Investor Presentation • Mar 11, 2019
Investor Presentation
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11 March 2019 FY-2018 Results
While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.
This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.
Agenda
| Management changes |
Lars von Lackum (CDO) appointed as new CEO (as at June 1), best mutual agreement with Thomas Hegel (becomes Senior Advisor); |
|---|---|
| Volker Wiegel appointed as new COO as at June 1 | |
| Disposal program |
Portfolios with total volume c. 2,000 units in negotiation phase |
| In-place rent, l-f-l |
€5.67/sqm (+3.0%; free financed units +3.9%) |
|---|---|
| | 3.3% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | (+/-0 bps YOY) |
| | €29.4/sqm |
| Maintenance/Capex | (+31.3% YOY) |
| Net cold rent |
€560.2m (+4.8% YOY from €534.7m) |
|---|---|
| Adjusted EBITDA |
€405.2m (+5.1% YOY from €385.7m) |
| FFO I |
€318.6m (+7.9% YOY from €295.3m), €5.04 per share (+7.9% YOY from €4.67) |
| Dividend (proposal) |
€3.53 per share (up from €3.04 in FY-2017, +16.1% YOY) |
| EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill) |
€96.10 per share (up from €83.81 in FY-2017; +15.0% YOY ) |
| Pro forma NAV post conversion |
€93.40 per share (up from €80.90 in FY-2017; +15.4% YOY); |
| NAV after a simulated, executed conversion of the 2014/2021 convertible; | |
| objective is to increase transparency with respect to potentially dilutive NAV effects |
Agenda
| Total Portfolio | ||
|---|---|---|
| -- | ----------------- | -- |
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.3% +/-0 bps
31.12.2018 (YOY)
| 31.12.2018 | (YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 41,423 | +1.0% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €6.36 | +3.4% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 2.0% | +30 bps |
| 31.12.2018 | (YOY) |
|
|---|---|---|
| # of units | 48,965 | +2.8% |
| In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l | €5.35 | +2.8% |
| EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l | 3.0% | -20 bps |
| Higher-Yielding Markets | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 31.12.2018 | (YOY) |
||
| 41,731 | +5.5% | ||
| €5.26 | +2.9% | ||
| 5.7% | +/-0 bps |
||
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
OUTLOOK IV.
AFFO 33.6 24.9 See above + higher
growth capex
FY-2017 FY-2018
FY-2017 FY-2018
| € million | FY-2018 | FY-2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net cold rent | 560.2 | 534.7 | +€25.5m/+4.8% |
| Profit from operating expenses | -4.5 | -2.8 | |
| Maintenance (externally-procured services) | -51.8 | -51.2 | |
| Staff costs | -60.3 | -55.8 | Growth in staff costs mainly |
| Allowances on rent receivables | -8.4 | -7.2 | due to additional FTE's for crafts services and enhanced |
| Other | -10.4 | -12.2 | capex program |
| Non-recurring project costs (rental and lease) |
5.8 | 3.4 | |
| Recurring net rental and lease income | 430.6 | 408.9 | Adj. NRI increased by +€21.7m YOY (+5.3%); rising |
| Recurring net income from other services | 7.8 | 8.7 | cost inflation more than offset |
| Staff costs | -24.8 | -22.2 | by efficiency gains |
| Non-staff operating costs | -18.4 | -18.5 | Admin. Costs: moderate |
| Non-recurring project costs (admin.) | 9.2 | 7.4 | increase (YOY) despite wage |
| Recurring administrative expenses | -34.0 | -33.3 | inflation and additional regulatory requirements |
| Other income and expenses | 0.8 | 1.4 | (below level of 2013) |
| Adjusted EBITDA | 405.2 | 385.7 | EBITDA increased by |
