Investor Presentation • Nov 4, 2021
Investor Presentation
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Earnings Call Presentation (pages 2-22) & Investor Presentation (pages 23-47)
November 4, 2021
See Page Finder on page 76 for detailed index
Nov 4, 2021 2
22 Wrap-up
Continued focus on managing the residential megatrends with a view towards sustainability and adequate stakeholder reconciliation.
Total Segment Revenue €3,517m (+9.5% y-o-y). • Adj. EBITDA Total €1,540.9m (+7.6% y-o-y).
Valuation
Financial Performance
2021E Guidance
Deutsche Wohnen
1 Incl. Deutsche Wohnen on a fully consolidated basis as per Sep 30, 2021. This is based on 37.6% of shares (fully diluted) already paid and excluding €10.5bn payment obligations outstanding as of the end of Q3. 2 Adj. net debt quarterly average over Adj. EBITDA Total (LTM), adj. for IFRS 16 effects. 3 Any transaction would require, inter alia, approval by the Vonovia management board and supervisory board as well as a prospectus by BaFin.
1 The Anticipated Acquisition Method assumes an acquisition of 100% of Deutsche Wohnen, and the purchase price allocation/calculation of goodwill is only provisional.
1 Excl. €0.9m (9M 2020: €0.3m) capitalized interest. 2 Consolidation in 9M 2021 (9M 2020) comprised intragroup profits of €27.2m (€24.1m), gross profit of development to hold of €44.3m (€44.3m), and IFRS 16 effects of €22.0m (€23.4m). 3 Quarterly average. 4 Two months of Deutsche Wohnen Q3 FFO at a weighted average stake of 29.8%.
1. 9M 2021 Results
Slight rotation at the edges but 9M average portfolio volume similar to prior year with ~415k units.
| Rental Segment (€m) | 9M 2021 | 9M 2020 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rental revenue | 1,762.7 | 1,706.9 | +3.3% |
| Maintenance expenses | -245.3 | -234.9 | +4.4% |
| Operating expenses | -277.4 | -293.3 | -5.4% |
| Adj. EBITDA Rental | 1,240.0 | 1,178.7 | +5.2% |
80% 15% 5% Austria Germany Sweden
Market Modernization New construction
1. 9M 2021 Results
1 Disclosure of Value-add segment has been changed with the introduction of the new metric Total Segment Revenue. See FY 2020 financial report (cf. Notes A2/C23) for further details. 9M 2020 figures adjusted. 2 Distribution based on 2021 budget.
| Recurring Sales Segment (€m) | 9M 2021 | 9M 2020 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Units sold | 2,367 | 1,883 | +25.7% |
| Revenue from recurring sales | 422.2 | 296.5 | +42.4% |
| Fair value | -302.7 | -211.6 | +43.1% |
| Adjusted result | 119.5 | 84.9 | +40.8% |
| Fair value step-up |
39.5% | 40.1% | -60bps |
| Selling costs | -14.0 | -10.0 | +40.0% |
| Adj. EBITDA Recurring Sales | 105.5 | 74.9 | +40.9% |
1 2018 onwards also including recurring sales in Austria.
1. 9M 2021 Results
| Development Segment (€m) | 9M 2021 | 9M 2020 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue from disposal of to-sell properties |
328.8 | 181.6 | +81.1% |
| Cost of Development to sell |
-270.3 | -145.0 | +86.4% |
| Gross profit Development to sell |
58.5 | 36.6 | +59.8% |
| Fair value Development to hold |
162.2 | 225.8 | -28.2% |
| Cost of Development to hold1 | -117.9 | -181.5 | -35.0% |
| Gross profit Development to hold |
44.3 | 44.3 | 0.0% |
| Rental revenue Development | 1.0 | 0.8 | +25.0% |
| Operating expenses Development | -24.0 | -12.9 | +86.0% |
| Adj. EBITDA Development | 79.8 | 68.8 | +16.0% |
1. 9M 2021 Results
excl. DWNI
Development to hold (by fair value)
1 Excl. €0.9m (9M 2020: €0.3m) capitalized interest. Note: This segment includes the contribution of to-sell and to-hold constructions of new buildings. Not included is the construction of new apartments by adding floors to existing buildings, as this happens in the context of modernization.
2021 target: ~1,500 completions
2021 target: ~800 completions
The need to mark the portfolio at fair market value on the one hand and the unbroken price dynamics in Vonovia's markets on the other hand required a portfolio valuation as of Sep. 30, 2021.
KPMG, statutory auditor
In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden includes ancillary costs and Austria includes maintenance and property improvement contributions from tenants. The data above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition. Local currency. 3 Combined total fair value for Vonovia incl. Deutsche Wohnen of €95.4bn, including €5.5bn for undeveloped land, inheritable building rights granted (€0.7bn), assets under construction (€0.8bn), development (€0.9bn), nursing and assisted living (€1.3bn) and other (€1.8bn). 4 L-f-l calculation of property portfolio excl. undeveloped land etc. Based on Deutsche Wohnen definition.
1. 9M 2021 Results
incl. DWNI
| EPRA NTA | EPRA NRV | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
Sep. 30, 20211 |
Dec. 31, 2020 |
Delta | Sep. 30, 20211 |
Dec. 31, 2020 |
Delta | |
| IFRS Equity attributable to shareholders | 26,493.2 | 23,143.9 | +14.5% | 26,493.2 | 23,143.9 | +14.5% | |
| Deferred tax in relation to FV gains of investment property2 | 15,111.2 | 10,466.7 | +44.4% | 19,577.4 | 11,947.8 | +63.9% | |
| FV of financial instruments3 | Incl. €2.9bn Deutsche Wohnen deferred taxes |
51.5 | 54.9 | -6.2% | 51.5 | 54.9 | -6.2% |
| Goodwill as per IFRS balance sheet | -6,739.1 | -1,494.7 | >100% | - | - | - | |
| Intangibles as per IFRS balance sheet | Incl. €5.4bn Deutsche Wohnen preliminary goodwill5 |
-145.9 | -117.0 | -24.7% | - | - | - |
| Revaluation of the intangibles4 | - | - | - | 4,610.0 | 4,610.0 | - | |
| Purchaser's costs2 | Incl. €1.9bn Deutsche Wohnen | 5,647.0 | 3,434.8 | +64.4% | 6,137.1 | 3,920.8 | +56.5% |
| NAV | purchaser's costs | 40,417.9 | 35,488.6 | +13.9% | 56,869.2 | 43,677.4 | +30.2% |
| NOSH (million) | 575.3 | 565.9 | +1.7% | 575.3 | 565.9 | +16.6% | |
| NAV (€/share) | 70.26 | 62.71 | +12.0% | 98.86 | 77.18 | +28.1% |
1 Incl. Deutsche Wohnen. 2 VNA Hold Portfolio only for EPRA NTA. Total portfolio for EPRA NRV. 50% of Deutsche Wohnen deferred taxes included for EPRA NTA in 2021; 100% of Deutsche Wohnen Purchasers' costs included for EPRA NTA in 2021. 3 Adjusted for effects from cross currency swaps. 4 No revaluation of intangibles in Q3 (only once a year in Q4). 5 Preliminary since "Anticipated Acquisition Method" has been used, which assumes an acquisition of 100% of Deutsche Wohnen.
