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LEG Immobilien SE

Investor Presentation Aug 9, 2019

260_ip_2019-08-09_a46737d1-1505-48ac-9071-c93891f48255.pdf

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LEG Immobilien AG

9 August 2019 H1 2019 Results

Disclaimer

While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.

This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.

Agenda

HIGHLIGHTS H1-2019 I.

  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.
  • APPENDIX V.

Overall strong company development


Political discussion:
State government of NRW clearly disapproves "rent freezes" as an instrument

Disposals:
Sale of around 2,700 non-core units successfully executed

Acquisitions:
Momentum picking-up; more than 1,000 units signed (pipeline of approx. 2,000 units)

Sound rent momentum persists


In-place rent, l-f-l
€5.77/sqm
(+2.9%; free financed
units +3.5%)
3.6%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l (+10 bps YOY)
€13.12/sqm
Maintenance/Capex (+15.0% YOY)

Financials: Producing compelling total returns


Net cold rent
€292.5m (+5.4% YOY from €277.4m)

Adjusted EBITDA
€217.8m (+8.9% YOY from €200.0m)

FFO I
€171.0m (+9.3% YOY from €156.5m), €2.71
per share (+9.3% YOY from €2.48)

Mid-year appraisal
Valuation uplift of
5.1% or
€550.2m (rental yield 5.2%, value/sqm
€1,287 excl. sales)
Pro forma NAV post conversion1
€99.57 per share (up from €93.40 in FY-2018; +6.6% YTD/ +10.4% incl. €3.53 DPS)

1) NAV after a simulated, executed conversion of the 2014/2021 convertible

Agenda

  • HIGHLIGHTS H1-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.
  • APPENDIX V.

Portfolio Overview

Positive rent development across all submarkets

In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.77 +2.9%

EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.6% +10 bps

Strong results on the basis of tailor-made management strategies

High-Growth Markets

30.06.2019
(YOY)
# of units 41,442* +0.2%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €6.45 +3.1%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 1.8% -70
bps

Stable Markets

30.06.2019
(YOY)
# of units 48,245* +1.4%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.43 +2.9%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.6% +40
bps

Higher-Yielding Markets

30.06.2019
(YOY)
# of units 39,432* -0.1%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.36 +2.2%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 6.2% +60
bps

Strong market fundamentals persist Rent Development

Capex & Maintenance Lifting internal growth potential

Lifting growth potential while maintaining high capital efficiency

* Development excluded.

  • HIGHLIGHTS H1-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.

  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.
  • APPENDIX V.

Financial Highlights H1-2019

Margin expansion story continues

FFO I (€m) Capex-Adj. FFO I / AFFO (€m) Margin (%)
H1-2018 H1-2019 Comment
+9.3% Adj. NRI 76.8 79.2 Ongoing efficiency
gains offsetting
higher maintenance
-0.9% Adj.
EBITDA
72.1 74.5 See above + slightly
decreasing admin.
costs
156.5 171.0 93.5 92.7 FFO I 56.4 58.5 See above +slightly
lower interest ratio
AFFO 33.7 31.7 See above + higher
growth investments
H1-2018 H1-2019 H1-2018 H1-2019

FFO Calculation

H1-2019

€ million H1-2019 H1-2018
Net cold rent 292.5 277.4
+€15.1m/+5.4%
Profit from operating expenses -1.8 -4.2
Maintenance (externally-procured services) -25.4 -26.7
Staff costs -32.1 -30.3
Growth in staff costs mainly
due to additional FTE's for
Allowances on rent receivables -4.3 -4.3 crafts services and enhanced
Other 1.3 -2.7 capex program
Non-recurring project costs (rental
and lease)
1.6 3.7
Adj. NRI increased by
Recurring net rental and lease income 231.8 212.9 +€18.9m YOY (+8.9%); rising
Recurring net income from other services 1.9 3.4 maintenance costs/inflation
more than offset by efficiency
Staff costs -15.4 -12.0 gains
Non-staff operating costs -8.0 -6.7
Rising staff costs due to one
Non-recurring project costs (admin.) 7.2 1.9 time effects (severance
Recurring administrative expenses -16.2 -16.8 payments)
Other income and expenses 0.3 0.4
EBITDA increased by
Adjusted EBITDA 217.8 200.0 +€17.9m YOY (+9.0%);
slightly decreasing admin.
Cash interest expenses and income -39.0 -38.8 costs
Cash income taxes from rental and lease -6.1 -3.6
FFO I (including non-controlling interests) 172.7 157.6
Stable interest costs
(avg.
1.60% vs. 1.76% in H1-2018)
Non-controlling interests -1.7 -1.1 despite rising debt volume
FFO I (excluding non-controlling interests) 171.0 156.5
FFO II (including disposal of investment property) 169.4 155.7
Capex-adjusted FFO I (AFFO) 92.7 93.5

