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Instone Real Estate Group AG

Investor Presentation May 20, 2021

226_ip_2021-05-20_ced8b987-8b2d-448d-a978-03a84597311c.pdf

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Q1 2021 Results Presentation

Disclaimer

Highlights

Portfolio Update

Q1 Financial Performance

Outlook

Appendix

Highlights

Highlights

Good start to the year – first institutional deals signed


Strong demand: First institutional deals signed (albeit quieter Q1 seasonality); positive HPI trend persists
Operational
Acquisitions:
3 projects with (GDV c.€230m)
approved; pipeline with GDV of €1.3bn under exclusive negotiation
Highlights
Construction: running according to plan, jump in commodity/material prices weighs on margin upside

Costs for running construction projects are largely fixed (incl. material costs)

Sustained high gross margins – tailwind from sales mix


Adjusted revenues: €128.1m (Q1 2020: €99.7m, +28.5%)
Q1-2021
Adjusted gross profit margin: 31.6% (Q1 2020: 29.8%)
Results
Adjusted EBIT margin: 20.8% (Q1 2020: 18.1%)

Adjusted earnings after tax (EAT): €16.1m (Q1 2020: €8.7m; +85.1%)

On track for FY 2021 targets – guidance confirmed


Adj. revenues of €820-900m;

Adj. gross profit margin of 26-27%;
Outlook
Adj. EAT of €90-95m;

Target payout-ratio: 30%

Retail sales ratio significantly above long term mean

  • Retail sales ratio significantly above long term mean; no impact from sustained lock-down
  • Positive HPI growth momentum persists
  • Emerging trend of multi-unit private buy-to-let investments from high net worth investors
  • Strong backlog of reservations and notarization appointments

German residential prices: dynamic upward trend continues

Recent data points/surveys show continued dynamic price trend of German resi prices

VDP: Prices for multi-family houses in top 7 cities +4.8% in Q1 (yoy)
Bulwiengesa: Condo prices in top 7 cities up +2.0% in Q1 (qoq); +7.8% (yoy)
IMX (immoscout): Prices for newly built condos up +4.8% in Q1 (qoq); +9.7% (yoy)

Financing markets remain supportive for residential demand

Bundesbank: Mortgage loans for private households in Q1 2021 exceeds €70bn (Q1 2020: 67.8bn); March
volume on record level at €28.6bn
Interhyp: Average 10year fixed rate mortgage <1%, only marginally up

Rising material costs are limiting the upside

Construction costs development 2021e

INS comparatively well positioned in a market with rising scarcity

  • High share of single awarding offers higher flexibility in the steering of the construction process (unlike most other competitors)
  • Strong network of suppliers (long lasting relationships & leading market position)
  • More than 80% of 2021 construction costs contractually fixed.
  • Scenario analysis: Incremental rise above 3.5% in material costs of 10% translates into margin decrease of 2pp (c.p.; i.e. before HPI growth etc.)

  • CPI growth overall in line with projections

  • Moderate increase in labour costs reflecting decreasing demand for commercial projects and improved negotiation power (decreasing margins of contractors)
  • Jump in commodity prices (esp. steel, copper, construction timber, facade insulation) results in rising costs for construction materials

Portfolio Update

Promising deal pipeline paves way for future growth

Project portfolio development, ytd (GDV) In €m 6,054 -87 70 17 6,054 New approvals Change in 03/2021 sales volume 12/2020 Completed projects

New project
approvals
Exp. sales
volume
(€m)
Exp. units
Q1
2021
Metropolitan
area Stuttgart
70 160
Q2 2021
Metropolitan
area
Nuremberg/Fürth/Erlangen
111 180
Metropolitan area Rhine-Main 55 100

10 | 20.05.2021 | Q1-2021

Significant share of pre-sold units supports future cash flow and earnings visibility

  • 51 projects / 13,678 units
  • 89% in metropolitan regions
  • ~80 sqm / unit
  • ~€5,460 ASP / sqm

Project portfolio as of 31/03/2021 by region (GDV) Project portfolio as of 31/03/2021 by development (GDV)

  • €2.6bn GDV pre-construction or under construction of which 91% (€2.4bn) already sold
  • €1.8bn GDV under construction of which 89% (€1.6bn) sold

