AI Terminal

MODULE: AI_ANALYST
Interactive Q&A, Risk Assessment, Summarization
MODULE: DATA_EXTRACT
Excel Export, XBRL Parsing, Table Digitization
MODULE: PEER_COMP
Sector Benchmarking, Sentiment Analysis
SYSTEM ACCESS LOCKED
Authenticate / Register Log In

Hannover Rueck SE

Investor Presentation Aug 5, 2021

197_ip_2021-08-05_095fcdc3-4f4c-4c09-909e-5a10afa86d5d.pdf

Investor Presentation

Open in Viewer

Opens in native device viewer

Conference Call on Half-yearly Report 2021

Hannover, 5 August 2021

1 Group overview 2
2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 6
3 Life & Health reinsurance 11
4 Investments 14
5 Reserving update 17
6 Target Matrix 19
7 Outlook 2021 21
8 Appendix 26

Group net income in line with full-year guidance Continued strong premium growth; RoE well above target

Figures in EUR millions, unless otherwise stated

3 Conference Call on Half-yearly Report 2021

Very strong operating cash flow driven by profitable premium growth AuM +7.8%, cash flow and f/x effects more than offset lower asset valuation

Shareholders' equity up by +0.5% Dividend payment comfortably covered by half-year earnings

1 Group overview 2
2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 6
3 Life & Health reinsurance 11
4 Investments 14
5 Reserving update 17
6 Target Matrix 19
7 Outlook 2021 21
8 Appendix 26

Continued strong growth in an improving market environment Underwriting result in line with expectations, Covid-19 net loss estimate unchanged

Property & Casualty R/I in m. EUR Q2/2020 Q2/2021 1H/2020 1H/2021
Gross written premium 4,188 4,574 9,174 10,267
Net premium earned 3,531 3,984 6,869 7,847
Net underwriting result
incl. funds withheld
(168) 169 (161) 317
Combined ratio
incl. interest on funds withheld
104.8% 95.7% 102.3% 96.0%
Net investment income from assets
under own management
147 305 433 570
Other income and expenses 6 (8) 18 (109)
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) (15) 466 290 778
Tax ratio 306.4% 24.7% 14.8% 19.6%
Group net income 37 331 245 592

YTD

  • GWP f/x-adjusted +17.2%, diversified growth from traditional and structured reinsurance business
  • NPE f/x-adjusted +19.2%
  • Major losses of EUR 326 m. below booked budget of EUR 476 m. for 1H/2021
  • Covid-19 net loss estimate unchanged at EUR 950 m.
  • Net investment income increased due to favourable ordinary investment income and lower impairments
  • Other income and expenses decreased mainly due to negative currency effects

Large losses of EUR 326 m. below booked budget of EUR 476 m. for 1H/2021 EUR 774 m. unused large-loss budget available for 2H/2021

1) Up to 2011 claims over EUR 5 m. gross, from 2012 onwards claims over EUR 10 m. gross

1H/2021 mainly impacted by Texas winter storm and man-made losses

1H/2021 mainly impacted by Texas winter storm and man-made losses
Catastrophe losses1
)
in m. EUR
Date Gross Net
Storm "Filomena", Spain 7 - 8 Jan 10.6 10.6
Texas winter storm/freeze, USA 9 - 21 Feb 220.9 136.4
Floods, Australia 18 - 23 Mar 16.9 14.4
Cyclone, Australia 11 - 14 Apr 11.2 11.2
Storm "Volker", Germany 21 - 25 June 10.0 10.0
5 Natural catastrophes 269.7 182.6
1 Aviation loss 13.5 13.5
1 Marine loss 21.0 13.3
1 Credit loss 20.7 20.7
6 Property losses 95.8 95.8
9 Man-made losses 151.0 143.3
14 Major losses 420.7 325.9

1) Natural catastrophes and other major losses in excess of EUR 10 m. gross Large loss budget 2021: EUR 1,100 m. thereof EUR 225 m. man-made and EUR 875 m. NatCat

Combined ratios in line with expectations

1H/2021: Combined Ratio vs. target combined ratios

1) All lines of Property & Casualty reinsurance except those stated separately

1 Group overview 2
2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 6
3 Life & Health reinsurance 11
4 Investments 14
5 Reserving update 17
6 Target Matrix 19
7 Outlook 2021 21
8 Appendix 26

Favourable premium growth

Results impacted by Covid-19 pandemic; partly offset by one-off effect of EUR 129 m.

