Interim / Quarterly Report • Aug 5, 2020
Interim / Quarterly Report
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Hannover, 5 August 2020
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2020 | 17 |
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
| 1 Group overview | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 1 Group overview | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2020 | 17 |
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q2/2019 | Q2/2020 | 1H/2019 | 1H/2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 3,453 | 4,188 | 7,847 | 9,174 | |
| Net premium earned | 3,034 | 3,531 | 5,964 | 6,869 | |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
71 | (168) | 196 | (161) | |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
97.7% | 104.8% | 96.7% | 102.3% | |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
252 | 147 | 476 | 433 | |
| Other income and expenses | (1) | 6 | (15) | 18 | |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 322 | (15) | 657 | 290 | |
| Tax ratio | 31.1% | 306.4% | 29.7% | 14.8% | |
| Group net income | 212 | 37 | 431 | 245 | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.76 | 0.31 | 3.58 | 2.03 |
1) Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross
| Moderate major-loss expenditure apart from Covid-19-related losses | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Catastrophe losses1 ) in m. EUR |
Date | Gross | Net |
| Bushfire, Australia | 1 - 31 Jan | 26.8 | 26.3 |
| Earthquake, Puerto Rico | 6 - 7 Jan | 12.8 | 10.1 |
| Hail / Storm, Australia | 19 - 20 Jan | 25.7 | 18.1 |
| Storm / Flood, Australia | 4 - 13 Feb | 31.3 | 20.1 |
| Storm "Sabine", Europe | 9 - 11 Feb | 24.5 | 18.6 |
| Tornados, USA | 2 - 5 Mar | 45.2 | 31.1 |
| 6 Natural catastrophes | 166.3 | 124.3 | |
| 1 Property loss | 12.7 | 12.6 | |
| 1 Man-made loss | 12.7 | 12.6 | |
| 7 Major losses | 179.1 | 136.9 | |
| Covid-19-related losses | 608.5 | 600.1 | |
| Total | 787.6 | 737.0 |
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross Annual large loss budget 2020: EUR 975 m. thereof EUR 200 m. man-made and EUR 775 m. NatCat
1H/2020: Combined Ratio vs. Target Combined Ratio
1) All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2020 | 17 |
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
US mortality result otherwise in line with expectations, strong contribution from FinSol
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q2/2019 | Q2/2020 | 1H/2019 | 1H/2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 1,868 | 1,983 | 3,847 | 3,972 | |
| Net premium earned | 1,711 | 1,756 | 3,392 | 3,509 | |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(89) | (118) | (138) | (169) | |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
191 | 123 | 295 | 222 | |
| Other income and expenses | 68 | 85 | 130 | 161 | |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 170 | 90 | 286 | 214 | |
| EBIT margin | 9.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | |
| Tax ratio | (0.1%) | 12.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | |
| Group net income | 169 | 78 | 258 | 188 | |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.40 | 0.65 | 2.14 | 1.56 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook 2020 | 17 |
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
| in m. EUR | Q2/2019 | Q2/2020 | 1H/2019 | 1H/2020 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income1) | 376 | 281 | 702 | 614 | 2.5% |
| Realised gains/losses | 105 | 38 | 127 | 140 | 0.6% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations | (24) | (57) | (41) | (85) | -0.4% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
16 | 39 | 44 | 50 | 0.2% |
| Investment expenses | (30) | (31) | (60) | (63) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own management | 444 | 270 | 772 | 657 | 2.7% |
| NII from funds withheld | 23 | 51 | 94 | 136 | |
| Total net investment income | 467 | 321 | 866 | 793 |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 19 | 30 Jun 20 |
|---|---|---|
| On-balance sheet | 1,789 | 2,441 |
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 1,356 | 2,024 |
| Off-balance sheet | 524 | 537 |
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 233 | 223 |
| Total | 2,314 | 2,977 |
1) Incl. results from associated companies
| Investment category | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Q2/2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 87% | 87% | 87% | 87% | 87% |
| - Governments | 28% | 30% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| - Semi-governments | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 15% |
| - Corporates | 33% | 32% | 29% | 31% | 30% |
| Investment grade | 28% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 25% |
| Non-investment grade | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 2) 6% |
| Equities | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| - Listed equity | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
