AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Vonovia SE

Investor Presentation Sep 23, 2019

477_ip_2019-09-23_5b92f29f-1218-414b-b7f8-25291006d299.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Vonovia to Become the Largest Residential Company in Sweden

Acquisition of ca. 69% of voting rights in Hembla AB

September 23, 2019

Executive Summary

Strategic
rationale
Vonovia
entered Sweden through the acquisition of
Victoria Park and with a view that
Swedish Residential is about scale
The acquisition of the majority of Hembla
is the next logical step and opportunity
Through Victoria Park and Hembla, Vonovia
becomes the largest residential player in Sweden
with unparalleled exposure to Sweden's three large cities
Transaction
fulfills all
acquisition
criteria
Strategic
fit: Hembla
owns 21k flats with €3.1bn GAV and is highly complementary to
Victoria Park
The transaction is accretive to Group FFO per share and Adj. NAV per share
No impact on rating or rating outlook expected as a result of this transaction
Estimated operational and financial synergies of ca. €30m can already be realized on the basis of
the 69% voting rights acquired from Blackstone
Successful
execution of
European
strategy set to
continue
Austria:
Continue to run scalable operating business
Sweden:
Opportunistic approach to further consolidation
France:
Actively engage with relevant French players to try and take the next steps
Netherlands:
Remain prepared for when an opportunity arises

European Expansion Milestones

Q4 2017 Vonovia
presents European expansion
strategy with a target list of four countries: Austria,
Sweden, France and the Netherlands
MoU
with CDC Habitat in France
Tender offer for Buwog
ensures scale in Austria
Q2 2018 Tender offer for Victoria Park
Q4 2018 Acquisition of 2,340 units in Sweden
Acquisition of 10% stake in 4,000 unit portfolio from SNCF in France

Acquisition of 69% of voting rights in Hembla from Blackstone is the perfect opportunity to take the next step and continue our focused and disciplined approach to European expansion.

Geographic split (pro forma, based on units)

Victoria Park – A Success Story

Note: Q1 2019 numbers do not include the Starsign portfolio signed in Q4 2018 as it only closed in Q2 2019

Acquisition of majority stake in Hembla

Hembla is a Major Swedish Residential Player with a Portfolio Focused on Stockholm

Source: Company information; EUR/SEK at 10.71 as of 20 Sep 2019

1In-place rents in Sweden are not comparable to Germany, as Sweden includes ancillary costs. The table above shows the rental levels unadjusted to the German definition. 2 H1 2019 annualized.

Vonovia Becomes the Largest Landlord in Sweden with a Market Share Similar to Germany

Source: Sweden: Boverket, SABO, SCB; Germany GdW Jahresstatistik; 1 Commercially similar to condominium structures but legally owner has usage rights rather than full ownership

Perfect Strategic Fit

Victoria Park's and Hembla's portfolios are highly complementary, giving the aggregate portfolio of 38k units unrivaled exposure to Sweden's three largest cities Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmö

Source: Company information Note: Region Stockholm also includes Uppsala, Eskilstuna, Strängnäs, Norrköping, Katrineholm, Arboga, Köping and Vasteras

The Transaction Fulfills All of Vonovia's Acquisitions Criteria

Strategic
Fit
The transaction follows our 4+2 strategy and is a strategic expansion in the Swedish
residential market, adding scale and establishing Vonovia's
position as the largest
residential company in Sweden
Accretive to
Group FFO
per share
€0.12 per share accretive to pro forma 2020E Group FFO
Accretive to
Adj. NAV
per share
€0.16 per share accretive to pro forma 2020E Adj. NAV (without capitalization of
synergies)
Rating neutral No negative impact on rating or rating outlook expected, regardless of whether assessed
on 50/50 financing structure or on basis of all debt

In light of differences between Vonovia's Group FFO and acquisition targets' Rental FFO we are currently reviewing our FFO acquisition criterion to better reflect the accretion impact of future acquisition opportunities.

Accretion based on transaction financing of cash through equity raised in H1 2019 and incremental debt financing, assuming ca. €30m of synergies on FFO (pro forma). NAV accretion excludes capitalized synergies. As per our acquisition criteria we assess the transaction on a theoretical 50% debt and 50% equity basis comparing target FFO to our internal rental FFO estimates for first full year of consolidation

Transaction Overview

Financial
terms
Acquisition of Hembla
shares from Blackstone at a price of SEK
215 per share (€20.1 per share) and
€1,142mm total. The purchase price will be settled predominantly in Euro
Implied Enterprise Value of Hembla
at SEK 37.5bn (equivalent to €3.5bn)
Implied
premium
11.5% premium to spot
18.6% premium to LR NAV
15.6% premium to 3M VWAP
17.6% premium to 6M VWAP
Transaction
features
SPA signed with Blackstone to acquire its entire 61% shareholding
(and 69% of all voting rights)
Acquisition will, when completed, trigger a mandatory bid obligation for Vonovia
Such mandatory offer will not be subject to reaching a minimum acceptance threshold
Transaction
financing
May 2019 equity raise allows for an all-debt financing at this
point
Pro forma LTV post this
transaction is estimated to be towards the upper end but still within our target range of
40% -
45%

