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Instone Real Estate Group AG

Investor Presentation Nov 26, 2020

226_ip_2020-11-26_0256787a-1d43-4492-8316-41bebed56a38.pdf

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Q3 2020 Results Presentation

Highlights

Portfolio Update

Q3 Financial Performance

Outlook

Appendix

Highlights

Highlights

Continued strong demand despite resurgence of pandemic; institutional deals in Q4 expected


Sales ratio fully recovered to pre-COVID levels; at this point no meaningful impact
from renewed lockdown
Operational
Three to four
institutional deals signed or close to signing in Q4
Highlights
Acquisitions: five new projects approved since June, incl. valuehome
(aggregate GDV of c.€600m*)

Construction starts since beginning of Q3 (four projects; sales volume €225m)

Q3 2020 results in line; High gross margin persists


Adjusted revenues: €291.3m (9M 2019: €302.4m, -3.7%)
9M 2020
Adjusted gross profit margin: 32.3% (9M 2019: 32.7%)
Results
Adjusted EBIT: €50.0m (9M 2019: €56.7m; -11.8%)

Adjusted earnings after tax (EAT): €24.9m (9M 2019: €43.4m; -42.6%)

Financial targets for 2020 & 2021 reiterated


2020 forecast:
Adjusted revenues and adjusted EAT target of €470m-€500m and €30m-€35m
Outlook
2021 forecast: Adjusted revenues of €900m-€1.0bn; adjusted EAT of at least €90m

Target payout-ratio: 30% of net profit (starting for FY 2020)

Corona Virus – Operating Update

No impact from resurgence of crisis so far

Key topics Instone position
1 Sales
Institutional: constructive ongoing discussions in line with expectations

Retail: volumes at pre-COVID levels, selling prices in-line with budget
2 Construction
Construction progress according to plan on all our sites; no major impact from limited number of
infections so far

Easing cost pressure due to less severe capacity constraints in construction industry
3 Approvals
Still a differentiated picture depending on the individual situation in the municipalities (e.g. level of
digitisation etc.) but no major delays so far
4 Employees
Headquarter and branch offices: Increased share of Work from Home since October; stricter social
distancing measures implemented

Construction sites: Tight monitoring of social distancing rules and hygienic measures; purchase of
air cleaning systems

Retail sales activities fully recovered to pre-COVID levels

  • Continued normalised retail sales ratio; no visible impact to date from "lockdown light" (November 2nd)
  • Emerging trend of multi-unit private buy-to-let investments from high net worth investors
  • Strong backlog of reservations and notarization appointments

German residential prices: stable upward trend continues - winner of the crisis

Recent data points/surveys show residential prices continue to move up

IMX (immoscout): Prices for new built condos up +1.4% in Q3 (qoq); +4.8% (yoy)
Hypoport, EPX*: Condo prices +3.8% in Q3 (qoq); +9.0% YTD in Germany
vdp: Condo prices: +2.1% (qoq); +4.8% YTD

Financing markets remain supportive for residential demand

Bundesbank: Mortgage loans for private households in September flat yoy
(€21.8bn)
Interhyp: Interest costs for mortgage loans near all-time low (~0.75% for 10 yrs.)

Portfolio Update

Projects with GDV of c. €600m approved since end of June

In €m 2020 new project approvals Exp. sales 5,846 -278 296 -16 90 5,938 -94 194 6,037 New approvals Changed 09/2020 sales volume 12/2019 Completed Deduction projects New approvals Completed 11/2020 projects

Project portfolio development, ytd (GDV)

volume
(€m)
Exp. units
Heusenstamm
(near
Frankfurt)
149 341
Halle 38 151
Subtotal as of
06/20
187 492
Hannover,
Buentekamp
III
50 72
Nuremberg,
Boxdorf
59 125
Rhine/Main 194 480
Berlin* 222 531
Rhine/Main* 72 177

9 | 26.11.2020 | Q3-2020 *Including relevant share of at-equity consolidated JV's, which are not included in portfolio development bridge

Significant share of pre-sold units support future cash flow and earnings visibility

  • 53 projects / 13,374 units
  • 88% in metropolitan regions
  • ~80 sqm / unit
  • ~€5,450 ASP / sqm

