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LEG Immobilien SE

Investor Presentation Nov 22, 2019

260_ip_2019-11-22_52701e6a-7594-4ff5-99bf-b1cc752f3d9b.pdf

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LEG Immobilien AG

15 November 2019 9M-2019 Results

Disclaimer

While the company has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate and that the opinions contained in it are fair and reasonable, this presentation is selective in nature and is intended to provide an introduction to, and an overview of the Company's business. Any opinions expressed in this presentation are subject to change without notice and neither the Company nor any other person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in this presentation. Where this presentation quotes any information or statistics from any external sources, you should not interpret that the Company has adopted or endorsed such information or statistics as being accurate.

This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realised from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation, and supply and demand. The Company has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and the Company does not undertake any duty to update the information and forward-looking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations.

This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or sell any shares in the Company and neither this presentation or anything in it shall form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever.

Agenda

HIGHLIGHTS 9M-2019 I.

  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.
  • APPENDIX V.

Overall company development: Delivering on key value drivers


Acquisitions:
Approx. 5,700 units signed (YTD), pipeline of several smaller deals

Capital growth:
Another valuation uplift of around 3% expected in Q4 (~8% in FY-2019)

Financing:
Further reduction of avg. interest costs ahead (early redemptions + acquisitions)

Sound rent momentum persists


In-place rent, l-f-l
€5.82/sqm
(+2.9%; free financed
units +3.7%)
3.6%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l (unchanged YOY)
€21.88/sqm
Maintenance/Capex (+7.7% YOY)

Financials: Producing compelling total returns


Net cold rent
€439.8m (+5.5% YOY from €417.0m)

Adjusted EBITDA
€330.5m (+8.0% YOY from €305.9m)

FFO I
€259.1m (+7.0% YOY from €242.2m), FFO per share €4.09 (+6.7% YOY from €3.83)
Pro forma NAV post conversion1
€100.52 per share (up from €93.40 in FY-2018; +7.6% YTD/ +11.4% incl. €3.53 DPS)

DPS-2019 (proposal)
€3.60 (rising dividend despite 9.2% higher number of shares)

1) NAV after a simulated, executed conversion of the 2014/2021 convertible which was nearly completed at end of Q3-2019

Agenda

  • HIGHLIGHTS 9M-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.
  • APPENDIX V.

Portfolio Overview

Positive rent development across all submarkets

Total Portfolio1

30.09.2019
(YOY)
# of units 131,135 +0.7%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.82 +2.9%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.6% 0 bps
1) IAS 40 only, IFRS 5 excluded

Strong results on the basis of tailor-made management strategies

High-Growth Markets

30.09.2019
(YOY)
# of units 41,497 +0.3%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €6.51 +3.3%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 1.9% -50
bps

Stable Markets

30.09.2019
(YOY)
# of units 48,313 +1.6%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.47 +3.0%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 3.6% +20
bps

Higher-Yielding Markets

30.09.2019
(YOY)
# of units 39,476 +0.2%
In-place rent (sqm), l-f-l €5.39 +2.2%
EPRA-Vacancy, l-f-l 6.4% +60
bps

Rent Development

Strong market fundamentals

Performance of free financed units reflects sound underlying fundamentals Rent restricted units: +0.5% year-on-year (like-for-like) High exposure to structural growth markets and respective commuter belts supports strong performance Voluntary commitment to lower modernisation yields has slightly dampening effect

Capex & Maintenance Lifting internal growth potential

1) development excluded

  • HIGHLIGHTS 9M-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.

  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.
  • APPENDIX V.

Financial Highlights 9M-2019

Margin expansion story continues

FFO Calculation

9M-2019

€ million 9M-2019 9M-2018
Net cold rent 439.8 417.0
+€22.8m/+5.5%
Profit from operating expenses -0.9 -3.3
Maintenance (externally-procured services) -36.9 -37.6
Staff costs -48.8 -45.2
Growth in staff costs mainly due
to additional FTE's for crafts
Allowances on rent receivables -5.8 -4.1 services and enhanced capex
Other -0.3 -7.0 programme
Non-recurring project costs (rental
and lease)
2.9 4.7
Adj. NRI increased by +€25.5m
Recurring net rental and lease income 350.0 324.5 YOY (+7.9%); rising
Recurring net income from other services 3.4 5.6 maintenance costs/inflation
more than offset by efficiency
Staff costs -24.4 -19.6 gains
Non-staff operating costs -10.9 -10.9
5.8
-24.7

Rising staff costs only due to
one-time effects (severance
Non-recurring project costs (admin.) 12.0
Recurring administrative expenses -23.3 payments c. €8m)
Other income and expenses 0.4
0.5