Note: Stats based on latest reported company information as of 30 June 2019 for Vonovia and Hembla unless otherwise stated; all SEK figures converted into EUR using an SEK/EUR exchange rate of 10.73

23 Sep
2019
Signing
of SPA with Blackstone to acquire control in Hembla, and Vonovia
ad
hoc public announcement
Oct –
Nov 2019
Merger control clearance, acquisition becomes unconditional
Mandatory bid obligation triggered (min, four-week acceptance period after offer
launch)
Dec
2019
Expected
end of acceptance period

Note: Indicative expected dates only. Tender offer is subject to closing and antitrust clearance.

Wrap-up

Compelling
strategic
rationale
Through Victoria Park and Hembla, Vonovia
becomes the largest landlord in Sweden
and gains unparalleled exposure to Sweden's three large cities
Meets all
acquisition
criteria
The transaction meets all our acquisition criteria and is accretive for Vonovia
shareholders
Successful
execution of
European
strategy and
expansion
Sweden:
Use scale and continue to seek accretive acquisition opportunities
Austria:
Continue to run scalable operating business
France:
Actively engage with relevant French players to try and take the next steps
Netherlands:
Remain prepared for when an opportunity arises

Appendix

Vonovia Continues Its Disciplined 4+2 Strategy

European activities enhance accretive acquisition opportunities Similar to Germany, we closely monitor clearly defined geographies for opportunities, applying the same acquisition criteria European Activities Opportunistic Strategies Reputation & Customer Satisfaction Property Management Efficient operations of scalable business Financing Solid capital structure Portfolio Management Value investments supplement internal growth Value-add Leveraging B-to-C nature of the business Innovative Traditional 1 2 3 4 61% 64% 68% 71% 74% 75% 830 754 645 570 498 445 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 EBITDA Operations margin Germany Cost per unit Germany (€) 49% 50% 47% 42% 40% 43% 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.7 4.6 4.7 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 LTV (%) ICR 71 172 356 472 779 1,139 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Investment Volume (€m) Number of locations 767 665 577 526 10.5 23.6 37.6 57.0 102.1 121.2 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Adj. EBITDA Value-add Business (€m) Core Strategies 6 5 Mergers & Acquisitions 180 397 79 296 IPO Sales Acq. H1 2019 '000 units

Measured and Disciplined Approach to European Expansion

  • Cautious step-by-step approach to minimize risk. Currently ca. 14% of the portfolio are located outside Germany. We will continue to monitor the German market and our defined European target markets in accordance with our acquisition criteria
  • Germany is expected to remain the dominant market also in the foreseeable future. No specific target rate or ratios in terms of German vs. non-German exposure but highly opportunistic approach as is the case for our German M&A activities

Hembla's Road to Become a Major Swedish Residential Player

1994 2014 2016 2017 2018 Present
D.Carnegie
& Co, a
residential company
established
in 1994,
Listed on NASDAQ First
North on
9 April with
SEK 690m raised
Blackstone through
Vega Holdco becomes
the company's new
Rolf Buch
was one of
the Board of Directors
until May 2018
Svein
Erik Lilleland
was appointed
permanent CEO
New service and
maintenance
organisation
with focus on the
growing region of
Stockholm and
Mälardalen
Business
model of
through rights issue
Property portfolio
comprising c.1.2m sqm
of lettable area
distributed among
principal owner
Enters into an
(c.55% share capital,
65% voting rights)
Bond issuance
of
SEK1,000m
A rights issue was
agreement with the
completed,
city of Stockholm
increasing the
regarding the start of
number of shares by
planning process for
11,254,538
delivery and
professional
development
launched which will
enable better service
taking a long term
approach to acquire,
manage and refurbish
the property portfolio
with good potential
for improvement
15,109 apartments
concentrated in Greater
Stockholm
New
renovation team
in place with long
term capacity to
renovate over 1,000
apartments per year
c.30,000 residential
sqm
in Husby
Enters into agreement
to acquire 1,420 and
749 apartments in the
Stockholm and
Company renamed
to Hembla
to
emphasize the core
of its business
model -
tenants and
their homes
Took ownership of
1,274 apartments in
Stockholm
Västerås
region
respectively
Complete refinancing
of SEK3,255mm

Hembla's growth since 2014

SEKmm 2015 2016 2017 2018 1H2019
Market value properties 13,826 16,998 21,456 31,091 32,964
Rental income 1,217 1,284 1,473 1,787 956
Net
operating income (NOI)
554 631 774 931 488
Area
('000 sqm)
1,266 1,275 1,427 1,690 1,689
EPRA NAV per share (SEK) 73.50 101.96 127.90 166.88 181.25
Source: Company information