| Cash interest expenses and income | -77.2 | -80.9 | +€19.5m YOY (+5.1%) |
| Cash income taxes from rental and lease | -5.8 | -6.4 | |
| FFO I (including non-controlling interests) | 322.2 | 298.4 | Lower interest costs (average |
| Non-controlling interests | -3.6 | -3.1 | costs of FY-2018: 1.72% vs. 1.88% in FY-2017) despite |
| FFO I (excluding non-controlling interests) | 318.6 | 295.3 | rising debt volume |
| FFO II (including disposal of investment property) | 318.8 | 294.1 | |
| Capex-adjusted FFO I (AFFO) | 139.7 | 179.8 |
| € million | FY-2018 | FY-2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reported interest expense |
109.3 | 152.3 | One-off refinancing effect of €41m in FY-2017 from |
| Interest expense related to loan amortisation |
-14.0 | -57.8 | refinancing of subsidised loans (loan amortisation) |
| Prepayment penalties / breakage costs | -13.5 | -9.5 | Release of swaps and fixed |
| Interest costs related to valuation of assets/liabilities |
0.0 | -0.4 | interest loans (refinancing) |
| Leasing related interest expense | -0.8 | -0.9 | |
| Interest expenses related to changes in pension provisions |
-2.4 | -2.4 | |
| Other interest expenses |
-0.5 | 0.0 | |
| Cash effective interest expense (gross) | 78.1 | 81.3 | |
| Cash effective interest income |
0.8 | 0.4 | Interest coverage improved |
| Cash effective interest expense (net) | 77.2 | 80.9 | further (5.3x up from 4.8x YOY) |
Attractive rental yield of 5.5% (thereof free financed portfolio: 5.7%) and low value per sqm (€1,198) still reflect decent gap to recent portfolio transactions
Value of services business not included in NAV
Scenario: additional value approx. €4.60-€6.90 per share (discount rate of 4.0%-6.0%)3)
2) Actual number of shares outstanding 63.1FY 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 3) Assumption: expected 2019 FFO, growth rate of 0%
1) Change in Gross Asset Value, l-f-l
| Valuation uplift by markets |
(l-f-l), including commercial and |
other assets |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Valuation uplift FY-18 | Valuation uplift H2-18 | Gross yield FY-18 | |
| High-Growth Markets | 7.5% (15.5% in FY-17, l-f-l) |
2.8% | 4.5% (4.7% in FY-17) |
| Münster (6,125 units) | 5.3% | 1.1% | 4.0% (4.1%) |
| Düsseldorf (5,307 units) | 4.7% | 1.5% | 4.3% (4.2%) |
| Bielefeld (3,232 units) | 13.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% (5.9%) |
| Stable markets |
10.7% (12.5% in FY-17, l-f-l) | 7.6% | 6.0% (6.5% in FY-17) |
| Dortmund (13,596 units) | 13.8% | 9.2% | 5.3% (6.0%) |
| Essen (3,372 units) |
11.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% (6.5%) |
| Mönchengladbach (6,444 units) | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% (6.6%) |
| Higher-yielding markets |
6.9% (8.8% in FY-17, l-f-l) | 3.2% | 6.9% (7.3% in FY-17) |
| Duisburg (6,907 units) |
12.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% (7.1%) |
| Bochum (1,626 units) | 12.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% (6.2%) |
Increasingly positive momentum in the B-cities including higher-yielding markets
Especially smaller towns in the catchment areas are showing significant uplifts (Ratingen (7.8%; 3,129 units), Erkrath (12.7%; 719 units), Witten (13.5%; 1,558 units))
Total portfolio 8.2% (12.4% in FY-17, l-f-l) 4.2% 5.5% (5.9% in FY-17)
Gelsenkirchen (7,325 units) 3.4% 1.4% 7.0% (7.1%)
1) Valuation effects derivatives + deferred taxes are added back; 2) Valuation effects with respect to rent receivables and nominal, non-consolidated investments
1) As of December 31, 2018.