EBITDA increased by +€24.6m
Adjusted EBITDA 330.5 305.9 YOY (+8.0%); recurring admin.
Cash interest expenses and income -58.4 -58.8 costs slightly decreased
Cash income taxes from rental and lease -10.0 -4.1
FFO I (including non-controlling interests) 262.1 243.0
Stable interest expenses
(avg.
1.63% vs. 1.71% in 9M-2018)
Non-controlling interests -3.0 -0.8 despite rising debt volume
FFO I (excluding non-controlling interests) 259.1 242.2
FFO II (including disposal of investment property) 255.9 240.6
Capex-adjusted FFO I (AFFO) 122.6 121.9

FFO Bridge 9M-2019

Cash Effective Interest Expense 9M-2019

€ million 9M-2019 9M-2018
Reported
interest expense
92.7 72.0
Interest expenses related to
Interest
expense related to loan amortisation
-29.5 -9.2 extraordinary loan
amortisation of €20.2m due
Interest costs related to valuation
of assets/liabilities
-0.6 -0.6 to early conversion of
convertible (€17.7m) and
smaller repayments of
Leasing related interest
expense (non-cash)
0.0 -0.7 subsidised loans (€2.5m)
Interest expenses related to changes
in pension provisions
-1.9 -1.8
Other
interest expenses
-2.1 -0.4
Cash effective interest expense (gross) 58.6 59.3
Cash
effective interest income
0.2 0.5
Interest coverage improved
Cash effective interest expense (net) 58.4 58.8 further (5.7x up from 5.2x
YOY)

EPRA-Net Asset Value

Further capital growth ahead

€ million 30.09.2019 31.12.2018
€486.2m net profit
Equity (excl.
minority interests)
5,527.4 4,757.6
€551.5m equity conversion

-€41.5m change in OCI
Effect of exercising options, convertibles
and other rights
86.7 553.9
-€223.1m dividend
NAV 5,614.1 5,311.5
-€3.3m IFRS 16 and Others
Fair value measurement of derivative financial instruments 71.5 222.2
Deferred taxes1) 1,281.7 1,132.7
EPRA-NAV 6,967.3 6,666.4
(m)2)
Number of shares
fully-diluted incl. convertible
69.010 68.824 Comment on pro forma NAV
EPRA-NAV per share in € 100.96 96.86 post conversion
This figure incorporates an
Goodwill resulting from synergies 52.7 52.7 equity conversion of the
2014/2021 convertible which
Adjusted
EPRA-NAV (excl. goodwill)
6,914.6 6,613.7 was nearly completed at end of
Q3 (92.5% and the remainder
Adjusted EPRA-NAV per share in € 100.20 96.10 in October 2019)
Effects from a simulated executed conversion 22.2 -185.7
Pro
forma
NAV (excl. goodwill) post-conversion
6,936.8 6,428.0
Pro
forma NAV post
conversion
per share in €
100.52 93.40
  • Attractive rental yield of 5.3% (thereof free financed portfolio 5.4%) and low value per sqm (€1,295) still reflect an average gap to current transaction prices
  • Value of services business as attractive hidden gem not included in NAV
    • Scenario: additional value approx. €5.20-€7.80 per share (discount rate of 4.0%-6.0%)3)

1) And goodwill resulting from deferred taxes on EPRA-adjustments 3) Assumption: expected 2020 FFO, growth rate of 0%

2) Actual number of shares outstanding: 68.6m (30.09.2019), 63.1m (31.12.2018)

Sound property fundamentals basis for value growth

As of 30.09.2019; IAS 40 only, IFRS5 excluded Market
Market Residential
Units
GAV
Residential
Assets (€m)
% of Total
Residential
GAV
GAV/
sqm
(€)
In-Place
Rent Multiple
Multiples,
Estimated
Rental
Values1)
GAV
Commercial/
Other
Assets (€m)
Total GAV
High
Growth
Markets
41,497 4,946 46% 1,798 23.1x 20.0x 236 5,182
Stable
Markets
48,313 3,474 32% 1,124 17.4x 16.1x 125 3,599
Higher
Yielding
Markets
39,476 2,222 21% 932 15.3x 14.3x 65 2,287
Subtotal NRW 129,286 10,642 98% 1,294 19.0x 17.2x 426 11,068
Portfolio outside
NRW
1,849 169 2% 1,369 18.8x 17.6x 2 171
Total Portfolio 131,135 10,811 100% 1,295 19.0x 17.2x 428 11,239
Other Assets 237
Total 11,476

1) As of June 30, 2019.