| €m (unless indicated otherwise) |
Sep. 30, 2021 |
Dec. 31, 2020 |
Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Non-derivative financial liabilities | 46,179.9 | 24,084.7 | +91.7% |
| Foreign exchange rate effects | -31.6 | -18.9 | +67.2% |
| Cash and cash equivalents | -3,173.2 | -613.3 | >100% |
| Net debt | 42,975.1 | 23,452.5 | +83.2% |
| Sales receivables/prepayments | -60.1 | -122.3 | -50.9% |
| Adj. net debt | 42,915.0 | 23,330.2 | +83.9% |
| Fair value of real estate portfolio | 95,378.7 | 58,910.7 | +61.9% |
| Loans to companies holding immovable property and land |
950.4 | - | - |
| Shares in other real estate companies |
700.4 | 324.8 | >100% |
| Adj. fair value of real estate portfolio |
97,029.5 | 59,235.5 | +63.8% |
| LTV | 44.2% | 39.4% | +480bps |
| LTV (incl. perpetual hybrid) | 45.3% | 41.1% | +420bps |
| Net debt/EBITDA multiple1 | 14.0x | 12.3x | +1.7x |
• The reported LTV and Net debt/EBITDA multiple as of Sep 30 do not include the purchase price of €10.5bn for Deutsche Wohnen shares not yet paid as of the end of Q3.
1. 9M 2021 Results
incl. DWNI
• Using the 45.3% LTV as of Sep 30 as a starting point, the pro forma LTV is expected to develop as follows:
1 Adj. net debt quarterly average over Adj. EBITDA Total (LTM), adj. for IFRS 16 effects. 2 Any transaction would require, inter alia, approval by the Vonovia management board and supervisory board as well as a prospectus by BaFin.
1Maturity profile excl. € 1.2bn Deutsche Wohnen convertible bonds as well as the bond that matured on Oct. 8, 2021.
1. 9M 2021 Results
incl. DWNI
1. 9M 2021 Results
| KPI / criteria | Sep. 30, 2021 | Jun. 30, 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| Corporate rating (Scope) |
A- | A |
| Corporate rating (S&P) | BBB+ Please see page 16 for |
BBB+ |
| pro forma LTV bridge Corporate rating (Moody's) |
A3 | A3 |
| LTV1 (Adj. net debt / fair value) LTV (Adj. net debt incl. equity hybrid / fair value) |
44.2% 45.3% |
40.5% 42.0% |
| debt/EBITDA multiple2 Net |
14.0x | 12.3x |
| ratio1,3 Fixed/hedged debt |
99% | 99% |
| Average cost of debt1,3 |
1.13% | 1.26% |
| Weighted average maturity (years)1,3 | 8.4 | 8.2 |
| Most recent bond issuances (August 2021) | ||
| €0.5bn, 2 years €1.25bn, 4.25 years €1.25bn, 7 years €1.25bn, 11 years €0.75bn, 30 years |
0.000% 0.000% 0.250% 0.750% 1.625% |
| Bond covenants | Required level | Current level (Sep. 30, 2021) |
|---|---|---|
| LTV (Total financial debt / total assets) |
<60% | 43% |
| Secured LTV (Secured debt / total assets) |
<45% | 13% |
| ICR (LTM Adj. EBITDA / LTM net cash interest) |
>1.8x | 5.1x |
| Unencumbered assets (Unencumbered assets / unsecured debt) |
>125% | 178% |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 9M 2021 Earnings Call & Investor Presentation | 18 | Related page(s): 64 |
|---|---|---|---|
1Excl. equity hybrid. 2Adj. net debt quarterly average over Adj. EBITDA Total (LTM), adj. for IFRS 16 effect. 3Vonovia stand-alone excl. Deutsche Wohnen.
There are two agreements between Vonovia and Aggregate Holdings Invest S.A.
| 2020 Actuals |
2021 Initial Targets |
Medium-term Targets |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CO2 intensity in the portfolio2,3 |
39.5 (kg CO2e/sqm/p.a.) |
Reduction of at least 2% |
< 30 (kg CO2e/sqm/p.a.) until 2030 |
| 2 | Average primary energy need of new constructions |
35.7 (kWh/sqm p.a.) |
Substantial increase4 |
33 (kWh/sqm p.a.) until 2024 |
| 3 | Ratio of senior-friendly apartment refurbishments among all new lettings3 |
30.1% | ~30% | ~30% p.a. |
| 4 | Customer satisfaction3 | +8.6% | In line with prior-year level |
Increase by 2% points until 2024 |
| 5 | Employee satisfaction | No survey | Slight increase |
Increase by 4% points until 2024 |
| 6 | Workforce gender diversity (1st and 2nd level below top mgt.)5 |
25.9% | In line with prior-year level |
26% until 2024 |
| ~100% Current 2021E Guidance is ~105%, primarily driven by higher CO2 reduction, CSI improvements and increased employee satisfaction |
1 Limited assurance. 2 Limited comparability to previous years due to harmonization of data sources and update of emission factors for the calculation of carbon emissions in current fiscal year. 3Germany only at this point. 4 Initial increase because of projects approved in the past (prior to establishing the SPI) that will be completed in 2021. 5 Based on female representation within overall workforce.
SPI
| Previous 2021 Guidance (as of 08/2021) |
Final 2021 Guidance (as of 11/2021) |
Mid-Term Outlook |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Segment Revenue |
~€4.9bn - ~€5.1bn |
~€4.9bn - ~€5.1bn |
growing |
| Rental Revenue | ~€2.3bn - ~€2.4bn |
~€2.3bn - ~€2.4bn |
growing |
| Organic rent growth (eop) | ~3.8% | ~3.8% | stable |
| Recurring Sales (# of units) | ~2,800 | ~2,800 | stable |
| FV step-up Recurring Sales | >35% | >35% | stable |
| Adj. EBITDA Total | €2,055m – €2,105m |
around upper end of €2,055m – €2,105m range |
growing |
| Group FFO | €1,465m – €1,515m |
€1,520m – €1,540m |
growing |
| Dividend (€/share) | ~70% of Group FFO per share |
~70% of Group FFO per share1 | stable payout ratio; €/share growing |
| Investments | ~€1.3bn – ~€1.6bn |
~€1.3bn – ~€1.6bn |
at least stable |
| SPI | ~105% | ~105% | at least stable |
1 (Vonovia stand-alone Group FFO + (Deutsche Wohnen 2021 FFO * ~65% theoretical payout rate DWNI * 87.6% Vonovia stake)) * ~70% Vonovia payout rate.