  • €2.4bn GDV pre-construction or under construction

  • €1.4bn GDV under construction
  • €2.1bn of portfolio already sold (89% of pre-construction and under construction)
  • €1.2bn of currently under construction portfolio is sold (85%)

Q3 Financial Performance

Adjusted Results of Operations

9M sales affected by COVID-19 effects – Recovery well underway

€m Q3 2020 Q3 2019 Change 9M 2020 9M 2019 Change
Revenues 111.7 128.2 -12.9% 291.3 302.4 -3.7%
Project
cost
-75.4 -87.8 -14.1% -197.2 -203.5 -3.1%
Gross
profit
36.3 40.4 -10.1% 94.1 98.9 -4.9%
Gross
Margin
32.5% 31.5% 32.3% 32.7%
Platform
cost
-14.9 -16.0 -6.9% -44.8 -42.2 6.2%
Share of
results
of
joint
ventures
0.4 0.4 0.7 0.0
EBIT 21.8 24.8 -12.1% 50.0 56.7 -11.8%
EBIT Margin 19.5% 19.3% 17.2% 18.8%
Financial
and
other
result
-6.0 -5.1 -15.5 -10.6
EBT 15.7 19.6 -19.9% 34.4 46.1 -25.4%
EBT Margin 14.1% 15.3% 11.8% 15.2%
Taxes -4.7 -1.3 -9.6 -2.7
Tax
rate
29.9% 6.6% 27.9% 5.9%
EAT 11.2 18.3 -38.8% 24.9 43.4 -42.6%
EAT Margin 10.0% 14.3% 8.5% 14.4%
  • Q2+Q3 revenues affected by reduced sales speed and postponed marketing launches
  • Sustained very high gross margins underscores resilient pricing environment as well as quality of product pipeline
  • Moderately rising 9M platform costs reflect investments into future growth (incl. valuehome)
  • Increased interest expenses due to 2019 land acquisitions and related increase in debt
  • Normalisation of tax rate: Low FY 2019 taxes due to one-time effect

High visibility for FY 2020 sales and revenues targets

Revenue recognition – expected development in Q4 2020

  • Q4 expected sales and revenues in line with targets
  • Retail demand remains strong
  • Expect institutional sales related to three to four projects to be completed in Q4

Strong balance sheet a competitive edge in current markets

€m 30/09/2020 31/12/2019
Corporate debt 215.3 180.8
Project debt 332.8 414.7
Financial debt 548.1 595.5
Cash and cash equivalents and term
deposits
-241.5 -117.1
Net financial debt 306.6 478.4
Inventories and Contract asset 951.2 951.1
LTC** 32.2% 50.3%
Adjusted EBIT (LTM)*** 122.9 129.6
Adjusted EBITDA (LTM)*** 127.0 133.7
Net financial debt / adjusted EBITDA 2.4 3.6

14 | 26.11.2020 | Q3-2020

  • 9M LTC of 32.2% implies low financial gearing
  • Reminder: inventories are recorded at historical costs
  • Significant hidden reserves provide additional downside cushion
  • Low 9M net debt/adjusted EBITDA of just 2.4x despite temporary decline in profitability
  • €1.6bn-€1.7bn mid term revenues target fully funded with the recent capital raise
  • INS's financial strength a competitive edge for acquisitions in current environment

**Loan-to-Cost: Net financial debt/ (Inventories + Contract assets)

***LTM: Last twelve months. Adj. EBIT/EBITDA for FY 2019 has been restated to align the adj. EBIT/EBITDA calculation to the changed definition used from January 1, 2020 onwards.

Expect positive operating cash flow for FY 2020 including new land investments

Cash Flow (€m) 9M
2020
9M
2019
EBITDA adj. 53.0 59.7
Other non-cash items -5.5 -14.0
Taxes paid -13.3 -10.2
Change
in working capital
-7.8 -67.5
Operating
cash flow
26.4 -32.0
Land plot acquisition payments (incl.
RETT*)
72.2 100.8
Operating cash flow excl.
investments
98.6 68.8
  • 9M operating cash flow remains positive prior to new land investment
  • Existing projects are fully self-funding
  • Expect significant positive operating cash flow (including new land investments) for FY 2020
  • Substantial milestone payments from presold institutional projects in Q4
  • Full recovery of retail sales
Liquidity
(€m)
Total t/o
drawn
t/o
available
Corporate debt
Promissory
notes
206.0 206.0 0.0
Revolving
Credit
Facilites
119.0 10.0 109.0
Total 325.0 216.0 109.0
Cash and
cash equivalents
and
term
deposits
241.5
Total corporate
funds
available
350.5
Project debt
Project finance** 458.7 334.6 124.1
  • Strong liquidity position further improved through equity raise
  • Acquisitions expected to continue at elevated levels

