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Instone Real Estate Group AG

Investor Presentation Aug 26, 2021

226_ip_2021-08-26_e1f90e3a-fc8f-441a-8ae6-215c2be76980.pdf

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Q2 2021 Results Presentation

Disclaimer

Highlights

  • Portfolio Update
  • Q2 Financial Performance
  • Outlook

Appendix

Highlights

Highlights

Strong business performance reflects sound underlying fundamentals

Operational
Highlights

Sales: Strong retail sales slightly ahead of plan; Several institutional deals close to signing

Positive HPI trend persists

Acquisitions:
6 new
projects with (GDV > €600m)
approved YTD; pipeline with GDV of ~€1.0bn under exclusivity

Construction: Actively managing supply bottlenecks for certain materials, experiencing selected albeit minor
delays, rising material costs more than offset by positive HPI momentum

FY 2021 construction costs are largely fixed (incl. material costs)

Sustained high gross margins – positive price trend and support from sales mix


Adjusted revenues: €260.5m (H1 2020: €179.6m, +45.0%)
H1-2021
Adjusted gross profit margin: 29.4% (H1 2020: 32.2%)
Results
Adjusted EBIT margin: 15.8% (H1 2020: 15.7%)

Adjusted earnings after tax (EAT): €23.4m
(H1 2020: €13.7m; +70.8%)

Well on track for FY 2021 targets – guidance reiterated


Adj. revenues of €820-900m;

Adj. gross profit margin of 26-27%;
Outlook
Adj. EAT of €90-95m;

Target payout-ratio: 30%

Retail sales ratio stays significantly above long term mean

Retail sales ratio stays significantly above long term mean since end of 1st lockdown

Positive HPI growth momentum persists; upside pressure on prices during sales processes of several projects

Strong backlog of reservations and notarization appointments

German residential prices: dynamic upward trend continues

Recent data points/surveys show only slight growth deceleration

VDP: Condo prices in top 7 cities +3.3% in Q2 (qoq); +9.7% (yoy)
Hypoport/EPX: Condo prices up +3.8% in Q2 (qoq); +14.3% (yoy)
IMX (immoscout): Prices for newly built condos up +4.0% in Q2 (qoq); +10.3% (yoy)

Financing markets continue providing strong support for residential demand

Bundesbank: Mortgage loans for private households still on record high in Q2 2021 at €72.5bn; +4.0% yoy
Interhyp: Average 10year fixed rate mortgage <1%, slightly decreasing due to lower bond rates

Rising material costs – Momentum decelerating

+~3% Labour +~8-10% Material Construction costs development 2021e In %

30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 PMI>50: expansion PMI<50: contraction Germany Construction PMI

  • Material costs continue to rise but at a decelerating pace (prices for lumber even dropped sharply recently)
  • Actively managing supply bottlenecks for certain materials, experiencing selected albeit minor delays in construction progress for certain projects
  • Only moderate increase in labour costs reflecting decreasing demand for commercial projects and improved negotiation power (decreasing margins of contractors)
    • German construction PMI still in contraction mode (see chart) due to sluggish commercial demand

INS comparatively well positioned in a market with rising scarcity

  • High share of single awarding offers higher flexibility in the steering of the construction process (unlike most other competitors)
  • Procurement strategy of early order placements is paying-off
  • Strong network of suppliers (relationships & leading market position)
  • Approx. 85% of 2021 construction costs contractually fixed.
  • Margin sensitivity: each pp of material cost increases above 3.5% p.a. translates into approx. 20bp of gross margin decline (assuming no HPI growth)

Portfolio Update

Promising deal pipeline paves way for future growth

Project portfolio development, ytd (GDV)

volume
(€m)
Exp. units
YTD
2021
Metropolitan
area Stuttgart
70 160
Metropolitan
area Nuremberg
111 180
Metropolitan area Rhine-Main 55 100
Metropolitan
area Nuremberg
68 160
Metropolitan area Rhine-Main 283 600
Metropolitan area Rhine-Main 31 50
TOTAL 618 1,248

Significant share of pre-sold units supports future cash flow and earnings visibility