FFO Bridge H1-2019

Cash Effective Interest Expense H1-2019

€ million H1-2019 H1-2018
Reported
interest expense
52.1 47.4
One-time negative effect of
Interest
expense related to loan amortisation
-11.2 -5.8 €2.2m in H1-2019 from
smaller repayment of
subsidised loans (loan
Interest costs related to valuation
of assets/liabilities
-0.4 -0.4 amortisation) vs. positive
effect of €1.4m in H1-2018
Leasing related interest
expense (non-cash)
0.0 -0.5
Extraordinary expense of
€1.6m from registered bond
(first time valuation)
Interest expenses related to changes
in pension provisions
-1.2 -1.2
Other
interest expenses
0.1 -0.4
Cash effective interest expense (gross) 39.4 39.1
Cash
effective interest income
0.0 0.3
Interest coverage improved
Cash effective interest expense (net) 39.4 38.8 further
(5.6x up from 5.2x
YOY)

EPRA-Net Asset Value

Further capital growth ahead

€ million 30.06.2019 31.12.2018
Equity (excl.
minority interests)
4,967.3 4,757.6
€469.1m net profit

-€30.6m change in OCI
Effect of exercising options, convertibles
and other rights
618.0 553.9
-€223.3m dividend
NAV 5,585.3 5,311.5
-€5.5m others
Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments 313.0 222.2
Deferred taxes1) 1,271.8 1,132.7
EPRA-NAV 7,170.1 6,666.4
(m)2)
Number of shares
fully-diluted incl. convertible
69.010 68.824 Comment on pro forma NAV
EPRA-NAV per share in € 103.90 96.86 post conversion
This figure incorporates a
Goodwill resulting from synergies 52.7 52.7 simulated, executed
conversion of the 2014/2021
Adjusted
EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill)
7,117.4 6,613.7 convertible with a put and a call
option in 2019
Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € 103.14 96.10
Effects from a simulated executed conversion -245.9 -185.7
Pro
forma
NAV (excl. goodwill) post-conversion
6,871.5 6,428.0
Pro
forma NAV post
conversion
per share in €
99.57 93.40

Attractive rental yield of 5.2% (thereof free financed portfolio: 5.4%) and low value per sqm (€1,287) still reflect an average gap to current transaction prices

Value of services business as attractive hidden gem not included in NAV

Scenario: additional value approx. €4.60-€6.90 per share (discount rate of 4.0%-6.0%)3)

2) Actual number of shares outstanding 63.1m 1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 3) Assumption: expected 2019 FFO, growth rate of 0%

EPRA-Net Asset Value

Portfolio Valuation H1-2019

Valuation uplifts driven by letting performance and yield compression

Yield compression and broad-based strong letting performance drive portfolio values

  • Visible catch-up effects with respect to multiple B-cities and commuter towns
  • Adjustment of discount rate from 5.2% in FY-2018 to 4.9% (cap rate adjusted from 6.1% to 6.2%)

1) Change in Gross Asset Value, l-f-l

Portfolio Valuation H1-2019

Growth markets with respective commuter belts drive valuation

Valuation uplift H1-19 Gross yield H1-19
High-Growth Markets 5.9% (7.5% in
FY-18)
4.3% (4.5% in FY-18)
Münster (6,126 units) 5.5% 3.8%
Düsseldorf (5,311 units) 6.6% 4.0%
Bielefeld (3,267 units) 8.2% 5.0%
Stable
markets
5.2%
(10.7% in FY-18)
5.6% (6.0% in FY-18)
Dortmund (13,581 units) 7.5% 4.8%
Essen (3,373
units)
4.0% 5.5%
Mönchengladbach (6,445 units) 4.1% 5.9%
Higher-yielding
markets
3.7% (6.9% in FY-18) 6.5% (6.9% in FY-18)
Duisburg (6,904
units)
3.5% 6.1%
Bochum (1,618 units) 4.4% 5.2%
Gelsenkirchen (7,287 units) 2.6% 6.7%
Total portfolio 5.1% (8.2% in FY-18) 5.2%
(5.5% in FY-18)

Especially smaller towns in the catchment areas are continuously showing uplifts (Siegburg (9.0%; 612 units), Erkrath (6.7%; 604 units), Leverkusen (6.1%; 1,061 units))

Portfolio

Sound property fundamentals basis for value growth

As of 30.06.2019; IAS 40 only, IFRS5 excluded Market
Market Residential
Units
GAV
Residential
Assets (€m)
% of Total
Residential
GAV
GAV/
sqm
(€)
In-Place
Rent Multiple
Multiples,
Estimated
Rental
Values1)
GAV
Commercial/
Other
Assets (€m)
Total GAV
High
Growth
Markets
41,442 4,919 46% 1,790 23.5x 20.0x 232 5,151
Stable
Markets
48,245 3,454 32% 1,118 17.8x 16.1x 125 3,579
Higher
Yielding
Markets
39,432 2,216 21% 924 15.3x 14.3x 65 2,282
Subtotal NRW 129,119 10,590 98% 1,286 19.3x 17.2x 422 11,012
Portfolio outside
NRW
1,849 169 2% 1,360 18.9x 17.6x 2 171
Total Portfolio 130,968 10,759 100% 1,287 19.3x 17.2x 424 11,183
Other Assets 228
Total 11,411

1) As of June 30, 2019.

