Investor Presentation • Mar 18, 2021
Investor Presentation
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ESG
| Strong demand environment (institutional + retail sales) in Q4 2020 and YTD with positive HPI growth momentum |
|
|---|---|
| Construction: running according to plan, no tangible impact from pandemic (nine construction starts in FY 2020) |
|
| Operational | Approvals: short term risk factor in current environment (reflected in updated FY 2021 revenue guidance) |
| Highlights | Acquisitions: seven projects incl. valuehome (GDV of c.€800m*) support future growth; several deals currently in exclusive negotiation |
| ESG: Strong commitment with aim of achieving CO2 neutrality in 2050 |
| Adjusted revenues: €480.1m (FY 2019: €736.7m, -34.8%); strong Q4 2019 due to Westville-project |
|
|---|---|
| FY 2020 | Adjusted gross profit margin: 30.5% (FY 2019: 25.5%) |
| Results | Adjusted earnings after tax (EAT): €41.1m (FY 2019: €105.6m; -61.1%) |
| DPS (proposal): €0.26 per share (inaugural dividend) |
|
| Outlook | Updated 2021 guidance confirmed: Adj. revenues of €820-900m; adj. gross profit margin of 26-27%; adj. EAT of €90-95m; sales volume of at least €900m |
|---|---|
| Target payout-ratio: 30% of net profit reiterated also for 2021 |
COVID-19 impact limited to delays in approval processes
| Key topics | Instone position | |
|---|---|---|
| Sales | • Institutional: strong demand with improving price momentum • Retail: sales speed at pre-COVID levels, prices picking up again in Q4 |
|
| Construction | • Construction progress according to plan on all our sites; no major impact from limited number of infections so far • Easing cost pressure due to less severe capacity constraints in construction industry |
|
| Approvals | • Differentiated picture across municipalities; some pandemic related delays • Most relevant impact from second lock-down |
|
| Employees | • Headquarter and branch offices: Increased share of Work from Home since October; stricter social distancing measures implemented • Construction sites: Tight monitoring of social distancing rules and hygienic measures; purchase of air cleaning systems |
Source: bulwiengesa AG
Recent data points/surveys show residential prices continue to move up
Condo prices in top-8 cities up +9.3% (yoy) in H2 2020
Condo prices in Q4: +2.5% (qoq); +8.4% (yoy)
Condo prices +0.6% in Q4 (qoq), +5.3% (yoy)
Hypoport, EPX*: Condo prices +0.6% in December 2020 (mom); +11.1% (yoy)
Mortgage loans for private households in January 2021 at €21.7bn (Ø 2020: €22.8bn per month)
Average 10year fixed rate mortgage offered: 0.86%
| New project approvals |
Exp. sales volume (€m) |
Exp. units |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | ||
| Heusenstamm (near Frankfurt) |
149 | 341 |
| Halle, Heide South |
38 | 151 |
| Hannover, Buentekamp III |
50 | 72 |
| Nuremberg, Boxdorf |
59 | 125 |
| Rhine/Main, Maintal | 194 | 482 |
| Berlin* | 222 | 531 |
| Rhine/Main* | 76 | 177 |
| 2021 | ||
| Herrenberg, Schwarzwaldstr. (II) | 70 | 161 |
9 | 18.03.2021 | FY-2020 *Including relevant share of at-equity consolidated JV's, which are not included in portfolio development bridge
~€5,480 ASP / sqm
€2.6bn GDV pre-construction or under construction
| €m | Q4 2020 | Q4 2019 | Change | FY 2020 | FY 2019 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenues | 188.8 | 434.3 | -56.5% | 480.1 | 736.7 | -34.8% |
| Project cost |
-136.3 | 345.3 | -56.5% | -333.5 | -548.8 | -39.2% |
