Earnings Release • May 7, 2019
Earnings Release
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Hannover, 7 May 2019
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| 6 | Appendix | 24 |
Figures in EUR millions, unless otherwise stated
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q1/2018 | Q1/2019 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 5,345 | 6,373 | +19.2% |
| Net premium earned | 3,999 | 4,611 | +15.3% |
| Net underwriting result | 37 | 5 | -87.9% |
| - Incl. funds withheld | 96 | 75 | -21.6% |
| Net investment income | 391 | 399 | +1.9% |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 333 | 328 | -1.3% |
| - From funds withheld | 59 | 71 | +20.3% |
| Other income and expenses | 5 | 47 | - |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 434 | 450 | +3.7% |
| Financing costs | (18) | (21) | +18.2% |
| Net income before taxes | 416 | 429 | +3.1% |
| Taxes | (117) | (114) | -2.2% |
| Net income | 299 | 315 | +5.2% |
| - Non-controlling interests | 26 | 21 | -18.3% |
| Group net income | 273 | 294 | +7.4% |
| Retention | 91.3% | 90.4% | |
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) | 10.8% | 9.8% | |
| Tax ratio | 28.1% | 26.6% | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 2.27 | 2.43 |
| 1 Group overview | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
Operating cash flow in m. EUR
Assets under own management (AuM) in m. EUR
| 1 Group overview | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| 6 | Appendix | 24 |
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q1/2018 | Q1/2019 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 3,579 | 4,394 | +22.8% |
| Net premium earned | 2,425 | 2,930 | +20.8% |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
100 | 125 | +25.3% |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
95.9% | 95.7% | -0.2%p |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
260 | 223 | -14.1% |
| Other income and expenses | (21) | (14) | -33.3% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 339 | 334 | -1.3% |
| Tax ratio | 23.3% | 28.3% | +5.0%p |
| Group net income | 235 | 219 | -6.7% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.95 | 1.82 | -6.7% |
| Very benign large loss experience overall in Q1/2019 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catastrophe losses1 ) in m. EUR |
Date | Gross | Net | ||
| Flood, Australia | 26 Jan - 7 Feb | 30.5 | 25.2 | ||
| Storm "Eberhard", Germany | 10 - 11 Mar | 26.0 | 15.2 | ||
| 2 Natural catastrophes | 56.5 | 40.3 | |||
| 1 Marine claim | 14.5 | 6.9 | |||
| 1 Aviation claim | 16.6 | 11.7 | |||
| 4 Large losses | 87.6 | 59.0 |
1) Natural catastrophes and other large losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross
1) All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately Lines of business ordered by GWP
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| 6 | Appendix | 24 |
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q1/2018 | Q1/2019 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 1,766 | 1,979 | +12.0% |
| Net premium earned | 1,574 | 1,681 | +6.7% |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(4) | (50) | - |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
72 | 104 | +44.6% |
| Other income and expenses | 28 | 62 | +122.8% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 96 | 116 | +21.3% |
| EBIT margin | 6.1% | 6.9% | +0.8%p |
| Tax ratio | 45.9% | 22.8% | -23.1%p |
| Group net income | 51 | 89 | +73.2% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.42 | 0.73 | +73.2% |
| 1 | Group overview | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 | |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 | |
| 4 | Investments | 14 | |
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 | |
| 6 | Appendix | 24 |
| in m. EUR | Q1/2018 | Q1/2019 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income1) | 317 | 326 | 3.0% |
| Realised gains/losses | 49 | 22 | 0.2% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations | (11) | (17) | -0.2% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) | 6 | 27 | 0.3% |
| Investment expenses | (28) | (30) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own management | 333 | 328 | 3.0% |
| NII from funds withheld | 59 | 71 | |
| Total net investment income | 391 | 399 | |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 18 | 31 Mar 19 |
| On-balance sheet | 500 | 1.309 |
|---|---|---|
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 91 | 799 |
| Off-balance sheet | 498 | 478 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 227 | 244 |
