTV as of December 31, 2018, was 42.8%; Net debt/EBITDA multiple1 was 11.4x.
  • Against the background of the stable cash flows and the strong long-term fundamentals in our portfolio locations we see continued upside potential for our property values and do not see material long-term downside risks.
  • We therefore continue to believe that the LTV target range of 40% 45% is adequate for our low risk portfolio and feel generally comfortable with this range.
€m
(unless
indicated
otherwise)
Dec. 31, 2018 Sep. 30, 2018 Dec. 31, 2017
Non-derivative financial
liabilities
20,136.0 20,053.2 14,060.5
Foreign exchange rate effects -33.5 -31.5 -23.5
Cash and cash equivalents -547.7 -507.3 -266.2
Net debt 19,554.8 19,514.4 13,770.8
Sales receivables -256.7 -273.2 -201.2
Adj. net
debt
19,298.1 19,241.2 13,569.6
Fair value of real estate portfolio 44,239.9 41,948.6 33,436.3
Shares in other real estate companies 800.3 733.6 642.2
Adj. fair value of real estate portfolio 45,040.2 42,682.2 34,078.5
LTV 42.8% 45.1% 39.8%
LTV (incl. perpetual
hybrid)
45.1% 47.5% 42.8%
Net debt/EBITDA multiple1 11.4x --- 9.9x

1 Adj. net debt quarterly average over Total EBITDA.

FY2018 Earnings Call

Solid Capital Structure with Smooth Maturity Profile and Diverse Funding Mix

  • Unwavering commitment to investment grade rating
  • Maintain diverse funding mix to preserve best possible optionality
  • LTV target range of 40%-45%
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
KPI / criteria Dec. 31, 2018
Unwavering commitment to investment Corporate rating (S&P) BBB+
LTV 42.8%
grade rating Net debt/EBITDA multiple1 11.4x
Maintain diverse funding mix to ICR 4.7
ratio2
Fixed/hedged debt
96%
preserve best possible optionality debt2
Average cost of
1.8%
LTV target range of 40%-45% Weighted average maturity2 7.8 years
Unencumbered assets 56%

1Adj. net debt quarterly average over Total EBITDA. 2Excl. equity hybrid. 3 Incl. Jan 2019 Bond and secured loan.

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix European Activities Update

  • Cautious step-by-step approach to minimize risk. Currently ca. 10% of the portfolio are located outside Germany. We will continue to monitor the German market and our defined European target markets in accordance with our acquisition criteria.
  • Germany is expected to remain the dominant market also in the foreseeable future. No specific target rate or ratios in terms of German vs. non-German exposure but highly opportunistic approach as is the case for our German M&A activities.
Austria
(run a scalable business)
Sweden
(main focus)
France
(biggest long-term potential)
The Netherlands
(no active role)
% of total
portfolio
~6% ~4% Not meaningful 0%
Next steps
Gradual asset rotation via
recurring sales of mature assets
and development of new assets
in a similar magnitude

Run scalable operating business

Follow accretive
acquisition
opportunities on an
opportunistic basis

Pursue accretive
acquisition
opportunities on an
opportunistic basis

Add Vonovia experience and
skill set and use Victoria Park as
a platform to further grow in
the Swedish residential market

Demonstrate success and
sustainability of Vonovia
business model to show it also
works outside of Germany

Utilize 10% stake in SNCF
portfolio to gain more profound
understanding of the market

Safeguard pole position and
first-mover advantage for
potential opening of social
housing to commercial
ownership

Pursue accretive
acquisition
opportunities on an
opportunistic basis if and when
legislation changes and allows
the payout of economic
dividends from social housing

Continue market research

Be prepared for accretive
acquisition opportunities on an
opportunistic basis
2019 Guidance
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
2018 Actuals1 2019 Guidance1
Organic rent growth (eop) 4.4% ~4.4%
Rental Income (€m) 1,894.2 2,020