  • 52 projects / 14,338 units
  • 90% in metropolitan regions
  • ~80 average sqm / unit
  • ~€5,272 ASP / sqm

Project portfolio as of 30/06/2021 by region (GDV) Project portfolio as of 30/06/2021 by development (GDV)

  • €2.6bn GDV in "pre-construction" or "under construction" state of which 92% (€2.4bn) already sold
  • €1.8bn GDV in "under construction" state of which 92% (€1.6bn) sold

Q2 Financial Performance

Adjusted Results of Operations

High profitability maintained

€m Q2 2021 Q2 2020 Change H1 2021 H1 2020 Change
Revenues 132.4 79.9 65.7% 260.5 179.6 45.0%
Project
cost
-96.2 -51.8 85.7% -183.8 -121.8 50.9%
Gross
profit
36.2 28.1 28.8% 76.7 57.8 32.7%
Gross
Margin
27.3% 35.2% 29.4% 32.2%
Platform
cost
-21.8 -18.0 21.1% -38.1 -29.9 27.4%
Share of
results
of
joint
ventures
0.0 0.0 2.5 0.3
EBIT 14.4 10.2 41.2% 41.1 28.2 45.7%
EBIT Margin 10.9% 12.8% 15.8% 15.7%
Financial
and
other
result
-3.4 -4.0 -7.5 -9.5
EBT 10.9 6.2 75.8% 33.5 18.7 79.1%
EBT Margin 8.2% 7.8% 12.9% 10.4%
Taxes -3.3 -1.1 -10.1 -4.9
Tax
rate
30.3% 17.7% 30.1% 26.2%
EAT 7.6 5.0 46.0% 23.4 13.7 70.8%
EAT Margin 5.7% 6.3% 9.0% 7.6%
EPS1 0.21 0.13 63.8% 0.55 0.35 57.5%
  • Strong H1 topline growth (sale of JV project not included) shows INS on track; first half with traditionally weaker seasonality – higher revenues in coming quarters expected
  • Attractive gross margin underscores sound pricing environment
  • Rising platform costs primarily due to investments into future growth (incl. valuehome)
  • Interest expenses decreased due to lower project related debt

Strong EPS growth

High visibility for FY 2021 sales and revenues targets

Concluded sales contracts – expected development in H2 2021

H1 sales & revenues in line with expectations

  • Sales and revenues expected to accelerate in H2
  • Institutional investors expected to be the largest customer group in FY 2021
  • Sales ratio for B2C business is also expected to stay above the long-term mean

14 | 26.08.2021 | Q2-2021

Strong balance sheet leaves significant headroom for growth

€m 30/06/2021 31/12/2020
Corporate debt 227.0 207.2
Project debt 173.9 274.5
Financial debt 400.9 481.7
Cash and cash equivalents and term
deposits
-272.1 -232.0
Net financial debt 128.8 249.7
Inventories and contract asset 1,026.7 971.9
LTC* 12.5% 25.7%
Adjusted EBIT (LTM)** 96.7 83.8
Adjusted EBITDA (LTM)** 101.0 87.9
Net financial debt / adjusted EBITDA 1.3 2.8
  • 12.5% LTC implies very low financial gearing
    • Reminder: inventories are recorded at historical costs
    • Significant hidden reserves provide additional downside cushion
  • 1.3x net debt/adjusted EBITDA
  • Rising leverage in remainder of 2021 and in 2022 expected planned expansion of the project portfolio
  • €1.6-1.7bn mid term revenue target fully equity funded
  • INS's financial strength remains a competitive edge for acquisitions in current environment

Strong operating cash flow from visible milestone payments

Cash Flow (€m) Q2 2021 Q2 2020 H1 2021 H1 2020
EBITDA adj. 15.4 11.2 43.3 30.2
Other non-cash items -4.4 3.7 -6.9 0.6
Taxes paid 1.1 -3.1 -7.4 -7.1
Change
in working capital
-17.2 -34.7 117.2 -61.5
Operating
cash flow
-5.1 -22.9 146.2 -37.8
Land plot acquisition payments (incl.
RETT*)
37.1 2.0 45.8 50.3
Operating cash flow excl.
investments
32.0 -20.9 192.0 12.5

