AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

LEG Immobilien SE

Investor Presentation May 9, 2019

260_ip_2019-05-09_b3ac3a81-9eee-4d1e-a883-80e9e9c79446.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

LEG Immobilien AG

9 May 2019 Q1 2019 Results

Disclaimer

While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.

This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.

Agenda

HIGHLIGHTS Q1-2019 I.

  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.
  • APPENDIX V.

Highlights Q1-2019

Overall company development


Portfolio valuation:
Mid-year appraisal expected to result in approx. 5% (+€520-550m) valuation uplift

Disposals:
Sale of c. 2,700 non-core units in advanced stages

Strategy review (ongoing):
Analysing
more opportunistic approach outside NRW (B & C cities) as well as
potential growth opportunities for new development

Sound rent momentum persists


In-place rent, l-f-l
€5.71/sqm
(+3.1%; free financed
units +3.9%)
3.8%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l (+10 bps YOY)
€5.74/sqm
Maintenance/Capex (+17.1% YOY)

Financials: On track for FY targets


Net cold rent
€146.3m (+5.6% YOY from €138.5m)

Adjusted EBITDA
€106.8m (+12.7% YOY from €94.8m)

FFO I
€84.9m (+14.4% YOY from €74.2m), €1.34
per share (+14.4% YOY from €1.17)

EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill)
€98.54
per share (up from €96.10
in
FY-2018; +2.5%
)

Pro forma NAV post conversion
€94.37 per share (up from €93.40 in FY-2018; +1.0%);
NAV after a simulated, executed conversion of the 2014/2021 convertible

Agenda

  • HIGHLIGHTS Q1-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.
  • APPENDIX V.

Portfolio Overview

Positive rent development across all submarkets

Total Portfolio
-- -----------------

of units 133,637 +2.6% In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.71 +3.1%

EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.8% +10 bps

31.03.2019 (YOY)

Strong results on the basis of tailor-made management strategies

High-Growth Markets

31.03.2019
(YOY)
# of units 41,362 +0.2%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €6.40 +3.4%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 2.1% -30
bps

Stable Markets

31.03.2019
(YOY)
# of units 48,913 +2.8%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.38 +2.9%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.6% +20
bps
Higher-Yielding Markets
31.03.2019
(YOY)
# of units 41,515 +5.1%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.29 +2.8%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 6.5% +50
bps

Strong market fundamentals persist Rent Development

Capex & Maintenance Lifting internal growth potential

Lifting growth potential while maintaining high capital efficiency

  • HIGHLIGHTS Q1-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.

  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.
  • APPENDIX V.

Financial Highlights Q1-2019

Margin expansion story continues

Net Cold
Rent
(€m)
Adj. Net Rental and Lease Income (€m) Adj. EBITDA (€m)
138.5 +5.6% 146.3 101.2 +11.1% 112.4 94.8 +12.7% 106.8
Q1-2018 Q1-2019 Q1-2018 Q1-2019 Q1-2018 Q1-2019
FFO I (€m) Capex-Adj. FFO I / AFFO (€m) Margin (%)
Q1-2018 Q1-2019 Comment
+14.4% Adj. NRI 73.1 76.8 Ongoing efficiency
gains + lower
maintenance ratio
+5.4% Adj.
EBITDA
68.4 73.0 See above + stable
staff costs
74.2 84.9 52.2 55.0 FFO I 53.6 58.0 See above + lower
interest costs
AFFO 37.7 37.6 See above + higher
growth capex

Q1-2018 Q1-2019

Q1-2018 Q1-2019

FFO Calculation

Q1-2019

€ million Q1-2019 Q1-2018
Net cold rent 146.3 138.5
+€7.8m/+5.6%
Profit from operating expenses -1.7 -2.8
Maintenance (externally-procured services) -13.8 -15.5
Staff costs -16.1 -15.0
Growth in staff costs mainly
Allowances on rent receivables -2.4 -2.4 due to additional FTE's for
crafts services and enhanced
Other -0.6 -2.8 capex program
Non-recurring project costs (rental
and lease)
0.7 1.3
Adj. NRI increased by
Recurring net rental and lease income 112.4 101.3 +€11.2m YOY (+11.1%);
Recurring net income from other services 2.0 2.0 rising cost inflation more than
offset by efficiency gains and
Staff costs -5.6 -5.7 lower maintenance ratio
Non-staff operating costs -2.9 -3.4
Non-recurring project costs (admin.) 0.8 0.4
Recurring administrative expenses -7.7 -8.7
Other income and expenses 0.1 0.2
Adjusted EBITDA 106.8 94.8
EBITDA increased by
Cash interest expenses and income -19.2 -19.4 +€12.0m YOY (+12.7%)
Cash income taxes from rental and lease -2.0 -1.0
FFO I (including non-controlling interests) 85.6 74.4
Lower interest costs: (avg.
1.62% vs. 1.76% in Q1-2018)
Non-controlling interests -0.7 -0.2 despite rising debt volume
FFO I (excluding non-controlling interests) 84.9 74.2
FFO II (including disposal of investment property) 83.2 73.5
Capex-adjusted FFO I (AFFO) 55.0 52.2

