Investor Presentation • Nov 4, 2020
Investor Presentation
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Hannover, 4 November 2020
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook | 17 |
| 6 | Appendix | 22 |
| 2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 3 Life & Health reinsurance Investments 4 Outlook 5 6 Appendix |
2 |
|---|---|
| 6 | |
| 11 | |
| 14 | |
| 17 | |
| 22 |
| Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2019 | Q3/2020 | Q1-3/2019 | Q1-3/2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 3,806 | 4,173 | 11,653 | 13,348 |
| Net premium earned | 3,318 | 3,643 | 9,282 | 10,512 |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(70) | 15 | 125 | (146) |
| Combined ratio incl. interest on funds withheld |
102.1% | 99.6% | 98.6% | 101.4% |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
292 | 234 | 768 | 667 |
| Other income and expenses | 40 | 50 | 26 | 67 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 262 | 299 | 919 | 589 |
| Tax ratio | 8.3% | 35.4% | 23.6% | 25.2% |
| Group net income | 209 | 173 | 640 | 418 |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.73 | 1.44 | 5.31 | 3.47 |
| Bushfire, Australia | 1 - 31 Jan | 29.2 | 28.9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Earthquake, Puerto Rico | 6 - 7 Jan | 17.5 | 14.5 |
| Hail, Australia | 15 - 21 Jan | 12.6 | 7.3 |
| Hail / Storm, Australia | 19 - 20 Jan | 25.2 | 17.4 |
| Storm / Flood, Australia | 4 - 13 Feb | 21.5 | 13.8 |
| Storm "Sabine", Europe | 9 - 11 Feb | 26.5 | 20.2 |
| Tornados, USA | 2 - 5 Mar | 50.8 | 40.0 |
| Hail / Storm, Australia | 19 - 20 Apr | 13.3 | 9.4 |
| Floods, China | 22 May - 22 Jul | 29.0 | 29.0 |
| Hail / Storm, Canada | 13 - 14 Jun | 35.2 | 20.9 |
| Floods, Japan | 3 - 6 Jul | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| Hail / Storm, USA | 6 - 12 Aug | 116.7 | 83.9 |
| California wildfire, USA | 16 Aug - 18 Sep | 11.1 | 7.9 |
| Hurricane "Laura", USA | 26 - 29 Aug | 92.9 | 64.4 |
| 14 Natural catastrophes | 492.4 | 367.4 | |
| 2 Property losses | 84.4 | 81.6 | |
| 2 Man-made losses | 84.4 | 81.6 | |
| 16 Major losses | 576.8 | 449.0 | |
| Covid-19-related losses | 872.8 | 700.3 | |
| Total | 1,449.6 | 1,149.3 |
1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross Large loss budget 2020: EUR 975 m. thereof EUR 200 m. man-made and EUR 775 m. NatCat
1) All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook | 17 |
| 6 | Appendix | 22 |
Strong contribution from Financial Solutions; Investment income supported by one-off
| Life & Health R/I in m. EUR | Q3/2019 | Q3/2020 | Q1-3/2019 | Q1-3/2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 1,894 | 1,975 | 5,740 | 5,947 |
| Net premium earned | 1,717 | 1,751 | 5,109 | 5,259 |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld |
(20) | (124) | (159) | (293) |
| Net investment income from assets under own management |
119 | 129 | 414 | 352 |
| Other income and expenses | 93 | 96 | 222 | 257 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 192 | 101 | 478 | 315 |
| EBIT margin | 11.2% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Tax ratio | 23.8% | (7.1%) | 15.1% | 5.3% |
| Group net income | 145 | 108 | 403 | 297 |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.20 | 0.90 | 3.34 | 2.46 |
1) Focus on most important deals and opportunities
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook | 17 |
| in m. EUR | Q3/2019 | Q3/2020 | Q1-3/2019 | Q1-3/2020 | RoI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ordinary investment income1) | 349 | 370 | 1,051 | 984 | 2.7% |
| Realised gains/losses | 72 | 52 | 200 | 192 | 0.5% |
| Impairments/appreciations & depreciations | (12) | (16) | (53) | (102) | -0.3% |
| Change in fair value of financial instruments (through P&L) |
33 | (9) | 77 | 41 | 0.1% |
| Investment expenses | (30) | (33) | (90) | (95) | -0.3% |