Life & Health R/I in m. EUR Q2/2020 Q2/2021 1H/2020 1H/2021
Gross written premium 1,983 2,082 3,972 4,198
Net premium earned 1,756 1,839 3,509 3,669
Net underwriting result
incl. funds withheld
(118) (71) (169) (193)
Net investment income from
assets under own management
123 7
8
222 123
Other income and expenses 85 8
0
161 249
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 90 87 214 179
EBIT margin 5.1% 4.7% 6.1% 4.9%
Tax ratio 12.2% 44.3% 11.2% 40.7%
Group net income 78 48 188 105

YTD

  • GWP f/x-adjusted +7.3%, mainly from Financial Solutions and Longevity
  • NPE f/x-adjusted growth +6.4%
  • Technical result impacted by Covid-19 losses of EUR 263 m. (thereof US: EUR 167 m., South Africa EUR 70 m.), positive one-off from restructuring within US mortality portfolio in Q1, improved underlying mortality experience
  • Net investment income decreased primarily due to impact from fair value of derivatives
  • Other income and expenses increased due to positive one-off effect from restructuring within US mortality portfolio in Q1 and strong contribution from deposit accounted treaties of EUR 184 m. (H1/2020: EUR 173 m.)

Positive growth momentum for 2021 Q2/2021 new and pipeline business1)

13

1 Group overview 2
2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 6
3 Life & Health reinsurance 11
4 Investments 14
5 Reserving update 17
6 Target Matrix 19
7
Outlook 2021 21
8 Appendix 26

Very satisfactory Return on Investment

Increasing ordinary income offset by valuation of reinsurance-related derivatives

in m. EUR Q2/2020 Q2/2021 1H/2020 1H/2021 RoI
Ordinary investment income1) 281 375 614 698 2.7%
Realised gains/losses 38 52 140 142 0.6%
Impairments/appreciations &
depreciations
(57) (17) (85) (38) -0.2%
Change in fair value of financial
instruments (through P&L)
39 7 51 (43) -0.2%
Investment expenses (31) (33) (63) (65) -0.3%
NII from assets under own management 271 383 657 694 2.7%
NII from funds withheld 51 42 136 172
Total net investment income 321 425 793 866
Unrealised gains/losses of investments 31 Dec 20 30 Jun 21
On-balance sheet 3,019 2,527
thereof Fixed income AFS 2,347 1,612
Off-balance sheet 557 552
thereof Fixed income HTM, L&R 217 170
Total 3,576 3,078

1) Incl. results from associated companies

YTD

  • Increasing ordinary returns from alternative investments; stable ordinary income from fixed-income investments and real estate investments
  • Stable realised gains include disposal of parts of listed-equity portfolio as well as some reallocations due to regular portfolio adjustments
  • Stable depreciation of direct real estate investments; impairments of private equity and alternative fixed-income funds as well as real estate at very moderate levels
  • Change in fair value of financial instruments through P&L impacted by valuation of reinsurance-related derivatives
  • Decrease in valuation reserves due to significantly higher minimal-risk yield curves; credit spreads on corporates rather stable; higher valuations in alternative investments

Ordinary return with continued strong support from alternative assets Slightly higher share of corporates, partial disposal of listed equities

Asset allocation1)

Investment category 2017 2018 2019 2020 1H/2021
Fixed-income securities 87% 87% 87% 85% 85%
- Governments 30% 35% 35% 34% 32%
- Semi-governments 17% 16% 15% 15% 15%
- Corporates 32% 29% 31% 30% 32%
Investment grade 27% 25% 26% 25% 28%
Non-investment grade 5% 4% 4% 5% 4%
- Pfandbriefe, Covered bonds, ABS 8% 7% 7% 6% 2)
2)
6%
Equities 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%
- Listed equity <1% <1% <1% 1% 1%
- Private equity 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%
Real Assets 5% 6% 5% 5% 5%
Others 1% 1% 2% 3% 3%
Short-term investments & cash 4% 4% 3% 3% 3%
Total market values in bn. EUR 40.5 42.7 48.2 49.8 53.4