FFO Bridge Q1-2019

Cash Effective Interest Expense Q1-2019

€ million Q1-2019 Q1-2018
Reported
interest expense
25.6 24.3
One-time effect of €1.2m in
Q1-2019 from smaller
Interest
expense related to loan amortisation
-5.6 -3.6 repayment of subsidised
loans (loan amortisation)
Interest costs related to valuation
of assets/liabilities
-0.2 -0.2
Leasing related interest
expense (non-cash)
0.0 -0.3
Interest expenses related to changes
in pension provisions
-0.6 -0.6
Other
interest expenses
0.0 -0.2
Cash effective interest expense (gross) 19.2 19.4
Cash
effective interest income
0.0 0.1
Interest coverage improved
Cash effective interest expense (net) 19.2 19.4 further
(5.6x up from 4.9x
YOY)

EPRA-Net Asset Value

Transaction prices above portfolio values suggest further upside

€ million 31.03.2019 31.12.2018
Equity (excl.
minority interests)
4,677.3 4,757.6
-€76.1m net loss

€4.2m others
Effect of exercising options, convertibles
and other rights
657.4 553.9
NAV 5,334.7 5,311.5
Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments 350.7 222.2
Deferred taxes1) 1,149.0 1,132.7
EPRA-NAV 6,834.4 6,666.4
(m)2)
Number of shares
fully-diluted incl. convertible
68.824 68.824 Comment on pro forma NAV
EPRA-NAV per share in € 99.30 96.86 post conversion

This figure incorporates a
Goodwill resulting from synergies 52.7 52.7 simulated, executed
conversion of the 2014/2021
Adjusted
EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill)
6,781.7 6,613.7 convertible with a put and a
Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € 98.54 96.10 call option in 2019

It is shown to further
Effects from a simulated executed conversion -286.8 -185.7 increase transparency with
regard to potentially dilutive
Pro
forma
NAV (excl. goodwill) post-conversion
6,494.9 6,428.0 NAV effects
Pro
forma NAV post
conversion
per share in €
94.37 93.40

Attractive rental yield of 5.5% (thereof free financed portfolio: 5.7%) and low value per sqm (€1,206) still reflect decent gap to recent portfolio transactions

  • Value of services business as attractive hidden gem not included in NAV
    • Scenario: additional value approx. €4.60-€6.90 per share (discount rate of 4.0%-6.0%)3)

2) Actual number of shares outstanding 63.1m 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 3) Assumption: expected 2019 FFO, growth rate of 0%

Portfolio

Sound property fundamentals basis for value growth

1) As of December 31, 2018.

Balance Sheet

Strong balance sheet

€ million 31.03.2019 31.12.2018
Investment property 10,770.0 10,709.0
IFRS 16 effects €35.8m

Capex €28.9m
Other non-current assets 207.2 175.9
Reclassifications
-€3.7m
Non-current assets 10,977.2 10,884,9
Receivables and other assets 81.2 55.5
Cash flow from operating
Cash and cash equivalents 267.0 233.6 activities €96.9m
Current assets 348.2 289.0
Investing activities
-
€27.4m
Assets held for sale 6.2 20.3
Financing activities
Total Assets 11,331.6 11,194.2 -€36.1m
Equity 4,700.3 4,783.8
Non-current financing liabilities 4,214.6 4,113.3
Other
non-current liabilities
1,439.1 1,382.3 Financing liabilities

Loan proceeds €127.5m
Non-current liabilities 5,653.7 5,495.6
Repayment of loans
Current financing liabilities 412.9 484.8 -€156.9m
Other current liabilities 564.7 429.9
Current liabilities 977.6 914.8
Total
Equity and Liabilities
11,331.6 11,194.2
LTV