Balance Sheet

Strong balance sheet

€ million 30.09.2019 31.12.2018
Revaluation €551.6m

Capex €132.4m
Investment properties 11,276.6 10,709.0
Reclassifications (Disposal)
-€178.9m
Other non-current assets 222.6 175.9
Acquisitions €25.9m
Non-current assets 11,499.2 10,884.9
IFRS 16 and Others €36.6m
Receivables and other assets 96.2 55.4
Cash flow from operating
Cash and cash equivalents 382.3 233.6 activities €224.8m
Current assets 478.5 289.0
Investing activities
-
€4.7m
Assets held for sale 172.5 20.3
Financing activities
Total Assets 12,150.2 11,194.2 -€71.4m
Equity 5,549.5 4,783.9
Non-current financing liabilities 4,319.4 4,113.3
Other
non-current liabilities
1,618.1 1,382.3 Financing liabilities

Loan proceeds €436.5m
Non-current liabilities 5,937.5 5,495.6
Repayment of loans
Current financing liabilities 257.8 484.8 -€270.2m
Other current liabilities 405.4 429.9
Current liabilities 663.2 914.7
Total
Equity and Liabilities
12,150.2 11,194.2

Low LTV leaves headroom for growth

€ million 30.09.2019 31.12.2018
Financial
liabilities
4,577.2 4,598.1
Leasing liabilities (IFRS 16) 32.1 0.0
Cash & cash equivalents 382.3 233.6
Net
Debt
4,162.8 4,364.5
Investment properties 11,276.6 10,709.0
Properties held for sale 172.5 20.3
Prepayments
for
investment
properties
4.3 -
Property
values
11,453.4 10,729.3
Loan to Value (LTV) in % 36.3 40.7

Strong balance sheet (LTV target: 40-43%) after equity conversion of the 2014/2021 convertible leaves headroom for further growth investments

Potential for further degearing via capital growth

Financing Structure – 30 September 2019

LT financing provides high visibility for future earnings growth

2) commercial paper (€100m)

3) corporate bond (€500m)

4) convertible bond (€400m)

Average debt
maturity
years)5
7.3 years (7.4
Interest costs Ø 1.64% (1.68%)5
Hedging ratio 90.1% (89.9%)5
Rating Baa1 (Moody's)

5) excluding commercial paper

0-2 years 4.2% (2.1%)5 3-5 years 13.1% (13.3%)5 6-8 years 52.5% (53.6%)5 ≥ 9 years 30.3% (31.0%)5 Key Facts Maturities

  • HIGHLIGHTS 9M-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.

BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.

APPENDIX V.

Business Update

Accelerating external growth

Portfolio growth supported by the broadening of the regional scope

  • LEG remains net buyer with acquisition of portfolios with c. 5,700 units YTD (thereof 210 newly built apartments)
  • Purchase of c. 2,600 units outside of NRW underpins LEG's sourcing capabilities also outside its previous core region
  • Bulk of the transactions become effective in 2020; annualised FFO impact of €13-14m (c. €6-7m net after disposals)
  • Several smaller deals in negotiations
  • Firepower for further acquisitions in 2020 > €400m

Further capital growth ahead

  • Expected valuation uplift of approx. 8% for FY-2019 (+5.1% in H1-2019)
  • Drivers are yield compression and rent performance

Early refinancing of loans: Extension of maturity profile at lower interest cost

Early loan redemptions planned (volume c. €340m), positive net FFO effect of c. €7m p.a. (one-time cost c. €27m)

Commitment to corporate social responsibility

  • Additional foundation planned (capital contribution of €16m); objective: support of preventative measures for tenants
  • Voluntary commitment to lower modernisation yields (depending on affordability) and more conservative approach with regard to adjustments from rent tables

Business Update

Residential
units
Purchase price Rent multiple Price / sqm FFO p.a.
5,516 approx. €500m 21.7x €1,433 c. €13m
(FY 2020)
Top 5 locations Units Federal state Market segment
Bremen 1,160 Bremen
stable
Greater Aachen region1 1,094 NRW
high
growth
Oldenburg 912 Lower Saxony
high
growth
Dortmund 269 NRW
stable
Duisburg 193 NRW
higher yielding

1) Baesweiler, Alsdorf, Übach-Palenberg

Development Projects2

Residential
units
Purchase price Rent multiple Price / sqm FFO p.a.
2103 approx. €38m 26.5x €2,576 c. €0.9m

2) Dortmund, Bielefeld, Lüdenscheid

3) including 99 subsidised units Outlook

Guidance for 2019 & 2020: higher FFO target

  • HIGHLIGHTS 9M-2019 I.
  • PORTFOLIO AND OPERATING PERFORMANCE II.
  • FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE III.
  • BUSINESS UPDATE AND OUTLOOK IV.

APPENDIX V.

Generating Appealing Shareholder Returns

1) For 2017, 2018, Q3-2019 pro forma NAV per share is shown and applied.