Wrap-up
Performance well on track, market fundamentals remain highly attractive.
Continued earnings and value growth both organically and through Deutsche Wohnen acquisition.
ESG focus and stakeholder reconciliation remain crucial.
2.
See Page Finder on page 76 for detailed index
pages 2-22
Investor Presentation pages 23-47
pages 48-76
| Europe's Leading Resi Player |
|---|
| Consistent Strategy Execution since IPO |
| Compelling Investment Case |
| Earnings & Value Growth Across Four Segments |
| Granular B-to-C End Consumer Business |
| Robust Operating Business |
| Megatrends |
| Capital Allocation |
| Investment Program |
| Market Outperformance |
| M&A Criteria & Portfolio Evolution |
| Sustainability |
| Residential Market Trends |
| Supply/Demand Imbalance |
| Rent Growth |
| Summary of Investment Case |
We are the long-term owner and full-scale operator of Europe's largest listed multifamily housing portfolio with ca. 568k apartments1 for small and medium incomes in metropolitan growth areas.
Geographic split (by number of units)
1 Incl. ca. 15k units to be sold to the City of Berlin.
2. Investor Presentation
incl. DWNI
25
Sustainability Not a focus Business is firmly anchored around sustainability.
IPO Today
Concept introduced at IPO but met with substantial
Starting a new chapter after years of private equity
| 2. Investor Presentation |
||
|---|---|---|
| -- | ----------------------------- | -- |
| Business Scope | Rental and condo sales |
Rental & Value-add (efficient, scalable B-to-C operating business). Development (profitable business & our answer to supply/demand imbalance). Recurring sales (track record of ~2.5k p.a. at 30%+ gross margin). |
|---|---|---|
| Geographic Scope | Legacy portfolio all across Germany |
89% - 15 urban growth regions. 7% - Stockholm, Gothenburg and Malmö. 4% - Mostly Vienna. Small stakes to prepare and be ready for potential future growth. |
| Vertical Integration | Plans for insourcing strategy yet to be implemented |
Vonovia's in-house Service Center, Craftsmen Organization and Residential Environment Service Team are a clear USP in Germany. |
| M&A | Self-image of market consolidator yet to be proven |
Track record of >450k units acquired with swift deal execution and subsequent integration; appetite for more. (i) Low cost of capital, (ii) best-in-class platform with lowest operating costs, and (iii) committed strategy for decarbonizing the portfolio are competitive advantages that will lead to accretive acquisition opportunities in the future. |
Germany to prove it is not a German phenomenon but the Vonovia business model.
Next step: replicate efficient platform with increasing EBITDA margins and declining costs per unit outside of
ownership
doubt
Scalability
Reputation
Binding climate path in place for CO2 neutral portfolio by 2050.
Increasingly recognized as a reliable partner by local communities. Stakeholder approach on fundamental environmental and social issues.
Scalability proven for German portfolio.
2. Investor Presentation
2. Investor Presentation
| Development New construction of apartments to hold and to sell via greenfield and brownfield development |
Rental & Value-add (Operating business) Efficient property and portfolio management including ancillary service business for internal savings and external revenue |
Recurring Sales Disposal of individual apartments to retail buyers |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| • Vonovia is one of the leading homebuilders in Germany • New construction is a financially and |
• Robust top-line growth from regulated environment with high pass-through rate at >75% EBITDA margin and growing • 13-year average duration of rental contracts with no cluster risk because of granular B-to-C business • High degree of insourcing with standardization, industrialization and process |
• Steady sale of ca. 2.5k apartments annually at ~30% (est.) above fair market value |
|
| strategically valuable addition to the core business |
optimization along the value chain • Segment contribution to 2020 Adj. EBITDA ca. 89% |
• Segment contribution to 2020 Adj. EBITDA ca. 5% |
|
| • Segment contribution to 2020 Adj. EBITDA ca. 6% |
Property Management (~1,500 letting agents & caretakers) Face to the customer and eyes & ears on the ground in our local markets |
Residential Environment (~ 1,000 landscape gardeners) Mainly maintenance and construction of gray and green areas and snow/ice removal in the winter |
|
| Service Center (~1,000 service agents) Centralized property management including inbound calls and e-mails, recoverables billing, contract management, maintenance dispatch and rent growth management |
Technical Service (~5,000 craftsmen) Wholly-owned craftsmen company ("VTS") for large share of maintenance and modernization plus pooling of entire purchasing power |
2. Investor Presentation
excl. DWNI
Residential real estate is a granular mass business with large volumes that offers a competitive advantage to companies with an efficient operating platform, a high degree of standardization and process excellence.
2. Investor Presentation
Bread & butter market rent growth levered with investments
1 EBITDA Operations margin = (Adj. EBITDA Rental + Adj. EBITDA Value-add – intragroup profits) / Rental revenue. 2019 onwards, margin includes positive impact from IFRS 16. Cost per unit is defined as (Rental revenue – EBITDA Operations + Maintenance) / average no. of units. Incremental cost per unit is ca. €250 in Germany.
Occupancy rate
2. Investor Presentation
Our scale, sustainable business model and access to capital markets enable us to assume a leading role in our industry for finding and implementing solutions.
An increasing part of the population is moving into urban areas
Ca. 1/3 of greenhouse gas emissions are related to real estate
An increasing share of the population is 65+ years
Our products and services give more than one million people an affordable home in their apartment and neighborhood.
We are a driving force of the industry and have embarked on a climate path that will result in a CO2 neutral portfolio by 2050
The energy-efficient modernization of the housing stock and innovative solutions for carbon neutral residential neighborhoods are paramount for achieving climate protection targets.
Demographic changes require refurbishing apartments to enable an ageing population to stay in their homes with little or no assistance for longer.
1 Based on prevailing internal management KPI, which was FFO1 from 2013-2018 and Group FFO starting in 2019.
2 Vonovia stand-alone.
32
2. Investor Presentation
Three main investment categories lead to incremental rental revenue1, value appreciation and an overall improvement of our portfolio quality, including CO2 emission reductions.
Our Target IRR for the overall investment program is ca. 9%.
Investment program evolution (€m)
Construction of apartments for our own portfolio through entirely new buildings or floor additions to existing buildings, applying modular and conventional construction methods (Excl. development to sell).