2,070
Recurring Sales (# of units) 2,818 ~2,500
FV step-up Recurring Sales 35.5% ~30%
EBITDA (€m) 1,397.5 1,650 –
1,700
FFO (€m) 1,064.7 1,140 –
1,190
FFO (€/share) 2.06 2.20 –
2.30
Dividend
(€/share)
1.442 ~70% of Group FFO
Modernization & New Construction (€m) 1,139.0 1,300
-
1,600
Underlying number of shares (million) 518.1 518.1

1 Based on the financial KPIs employed by management (2018: EBITDA Operations and FFO 1. 2019: Total EBITDA and Group FFO). 2 To be proposed to the 2019 AGM in May and based on the current number of outstanding shares.

IR Contact & Financial Calendar

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
Contact Financial Calendar 2019
Rene Hoffmann Mar 8 Roadshow
in Frankfurt (Commerzbank)
Head of Investor Relations Mar 18-19 Roadshow
in London (Deutsche
Bank)
Vonovia SE Mar 20 Roadshow
in Paris (BAML)
Universitätsstraße 133 Mar 25 Roadshow
in Amsterdam (Kempen)
44803 Bochum Mar 18-19 Roadshow
in London (Bankhaus
Lampe)1
Germany Mar 28 Conferences
in London (Commerzbank & BAML)1
Apr
3
Conference in Baden-Baden (Bankhaus Lampe)1
+49 234 314 1629 Apr
10-12
Roadshow
in Asia (Seoul, Hong Kong, Singapore)
[email protected] May 7 Interim results 3M 2019
[email protected] May 16 Annual General Meeting
May 17 Conference in Paris (Kepler Cheuvreux)1
May 21 Conference in Tarrytown, New York (Berenberg) 1
App & Website May 22 Conference in Amsterdam (Kempen)
May 24 Conference in Frankfurt (HSBC)1
Jun 4-5 Capital Markets Day
Jun 6 Conference in Berlin (Deutsche Bank)
Jun 7 Conference in Paris (Goldman Sachs)
Jun 12 Conference in Paris (Exane BNP Paribas)
Jun 27 Issuer & Investor Debt Forum in Frankfurt (Deutsche Bank)
Aug 2 Interim results 6M 2019
Sep 20 Conference in London (Société Generale)
Sep 23 Conference in Munich (Goldman Sachs / Berenberg)
Sep 24 Conference in Munich (Baader) 1
https://investors.vonovia.de Sep 26 Fixed Income RE Conference in London (Morgan Stanley)
Nov 5 Interim results 9M 2019
The most up-to-date financial
calendar
is
always
available
online.
1 IR level
Appendix
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
Strategy 21-23
Regional Markets
& Portfolio Clustering
24-25
Fair Value per sqm
Evolution
26
Portfolio Evolution 27
Investments 28
Acquisition Track
Record
29-30
FY 2018 –
Additional Data
31-33
Financing Details 34-35
Residential
Market Data
36-39
VNA Shares 40-42
Management
Compensation
43-45
Disclaimer 46

4+1 Strategy Has Evolved into 4+2 Strategy

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix Financing Solid capital structure 2 Portfolio Management Valueinvestments supplement internal growth 3 Value-add Leveraging Bto-C nature of the business 4 Innovative Traditional Property Management Efficient operations of scalable business 1 Reputation & Customer Satisfaction European activities enhance accretive acquisition opportunities Similar to Germany, we closely monitor clearly defined geographies for opportunities, applying the same acquisition criteria European Activities Core Strategies Opportunistic Strategies 71 172 356 472 779 1,139 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Investment Volume (€m) 10.5 23.6 37.6 57.0 102.1 121.2 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Adj. EBITDA Value-add Business (€m) 180 396 76 292 IPO Sales Acq. 2018 6 Mergers & Acquisitions 5 `000 units 767 665 577 526 Number of locations 61% 64% 68% 71% 73% 76% 830 754 645 570 498 445 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 EBITDA Operations margin (excl. Buwog & VP) Cost per unit Germany (€) 49% 50% 47% 42% 40% 43% 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.7 4.6 4.7 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTV (%) ICR