Income Statement

9M-2019


million
9M-2019 9M-2018
Net rental
and lease income
340.2 315.2
Higher net cold rents (+€22.8m
YOY/+5.5%)
Net income from the disposal of investment property -0.8 -0.7
Net income from the valuation of investment property 551.6 383.5
Revaluation gains of 5.1%
Net income from the disposal of real estate inventory -2.0 -1.5
Net income from other services 1.5 3.8
Admin. costs contain one-off
Administrative and other expenses -38.0 -31.7 effects e.g. severance
payments, higher
depreciation due to the
adoption of IFRS 16
Other income 0.4 0.6
Operating
earnings
852.9 669.2
Net income from fair value
measurement of derivatives
-€92.6m; thereof -€91.3m from
convertibles
(9M-2018: -€49.6m)

Stable cash interests (€58.4m;
-€0.4m YOY) despite rising
debt volume
Net
finance
costs
-182.0 -117.9
Earnings
before
income
taxes
670.9 551.3
Income
tax
expenses
-182.0 -143.6
Consolidated
net
profit
488.9 407.7
Cash taxes (-€12.9m); lower
expenses for FY 2019
expected

Acquisitions: Leading Management Skills Paying Off

Scalability of platform + cost discipline support value accretive growth

Strong volume growth at overhead cost below FY-2013 level…

…leads to a significant drop of the administrative costs ratio

LEG – Adj. EBITDA Margin

Leading profitability despite short term distortion from restricted units

Adj. EBITDA margin FY-2018 FY-2017
€m margin
%
€m margin
%
As
reported
405.2 72.3 385.7 72.1
Gap restricted vs. unrestricted rents1) 33.5 73.7 30.1 73.6

1) €/sqm: €4.77 vs. €6.00 in 2018, €/sqm: €4.74 vs. €5.81 in 2017

EBITDA as reported distorted by restricted units (compensation for lower rents included in interest result below the
EBITDA line)
Scenario analysis: closing gap between restricted vs. unrestricted rents; adjusted EBITDA margin approx. 150 bps
higher

Rent revisionary potential

Refinancing of subsidised loans lifting value

Rent Potential Subsidised Units

  • In the following 10 years more than 24,000 units will come off rent restriction
  • Units show significant upside to market rents
  • Subject to general legal and other restrictions, the economic upside can theoretically be realised the year after restrictions expire

697 827 164 36 242 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 et seq. # Units Number of Units Coming Off Restriction and Rent Upside 1,733 2,166 1,589 c. 8,800 c. 17,000

Spread to Market Rent (in €/sqm/month)

≤ 5 years2) 10 years2)
6 –
≥ 10 years2)
In-place rent €4.60 €4.90 €4.90
Market rent1) €6.48 €6.72 €6.01
Upside potential3) 41% 37% 23%
Upside potential p.a.3) €10.9m €22.1m €10.2m

Source: LEG as of Q3-2019

1) Employed by CBRE as indicator of an average rent value that could theoretically be achieved, not implying that an adjustment of the in-place rent to the market rent is feasible, as stringent legal and contractual restrictions regarding rent increases exist.

2) ≤5 years = 2019-2023; 6-10 years = 2024-2028; ≥10 years = 2029ff.

3) Rent upside is defined as the difference between LEG in-place rent as of Q3-2019 and market rent (defined in footnote 1) as of Q2-2019.

LEG Share Information

Strong outperformance vs. benchmarks including dividends

EPRA Germany LEG

Date Report/Event
11.03.2019 Annual
Report 2018
09.05.2019 Quarterly Statement Q1 as of 31 March 2019
29.05.2019 Annual
General Meeting, Düsseldorf
09.08.2019 Quarterly Report
Q2 as of 30 June 2019
15.11.2019 Quarterly Report
Q3 as of 30 September 2019
20.11.2019 Roadshow London, Bank of America Merrill Lynch
22.11.2019 Roadshow Amsterdam,
Kempen
27.11.2019 Roadshow Zurich, UBS
28.11.2019 Berenberg Real Estate Seminar, Paris
03.12.2019 UBS Global Real Estate
Conference,
London
05.12.2019 Berenberg European Corporate Conference, Surrey/UK

Contact

Investor Relations

Burkhard Sawazki

Head of Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-204 [email protected]

Karin Widenmann

Senior Manager Investor Relations & Strategic Business Analysis Tel: +49 (0) 211 4568-458 [email protected]

40476 Düsseldorf, Germany E-Mail: [email protected]

LEG Immobilien AG Phone: +49 (0) 211 4568-400 Hans-Boeckler-Str. 38 Fax: +49 (0) 211 4568-22 204

Thank you for your interest.

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