Energy-efficient building modernization usually including new facades, roofs, windows and heating systems.
Apartment Primarily senior-friendly apartment renovation usually including new bathrooms, modern electrical installations, new flooring, etc.
1 An aggregate amount of ~€92m additional rent p.a. is still in the pipeline from the investment programs 2017 to 2021 where projects are underway but not fully completed. Note: The target volume of €1,300 - €1,600 million does not account for any additional impacts that may arise from using the new Federal Funding Regulation for Energy-Efficient Buildings ("BEG") and that may possibly lead to higher volumes.
New construction to hold
Upgrade Building
Optimize
34
excl. DWNI
2. Investor Presentation
Over the medium Term, Vonovia has consistently outperformed since the IPO
Note: As of October 31, 2021. DAX is a performance index with dividends reinvested; EURO STOXX 50 and EPRA Europe are excl. dividends. Vonovia share price return is calculated as the percent change of end of period over beginning of period; Vonovia dividend return is calculated as cumulative DPS over the period as a percent of the share price at the beginning of the period.
Long-term view of the portfolio with a focus on urban growth regions
At least neutral to current investment grade ratings (assuming 50% equity/ 50% debt financing)
Earnings Accretion
Accretive to EBITDA Rental yield
Value Accretion At least neutral to EPRA NTA per share
2. Investor Presentation
Serving a Fundamental Need in a Highly Relevant Market
All of our actions have more than just an economic dimension and require adequate stakeholder reconciliation.
2. Investor Presentation
ESG Indices
Vonovia is a constituent of various ESG indices, including the following: DAX 50 ESG, STOXX Global ESG Leaders, EURO STOXX ESG Leaders 50, STOXX Europe ESG Leaders 50, Dow Jones Sustainability Index Europe.
Vonovia has a meaningful Impact on 8 SDGs
Continued Modernization, Renewable Energy and Sector Coupling
Note: This climate path refers to the German portfolio; we are in the process of developing separate climate paths for the portfolios in Austria and Sweden. Source: Fraunhofer ISE modelling of Vonovia portfolio. Reduction of energy need of 160 kWh towards 60% through the following measures: Building envelope (insulated facade, windows) to become KFW Standard 100-70; scenarios 2 and 3 include the simulation of a change of energy sources. 1 In order to achieve the climate neutral case certain regulatory adjustments still need to be made and not all of the technological concepts have been fully developed yet.
| A home at a fair rent level |
Fair rental levels for low- to mid income households |
Self-imposed obligation to cap modernization rent increases to max. €2 per sqm; Guarantee to tenants 70+ years that rents will remain affordable even if market rents change |
Hardship case management to effectively assist tenants in financial distress; No claw back of foregone rents after Berlin rent freeze was ruled unconstitutional |
COVID-19 – special promise that we will find individual solutions for tenants who struggle financially; no one to lose the roof over their head |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contribution to society and stability of local neighborhoods |
242 social projects in our neighborhoods; Cooperation with non-profit organizations to support tenants in need |
Vonovia Foundation supports multitude of social projects |
34 neighborhood managers and social workers to assist tenants and promote unity in diversity in our neighborhoods |
Customers from ca. 150 different countries and tenants from all walks of life |
|
| Top employer | It is our ambition to be the best employer in the real estate and craftsmen industries |
Employer appeal – we are an attractive employer for former, current and future employees |
Talents – we actively support our employees in their development to become the experts and leaders of our industry |
Culture & change – we share a common culture of diversity, performance and appreciation in an developing organization that embraces change |
2. Investor Presentation
2. Investor Presentation
Highly robust governance structure with twotier board system and fully independent supervisory board
Dedicated ESG Department reporting directly to the CEO; The Supervisory Board monitors ESG issues in the Audit Committee; Sustainability Committee meets at regular intervals and on a need-basis
Numerous policies published (e.g. human rights, whistleblower, tax understanding, etc.) Committed to ILO Core Labor Standards and UN Global Compact on Human Rights
Anchoring TCFD further in our sustainability reporting and adopting EU taxonomy
Further development of sustainability risk management and environmental controlling Continued progress on ESG Ratings and inclusion in leading ESG indices
2013 2014 2015 2016 2019 2020
1,475
Vonovia (Germany) – fair value/sqm (€; total lettable area) vs. construction costs
1,264
1,054
901 964
Building Land
Large gap between in-place values and replacement costs2
1,677
1,893
2017 2018 Market costs
2,099
Supply/demand imbalance, rental regulation, market rent growth, location of assets etc. seem to outweigh the impact of interest rates when it comes to pricing residential real estate.
1 Source: BBSR (https://gis.uba.de/maps/resources/apps/bbsr/index.html?lang=de) 2Note: VNA 2010 – 2014 refers to Deutsche Annington Portfolio at the time; construction costs excluding land. The land value refers to the share of total fair value allocated to land. 3 Yearly asset yields vs. rolling 200d average of 10y interest rates. Sources: Thomson Reuters, bulwiengesa (2020 resi yield is an estimate).
for new constructions
Factor 2.5x - 3.0x
44
1Sources: Federal Statistics Office for actual completions; CDU/SPD government for 2018-2021 and potential new coalition (SPD, Greens, FDP (Liberals)) for 2022-2025 target rate. 2Source: https://apnews.com/article/europe-business-germany-immigration-migration-066b67d8f256f64f781793d9ea659c59. 3Source: Federal Bureau for Political Education (www.bpb.de).
• Incremental rent from market rent adjustments ("Mietspiegel") and re-lettings without investments.
Inflation Germany VNA market rent growth
GDP, quarterly development y-o-y Market rent growth; quarterly development y-o-y
Sources: Federal Statistics Office, GdW (German Association of Professional Homeowners), REIS, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, OECD, Note: Due to lack of q-o-q rent growth data for the US, the annual rent growth for a year is assumed to also be the q-o-q rent growth of that year.
Regulated environment provides stable market rent growth1
0.5%
Ø1.4% Ø1.4%
Market Leader
Long-term owner and full-scale operator of Europe's largest multifamily housing portfolio for small and medium incomes in metropolitan growth areas.
Granular operating business in a B-to-C environment with focus on standardization, industrialization and process optimization.
2. Investor Presentation
Attractive risk-adjusted returns and downside protection in a regulated environment supported by fundamental megatrends.
Growth Organic earnings and value growth plus substantial long-term upside potential from acquisitions in selected European metropolitan areas.
All of our actions have more than just an economic dimension.
• We provide a home to more than 1 million people from ca. 150 nations.