| Gross profit |
52.5 | 88.9 | -40.9% | 146.6 | 187.8 | -21.9% |
| Gross Margin |
27.8% | 20.5% | 30.5% | 25.5% | ||
| Platform cost |
-20.7 | -16.8 | 23.2% | -65.5 | -59.0 | 11.0% |
| Share of results of joint ventures |
2.0 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 | ||
| EBIT* | 33.8 | 72.9 | -53.6% | 83.8 | 129.6 | -35.3% |
| EBIT Margin | 17.9% | 16.8% | 17.5% | 17.6% | ||
| Financial and other result |
-8.9 | -11.2 | -24.4 | -21.8 | ||
| EBT | 25.0 | 61.7 | -59.5% | 59.4 | 107.8 | -44.9% |
| EBT Margin | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 14.6% | ||
| Taxes | -8.7 | 0.5 | -18.3 | -2.2 | ||
| Tax rate |
34.8% | -0.8% | 30.8% | 2.0% | ||
| EAT | 16.2 | 62.2 | -74.0% | 41.1 | 105.6 | -61.1% |
| EAT Margin | 8.6% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 14.3% |
| €m | 31/12/2020 | 31/12/2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Corporate debt | 207.2 | 180.8 |
| Project debt | 274.5 | 414.7 |
| Financial debt | 481.7 | 595.5 |
| Cash and cash equivalents and term deposits |
-232.0 | -117.1 |
| Net financial debt | 249.7 | 478.4 |
| Inventories and contract asset | 971.9 | 951.1 |
| LTC** | 25.7% | 50.3% |
| Adjusted EBIT (LTM)*** | 83.8 | 129.6 |
| Adjusted EBITDA (LTM)*** | 87.9 | 133.7 |
| Net financial debt / adjusted EBITDA | 2.8 | 3.6 |
14 | 18.03.2021 | FY-2020
**Loan-to-Cost: Net financial debt/ (Inventories + Contract assets)
***LTM: Last twelve months. Adj. EBIT/EBITDA for FY 2019 has been restated to align the adj. EBIT/EBITDA calculation to the changed definition used from January 1, 2020 onwards.
| Cash Flow (€m) | FY 2020 |
FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| EBITDA adj. | 87.9 | 133.7 |
| Other non-cash items | -3.8 | -38.8 |
| Taxes paid | -11.4 | -22.2 |
| Change in working capital |
47.2 | -277.8 |
| Operating cash flow |
119.9 | -205.1 |
| Land plot acquisition payments (incl. RETT*) |
105.1 | 328.8 |
| Operating cash flow excl. investments |
225.0 | 123.7 |
Operating cash flow pre land investments almost doubled vs. 2019
| Liquidity (€m) | Total | t/o drawn |
t/o available |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate debt | |||
| Promissory notes | 206.0 | 206.0 | 0.0 |
| Revolving Credit Facilities | 119.0 | 0.0 | 119.0 |
| Total | 325.0 | 206.0 | 119.0 |
| Cash and cash equivalents and term deposits |
232.0 | ||
| Total corporate funds available |
351.0 | ||
| Project debt | |||
| Project finance** | 439.6 | 275.9 | 163.7 |
Ample of financial headroom for future growth
Acquisitions expected to continue at elevated levels
Additional upside from continuous deployment of proceeds from capital increase
| INSTON |
|---|
| REA |
| ESTATE |
| Prospective NAV (€m) as of 31/12/2020 | ACTUAL |
|---|---|
| Expected selling prices of project pipeline (GDV) |
6,054 |
| Payments received | -942 |
| Expected project costs | -3,368 |
| Net debt | -250 |
| Expected proceeds from "at-equity" projects |
71 |
| Prospective Net Asset Value |
1,566 |
| Number of shares (m) |
47.0 |
| Prospective Net Asset Value per share (€) |
33.32 |
| €m | Outlook 2021 |
|---|---|
| Revenues (adjusted) | 820-900 |
| Gross profit margin (adjusted) | 26-27% |
| EAT (adjusted) | 90-95 |
| Volume of concluded Sales contracts |
>900 |
Dividend: Target payout ratio of 30% of adjusted EAT also for 2021
2021 2022 ... Mid-term
1,600-1,700
Thereof from projects with building right*: Thereof from existing projects*: Revenues secured 88% 100% 48%