| NII from assets under own management | 412 | 364 | 1,184 | 1,021 | 2.8% |
| NII from funds withheld | 54 | 28 | 148 | 164 | |
| Total net investment income | 466 | 392 | 1,332 | 1,185 | |
| Unrealised gains/losses of investments | 31 Dec 19 | 30 Sep 20 | |||
| On-balance sheet | 1,789 | 2,686 | |||
| thereof Fixed income AFS | 1,356 | 2,208 | |||
| Off-balance sheet | 524 | 539 | |||
| thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R | 233 | 222 | |||
| Total | 2,314 | 3,225 |
1) Incl. results from associated companies
• Decreasing ordinary income mainly due to inflation linkers within fixedincome securities as well as lower returns from private equity and opportunistic real estate funds; rather stable results from direct real estates; positive one-off effect from at-equity consolidation of Life & Health participations
YTD
Credit profile slightly more defensive; modest re-entry into listed equities in Q1
| Investment category | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | Q3/2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed-income securities | 87% | 87% | 87% | 87% | 86% |
| - Governments | 28% | 30% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| - Semi-governments | 18% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 15% |
| - Corporates | 33% | 32% | 29% | 31% | 29% |
| Investment grade | 28% | 27% | 25% | 26% | 25% |
| Non-investment grade | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| - Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 2) 6% |
| Equities | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% |
| - Listed equity | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% |
| - Private equity | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
| Real Assets | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Others | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Short-term investments & cash | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| Total market values in bn. EUR | 42.3 | 40.5 | 42.7 | 48.2 | 49.5 |
Asset allocation Ordinary income split
1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 1,340.8 m. (EUR 1,429.9 m.) as at 30 September 2020
2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 67.5%
3) Before real estate-specific costs. Economic view based on market values as at 30 September 2020
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 5 | Outlook | 17 |
| 6 | Appendix | 22 |
| • | Gross written premium1) | growth in the upper single-digit percentage range |
|---|---|---|
| • | Return on investment2) 3) | ~ 2.7% |
| • | Group net income2) | > EUR 800 m. |
| • | Ordinary dividend | EUR 4 per share |
• Special dividend depending on emerging business opportunities and corresponding capital requirements
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in Q4/2020 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 226 m.
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
| Regional | EMEA3 ) |
- |
|---|---|---|
| markets | Americas3 ) |
- |
| APAC3 ) |
+/- | |
| Structured Reinsurance and ILS | +/- | |
| Credit, Surety and Political Risks | - | |
| Worldwide markets |
Facultative Reinsurance | + |
| Aviation and Marine | + | |
| Agricultural Risks | - |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
3) All lines of business except those stated separately
| Financial solutions | ++ |
|---|---|
| Longevity | + |
| Mortality | - |
| Morbidity | - |
1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different
2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)
| • | Gross written premium1) | ~ 5% growth |
|---|---|---|
| • | Return on investment2) 3) | ~ 2.4% |
| • | Group net income2) | EUR 1.15 - 1.25 bn. |
| • | Ordinary dividend pay-out ratio4) | 35% - 45% |
• Special dividend additional pay-out if profit target is reached and capitalisation is comfortable