See Page Finder on page 76 for detailed index
| 50-51 | Rights Issue |
|---|---|
| 52-53 | Megatrends |
| 54 | Vonovia in Europe |
| 55-57 | Portfolio Information |
| 58 | Valuation Process |
| 59 | Urban Quarters |
| 60 | Investment Program Funding |
| 61-62 | Historic Acquisition Pipeline; Track Record |
| 63 | Value-add, Business Innovation Funnel |
| 64 | Bond Overview |
| 65 | VNA History |
| 66 | Supervisory Board & Management Board |
| 67 | Germany – Residential Market Information |
| 68 | Largest Homebuilders in Germany |
| 69 | Sweden – Residential Market Information |
| 70-71 | VNA Shares |
| 72 | Financial Calendar & Contact |
| 73-76 | Disclaimer, For Your Notes, Page Finder |
Nov 4, 2021 49 9M 2021 Earnings Call & Investor Presentation
3. Additional Information
TERP = Value per right = Reference share price - TERP Pre-issue market cap + Rights issue proceeds Existing no. of shares + Newly issued no. of shares
All options are value neutral for existing shareholders
Note: Subscription rights that are not exercised in time will lapse and be of no value, meaning that no compensation will be payable for subscription rights that are not exercised.
Urbanization
Most of our properties are located on the outskirts and in the commuter belts rather than in the middle of downtown.
Energy efficiency
With ca. 1/3 of greenhouse gases related to real estate, opportunities may arise to accelerate our efforts towards making our portfolio CO2 neutral by 2050.
While COVID-19 severely impacts the lives of people around the globe it is fortunately not disruptive to the overall demographic development.
1 Source: Der Informationsdienst des Instituts der deutschen Wirtschaft: Das neue alte Homeoffice, August 12, 2020 (https://www.iwd.de/artikel/das-neue-alte-homeoffice-480617/).
3. Additional Information
• Market consolidation on the basis of Victoria Park and Hembla combination
3. Additional Information
incl. DWNI
High-influx cities ("Schwarmstädte"). For more information: https://investoren.vonovia.de/en/news-and-publications/reports-publications/; Vonovia location 1 Simple addition of 2017-2020 valuation results excluding compound interest effects. 2 Source: BBSR (https://gis.uba.de/maps/resources/apps/bbsr/index.html?lang=de) 2
3. Additional Information
| Fair value1 | Residential | In-place rent | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio Cluster (Sep. 30, 2021) |
(€bn) | % of total | (€/sqm) | units | (€/sqm/month) |
| Operate | 16.3 | 26% | 2,290 | 107,401 | 7.51 |
| Invest | 31.8 | 51% | 2,313 | 220,739 | 6.94 |
| Strategic | 48.1 | 77% | 2,305 | 328,140 | 7.12 |
| Recurring Sales | 4.1 | 7% | 2,468 | 24,458 | 7.25 |
| Non-core | 0.2 | 0% | 1,384 | 1,073 | 8.08 |
| Vonovia Germany | 52.4 | 84% | 2,312 | 353,671 | 7.14 |
| Vonovia Sweden2 | 7.0 | 11% | 2,350 | 38,467 | 10.34 |
| Vonovia Austria2 | 2.9 | 5% | 1,652 | 21,596 | 4.87 |
| Vonovia Total | 62.3 | 100% | 2,274 | 413,734 | 7.34 |
| Wohnen3 Deutsche |
27.6 | 2,843 | 154.717 | 7.17 |
Note: In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden includes ancillary costs and Austria includes maintenance and property improvement contributions from tenants. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition. Fair value of the developed land excluding €5,854.1m, of which €652.3m for undeveloped land and inheritable building rights granted, €833.6m for assets under construction, €923.8m for development, €1,261.0 for nursing portfolio, €396.8m IFRS effect and €1,786.6m other. Based on the country-specific definition. Based on Deutsche Wohnen definition. 4 VNA stand-alone excl. Deutsche Wohnen.
| Fair value1 | In-place rent | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regional Markets (Sep. 30, 2021) |
(€m) | (€/sqm) | Residential units |
Vacancy (%) |
Total (p.a., €m) |
Residential (p.a., €m) |
Residential (€/sqm/ month) |
Organic rent growth (y-o-y, %) |
Multiple (in-place rent) |
Purchase power index (market data)2 |
Market rent increase forecast Valuation (% p.a.) |
Average rent growth (LTM, %) from Optimize Apartment |
| Berlin | 8,371 | 2,922 | 43,496 | 1.4 | 245 | 232 | 7.08 | 3.2 | 34.2 | 82.4 | 1.8 | 29.7 |
| Rhine Main Area (Frankfurt, Darmstadt, Wiesbaden) |
5,434 | 3,083 | 27,121 | 1.9 | 185 | 178 | 8.76 | 3.8 | 29.4 | 104.6 | 1.8 | 34.2 |
| Southern Ruhr Area (Dortmund, Essen, Bochum) |
5,108 | 1,899 | 43,035 | 3.4 | 209 | 203 | 6.61 | 4.5 | 24.5 | 89.3 | 1.5 | 30.4 |
| Rhineland (Cologne, Düsseldorf, Bonn) |
4,616 | 2,402 | 28,226 | 2.5 | 175 | 167 | 7.60 | 3.6 | 26.4 | 100.7 | 1.7 | 30.6 |
| Dresden | 4,564 | 1,991 | 38,467 | 3.8 | 173 | 164 | 6.44 | 2.5 | 26.3 | 84.0 | 1.7 | 22.0 |
| Hamburg | 3,443 | 2,700 | 19,651 | 1.6 | 116 | 111 | 7.59 | 3.4 | 29.7 | 98.1 | 1.6 | 35.8 |