Acquisition of majority stake in Hembla Page 15

Unparalleled Acquisition Track Record

~11k units
acquired
Transaction announcement: February 2014
Transaction closing: April 2014
Integration completion: June 2014
Achieved synergies: €10m p.a.
First sizeable portfolio acquisition
~30k units
acquired
Transaction announcement: February 2014
Transaction closing: October 2014
Integration completion: December 2014
Achieved synergies: €15m p.a.
First sizeable corporate acquisition
~140k units
acquired
Transaction announcement: December 2014
Transaction closing: March 2015
Integration completion: December 2015
Achieved synergies: €76m operational + €61m financial p.a.
Mixed cash/stock public takeover
~20k units
acquired
Transaction announcement: June 2015
Transaction closing: July 2015
Integration completion: September 2015
Achieved synergies: €12m p.a.
Sizeable all equity financed portfolio
acquisition
~27k units
acquired
Transaction announcement: September 2016
Transaction closing: January 2017
Integration completion: June 2017
Achieved synergies: €23m p.a.
Public takeover and first acquisition
outside Germany
~49k units
acquired
Transaction announcement: December 2017
Transaction closing: June 2018
Integration completion: YE 2018 for German operating business
Announced synergies: €30m p.a.
Public takeover and acquisition
of critical mass in Austria
~14k units Transaction announcement: May 2018
Transaction closing: July 2018
Public takeover and acquisition
of "nucleus" in Sweden
~21k units Transaction announcement: September 2019
Transaction closing: Q4 2019 (est.)
Announced synergies: ca. €30m p.a.
Acquisition of critical mass in Sweden

Hembla's Shareholder Base

Source: Company information

1 Ownership as % of share capital / % of voting rights; 2 Vega Holdco S.à.r.l., an entity wholly owned by real estate funds advised by affiliates of The Blackstone Group L.P

Disclaimer

NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION (IN WHOLE OR IN PART) IN, INTO OR FROM ANY JURISDICTION WHERE THIS WOULD VIOLATE THE LAWS OR REGULATIONS OF SUCH JURISDICTION

The facts and information contained herein are as up to date as is reasonably possible and nothing herein shall imply that the facts and information presented are accurate or applicable at any time other than on the date of this presentation. Neither Vonovia SE (the "Company") nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisors, or any other person makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information contained in this presentation nor does the information herein constitute a recommendation to any person to acquire any securities. Neither the Company nor any of its directors, officers, employees or advisors, or any other person shall have any liability whatsoever for losses howsoever arising, directly or indirectly, from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith.

This document is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and overview of, the business of the Company and its subsidiaries and for the potential transaction. The information relating to the Company does not constitute a complete overview of the Company and must be supplemented by the reader wishing such completeness. Any opinions expressed in this document reflect the Company's current views and are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. A significant portion of the information contained in this document, including market data and trend information, is based on estimates or expectations of the Company, and there can be no assurance that these estimates or expectations are or will prove to be accurate. Certain facts stated herein are derived from public sources and notwithstanding that such information has been correctly reproduced and the Company considers the sources to be reliable, the Company has not independently verified the information and such information should not be interpreted as having been adopted or endorsed by the Company as being accurate or complete.

This presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company or the industry in which the Company operates. These statements may be identified by words such as "expectation", "guidance", "belief", "estimate", "plan", "target" or "forecast" and similar expressions, or by their context. These statements are made on the basis of current knowledge and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties. Various factors could cause actual future results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in these statements and neither the Company nor any other person accepts any responsibility for the accuracy of the opinions expressed in this presentation or the underlying assumptions. No obligation is assumed to update any forward-looking statements.

The information contained herein does not constitute an offer, nor a solicitation of an offer, to buy any securities, and it does not constitute any form of commitment or recommendation in relation thereto. This presentation does not constitute an offer document and has not been approved or registered with any supervisory authority. In connection with the proposed combination of Vonovia and Victoria Park, an offer document relating to the offer will be filed with and published by the Swedish Financial Supervisory Authority (the "SFSA"). Shareholders of Victoria Park should read the offer document carefully when it becomes available, since it will contain important information about the transaction. Shareholders of Victoria Park may obtain free copies of the offer document, any amendments or supplements thereto and other documents containing important information about the transaction, from Vonovia's website http://en.Vonovia-k.de

This document and any materials distributed in connection with this document are not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction, in particular, but not limited to Australia, Canada, Hong Kong, Japan, New Zealand or South Africa.

This presentation speaks as of its date. Neither the delivery of this presentation nor any further discussions of the Company with any of the recipients shall, under any circumstances, create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of the Company or its subsidiaries since such date.

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.