Q1 Financial Performance

Adjusted Results of Operations

High profitability maintained

€m Q1 2021 Q1 2020 Change
Revenues 128.1 99.7 28.5%
Project
cost
-87.6 -70.0 25.1%
Gross
profit
40.5 29.7 36.4%
Gross
Margin
31.6% 29.8%
Platform
cost
-16.3 -11.9 37.0%
Share of
results
of
joint
ventures
2.5 0.3
EBIT 26.7 18.0 48.3%
EBIT Margin 20.8% 18.1%
Financial
and
other
result
-4.1 -5.5
EBT 22.6 12.5 80.8%
EBT Margin 17.6% 12.5%
Taxes -6.5 -3.8
Tax
rate
28.8% 30.4%
EAT 16.1 8.7 85.1%
EAT Margin 12.6% 8.7%
EPS 0.34 0.22 54.5%
  • Strong Q1 topline growth (sale of JV project not included); first quarter with traditionally weaker seasonality – higher revenues in coming quarters expected
  • Sustained very high gross margin underscores sound demand environment; tailwind from sales mix (stronger contribution from high-margin projects)
  • Rising platform costs in line with planning including investments into future growth (incl. valuehome)
  • Interest expenses decreased due to lower net debt (positive cash flow + capital hike in Q3 2020) and improved financing conditions

Strong EPS growth – earnings growth outweighs the increased number of shares from rights issue

Diversified sales & adjusted revenue mix

Q1 2021 adjusted revenue by customer

Exceptionally good start to the year for institutional business...

  • ...and also generally very strong demand indications from institutional investors
  • Institutional investors are expected to be the largest customer group in FY 2021
  • Sales ratios for B2C business are also above the long-term mean

Strong balance sheet a competitive edge in current markets

€m 31/03/2021 31/12/2020
Corporate debt 208.4 207.2
Project debt 199.5 274.5
Financial debt 407.9 481.7
Cash and cash equivalents and term
deposits
-304.4 -232.0
Net financial debt 103.5 249.7
Inventories and contract asset 957.8 971.9
LTC* 10.8% 25.7%
Adjusted EBIT (LTM)** 92.5 83.8
Adjusted EBITDA (LTM)** 96.7 87.9
Net financial debt / adjusted EBITDA 1.1 2.8
  • LTC of just 10.8% implies low financial gearing
    • Reminder: inventories are recorded at historical costs
    • Significant hidden reserves provide additional downside cushion
  • ...also very low net debt/adjusted EBITDA of only 1.1x
  • Rising leverage in further course of the year expected planned expansion of the project portfolio
  • €1.6-1.7bn mid term revenue target fully funded with the recent capital raise
  • INS's financial strength a competitive edge for acquisitions in current environment

Strong operating cash flow from visible milestone payments

Cash Flow (€m) Q1 2021 Q1 2020
EBITDA adj. 27.9 19.0
Other non-cash items -2.5 -3.1
Taxes paid -8.5 -4.0
Change
in working capital
134.4 -26.8
Operating
cash flow
151.3 -14.9
Land plot acquisition payments (incl.
RETT*)
8.7 48.5
Operating cash flow excl.
investments
160.0 33.6
  • Strong operating cash flow based on retail prepayments and institutional milestone payments from forward deals
  • FY 2021 operating cash flow expected to turn negative due to planned investment into land plots for future growth
Liquidity (€m) Total t/o
drawn
t/o
available
Corporate debt
Promissory notes 206.0 206.0 0.0
Revolving Credit Facilities 119.0 0.0 119.0
Total 325.0 206.0 119.0
Cash and cash equivalents and
term deposits
304.4
Total corporate funds
available
423.4
Project debt
Project finance** 291.3 200.6 90.7
  • Ample financial headroom for future growth
  • Acquisitions expected to continue at elevated levels