| Kiel | 2,849 | 1,995 | 24,254 | 2.2 | 116 | 112 | 6.83 | 4.4 | 24.5 | 76.2 | 1.7 | 35.3 |
| Munich | 2,627 | 4,015 | 9,690 | 1.1 | 69 | 65 | 8.66 | 4.1 | 38.0 | 122.6 | 1.9 | 47.4 |
| Stuttgart | 2,443 | 2,811 | 13,596 | 1.8 | 86 | 84 | 8.34 | 3.0 | 28.3 | 104.6 | 1.8 | 32.4 |
| Hanover | 2,288 | 2,201 | 16,131 | 2.4 | 88 | 84 | 7.06 | 3.0 | 26.1 | 89.7 | 1.7 | 34.2 |
| Northern Ruhr Area (Duisburg, Gelsenkirchen) | 2,056 | 1,328 | 24,853 | 3.1 | 112 | 109 | 6.11 | 2.6 | 18.3 | 81.5 | 1.3 | 22.6 |
| Bremen | 1,454 | 1,976 | 11,834 | 3.7 | 54 | 51 | 6.23 | 3.2 | 27.0 | 84.1 | 1.8 | 24.8 |
| Leipzig | 1,184 | 1,933 | 9,017 | 3.1 | 45 | 43 | 6.30 | 3.8 | 26.2 | 76.7 | 1.7 | 22.0 |
| Westphalia (Münster, Osnabrück) |
1,135 | 1,818 | 9,451 | 2.9 | 49 | 48 | 6.66 | 3.9 | 23.1 | 90.3 | 1.5 | 30.2 |
| Freiburg | 770 | 2,762 | 4,037 | 1.4 | 27 | 26 | 7.93 | 4.2 | 28.9 | 86.4 | 1.7 | 42.6 |
| Other Strategic Locations | 3,440 | 2,008 | 26,533 | 2.9 | 146 | 141 | 7.20 | 4.2 | 23.6 | 1.6 | 30.8 | |
| Total Strategic Locations | 51,783 | 2,321 | 349,392 | 2.5 | 1,894 | 1,818 | 7.14 | 3.5 | 27.3 | 1.7 | 30.6 | |
| Non-Strategic Locations | 605 | 1,726 | 4,279 | 5.0 | 27 | 24 | 6.91 | 2.0 | 22.5 | 1.6 | 38.0 | |
| Total Germany excl. Deutsche Wohnen | 52,388 | 2,312 | 353,671 | 2.6 | 1,921 | 1,842 | 7.14 | 3.5 | 27.3 | 1.7 | 30.7 | |
| Vonovia Sweden | 7,018 | 2,350 | 38,467 | 2.4 | 359 | 332 | 10.34 | 3.5 | 19.6 | 2.0 | - | |
| Vonovia Austria |
2,906 | 1,652 | 21,596 | 5.4 | 110 | 89 | 4.87 | 3.6 | 26.4 | 1.4 | - | |
| Total | 62,311 | 2,274 | 413,734 | 2.7 | 2,390 | 2,263 | 7.34 | 3.5 | 26.1 | 1.7 | n/a | |
| Deutsche Wohnen3 | 27,610 | 2,843 | 154,717 | 1.6 | 833 | 782 | 7.17 | 1.24 | 32.9 | n/a | n/a |
Note: In-place rents in Austria and Sweden are not fully comparable to Germany, as Sweden includes ancillary costs and Austria includes maintenance and property improvement contributions from tenants. The table above shows the rental level unadjusted to the German definition. 1 Fair value of the developed land excluding €5,854.1m, of which €652.3m for undeveloped land and inheritable building rights granted, €833.6m for assets under construction, €923.8m for development, €1,261.0 for nursing portfolio, €396.8m IFRS effect and €1,786.6m other. 2 Source: GfK (2021). Data refers to the specific cities indicated in the tables, weighted by the number of households where applicable. 3 Based on Deutsche Wohnen definition. 4 Deutsche Wohnen l-f-l definition.
Approx. three quarters of
Vonovia's German portfolio
are located in almost
600 urban quarters,
each with an average of
430 apartments.
In residential real estate, a neighborhood, or urban quarter, is usually defined as a cohesive urban structure that is considered by its inhabitants as a self-contained area. It is the predominant aggregation level where a real estate company can make the biggest difference and most positive contribution for inhabitants.1
Every urban quarter is unique…
… but for each one we pursue a holistic approach
Location, construction year, infrastructure, investment potential, competition, urban development
Existing and potential tenants, age structure, diversity, purchasing power
Urbanization, climate change, ageing population, integration
2
1Average historic cash/scrip ratio has been 56%/44% since inception in 2016. 2 Net of Adj. EBITDA Recurring Sales.
3. Additional Information
| Larger acquisitions | Fair Value per sqm | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Year | Deal | Residential units # |
TOP Locations | @ Acquisition | Sep. 30, 2021 | ∆ |
| DEWAG | 11,300 | Berlin, Hamburg, Cologne, Frankfurt |
€ 1,344 | € 2,965 | 121% | |
| 2014 | VITUS1 | 20,500 | Bremen, Kiel | € 807 | € 1,938 | 140% |
| GAGFAH | 144,600 | Dresden, Berlin, Hamburg | € 889 | € 2,240 | 152% | |
| 2015 | FRANCONIA | 4,100 | Berlin, Dresden | € 1,044 | € 2,414 | 131% |
| SÜDEWO | 19,400 | Stuttgart, Karlsruhe, Mannheim, Ulm | € 1,380 | € 2,580 | 87% | |
| 2016 | GRAINGER | 2,400 | Munich, Mannheim | € 1,501 | € 2,892 | 93% |
| CONWERT (Germany & Austria) |
23,400 | Berlin, Leipzig, Potsdam, Vienna | € 1,353 | € 2,387 | 76% | |
| 2017 | PROIMMO | 1,000 | Hanover | € 1,617 | € 2,178 | 35% |
| BUWOG (Germany & Austria) |
48,300 | Berlin, Lübeck, Vienna, Villach | € 1,244 | € 1,816 | 46% | |
| 2018 | VICTORIA PARK (Sweden) |
14,000 | Stockholm, Malmö, Gothenburg | SEK 15,286 | SEK 22.260 | 46% |
| AKELIUS (Sweden) |
2,300 | Stockholm, Gothenburg | SEK 25,933 | SEK 31,760 | 22% | |
| 2019 | HEMBLA (Sweden) |
21,400 | Stockholm | SEK 20,157 | SEK 24,119 | 20% |
| 2020 | H&L Portfolio | 1,100 | Kiel | € 2,114 | € 2,284 | 8% |
| Total | 313,800 |
Note: Excluding smaller tactical acquisitions. 1 Net of subportfolio sold right after the acquisition.