FY2018 Earnings Call

1 Historic range. 2 CAGR since 2013 fair value uplift through performance and investments (excluding yield compression).

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix New Reporting Structure Q1 2019 onwards

  • Starting with Q1 2019 we will be amending our external reporting to better reflect the internal management of the Company and the advanced evolution of the business.
  • The 2018 results, based on the new reporting structure, were as follows:
2018 Rental Value-add Develop
ment
Recurring
Sales
Total
Revenues 1,894.2 1,462.2 323.1 356.1
Costs -579.1 -1,341.0 -283.7 -277.0
Adj. EBITDA 1,315.1 121.2 39.4 79.1 1,554.8
Interest -328.8
Taxes -36.5
Consolidation -57.5
Group FFO 1,132.0 ~1,082
Group FFO
(€/share)
2.18 rebased ~2.09

Minus ~€20m impact from 2018 disposals Minus ~€20m Customer First Program included in 2019 Minus ~€10m from normalizing 2018 sales margin to 30%

All Strategic Markets Show Upward Potential

Results
Valuation
New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
Fair value1 In-place rent
Regional Market (€m) (€/sqm) Residential
units
Vacancy
(%)
Total
(p.a., €m)
Residential
(p.a., €m)
Residential
(€/sqm/
month)
Organic rent
growth
LTM (%)
Multiple
(in-place
rent)
Purchase
power index
(market
data)2
Market rent
increase
forecast
Valuation (%
p.a.)
Average rent
growth LTM
(%) from
Optimize
Apartments
Berlin 6,536 2,370 41,943 1.4 220 209 6.62 4.1 29.7 80.4 1.8 48.6
Rhine Main Area (Frankfurt, Darmstadt, Wiesbaden) 3,950 2,199 27,673 1.3 173 168 8.05 4.4 22.8 105.0 1.8 40.9
Rhineland (Cologne, Düsseldorf, Bonn) 3,424 1,743 28,839 2.4 165 157 7.02 3.7 20.8 102.0 1.7 29.2
Southern Ruhr Area (Dortmund, Essen, Bochum) 3,354 1,240 43,498 3.2 189 183 5.93 5.5 17.8 88.5 1.5 31.5
Dresden 3,104 1,360 38,424 2.9 163 153 6.02 3.9 19.1 81.8 1.7 30.4
Hamburg 2,456 1,915 19,842 1.3 107 103 6.93 3.9 22.9 98.4 1.6 40.9
Munich 2,051 3,132 9,679 0.7 65 61 8.04 4.4 31.7 121.8 1.8 54.5
Stuttgart 1,936 2,166 13,840 1.7 83 80 7.78 3.2 23.3 104.5 1.8 40.4
Kiel 1,910 1,371 23,376 1.9 102 97 6.14 4.7 18.7 74.8 1.6 39.8
Hanover 1,623 1,549 16,322 2.8 81 78 6.49 4.9 20.1 90.1 1.7 37.6
Northern Ruhr Area (Duisburg, Gelsenkirchen) 1,567 956 26,277 3.1 110 106 5.63 4.7 14.3 81.7 1.2 25.5
Bremen 1,071 1,451 11,846 3.3 49 47 5.67 3.8 21.6 84.2 1.8 29.7
Leipzig 868 1,395 9,191 2.8 44 41 5.96 3.9 19.9 74.5 1.7 22.4
Westphalia (Münster, Osnabrück) 783 1,257 9,495 3.3 44 43 5.96 6.0 17.9 92.4 1.5 39.9
Freiburg 602 2,162 4,036 1.3 25 24 7.31 4.6 24.5 85.4 1.7 44.9
Other Strategic Locations 2,605 1,508 26,670 2.6 135 129 6.55 4.9 19.4 - 1.6 40.8
Total Strategic Locations Germany 37,839 1,689 350,951 2.3 1,754 1,679 6.56 4.4 21.6 - 1.7 36.2
Non-Strategic 790 1,250 7,500 4.8 43 37 6.16 0.9 18.5 - 1.7 20.7
Germany total 38,628 1,677 358,451 2.4 1,796 1,716 6.55 4.3 21.5 - 1.7 36.1
Austria 2,517 1,346 23,030 4.4 107 90 4.53 - 23.6 - 0.9 -
Sweden 1,738 1,563 14,288 1.2 119 110 9.11 - 14.6 - 2.0 -
Total Vonovia 42,883 1,648 395,769 2.4 2,022 1,915 6.52 4.4 21.2 - 1.6 n/a