| € million | 31.12.2018 | 31.12.2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investment property | 10,709.0 | 9,460.7 | Revaluation €800.9 m Net additions €257.5m |
| Other non-current assets | 175.9 | 172.3 | Capex €174.0m |
| Non-current assets | 10,884,9 | 9,633.0 | |
| Receivables and other assets | 55.5 | 63.7 | Cash flow from operating |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 233.6 | 285.4 | activities €288.6m |
| Current assets | 289.0 | 349.1 | Investing activities - €431.9m |
| Assets held for sale | 20.3 | 30.9 | Financing activities |
| Total Assets | 11,194.2 | 10,013.0 | €91.5m |
| Equity | 4,783.9 | 4,112.4 | |
| Non-current financing liabilities | 4,113.3 | 3,821.4 | |
| Other non-current liabilities |
1,382.3 | 1,158.8 | |
| Non-current liabilities | 5,495.6 | 4,980.2 | Loan proceeds €392.2m |
| Current financing liabilities | 484.8 | 478.2 | and proceeds from commercial paper €150m Repayment of loans |
| Other current liabilities | 429.9 | 442.2 | |
| Current liabilities | 914.7 | 920.4 | -€252.3m |
| Total Equity and Liabilities |
11,194.2 | 10,013.0 |
| LTV | |
|---|---|
| € million | 31.12.2018 | 31.12.2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial liabilities |
4,598.1 | 4,299.6 | Strong balance sheet with LTV at the lower end of the |
| Cash & cash equivalents | 233.6 | 285.4 | target range(40-45%) leaves |
| Net Debt |
4,364.5 | 4,014.2 | headroom for growth investments without raising |
| Investment properties | 10,709.0 | 9,460.7 | fresh equity Potential for further de |
| Properties held for sale | 20.3 | 30.9 | gearing via capital growth |
| Prepayments for investment properties |
- | - | |
| Business combinations |
- | 2.0 | |
| Property values |
10,729.3 | 9,493.6 | |
| Loan to Value (LTV) in % | 40.7 | 42.3 | Potential impact on LTV from future conversion of 1st |
| Pro forma LTV post conversion in % |
38.0 | 39.4 | convertible (€300m nominal, currently -270bps) |
*Including commercial paper
1) Commercial paper
2) €300 m convertible bond with investor put option 2019
3) Corporate bond (€500 m)
4) €400 m convertible bond
| Key Facts | Maturities | |
|---|---|---|
| Average debt maturity |
7.7 years (7.6 years*) | |
| Interest costs | Ø 1.61% (1.58%*) | |
| Hedging ratio | 91.1% (91.3%*) | |
| Rating | Baa1 (Moody's) |
| 0-2 years | 0.6% (3.6%*) |
|---|---|
| 3-5 years | 20.1% (19.5%*) |
| 6-8 years | 52.1% (50.5%*) |
| ≥ 9 years | 27.2% (26.4%*) |
| KPI | 2019 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|
| FFO I | €338m - €344m |
€356m - €364m |
| FFO I per share | €5.35 - €5.44 |
€5.63 - €5.76 |
| L-F-L rent growth | 3.0-3.2% | 3.2-3.4% |
| L-F-L vacancy | slightly decreasing |
|
| EBITDA margin | ~73% | ~74% |
| Investments | ~30-32€/sqm | ~31-33€/sqm |
| Dividend | 70 % of FFO I |
70 % of FFO I |
1) For 2017 & 2018, pro forma NAV per share is shown and applied. 2) Proposal to Annual General Meeting.