| Total | 998 | 1.786 |
1) Incl. results from associated companies
| Investment category | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 31 Mar 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 87% | 87% | 87% | 87% | 87% |
| - Governments | 26% | 28% | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| - Semi-governments | 17% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 16% |
| - Corporates | 34% | 33% | 32% | 29% | 29% |
| Investment grade | 30% | 28% | 27% | 25% | 25% |
| Non-investment grade | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 2) 7% |
| Equities | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| - Listed equity | 1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| - Private equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Real estate/real estate funds | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
| Others | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 39.8 | 42.3 | 40.5 | 42.7 | 45.3 |
Ordinary income split
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 1,384.4 m. (EUR 1,326.4 m.) as at 31 March 2019
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 71.2%
3) Before real estate-specific costs. Economic view based on market values as at 31 March 2019
| Business group | Key figures | Targets for 2019 | Q1/2019 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on investment1) | ≥ 2.8% | 3.0% |
| Return on equity2) | ≥ 9.4% | 12.6% | |
| Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) | ≥ 5% | 7.4% | |
| Economic value creation3) | ≥ 6.4% | n.a. | |
| Solvency ratio4) | ≥ 200% | 246.0% | |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Gross premium growth5) | 3 - 5% | 19.4% |
| Combined ratio6) | ≤ 97% | 95.7% | |
| EBIT margin7) | ≥ 10% | 11.4% | |
| xRoCA8) | ≥ 2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health R/I | Gross premium growth9) | 3 - 5% | 9.6% |
| Value of New Business (VNB)10) | ≥ EUR 220 m. | n.a. | |
| EBIT growth11) | ≥ 5% | 21.3% | |
| xRoCA8) | ≥ 2% | n.a. |
3) Growth in economic equity + paid dividend; target: 600 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 4) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements as of 31 December 2018
5) On average throughout the R/I cycle at constant f/x rates 6) Incl. large loss budget of EUR 875 m.
9) Organic growth only; target: annual average growth over a 3-year period, at constant f/x rates 10) Based on Solvency II principles; pre-tax reporting
11) Annual average growth over a 3-year period
1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives 2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds
7) EBIT/net premium earned 8) Excess return on allocated economic capital
| Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|
| Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| Investments | 14 |
| Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| Appendix | 24 |
| April renewals | in m. EUR | • Japan |
|---|---|---|
| Change in shares: -0.5% Change in price & volume: +6.1% |
– Cat XL: Maintained position in Japan after the series of significant events in 2018 with increasing prices (+9.5%) |
|
| 984 51 |
– Other lines of business up by 8% in premium income |
|
| 923 | 10 +6.6% |
• North America1) – Premium increased by 18%, mainly from new business opportunities based on improved pricing |
| • Cat XL worldwide – Stable renewals in cat business worldwide (outside Japan and US) |
||
| • Agricultural business: decreased premium income – Reduced shares in renewed portfolio in some cases due to selective underwriting |
||
| • Marine |
||
| – Generally flat market with stable conditions resulting in almost unchanged premium income for Hannover Re |
||
| Inforce book up for renewal |
New/ Price & volume Inforce book cancelled/ changes on after renewals restructured renewed |
– Loss-impacted treaties saw rises in premium - depending on the impact - ranging from +5% to more than +20% |
Underwriting year figures at unchanged f/x rates (31 December 2018) 1) Excluding specialty business
Hannover Re Group
| • | Gross written premium1) | growth within a single-digit percentage range |
|---|---|---|
| • | Return on investment2) 3) | at least 2.8% |
| • | Group net income2) | in the region of EUR 1.1 bn. |
| • | ratio4) Ordinary dividend payout |
35% - 45% |
• Special dividend additional payout if profit target is reached and capitalisation remains comfortable
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2019 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 875 m.