Note: In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden, for example, includes certain ancillary costs. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition. Data for Strategic Locations also includes Recurring Sales assets in those markets.

1Fair value of the developed land excluding €1,356.8m, of which €405.1m undeveloped land and inheritable building rights granted, €302.5m assets under construction, €492.6m development and €156.6m other. 2 Source: GfK (2018). Data refers to the specific cities indicated in the tables, weighted by the number of houeholds where applicable.

Dec. 31, 2018 Residential In-place rent Fair value
units (€/sqm/month) (€m) % of total (€/qm)
Operate 74,775 6.83 8,594 20% 1,669
Invest 248,281 6.47 25,766 60% 1,678
Strategic 323,056 6.55 34,360 80% 1,676
Recurring Sales 29,563 6.70 3,670 9% 1,811
Non-core 5,832 6.04 598 1% 1,184
Vonovia Germany 358,451 6.55 38,628 90% 1,677
Vonovia Austria 23,030 4.53 2,517 6% 1,346
Vonovia Sweden 14,288 9.11 1,738 4% 1,563
Vonovia Total 395,769 6.52 42,883 100% 1,648

Note: In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden, for example, includes certain ancillary costs. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition. 1Fair value of the developed land excluding €1,356.8m, of which €405.1m undeveloped land and inheritable building rights granted, €302.5m assets under construction, €492.6m development and €156.6m other.

Conservative Valuation Levels
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix

In-place values are still way below replacement values, in spite of accelerating valuation growth in recent years.

Note: VNA 2010 – 2014 refers to Deutsche Annington Portfolio at the time; construction costs excluding land. The land value refers to the share of total fair value allocated to land.

Vonovia location

High-influx cities ("Schwarmstädte"). For more information: http://investoren.vonovia.de/websites/vonovia/English/4050/financial-reports-_-presentations.html

€700m of Investments Fully Completed in 2018 for an Incremental Rent of ~€50m in 2018

Measurement for Success

Yield on cost is a substantial element in the overall return on investment. Especially more complex investments such as comprehensive upgrade building modernizations, new constructions and neighborhood developments, however, which are more long-term in nature, are measured based on an IRR. Our target IRR for the investment program is between 9-10%. For the 2015 and 2016 investment programs the IRR was 10.3% and 10.1%, respectively.