Extensive Testing and Measured Rollout of Value-add Initiatives to Minimize Risk
3. Additional Information
excl. DWNI
| Name | Tenor & Coupon | ISIN | Amount | Issue Price |
Coupon | Final Maturity Date |
Rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moodys | Scope | S&P | |||||||
| Bond 028E (EMTN) | 30 years 1.625% | DE000A3MP4W5 | € 750m | 97.903% | 1.625% | 01 Sep 2051 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 028D (EMTN) | 11 years 0.750% | DE000A3MP4V7 | € 1,250m | 99.455% | 0.750% | 01 Sep 2032 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 028C (EMTN) | 7 years 0.250% | DE000A3MP4U9 | € 1,250m | 99.200% | 0.250% | 01 Sep 2028 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 028B (EMTN) | 4.25 years 0.000% | DE000A3MP4T1 | € 1,250m | 99.724% | 0.000% | 01 Dec 2025 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 028A (EMTN) | 2 years 0.000% | DE000A3MP4S3 | € 500m | 100.484% | 0.000% | 01 Sep 2023 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 027E (EMTN) | 20 years 1.500% | DE000A3E5MK0 | € 500m | 99.078% | 1.500% | 14 Jun 2041 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 027D (EMTN) | 12 years 1.000% | DE000A3E5MJ2 | € 1,000m | 99.450% | 1.000% | 16 Jun 2033 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 027C (EMTN) | 8.5 years 0.625% | DE000A3E5MH6 | € 1,000m | 99.605% | 0.625% | 14 Dec 2029 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 027B (EMTN) | 6 years 0.375% | DE000A3E5MG8 | € 1,000m | 99.947% | 0.375% | 16 Jun 2027 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 027A (EMTN) | 3.25 years 0.000% | DE000A3E5MF0 | € 500m | 100.192% | 0.000% | 16 Sep 2024 | A3 | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 026 (EMTN) | 10 years 0.625% | DE000A3E5FR9 | € 600m | 99.759% | 0.625% | 24 Mar 2031 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 025 (EMTN) | 20 years 1.000% | DE000A287179 | € 500m | 99.355% | 1.000% | 28 Jan 2041 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 024B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.000% | DE000A28ZQQ5 | € 750m | 99.189% | 1.000% | 09 Jul 2030 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 024A (EMTN) | 6 years 0.625% | DE000A28ZQP7 | € 750m | 99.684% | 0.625% | 09 Jul 2026 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 023B (EMTN) | 10 years 2.250% | DE000A28VQD2 | € 500m | 98.908% | 2.250% | 07 Apr 2030 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 023A (EMTN) | 4 years 1.625% | DE000A28VQC4 | € 500m | 99.831% | 1.625% | 07 Apr 2024 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 022C (EMTN) | 20 years 1.625% | DE000A2R8NE1 | € 500m | 98.105% | 1.625% | 07 Oct 2039 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 022B (EMTN) | 8 years 0.625% | DE000A2R8ND3 | € 500m | 98.941% | 0.625% | 07 Oct 2027 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 022A (EMTN) | 3.5 years 0.125% | DE000A2R8NC5 | € 500m | 99.882% | 0.125% | 06 Apr 2023 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 021B (EMTN) | 15 years 1.125% | DE000A2R7JE1 | € 500m | 99.822% | 1.125% | 14 Sep 2034 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 021A (EMTN) | 10 years 0.500% | DE000A2R7JD3 | € 500m | 98.965% | 0.500% | 14 Sep 2029 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 020 (EMTN) | 6.5 years 1.800% | DE000A2RWZZ6 | € 500m | 99.836% | 1.800% | 29 Jun 2025 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 019 (EMTN) | 5 years 0.875% | DE000A192ZH7 | € 500m | 99.437% | 0.875% | 03 Jul 2023 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 018D (EMTN) | 20 years 2.750% | DE000A19X8C0 | € 500m | 97.896% | 2.750% | 22 Mar 2038 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 018C (EMTN) | 12 years 2.125% | DE000A19X8B2 | € 500m | 98.967% | 2.125% | 22 Mar 2030 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 018B (EMTN) | 8 years 1.500% | DE000A19X8A4 | € 700m(1) | 101.119% | 1.500% | 22 Mar 2026 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 018A (EMTN) | 4.75 years 3M EURIBOR+0.450% | DE000A19X793 | € 600m | 100.000% | 0.793% hedged | 22 Dec 2022 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 017B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A19UR79 | € 500m | 99.439% | 1.500% | 14 Jan 2028 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 017A (EMTN) | 6 years 0.750% | DE000A19UR61 | € 500m | 99.330% | 0.750% | 15 Jan 2024 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 015 (EMTN) | 8 years 1.125% | DE000A19NS93 | € 500m | 99.386% | 1.125% | 08 Sep 2025 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 014B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.750% | DE000A19B8E2 | € 500m | 99.266% | 1.750% | 25 Jan 2027 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 014A (EMTN) | 5 years 0.750% | DE000A19B8D4 | € 500m | 99.863% | 0.750% | 25 Jan 2022 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 013 (EMTN) | 8 years 1.250% | DE000A189ZX0 | € 1,000m | 99.037% | 1.250% | 06 Dec 2024 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 011B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A182VT2 | € 500m | 99.165% | 1.500% | 10 Jun 2026 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 011A (EMTN) | 6 years 0.875% | DE000A182VS4 | € 500m | 99.530% | 0.875% | 10 Jun 2022 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 010C (EMTN) | 8 years 2.250% | DE000A18V146 | € 1,000m | 99.085% | 2.250% | 15 Dec 2023 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 009B (EMTN) | 10 years 1.500% | DE000A1ZY989 | € 500m | 98.455% | 1.500% | 31 Mar 2025 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| (2) Bond 008 (Hybrid) |
perpetual 4% | XS1117300837 | € 1,000m | 100.000% | 4.000% | perpetual | NR | BBB | BBB |
| Bond 007 (EMTN) | 8 years 2.125% | DE000A1ZLUN1 | € 500m | 99.412% | 2.125% | 09 Jul 2022 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
| Bond 004 (USD-Bond) | 10 years 5.000% | US25155FAB22 | USD 250m | 98.993% | 4.580%(3) | 02 Oct 2023 | NR | A- | BBB+ |
Note: Excl. the four Deutsche Wohnen Bonds with a total amount of €2.2bn. 1 Incl. Tab Bond €200m. 2Perpetual Hybrid will be called at first call date on 17 December, 2021. 3EUR Equivalent Coupon
3. Additional Information
3. Additional Information
'000 sqm living area
1Top 7 cities, includes projects completed between 2018 and 2025 (expected), Data source: bulwiengesa, company data.
3. Additional Information
Rent growth in regulated markets follows a sustainable upward trajectory and is largely independent from GDP developments; rents in unregulated markets go up and down broadly in line with the GDP development
Large gap between in-place values and replacement costs2
Residential completions fall short of estimated required volumes
Sources: REIS, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, OECD, Statistics Sweden. Note: Due to lack of q-o-q rent growth data for the US and Sweden, the annual rent growth for a year is assumed to also be the q-o-q rent growth of that year. US rent growth 2020 is full-year estimate. 2 Note: The land value refers to the share of total fair value allocated to land. Allocation between building and land in Sweden assumed to be similar to Germany. Sources: Swedish National Board of Housing, Building and Planning, Statistics Sweden. 32019 includes portfolio acquired from Akelius.
Victoria Park3 – fair value/sqm (SEK; total lettable area) vs. construction costs
Source: Factset, company data; VNA and DAX performance are total shareholder return (share price plus dividends reinvested); EuroStoxx50 and EPRA Europe are share price performance only.