Intrinsic pipeline value suggests fundamental upside

Additional upside from continuous deployment of proceeds from capital increase

Prospective NAV (€m) 31/03/2021 31/12/2020
Expected selling prices of project
pipeline (GDV)
6,054 6,054
Payments received -1,094 -942
Expected project costs -3,359 -3,368
Net debt -103 -250
Expected proceeds from "at-equity"
projects
76 71
Prospective
Net Asset Value
1,573 1,566
Number of shares
(m)
47.0 47.0
Prospective
Net Asset Value per
share (€)
33.48 33.32
  • Payments received reflect project related income received to date from pre-sale of pipeline, rental income and ordinary course sale of land plots
  • Expected project costs include future expected payouts required to complete INS project pipeline
  • Proceeds from "at-equity" projects reflect profit from subsidiaries accounted for "at-equity"

Outlook

2021 guidance reiterated, strong structural growth ahead

€m Outlook 2021
Revenues (adjusted) 820-900
Gross profit margin (adjusted) 26-27%
EAT (adjusted) 90-95
Volume
of concluded
Sales contracts
>900

Dividend: Target payout ratio of 30% of adjusted EAT also for 2021

820-900 >1,000 1,600-1,700 2021 2022 ... Mid-term In €m Revenues (adjusted) outlook

Thereof from projects with building right*: Thereof from existing projects*: Revenues secured through pre-sales*: 88% 100% 56%

Appendix

Income statement (reported)

€m Q1 2021 Q1 2020
Total revenues 119.9 94.5
Changes in inventories -7.3 35.0
112.6 129.5
Other operating income 0.6 5.9
Cost of materials -74.2 -97.9
Staff costs -11.9 -10.4
Other operating expenses -4.1 -7.0
Depreciation and amortization -1.1 -1.0
Earnings
from operative activities
21.8 19.1
Income from associated affiliates 2.5 0.3
Other net income from investments 0.0 -0.8
Finance income 0.0 0.0
Finance costs -4.4 -6.4
Changes of securities classified as financial
assets
0.0 -0.9
EBT 20.0 11.3
Income taxes -6.0 -3.5
EAT 13.9 7.8
  • The increase in revenues is based on the successful marketing and the scheduled construction progress of the current project developments.
  • Lower purchases of land and the continuation of construction activities at the previous year's level led to a reduction in the cost of materials to €74.2m (down from €97.9 million).
  • lncrease in staff costs reflects the increase in FTEs to 347.0 (Q1-2020: 316.8).

  • The financial result decreased to €-4.4m (Q1-2020: €-7.3m). The lower interest expenses is mainly attributable to the successful refinancing at better conditions and the lower utilization of project financing.

  • Project-related individual tax effects led to a lower tax rate in the reporting period.

Condensed balance sheet

€m 31/03/2021 31/12/2020
Non-current assets 56.8 52.9
Inventories 770.5 777.8
Contract assets 187.3 194.2
Other receivables 154.5 171.3
Cash and cash equivalents 169.4 87.0
Current assets 1,281.7 1,230.2
Total assets 1,338.6 1,283.1
Total equity 535.4 521.0
Financial liabilities 316.4 313.7
Other provisions and liabilities 26.4 32.7
Deferred tax liabilities 27.6 22.9
Non-current liabilities 370.3 369.3
Financial liabilities 91.5 168.0
Trade payables 75.8 68.9
Other provisions and liabilities 265.5 155.8
Current liabilities 432.9 392.7
Total equity and liabilities 1,338.6 1,283.1

The lower inventories is mainly the result of the higher sales volume relative to the acquisition of new projects. As of Q1-2021, acquisition of land plots (incl. incidental costs) of €579.5m (Q4-2020: €589.0m) are included in inventories.

Cash and cash equivalents and time deposits totaling €304.4m (Q4-2020: €232.0m) increased due to the positive operating cash flow. Time deposits with a maturity of more than three months to €135.0m (Q4-2020: €145.0m).

Non-current financial liabilities rose to €316.4m as current financial liabilities fell to €91.5m. Project financing of around €60m has been repaid.

Other liabilities €211.8m mainly include advance payments received on work in progress.