Acquisitions – Opportunistic but Disciplined

FY2018 Earnings Call

Acquisition Track Record
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
Fair Value (€/sqm) In-place rent
(€/sqm)
Year Deal Residential units
#
TOP Locations @ Acquisition Dec. 31, 2018 @ Acquisition Dec. 31, 2018
2014 DEWAG 11,300 Berlin, Hamburg, Cologne,
Frankfurt/Main
1,344 2,227 66% 6.76 7.88 17%
VITUS 20,500 Bremen, Kiel 807 1,383 71% 5.06 5.81 15%
GAGFAH 144,600 Dresden, Berlin, Hamburg 889 1,602 80% 5.40 6.35 17%
2015 FRANCONIA 4,100 Berlin, Dresden 1,044 1,859 78% 5.82 6.70 15%
SÜDEWO 19,400 Stuttgart, Karlsruhe,
Mannheim, Ulm
1,380 1,993 44% 6.83 7.45 9%
2016 GRAINGER 2,400 Munich, Mannheim 1,501 2,202 47% 7.09 7.95 12%
CONWERT
(Germany & Austria)
23,400 Berlin, Leipzig, Potsdam,
Vienna
1,353 1,826 35% 5.88 6.34 8%
2017 thereof Germany 21,200 Berlin, Leipzig, Potsdam 1,218 1,710 40% 5.86 6.29 7%
thereof Austria 2,200 Vienna 1,986 2,436 23% 6.11 6.69 10%
PROIMMO 1,000 Hanover 1,617 1,671 3% 6.63 6.77 2%
BUWOG
(Germany & Austria)
48,300 Berlin, Lübeck, Vienna,
Villach
1,244 1,354 9% 5.10 5.25 3%
2018 thereof Germany 27,000 Berlin, Lübeck, Kiel 1,330 1,530 15% 5.96 6.19 4%
thereof Austria 21,300 Vienna, Villach, Graz 1,157 1,190 3% 4.21 4.34 3%
VICTORIA PARK
(Sweden)
14,000 Stockholm, Malmö,
Gothenburg
1,462 1,563 7% 8.83 9.11 3%
Total 289,000

Note: Excluding smaller tactical acquisitions

IFRS P&L
Results
Valuation
New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
€m (unless indicated otherwise) 2018 2017 Delta
Income from property letting 2,647.9 2,344.0 13.0%
Other income from property management 60.3 47.6 26.7%
Income from property management 2,708.2 2,391.6 13.2%
Income from disposal of properties 1,097.5 1,206.4 -9.0%
Carrying amount of properties sold -933.7 -1,136,0 -17.8%
Revaluation of assets held for sale 68.5 81.1 -15.5%
Profit on disposal of properties 232.3 151.5 53.3%
Income from the disposal
of properties (Development)
225.1 -
Cost of sold
properties
-181.8 -
Profit on the disposal
of properties (Development)
43.3 -
Net income from fair value adjustments of investment properties 3,517.9 3,434.1 2.4%
Capitalized internal expenses 608.2 458.1 32.8%
Cost of materials -1,381,0 -1,176.4 17.4%
Personnel expenses -513.1 -416,0 23.3%
Depreciation and amortization -737.9 -372.2 98.2%
Other operating income 132.2 110.7 19.4%
Impairment
losses form financial assets
-21.6 -23,0 -6.1%
Profit/loss from derecognition of financial assets valued at amortized cost 1.0 2.0 -50.0%
Other operating expenses -300.0 -246.8 21.6%
Earnings from at-equity shareholdings 1.8 0.0
Financial income 32.1 46.8 -31.4%
Financial expenses -449.1 -353,0 27.2%
Earnings before tax 3,874.3 4,007.4 -3.3%
Income taxes -1,471.5 -1,440.5 2.2%
Profit for the period 2,402.8 2,566.9 -6.4%
Attributable to:
Vonovia's
shareholders
2,266.5 2,410.7 -6.0%
Vonovia's
hybrid capital investors
40.0 40.0 0.0%
Non-controlling interests 96.3 116.2 -17.1%
Earnings per share (basic and diluted) in € 4.48 5.06 -11.5%

IFRS Balance Sheet (1/2 – Total Assets)

€m Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Delta
Assets
Intangible assets 2,943.2 2,637.1 11.6%
Property, plant and equipment 250.4 177.6 41.0%
Investment properties 43,490.9 33,182.8 31.1%
Financial assets 888.8 698,0 27.3%
Other assets 12.2 13.8 -11.6%
Deferred tax assets 54.1 10.3 >100%
Total non-current assets 47,639.6 36,719.6 29.7%
Inventories 8.8 6.2 41.9%
Trade receivables 493.1 234.9 >100%
Financial assets 0.8 0.5 60.0%
Other assets 114.4 98.4 16.3%
Income tax receivables 170.2 47.9 >100%
Cash and cash equivalents 547.7 266.2 >100%
Real estate inventories 307.1 -