through pre-sales*:
| Major KPIs | Achievements 2020 | Targets | |
|---|---|---|---|
| E | CO2 reduction as overall objective |
11 kgCO2 /sqm | -50% (2030) climate neutrality (2050) |
| Share of projects with renewable energy supply | ~13% | at least 40% (2030) | |
| Share of building with high energy efficiency standards |
KfW55: ~65% | KfW40 (or equivalent energy efficiency): 100% (2030) | |
| Charging stations for EVs | ~330 (ca. 2.5%) | continuous increase in consultation with local municipalities and regional electricity suppliers |
|
| Shares of affordable housing | 17% subsidized apartments |
at least 50% share of affordable housing (incl. valuehome) by 2030 |
|
| Diversity (share of female employees in management positions) |
25% (1st)* 22% (2nd) |
at least stable | |
| S | Employee satisfaction (semi-annual analysis) |
75% | 75% or more |
| Instone Code of Conduct for employees and contractors (compliance with UN Charter) |
100% | 100% | |
| Number of places at kindergartens/schools | 1,690/1,300 | ||
| Employee compliance and data protection trainings |
96% | 100% | |
| Compliance cases (suspected) |
2 | 0 | |
| G | Independent supervisory board |
100% | 100% |
| Customer satisfaction analysis |
N/A | 2021 | |
| Integration of ESG targets into management compensation scheme |
N/A | Latest 2022 |
* below C-level
| €m | FY 2020 | FY 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Total revenues | 464.4 | 509.5 |
| Changes in inventories | 45.0 | 277.3 |
| 509.4 | 786.8 | |
| Other operating income | 5.8 | 7.7 |
| Cost of materials | -362.2 | -634.0 |
| Staff costs | -42.1 | -37.3 |
| Other operating expenses | -26.1 | -33.0 |
| Depreciation and amortization | -4.1 | -4.1 |
| Earnings from operative activities |
80.7 | 86.1 |
| Income from associated affiliates | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Other net income from investments | -1.2 | -5.7 |
| Finance income | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Finance costs | -26.3 | -19.1 |
| Changes of securities classified as financial assets |
-0.3 | 0.2 |
| EBT | 55.9 | 63.2 |
| Income taxes | -22.2 | 6.5 |
| EAT | 33.7 | 69.8 |
lncrease in staff costs reflects the increase in FTEs to 342.5 at the year-end 2020 (31 Dec 2019: 307.7).
The increase in finance costs is related to the increase in gross debt due to investments in new land acquisition.
| €m | 31/12/2020 | 31/12/2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Non-current assets | 52.9 | 20.4 |
| Inventories | 777.8 | 732.1 |
| Contract assets | 194.2 | 219.0 |
| Other receivables | 171.3 | 34.7 |
| Cash and cash equivalents | 87.0 | 117.1 |
| Current assets | 1,230.2 | 1,102.9 |
| Total assets | 1,283.1 | 1,123.4 |
| Total equity | 521.0 | 310.2 |
| Financial liabilities | 313.7 | 451.6 |
| Other provisions and liabilities | 32.7 | 26.6 |
| Deferred tax liabilities | 22.9 | 12.0 |
| Non-current liabilities | 369.3 | 490.2 |
| Financial liabilities | 168.0 | 143.9 |
| Trade payables | 68.9 | 87.6 |
| Other provisions and liabilities | 155.8 | 91.5 |
| Current liabilities | 392.7 | 323.0 |
| Total equity and liabilities | 1,283.1 | 1,123.4 |
The increase in inventories is mainly due to the purchase of new land. As of Q4, land acquisitions (incl. incidental costs) of €589.0m (2019: €548.9m) are included in inventories.
Equity increased mainly due to the capital increase with net proceeds of c. €175m also due to retained earnings.