Well balanced financing structure at attractive terms

Maturity profile as of 31/03/2021

Secured/unsecured as of 31/03/2021

Weighted average corporate debt maturity 3.1 years
Weighted average corporate interest
costs
3.32%
Share of corporate debt with floating interest 27.2%

Project Portfolio Key Figures

€m Q1 2021 Q4
2020
Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019
Volume of
sales
contracts
118.6** 246.0 94.9 54.1* 69.4 1,088.2 183.1 69.0 62.8
Project Portfolio (as of) 6,054.2 6,053.6 5,937.5 5,701.3 5,744.4 5,845.7 5,384.1 5,091.7 4,790.2
thereof already sold (as of) 2,360.5 2,328.8 2,108.6 2,017.1 2,189.0 2,174.0 1,261.1 1,128.7 1,061.1
Units Q1 2021 Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019
Volume of
sales
contracts
372** 708 128 347* 109 2,063 380 120 170
Project Portfolio (as
of)
13,678 13,561 13,374 13,075 12,952 13,715 12,233 11,628 11,041
thereof already sold (as of) 5,510 5,381 4,770 4,648 4,799 4,814 2,944 2,684 2,564

(Unless otherwise stated, the figures are quarterly values)

*Of which €24.3m (303 units) from updated business plan of already sold project Westville.

**Of which €6.3m (186 units) from updated business plan of already sold project part in "Schönhof-Viertel", Frankfurt.

Q1 2021 – Concluded Sales Contracts

Project City Units €m
"Neckar.Au
Viertel"
Rottenburg 84 29.0
St. Marienkrankenhaus Frankfurt/Main 19 26.5
"Wohnen
im
Hochfeld" Unterbach
Düsseldorf 23 13.4
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg 11 8.8
Seetor
"City Campus"
Nuremberg 18 8.4
"Schönhof-Viertel"* Frankfurt/Main 186 6.3
"Fontane
Gärten"
Potsdam 10 6.3
"Carlina
Park", Schopenhauerstraße
Nuremberg 11 5.6
Kitzmann, Südliche
Stadtmauerstr.
Erlangen 1 5.3
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 6 3.2
Others 3 5.8
Total 372 118.6

Q1 2021 – Revenue Contribution

Project City Adj. revenues (€m)
St. Marienkrankenhaus Frankfurt/Main 31.9
west.side Bonn 10.3
"Wohnen
im
Hochfeld" Unterbach
Düsseldorf 9.1
Westville Frankfurt/Main 8.6
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg 7.3
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 6.8
Kitzmann, Südliche
Stadtmauerstr.
Erlangen 5.3
"Fontane
Gärten"
Potsdam 5.1
"Neckar.Au
Viertel"
Rottenburg 5.0
"Carlina
Park", Schopenhauerstraße
Nuremberg 4.9
Others 33.9
Total 128.1

Q1 2021 Construction Launches

Project City Start in Exp. Sales
Volume (€m)
Units
"Fontane
Gärten" –
1. BA
Potsdam Q1 ~ 31 ~ 55
Westville

1. BA (WA-5)
Frankfurt Q1 ~ 153 ~ 330
Total ~ 184 ~ 385

Sales Offer as of Q1 2021 (Top Projects, condominium sales)

Project City Sales volume (€m) Units Already sold in %
Seetor
"City Campus" –
Wohnen
Nuremberg 64.3 126 20%
D-Unterb. Scholle
2
Düsseldorf 38.5 68 3%
"Carlina
Park", Schopenhauerstraße
Nuremberg 29.8 25 56%
"Fontane
Gärten
BA 1"
Potsdam 17.1 29 45%
Seetor
"City Campus" –
Geschossbau
Nuremberg 15.3 21 43%
Marina Bricks Regensburg 8.7 10 71%
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg 5.6 6 94%
D-Unterb. Scholle
1
Düsseldorf 4.4 7 88%
St. Marienkrankenhaus Frankfurt/Main 4.0 3 98%
"Neckar.Au
Viertel"
Rottenburg 3.1 8 87%
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 1.9 1 96%
Quartier Stallschreiber
Straße

Luisenpark
Berlin 1.4 1 99%
Total 194.2 305

Project Portfolio as of Q1 2021

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €6.1bn)