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix

Total current assets 1,748.0 796.7 >100%

Total assets 49,387.6 37,516.3 31.6%

IFRS Balance Sheet (2/2 – Total Equity and Liabilities)

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
€m Dec 31, 2018 Dec
31, 2017
Delta
Equity and liabilities
Subscribed capital 518.1 485.1 6.8%
Capital reserves 7,183.4 5,966.3 20.4%
Retained earnings 9,942.0 8,471.6 17.4%
Other reserves 236.7 157.8 50,0%
Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders 17,880.2 15,080.8 18.6%
Equity attributable to hybrid capital investors 1,001.6 1,001.6 0.0%
Total equity attributable to Vonovia's shareholders and hybrid capital investors 18,881.8 16,082.4 17.4%
Non-controlling interests 782.3 608.8 28.5%
Total equity 19,664.1 16,691.2 17.8%
Provisions 616.7 607.2 1.6%
Trade payables 4.4 2.4 83.3%
Non derivative financial liabilities 17,437.5 12,459.4 40.0%
Derivatives 69.8 8.7 >100%
Liabilities from finance leases 94.7 94.7 0.0%
Liabilities to non-controlling interests 24.2 24.9 -2.8%
Financial liabilities from tenant financing 56.1 -
Other liabilities 42.5 65.3 -34.9%
Deferred tax liabilities 7,231.9 5,322.6 35.9%
Total non-current liabilities 25,577.8 18,585.2 37.6%
Provisions 450.5 376.5 19.7%
Trade payables 239.1 130.7 82.9%
Non derivative financial liabilities 2,698.5 1,601.1 68.5%
Derivatives 41.4 4.4 >100%
Liabilities from finance leases 4.7 4.6 2.2%
Liabilities to non-controlling interests 9.0 9.0 0.0%
Financial
liabilities
from
tenant
financing
104.7 7.7 >100%
Other liabilities 597.8 105.9 >100%
Total current liabilities 4,145.7 2,239.9 85.1%
Total liabilities 29,723.5 20,825.1 42.7%
Total equity and liabilities 49,387.6 37,516.3 31.6%

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix Covenants and KPIs (December 31, 2018)

Bond KPIs Covenant Level Dec. 31, 2018
LTV <60% 41%
Total Debt / Total Assets
Secured LTV <45% 12%
Secured
Debt / Total Assets
ICR >1.80x 4.7x
Last 12M EBITDA / Last 12M Interest
Expense
Unencumbered
Assets
208%
Unencumbered Assets / Unsecured Debt >125%
Rating KPIs Covenant Level (BBB+)
Debt to Capital
Total Debt
/ Total Equity + Total Debt
<60%
ICR
Last 12M EBITDA / Last 12M Interest
Expense
>1.80x