Ordinary income split

1) Economic view based on market values without outstanding commitments for Private Equity and Alternative Real Estate as well as fixed-income investments of EUR 1,583.2 m. (EUR 1,275.6 m.) as at 30 June 2021

2) Of which Pfandbriefe and Covered Bonds = 63.3%

3) Before real estate-specific costs. Economic view based on market values as at 30 June 2021

1 Group overview 2
2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 6
3 Life & Health reinsurance 11
4 Investments 14
5 Reserving update 17
6 Target Matrix 19
7 Outlook 2021 21
8 Appendix 26

Reserve strength increased and remains at high level Level of additional IBNR is 51% of total reserves

Year end1) Redundancy2) Change Impact on
loss ratio
P&C premium
(net earned)
2010 956 89 1.6% 5,394
2011 1,117 162 2.7% 5,961
2012 1,308 190 2.8% 6,854
2013 1,517 209 3.1% 6,866
2014 1,546 29 0.4% 7,011
2015 1,887 341 4.2% 8,100
2016 1,865 -22 -0.3% 7,985
2017 1,813 -52 -0.6% 9,159
2018 1,694 -118 -1.1% 10,804
2019 1,457 -238 -1.9% 12,798
2020 1,536 80 0.6% 14,205

P&C gross loss reserves3) EUR 29,194 m.

1) Figures unadjusted for changes in foreign exchange rate, i.e. based on actual exchange rates at respective year end.

2) Redundancy of loss and loss adjustment expense reserve net of reinsurance for its non-life insurance business against held IFRS reserves, before tax and minority participations. Willis Towers Watson reviewed these estimates - see appendix 3) As at 31 December 2020, consolidated, IFRS, IBNR – Incurred but not reported

1 Group overview 2
2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 6
3 Life & Health reinsurance 11
4 Investments 14
5 Reserving update 17
6 Target Matrix 19
7 Outlook 2021 21
8 Appendix 26

Target Matrix: 1H/2021 Strategy cycle 2021 - 2023

Business group Key figures Strategic targets 1H/2021
Group Return on equity1) 900 bps above risk-free 12.2%
Solvency ratio2) ≥ 200% 250%
Property & Casualty reinsurance Gross premium growth3) ≥ 5% +17.2%
EBIT growth4) ≥ 5% +168.2%
Combined ratio ≤ 96% 96.0%
xRoCA5) ≥ 2% -
Life & Health reinsurance Gross premium growth3) ≥ 3% +7.3%
EBIT growth4) ≥ 5% -16.4%
Value of New Business (VNB)6) ≥ EUR 250 m. -
xRoCA5) ≥ 2% -

1) After tax; risk-free: 5-year average return of 10-year German government bonds 2) According to our internal capital model and Solvency II requirements

3) Average annual growth at constant f/x rates 4) Average annual growth

5) Excess return (one-year economic profit in excess of the cost of capital) on allocated economic capital 6) Based on Solvency II principles; pre-tax reporting

1 Group overview 2
2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 6
3 Life & Health reinsurance 11
4 Investments 14
5 Reserving update 17
6 Target Matrix 19
7 Outlook 2021 21
8 Appendix 26

Improving market conditions increased P&C premium by 14.7% Overall risk-adjusted price increase of 3.2%; non-proportional 6.4%

2 Apr - 1 Jul 2021 P&C renewals
in m. EUR Change in shares:
Change in price:
Change in volume:
-0.6%
+3.2%
+6.7%
2,466
2,150 116 199 +14.7%
Inforce book
up for renewal
New/
cancelled/
restructured
Price & volume
changes on
renewed
Inforce book
after renewals

Americas1)

  • Continued increase in premium in North America
  • Continued positive momentum on insurance pricing
  • Organic growth in primary portfolios contributes to ongoing portfolio improvements
  • Sustained underwriting discipline in the reinsurance market
  • Latin America: past SRCC2) losses lead to improvement in original rates, terms and conditions for this exposure