Project Location Sales
volume
(expected)
Land
plot
acquired
Building
right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Hamburg
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg 96
Mio
Kösliner
Weg
Norderstedt-Garstedt
85
Mio
Sportplatz
Bult
Hannover 120
Mio
Rothenburgsort Hamburg
196
Mio
Büntekamp Hannover 143
Mio
Berlin
Quartier
Stallschreiber
Straße
/
Luisenpark
Berlin 235
Mio
Wendenschlossstr Berlin 135
Mio
Rote
Kaserne
West
Potsdam 62
Mio
NRW
Sebastiansraße
/
Schumanns
Höhe
Bonn 70
Mio
Niederkasseler
Lohweg
Düsseldorf N/A
Unterbach
/
Wohnen
am Hochfeld
Düsseldorf 177
Mio
Literaturquartier Essen 68
Mio
REME Mönchengladbach 105
Mio
west.side Bonn 188
Mio
Gartenstadtquartier Dortmund 103
Mio

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Project Portfolio as of Q1 2021

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €6.1bn)

Project Location Sales
volume
(expected)
Land
plot
acquired
Building
right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Rhine-Main
Seegewann
Wiesbaden-Delkenheim,
Lange
Wiesbaden 106
Mio
Siemens-Areal Frankfurt 562
Mio
St
. Marienkrankenhaus
Frankfurt
am Main
215
Mio
Landstraße
Friedberger
Frankfurt
am Main
306
Mio
Elisabethenareal
Frankfurt
Frankfurt
am Main
30
Mio
Steinbacher
Hohl
Frankfurt
am Main

53
Mio
Gallus Frankfurt
am Main
41
Mio
Westville Frankfurt
am Main
N/A
Aukamm Wiesbaden 132
Mio
Heusenstamm Heusenstamm 155
Mio
Maintal Maintal 194
Mio
Leipzig
Semmelweisstraße Leipzig 109
Mio
Parkresidenz Leipzig 254
Mio
Rosa-Luxemburg-Straße Leipzig
109
Mio
Heide
Süd
Halle 38
Mio

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Project Portfolio as of Q1 2021

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €6.1bn)

Project Location Sales volume
(expected)
Land plot
acquired
Building right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Baden-Wurttemberg
City-Prag - Wohnen im Theaterviertel Stuttgart 127 Mio. €
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 50 Mio. €
S`LEDERER Schorndorf N/A
Neckartalterrassen Rottenburg 150 Mio. €
Schäferlinde Herrenberg 56 Mio. €
Schwarzwaldstraße BA II Herrenberg 70 Mio. €
Bavaria South
Ottobrunner Straße München 93 Mio. €
Beethovenpark Augsburg 62 Mio. €
Bavaria North
Schopenhauerstraße Nürnberg 67 Mio. €
Stephanstraße Nürnberg N/A
Seetor Nürnberg 112 Mio. €
Eslarner Straße Nürnberg 50 Mio. €
Lagarde Bamberg 80 Mio. €
Boxdorf Nürnberg 59 Mio. €
Marina Bricks Regensburg 30 Mio. €

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

• ISIN: DE000A2NBX80 • Ticker symbol: INS

  • No of shares: 46,988,336
  • Index: SDAX
  • Market cap*: €1,101.9m
  • Average daily trading volume: €1.5m

Instone Share

  • Free float: 100%
  • Market segment: Prime Standard,

Frankfurt

2021

May 20 Quarterly Statement for the first quarter of 2021
May 25 Virtual Roadshow, France
May 27 Virtual Roadshow, Germany
May 28 Virtual Roadshow, UK & Ireland
June 09 Annual
General Meeting
June 16 dbAccess Berlin
Conference
June 17 Morgan Stanley Europe
& EEMEA Property Virtual Conference
June 23 German
& Austrian Property Days
August 26 Group Interim Report for the first half of 2021
September 02 Commerzbank Corporate Conference
September 20 Berenberg
and Goldman Sachs Tenth German Corporate Conference
September 20-24 EPRA ReThink
Conference
November 18 Quarterly Statement for the first nine months of 2021

Investor Relations Contact

Burkhard Sawazki

Head of Business Development & Communication

T +49 201 45355-137 M +49 173 2606034 [email protected]

Simone Cujai

Senior Investor Relations Manager

T +49 201 45355-428 M +49 162 8035792 [email protected]

Lisa Fumega

Roadshows & Investor Events

T +49 201 45355-375 M +49 173 7946649 [email protected]

Instone Real Estate Group AG

Grugaplatz 2-4, 45131 Essen E-Mail: [email protected] Internet: www.instone.de/en

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