| € million |
FY-2018 | FY-2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Higher rental income |
||||
| Net rental and lease income |
418.6 | 399.4 | (+€25.5m YOY/+4.8%) Higher personnel expenses (+€4.5m) and one-time costs |
|
| Net income from the disposal of investment property | -0.9 | -1.4 | (+€2.4m) | |
| Net income from the valuation of investment property | 800.9 | 1,036.8 | ||
| Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory | -1.6 | -2.3 | Portfolio revaluation resulted in 8.2% appraisal gain (FY |
|
| Net income from other services | 5.3 | 6.3 | 2018) | |
| Administrative and other expenses | -44.8 | -41.3 | Recurring admin. costs nearly stable (€34m/+€0.7m YOY), despite wage inflation and |
|
| Other income | 0.8 | 1.4 | rising costs for regulatory requirements etc. |
|
| Operating earnings |
1,178.3 | 1,398.9 | Net income from fair value |
|
| Net finance costs |
-81.9 | -278.6 | measurement of derivatives €25.4m; thereof €26.5m from convertibles |
|
| Earnings before income taxes |
1,096.4 | 1,120.3 | (FY-2017: -€138.2m) Lower cash interests (€77.2m; -€3.7m YOY) despite rising |
|
| Income tax expenses |
-249.3 | -275.5 | debt volume | |
| Consolidated net profit |
847.1 | 844.8 | Cash taxes (-€5.8m) |
1) Interview with director of Federal Agency of Migration and Refugees (Aug 2016)
2) Federal Statistical Office, press release 13 Mar 2018
3) Deutsche Bundesbank, Monthly Report June 2018
4) Federal Statistical Office, press release 2 Nov 2017
5) Bundesamt für Migration und Flüchtlinge, January 2019
6) Federal Statistical Office, press release 15 Oct 2018
Scalability of platform + cost discipline support value accretive growth
| € million | 31.12.2018 | 31.12.2017 |
|---|---|---|
| Investment properties | 10,702.2 | 9,448.0 |
| Assets held for sale | 20.3 | 30.9 |
| Market value of residential property portfolio (net) | 10,722.5 | 9,478.9 |
| Estimated incidental costs |
1,056.9 | 934.3 |
| Market value of residential property portfolio (gross) | 11,779.4 | 10,413.2 |
| Annualised cash flow from rental income (gross) |
564.9 | 524.3 |
| Non recoverable operating costs | -61.8 | -60.4 |
| Annualised cash flow from rental income (net) |
508.0 | 468.0 |
| EPRA Net Initial Yield in % |
4.3 | 4.5 |
| Adj. EBITDA margin | FY-2018 | FY-2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m | margin % |
€m | margin % |
|
| As reported |
405.2 | 72.3 | 385.7 | 72.1 |
| Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) | 33.5 | 73.7 | 30.1 | 73.6 |
1) €/sqm: €4.77 vs. €6.00 in 2018, €/sqm: €4.74 vs. €5.81 in 2017
| | EBITDA as reported distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest result below the EBITDA line) |
|
|---|---|---|
| | Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; Adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 150 bps higher |
| ≤ 5 years2) | 10 years2) 6 – |
≥ 10 years2) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| In-place rent | €4.68 | €4.87 | €4.84 |
| Market rent1) | €6.52 | €6.71 | €5.97 |
| Upside potential3) | 39% | 38% | 23% |
| Upside potential p.a.3) | €10.43m | €22.62m | €11.97m |
Source: LEG as of FY-2018
1) Employed by CBRE as indicator of an average rent value that could theoretically be achieved, not implying that an adjustment of the in-place rent to the market rent is feasible, as stringent legal and contractual restrictions regarding rent increases exist.
2) ≤5 years = 2019-2023; 6-10 years = 2024-2028; ≥10 years = 2029ff.
3) Rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent as of FY-2018 and market rent (defined in footnote 1) as of FY-2017.
Source: LEG; shareholdings according to voting rights notifications
| Date | Report/Event |
|---|---|
| 11.03.2019 | Annual Report 2018 |
| 27.03.2019 | Roadshow, Deutsche Bank, London |
| 28.03.2019 | European Real Estate Conference, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, London |
| 28.03.2019 | German Real Estate Forum, Commerzbank, London |
| 09.04.2019 | Roadshow, Hauck & Aufhäuser, Zurich |
| 09.05.2019 | Quarterly Statement Q1 as of 31 March 2019 |
| 29.05.2019 | Annual General Meeting, Düsseldorf |
| 09.08.2019 | Quarterly Report Q2 as of 30 June 2019 |
| 15.11.2019 | Quarterly Statement Q3 as of 30 September 2019 |
Head of Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]
Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]
Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-286 [email protected]
40476 Düsseldorf, Germany E-Mail: [email protected]
LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204
Thank you for your interest.
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