Strong operating CF based on retail prepayments and institutional milestone payments

FY 2021 operating cash flow expected to turn negative due to planned investment into land plots for future growth

Liquidity (€m) Total t/o
drawn
t/o
available
Corporate debt
Promissory notes 206.0 206.0 0.0
Revolving Credit Facilities 119.0 0.0 119.0
Total 325.0 206.0 119.0
Cash and cash equivalents and
term deposits
272.1
Total corporate funds
available
391.1
Project debt
Project finance** 308.0 174.5 133.5

Ample financial headroom for future growth

Intrinsic pipeline value suggests fundamental upside

Additional upside from planned future growth investments

Prospective NAV (€m) 30/06/2021 31/12/2020
Expected selling prices of project
pipeline (GDV)
6,268 6,054
Payments received -1,222 -942
Expected project costs -3,444 -3,368
Net debt -129 -250
Expected proceeds from "at-equity"
projects
83 71
Prospective
Net Asset Value
1,556 1,566
Number of shares
(m)
47.0 47.0
Prospective
Net Asset Value per
share (€)
33.12 33.32
  • Payments received reflect project related income received to date from pre-sale of pipeline, rental income and ordinary course sale of land plots
  • Expected project costs include future expected payouts required to complete INS project pipeline
  • Proceeds from "at-equity" projects reflect profit from subsidiaries accounted for "at-equity"

Outlook

2021 guidance reiterated, strong structural growth ahead

€m Outlook 2021
Revenues (adjusted) 820-900
Gross profit margin (adjusted) 26-27%
EAT (adjusted) 90-95
Volume
of concluded
Sales contracts
>900

Dividend policy: 30% payout ratio based on adjusted EAT

Thereof from existing 88% 100% 820-900 >1,000 1,600-1,700 2021 2022 ... Mid-term In €m Revenues (adjusted) outlook

Thereof from projects with building right*: projects*: Revenues secured through pre-sales*:

63%

Appendix

Income statement (reported)

  • The increase in revenues is based on the successful marketing and the scheduled construction progress of the current project developments.
  • Stable purchases of land and increased construction activities led to an increase in cost of materials to €198.6m (previous year: €162.2m).
  • lncrease in staff costs reflects the increase in FTEs to 365.4 (H1-2020: 323.1).

The financial result decreased to €-8.8m (H1-2020: €-12.0m). The lower interest expenses is mainly attributable to the successful refinancing at better conditions and the lower utilization of project financing.

Condensed balance sheet

  • The increase in inventories is attributable to land acquisitions and higher capitalised construction costs. As of H1-2021, acquisition of land plots (incl. incidental costs) of €599.4m (Q4-2020: €583.7m) are included in inventories.
  • Cash and cash equivalents and time deposits totaling €272.1m (Q4-2020: €232.0m) increased due to the positive operating cash flow. The volume of project financings has been reduced over the same period (negative financing CF).
  • Non-current financial liabilities decreased to €286.4m. Current financial liabilities fell to €114.5m.

Other liabilities €252.0m mainly comprise advance payments received on work in progress.

Well balanced financing structure at attractive terms

Maturity profile as of 31/03/2021

Secured/unsecured as of 31/03/2021

Weighted average corporate debt maturity 2.8 years
Weighted average corporate interest
costs
3.32%
Share of corporate debt with floating interest 27.2%

Project Portfolio Key Figures

€m Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q4
2020
Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019
Volume of
sales
contracts
89.1 118.6** 246.0 94.9 54.1* 69.4 1,088.2 183.1 69.0 62.8
Project Portfolio 6,268.1 6,054.2 6,053.6 5,937.5 5,701.3 5,744.4 5,845.7 5,384.1 5,091.7 4,790.2
thereof already sold 2,444.0 2,360.5 2,328.8 2,108.6 2,017.1 2,189.0 2,174.0 1,261.1 1,128.7 1,061.1
Units Q2 2021 Q1 2021 Q4 2020 Q3 2020 Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019
Volume of
sales
contracts
169 372** 708 128 347* 109 2,063 380 120 170
Project Portfolio 14,338 13,678 13,561 13,374 13,075 12,952 13,715 12,233 11,628 11,041
thereof already sold 5,679 5,510 5,381 4,770 4,648 4,799 4,814 2,944 2,684 2,564

(Unless otherwise stated, the figures are quarterly values)

*Of which €24.3m (303 units) from updated business plan of already sold project Westville.