Low LTV leaves headroom for growth

€ million 31.03.2019 31.12.2018
Financial
liabilities
4,627.5 4,598.1
Strong balance sheet with
Leasing liabilities (IFRS 16) 32.2 0.0 LTV at the lower end of the
target range (40-45%) leaves
Cash & cash equivalents 267.0 233.6 headroom for growth
investments without raising
Net
Debt
4,328.3 4,364.5 fresh equity

Potential for further de
Investment properties 10,770.0 10,709.0 gearing via capital growth
Properties held for sale 6.2 20.3
Prepayments
for
investment
properties
9.0 -
Property
values
10,785.2 10,729.3
Loan to Value (LTV) in % 40.1 40.7
Potential impact on LTV from
future conversion of 1st
convertible (€300m nominal,
currently -270bps)
Pro
forma LTV post conversion in %
37.4 38.0

Financing Structure – 31 March 2019

LT financing provides high visibility for future earnings growth

1) €300 m convertible bond with investor put option 2019

2) Corporate bond (€500 m)

3) €400 m convertible bond

Key Facts Maturities
Average debt
maturity
7.5 years 0-2 years 1.6%
Interest costs Ø 1.62% 3-5 years 19.6%
Hedging ratio 91.0% 6-8 years 50.7%
Rating Baa1 (Moody's) ≥ 9 years 28.3%

  • HIGHLIGHTS Q1-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.

APPENDIX V.

Business Update (1/2)

Exploring additional growth opportunities

H1-2019 appraisal: Positive outlook for further capital growth

  • Property prices continue to rise
  • IFRS valuation gain of approx. 5% in Q2 expected (€520-550m)
  • Especially B-locations in the commuter belts benefit from positive spill-over effects
  • Further yield compression expected also in H2

Disposal program: Sale of non-core portfolio in advanced stages

  • Disposals: Expected disposal volume increased to c. 2,700 units given good demand situation
  • Portfolio consists of non-core assets (mainly peripheral areas)
  • Proceeds are earmarked for growth investments
  • Acquisitions: Supply in investment markets is slightly picking up

Exploring additional growth opportunities

Strategy review (ongoing): Exploiting growth opportunities arising from acquisitions and new development

  • Acquisitions:
    • Especially B and C cities (dependent on quality of micro locations) offer attractive risk-reward at current stage of the cycle – with LEG providing strong expertise of managing higher yield assets (operating performance & efficiency)
    • Analysing the potential of a more opportunistic approach outside of NRW (attractive locations in catchment areas of A cities; potential for critical scale remains key)
  • New development:
    • Acceleration of development activities under review (current pipeline of 1,000 units)
    • Acquisition of land is also an option while availability at reasonable prices and regulatory framework remain critical

Outlook

Guidance for 2019 & 2020

KPI 2019 2020
FFO I* €338m -
€344m
€356m -
€364m
L-F-L rent growth 3.0-3.2% 3.2-3.4%
L-F-L vacancy slightly
decreasing
EBITDA margin ~73% ~74%
Investments ~30-32€/sqm ~31-33€/sqm
Dividend 70 % of
FFO I
70 % of
FFO I

*excl. disposals or future acquisitions

  • HIGHLIGHTS Q1-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.

APPENDIX V.

Generating Appealing Shareholder Returns

1) For 2017 & 2018, pro forma NAV per share is shown and applied. 2) Proposal to Annual General Meeting.

Income Statement Q1-2019


million
Q1-2019 Q1-2018
Net rental
and lease income
109,7 98.4
Higher net cold rents (+€7.8m
YOY/+5.6%)
Net income from the disposal of investment property -0.3 -0.3
Net income from the valuation of investment property -0.2 0.0
Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory -0.7 -0.7
Income relates to disposals;
no revaluation as of Q1
Net income from other services 1.4 1.5
Administrative and other expenses -9.5 -9.4
Admin. costs stable, despite
wage inflation
Other income 0.1 0.2
Operating
earnings
100.5 89.7
Net income from fair value
measurement of derivatives
Net
finance
costs
-139.0 4.7 -€116.0m; thereof -€116.0m
from convertibles
Earnings
before
income
taxes
-38.5 94.4 (Q1-2018: €26.5m)

Lower cash interests (€19.2m;
-€0.2m YOY) despite rising
Income
tax
expenses
-18.5 -16.2 debt volume
Consolidated
net
profit
-57.0 78.2
Cash taxes (-€2.0m)

Acquisitions: Leading Management Skills Paying Off

Scalability of platform + cost discipline support value accretive growth

Strong volume growth at decreasing overhead cost…

…leads to a significant drop of the administrative costs ratio

Innovation & Value-Added Services

Digitization

Digitization as a technology trend is of tremendous importance for the real estate industry and LEG is headed towards a leading position as a driver of innovation.