Balance Sheet

Strong balance sheet

€ million 30.06.2019 31.12.2018
Revaluation €550.2m
Investment property 11,224.8 10,709.0
Capex €74.1m

Reclassifications (Disposal)
Other non-current assets 204.5 175.9 -€154.9m
Non-current assets 11,429.3 10,884.9
Acquisitions €10.8m
Receivables and other assets 92.5 55.5
Cash flow from operating
Cash and cash equivalents 187.6 233.6 activities €156.4m
Current assets 280.1 289.0
Investing activities
-
€72.4m
Assets held for sale 152.2 20.3
Financing activities
Total Assets 11,861.6 11,194.2 -€130.0m
Equity 4,989.3 4,783.8
Non-current financing liabilities 4,301.5 4,113.3
Other
non-current liabilities
1,581.8 1,382.3 Financing liabilities

Loan proceeds €271.5m
Non-current liabilities 5,883.2 5,495.6
Repayment of loans
Current financing liabilities 468.1 484.8 -€167.7m
Other current liabilities 521.0 429.9
Current liabilities 989.1 914.8
Total
Equity and Liabilities
11,861.6 11,194.2

Low LTV leaves headroom for growth

€ million 30.06.2019 31.12.2018
Financial
liabilities
4,769.7 4,598.1
Strong balance sheet (LTV
target: max. 43%) leaves
Leasing liabilities (IFRS 16) 32.9 0.0 headroom for growth
Cash & cash equivalents 187.6 233.6 investments

Potential for further de
Net
Debt
4,549.2 4,364.5 gearing via capital growth
Investment properties 11,224.8 10,709.0
Properties held for sale 152.2 20.3
Prepayments
for
investment
properties
0.7 -
Property
values
11,377.7 10,729.3
Loan to Value (LTV) in % 40.0 40.7
Potential impact on LTV from
conversion of 2014/2021
convertible (€300m nominal,
currently -250bps)
Pro
forma LTV post conversion in %
37.5 38.0

Financing Structure – 30 June 2019

LT financing provides high visibility for future earnings growth

1) Commercial paper

2) €300 m convertible bond with investor put option 2019

3) Corporate bond (€500 m)

4) €400 m convertible bond

Key Facts Maturities
Average debt
maturity
7.3 years (7.4
years)*
0-2 years 2.6% (1.6%)*
Interest costs Ø 1.60% (1.60%)* 3-5 years 18.9% (19.2%)*
Hedging ratio 90.8% (90.7%)* 6-8 years 49.2% (49.7%)
Rating Baa1 (Moody's) ≥ 9 years 29.3% (29.5%)*
* Without
Commercial paper

  • HIGHLIGHTS H1-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.

APPENDIX V.

Business Update

Portfolio growth continues

Rising visibility for acquisition of > 3,000 units

  • Acquisition of more than 1,000 units signed YTD; pipeline of > 2,000 units (in advanced stages)
  • Net portfolio growth likely to continue; slightly negative short term FFO effect expected (mainly due to timing difference)

Disposal program: Sale of non-core portfolio successfully executed

  • Approx. 2,700 units sold at around book value (selling price approx. €148m)
  • Portfolio consists of non-core assets
    • Peripheral areas in Dorsten, Wuppertal, Dortmund, Duisburg, Remscheid
    • Below average quality (micro locations & technical condition)
    • Vacancy 12%, rent €4.82/sqm
  • Annualised FFO contribution approx. €6.0-6.5m
    • Negative outlook for future earnings due to substantial expected capex & maintenance spending

Higher-yielding Markets

Outlook

Guidance for 2019 & 2020

KPI 2019 2020
FFO I* €338m -
€344m
€356m -
€364m
L-F-L rent growth 3.0-3.2% 3.2-3.4%
L-F-L vacancy slightly
decreasing
EBITDA margin ~73% ~74%
Investments ~30-32€/sqm ~31-33€/sqm
Dividend 70 % of
FFO I
70 % of
FFO I

*excl. disposals or future acquisitions

  • HIGHLIGHTS H1-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.

APPENDIX V.