Trade payables decreased to €68.9m and essentially comprise the services provided by contractors.
| Secured/unsecured* as of 31/12/2020 | |
|---|---|
| Weighted average corporate debt maturity | 3.3 years |
|---|---|
| Weighted average corporate interest costs |
3.32% |
| Share of corporate debt with floating interest | 27.2% |
| €m | Q4 2020 |
Q3 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q1 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume of sales contracts |
246.0 | 94.9 | 54.1* | 69.4 | 1,088.2 | 183.1 | 69.0 | 62.8 |
| Project Portfolio (as of) | 6,053.6 | 5,937.5 | 5,701.3 | 5,744.4 | 5,845.7 | 5,384.1 | 5,091.7 | 4,790.2 |
| thereof already sold (as of) | 2,328.8 | 2,108.6 | 2,017.1 | 2,189.0 | 2,174.0 | 1,261.1 | 1,128.7 | 1,061.1 |
| Units | Q4 2020 | Q3 2020 | Q2 2020 | Q1 2020 | Q4 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q1 2019 |
| Volume of sales contracts |
708 | 128 | 347* | 109 | 2,063 | 380 | 120 | 170 |
| Project Portfolio (as of) |
13,561 | 13,374 | 13,075 | 12,952 | 13,715 | 12,233 | 11,628 | 11,041 |
| thereof already sold (as of) | 5,381 | 4,770 | 4,648 | 4,799 | 4,814 | 2,944 | 2,684 | 2,564 |
(Unless otherwise stated, the figures are quarterly values)
*Of which €24.3m (303 units) from updated business plan of already sold project Westville.
| Project | City | Units | €m |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanstraße* | Nürnberg | 464 | / |
| St. Marienkrankenhaus | Frankfurt am Main | 47 | 57.9 |
| Schulterblatt "Amanda" | Hamburg | 71 | 53.2 |
| "Wohnen im Hochfeld" Unterbach | Düsseldorf | 99 | 40.7 |
| Delkenheim, Lange Seegewann* | Wiesbaden | / | / |
| "Carlina Park", Schopenhauerstraße |
Nürnberg | 66 | 31.7 |
| Westville** | Frankfurt am Main | 303 | 25.5 |
| Schwarzwaldstraße | Herrenberg | 47 | 21.9 |
| Schumanns Höhe | Bonn | 51 | 20.2 |
| Seetor "City Campus" |
Nürnberg | 34 | 20.0 |
| Project | City | Adj. revenues (€m) |
|---|---|---|
| St. Marienkrankenhaus | Frankfurt/Main | 74.5 |
| west.side | Bonn | 45.3 |
| Schumanns Höhe | Bonn | 36.4 |
| Schulterblatt "Amanda" | Hamburg | 34.9 |
| Quartier Stallschreiber Straße - Luisenpark |
Berlin | 32.9 |
| Westville | Frankfurt/Main | 28.3 |
| City-Prag - Wohnen im Theaterviertel |
Stuttgart | 20.9 |
| Schwarzwaldstraße | Herrenberg | 20.5 |
| Essener Straße | Hamburg | 17.0 |
| "Wohnen im Hochfeld" Unterbach | Düsseldorf | 16.8 |
| Others | 152.6 | |
| Total | 480.1 |
| Project | City | Start in | Exp. Sales Volume (€m) |
Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schulterblatt "Amanda" | Hamburg | Q2 | ~ 94 | ~ 165 |
| Schorndorf, S`LEDERER | Schorndorf | Q2 | ~ 87 | ~ 230 |
| Niederkasseler Lohweg | Düsseldorf | Q3 | ~ 80 | ~ 220 |
| "Neckar.Au Viertel" | Rottenburg | Q3 | ~ 24 | ~ 65 |
| "Carlina Park" | Nuremberg | Q3 | ~ 67 | ~ 100 |
| west.side MW3 | Bonn | Q3 | ~ 54 | ~ 140 |
| "Wohnen im Hochfeld" Unterbach | Düsseldorf | Q4 | ~ 80 | ~ 170 |
| Stephanstraße | Nuremberg | Q4 | / | ~ 465 |
| Seetor "City Campus" | Nuremberg | Q4 | ~ 107 | ~ 200 |
| Total | ~ 593* | ~ 1,755 |
29 | 18.03.2021 | FY-2020 * Excl. Stephanstraße due to confidentiality agreement
| Project | City | Sales volume (€m) |
Units | Already sold in % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seetor "City Campus" - Living |
Nuremberg | 72.2 | 142 | 11% |
| "Carlina Park", Schopenhauerstraße |
Nuremberg | 35.3 | 36 | 48% |
| St. Marienkrankenhaus | Frankfurt/Main | 29.0 | 22 | 85% |
| Fontane Gärten BA 1 | Potsdam | 22.6 | 39 | 26% |
| Seetor "City Campus" - Geschossbau |
Nuremberg | 15.7 | 23 | 41% |
| D-Unterb. Scholle 1 | Düsseldorf | 15.3 | 28 | 58% |
| Schulterblatt "Amanda" | Hamburg | 14.3 | 19 | 84% |
| Marina Bricks | Regensburg | 11.6 | 13 | 62% |
| "Neckar.Au Viertel" | Rottenburg | 5.4 | 15 | 78% |
| Schwarzwaldstraße | Herrenberg | 4.8 | 7 | 90% |
| Quartier Stallschreiber Straße - Luisenpark |
Berlin | 1.4 | 1 | 99% |
| Total | 227.6 | 345 |
| Project | Location | Sales volume (expected) |
Land plot acquired |
Building right obtained |
Sales started |
Construction started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg | ||||||
| Schulterblatt "Amanda" |
Hamburg | € 95 Mio |
||||
| Kösliner Weg |
Norderstedt-Garstedt | 85 Mio € |
||||
| Sportplatz Bult |
Hannover | € 120 Mio |
||||
| Rothenburgsort | Hamburg | 198 Mio € |
||||
| Büntekamp | Hannover | € 143 Mio |
||||
| Berlin | ||||||
| Quartier Stallschreiber Straße / Luisenpark |
Berlin | € 235 Mio |
||||
| Wendenschlossstr | Berlin | 135 Mio € |
||||
| Rote Kaserne West |
Potsdam | € 60 Mio |
||||
| NRW | ||||||
| Sebastiansraße / Schumanns Höhe |
Bonn | 70 Mio € |
||||
| Niederkasseler Lohweg |
Düsseldorf | N/A | ||||
| / am Hochfeld Unterbach Wohnen |
Düsseldorf | 174 Mio € |
||||
| Literaturquartier | Essen | 68 Mio € |
||||
| REME | Mönchengladbach | 105 Mio € |
||||
| west.side | Bonn | 188 Mio € |
||||
| Gartenstadtquartier | Dortmund | € 103 Mio |
Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.