1) At unchanged f/x rates
2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2021 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 1,1 bn. and no material Covid-19 impact in L&H
3) Excluding effects from ModCo derivatives
4) Relative to group net income according to IFRS
| 6 | Appendix | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Outlook | 17 |
| 4 | Investments | 14 |
| 3 | Life & Health reinsurance | 11 |
| 2 | Property & Casualty reinsurance | 6 |
| 1 | Group overview | 2 |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 Appendix |
Expected P&C Covid-19 claims in m. EUR Expected L&H Covid-19 claims in m. EUR
| Group figures in m. EUR | Q3/2019 | Q3/2020 | Δ | Q1-3/2019 | Q1-3/2020 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross written premium | 5,699 | 6,149 | +7.9% | 17,393 | 19,295 | +10.9% |
| Net premium earned | 5,036 | 5,394 | +7.1% | 14,391 | 15,772 | +9.6% |
| Net underwriting result | (145) | (137) | -5.7% | (181) | (603) | - |
| - Incl. funds withheld | (91) | (109) | +19.7% | (33) | (439) | - |
| Net investment income | 466 | 392 | -15.9% | 1,332 | 1,185 | -11.0% |
| - From assets under own mgmt. | 412 | 364 | -11.7% | 1,184 | 1,021 | -13.8% |
| - From funds withheld | 54 | 28 | -48.4% | 148 | 164 | +11.0% |
| Other income and expenses | 132 | 144 | +9.3% | 245 | 321 | +31.3% |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 453 | 399 | -11.9% | 1,395 | 903 | -35.3% |
| Financing costs | (21) | (24) | +15.0% | (64) | (72) | +12.5% |
| Net income before taxes | 432 | 375 | -13.2% | 1,332 | 831 | -37.6% |
| Taxes | (59) | (90) | +52.0% | (266) | (142) | -46.6% |
| Net income | 373 | 285 | -23.6% | 1,066 | 690 | -35.3% |
| - Non-controlling interests | 32 | 19 | -40.1% | 63 | 22 | -65.5% |
| Group net income | 341 | 265 | -22.1% | 1,003 | 668 | -33.4% |
| Retention | 90.2% | 88.6% | 90.5% | 90.1% | ||
| EBIT margin (EBIT/Net premium earned) | 101.8% | 102.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | ||
| Tax ratio | 9.0% | 7.4% | 20.0% | 17.1% | ||
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 2.82 | 2.20 | 8.32 | 5.54 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q1-3/2019 | Q1-3/2020 | Q1-3/2019 | Q1-3/2020 | Q1-3/2019 | Q1-3/2020 |
| Gross written premium | 11,653 | 13,348 | 5,740 | 5,947 | 17,393 | 19,295 |
| Change in GWP | - | +14.5% | - | +3.6% | - | +10.9% |
| Net premium earned | 9,282 | 10,512 | 5,109 | 5,259 | 14,391 | 15,772 |
| Net underwriting result | 92 | (187) | (272) | (416) | (181) | (603) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | 125 | (146) | (159) | (293) | (33) | (439) |
| Net investment income | 802 | 708 | 528 | 475 | 1,332 | 1,185 |
| From assets under own management | 768 | 667 | 414 | 352 | 1,184 | 1,021 |
| From funds withheld | 34 | 41 | 114 | 123 | 148 | 164 |
| Other income and expenses | 26 | 67 | 222 | 257 | 245 | 321 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 919 | 589 | 478 | 315 | 1,395 | 903 |
| Financing costs | (2) | (2) | (1) | (1) | (64) | (72) |
| Net income before taxes | 917 | 587 | 477 | 314 | 1,332 | 831 |
| Taxes | (216) | (148) | (72) | (17) | (266) | (142) |
| Net income | 701 | 439 | 405 | 298 | 1,066 | 690 |
| Non-controlling interest | 61 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 63 | 22 |
| Group net income | 640 | 418 | 403 | 297 | 1,003 | 668 |
| Retention | 90.8% | 90.3% | 89.9% | 89.5% | 90.5% | 90.1% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 98.6% | 101.4% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 9.9% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% |
| Tax ratio | 23.6% | 25.2% | 15.1% | 5.3% | 20.0% | 17.1% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 5.31 | 3.47 | 3.34 | 2.46 | 8.32 | 5.54 |