Bonds / Rating

Bond 004 (USD-Bond) 10 years 5.000% US25155FAB22 USD 250m 98.993% 4.580%1 02 Oct 2023 BBB+
Bond 005 (EMTN) 8 years 3.625% DE000A1HRVD5
500m
99.843% 3.625% 08 Oct 2021 BBB+
Bond 006 (Hybrid) 60 years 4.625% XS1028959671
700m
99.782% 4.625% 08 Apr 2074 BBB
Bond 007 (EMTN) 8 years 2.125% DE000A1ZLUN1
500m
99.412% 2.125% 09 July 2022 BBB+
Bond 008 (Hybrid) perpetual 4% XS1117300837
1,000m
100.000% 4.000% perpetual BBB
Bond 009A (EMTN) 5 years 0.875% DE000A1ZY971
500m
99.263% 0.875% 30 Mar 2020 BBB+
Bond 009B (EMTN) 10 years 1.500% DE000A1ZY989
500m
98.455% 1.5000% 31 Mar 2025 BBB+
Bond 010B (EMTN) 5 years 1.625% DE000A18V138
1,250m
99.852% 1.625% 15 Dec 2020 BBB+
Bond 010C (EMTN) 8 years 2.250% DE000A18V146
1,000m
99.085% 2.2500% 15 Dec 2023 BBB+
Bond 011A (EMTN) 6 years 0.875% DE000A182VS4
500m
99.530% 0.875% 10 Jun 2022 BBB+
Bond 011B (EMTN) 10 years 1.500% DE000A182VT2
500m
99.165% 1.5000% 10 Jun 2026 BBB+
Bond 013 (EMTN) 8 years 1.250% DE000A189ZX0
1,000m
99.037% 1.250% 06 Dec 2024 BBB+
Bond 014A (EMTN) 5 years 0.750% DE000A19B8D4
500m
99.863% 0.750% 25 Jan 2022 BBB+
Bond 014B (EMTN) 10 years 1.750% DE000A19B8E2
500m
99.266% 1.750% 25 Jan 2027 BBB+
Bond 015 (EMTN) 8 years 1.125% DE000A19NS93
500m
99.386% 1.125% 08 Sep 2025 BBB+
Bond 016 (EMTN) 2 years 3M EURIBOR+0.350% DE000A19SE11
500m
100.448% 3M EURIBOR+0.350% 20 Nov 2019 BBB+
Bond 017A (EMTN) 6 years 0.750% DE000A19UR61
500m
99.330% 0.750% 15 Jan 2024 BBB+
Bond 017B (EMTN) 10 years 1.500% DE000A19UR79
500m
99.439% 1.500% 14 Jan 2028 BBB+
Bond 018A (EMTN) 4.75 years 3M EURIBOR+0.450% DE000A19X793
600m
100.000% 0.793% hedged 22 Dec 2022 BBB+
Bond 018B (EMTN) 8 years 1.500% DE000A19X8A4
500m
99.188% 1.500% 22 Mar 2026 BBB+
Bond 018C (EMTN) 12 years 2.125% DE000A19X8B2
500m
98.967% 2.125% 22 Mar 2030 BBB+
Bond 018D (EMTN) 20 years 2.750% DE000A19X8C0
500m
97.896% 2.750% 22 Mar 2038 BBB+
Bond 019 (EMTN) 5 years 0.875% DE000A192ZH7
500m
99.437% 0.875% 03 Jul 2023 BBB+
Bond 020 (EMTN) 6.5 years 1.800% DE000A2RWZZ6
500m
99.836% 1.800% 29 Jun 2025 BBB+
1 EUR-equivalent Coupon

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix German Residential – Safe Harbor and Low Risk

Sources: Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners), REIS, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, OECD. Note: Due to lack of q-o-q US rent growth data, the annual rent growth for a year is assumed to also be the q-o-q rent growth of that year.

German Residential – Landlords Benefit from Structural Imbalance between Supply and Demand

Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix

Sources: Federal Statistics Office, IW Köln, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners)

German Residential – Favorable Fundamentals

Sources: German Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners). 2035(E) household numbers are based on trend scenario of the German Federal Statistics Office.

European Residential Markets – Favorable Fundamentals

Sources: United Nations, JLL Research, European Commission, Federal Statistics Office, Eurostat

Liquid Large-cap Stock

VNA share price performance since IPO vs. DAX and EPRA Europe Index

FY2018 Earnings Call

FY2018 Earnings Call

  • Seed portfolios of today's Vonovia have origin in public housing provided by government, large employers and similar landlords with a view towards offering affordable housing.
  • At beginning of last decade, private equity invested in German residential on a large scale including into what is Vonovia today (mainly Deutsche Annington and Gagfah then).
  • IPO in 2013.