| Project | Location | Sales volume (expected) |
Land plot acquired |
Building right obtained |
Sales started |
Construction started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhine-Main | ||||||
| Seegewann Wiesbaden-Delkenheim, Lange |
Wiesbaden | 106 Mio € |
||||
| Siemens-Areal | Frankfurt | € 555 Mio |
||||
| St . Marienkrankenhaus |
Frankfurt am Main |
213 Mio € |
||||
| Friedberger Landstraße |
Frankfurt am Main |
306 Mio € |
||||
| Elisabethenareal Frankfurt |
Frankfurt am Main |
30 Mio € |
||||
| Steinbacher Hohl |
Frankfurt am Main |
€ 53 Mio |
||||
| Gallus | Frankfurt am Main |
41 Mio € |
||||
| Westville | Frankfurt am Main |
N/A | ||||
| Aukamm | Wiesbaden | 132 Mio € |
||||
| Heusenstamm | Heusenstamm | 155 Mio € |
||||
| Maintal | Maintal | 194 Mio € |
||||
| Leipzig | ||||||
| Semmelweisstraße | Leipzig | 109 Mio € |
||||
| Parkresidenz | Leipzig | 250 Mio € |
||||
| Rosa-Luxemburg-Straße | Leipzig | € 109 Mio |
||||
| Heide Süd |
Halle | 38 Mio € |
||||
| Project | Location | Sales volume (expected) |
Land plot acquired |
Building right obtained |
Sales started |
Construction started |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baden-Wurttemberg | ||||||
| City-Prag - Wohnen im Theaterviertel | Stuttgart | 127 Mio. € | ||||
| Franklin | Mannheim | 69 Mio. € | ||||
| Schwarzwaldstraße | Herrenberg | 49 Mio. € | ||||
| S`LEDERER | Schorndorf | N/A | ||||
| Neckartalterrassen | Rottenburg | 150 Mio. € | ||||
| Schäferlinde | Herrenberg | 56 Mio. € | ||||
| Bavaria South | ||||||
| Ottobrunner Straße | München | 93 Mio. € | ||||
| Beethovenpark | Augsburg | 62 Mio. € | ||||
| Bavaria North | ||||||
| Schopenhauerstraße | Nürnberg | 67 Mio. € | ||||
| Stephanstraße | Nürnberg | N/A | ||||
| Seetor | Nürnberg | 112 Mio. € | ||||
| Eslarner Straße | Nürnberg | 50 Mio. € | ||||
| Lagarde | Bamberg | 80 Mio. € | ||||
| Boxdorf | Nürnberg | 59 Mio. € | ||||
| Marina Bricks | Regensburg | 30 Mio. € |
Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.
34 | 18.3.2021 | FY-2020
17 UN Sustainable Development Goals
minor impact
Low rate of accidents at work
Code of Conduct revised and adapted in function of the UN Declaration of Human Rights and the UN Convention on the Rights of the Child
Monitoring employee satisfaction via surveys and employee turnover ratios
Support of sustainable communal urban land use planning
Dismantling in cooperation with specialist recycling companies
Medium-term objective: CO2 reduction (-50% by 2030, climate neutrality until 2050)
Relocation measures for flora and fauna
Responsible and sustainable resource management
Creating living quarters on former industrial sites
Mix of 221 subsidized and privately financed apartments plus local square, 430 sqm playground and kindergarten
Construction of a two-storey underground car park, incl. underground backwater vessels
Converting old buildings into sustainable game changers
Basic data Shareholder structure (March 2021)
| March | 18 | Annual Report 2020 |
|---|---|---|
| March | 19 | Virtual Roadshow (Credit Suisse), United Kingdom |
| March | 22 | Virtual Roadshow (Stifel), Germany |
| March | 23 | Virtual Roadshow (Kepler Cheuvreux), France |
| March | 24 | Virtual Roadshow (Credit Suisse), Canada |
| March | 25 | BofA EMEA Real Estate CEO Virtual Conference |
| March | 26 | Commerzbank German Real Estate Forum |
| March | 29 | Virtual Roadshow (Stifel), United States |
| March | 30 | Jefferies Pan-European Mid-Cap Virtual Conference |
| May | 05 | Goldman Sachs European Small and Mid Cap Symposium |
| May | 11 | German SMID Cap One-on-One Forum |
| May | 20 | Quarterly Statement for the first quarter of 2021 |
| June | 09 | Annual General Meeting |
| June | 16 | dbAccess Berlin Conference |
| August | 26 | Group Interim Report for the first half of 2021 |
| September | 01 | Stifel 2021 London Cross Sector Insight Conference |
| September | 20 | Berenberg and Goldman Sachs Tenth German Corporate Conference |
| November | 18 | Quarterly Statement for the first nine months of 2021 |
Head of Business Development & Communication
T +49 201 45355-137 M +49 173 2606034
Senior Investor Relations Manager
T +49 201 45355-428 M +49 162 8035792
Grugaplatz 2-4, 45131 Essen E-Mail: [email protected] Internet: www.instone.de/en
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