Intrinsic pipeline value suggests fundamental upside

Additional upside from deployment of funds from capital increase

NAV (€m) as of 30/09/2020 ACTUAL
Expected selling prices of project pipeline
(GDV)
5,938
Payments
received
-750
Expected
project
costs
-3,389
Net debt -307
Net Asset Value 1,492
Number of shares
(m)
47.0
Net Asset Value per share (€) 31.75
  • Payments received reflect project related income received to date from pre-sale of pipeline, rental income and ordinary course sale of land plots
  • Expected project costs include future expected payouts required to complete INS project pipeline

Outlook

Guidance confirmed, strong structural growth ahead

€m Outlook 2020 Outlook 2021
Revenues (adjusted) 470-500 900-1,000
Gross profit margin
(adjusted)
>28% n/a
EAT (adjusted) 30-35 >90
Volume
of concluded
Sales contracts
>450 n/a

Planned payout ratio of 30% of adjusted EAT

18 | 26.11.2020 | Q3-2020

FY 2020 a transitional year due to severe temporary effects from the COVID-19 pandemic

* % figures as of 30 September 2020; referring to midpoint of guidance

Appendix

Income statement (reported)

  • Cost of materials including land price payments and corresponding ancillary costs of around €60.8m for previously secured projects.
  • lncrease in staff costs reflects the increase in FTEs to 333.7 (9M-2019: 307.7).

The increase of finance costs is related to the increase in gross debt due to investments in new land acquisition.

In 9M-2019 tax rate was positively influenced by a special effect associated with the first-time recognition of loss carry forwards.

Condensed balance sheet

€m 30/09/2020 31/12/2019
Non-current assets 18.9 20.4
Inventories 805.4 732.1
Contract assets 145.8 219.0
Other receivables 143.5 34.7
Cash and cash equivalents 141.5 117.1
Current assets 1,236.2 1,102.9
Total assets 1,255.1 1,123.4
Total equity 508.4 310.2
Financial liabilities 297.7 451.6
Other provisions and liabilities 26.2 26.6
Deferred tax liabilities 14.3 12.0
Non-current liabilities 338.2 490.2
Financial liabilities 250.4 143.9
Trade payables 79.0 87.6
Other provisions and liabilities 79.1 91.5
Current liabilities 408.5 323.0
Total equity and liabilities 1,255.1 1,123.4

As at 30 September 2020, inventories increased to €805.4m (Q4 2019: €732.1m) due to construction progress as well as land acquisitions of €60.8m.

  • Equity increased due to the capital increase by issuing 10 million new shares with net proceeds of round €175m.
  • Non-current financial liabilities fell to €297.7m as of Q3 2020 (Q4 2019: €451.6m). Current financial liabilities increased to €250.4m (Q4 2019: €143.9m). In Q3 corporate financing €75.0m was repaid with the proceeds from a new promissory note loan of €100m at better terms.
  • Trade payables decreased to €79.0m (Q4 2019: €87.6m) and essentially comprise the services provided by contractors.

Well balanced financing structure at attractive terms

Maturity profile as of 30/09/2020

Secured/unsecured* as of 30/09/2020

Weighted average corporate debt maturity 3.1 years
Weighted average corporate interest
costs
3.12%
Share of total debt with floating interest 82.1%

*Based on total available credit lines (drawn and undrawn)

Project Portfolio Key Figures

€m Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019
Volume of
sales
contracts
94.9 54.1* 69.4 1,088.2 183.1 69.0 62.8
Project Portfolio (as of) 5,937.5 5,701.3 5,744.4 5,845.7 5,384.1 5,091.7 4,790.2
thereof already sold (as of) 2,108.6 2,017.1 2,189.0 2,174.0 1,261.1 1,128.7 1,061.1
Units Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019
Volume of
sales
contracts
128 347* 109 2,063 380 120 170
Project Portfolio (as
of)
13,374 13,075 12,952 13,715 12,233 11,628 11,041
thereof already sold (as of) 4,770 4,648 4,799 4,814 2,944 2,684 2,564

(Unless otherwise stated, the figures are quarterly values)

*Of which €24.3m (303 units) from updated business plan of already sold project Westville.