| - Private equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Real Assets | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Others | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 42.3 | 40.5 | 42.7 | 48.2 | 49.3 |
Asset allocation Ordinary income split
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 1,390.0 m. (EUR 1,429.9 m.) as at 30 June 2020
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 67.0%
3) Before real estate-specific costs. Economic view based on market values as at 30 June 2020
| Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|
| Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| Investments | 14 |
| Outlook 2020 | 17 |
| Appendix | 23 |
| Business group | Key figures | Initial targets for 2020 | 1H/2020 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Group | Return on investment1) | ≥ 2.7% | 2.8% |
| Return on equity2) | ≥ 9.1% | 7.6% | |
| Earnings per share growth (y-o-y) | ≥ 5% | -39.3% | |
| Economic value creation3) | ≥ 6.1% | n.a. | |
| Solvency ratio4) | ≥ 200% | ⁓225% | |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Gross premium growth5) | 3 - 5% | 16.3% |
| Combined ratio6) | ≤ 97% | 102.3% | |
| EBIT margin7) | ≥ 10% | 4.2% | |
| xRoCA8) | ≥ 2% | n.a. | |
| Life & Health R/I | Gross premium growth9) | 3 - 5% | 3.6% |
| Value of New Business (VNB)10) | ≥ EUR 220 m. | n.a. | |
| EBIT growth11) | ≥ 5% | -25.1% | |
| xRoCA8) | ≥ 2% | n.a. |
1) Excl. effects from ModCo derivatives; target per 1.1.2020, valid until April 21 2020 2) After tax; target: 900 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 3) Growth in economic equity + paid dividend; target: 600 bps above 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 4) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements as of 30 June 2020, preliminary 5) On average throughout the R/I cycle at constant f/x rates 6) Incl. large loss budget of EUR 975 m. 7) EBIT/net premium earned 8) Excess return on allocated economic capital 9) Organic growth only; target: annual average growth over a 3-year period, at constant f/x rates 10) Based on Solvency II principles; pre-tax reporting
11) Annual average growth over a 3-year period
• Stable premium at improved pricing
Agricultural Risks: improved market conditions for both primary & R/I led to premium increase
Underwriting year figures at unchanged f/x rates (31 December 2019) 1) Excluding specialty business mentioned separately
Longevity: Potential positive effects from the UK
Ordinary investment income: Decrease mainly from alternative investments and inflation-linked bonds
Listed equities: Marginal investment carries unrealised gains due to entry point during crisis
IFRS / Economic capital: Likely to decline due to an expected decrease in OCI because the negative effect from spread widening may be higher than the benefits from reduced risk-free yields
| Regional | EMEA2 ) |
|
|---|---|---|
| markets | Americas2 ) |
|
| APAC2 ) |
||
| Structured Reinsurance and ILS | ||
| Worldwide | Credit, Surety and Political Risks | |
| markets | Facultative Reinsurance | |
| Aviation and Marine | ||
| Agricultural Risks |
| Reporting categories | Volume |
|---|---|
| Financial solutions | |
| Longevity | |
| Mortality | |
| Morbidity |
| 6 | Appendix | 23 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Outlook 2020 | 17 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q2/2019 | Q2/2020 | Δ | 1H/2019 | 1H/2020 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 5,321 | 6,171 | +16.0% | 11,694 | 13,146 | +12.4% |
| Net premium earned | 4,745 | 5,287 | +11.4% | 9,356 | 10,378 | +10.9% |
| Net underwriting result | (41) | (336) | - | (36) | (467) | - |
| - Incl. funds withheld | (18) | (286) | - | 58 | (330) | -73.2% |
| Net investment income | 467 | 321 | -31.1% | 866 | 793 | -8.4% |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 444 | 271 | -39.0% | 772 | 657 | -14.9% |
| - From funds withheld | 23 | 51 | +118.3% | 94 | 136 | +45.2% |
| Other income and expenses | 66 | 92 | +14.5% | 113 | 177 | +78.8% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 492 | 77 | -84.4% | 942 | 504 | -46.6% |
| Financing costs | (21) | (24) | +10.4% | (42) | (47) | +11.2% |
| Net income before taxes | 471 | 53 | -88.7% | 900 | 456 | -49.3% |
| Taxes | (92) | 43 | -146.4% | (206) | (51) | -75.1% |
| Net income | 379 | 96 | -74.7% | 693 | 405 | -41.6% |
| - Non-controlling interests | 10 | (6) | -157.1% | 31 | 3 | -91.6% |
| Group net income | 369 | 101 | -72.5% | 663 | 402 | -39.3% |
| Retention | 90.9% | 90.4% | 90.6% | 90.8% | ||
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) | 10.4% | 1.5% | 10.1% | 4.9% | ||
| Tax ratio | 19.6% | -80.2% | 22.9% | 11.3% | ||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 3.06 | 0.84 | 5.49 | 3.34 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | 1H/2019 | 1H/2020 | 1H/2019 | 1H/2020 | 1H/2019 | 1H/2020 |