Vonovia History

Final exit of private equity in 2014.

Reconciliation of Shares Outstanding

Results
Valuation
New Construction Financing
European Activities
Guidance
Appendix
Date NOSH
(million)
Comment
December 31, 2016 466.0
March
31, 2017
468.8 conwert acquisition
June 30, 2017 476.5 Scrip dividend
September 30, 2017 485.1 Gagfah
cross-border merger
December 31, 2017 485.1
March 31, 2018 485.1
June
30, 2018
518.1 €1bn ABB in 05/2018;
scrip dividend
September 30, 2018 518.1
December 31, 2018 518.1

The number of outstanding shares is always available at http://investoren.vonovia.de/websites/vonovia/English/2010/key-share-information.html

Total remuneration cap

Share Holding Provision

  • Mandatory share ownership
  • 100% of annual fixed remuneration (excl. pension) (accumulation on a pro rata basis during first 4 years)

  • Bonus cap at predetermined amount

  • Cash payout
  • FFO1 is key figure in the industry for managing the sustained operational earnings power of our business.
  • Adj. NAV/share as standard figure for the value of our property assets (calculation according to EPRA best practice standards, after corrections for goodwill).
  • EBITDA Sales: Measure of success of our sales activities.
  • Personal targets related to individual department responsibilities or overlapping targets (e.g. integration projects).

Rationale

  • LTIP aims to ensure that remuneration structure focuses on sustainable corporate development.
  • Relative TSR is from an investor perspective a well-established and accepted performance measure, focusing on share return, relative to a selected peer group. Hence, it is adequate for comparison with relevant competitors.
  • Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI): Based on customer surveys and reflects how our services are perceived and accepted by our customers.
  • Shareholder alignment safeguarded by (i) relative performance targets (FFO/share and EPRA NAV/share) as well as (ii) calculation method which takes actual share price performance into account.
Disclaimer
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix

This presentation has been specifically prepared by Vonovia SE and/or its affiliates (together, "Vonovia") for internal use. Consequently, it may not be sufficient or appropriate for the purpose for which a third party might use it.

This presentation has been provided for information purposes only and is being circulated on a confidential basis. This presentation shall be used only in accordance with applicable law, e.g. regarding national and international insider dealing rules, and must not be distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part, nor may its contents be disclosed by the recipient to any other person. Receipt of this presentation constitutes an express agreement to be bound by such confidentiality and the other terms set out herein.

This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from Vonovia's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.

Vonovia accepts no liability whatsoever to the extent permitted by applicable law for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or penalty arising from any use of this presentation, its contents or preparation or otherwise in connection with it.

No representation or warranty (whether express or implied) is given in respect of any information in this presentation or that this presentation is suitable for the recipient's purposes. The delivery of this presentation does not imply that the information herein is correct as at any time subsequent to the date hereof.

Vonovia has no obligation whatsoever to update or revise any of the information, forward-looking statements or the conclusions contained herein or to reflect new events or circumstances or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent subsequent to the date hereof.

This presentation does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.

This presentation is neither an advertisement nor a prospectus and is made available on the express understanding that it does not contain all information that may be required to evaluate, and will not be used by the attendees/recipients in connection with, the purchase of or investment in any securities of the Company. This presentation is selective in nature and does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company and/or its securities. No reliance may or should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.

This presentation is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction.

Neither this presentation nor the information contained in it may be taken, transmitted or distributed directly or indirectly into or within the United States, its territories or possessions. This presentation is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The securities of the Company have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States. Consequently, the securities of the Company may not be offered, sold, resold, transferred, delivered or distributed, directly or indirectly, into or within in the United States except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and in compliance with any applicable securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States unless registered under the Securities Act.

Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.

For
Your
Notes
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix
For
Your
Notes
Results Valuation New Construction Financing European Activities Guidance Appendix

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