Australia

  • Market remained disciplined with continued rate increases where necessary
  • A slight trend towards increasing retention and streamlining reinsurance panel

Asia

  • Significant premium growth under our APAC growth initiative
  • Signs of hardening on the property market are becoming clearer

Credit & Surety

  • Moderate increase in premium volume due to organic growth and new business
  • Stable to slightly improved pricing

Underwriting year figures at unchanged f/x rates (31 December 2020) 1) Excluding specialty business mentioned separately

2) Strike, Riots, Civil Commotion

Growing Property & Casualty portfolio at attractive profitability Financial year 2021

Reporting categories Volume1) Profitability2)
EMEA3) +
Regional
markets
Americas3) +/-
APAC3) +
Structured Reinsurance and ILS ++
Credit, Surety and Political Risks +/-
Worldwide
markets
Facultative Reinsurance +
Aviation and Marine +
Agricultural Risks +

1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different

2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)

3) All lines of business except those stated separately

Profitability in Life & Health still impacted by Covid-19 Financial year 2021

Reporting categories Volume1) Profitability2)
Financial solutions 3) ++
Longevity +
Mortality -
Morbidity +/-

1) In EUR, development in original currencies can be different

2) ++ = well above CoC; + = above CoC; +/- = CoC earned; - = below Cost of Capital (CoC)

3) Business volume including contracts not reflected in premium income

Guidance for 2021

Hannover Re Group

Gross written premium1) high single-digit growth
2)
Return on investment
~ 2.4%
Group net income2) EUR 1.15 -
1.25 bn.
Ordinary dividend pay-out ratio3) 35% -
45%

• Special dividend additional pay-out if profit target is reached and capitalisation is comfortable

1) At unchanged f/x rates

2) Subject to no major distortions in capital markets and/or major losses in 2021 not exceeding the large loss budget of EUR 1.1 bn.

3) Relative to Group net income according to IFRS

1 Group overview 2
2 Property & Casualty reinsurance 6
3 Life & Health reinsurance 11
4 Investments 14
5 Reserving update 17
6 Target Matrix 19
7 Outlook 2021 21
8 Appendix 26

Our business groups at a glance 1H/2021 vs. 1H/2020

Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Total
in m. EUR 1H/2020 1H/2021 1H/2020 1H/2021 1H/2020 1H/2021
Gross written premium 9,174 10,267 3,972 4,198 13,146 14,465
Change in GWP +11.9% +5.7% +10.0%
Net premium earned 6,869 7,847 3,509 3,669 10,378 11,515
Net underwriting result (186) 302 (280) (350) (467) (48)
Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld (161) 317 (169) (193) (330) 124
Net investment income 459 584 333 281 793 866
From assets under own management 433 570 222 123 657 694
From funds withheld 26 15 111 157 136 172
Other income and expenses 18 (109) 161 249 177 138
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) 290 778 214 179 504 956
Financing costs (1) (1) (1) (1) (47) (40)
Net income before taxes 289 777 213 178 456 916
Taxes (43) (153) (24) (73) (51) (212)
Net income 246 624 189 106 405 704
Non-controlling interest 2 32 1 1 3 33
Group net income 245 592 188 105 402 671
Retention 91.4% 91.3% 89.4% 88.2% 90.8% 90.4%
Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) 102.3% 96.0% - - - -
EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) 4.2% 9.9% 6.1% 4.9% 4.9% 8.3%
Tax ratio 14.8% 19.6% 11.2% 40.7% 11.3% 23.2%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 2.03 4.91 1.56 0.87 3.34 5.56