| Gross written premium | 7,847 | 9,174 | 3,847 | 3,972 | 11,694 | 13,146 |
| Change in GWP | - | 16.9% | - | 3.3% | - | 12.4% |
| Net premium earned | 5,964 | 6,869 | 3,392 | 3,509 | 9,356 | 10,378 |
| Net underwriting result | 173 | (186) | (209) | (280) | (36) | (467) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 196 | (161) | (138) | (169) | 58 | (330) |
| Net investment income | 498 | 459 | 365 | 333 | 866 | 793 |
| From assets under own management | 476 | 433 | 295 | 222 | 772 | 657 |
| From funds withheld | 23 | 26 | 71 | 111 | 94 | 136 |
| Other income and expenses | (15) | 18 | 130 | 161 | 113 | 177 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 657 | 290 | 286 | 214 | 942 | 504 |
| Financing costs | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (42) | (47) |
| Net income before taxes | 656 | 289 | 285 | 213 | 900 | 456 |
| Taxes | (195) | (43) | (26) | (24) | (206) | (51) |
| Net income | 461 | 246 | 259 | 189 | 693 | 405 |
| Non-controlling interest | 30 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 3 |
| Group net income | 431 | 245 | 258 | 188 | 663 | 402 |
| Retention | 91.5% | 91.4% | 88.9% | 89.4% | 90.6% | 90.8% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 96.7% | 102.3% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 11.0% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
| Tax ratio | 29.7% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 22.9% | 11.3% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 3.58 | 2.03 | 2.14 | 1.56 | 5.49 | 3.34 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q2/2019 | Q2/2020 | Q2/2019 | Q2/2020 | Q2/2019 | Q2/2020 |
| Gross written premium | 3,453 | 4,188 | 1,868 | 1,983 | 5,321 | 6,171 |
| Change in GWP | - | +21.3% | - | +5.0% | - | +16.0% |
| Net premium earned | 3,034 | 3,531 | 1,711 | 1,756 | 4,745 | 5,287 |
| Net underwriting result | 60 | (183) | (101) | (153) | (41) | (336) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 71 | (168) | (89) | (118) | (18) | (286) |
| Net investment income | 263 | 162 | 203 | 158 | 467 | 321 |
| From assets under own management | 252 | 147 | 191 | 123 | 444 | 271 |
| From funds withheld | 11 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 23 | 51 |
| Other income and expenses | (1) | 6 | 68 | 85 | 66 | 92 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 322 | (15) | 170 | 90 | 492 | 77 |
| Financing costs | (1) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (21) | (24) |
| Net income before taxes | 322 | (15) | 169 | 90 | 471 | 53 |
| Taxes | (100) | 47 | 0 | (11) | (92) | 43 |
| Net income | 222 | 31 | 169 | 79 | 379 | 96 |
| Non-controlling interest | 10 | (6) | 0 | 0 | 10 | (6) |
| Group net income | 212 | 37 | 169 | 78 | 369 | 101 |
| Retention | 90.9% | 90.9% | 91.0% | 89.4% | 90.9% | 90.4% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 97.7% | 104.8% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 10.6% | -0.4% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 1.5% |
| Tax ratio | 31.1% | 306.4% | -0.1% | 12.2 % | 19.6% | -80.2% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.76 | 0.31 | 1.40 | 0.65 | 3.06 | 0.84 |
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -154 | -154 | |
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -309 | -309 |
| +50 bps | -1,245 | -1,184 | |
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -2,414 | -2,295 |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -1,010 | -1,000 |
| High-quality fixed-income book well balanced Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification |
Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAA | 74% | 56% | 1 % |
59% | - | 45% | ||||||
| A A |
12% | 25% | 12% | 20% | - | 15% | ||||||
| A | 8 % |
7 % |
30% | 13% | - | 16% | ||||||
| BBB | 4 % |
1 % |
45% | 7 % |
- | 17% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 2 % | 11% | 12% | 1 % | - | 7 % | </bbb<>
2 % |
11% | 12% | 1 % |
- | 7 % |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 100% | ||||||
| Germany | 19% | 34% | 4 % |
19% | 21% | 17% | ||||||
| UK | 7 % |
2 % |
7 % |
10% | 15% | 7 % |
||||||
| France | 1 % |
1 % |
8 % |
6 % |
0 % |
4 % |
||||||
| GIIPS | 0 % |
1 % |
4 % |
5 % |
0 % |
2 % |
||||||
| Rest of Europe | 3 % |
14% | 15% | 23% | 4 % |
10% | ||||||
| USA | 49% | 12% | 31% | 14% | 12% | 33% | ||||||
| Australia | 4 % |
9 % |
7 % |
11% | 11% | 7 % |
||||||
| Asia | 11% | 13% | 11% | 2 % |
24% | 11% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 5 % |
14% | 14% | 11% | 13% | 10% | ||||||
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 17,462 | 7,291 | 14,072 | 3,029 | 1,535 | 43,388 |
IFRS figures as at 30 June 2020
| Modified duration | |
|---|---|
| Q2/2020 | 5.8 |
| 2019 | 5.7 |
| 2018 | 4.8 |
| 2017 | 4.8 |
| 2016 | 5.0 |
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-todate, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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