Greatest digital achievements

  • Accounting Robot in receivables management increases customer satisfaction as employees focus on customer need instead of repetitive bookkeeping-tasks
  • •Success with tenant app, additional 50% active users convinced by extended self-services
  • •Streamlining internal processes in maintenance and repair to reduce costs

Current development

  • •Substituting written form by phone service to increase customer satisfaction
  • No more phone queues as we call our customers back on demand
  • Monitoring water quality in our apartment houses continuously and automatically through IoT increasing tenant safety and reducing costs

Digitization in the long run

  • Further automation of processes
  • Development of ecosystems with strategic partners to increase customer satisfaction and retention
  • Development of value-add services (disruptive topics)

LEG's Innovation management approach

Internal scope

External scope

  • Corporate culture supporting constant development / innovation
  • State-of-the-art processes
  • Collaboration and communication
  • Innovative services and business models
  • Extensive network
  • Alliances and strategic partnerships
  • Transferable innovations and best practices

LEG – Adj. EBITDA Margin

Leading profitability despite short term distortion from restricted units

Adj. EBITDA margin FY-2018 FY-2017
€m margin
%
€m margin
%
As
reported
405.2 72.3 385.7 72.1
Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) 33.5 73.7 30.1 73.6

1) €/sqm: €4.77 vs. €6.00 in 2018, €/sqm: €4.74 vs. €5.81 in 2017

EBITDA as reported distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest result below the
EBITDA line)
Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; Adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 150 bps
higher

Rent revisionary potential

Refinancing of subsidised loans lifting value

Rent Potential Subsidised Units

  • In the following 10 years more than 25,000 units will come off rent restriction
  • Units show significant upside to market rents
  • Subject to general legal and other restrictions, the economic upside can theoretically be realised the year after restrictions expire

17 697 827 164 37 242 # Units Number of Units Coming Off Restriction and Rent Upside 1,734 2,496 1,589 c. 8,900 c. 17,800

Spread to Market Rent (in €/sqm/month)

2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029ff

≤ 5 years2) 10 years2)
6 –
≥ 10 years2)
In-place rent €4.69 €4.87 €4.85
Market rent1) €6.55 €6.71 €5.97
Upside potential3) 39% 38% 23%
Upside potential p.a.3) €9.97m €22.48m €11.87m

Source: LEG as of Q1-2019

1) Employed by CBRE as indicator of an average rent value that could theoretically be achieved, not implying that an adjustment of the in-place rent to the market rent is feasible, as stringent legal and contractual restrictions regarding rent increases exist.

2) ≤5 years = 2019-2023; 6-10 years = 2024-2028; ≥10 years = 2029ff.

3) Rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent as of Q1-2019 and market rent (defined in footnote 1) as of FY-2018.

LEG Share Information

Basic data Well-balanced shareholder structure

  • Prime Standard, Frankfurt Stock Exchange
  • Total no. of shares: 63,188,185
  • Ticker symbol: LEG
  • ISIN: DE000LEG1110
  • Indices: MDAX, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT, GPR 250, Stoxx Europe 600
  • Weighting (31.03.2019): MDAX 2.85%; EPRA 2.89%
  • Rating: Baa1 (stable) by Moody's

Share price (30.04.2019, indexed; 31.01.2013 = 100)

Source: LEG; shareholdings according to voting rights notifications

Date Report/Event
11.03.2019 Annual
Report 2018
09.05.2019 Quarterly Statement Q1 as of 31 March 2019
16.05.2019 KeplerCheuvreux
German & Austrian Property Days, Paris
20./21.05.2019 Roadshow London, Deutsche Bank
23.05.2019 Kempen
European Property Seminar, Amsterdam
24.05.2019 HSBC European
Real Estate Conference, Frankfurt
29.05.2019 Annual
General Meeting, Düsseldorf
06.06.2019 Deutsche Bank dbAccess
Conference, Berlin
19.06.2019 Roadshow Helsinki, Pareto Securities
20.06.2019 Morgan Stanley EEMEA Property Conference, London
09.08.2019 Quarterly Report
Q2 as of 30 June 2019
15.11.2019 Quarterly
Statement Q3 as of 30 September 2019

Contact

Investor Relations

Burkhard Sawazki

Head of Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]

Karin Widenmann

Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]

Benedikt Kupka

Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-286 [email protected]

40476 Düsseldorf, Germany E-Mail: [email protected]

LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204

Thank you for your interest.

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.