| Property & Casualty R/I | Life & Health R/I | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| in m. EUR | Q3/2019 | Q3/2020 | Q3/2019 | Q3/2020 | Q3/2019 | Q3/2020 |
| Gross written premium | 3,806 | 4,173 | 1,894 | 1,975 | 5,699 | 6,149 |
| Change in GWP | - | +9.7% | - | +4.3% | - | +7.9% |
| Net premium earned | 3,318 | 3,643 | 1,717 | 1,751 | 5,036 | 5,394 |
| Net underwriting result | (81) | (1) | (63) | (136) | (145) | (137) |
| Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld | (70) | 15 | (20) | (124) | (91) | (109) |
| Net investment income | 303 | 250 | 162 | 142 | 466 | 392 |
| From assets under own management | 292 | 234 | 119 | 129 | 412 | 364 |
| From funds withheld | 11 | 16 | 43 | 12 | 54 | 28 |
| Other income and expenses | 40 | 50 | 93 | 96 | 132 | 144 |
| Operating profit/loss (EBIT) | 262 | 299 | 192 | 101 | 453 | 399 |
| Financing costs | (1) | (1) | 0 | 0 | (21) | (24) |
| Net income before taxes | 262 | 298 | 191 | 101 | 432 | 375 |
| Taxes | (22) | (105) | (45) | 7 | (59) | (90) |
| Net income | 240 | 193 | 146 | 108 | 373 | 285 |
| Non-controlling interest | 31 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 32 | 19 |
| Group net income | 209 | 173 | 145 | 108 | 341 | 265 |
| Retention | 89.4% | 88.0% | 91.8% | 89.9% | 90.2% | 88.6% |
| Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) | 102.1% | 99.6% | - | - | - | - |
| EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.2 % | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% |
| Tax ratio | 8.3% | 35.4% | 23.8% | (7.1 %) | 13.8% | 24.1% |
| Earnings per share (in EUR) | 1.73 | 1.44 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 2.82 | 2.20 |
| Portfolio | Scenario | Change in market value in m. EUR |
Change in OCI before tax in m. EUR |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10% | -160 | -160 | ||
| Equity (listed and private equity) | -20% | -321 | -321 | |
| +50 bps | -1,235 | -1,177 | ||
| Fixed-income securities | +100 bps | -2,396 | -2,283 | |
| Credit spreads | +50% | -845 | -839 |
As at 30 September 2020
| High-quality fixed-income book well balanced Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification |
||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governments | Semi governments |
Corporates | Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS |
Short-term investments, cash |
Total | |||||||
| AAA | 74% | 61% | 1 % |
60% | - | 47% | ||||||
| A A |
12% | 22% | 13% | 19% | - | 14% | ||||||
| A | 9 % |
7 % |
32% | 13% | - | 16% | ||||||
| BBB | 4 % |
1 % |
44% | 7 % |
- | 17% | ||||||
| <bbb< td=""> | 2 % | 9 % | 11% | 1 % | - | 6 % | </bbb<>
2 % |
9 % |
11% | 1 % |
- | 6 % |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | 100% | ||||||
| Germany | 20% | 34% | 4 % |
19% | 16% | 17% | ||||||
| UK | 7 % |
2 % |
7 % |
10% | 14% | 7 % |
||||||
| France | 1 % |
1 % |
7 % |
6 % |
0 % |
3 % |
||||||
| GIIPS | 0 % |
1 % |
4 % |
5 % |
0 % |
2 % |
||||||
| Rest of Europe | 3 % |
15% | 15% | 25% | 3 % |
10% | ||||||
| USA | 47% | 13% | 31% | 14% | 17% | 33% | ||||||
| Australia | 5 % |
9 % |
7 % |
10% | 9 % |
7 % |
||||||
| Asia | 12% | 11% | 11% | 2 % |
30% | 12% | ||||||
| Rest of World | 4 % |
15% | 14% | 11% | 11% | 10% | ||||||
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||||||
| Total b/s values in m. EUR | 17,573 | 7,451 | 13,690 | 3,033 | 1,783 | 43,529 |
IFRS figures as at 30 September 2020
| Modified duration | |
|---|---|
| Q3/2020 | 5.8 |
| 2019 | 5.7 |
| 2018 | 4.8 |
| 2017 | 4.8 |
| 2016 | 5.0 |
This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.
While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-todate, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.
Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.
This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.
© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.
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