9M 2020 – Concluded Sales Contracts (Top Projects)

Project City Units €m
St. Marienkrankenhaus Frankfurt a. M. 28 32.5
Schulterblatt "Amanda" Hamburg 41 29.1
Westville* Frankfurt a. M. 303 24.3
Schumanns Höhe Bonn 50 19.3
"Carlina
Park", Schopenhauerstraße
Nuremberg 39 19.2
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 37 16.7
Lange Seegewann, Delkenheim Wiesbaden 2 15.9
"Neckar.Au
Viertel"
Rottenburg 40 14.6
"Wohnen
im
Hochfeld",
Unterbach
Dusseldorf 18 12.5
Quartier Stallschreiber
Straße
-
Luisenpark
Berlin 12 10.6
Others 14 23.6
Total 584 218.4

*€24.3m (303 units) from updated business plan

9M 2020 – Revenue Contribution (Top Projects)

Project City Adj. revenues
(€m)
St. Marienkrankenhaus Frankfurt a. M. 43.9
Schumanns Höhe Bonn 30.5
west.side Bonn 28.2
Quartier Stallschreiber Straße -
Luisenpark
Berlin 22.8
Schulterblatt "Amanda" Hamburg 18.7
Westville Frankfurt a. M. 14.8
City-Prag -
Wohnen im Theaterviertel
Stuttgart 13.7
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 12.8
Franklin Mannheim 12.3
S'LEDERER Schorndorf 9.6
Others 84.1
Total 291.3

9M 2020 Construction Launches

Project City Start in Exp. Sales
Volume (€m)
Units
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg Q2 ~ 93 ~ 165
Schorndorf,
S'LEDERER
Schorndorf Q2 ~ 87 ~ 230
"Niederkasseler
Lohweg"
Dusseldorf Q3 ~ 80 ~ 220
"Neckar.AU Viertel"
(section 1)
Rottenburg Q3 ~ 24 ~ 65
"Carlina
Park"
Nuremberg Q3 ~ 67 ~ 100
"west.side" (section 3) Bonn Q3 ~ 54 ~ 140
Total ~ 405 ~ 920

Sales Offer as of Q3 2020 (Top Projects, condominium sales)

Project City Sales
volume
(€m)
Units Already
sold
in %
St. Marienkrankenhaus Frankfurt a. M. 51.9 41 73%
"Carlina
Park", Schopenhauerstr. 10
Nuremberg 47.9 63 29%
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg 38.1 47 57%
Scholle
1, D-Unterbach
Dusseldorf 24.4 43 33%
Marina Bricks Regensburg 11.9 14 60%
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 9.7 17 80%
"Neckar.Au
Viertel"
Rottenburg 9.5 26 61%
Quartier Stallschreiber Straße -
Luisenpark
Berlin 7.8 7 94%
Schumanns Höhe
BF 3
Bonn 0.9 1 98%
Total 202.0 259

Project Portfolio as of Q3 2020

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €5.9bn)

Project Location Sales
volume
(expected)
Land
plot
acquired
Building
right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Hamburg
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg
95
Mio
Kösliner
Weg
Norderstedt-Garstedt 85
Mio
Sportplatz
Bult
Hannover
120
Mio
Rothenburgsort Hamburg 198
Mio
Büntekamp Hannover 143

Mio
Berlin
Quartier
Stallschreiber
Straße
/
Luisenpark
Berlin
236
Mio
Wendenschlossstr Berlin 135
Mio
Rote
Kaserne
West
Potsdam
59
Mio
NRW
Sebastiansraße
/
Schumanns
Höhe
Bonn 70
Mio
Niederkasseler
Lohweg
Düsseldorf N/A
Unterbach
/
Wohnen
am Hochfeld
Düsseldorf
172
Mio
Literaturquartier Essen 68
Mio
REME Mönchengladbach
105
Mio
west.side Bonn 187
Mio
Gartenstadtquartier Dortmund
103
Mio