Generating Appealing Shareholder Returns

1) For 2017, 2018, Q2-2019 pro forma NAV per share is shown and applied.

Income Statement H1-2019


million
H1-2019 H1-2018
Net rental
and lease income
225.9 206.3
Higher net cold rents (+€15.1m
YOY/+5.4%)
Net income from the disposal of investment property -0.4 -0.5
Net income from the valuation of investment property 550.2 383.9
Revaluation gains of 5.1%
Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory -1.2 -1.2
Net income from other services 0.6 2.2
Admin. costs contain one-off
Administrative and other expenses -25.3 -19.3 effects e.g. severance
payments, higher write-offs
due to the adoption of IFRS
Other income 0.2 0.4 16
Operating
earnings
750.0 571.8
Net income from fair value
measurement of derivatives
Net
finance
costs
-117.5 -27.4 -€68.1m; thereof -€67.6m from
convertibles
Earnings
before
income
taxes
632.5 544.4 (H1-2018: €17.1m)

Stable cash interests (€39m;
+€0.2m YOY) despite rising
Income
tax
expenses
-163.4 -121.4 debt volume
Consolidated
net
profit
469.1 423.0
Cash taxes (-€6.1m)

Scalability of platform + cost discipline support value accretive growth Acquisitions: Leading Management Skills Paying Off

Strong volume growth at overhead cost below FY-2013 level…

…leads to a significant drop of the administrative costs ratio

LEG – Adj. EBITDA Margin

Leading profitability despite short term distortion from restricted units

Adj. EBITDA margin FY-2018 FY-2017
€m margin
%
€m margin
%
As
reported
405.2 72.3 385.7 72.1
Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) 33.5 73.7 30.1 73.6

1) €/sqm: €4.77 vs. €6.00 in 2018, €/sqm: €4.74 vs. €5.81 in 2017

EBITDA as reported distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest result below the
EBITDA line)
Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 150 bps
higher

Rent revisionary potential

Refinancing of subsidised loans lifting value

Rent Potential Subsidised Units

  • In the following 10 years more than 24,000 units will come off rent restriction
  • Units show significant upside to market rents
  • Subject to general legal and other restrictions, the economic upside can theoretically be realised the year after restrictions expire

697 827 164 36 242 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 et seq. # Units Number of Units Coming Off Restriction and Rent Upside 1,734 2,166 1,589 c. 8,600 c. 17,000

Spread to Market Rent (in €/sqm/month)

≤ 5 years2) 10 years2)
6 –
≥ 10 years2)
In-place rent €4.70 €4.87 €4.85
Market rent1) €6.55 €6.71 €5.95
Upside potential3) 39% 38% 23%
Upside potential p.a.3) €9.94m €22.47m €11.70m

Source: LEG as of Q2-2019

1) Employed by CBRE as indicator of an average rent value that could theoretically be achieved, not implying that an adjustment of the in-place rent to the market rent is feasible, as stringent legal and contractual restrictions regarding rent increases exist.

2) ≤5 years = 2019-2023; 6-10 years = 2024-2028; ≥10 years = 2029ff.

3) Rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent as of Q2-2019 and market rent (defined in footnote 1) as of Q2-2019.

LEG Share Information

Strong outperformance vs. benchmarks including dividends

Basic data Well-balanced shareholder structure

  • Prime Standard, Frankfurt Stock Exchange
  • Total no. of shares: 63,188,185
  • Ticker symbol: LEG
  • ISIN: DE000LEG1110
  • Indices: MDAX, FTSE EPRA/NAREIT, GPR 250, Stoxx Europe 600
  • Weighting (30.06.2019): MDAX 2.87%; EPRA 2.78%
  • Rating: Baa1 (stable) by Moody's

Source: LEG; shareholdings according to voting rights notifications

Date Report/Event
11.03.2019 Annual
Report 2018
09.05.2019 Quarterly Statement Q1 as of 31 March 2019
29.05.2019 Annual
General Meeting, Düsseldorf
09.08.2019 Quarterly Report
Q2 as of 30 June 2019
29.08.2019 Commerzbank Sector Conference, Frankfurt
04.09.2019 Roadshow London, UBS
11.09.2019 Bank
of America Merrill Lynch Global Real Estate Conference, New York
12.09.2019 Roadshow Boston, Jefferies
23.09.2019 Goldman Sachs & Berenberg
German Corporate Conference,
Munich
24.09.2019 Baader
Investment Conference, Munich
15.11.2019 Quarterly
Statement Q3 as of 30 September 2019

Contact

Investor Relations

Burkhard Sawazki

Head of Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]

Karin Widenmann

Senior Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]

Benedikt Kupka

Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-286 [email protected]

40476 Düsseldorf, Germany E-Mail: [email protected]

LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204

Thank you for your interest.

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