3. Additional Information
3. Additional Information
Rene Hoffmann (Head of IR) Primary contact for Sell side, Buy side +49 234 314 1629 [email protected]
Stefan Heinz Primary contact for Sell side, Buy side +49 234 314 2384 [email protected]
Oliver Larmann Primary contact for private investors, AGM +49 234 314 1609 [email protected]
General inquiries [email protected]
| 1 IR only | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Contact | Financial Calendar 2021 |
|---|---|
| --------- | ------------------------- |
| Nov 8-12 | Q3 Roadshow |
|---|---|
| Dec 1 | UBS Global Real Estate Conference |
| Dec 2 | Société Générale Flagship Conference |
Dates are subject to change. The most up-to-date financial calendar is always available online.
3. Additional Information
This presentation has been specifically prepared by Vonovia SE and/or its affiliates (together, "Vonovia") for internal use. Consequently, it may not be sufficient or appropriate for the purpose for which a third party might use it.
This presentation has been provided for information purposes only and is being circulated on a confidential basis. This presentation shall be used only in accordance with applicable law, e.g. regarding national and international insider dealing rules, and must not be distributed, published or reproduced, in whole or in part, nor may its contents be disclosed by the recipient to any other person. Receipt of this presentation constitutes an express agreement to be bound by such confidentiality and the other terms set out herein.
This presentation includes statements, estimates, opinions and projections with respect to anticipated future performance of Vonovia ("forward-looking statements") which reflect various assumptions concerning anticipated results taken from Vonovia's current business plan or from public sources which have not been independently verified or assessed by Vonovia and which may or may not prove to be correct. Any forward-looking statements reflect current expectations based on the current business plan and various other assumptions and involve significant risks and uncertainties and should not be read as guarantees of future performance or results and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether or not such results will be achieved. Any forward-looking statements only speak as at the date the presentation is provided to the recipient. It is up to the recipient of this presentation to make its own assessment of the validity of any forward-looking statements and assumptions and no liability is accepted by Vonovia in respect of the achievement of such forward-looking statements and assumptions.
Vonovia accepts no liability whatsoever to the extent permitted by applicable law for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or penalty arising from any use of this presentation, its contents or preparation or otherwise in connection with it.
No representation or warranty (whether express or implied) is given in respect of any information in this presentation or that this presentation is suitable for the recipient's purposes. The delivery of this presentation does not imply that the information herein is correct as at any time subsequent to the date hereof.
Vonovia has no obligation whatsoever to update or revise any of the information, forward-looking statements or the conclusions contained herein or to reflect new events or circumstances or to correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent subsequent to the date hereof.
This presentation does not, and is not intended to, constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire, any securities of the Company nor shall it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with or act as any inducement to enter into any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever.
This presentation is neither an advertisement nor a prospectus and is made available on the express understanding that it does not contain all information that may be required to evaluate, and will not be used by the attendees/recipients in connection with, the purchase of or investment in any securities of the Company. This presentation is selective in nature and does not purport to contain all information that may be required to evaluate the Company and/or its securities. No reliance may or should be placed for any purpose whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness.
This presentation is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity that is a citizen or resident or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation or which would require any registration or licensing within such jurisdiction.
Neither this presentation nor the information contained in it may be taken, transmitted or distributed directly or indirectly into or within the United States, its territories or possessions. This presentation is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. The securities of the Company have not been and will not be registered under the US Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act") or with any securities regulatory authority of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States. Consequently, the securities of the Company may not be offered, sold, resold, transferred, delivered or distributed, directly or indirectly, into or within in the United States except pursuant to an exemption from, or in a transaction not subject to, the registration requirements of the Securities Act and in compliance with any applicable securities laws of any state or other jurisdiction of the United States unless registered under the Securities Act.
Tables and diagrams may include rounding effects.
| # | 9M 2021 Results | # | Investor Presentation | # | Additional Information |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Agenda | 23 | Agenda | 48 | Agenda |
| 3 | Agenda 9M 2021 Results | 24 | Agenda Investor Presentation | 49 | Agenda - Additional Information |
| 4 | Highlights | 25 | Vonovia at a Glance |
50 | Rights Issue – Mechanics |
| 5 | Deutsche Wohnen | 26 | IPO to Today - Strategy Execution |
51 | Rights Issue – Optionality around Subscription Rights |
| 6 | Segment Overview | 27 | Compelling Investment Case |
52 | Megatrends |
| 7 | Rental Segment | 28 | Earnings & Value Growth across 4 Segments | 53 | Megatrends & COVID-19 |
| 8 | Operating KPIs | 29 | Granular B-to-C End Consumer Business | 54 | European Activities |
| 9 | Value-add Segment |
30 | Robust Operating Business | 55 | Urban Growth Markets |
| 10 | Recurring Sales Segment |
31 | Megatrends | 56 | Portfolio Cluster |
| 11 | Developmnet Segment |
32 | Capital Allocation (I) |
57 | Regional Markets |
| 12 | Development Pipeline | 33 | Capital Allocation (II) |
58 | Valuation Process |
| 13 | 9M 2021 Valuation – Q3 Results and Q4 Estimate for Vonovia stand-alone |
34 | Investment Program | 59 | Neighborhoods / Urban Quarters |
| 14 | 9M 2021 Valuation | 35 | Market Outperformance | 60 | Investment Program Funding |
| 15 | EPRA NTA and NRV |
36 | M&A Philosophy & Criteria |
61 | Historic Acquisition Pipeline |
| 16 | LTV & Net Debt / EBITDA Multiple |
37 | M&A Track Record | 62 | Acquisition Track Record |
| 17 | Capital Structure – Maturity Profile |
38 | Our Business Is Deeply Rooted in ESG | 63 | Value-add Innovation Funnel |
| 18 | Capital Structure –KPIs and Bond Covenants |
39 | ESG Ratings and Indices |
64 | Overview of Bonds |
| 19 | Aggregate loan | 40 | UN Sustainability Development Goals (SDG) | 65 | History of Vonovia |
| 20 | Sustainability Performance Index (SPI) |
41 | Climate Path |
66 | Corporate Govermance - AGM, SVB, MB |
| 21 | 2021 Guidance | 42 | Balanced Stakeholder Approach |
67 | Household Sizes and Ownersip Structure |
| 22 | Wrap-up | 43 | Highly Robust Governance |
68 | Largest German Homebuilders |
| 44 | Residential Market Trends | 69 | Residential Market Trends Sweden | ||
| 45 | Supply / Demand Imbalance |
70 | Share Price Performance | ||
| 46 | Rent Growth |
71 | Vonovia Share - Basic Data & Share Count |
||
| 47 | Summary of Investment Case |
72 | IR Contact & Financial Calendar |
||
| 73 | Disclaimer |
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