**Of which €6.3m (186 units) from updated business plan of already sold project part in "Schönhof-Viertel", Frankfurt.

H1 2021 – Concluded Sales Contracts

Project City Units €m
"Wohnen
im
Hochfeld" Unterbach
Düsseldorf 65 41.3
St. Marienkrankenhaus Frankfurt/Main 22 31.8
"Neckar.Au
Viertel"
Rottenburg 89 30.6
Seetor
"City Campus"
Nuremberg 35 19.5
"Carlina
Park", Schopenhauerstraße
Nuremberg 22 15.7
Rote Kaserne
West –
"Fontane
Gärten"
Potsdam 25 15.4
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg 17 14.5
"Lokhöfe", Bahnhofsareal
Nord
Rosenheim 67 11.2
"Schönhof-Viertel"* Frankfurt/Main 186 6.3
Kitzmann, Südliche
Stadtmauerstr.
Erlangen 1 5.3
Others 12 16.1
Total 541 207.7

H1 2021 – Revenue Contribution

Project City Adj. revenues (€m)
St. Marienkrankenhaus Frankfurt/Main 43.0
"Wohnen
im
Hochfeld" Unterbach
Düsseldorf 24.0
west.side Bonn 21.7
Westville Frankfurt/Main 20.1
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg 16.7
"Carlina
Park", Schopenhauerstraße
Nuremberg 15.3
City-Prag

Wohnen
im
Theaterviertel
Stuttgart 14.4
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 12.4
S'LEDERER Schorndorf 11.4
Stephanstraße Nuremberg 11.1
Others 70.3
Total 260.5

H1 2021 Construction Launches

Project City Start in Exp. Sales
Volume (€m)
Units
"Fontane
Gärten" –
1. BA
Potsdam Q1 ~ 31 ~ 55
Westville

1. BA (WA-5)
Frankfurt Q1 ~ 153 ~ 330
Total ~ 184 ~ 385

Sales Offer as of 30/06/2021 (Top Projects, condominium sales)

Project City Sales volume (€m) Units Already sold in %
Seetor
"City Campus" –
Wohnen
Nuremberg 55.6 113 31%
"Fontane
Gärten
BA 2"
Potsdam 23.7 44 23%
"Carlina
Park", Schopenhauerstraße
Nuremberg 19.9 14 71%
"Wohnen
im
Hochfeld" Scholle
2
Düsseldorf 16.5 33 60%
"Fontane
Gärten
BA 1"
Potsdam 14.6 24 53%
"Lokhöfe", Bahnhofsareal
Nord
Rosenheim 14.1 76 44%
Seetor
"City Campus" –
Geschossbau
Nuremberg 12.9 17 52%
Marina Bricks Regensburg 7.5 9 75%
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg 1.9 1 96%
"Neckar.Au
Viertel"
Rottenburg 1.2 3 95%
Total 167.9 334

Project Portfolio as of 30/06/2021

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €6.3bn)

Project Location Sales
volume
(expected)
Land
plot
acquired
Building
right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Hamburg
Schulterblatt
"Amanda"
Hamburg 96
Mio
Kösliner
Weg
Norderstedt-Garstedt 85
Mio
Sportplatz
Bult
Hannover 120
Mio
Rothenburgsort Hamburg 198
Mio
Büntekamp Hannover 143
Mio
Berlin
Quartier
Stallschreiber
Straße
/
Luisenpark
Berlin 235
Mio
Wendenschlossstr Berlin 49
Mio
Rote
Kaserne
West
Potsdam 62
Mio
NRW
Sebastiansraße
/
Schumanns
Höhe
Bonn 70

Mio
Niederkasseler
Lohweg
Düsseldorf N/A
Unterbach
/
Wohnen
am Hochfeld
Düsseldorf 184

Mio
Literaturquartier Essen 77
Mio
REME Mönchengladbach 105
Mio
west.side Bonn 188
Mio
Gartenstadtquartier Dortmund 103
Mio