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS
| Lines of business | Volume1) | Profitability2) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Structured reinsurance and ILS | +/- | |||
| North America3) | + | |||
| Germany3) | + | |||
| Asia, Australia, Middle East3) | +/- | |||
| Facultative reinsurance and direct | + | |||
| Cat XL | +/- | |||
| Continental Europe, Africa3) | + | |||
| Latin America, Iberian Peninsula3) | + | |||
| Credit, surety and political risks | + | |||
| UK, Ireland, London market3) | +/- | |||
| Aviation and Marine | +/- |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
3) All lines of business except those stated separately
Lines of business ordered by GWP
| Reporting categories | Volume1) | Profitability2) ++ |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Financial solutions | |||
| Longevity | + | ||
| Mortality | +/- | ||
| Morbidity | +/- |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
We expect significantly increased EBIT growth from 2019 onwards as the negative impact from US mortality legacy book has diminished significantly
AuM are expected to rise further due to continued positive cash flow from operations
| 6 | Appendix | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Outlook 2019 | 18 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 12 |
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 7 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 Appendix |
Figures in m. EUR. SCR – Solvency Capital Requirements according to Solvency II internal model
1) Model changes, main effect from first-time application of volatility adjustment
2) Operating earnings and assumption changes; pre-tax
3) Changes due to changes of foreign exchange rates, interest rates, credit spreads and other financial market indicators; pre-tax
4) Incl. tax payments and changes in deferred taxes
5) Incl. minor changes in foreseeable dividends
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q1/2018 | Q1/2019 | Q1/2018 | Q1/2019 | Q1/2018 | Q1/2019 |
| Gross written premium | 3,579 | 4,394 | 1,766 | 1,979 | 5,345 | 6,373 |
| Change in GWP | - | +22.8% | - | +12.0% | - | +19.2% |
| Net premium earned | 2,425 | 2,930 | 1,574 | 1,681 | 3,999 | 4,611 |
| Net underwriting result | 92 | 113 | (55) | (108) | 37 | 5 |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 100 | 125 | (4) | (50) | 96 | 75 |
| Net investment income | 268 | 236 | 123 | 163 | 391 | 399 |
| From assets under own management | 260 | 223 | 72 | 104 | 333 | 328 |
| From funds withheld | 8 | 12 | 51 | 58 | 59 | 71 |
| Other income and expenses | (21) | (14) | 28 | 62 | 5 | 47 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 339 | 334 | 96 | 116 | 434 | 450 |
| Financing costs | 0 | (1) | 0 | 0 | (18) | (21) |
| Net income before taxes | 339 | 334 | 96 | 116 | 416 | 429 |
| Taxes | (79) | (95) | (44) | (26) | (117) | (114) |
| Net income | 260 | 239 | 52 | 90 | 299 | 315 |
| Non-controlling interest | 25 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 21 |
| Group net income | 235 | 219 | 51 | 89 | 273 | 294 |
| Retention | 91.6% | 91.9% | 90.7% | 87.0% | 91.3% | 90.4% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 95.9% | 95.7% | 100.2% | 102.9% | 97.6% | 98.4% |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 14.0% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Tax ratio | 23.3% | 28.3% | 45.9% | 22.8% | 28.1% | 26.6% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.95 | 1.82 | 0.42 | 0.73 | 2.27 | 2.43 |
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -96 | -96 | |
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -193 | -193 |
| +50 bps | -980 | -910 | |
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -1,911 | -1,773 |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -660 | -651 |
| High-quality fixed-income book well balanced Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
| AAA | 78% | 58% | 1 % |
62% | - | 48% | ||||||
| A A |
13% | 26% | 14% | 24% | - | 16% | ||||||
| A | 5 % |
8 % |
31% | 11% | - | 14% | ||||||
| BBB | 3 % |
1 % |
46% | 3 % |
- | 16% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 2 % | 7 % | 8 % | 1 % | - | 5 % | </bbb<>
2 % |
7 % |
8 % |
1 % |
- | 5 % |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 100% | ||||||
| Germany | 19% | 40% | 4 % |
21% | 19% | 18% | ||||||
| UK | 8 % |
3 % |
8 % |
10% | 13% | 7 % |
||||||
| France | 1 % |
2 % |
8 % |
5 % |
0 % |
4 % |
||||||
| GIIPS | 1 % |
1 % |
4 % |
5 % |
0 % |
2 % |
||||||
| Rest of Europe | 2 % |
13% | 15% | 22% | 4 % |
10% | ||||||
| USA | 54% | 9 % |
34% | 13% | 16% | 35% | ||||||
| Australia | 3 % |
11% | 8 % |
12% | 7 % |
7 % |
||||||
| Asia | 8 % |
10% | 7 % |
1 % |
26% | 8 % |
||||||
| Rest of World | 4 % |
13% | 14% | 12% | 14% | 10% | ||||||
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 15,702 | 7,114 | 12,314 | 3,205 | 1,762 | 40,097 |
IFRS figures as at 31 March 2019
| Modified duration | |
|---|---|
| Q1/2019 | 4.9 |
| 2018 | 4.8 |
| 2017 | 4.8 |
| 2016 | 5.0 |
| 2015 | 4.4 |
| 2014 | 4.6 |
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-todate, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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