Our business groups at a glance Q2/2021 vs. Q2/2020

Property & Casualty R/I Life & Health R/I Total
in m. EUR Q2/2020 Q2/2021 Q2/2020 Q2/2021 Q2/2020 Q2/2021
Gross written premium 4,188 4,574 1,983 2,082 6,171 6,655
Change in GWP +9.2% +5.0% +7.9%
Net premium earned 3,531 3,984 1,756 1,839 5,287 5,823
Net underwriting result (183) 158 (153) (102) (336) 57
Net underwriting result incl. funds withheld (168) 169 (118) (71) (286) 99
Net investment income 162 316 158 109 321 425
From assets under own management 147 305 123 78 271 383
From funds withheld 15 11 36 30 51 42
Other income and expenses 6 (8) 85 80 92 70
Operating profit/loss (EBIT) (15) 466 90 87 77 552
Financing costs (1) (1) 0 0 (24) (21)
Net income before taxes (15) 465 90 87 53 531
Taxes 47 (115) (11) (38) 43 (146)
Net income 31 351 79 48 96 385
Non-controlling interest (6) 20 0 0 (6) 20
Group net income 37 331 78 48 101 365
Retention 90.9% 89.8% 89.4% 87.8% 90.4% 89.2%
Combined ratio (incl. interest on funds withheld) 104.8% 95.7% - - - -
EBIT margin (EBIT / Net premium earned) -0.4% 11.7% 5.1% 4.7% 1.5% 9.5%
Tax ratio 306.4% 24.7% 12.2% 44.3% -80.2% 27.6%
Earnings per share (in EUR) 0.31 2.74 0.65 0.40 0.84 3.02

Stress tests on assets under own management

Focus still on credit exposures with further spread tightening

Portfolio Scenario Change in market
value
in m. EUR
Change in OCI before
tax
in m. EUR
-10% -183 -183
Equity (listed and private equity) -20% -367 -367
+50 bps -1,349 -1,300
Fixed-income securities +100 bps -2,623 -2,527
Credit spreads +50% -774 -772

High-quality fixed-income book well balanced

</bbb<>
High-quality fixed-income book well balanced
Geographical allocation mainly in accordance with our broad business diversification
Governments Semi
governments
Corporates Pfandbriefe,
Covered bonds,
ABS
Short-term
investments,
cash
Total
AAA 71% 59% 1
%
58% - 42%
A
A
12% 23% 11% 16% - 14%
A 11% 7
%
33% 14% - 19%
BBB 4
%
2
%
46% 10% - 20%
<bbb< td="">2
%
9
%
9
%
2
%
-6
%
2
%
9
%
9
%
2
%
- 6
%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% - 100%
Germany 15% 30% 4
%
18% 15% 14%
UK 6
%
2
%
7
%
8
%
17% 6
%
France 3
%
2
%
7
%
7
%
1
%
4
%
GIIPS 1
%
1
%
4
%
4
%
0
%
2
%
Rest of Europe 4
%
20% 15% 26% 3
%
12%
USA 48% 13% 34% 14% 15% 34%
Australia 6
%
5
%
6
%
11% 9
%
6
%
Asia 13% 11% 10% 1
%
31% 11%
Rest of World 4
%
16% 14% 11% 9
%
10%
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Total b/s values in m. EUR 17,172 7,820 16,547 3,247 1,860 46,647

IFRS figures as at 30 June 2021

Currency allocation matches modelled liability profile Strict duration-neutral strategy continued

Currency split of investments

  • Modified duration of fixed-income mainly congruent with liabilities and currencies
  • GBP's higher modified duration predominantly due to life business; EUR driven by hybrid bond issuance
Modified duration
Q2/2021 5.8
2020 5.8
2019 5.7
2018 4.8
2017 4.8