29 | 26.08.2021 | Q2-2021

Project Portfolio as of 30/06/2021

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €6.3bn)

Project Location Sales
volume
(expected)
Land
plot
acquired
Building
right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Rhine-Main
Seegewann
Wiesbaden-Delkenheim,
Lange
Wiesbaden 106
Mio
Siemens-Areal Frankfurt
am Main
591
Mio
St
. Marienkrankenhaus
Frankfurt
am Main
217
Mio
Landstraße
Friedberger
Frankfurt
am Main
306
Mio
Elisabethenareal
Frankfurt
Frankfurt
am Main
30
Mio
Steinbacher
Hohl
Frankfurt
am Main
53
Mio
Gallus Frankfurt
am Main
41
Mio
Westville Frankfurt
am Main
N/A
Aukamm Wiesbaden 136
Mio
Heusenstamm Heusenstamm 155
Mio
Maintal Maintal 194
Mio
Polaris Hofheim 55
Mio
Leipzig
Semmelweisstraße Leipzig 109
Mio
Parkresidenz Leipzig 252
Mio
Rosa-Luxemburg-Straße Leipzig 109
Mio
Süd
Heide
Halle 38
Mio

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

Project Portfolio as of 30/06/2021

(projects > €30m sales volume, representing total: ~ €6.3bn)

Project Location Sales volume
(expected)
Land plot
acquired
Building right
obtained
Sales
started
Construction
started
Baden-Wurttemberg
127 Mio. €
City-Prag - Wohnen im Theaterviertel Stuttgart 50 Mio. €
Schwarzwaldstraße Herrenberg
S`LEDERER Schorndorf N/A
Neckartalterrassen Rottenburg 163 Mio. €
Schäferlinde Herrenberg 56 Mio. €
Schwarzwaldstraße BA II Herrenberg 70 Mio. €
Bavaria South
Ottobrunner Straße München 93 Mio. €
Beethovenpark Augsburg 135 Mio. €
Bavaria North
Schopenhauerstraße Nürnberg 68 Mio. €
Stephanstraße Nürnberg N/A
Seetor Nürnberg 112 Mio. €
Eslarner Straße Nürnberg 50 Mio. €
Lagarde Bamberg 80 Mio. €
Boxdorf Nürnberg 59 Mio. €
Marina Bricks Regensburg 30 Mio. €
Thumenberger Weg Nürnberg 111 Mio. €

Semi-filled circle means that the milestone has yet been achieved for sections of the project (land plot acquisition, start of sales or construction). Concerning the building right the semi-filled circle means that the zoning process has been initiated. No circle for "land plot acquired" means that the land has not yet been purchased but secured by contract.

• Market cap*: €1,268.8m • Average daily trading volume: €1.9m • Free float: 100% • Market segment: Prime Standard, Frankfurt

• ISIN: DE000A2NBX80

• No of shares: 46,988,336

• Ticker symbol: INS

• Index: SDAX

32 | 26.08.2021 | Q2-2021 * Based on closing price on 17/08/2021 at €27.60

Basic data Shareholder structure (August 2021)

Instone Share

2021

August 26 Group Interim Report for the first half of 2021
August 30 Virtual Roadshow, Germany & Switzerland (MM Warburg)
September 01 Virtual Roadshow, UK (Credit Suisse)
September 02 Commerzbank Corporate Conference
September 06 Virtual Roadshow, France (Stifel)
September 13 Virtual Roadshow, US &Canada (Credit Suisse)
September 20 Berenberg
and Goldman Sachs 10th German Corporate Conference, virtual
September 22 EPRA ReThink
Conference, Brussels
November 18 Quarterly Statement for the first nine months of 2021
November 24 EPRA
Corporate Access Day, London

Investor Relations Contact

Burkhard Sawazki

Head of Business Development & Communication

T +49 201 45355-137 M +49 173 2606034

[email protected]

Simone Cujai

Senior Investor Relations Manager

T +49 201 45355-428 M +49 162 8035792

[email protected]

Instone Real Estate Group AG

Grugaplatz 2-4, 45131 Essen E-Mail: [email protected] Internet: www.instone.de/en

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