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Project Portfolio as of Q3 2020

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €5.9bn)

Project Location Sales
volume
(expected)
Land
plot
acquired
Building
right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Rhine-Main
Wiesbaden-Delkenheim
Lange
Seegewann
,
Wiesbaden 100
Mio
Siemens-Areal Frankfurt 554
Mio
St
Marienkrankenhaus
Frankfurt
am Main
211
Mio
Friedberger
Landstraße
Frankfurt
am Main
324
Mio
Elisabethenareal
Frankfurt
Frankfurt
am Main
30
Mio
Steinbacher
Hohl
Frankfurt
am Main
53
Mio
Gallus Frankfurt
am Main
41
Mio
Westville Frankfurt
am Main
N/A
Aukamm Wiesbaden 147
Mio
Heusenstamm Heusenstamm 153
Mio
Leipzig
Semmelweisstraße Leipzig 110
Mio
Parkresidenz Leipzig
250
Mio
Rosa-Luxemburg-Straße Leipzig 111
Mio
Heide
Süd
Halle
38
Mio

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Project Portfolio as of Q3 2020

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €5.9bn)

Project Location Sales volume
(expected)
Land plot
acquired
Building right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Baden-Wurttemberg
City-Prag - Wohnen im Theaterviertel Stuttgart 126 Mio. €
Franklin Mannheim 69 Mio. €
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 49 Mio. €
S`LEDERER Schorndorf N/A
Neckartalterrassen Rottenburg 149 Mio. €
Schäferlinde Herrenberg 56 Mio. €
Bavaria South
Ottobrunner Straße München 84 Mio. €
Beethovenpark Augsburg 58 Mio. €
Römerhügel Augsburg 51 Mio. €
Bavaria North
Schopenhauerstraße Nürnberg 67 Mio. €
Stephanstraße Nürnberg 66 Mio. €
Seetor Nürnberg 112 Mio. €
Eslarner Straße Nürnberg 50 Mio. €
Lagarde Bamberg 80 Mio. €
Boxdorf Nürnberg 59 Mio. €
Marina Bricks Regensburg 30 Mio. €

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Instone Share

Basic data Shareholder structure (October 2020)

ISIN:
DE000A2NBX80

Ticker symbol:
INS

No of shares:
46,988,336

Index:
SDAX

Market cap* :
€1,003.2m

Average daily trading
volume:
€1.4m

Free float:
100%

Indices:
SDAX

Market segment:
Prime Standard,
Frankfurt
Others: 58.64%

* Based on closing price on 20/11/2020 at €21.35

Financial Calendar

2020

November 26 Quarterly
Statement for the first nine months of 2020
November 27 Virtual Roadshow, Switzerland and Scandinavia
(Mainfirst)
November 30 Virtual Roadshow, UK (Deutsche Bank)
December 01 Virtual Roadshow, US (Jefferies)
December 02 Virtual Roadshow, Benelux (Kempen
& Co)
December 03 Virtual Roadshow, Germany (MM Warburg)
December 09 HSBC Virtual
Real Estate Seminar

2021

January 07 ODDO BHF Forum
January 18 UniCredit
Kepler Cheuvreux
German
Corporate Conference
February 24 Publication
of preliminary figures for the financial year 2020
March 18 Annual Report 2020
March 25 BofA
EMEA Real Estate CEO Virtual
Conference
March 30 Jefferies Pan-European Mid-Cap Virtual Conference
May 20 Quarterly Statement for the first quarter of 2021
June 09 Annual
General Meeting
August 26 Group Interim Report for the first half of 2021
November 18 Quarterly Statement for the first nine months of 2021

Investor Relations Contact

Burkhard Sawazki

Head of Business Development & Communication

T +49 201 45355-137 M +49 173 2606034

[email protected]

Simone Cujai

Senior Investor Relations Manager

T +49 201 45355-428

M +49 162 8035792 [email protected]

Instone Real Estate Group AG

Grugaplatz 2-4, 45131 Essen E-Mail: [email protected] Internet: www.instone.de/en

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