Details on reserve review by Willis Towers Watson

  • The scope of Willis Towers Watson's work was to review certain parts of the held loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, net of outwards reinsurance, from Hannover Rück SE's consolidated financial statements in accordance with IFRS as at each 31 December from 2009 to 2020, and the implicit redundancy margin, for the non-life business of Hannover Rück SE. Willis Towers Watson concludes that the reviewed loss and loss adjustment expense reserve, net of reinsurance, less the redundancy margin is reasonable in that it falls within Willis Towers Watson's range of reasonable estimates.
  • Life reinsurance and health reinsurance business are excluded from the scope of this review.
  • Willis Towers Watson's review of non-life reserves as at 31 December 2020 covered 98.7% / 99.6% of the gross and net held non-life reserves of €29.2 billion and € 27.5 billion respectively. Together with life reserves of gross €4.7 billion and net €4.6 billion, the total balance sheet reserves amount to €33.9 billion gross and €32.0 billion net.
  • The results shown in this presentation are based on a series of assumptions as to the future. It should be recognised that actual future claim experience is likely to deviate, perhaps materially, from Willis Towers Watson's estimates. This is because the ultimate liability for claims will be affected by future external events; for example, the likelihood of claimants bringing suit, the size of judicial awards, changes in standards of liability, and the attitudes of claimants towards the settlement of their claims.
  • The results shown in Willis Towers Watson's reports are not intended to represent an opinion of market value and should not be interpreted in that manner. The reports do not purport to encompass all of the many factors that may bear upon a market value.
  • Willis Towers Watson's analysis was carried out based on data as at evaluation dates for each 31 December from 2009 to 2020. Willis Towers Watson's analysis may not reflect development or information that became available after the valuation dates and Willis Towers Watson's results, opinions and conclusions presented herein may be rendered inaccurate by developments after the valuation dates
  • As is typical for reinsurance companies, claims reporting can be delayed due to late notifications by some cedents. This increases the uncertainty in the estimates.
  • Hannover Rück SE has asbestos, environmental and other health hazard (APH) exposures which are subject to greater uncertainty than other general liability exposures. Willis Towers Watson's analysis of the APH exposures assumes that the reporting and handling of APH claims is consistent with industry benchmarks. However, there is wide variation in estimates based on these benchmarks. Thus, although Hannover Rück SE's held reserves show some redundancy compared to the indications, the actual losses could prove to be significantly different to both the held and indicated amounts.
  • Willis Towers Watson has not anticipated any extraordinary changes to the legal, social, inflationary or economic environment, or to the interpretation of policy language, that might affect the cost, frequency, or future reporting of claims. In addition, Willis Towers Watson's estimates make no provision for potential future claims arising from causes not substantially recognised in the historical data (such as new types of mass torts or latent injuries, terrorist acts), except in so far as claims of these types are included incidentally in the reported claims and are implicitly developed.
  • In accordance with its scope Willis Towers Watson's estimates are on the basis that all of Hannover Rück SE's reinsurance protection will be valid and collectable. Further liability may exist for any reinsurance that proves to be irrecoverable.
  • Willis Towers Watson's estimates are in Euros based on the exchange rates provided by Hannover Rück SE as at each 31 December evaluation date. However, a substantial proportion of the liabilities is denominated in foreign currencies. To the extent that the assets backing the reserves are not held in matching currencies, future changes in exchange rates may lead to significant exchange gains or losses.
  • Willis Towers Watson has not attempted to determine the quality of Hannover Rück SE's current asset portfolio, nor has Willis Towers Watson reviewed the adequacy of the balance sheet provisions except as otherwise disclosed herein.
  • In its review, Willis Towers Watson has relied on audited and unaudited data and financial information supplied by Hannover Rück SE and its subsidiaries, including information provided orally . Willis Towers Watson relied on the accuracy and completeness of this information without independent verification.
  • Except for any agreed responsibilities Willis Towers Watson may have to Hannover Rück SE, Willis Towers Watson does not assume any responsibility and will not accept any liability to any person for any damages suffered by such person arising out of this commentary or references to Willis Towers Watson in this document.

Disclaimer

This presentation does not address the investment objectives or financial situation of any particular person or legal entity. Investors should seek independent professional advice and perform their own analysis regarding the appropriateness of investing in any of our securities.

While Hannover Re has endeavoured to include in this presentation information it believes to be reliable, complete and up-todate, the company does not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or updated status of such information.

Some of the statements in this presentation may be forward-looking statements or statements of future expectations based on currently available information. Such statements naturally are subject to risks and uncertainties. Factors such as the development of general economic conditions, future market conditions, unusual catastrophic loss events, changes in the capital markets and other circumstances may cause the actual events or results to be materially different from those anticipated by such statements.

This presentation serves information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer or solicitation to acquire, subscribe to or dispose of, any of the securities of Hannover Re.

© Hannover Rück SE. All rights reserved. Hannover Re is the registered service mark of Hannover Rück SE.

Talk to a Data Expert

Have a question? We'll get back to you promptly.